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Programmable Comms Review
Alan Quayle, independent
Landscape, Market
Sizing, and Growth
Trends and Strategy
2020 and 2021
Review
Landscape, Market Sizing, and Growth
CPaaS
Communication Enabling Software and Platforms / Open Source Projects
Business Messaging
In-App
Communications
Employee Communications. Unified Comms,
business telephony, phone systems, messaging,
collaboration
Enterprise Channel (Gamma, WWT, Verizon, AT&T, etc)
Customer Communications. Contact center,
messaging, trust, ..
Automation Technologies (bots, speech rec, analytics, workflow management, knowledge management,
conversational interfaces, marketing automation)
© Alan Quayle 2021
Programmable Comms Market (CXTech)
Consolidation
CPaaS – those that identify as + do more than SMS
© Alan Quayle 2021
Bottom-up Build of Market Size
Public CPaaS 2018 Revenue
2019 Growth2020 Growth2021 Growth2022 Growth Employees Simple Description
2600Hz / Kazoo 10 30% 30% 25% 25% 40 Refocused on CPaaS / UCaaS enabler with Kazoo
46elks 8 25% 25% 20% 20% 8 Swedish CPaaS
Aculab 25 25% 25% 20% 20% 80 Long established enterprise comms provider
AeriaLink 5 45% 45% 40% 40% 20 Landline messaging
Amazon 180 75% 70% 65% 60% 145
Simple Notifiction Service, MFA, resell of Twilio Voice (but likely
to roll its oen in time), plus voice services like Poly and Chime
Apeiron (bought 2019 Konatel) 2 40% 40% 35% 35% 3 Couple of years old cpaas, based in CA
Apifonica (Dzinga) 10 35% 35% 35% 35% 25 European CPaaS - focused on services
aql 20 35% 35% 35% 35% 80 Long established wholesale telecoms provider
babl.biz 10 35% 35% 35% 35% 20 UK-based CPaaS
Bandwidth 165 30% 40% 35% 32% 400 NAR-focused voice/messaging API (911 focus)
BrightLink 20 40% 40% 35% 32% 30 Cloud based PBX / CPaaS
Callfire 25 40% 40% 35% 35% 90 Voice/SMS customer comms
Callr 5 35% 35% 35% 35% 8 Paris-based CPaaS since 2010
Cequens 45 35% 35% 35% 35% 125 MEA focus
Cloudonix 1 100% 80% 70% 60% Cloud based Asterisk platform
CM 25 20% 20% 15% 15% 100 Dutch Business Messaging / CPaaS
CYDNE 15 35% 35% 30% 30% 80 Notification services (voice and messaging)
Exotel 15 35% 35% 35% 35% 120 India based CPaaS
Flowroute (West) 15 35% 35% 35% 30% 50 NAR-focused SIP Trunking provider
FoneDynamics 5 25% 25% 25% 25% 20 Australian CPaaS bought by Uniti Wireless
hoiio 25 65% 65% 60% 55% 45 Singapore based CPaaS - expanding in Asia
Infobip 400 10% 10% 10% 10% 1800 Original A2P SMS provider, based in Crotia
Intelepeer 170 25% 25% 25% 25% 240
CPaaS products complementary to UC/CC solutions, channel
sales model, expanding internationally
Pre-pandemic 2020 Growth was
estimated to be 30%, but post-
pandemic estimate is 40% (Q1
31%, Q2 40%, Q3 43%, Q4 45%) –
Zoom US DID provision (Colt and
BICS cover international),
Voxbone is still recorded
separately in this sheet.
• All depends on your customers mix
• Web companies with role in ecommerce / WFH – massive acceleration in revenue
• Traditional retail / travel verticals (20-80% decline in revenues)
• But, web companies in travel, e.g. Airbnb have maintained CPaaS traffic as people
are still travelling (see next slide) and increased chat around bookings
• General businesses have weathered pandemic with 10-20% decline
• Twilio, Zoom, and a few others in the 100+% growth are more the exceptions
• 5% have 30% increase on pre-pandemic estimates
• 30% have 10% increase
• 45% are unchanged
• 20% have 10% decrease
Impact of Pandemic on CPaaS / Messaging: Mixed
US Travel Data: 45% of 2019 in Dec/Jan
(7 day moving average)
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
1/1/21
1/3/21
1/5/21
1/7/21
1/9/21
1/11/21
1/13/21
1/15/21
1/17/21
1/19/21
1/21/21
1/23/21
1/25/21
1/27/21
1/29/21
1/31/21
2/2/21
2/4/21
2/6/21
2/8/21
2/10/21
2/12/21
2/14/21
2/16/21
2/18/21
2/20/21
2/22/21
2/24/21
2/26/21
2/28/21
3/2/21
3/4/21
3/6/21
3/8/21
3/10/21
3/12/21
3/14/21
3/16/21
3/18/21
3/20/21
3/22/21
3/24/21
3/26/21
3/28/21
3/30/21
4/1/21
4/3/21
TSA checkpoint Travel Numbers 2021 / 2020 / 2019 Q1
2021 Traveler Throughput 2020 Traveler Throughput 2019 Traveler Throughput 7 per. Mov. Avg. (2021 Traveler Throughput) 7 per. Mov. Avg. (2019 Traveler Throughput)
US Travel Data: 65% of 2019 in April 2021
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
1/1/21
1/3/21
1/5/21
1/7/21
1/9/21
1/11/21
1/13/21
1/15/21
1/17/21
1/19/21
1/21/21
1/23/21
1/25/21
1/27/21
1/29/21
1/31/21
2/2/21
2/4/21
2/6/21
2/8/21
2/10/21
2/12/21
2/14/21
2/16/21
2/18/21
2/20/21
2/22/21
2/24/21
2/26/21
2/28/21
3/2/21
3/4/21
3/6/21
3/8/21
3/10/21
3/12/21
3/14/21
3/16/21
3/18/21
3/20/21
3/22/21
3/24/21
3/26/21
3/28/21
3/30/21
4/1/21
4/3/21
TSA checkpoint Travel Numbers 2021 / 2020 / 2019 Q1
2021 Traveler Throughput 2020 Traveler Throughput 2019 Traveler Throughput 7 per. Mov. Avg. (2021 Traveler Throughput) 7 per. Mov. Avg. (2019 Traveler Throughput)
US Travel Data: 65% of 2019 in April 2021
80% of 2019 – Gap is Mostly International Visitors
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
1/1/21
1/8/21
1/15/21
1/22/21
1/29/21
2/5/21
2/12/21
2/19/21
2/26/21
3/5/21
3/12/21
3/19/21
3/26/21
4/2/21
4/9/21
4/16/21
4/23/21
4/30/21
5/7/21
5/14/21
5/21/21
5/28/21
6/4/21
6/11/21
6/18/21
6/25/21
7/2/21
7/9/21
7/16/21
7/23/21
7/30/21
8/6/21
8/13/21
8/20/21
8/27/21
9/3/21
9/10/21
9/17/21
9/24/21
10/1/21
10/8/21
10/15/21
10/22/21
TSA US TRAVEL NUMBERS
2021 Traveler Throughput 2020 Traveler Throughput 2019 Traveler Throughput 7 per. Mov. Avg. (2021 Traveler Throughput) 7 per. Mov. Avg. (2019 Traveler Throughput)
CPaaS
Market Sizing
• Wait a minute!
• Twilio achieved 132%
QonQ revenue growth in
July 2020
• Zoom had 355% QonQ
growth in August 2020
• Exceptions do not make a
market. Overall, 2020
results have been mixed.
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
USD
Millions
Public CPaaS Revenues
SIP Trunking Core API Business Messaging
Authenitcation IoT CCaaS
UCaaS Total
CPaaS
Market CAGR
• Core API has peak CAGR in
2020/2021 of 35%
• Growth acceleration in
2021+ from UCaaS, CCaaS,
Authentication as focus
moves to solutions not
atomic APIs
• Significant substitution of
telco revenues (SIP trunking,
enterprise telephony) +
market expansion
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
USD
Millions
Public CPaaS Revenues
SIP Trunking Core API Business Messaging
Authenitcation IoT CCaaS
UCaaS Total
CPaaS
Market
Company HQ
• Web companies drive
global volumes – one
account global reach
• US presence is important
for growth – even though
traffic is in EMEA or Asia,
revenue ‘flows’ through US
decisions
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue Distrubtion by Company HQ
Americas EMEA Asia
© Alan Quayle 2020
Business Messaging – SMS Focused
Bottom-up Build of Market Size
Business Messaging
Partial list, there's 100+ more, many geographically focused on regions / cities
3C Interactive (IMIMobile) 24 35% 35% 35% 35% 100 SMS shortcode business messaging
ActiveCampaign 100 25% 25% 25% 25% 375
Email marketing, expanded into business messaging and
automation
AirMovil 5 45% 45% 45% 45% 15 Mexico based, business messaging projects
aldeamo 12 35% 35% 35% 35% 50 Latim America based business messaging / aggregation
Avidmobile 8 15% 15% 15% 15% 10 Business messaging with reseller model
avochato 4 65% 65% 65% 65% 18 Business messaging for CRM platforms
Callloop 4 5 Business messaging and calling, not sure of current status
Clickatel 60 20% 20% 20% 20% 140 Business Messaging (less CPaaS focus)
Clicksend 5 50% 50% 50% 50% 18 Oz based aggregator for business messaging
ComAPI 18 25% 25% 25% 25% 45
UK based business messaging aggregator - bought 2017 by
dotdigital (adding services beyong aggregation)
Digital Media Interactive (Parateum) 5 25% 25% 25% 25% 20 Aggregator for business messaging
enageSPARK 3 20% 20% 20% 20% 12 Philippines based business communications workflows
EZTexting 25 35% 35% 35% 35% 110 US based business messaging
gupshup 50 50% 50% 50% 50% 120 India based business messaging raised 40+M
HeyWire (SFDC) 55 30% 30% 30% 30% 100 Business Messaging within SFDC
Hustle 20 25% 25% 25% 25% 80 US based business messaging focused on p2p comms
IMIMobile 170 30% 30% 25% 25% 2000 India based technology and business messaging provider
ImpactMobile 10 20% 20% 20% 20% 20 Business messaging, based in Canada, division of IMIMobile
Lime Cellular 25 35% 35% 35% 35% 45 Business messaging reseller / provider
MacroKiosk 30 25% 25% 25% 25% 60 KL based enterprise messaging / payments
Mediaburst / ClockworkSMS 20 45% 45% 45% 45% 15 Manchester based SMS API / Aggregator
MessageMedia 8 20% 20% 20% 20% 40 Australian Business Messaging
Business
Messaging
Market Size
• Biased by bottom-up
CPaaS-focused build,
missing lots of ‘traditional’
telco related A2P revenues.
• Similar CAGR BM = 31%,
CPaaS CAGR = 29%.
• Not trying to be complete
on A2P – focus is API related
(but its all converging).
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Business Messaging
BM Focused Total inc CPaaS
Wholesale
versus
Enterprise
• Similarly, wholesale versus
enterprise misses some of the
traditional A2P revenues.
• Enterprise includes web
companies and ‘aaS providers
(UCaaS / CCaaS)
• Enterprise CAGR 35%,
Wholesale 22% (guarantee
traditional A2P growth is not
22%). Think of it as ‘API’
Wholesale.
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Wholesale versus Enterprise Messaging
Wholesale Enterprise (inc web and aaS)
Employee Communications
UC, business telephony, phone systems Messaging and collaboration
© Alan Quayle 2019
UC / Enterprise Phone System / Collaboration Market Sizing
• Bottom-up analysis is similar to top-down predictions, UC market is approx.
$33B in 2021!
• Dominated by voice traffic.
• Messaging is a small piece: alerts, notifications, and SMS comms from UC
client, <3%
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Enterprise Voice / UC / Collaboration
Total
Voice is BIG!
• It is in decline, about 2% pa.
• $300B in mobile (4T min in US alone, CTIA)
• $100B in international voice (400B min)
• $200B in fixed / VoIP
• UK are still talking 25 min per day (source OFCOM)
• There’s a subtle shift: making it easy to create voice calls
from anywhere (voice API)
• Zoom Phone API
• Zoom Conference API
• 1 min = 1c (retail) = 75kB of data = 0.04c (wholesale)
• BIG well understood market with 96% margin!
Customer Communications Market Sizing
• Bottom-up analysis close to top-down predictions, CC market is approx. $18B in 2021 with a
CAGR of 20+%!
• Voice API NOT voice interconnect (wholesale), still $5B by 2024 (includes Twilio Flex)
• Messaging covers mobile marketing, omnichannel, notifications / alerts, chat, not bot
charges or related AI VAS charges. $2B by 2024.
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Customer Communications
Total Voice API Messaging API
TAM $18B includes legacy
CCaaS Landscape
Large (>$500M)
TAM $10B
Emerging
TAM TBD
Medium ($100M-$500M)
TAM $6B
Small ($10M-$100M)
TAM $2B
Wholesale / Interconnect
Telcos…..
CPaaS
UCaaS (TAM $33B includes legacy)
UCaaS Landscape (AKA Virtual PBX)
Large (>$500M)
TAM $15B
Emerging
TAM TBD
Medium ($100M-$500M)
TAM $13B
Small ($5M-$100M)
TAM $5B
Wholesale / Interconnect
Telcos…..
CPaaS
Key Points
• In 2021 across the main programmable communication categories,
total revenue is $75B+
• UCaaS ($33B), 5%
• CCaaS ($18B), 20%
• CPaaS ($11B), 36%
• Business Messaging ($6B), 30%
• Identity verification ($4B with TAM of $25B - $55B as its all about customer
experience), 60%+
• Automation tech ($6B with TAM of $30B), 60%+
• Twilio (and many others) do programmable communications
• CPaaS (think atomic APIs), business messaging (SMS, IP, email), aggregation,
authentication, SIP trunking, CCaaS, automation tech, IoT, and much more…
• Doing telecoms/communications in a web way is changing the
market now and into the future, different trajectory to telcos
TADSummit 2022 November, Aveiro

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TADSummit 2021, Landscape, Market Sizing, and Growth

  • 1. Programmable Comms Review Alan Quayle, independent
  • 2. Landscape, Market Sizing, and Growth Trends and Strategy 2020 and 2021 Review
  • 4. CPaaS Communication Enabling Software and Platforms / Open Source Projects Business Messaging In-App Communications Employee Communications. Unified Comms, business telephony, phone systems, messaging, collaboration Enterprise Channel (Gamma, WWT, Verizon, AT&T, etc) Customer Communications. Contact center, messaging, trust, .. Automation Technologies (bots, speech rec, analytics, workflow management, knowledge management, conversational interfaces, marketing automation) © Alan Quayle 2021 Programmable Comms Market (CXTech)
  • 6. CPaaS – those that identify as + do more than SMS © Alan Quayle 2021
  • 7. Bottom-up Build of Market Size Public CPaaS 2018 Revenue 2019 Growth2020 Growth2021 Growth2022 Growth Employees Simple Description 2600Hz / Kazoo 10 30% 30% 25% 25% 40 Refocused on CPaaS / UCaaS enabler with Kazoo 46elks 8 25% 25% 20% 20% 8 Swedish CPaaS Aculab 25 25% 25% 20% 20% 80 Long established enterprise comms provider AeriaLink 5 45% 45% 40% 40% 20 Landline messaging Amazon 180 75% 70% 65% 60% 145 Simple Notifiction Service, MFA, resell of Twilio Voice (but likely to roll its oen in time), plus voice services like Poly and Chime Apeiron (bought 2019 Konatel) 2 40% 40% 35% 35% 3 Couple of years old cpaas, based in CA Apifonica (Dzinga) 10 35% 35% 35% 35% 25 European CPaaS - focused on services aql 20 35% 35% 35% 35% 80 Long established wholesale telecoms provider babl.biz 10 35% 35% 35% 35% 20 UK-based CPaaS Bandwidth 165 30% 40% 35% 32% 400 NAR-focused voice/messaging API (911 focus) BrightLink 20 40% 40% 35% 32% 30 Cloud based PBX / CPaaS Callfire 25 40% 40% 35% 35% 90 Voice/SMS customer comms Callr 5 35% 35% 35% 35% 8 Paris-based CPaaS since 2010 Cequens 45 35% 35% 35% 35% 125 MEA focus Cloudonix 1 100% 80% 70% 60% Cloud based Asterisk platform CM 25 20% 20% 15% 15% 100 Dutch Business Messaging / CPaaS CYDNE 15 35% 35% 30% 30% 80 Notification services (voice and messaging) Exotel 15 35% 35% 35% 35% 120 India based CPaaS Flowroute (West) 15 35% 35% 35% 30% 50 NAR-focused SIP Trunking provider FoneDynamics 5 25% 25% 25% 25% 20 Australian CPaaS bought by Uniti Wireless hoiio 25 65% 65% 60% 55% 45 Singapore based CPaaS - expanding in Asia Infobip 400 10% 10% 10% 10% 1800 Original A2P SMS provider, based in Crotia Intelepeer 170 25% 25% 25% 25% 240 CPaaS products complementary to UC/CC solutions, channel sales model, expanding internationally Pre-pandemic 2020 Growth was estimated to be 30%, but post- pandemic estimate is 40% (Q1 31%, Q2 40%, Q3 43%, Q4 45%) – Zoom US DID provision (Colt and BICS cover international), Voxbone is still recorded separately in this sheet.
  • 8. • All depends on your customers mix • Web companies with role in ecommerce / WFH – massive acceleration in revenue • Traditional retail / travel verticals (20-80% decline in revenues) • But, web companies in travel, e.g. Airbnb have maintained CPaaS traffic as people are still travelling (see next slide) and increased chat around bookings • General businesses have weathered pandemic with 10-20% decline • Twilio, Zoom, and a few others in the 100+% growth are more the exceptions • 5% have 30% increase on pre-pandemic estimates • 30% have 10% increase • 45% are unchanged • 20% have 10% decrease Impact of Pandemic on CPaaS / Messaging: Mixed
  • 9. US Travel Data: 45% of 2019 in Dec/Jan (7 day moving average)
  • 12. 80% of 2019 – Gap is Mostly International Visitors 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 1/1/21 1/8/21 1/15/21 1/22/21 1/29/21 2/5/21 2/12/21 2/19/21 2/26/21 3/5/21 3/12/21 3/19/21 3/26/21 4/2/21 4/9/21 4/16/21 4/23/21 4/30/21 5/7/21 5/14/21 5/21/21 5/28/21 6/4/21 6/11/21 6/18/21 6/25/21 7/2/21 7/9/21 7/16/21 7/23/21 7/30/21 8/6/21 8/13/21 8/20/21 8/27/21 9/3/21 9/10/21 9/17/21 9/24/21 10/1/21 10/8/21 10/15/21 10/22/21 TSA US TRAVEL NUMBERS 2021 Traveler Throughput 2020 Traveler Throughput 2019 Traveler Throughput 7 per. Mov. Avg. (2021 Traveler Throughput) 7 per. Mov. Avg. (2019 Traveler Throughput)
  • 13. CPaaS Market Sizing • Wait a minute! • Twilio achieved 132% QonQ revenue growth in July 2020 • Zoom had 355% QonQ growth in August 2020 • Exceptions do not make a market. Overall, 2020 results have been mixed. 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 USD Millions Public CPaaS Revenues SIP Trunking Core API Business Messaging Authenitcation IoT CCaaS UCaaS Total
  • 14. CPaaS Market CAGR • Core API has peak CAGR in 2020/2021 of 35% • Growth acceleration in 2021+ from UCaaS, CCaaS, Authentication as focus moves to solutions not atomic APIs • Significant substitution of telco revenues (SIP trunking, enterprise telephony) + market expansion 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 USD Millions Public CPaaS Revenues SIP Trunking Core API Business Messaging Authenitcation IoT CCaaS UCaaS Total
  • 15. CPaaS Market Company HQ • Web companies drive global volumes – one account global reach • US presence is important for growth – even though traffic is in EMEA or Asia, revenue ‘flows’ through US decisions 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Revenue Distrubtion by Company HQ Americas EMEA Asia
  • 16. © Alan Quayle 2020 Business Messaging – SMS Focused
  • 17. Bottom-up Build of Market Size Business Messaging Partial list, there's 100+ more, many geographically focused on regions / cities 3C Interactive (IMIMobile) 24 35% 35% 35% 35% 100 SMS shortcode business messaging ActiveCampaign 100 25% 25% 25% 25% 375 Email marketing, expanded into business messaging and automation AirMovil 5 45% 45% 45% 45% 15 Mexico based, business messaging projects aldeamo 12 35% 35% 35% 35% 50 Latim America based business messaging / aggregation Avidmobile 8 15% 15% 15% 15% 10 Business messaging with reseller model avochato 4 65% 65% 65% 65% 18 Business messaging for CRM platforms Callloop 4 5 Business messaging and calling, not sure of current status Clickatel 60 20% 20% 20% 20% 140 Business Messaging (less CPaaS focus) Clicksend 5 50% 50% 50% 50% 18 Oz based aggregator for business messaging ComAPI 18 25% 25% 25% 25% 45 UK based business messaging aggregator - bought 2017 by dotdigital (adding services beyong aggregation) Digital Media Interactive (Parateum) 5 25% 25% 25% 25% 20 Aggregator for business messaging enageSPARK 3 20% 20% 20% 20% 12 Philippines based business communications workflows EZTexting 25 35% 35% 35% 35% 110 US based business messaging gupshup 50 50% 50% 50% 50% 120 India based business messaging raised 40+M HeyWire (SFDC) 55 30% 30% 30% 30% 100 Business Messaging within SFDC Hustle 20 25% 25% 25% 25% 80 US based business messaging focused on p2p comms IMIMobile 170 30% 30% 25% 25% 2000 India based technology and business messaging provider ImpactMobile 10 20% 20% 20% 20% 20 Business messaging, based in Canada, division of IMIMobile Lime Cellular 25 35% 35% 35% 35% 45 Business messaging reseller / provider MacroKiosk 30 25% 25% 25% 25% 60 KL based enterprise messaging / payments Mediaburst / ClockworkSMS 20 45% 45% 45% 45% 15 Manchester based SMS API / Aggregator MessageMedia 8 20% 20% 20% 20% 40 Australian Business Messaging
  • 18. Business Messaging Market Size • Biased by bottom-up CPaaS-focused build, missing lots of ‘traditional’ telco related A2P revenues. • Similar CAGR BM = 31%, CPaaS CAGR = 29%. • Not trying to be complete on A2P – focus is API related (but its all converging). 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Business Messaging BM Focused Total inc CPaaS
  • 19. Wholesale versus Enterprise • Similarly, wholesale versus enterprise misses some of the traditional A2P revenues. • Enterprise includes web companies and ‘aaS providers (UCaaS / CCaaS) • Enterprise CAGR 35%, Wholesale 22% (guarantee traditional A2P growth is not 22%). Think of it as ‘API’ Wholesale. 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Wholesale versus Enterprise Messaging Wholesale Enterprise (inc web and aaS)
  • 20. Employee Communications UC, business telephony, phone systems Messaging and collaboration © Alan Quayle 2019
  • 21. UC / Enterprise Phone System / Collaboration Market Sizing • Bottom-up analysis is similar to top-down predictions, UC market is approx. $33B in 2021! • Dominated by voice traffic. • Messaging is a small piece: alerts, notifications, and SMS comms from UC client, <3% 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Enterprise Voice / UC / Collaboration Total
  • 22. Voice is BIG! • It is in decline, about 2% pa. • $300B in mobile (4T min in US alone, CTIA) • $100B in international voice (400B min) • $200B in fixed / VoIP • UK are still talking 25 min per day (source OFCOM) • There’s a subtle shift: making it easy to create voice calls from anywhere (voice API) • Zoom Phone API • Zoom Conference API • 1 min = 1c (retail) = 75kB of data = 0.04c (wholesale) • BIG well understood market with 96% margin!
  • 23. Customer Communications Market Sizing • Bottom-up analysis close to top-down predictions, CC market is approx. $18B in 2021 with a CAGR of 20+%! • Voice API NOT voice interconnect (wholesale), still $5B by 2024 (includes Twilio Flex) • Messaging covers mobile marketing, omnichannel, notifications / alerts, chat, not bot charges or related AI VAS charges. $2B by 2024. 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Customer Communications Total Voice API Messaging API
  • 24. TAM $18B includes legacy CCaaS Landscape Large (>$500M) TAM $10B Emerging TAM TBD Medium ($100M-$500M) TAM $6B Small ($10M-$100M) TAM $2B Wholesale / Interconnect Telcos….. CPaaS
  • 25. UCaaS (TAM $33B includes legacy) UCaaS Landscape (AKA Virtual PBX) Large (>$500M) TAM $15B Emerging TAM TBD Medium ($100M-$500M) TAM $13B Small ($5M-$100M) TAM $5B Wholesale / Interconnect Telcos….. CPaaS
  • 26. Key Points • In 2021 across the main programmable communication categories, total revenue is $75B+ • UCaaS ($33B), 5% • CCaaS ($18B), 20% • CPaaS ($11B), 36% • Business Messaging ($6B), 30% • Identity verification ($4B with TAM of $25B - $55B as its all about customer experience), 60%+ • Automation tech ($6B with TAM of $30B), 60%+ • Twilio (and many others) do programmable communications • CPaaS (think atomic APIs), business messaging (SMS, IP, email), aggregation, authentication, SIP trunking, CCaaS, automation tech, IoT, and much more… • Doing telecoms/communications in a web way is changing the market now and into the future, different trajectory to telcos