Georgiy Geletukha - Chairman of the Board of UABio, Director of SEC “BIOMASS”, Head of Department of ITTF NAS of Ukraine 15th International Conference "Biomass for Energy", September 24-25, 2019 Venue: Kyiv, Ukraine, Premier Palace Hotel

1. Struggle with Climate Change is a Key Objective of 100RE UA
Georgiy Geletukha, PhD
Board Member, PU 100RE UA
Head of the Board, Bioenergy Association of Ukraine

2. https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/full.html
The concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere has exceeded 415 ppm.
For the first time in the human history!
This has happened before, but then there were no humans on Earth.
2

3. The average annual temperature on Earth in 1880-2018
12 the warmest years:
2001-2006, 2011, 2012, 2013,
2016, 2017, 2018
http://berkeleyearth.org/2018-temperatures/ 3

4. Change in the average temperature for 140 years – NASA’s data
https://www.nasa.gov/press/2015/january/nasa-determines-2014-warmest-year-in-modern-record
4

5. Melting of Arctic glaciers
https://climate.nasa.gov/news/2510/see-how-arctic-sea-ice-is-losing-its-bulwark-against-warming-summers/ 5

6. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-end-of-the-everything-may-be-what-weve-been-needing/2019/05/07/902027ac-
7101-11e9-9f06-5fc2ee80027a_story.html?fbclid=IwAR09xjt5lqUxXh8_q1eBk1pWzuZNRmDUpBRMUm0ZIN0C7C2Z-
gjDAkcHSbk&noredirect=on&utm_term=.f6b40b9584e5
SOS to climate change
"Nothing in today’s headlines compares to the
catastrophic potential posed by climate change
and the decimating effects of careless
consumerism around the globe", - Kathleen
Parker, Pulitzer Prize holder, writes
commenting on the results of a recently
released UN report that discusses risks of an
extinction of 1/8 population of animals and
plants due to climate change.+35 C in the Arctic
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7. Scenarios of the temperature rise depending on CO2 emissions
7

8. From a speech by the UN Secretary General at the G7 Leaders Summit:
“The rapid melting of glaciers in Greenland, where 179 billion tons of ice melted only
in July, fires in Siberia, Alaska, Canada and the Amazon in June and July of this
year led to the release of tens of megatons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere”.
“Everything that happens is an
extreme climate situation. Today
it is much worse than in Paris (at
the time of the adoption of the
Paris climate agreement in 2015
- ed.). And scientific evidence
confirms this” - UN Secretary-
General Antoniu Guterres said.
https://www.forumdaily.com/en/chrezvychajnaya-klimaticheskaya-situaciya-v-oon-byut-trevogu/ 8
UN SECRETARY-GENERAL
DECLARED AN ENVIRONMENTAL
EMERGENCY

9. Schoolchildren from different countries hold mass demonstrations on
climate protection
9

10. International Monetary Fund on climate change
IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde: “There are two things to fight
against climate change
1. Remove any subsidies for energy from fossil fuels;
2. To introduce a carbon pricing scheme. The most effective mechanism
could be the introduction of a carbon tax”
IMF suggests to
implement a tax of
$70 dollars around
the globe for each
ton of carbon
dioxide emitted
10

11. In order to prevent the global temperature rise
above 2 °C relative to the pre-industrial period,
energy efficiency (40%) and renewable energy
sources (30%) will play a major role in the
reduction of CO2 emission by 2050.
World Energy Outlook Special Report “Energy and Climate Change”. OECD/IEA, 2015.
https://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/WEO2015SpecialReportonEnergyandClimateChange.pdf
International Energy Agency on climate change
11

12. Zoning of the territory of Ukraine
according to the annual climatic water
balance
According to the information of the Institute of Water Problems and Land Reclamation
Forecast for 2100Forecast for 2050

13. Forests are massively drying in Ukraine
Damage of forest plantations is at a critical point.
According to the State Forest Agency, as of 01.01.2019,
the total area of forest drying is 413 thousand hectares.
For comparison, on average about 2% of the forest area was damaged due to drying in 2009,
and already 5% in 2018.
According to ecologists, 6% is the critical limit of forest plantations damage.
http://dklg.kmu.gov.ua/forest/control/uk/publish/article?art_id=194269&cat_id=32888
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14. Potential flooding of southern regions of Ukraine
Data of the Environmental Initiative Center “Ecodia”.
The Study “Water is Near”:
https://ecoaction.org.ua/voda-blyzko-report.html
Flooded areas
increase of the sea level additionally by 0.91 m due to
storm surge (taking into account the vertical movements
of the Earth’s crust)
increase of the sea level by 0.82 m (taking into account
the vertical movements of the Earth’s crust)
14

15. 2030 – 40% emission reduction relative to 1990 level – NDC Ukraine’s goal
2050 – 70% emission reduction relative to 1990 level – according to the scenario of keeping
the temperature within 2 °C and proportional distribution of additional obligations between
countries (potential obligations of Ukraine under the Paris Agreement)
2070 – 100% emission reduction – 100 RE UA vision
СО2 emission in Ukraine in 1990-2016 (million t СО2eq/year)
and 100RE UA vision
889
375 370 342
297 321
533,4
266,7
0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1990 2000 2010 2014 2015 2016 2030 2050 2070
15

16. 0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070
ЗППЕ, млн. т н.е.
ВДЕ ЗППЕ
Енергостратегія 2035 Енергостратегія 2035
Нацплан
дій з ВДЕ
Паризька угода
10%
35%
65%
100%
7%
2017
90 82
96
70
2035
Енергетична
стратегія 2035
25%
Відмовавід вугілля
та атомної енергії
Енергоефективність
100% відновлюваного
тепла та електроенергії
Відновлювані
джерела
Викопні
палива
Concept of Ukraine’s transition to 100% RES (vision of 100 RE UA)
TPES – total primary energy supply
16
TPES, million toe
Fossil
fuels
TPES
Energy strategy 2035Energy strategy 2035
RES
Energy efficiency
Switching from coal
and nuclear energy
100% renewable heat
and electricity
Renewable
sources
Energy strategy
2035National
action plan on
RES
Paris Agreement

17. Thank you for your attention!
Geletukha G.G.
tel./fax: 044 332 9140
E-mail: geletukha@uabio.org
www.100RE.org.ua
Everything will be RE! 17