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In 2011 MAPC released The State of Equity in Metro Boston, an inventory of cross-
sectoral indicators that measured inequity in the region through the various stages
of life, from birth to old age. That report sparked a robust public conversation
about this critical topic and informed collaborative regional efforts to address
the disparities that were documented. Now—in 2017—this report updates those
measures, where possible, and provides new indicators to give a more current
picture of disparities and opportunity.
The update shows that in recent years the region has made some progress in
closing critical gaps, especially those facing the region’s youngest residents,
though large disparities remain. Children of color are born healthier and are seeing
better educational outcomes than they did just five years ago. Gaps in test scores,
exclusionary discipline, graduation rates, college attendance, and incarceration
rates are decreasing. Yet, for many indicators, little progress has been made in
closing gaps: people of color (both children and adults, particularly Black and
Latino) are disproportionately affected by asthma, diabetes, hypertension, and
other health burdens; labor force participation rates are falling for workers
without a college degree; and unemployment rates are substantially higher
for workers with disabilities, and for those who are Black and Latino. Some of
these key findings are summarized in this document, with full details, data, and
citations available in the online report at www.regionalindicators.org.
It is also abundantly clear that the conditions which contribute to inequity are
persisting or becoming more severe: discrimination, whether overt or systemic,
continues to limit opportunity for some residents; income and wealth disparity
is increasing, dimming the prospects for upward mobility; and residential
segregation, especially segregation by income, is becoming more severe,
contributing to intergenerational poverty. To make progress, the region must act
with even more urgency to address the observed health, educational, economic,
and quality of life disparities documented here. If we hope to achieve these
changes, the region must also tackle income inequality and segregation through
economic, housing, and land use policies.
www.regionalindicators.org
METRO BOSTON REGIONAL INDICATORS
STATE OF EQUITY
2017 UPDATE
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE
2 | regionalindicators.org
Acknowlegements
Authors | Genea Foster, Kate Ito, Jessie Partridge, Tim Reardon
Contributors | Andres Achury, Susan Brunton, Matt Gardner, Cortni Kerr, Sarah Philbrick, Andrea Wang
Director of Data Services | Tim Reardon
Director of Strategic Initiatives | Eric Hove
Director of Public Health | Barry Keppard
Executive Director of MAPC | Marc Draisen
Funded by the Barr Foundation
Advisory Group | Mariana Arcaya, MIT Department of Urban Studies and Planning; David Harris, Harvard Law
School Charles Hamilton Houston Institute for Racial Justice; Lisa Jacobson, Barr Foundation; Kim Janey,
Massachusetts Advocates for Children; Richard Juang, Alternatives for Community and Environment; Penn Loh,
Tufts University Urban and Environmental Policy and Planning; Chris Mancini, Groundwork Somerville; Marvin
Martin, Action for Regional Equity; Nancy McArdle, diversitydata.org at Brandeis Institute for Child, Youth and
Family Policy; Elizabeth Pimentel, City of Boston; Rebecca Shuster, Boston Public Schools; Stacy Thompson,
Livable Streets Alliance; Courtland Townes III, Boston Center for Independent Living; W. W. Sanouri Ursprung,
Massachusetts Department of Public Health; Anise Vance and Luc Schuster, The Boston Indicators Project at
the Boston Foundation
February 2017
2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE
3 | regionalindicators.org
MAPC’s regional plan MetroFuture: Making a Greater Boston Region envisions a
sustainable, prosperous, and equitable future for the region. In this vision, equity
means that every person has a shot at growing up healthy, receiving a quality
education, finding employment that ensures a good quality of life, and enjoying
a comfortable retirement. An equitable region is free from discrimination that
marginalizes residents based on race, gender identity, religion, disability, nationality,
immigration status, sexual orientation, and age, preventing fair access to resources
and opportunities.
Achieving equity means eliminating disparities that harm certain groups and not
others, in ways that are unfair, preventable, systematic, and grounded in social,
political, and historical factors. It also requires acknowledging and addressing the
structural dimensions of racism, discrimination, and prejudice in public policy that
limit opportunities for residents and their families.
The results of inequity are profound, and their impacts are not confined to those
individuals and communities that experience them. Inequity affects individuals at
each stage of life, from birth to death. Individuals affected by inequity experience
health problems, have lower educational attainment rates, are less likely to
participate in the labor force, are subject to increased risk of violence, and may have
a lower quality of life after retirement. Inequity affects all the region’s communities:
health disparities can contribute to rising health care costs; economic growth is
hampered by skilled labor shortages; and municipalities struggle with the cost of
providing social services to areas of concentrated poverty. There is abundant evidence
that equitable regions are more economically competitive, fiscally sound, and socially
connected than those with high levels of inequality.
This indicators report seeks to quantify the many dimensions and forms of inequity
so that the region can track its progress toward a more equitable future. These
findings will also inform an update to MAPC’s Equity Policy Agenda, produced after
the 2011 report. Action on this policy agenda is needed now more than ever. As Metro
Boston becomes increasingly diverse, it essential for us to address the inequities
negatively affecting a growing share of the population, and to do so immediately and
in a determined manner. As the federal government appears poised to roll back many
of the pro-equity policies advanced by the Obama Administration and its predecessors
—both Republican and Democrat—MAPC and its partners must work even harder to
ensure an equitable and prosperous future for all of the people who live or work in
Metro Boston.
An equitable region is one in which all residents
have opportunities to reach their full potential
2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE
4 | regionalindicators.org
Metro Boston is becoming more
diverse. In 1980, the region’s
population was 8% people of
color; by 2010, that figure had
grown to 25%. MAPC projects
that by 2040 the region will be at
least 40% people of color. Latinos
are the largest and fastest-
growing non-White demographic
group in the re gion, now
composing 9% of the total
population. Immigrants are an
important driver of the region’s
population growth; without
international immigrants,
Metro Boston would have lost
population—and workers—
between 2000 and 2010. The
origins of immigrants are also
changing in the past few years,
with more people moving here
from Asia and Africa, and fewer
from Europe.
Even as it grows more diverse,
the region remains racially
and economically segregated.
The Dissimilarity Index, which
measures the extent to which
two groups are similarly
distributed across the region,
has shown decreasing Black-
White segregation since 1980.
However, the Dissimilarity
Index for Latinos and Whites is
now higher than it was in 1990,
indicating a greater degree of
segregation between the two
groups, despite rapid growth
in the Latino population. Black
and Latino residents make up
7% and 9% of the region’s
population, respectively, but the
average White resident lives in
a neighborhood where only 4%
of her or his neighbors are Black
and only 6% of the neighbors
are Latino. The average Black
resident lives in a neighborhood
where 43% of her or his
neighbors are White.
Racial segregation cannot be
attributed only to differences
in income. Regardless of their
income, people of color live in
less-affluent neighborhoods
than white households with
comparable earnings. Imagine
two households—one White,
one Black, both earning $78,000
per year. The odds are that
the White household lives in
a neighborhood where the
median household income of its
neighbors is $72,000. Meanwhile,
the Black household is likely to
live in a neighborhood where the
median income is just $51,000.
This disparity has increased
substantially since 2000. Similar
disparities are observed for
Latinos and Asians, though
the disparities are smaller for
those demographic groups and
decline at higher income levels.
These findings indicate that
even middle class children of
color are likely to live in high-
poverty neighborhoods that may
have negative and long-lasting
impacts on health, education, and
income.
Meanwhile, other measures
of economic segregation
demonstrate that the region’s
poorest households are becoming
increasingly concentrated into
low-income neighborhoods
with little income diversity. This
suggests that more work needs to
be done to revitalize low income
communities while opening up
opportunity in more affluent
areas.
Neighborhood Median Income by Household Income and Race/Ethnicity
2010-14, Boston-Quincy Metropolitan Division
FIGURE 1. Data source: Stanford Center for Education Policy Analysis
Metro Boston is becoming more diverse, but more
economically segregated
2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE
5 | regionalindicators.org
One of the most startling
findings of the 2011 State of
Equity report pertained to low
birth weight, which can affect
a child’s outcomes in life even
before she is born. Low birth
weight (less than 5.5 pounds)
increases risks of infant health
problems and infant mortality,
and has been associated with
educational and developmental
delays and adult health problems.
Research has shown that social
and environmental conditions
increase the risk of having a low
birth weight baby, regardless
of a mother’s individual risk
factors. In 2011, we found that
racial disparities in low birth
weight eclipsed the differences
attributable to education level. In
fact, based on 2005 – 2009 data,
a college-educated Black woman
was more likely to have a low
birth weight baby than a White
woman without a high school
diploma.
More recent data shows that
disparities in low birth weight
are declining. The most recent
data (2010 – 2014) indicate that
the rate of low-weight births
declined for Black mothers at
all education levels. During the
same period, the rate of low birth
weight for White mothers without
a college degree increased. So
while the disparities between
Blacks and Whites at all education
levels are now substantially
smaller than they were ten years
ago, the reasons behind the lower
disparity are not entirely positive.
Not all the news is good for
youth health outcomes, either.
In particular, youth asthma
hospitalizations increased by
more than 10% over a 5-year
period. Increases were seen for
all race and ethnic groups, and
the disparity increased between
White youths and youths of color.
Asthma hospitalization rates for
Black youth are now 2.7 times
higher than the regional average,
and climbing. While the rates for
Latino youth are still closer to the
regional average, they increased
22% in 5 years. Since asthma
hospitalizations affect children’s
time in school and a host of
other outcomes, it is imperative
to address the environmental
conditions that cause asthma
and trigger attacks, and to help
parents take steps to manage
their child’s asthma to avoid
hospitalization.
Children’s health is improving, but disparities continue to
limit long-term outcomes for many
Low Birth Weight by Mother’s Race/Ethnicity and Education
2005-09 and 2010-14, MAPC Region
FIGURE 2. Data source: Massachusetts Department of Public Health
2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE
6 | regionalindicators.org
The 2011 State of Equity report
documented well-known
but troubling disparities in
educational achievement by race,
ethnicity, language, disability
and income. Standardized
test performance improved
across almost all demographic
categories between 2009 and
2015, and the gains were largest
for Black and Latino students.
For the 10th Grade Math MCAS,
the percent of Black and Latino
students scoring Advanced or
Proficient grew by 9 percentage
points and 7 percentage points,
respectively, and the gap in
scores between these groups and
White students dropped by 5
points and 3 points. These groups
also saw even larger increases
in their four-year graduation
rates, and the gap in graduation
rate with Whites fell by one
quarter. Smaller gains in test
scores and graduation rates were
also observed for students with
disabilities, low-income students,
and English language learners.
While standardized tests and
graduation rates are certainly not
the only, or perhaps even the best
indicators of educational quality
and attainment, these trends are
positive nonetheless.
Part of the reason for these
improvements may be associated
with changes in how students
are disciplined in school. Overly
strict disciplinary policies, which
disproportionately affect students
of color, low-income students,
and special education students,
may be counterproductive by
reducing classroom time and
actually contributing to increased
vulnerability to imprisonment.
New school discipline policies,
prompted in part by a 2012
law promoting alternatives to
exclusionary discipline, have
substantially reduced the rates
of suspensions. Out of school
suspensions are becoming less
common, and less disparately
applied. Suspension rates in
schools with more than 50%
students of color are half of
what they were in 2006 – 2007,
though they still remain twice as
high as the average for all schools
in the region. Continuing to find
alternative ways to discipline
students while keeping them
engaged in school is critical
if the region is going to close
achievement and graduation
gaps.
Students of all backgrounds are benefitting from educational
improvements, but gaps remain
10th Grade Math MCAS Scores of Advanced or Proficient
2008-09 and 2013-14, MAPC Region
FIGURE 3. Data source: Massachusetts Department of Elementary and
Secondary Education
Out-of School Suspensions
2005-06 through 2015-16, MAPC Region
FIGURE 4. Data source: Massachusetts Department of
Elementary and Secondary Education
2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE
7 | regionalindicators.org
Some of the most troubling
trends related to economic
mobility have worsened over
recent years in Metro Boston.
If inequity often breaks across
economic and racial lines, the
underlying disparities in earnings
and wealth are widening. The
most recent earnings data
show that income polarization
is increasing, and that this
polarization disproportionately
affects Black and Latino
residents. The average income
for the highest-earning fifth
of households ($272,500) is 18
times higher than average income
for the lowest-income fifth of
households ($14,900). That ratio
has increased by two points since
2006, indicating greater disparity
between the earnings of high-
and low-income households. The
highest-income fifth now earns
13% more than in 2006, while
real dollar income of lowest-
income fifth is 1% less than it was
ten years ago.
This can be attributed in part to
wage polarization and the decline
of the middle class. Even as the
total number of jobs and working
households grew, the absolute
number of middle-income
households fell by 2%, and the
share of working households
considered middle-income
declined from 33% of the total to
only 26%.
By concentrating earnings and
the benefits of economic growth
into a smaller number of people,
growing income inequality limits
upward economic mobility,
making it less likely that children
in low income families will earn
more than their parents. This
reduction in income mobility
disproportionately affects Black
and Latino households, whose
median incomes are less than
half of median incomes for White
and Asian households. While
median incomes did not change
significantly for White, Asian,
and Latino households since
the last State of Equity report,
median income declined for Black
households, falling from $45,800
to $43,600.
MAPC’s 2011 report found that
even people of color who earn a
substantial income face continued
discrimination in choosing
where to live. In particular,
high-income applicants (those
earning more than $118,000 per
year) who are Black are more
than twice as likely to be denied
a mortgage than high-income
borrowers who are White. Similar
discrimination exists for Latino
and Native American applicants.
There has been some progress
in recent years: for high-income
Percent Change in Mean Household Income by Quintile, Compared to 2006 (adjusted to 2015 dollars)
Metro Boston MSA (MA-NH), 2006 through 2015
FIGURE 5. Data source: American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates
Income polarization and discrimination limit economic
mobility
2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE
8 | regionalindicators.org
Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity
2005-09 to 2010-14, Metro Boston MSA (MA)
FIGURE 6. Data source: American Community Survey 5-Year Estimate
Home Mortgage Denial Rate for High Income Applicants
2009 and 2015, MAPC Region
FIGURE 7. Data source: Home Mortgage Disclosure Act
Many residents are sidelined from the regional economy
Black applicants, the denial
rate dropped 4.7 percentage
points, and for high-income
Latino applicants the denial rate
dropped 3.3 percentage points.
However, the approval gap
remains high, and will require
strong and sustained efforts to
erase.
Disproportionate denial rates
are one contributing factor to
the widening homeownership
gap in the region. While
homeownership rates overall
have dropped slightly in the
last ten years, the declines have
been most substantial for Black
and Latino householders, whose
homeownership rates (32% and
25%, respectively) are less than
half of homeownership rates for
White householders (68%).
Metro Boston’s economy has
been growing robustly since
the Great Recession, and by the
end of 2016 the Metro Boston’s
official unemployment rate was
2.5%, according to the Bureau
of Labor Statistics (BLS). Some
observers have commented
that the state has reached “full
employment” and have expressed
concerns about labor shortages
that may occur in the coming
years as more Baby Boomers
retire. While this concern is real,
there is also abundant evidence
that the region is not making the
most of its resident population to
power the economy. Labor force
participation rates for people
with only a high school degree
are 12 percentage points lower
than the rates for those with a
bachelor’s degree, and trending
downward, suggesting that more
efforts are needed to provide the
additional education and training
that can “unlock” this potential
labor supply.
Despite the historically low
unemployment rate, several
other groups continue to
experience challenges in finding
employment. Unemployment
estimates collected by the U.S.
Census Bureau over the past five
years are not directly comparable
to the BLS statistics, but they
do show important disparities
across different groups.
According to those estimates, the
unemployment rate for people
with a disability is more than ten
percentage points higher than
for people without a disability.
The unemployment rate for
workers who are Black is nearly 7
percentage points higher than the
2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE
9 | regionalindicators.org
rate for workers who are White,
and the Latino rate is nearly 5
points higher.
Incarceration severely limits
job, housing, and educational
opportunities for former
inmates, and it costs the state
a tremendous amount. As of
January 1, 2016, there were
over 10,000 people in prison
in Massachusetts Department
of Corrections facilities, and
Black and Latino inmates are
severely over-represented in
the system. Although the state
population is 7% Black and 11%
Latino, the state’s DOC inmates
are 27% Black and 25% Latino.
Native Americans residents, as
of 2016, have the highest rate of
incarceration in the state’s prison
system. The number of inmates
statewide dropped by 12% from
2010 to 2016, and the disparities
in incarceration rate for residents
who are Black and Latino also
declined, albeit slowly. The
work to close these gaps needs
to continue, as does the work
to support released prisoners as
they reenter society.
Massachusetts Department of Corrections Jurisdiction Population as a Percent of Total
Population by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 through 2016
FIGURE 9. Data source: Massachusetts Department of Corrections Inmate Characteristics
by Race/Ethnicity
Unemployment Rate
2011-15, MAPC Region
FIGURE 8. Data source: American Community Survey 5-Year Estimate
As the Baby Boomer generation
ages, the region will experience
substantial growth in the senior
population, which may grow by
75% between 2010 and 2030.
As a result, it is increasingly
important to address the needs
of older adults and minimize
inequities in their senior years.
This is especially true since
people are living longer. Over a
five year period, the premature
mortality rate (the number of
deaths under the age of 75) in
the region decreased from 303
per 100,000 to 280 per 100,000
residents. Specifically, the above-
average premature mortality
rates for White and Black
residents declined, while rates
for Asian, Latino, and Native
American remained statistically
unchanged. Black residents
continue to have the highest
premature mortality rate (348 per
100,000.)
An increasing share of adults are
continuing to work past age 65.
The labor force participation rate
of older adults (ages 65 or older)
has been increasing steadily since
2009, after the Recession. It’s not
Metro Boston residents are living longer, but are facing
financial burdens in their later years
2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE
10 | regionalindicators.org
Conclusions
clear if this is due to preference
or necessity, but it is clear that
financial burdens for many older
adults, whether working or on
a fixed income, are substantial.
The poverty rate of older adults
is nearly 10%, statistically
unchanged from 2005-09,
but grandparents responsible
for their grandchildren have a
poverty rate of more than 15%,
double that of grandparents
not responsible for their
grandchildren.
Older adults are more housing
cost burdened (meaning that
they pay more than 30% of their
income on housing) than younger
adults. Nearly 60% of renter
households headed by an older
adult are cost burdened, and
more than a third of households
where the homeowner is an older
adult are cost burdened. These
renter and owner housing cost
burden rates are unchanged
since 2005-09, even though for
younger householders who own
their home, housing cost burden
has decreased by more than 5
percentage points. These figures
suggest that as the number of
fixed-income Baby Boomer
retirees grows substantially over
the coming decades, the region
may be facing a cost burden crisis
even greater than the one we
have today.
Premature Mortality Rate per 100,000
2003-07 and 2008-12, MAPC Region
FIGURE 10. Data source: Massachusetts Department of Public Health, MassCHIP
Cost Burden by Age for Renters and Owners
2011-15, Metro Boston MSA (MA)
FIGURE 11. Data source: American Community Survey
5-Year Estimate
The key findings presented
here (and the full set of
indicators available at www.
regionalindicators.org)
demonstrate that inequities
remain a significant and growing
problem in Metro Boston.
Due to concerted efforts and
leadership, some progress has
been made in closing gaps in
education, housing opportunity,
incarceration rates, and some
health indicators. Many of
these improvements followed
specific policy interventions
or investments made with the
explicit intention of reducing
inequities. These successes
demonstrate that by quantifying
the problem, identifying policy
solutions, and building broad
coalitions, real change can
happen – we can bend the trends.
Our findings also demonstrate
that the barriers to equity
continue to grow on many fronts,
and much more work is needed to
keep ahead of those challenges,
and ultimately eliminate them. In
particular, efforts in public health
2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE
11 | regionalindicators.org
and education will pay dividends
for decades to come by helping
more youth to grow up to become
healthy, skilled, and engaged
adults. The Commonwealth
and its municipalities must
continue momentum related to
disparate policing and prison
reform to reduce the number of
people caught up in the criminal
justice system. While income
inequality is a growing problem
nationally, there are many steps
that Massachusetts and Metro
Boston can take to address the
problem locally, through wage
regulations and more progressive
tax structures. Finally, the
persistent and problematic
racial and economic segregation
that contributes to many of the
inequities observed here must
be addressed through policies
designed to revitalize low-income
neighborhoods without displacing
the residents already there, while
also opening up high-opportunity
suburbs to a broader range of
people.
Despite the enormous challenges
facing Metro Boston, there is
cause for optimism. This region
is fortunate to be home to an
ecosystem of organizations
and individuals committed to
advancing equity. From leaders
on Beacon Hill and municipal
government to think tanks and
universities, to social justice
organization and community
development corporations,
thousands are engaged in this
effort. MAPC hopes that this
indicators report will provide our
allies with data-driven insights
into the progress made and the
challenges that remain. We will
use this report to help shape our
policy priorities and encourage
others to do the same. This
work is not easy, and it won’t
happen overnight, but together
we can make a Greater, and more
equitable, Boston Region.
To learn more about MetroFuture and MAPC’s project
work, visit projects.metrofuture.org.

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Soe 2017 update_executivesummary

  • 1. In 2011 MAPC released The State of Equity in Metro Boston, an inventory of cross- sectoral indicators that measured inequity in the region through the various stages of life, from birth to old age. That report sparked a robust public conversation about this critical topic and informed collaborative regional efforts to address the disparities that were documented. Now—in 2017—this report updates those measures, where possible, and provides new indicators to give a more current picture of disparities and opportunity. The update shows that in recent years the region has made some progress in closing critical gaps, especially those facing the region’s youngest residents, though large disparities remain. Children of color are born healthier and are seeing better educational outcomes than they did just five years ago. Gaps in test scores, exclusionary discipline, graduation rates, college attendance, and incarceration rates are decreasing. Yet, for many indicators, little progress has been made in closing gaps: people of color (both children and adults, particularly Black and Latino) are disproportionately affected by asthma, diabetes, hypertension, and other health burdens; labor force participation rates are falling for workers without a college degree; and unemployment rates are substantially higher for workers with disabilities, and for those who are Black and Latino. Some of these key findings are summarized in this document, with full details, data, and citations available in the online report at www.regionalindicators.org. It is also abundantly clear that the conditions which contribute to inequity are persisting or becoming more severe: discrimination, whether overt or systemic, continues to limit opportunity for some residents; income and wealth disparity is increasing, dimming the prospects for upward mobility; and residential segregation, especially segregation by income, is becoming more severe, contributing to intergenerational poverty. To make progress, the region must act with even more urgency to address the observed health, educational, economic, and quality of life disparities documented here. If we hope to achieve these changes, the region must also tackle income inequality and segregation through economic, housing, and land use policies. www.regionalindicators.org METRO BOSTON REGIONAL INDICATORS STATE OF EQUITY 2017 UPDATE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
  • 2. 2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE 2 | regionalindicators.org Acknowlegements Authors | Genea Foster, Kate Ito, Jessie Partridge, Tim Reardon Contributors | Andres Achury, Susan Brunton, Matt Gardner, Cortni Kerr, Sarah Philbrick, Andrea Wang Director of Data Services | Tim Reardon Director of Strategic Initiatives | Eric Hove Director of Public Health | Barry Keppard Executive Director of MAPC | Marc Draisen Funded by the Barr Foundation Advisory Group | Mariana Arcaya, MIT Department of Urban Studies and Planning; David Harris, Harvard Law School Charles Hamilton Houston Institute for Racial Justice; Lisa Jacobson, Barr Foundation; Kim Janey, Massachusetts Advocates for Children; Richard Juang, Alternatives for Community and Environment; Penn Loh, Tufts University Urban and Environmental Policy and Planning; Chris Mancini, Groundwork Somerville; Marvin Martin, Action for Regional Equity; Nancy McArdle, diversitydata.org at Brandeis Institute for Child, Youth and Family Policy; Elizabeth Pimentel, City of Boston; Rebecca Shuster, Boston Public Schools; Stacy Thompson, Livable Streets Alliance; Courtland Townes III, Boston Center for Independent Living; W. W. Sanouri Ursprung, Massachusetts Department of Public Health; Anise Vance and Luc Schuster, The Boston Indicators Project at the Boston Foundation February 2017
  • 3. 2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE 3 | regionalindicators.org MAPC’s regional plan MetroFuture: Making a Greater Boston Region envisions a sustainable, prosperous, and equitable future for the region. In this vision, equity means that every person has a shot at growing up healthy, receiving a quality education, finding employment that ensures a good quality of life, and enjoying a comfortable retirement. An equitable region is free from discrimination that marginalizes residents based on race, gender identity, religion, disability, nationality, immigration status, sexual orientation, and age, preventing fair access to resources and opportunities. Achieving equity means eliminating disparities that harm certain groups and not others, in ways that are unfair, preventable, systematic, and grounded in social, political, and historical factors. It also requires acknowledging and addressing the structural dimensions of racism, discrimination, and prejudice in public policy that limit opportunities for residents and their families. The results of inequity are profound, and their impacts are not confined to those individuals and communities that experience them. Inequity affects individuals at each stage of life, from birth to death. Individuals affected by inequity experience health problems, have lower educational attainment rates, are less likely to participate in the labor force, are subject to increased risk of violence, and may have a lower quality of life after retirement. Inequity affects all the region’s communities: health disparities can contribute to rising health care costs; economic growth is hampered by skilled labor shortages; and municipalities struggle with the cost of providing social services to areas of concentrated poverty. There is abundant evidence that equitable regions are more economically competitive, fiscally sound, and socially connected than those with high levels of inequality. This indicators report seeks to quantify the many dimensions and forms of inequity so that the region can track its progress toward a more equitable future. These findings will also inform an update to MAPC’s Equity Policy Agenda, produced after the 2011 report. Action on this policy agenda is needed now more than ever. As Metro Boston becomes increasingly diverse, it essential for us to address the inequities negatively affecting a growing share of the population, and to do so immediately and in a determined manner. As the federal government appears poised to roll back many of the pro-equity policies advanced by the Obama Administration and its predecessors —both Republican and Democrat—MAPC and its partners must work even harder to ensure an equitable and prosperous future for all of the people who live or work in Metro Boston. An equitable region is one in which all residents have opportunities to reach their full potential
  • 4. 2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE 4 | regionalindicators.org Metro Boston is becoming more diverse. In 1980, the region’s population was 8% people of color; by 2010, that figure had grown to 25%. MAPC projects that by 2040 the region will be at least 40% people of color. Latinos are the largest and fastest- growing non-White demographic group in the re gion, now composing 9% of the total population. Immigrants are an important driver of the region’s population growth; without international immigrants, Metro Boston would have lost population—and workers— between 2000 and 2010. The origins of immigrants are also changing in the past few years, with more people moving here from Asia and Africa, and fewer from Europe. Even as it grows more diverse, the region remains racially and economically segregated. The Dissimilarity Index, which measures the extent to which two groups are similarly distributed across the region, has shown decreasing Black- White segregation since 1980. However, the Dissimilarity Index for Latinos and Whites is now higher than it was in 1990, indicating a greater degree of segregation between the two groups, despite rapid growth in the Latino population. Black and Latino residents make up 7% and 9% of the region’s population, respectively, but the average White resident lives in a neighborhood where only 4% of her or his neighbors are Black and only 6% of the neighbors are Latino. The average Black resident lives in a neighborhood where 43% of her or his neighbors are White. Racial segregation cannot be attributed only to differences in income. Regardless of their income, people of color live in less-affluent neighborhoods than white households with comparable earnings. Imagine two households—one White, one Black, both earning $78,000 per year. The odds are that the White household lives in a neighborhood where the median household income of its neighbors is $72,000. Meanwhile, the Black household is likely to live in a neighborhood where the median income is just $51,000. This disparity has increased substantially since 2000. Similar disparities are observed for Latinos and Asians, though the disparities are smaller for those demographic groups and decline at higher income levels. These findings indicate that even middle class children of color are likely to live in high- poverty neighborhoods that may have negative and long-lasting impacts on health, education, and income. Meanwhile, other measures of economic segregation demonstrate that the region’s poorest households are becoming increasingly concentrated into low-income neighborhoods with little income diversity. This suggests that more work needs to be done to revitalize low income communities while opening up opportunity in more affluent areas. Neighborhood Median Income by Household Income and Race/Ethnicity 2010-14, Boston-Quincy Metropolitan Division FIGURE 1. Data source: Stanford Center for Education Policy Analysis Metro Boston is becoming more diverse, but more economically segregated
  • 5. 2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE 5 | regionalindicators.org One of the most startling findings of the 2011 State of Equity report pertained to low birth weight, which can affect a child’s outcomes in life even before she is born. Low birth weight (less than 5.5 pounds) increases risks of infant health problems and infant mortality, and has been associated with educational and developmental delays and adult health problems. Research has shown that social and environmental conditions increase the risk of having a low birth weight baby, regardless of a mother’s individual risk factors. In 2011, we found that racial disparities in low birth weight eclipsed the differences attributable to education level. In fact, based on 2005 – 2009 data, a college-educated Black woman was more likely to have a low birth weight baby than a White woman without a high school diploma. More recent data shows that disparities in low birth weight are declining. The most recent data (2010 – 2014) indicate that the rate of low-weight births declined for Black mothers at all education levels. During the same period, the rate of low birth weight for White mothers without a college degree increased. So while the disparities between Blacks and Whites at all education levels are now substantially smaller than they were ten years ago, the reasons behind the lower disparity are not entirely positive. Not all the news is good for youth health outcomes, either. In particular, youth asthma hospitalizations increased by more than 10% over a 5-year period. Increases were seen for all race and ethnic groups, and the disparity increased between White youths and youths of color. Asthma hospitalization rates for Black youth are now 2.7 times higher than the regional average, and climbing. While the rates for Latino youth are still closer to the regional average, they increased 22% in 5 years. Since asthma hospitalizations affect children’s time in school and a host of other outcomes, it is imperative to address the environmental conditions that cause asthma and trigger attacks, and to help parents take steps to manage their child’s asthma to avoid hospitalization. Children’s health is improving, but disparities continue to limit long-term outcomes for many Low Birth Weight by Mother’s Race/Ethnicity and Education 2005-09 and 2010-14, MAPC Region FIGURE 2. Data source: Massachusetts Department of Public Health
  • 6. 2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE 6 | regionalindicators.org The 2011 State of Equity report documented well-known but troubling disparities in educational achievement by race, ethnicity, language, disability and income. Standardized test performance improved across almost all demographic categories between 2009 and 2015, and the gains were largest for Black and Latino students. For the 10th Grade Math MCAS, the percent of Black and Latino students scoring Advanced or Proficient grew by 9 percentage points and 7 percentage points, respectively, and the gap in scores between these groups and White students dropped by 5 points and 3 points. These groups also saw even larger increases in their four-year graduation rates, and the gap in graduation rate with Whites fell by one quarter. Smaller gains in test scores and graduation rates were also observed for students with disabilities, low-income students, and English language learners. While standardized tests and graduation rates are certainly not the only, or perhaps even the best indicators of educational quality and attainment, these trends are positive nonetheless. Part of the reason for these improvements may be associated with changes in how students are disciplined in school. Overly strict disciplinary policies, which disproportionately affect students of color, low-income students, and special education students, may be counterproductive by reducing classroom time and actually contributing to increased vulnerability to imprisonment. New school discipline policies, prompted in part by a 2012 law promoting alternatives to exclusionary discipline, have substantially reduced the rates of suspensions. Out of school suspensions are becoming less common, and less disparately applied. Suspension rates in schools with more than 50% students of color are half of what they were in 2006 – 2007, though they still remain twice as high as the average for all schools in the region. Continuing to find alternative ways to discipline students while keeping them engaged in school is critical if the region is going to close achievement and graduation gaps. Students of all backgrounds are benefitting from educational improvements, but gaps remain 10th Grade Math MCAS Scores of Advanced or Proficient 2008-09 and 2013-14, MAPC Region FIGURE 3. Data source: Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education Out-of School Suspensions 2005-06 through 2015-16, MAPC Region FIGURE 4. Data source: Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
  • 7. 2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE 7 | regionalindicators.org Some of the most troubling trends related to economic mobility have worsened over recent years in Metro Boston. If inequity often breaks across economic and racial lines, the underlying disparities in earnings and wealth are widening. The most recent earnings data show that income polarization is increasing, and that this polarization disproportionately affects Black and Latino residents. The average income for the highest-earning fifth of households ($272,500) is 18 times higher than average income for the lowest-income fifth of households ($14,900). That ratio has increased by two points since 2006, indicating greater disparity between the earnings of high- and low-income households. The highest-income fifth now earns 13% more than in 2006, while real dollar income of lowest- income fifth is 1% less than it was ten years ago. This can be attributed in part to wage polarization and the decline of the middle class. Even as the total number of jobs and working households grew, the absolute number of middle-income households fell by 2%, and the share of working households considered middle-income declined from 33% of the total to only 26%. By concentrating earnings and the benefits of economic growth into a smaller number of people, growing income inequality limits upward economic mobility, making it less likely that children in low income families will earn more than their parents. This reduction in income mobility disproportionately affects Black and Latino households, whose median incomes are less than half of median incomes for White and Asian households. While median incomes did not change significantly for White, Asian, and Latino households since the last State of Equity report, median income declined for Black households, falling from $45,800 to $43,600. MAPC’s 2011 report found that even people of color who earn a substantial income face continued discrimination in choosing where to live. In particular, high-income applicants (those earning more than $118,000 per year) who are Black are more than twice as likely to be denied a mortgage than high-income borrowers who are White. Similar discrimination exists for Latino and Native American applicants. There has been some progress in recent years: for high-income Percent Change in Mean Household Income by Quintile, Compared to 2006 (adjusted to 2015 dollars) Metro Boston MSA (MA-NH), 2006 through 2015 FIGURE 5. Data source: American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates Income polarization and discrimination limit economic mobility
  • 8. 2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE 8 | regionalindicators.org Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity 2005-09 to 2010-14, Metro Boston MSA (MA) FIGURE 6. Data source: American Community Survey 5-Year Estimate Home Mortgage Denial Rate for High Income Applicants 2009 and 2015, MAPC Region FIGURE 7. Data source: Home Mortgage Disclosure Act Many residents are sidelined from the regional economy Black applicants, the denial rate dropped 4.7 percentage points, and for high-income Latino applicants the denial rate dropped 3.3 percentage points. However, the approval gap remains high, and will require strong and sustained efforts to erase. Disproportionate denial rates are one contributing factor to the widening homeownership gap in the region. While homeownership rates overall have dropped slightly in the last ten years, the declines have been most substantial for Black and Latino householders, whose homeownership rates (32% and 25%, respectively) are less than half of homeownership rates for White householders (68%). Metro Boston’s economy has been growing robustly since the Great Recession, and by the end of 2016 the Metro Boston’s official unemployment rate was 2.5%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Some observers have commented that the state has reached “full employment” and have expressed concerns about labor shortages that may occur in the coming years as more Baby Boomers retire. While this concern is real, there is also abundant evidence that the region is not making the most of its resident population to power the economy. Labor force participation rates for people with only a high school degree are 12 percentage points lower than the rates for those with a bachelor’s degree, and trending downward, suggesting that more efforts are needed to provide the additional education and training that can “unlock” this potential labor supply. Despite the historically low unemployment rate, several other groups continue to experience challenges in finding employment. Unemployment estimates collected by the U.S. Census Bureau over the past five years are not directly comparable to the BLS statistics, but they do show important disparities across different groups. According to those estimates, the unemployment rate for people with a disability is more than ten percentage points higher than for people without a disability. The unemployment rate for workers who are Black is nearly 7 percentage points higher than the
  • 9. 2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE 9 | regionalindicators.org rate for workers who are White, and the Latino rate is nearly 5 points higher. Incarceration severely limits job, housing, and educational opportunities for former inmates, and it costs the state a tremendous amount. As of January 1, 2016, there were over 10,000 people in prison in Massachusetts Department of Corrections facilities, and Black and Latino inmates are severely over-represented in the system. Although the state population is 7% Black and 11% Latino, the state’s DOC inmates are 27% Black and 25% Latino. Native Americans residents, as of 2016, have the highest rate of incarceration in the state’s prison system. The number of inmates statewide dropped by 12% from 2010 to 2016, and the disparities in incarceration rate for residents who are Black and Latino also declined, albeit slowly. The work to close these gaps needs to continue, as does the work to support released prisoners as they reenter society. Massachusetts Department of Corrections Jurisdiction Population as a Percent of Total Population by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 through 2016 FIGURE 9. Data source: Massachusetts Department of Corrections Inmate Characteristics by Race/Ethnicity Unemployment Rate 2011-15, MAPC Region FIGURE 8. Data source: American Community Survey 5-Year Estimate As the Baby Boomer generation ages, the region will experience substantial growth in the senior population, which may grow by 75% between 2010 and 2030. As a result, it is increasingly important to address the needs of older adults and minimize inequities in their senior years. This is especially true since people are living longer. Over a five year period, the premature mortality rate (the number of deaths under the age of 75) in the region decreased from 303 per 100,000 to 280 per 100,000 residents. Specifically, the above- average premature mortality rates for White and Black residents declined, while rates for Asian, Latino, and Native American remained statistically unchanged. Black residents continue to have the highest premature mortality rate (348 per 100,000.) An increasing share of adults are continuing to work past age 65. The labor force participation rate of older adults (ages 65 or older) has been increasing steadily since 2009, after the Recession. It’s not Metro Boston residents are living longer, but are facing financial burdens in their later years
  • 10. 2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE 10 | regionalindicators.org Conclusions clear if this is due to preference or necessity, but it is clear that financial burdens for many older adults, whether working or on a fixed income, are substantial. The poverty rate of older adults is nearly 10%, statistically unchanged from 2005-09, but grandparents responsible for their grandchildren have a poverty rate of more than 15%, double that of grandparents not responsible for their grandchildren. Older adults are more housing cost burdened (meaning that they pay more than 30% of their income on housing) than younger adults. Nearly 60% of renter households headed by an older adult are cost burdened, and more than a third of households where the homeowner is an older adult are cost burdened. These renter and owner housing cost burden rates are unchanged since 2005-09, even though for younger householders who own their home, housing cost burden has decreased by more than 5 percentage points. These figures suggest that as the number of fixed-income Baby Boomer retirees grows substantially over the coming decades, the region may be facing a cost burden crisis even greater than the one we have today. Premature Mortality Rate per 100,000 2003-07 and 2008-12, MAPC Region FIGURE 10. Data source: Massachusetts Department of Public Health, MassCHIP Cost Burden by Age for Renters and Owners 2011-15, Metro Boston MSA (MA) FIGURE 11. Data source: American Community Survey 5-Year Estimate The key findings presented here (and the full set of indicators available at www. regionalindicators.org) demonstrate that inequities remain a significant and growing problem in Metro Boston. Due to concerted efforts and leadership, some progress has been made in closing gaps in education, housing opportunity, incarceration rates, and some health indicators. Many of these improvements followed specific policy interventions or investments made with the explicit intention of reducing inequities. These successes demonstrate that by quantifying the problem, identifying policy solutions, and building broad coalitions, real change can happen – we can bend the trends. Our findings also demonstrate that the barriers to equity continue to grow on many fronts, and much more work is needed to keep ahead of those challenges, and ultimately eliminate them. In particular, efforts in public health
  • 11. 2017 | STATE OF EQUITY UPDATE 11 | regionalindicators.org and education will pay dividends for decades to come by helping more youth to grow up to become healthy, skilled, and engaged adults. The Commonwealth and its municipalities must continue momentum related to disparate policing and prison reform to reduce the number of people caught up in the criminal justice system. While income inequality is a growing problem nationally, there are many steps that Massachusetts and Metro Boston can take to address the problem locally, through wage regulations and more progressive tax structures. Finally, the persistent and problematic racial and economic segregation that contributes to many of the inequities observed here must be addressed through policies designed to revitalize low-income neighborhoods without displacing the residents already there, while also opening up high-opportunity suburbs to a broader range of people. Despite the enormous challenges facing Metro Boston, there is cause for optimism. This region is fortunate to be home to an ecosystem of organizations and individuals committed to advancing equity. From leaders on Beacon Hill and municipal government to think tanks and universities, to social justice organization and community development corporations, thousands are engaged in this effort. MAPC hopes that this indicators report will provide our allies with data-driven insights into the progress made and the challenges that remain. We will use this report to help shape our policy priorities and encourage others to do the same. This work is not easy, and it won’t happen overnight, but together we can make a Greater, and more equitable, Boston Region. To learn more about MetroFuture and MAPC’s project work, visit projects.metrofuture.org.