Solar in Minnesota:Great PromiseJohn FarrellInstitute for Local Self-ReliancePresentation to Solar MinnesotaMinneapolis| April 25, 2011
@ the Institute for Local Self-Reliance Who We AreCommunity Banking InitiativeEnergy Self-Reliant States
OverviewState of Solar in MinnesotaOpportunities for Cost ReductionsThe Value of SolarPolicy Matters
A Small but Growing MarketInstalled Capacity: 4 MWInstalled in 2010: 1.8 MW – 45%Photo credit: CERTs
Minnesota Solar = Expensive?From page 19 of the brilliant report,Tracking the Sun III: The Installed Cost of Photovoltaics in the U.S. from 1998-2009 (large pdf).
Cost of Solar != Market SizeSolar PV Costs - Does State Market Size Matter? | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/4ypjblp
Opportunities for Cost Reductions40% PRICE DROP!4 yearsGerman solar market 2006 -> 2010 grew from 2.7 GW -> 16 GW
Opportunities for Cost Reductions$4.11 per Watt!German solar market 2006 -> 2010 grew from 2.7 GW -> 16 GW
Opportunities for Cost Reductions$ per Watt$5.09$4.67$5.65$5.50$5.20$5.50$5.39$5.70$4.78$4.80Installed Cost for Residential Solar PV Group Purchase
Opportunities for Cost Reductions60% drop in PV cost5 yearsSolar PV Balance of System | Rocky Mountain Institute - http://tinyurl.com/3dazuo8
The Value of Distributed SolarDistributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
The Value of Distributed SolarDistributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
The Value of SolarDistributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
The Value of SolarSolving Solar's Variability with More Solar | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/65b5nyh
RPS Policies with Solar/DG Provisionswww.dsireusa.org/ April 2011WA: double credit for DGNH: 0.3% solar-     electric x 2014OR: 20 MW solar PV x 2020;double credit for PVMI: triple credit for solar-   electric   MA: 400 MW PV x 2020 NY: 0.4788% customer-          sited x 2015 OH: 0.5% solar-electric x 2025 NJ: 5,316 GWh solar-         electric x 2026 NV: 1.5% solar x 2025;2.4 - 2.45 multiplier for PVCO: 3.0% DG x 20201.5% customer-sited x 2020 IL: 1.5% PVx 2025PA: 0.5% PV x 2021WV: various multipliers UT: 2.4 multiplierfor solar-electric DE: 3.5% PV x 2026; triple credit for PVDCMO: 0.3% solar-electric x 2021 NC: 0.2% solarx 2018AZ: 4.5% DG x 2025 MD: 2% PV x 2022DC: 0.4% solar x 2020NM: 4% solar-electric x 2020 0.6% DG x 2020TX: double credit for non-wind(non-wind goal: 500 MW)16 states + DC have an RPS with solar/DG provisionsRenewable portfolio standard with solar / distributed generation (DG) provisionRenewable portfolio goal with solar / distributed generation provisionSolar water heating counts toward solar provisionPolicy Matters: State Laws
Policy Matters: State Laws
Policy Matters: Local RulesPoor Solar Permitting Rules Increase Residential Solar Prices by Up To 20 Percent | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5ts5b2k
Policy Matters: Local RulesPoor Solar Permitting Rules Increase Residential Solar Prices by Up To 20 Percent | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5ts5b2k
Policy Matters: Local RulesAssessment of Mpls-St. Paul permitting:Permit pricing is about 2x higher than ideal…  ~$500 in Minneapolis and ~$800 in St Paul…Minneapolis has a terrific submittal guidelines …St. Paul does not.  [Minneapolis] clearly states their expectations: I.E what you need to submit to succeed and obtain a permit.
Policy MattersOntario's Buy Local Renewable Energy Policy: An Update | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3o4th8d
Policy MattersSolar Could Save Minnesota Schools Millions | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5sv8ond
SummaryMinnesota’s small market has high costsPromising cost reduction potentialPolicy neededState standardCLEAN Contract (feed-in tariff)Local permittingSolar is Contagious | Energy Self-Reliant States- http://tinyurl.com/444c2og
Solar is Contagious1%Solar is Contagious | Energy Self-Reliant States- http://tinyurl.com/444c2og
Thank you!John Farrellenergyselfreliantstates.orgjfarrell@ilsr.orghttp://twitter.com/johnffarrell

Solar in Minnesota: Great Potential

  • 1.
    Solar in Minnesota:GreatPromiseJohn FarrellInstitute for Local Self-ReliancePresentation to Solar MinnesotaMinneapolis| April 25, 2011
  • 2.
    @ the Institutefor Local Self-Reliance Who We AreCommunity Banking InitiativeEnergy Self-Reliant States
  • 3.
    OverviewState of Solarin MinnesotaOpportunities for Cost ReductionsThe Value of SolarPolicy Matters
  • 4.
    A Small butGrowing MarketInstalled Capacity: 4 MWInstalled in 2010: 1.8 MW – 45%Photo credit: CERTs
  • 5.
    Minnesota Solar =Expensive?From page 19 of the brilliant report,Tracking the Sun III: The Installed Cost of Photovoltaics in the U.S. from 1998-2009 (large pdf).
  • 6.
    Cost of Solar!= Market SizeSolar PV Costs - Does State Market Size Matter? | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/4ypjblp
  • 7.
    Opportunities for CostReductions40% PRICE DROP!4 yearsGerman solar market 2006 -> 2010 grew from 2.7 GW -> 16 GW
  • 8.
    Opportunities for CostReductions$4.11 per Watt!German solar market 2006 -> 2010 grew from 2.7 GW -> 16 GW
  • 9.
    Opportunities for CostReductions$ per Watt$5.09$4.67$5.65$5.50$5.20$5.50$5.39$5.70$4.78$4.80Installed Cost for Residential Solar PV Group Purchase
  • 10.
    Opportunities for CostReductions60% drop in PV cost5 yearsSolar PV Balance of System | Rocky Mountain Institute - http://tinyurl.com/3dazuo8
  • 11.
    The Value ofDistributed SolarDistributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
  • 12.
    The Value ofDistributed SolarDistributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
  • 13.
    The Value ofSolarDistributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
  • 14.
    The Value ofSolarSolving Solar's Variability with More Solar | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/65b5nyh
  • 15.
    RPS Policies withSolar/DG Provisionswww.dsireusa.org/ April 2011WA: double credit for DGNH: 0.3% solar- electric x 2014OR: 20 MW solar PV x 2020;double credit for PVMI: triple credit for solar- electric MA: 400 MW PV x 2020 NY: 0.4788% customer- sited x 2015 OH: 0.5% solar-electric x 2025 NJ: 5,316 GWh solar- electric x 2026 NV: 1.5% solar x 2025;2.4 - 2.45 multiplier for PVCO: 3.0% DG x 20201.5% customer-sited x 2020 IL: 1.5% PVx 2025PA: 0.5% PV x 2021WV: various multipliers UT: 2.4 multiplierfor solar-electric DE: 3.5% PV x 2026; triple credit for PVDCMO: 0.3% solar-electric x 2021 NC: 0.2% solarx 2018AZ: 4.5% DG x 2025 MD: 2% PV x 2022DC: 0.4% solar x 2020NM: 4% solar-electric x 2020 0.6% DG x 2020TX: double credit for non-wind(non-wind goal: 500 MW)16 states + DC have an RPS with solar/DG provisionsRenewable portfolio standard with solar / distributed generation (DG) provisionRenewable portfolio goal with solar / distributed generation provisionSolar water heating counts toward solar provisionPolicy Matters: State Laws
  • 16.
  • 17.
    Policy Matters: LocalRulesPoor Solar Permitting Rules Increase Residential Solar Prices by Up To 20 Percent | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5ts5b2k
  • 18.
    Policy Matters: LocalRulesPoor Solar Permitting Rules Increase Residential Solar Prices by Up To 20 Percent | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5ts5b2k
  • 19.
    Policy Matters: LocalRulesAssessment of Mpls-St. Paul permitting:Permit pricing is about 2x higher than ideal… ~$500 in Minneapolis and ~$800 in St Paul…Minneapolis has a terrific submittal guidelines …St. Paul does not. [Minneapolis] clearly states their expectations: I.E what you need to submit to succeed and obtain a permit.
  • 20.
    Policy MattersOntario's BuyLocal Renewable Energy Policy: An Update | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3o4th8d
  • 21.
    Policy MattersSolar CouldSave Minnesota Schools Millions | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5sv8ond
  • 22.
    SummaryMinnesota’s small markethas high costsPromising cost reduction potentialPolicy neededState standardCLEAN Contract (feed-in tariff)Local permittingSolar is Contagious | Energy Self-Reliant States- http://tinyurl.com/444c2og
  • 23.
    Solar is Contagious1%Solaris Contagious | Energy Self-Reliant States- http://tinyurl.com/444c2og
  • 24.