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Six Social Media Trends for 2011                                                                  Lessons from WikiLeaks
HBR blog post by David Armano, December 2010                                                      HBR blogs, November–December 2010
In answer to that ubiquitous question “What will social media be-        Julian Assange’s endeavor to
come?” Armano, senior vice president at Edelman Digital, forecasts       disclose classified documents
further integration, tablet wars, social media schizophrenia, the return has altered the way many of us
of the company website, and the innovative moves by Facebook and         think about privacy, technology,
Google. Then our readers weighed in with their own ideas of what’s in    transparency, and diplomacy—
store for the amorphous world of Web 2.0.                                and a lot more. But how is this
                                                                         monumental shift going to affect
Right now, companies share                       and popularity can be   management thinking?
general information, regard-                                    gamed (faking the number
less of different users’ needs.                                 of Twitter followers you          “How WikiLeaks Changes Things for Us
Companies will adapt, per-                                      have is a perfect example          All,” by Carne Ross “Thanks to WikiLeaks,
sonalizing tweets or posts to                                   of this). Influence is about       you can now expect that day to come when
specific users according their                                  regularly engaging people          your most private and candid communica-
preferences.                                                    on topics and influencing          tions will appear for all to peruse. In prepa-
Cláudio Trovisco, CEO, Trovidoce                                action. Oprah, for example,        ration for that moment, you better make
                                                                does this with women. In           sure that your private dealings match your
                                                                social media, thousands of         public declarations.”
Monetization will become the                                    mini-Oprahs influence their
largest social trend. Ghosts of                                 peers, friends, and family        It is even more daunting to think that
the dot-com era are coming back to haunt         to act. So we need a better understanding        we will be judged on what we choose
CMOs as eyeballs (otherwise known as             (and better tools) to measure influence in       not to say. Our espoused values must
likes and followers) remain the sole metric      the digital space.                               be matched by both the statements we
used to evaluate success. Our challenge                                                           commit and the ones we omit. In some
is to credibly measure and advance social        Social media will be a driver of employment      ways, being held accountable for the sins
marketing’s impact on real outcomes and          as businesses outsource social media. The        of omission will be the bigger issue in a
stop repeating the sins of the past.             challenge will be ensuring that messages         corporate environment.
Jeff Bodzewski, director of social marketing,    are within the borders of the brand.             Julia Kirby, editor at large, Harvard Business
Aspen Marketing Services                         Waztech                                          Review


This year we’ll reject false influence metrics   In 2011 people will begin to realize there are   “Why WikiLeaks Matters More (and Less)
like Twitter followers and find hidden           few shortcuts with these sites—it’s “social”      Than You Think,” by Umair Haque “The
influencers.                                     media, not “robot” media.                         real scandal might just be this: There are
Ian Greenleigh, Social media manager,            Resercom                                          few secrets bigger and more terrible than
Bazaarvoice                                                                                        the ones that are hiding in plain sight. The
                                                 The author responds: You can auto-                ones we ignore, sweep under the rug, and
The author responds: As we begin to              mate only so much. The key is creating            won’t, don’t, or can’t discuss.…Here’s the
understand context more (putting more            advocates in customers, employees, and            big economic secret that we already know:
emphasis on relevance), we can expect            partners.                                         20th century institutions aren’t fit for 21st
progress in these areas: influence identi-                                                         century prosperity.”
fication (who in a network has influence         Look out for new start-ups—think Facebook
and how potent it is); influence behavior        for strangers with a lot in common—that          As with anything else, we unlock value
measurement (what can be tracked as a            will take networking to a global level.          by exercising discretion in pursuit of the
                                                                                                                                                    ILLuSTRATION: MATT DORFMAN




direct link from the people who influenced       Anne A. Balduzzi, founding partner, Accelerate   greater good.
the behavior); and influence predictive          Partners                                         Bill Free, principal, William Free
modeling (using data to predict what is                                                           Communications
likely to influence the people you want          The author responds: Sounds
to reach). Right now most tools simply           like what the blogosphere used                   The bitter pessimist in me sees the old
show the size of someone’s social graph,         to be—a global village.                          guard as overpaid managers incapable
22 Harvard Business Review March 2011

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social media trends

  • 1. Interaction Six Social Media Trends for 2011 Lessons from WikiLeaks HBR blog post by David Armano, December 2010 HBR blogs, November–December 2010 In answer to that ubiquitous question “What will social media be- Julian Assange’s endeavor to come?” Armano, senior vice president at Edelman Digital, forecasts disclose classified documents further integration, tablet wars, social media schizophrenia, the return has altered the way many of us of the company website, and the innovative moves by Facebook and think about privacy, technology, Google. Then our readers weighed in with their own ideas of what’s in transparency, and diplomacy— store for the amorphous world of Web 2.0. and a lot more. But how is this monumental shift going to affect Right now, companies share and popularity can be management thinking? general information, regard- gamed (faking the number less of different users’ needs. of Twitter followers you “How WikiLeaks Changes Things for Us Companies will adapt, per- have is a perfect example All,” by Carne Ross “Thanks to WikiLeaks, sonalizing tweets or posts to of this). Influence is about you can now expect that day to come when specific users according their regularly engaging people your most private and candid communica- preferences. on topics and influencing tions will appear for all to peruse. In prepa- Cláudio Trovisco, CEO, Trovidoce action. Oprah, for example, ration for that moment, you better make does this with women. In sure that your private dealings match your social media, thousands of public declarations.” Monetization will become the mini-Oprahs influence their largest social trend. Ghosts of peers, friends, and family It is even more daunting to think that the dot-com era are coming back to haunt to act. So we need a better understanding we will be judged on what we choose CMOs as eyeballs (otherwise known as (and better tools) to measure influence in not to say. Our espoused values must likes and followers) remain the sole metric the digital space. be matched by both the statements we used to evaluate success. Our challenge commit and the ones we omit. In some is to credibly measure and advance social Social media will be a driver of employment ways, being held accountable for the sins marketing’s impact on real outcomes and as businesses outsource social media. The of omission will be the bigger issue in a stop repeating the sins of the past. challenge will be ensuring that messages corporate environment. Jeff Bodzewski, director of social marketing, are within the borders of the brand. Julia Kirby, editor at large, Harvard Business Aspen Marketing Services Waztech Review This year we’ll reject false influence metrics In 2011 people will begin to realize there are “Why WikiLeaks Matters More (and Less) like Twitter followers and find hidden few shortcuts with these sites—it’s “social” Than You Think,” by Umair Haque “The influencers. media, not “robot” media. real scandal might just be this: There are Ian Greenleigh, Social media manager, Resercom few secrets bigger and more terrible than Bazaarvoice the ones that are hiding in plain sight. The The author responds: You can auto- ones we ignore, sweep under the rug, and The author responds: As we begin to mate only so much. The key is creating won’t, don’t, or can’t discuss.…Here’s the understand context more (putting more advocates in customers, employees, and big economic secret that we already know: emphasis on relevance), we can expect partners. 20th century institutions aren’t fit for 21st progress in these areas: influence identi- century prosperity.” fication (who in a network has influence Look out for new start-ups—think Facebook and how potent it is); influence behavior for strangers with a lot in common—that As with anything else, we unlock value measurement (what can be tracked as a will take networking to a global level. by exercising discretion in pursuit of the ILLuSTRATION: MATT DORFMAN direct link from the people who influenced Anne A. Balduzzi, founding partner, Accelerate greater good. the behavior); and influence predictive Partners Bill Free, principal, William Free modeling (using data to predict what is Communications likely to influence the people you want The author responds: Sounds to reach). Right now most tools simply like what the blogosphere used The bitter pessimist in me sees the old show the size of someone’s social graph, to be—a global village. guard as overpaid managers incapable 22 Harvard Business Review March 2011