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Smallholder Commercialization, Performance and Household Demographic Cycle:  Some Results from a survey in Lume Wereda, Ethiopia July 19 – 21 Addis Ababa A study commissioned and conducted by Future Agriculture Consortium  ( www.future-agricultures.org )
Background and objective ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Background and objective ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Specific objective ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Data and  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Some results
Commercialisation – output side ,[object Object],[object Object],2. 5 2 17 26 11 24 7 5 4 5 . 10 . 16 12 14 12 12 6 . 4 5 0 10 20 30 20 40 60 80 100 20 40 60 80 100 After (N=80) Before (N=80) Value of crops sold (as total harvest value)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Effect of intervention – the changes in land use
Effect of intervention – the changing role of crops   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
0 1 2 0 10000 20000 30000 Cash income from farming m Rented land (ha) Fitted values 0 2 4 6 8 0 10000 20000 30000 Cash income per farm Use of hired labor 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 10000 20000 30000 Cash income per farm Interest rate farmers paid  Fitted values Interest rates paid  Use of rented land/participation in land rental market  Participation in factor markets among farmers operated at different commercial level
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Young farmers and commercialisations
Decomposing sample farmers into four age groups  Age group   Proportion  (% in sample) 25 years or less (young)  – 17%,  25 and 39 yrs (young -2 nd  cycle)  – 35%,  39 and 55 yrs (old)  –  39%,  older 55 yrs (seniors)  –  9%.  These four groups assumes to represent farm households found at their different demographic cycle.
How young households perform  (in terms of average  income) Income/prosperity improves as households’ move to their next stage in their demographic cycle? Why?  Better access to productive resources like farmland.
What explains difference in performance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Irrigation & production for market among different hhs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Additional Dimensions to Agricultural Commercialisation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summary/conclusion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Summary/conclusion

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Smallholder Commercialization, Performance and Household Demographic Cycle:

  • 1. Smallholder Commercialization, Performance and Household Demographic Cycle: Some Results from a survey in Lume Wereda, Ethiopia July 19 – 21 Addis Ababa A study commissioned and conducted by Future Agriculture Consortium ( www.future-agricultures.org )
  • 2.
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  • 10. 0 1 2 0 10000 20000 30000 Cash income from farming m Rented land (ha) Fitted values 0 2 4 6 8 0 10000 20000 30000 Cash income per farm Use of hired labor 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 10000 20000 30000 Cash income per farm Interest rate farmers paid Fitted values Interest rates paid Use of rented land/participation in land rental market Participation in factor markets among farmers operated at different commercial level
  • 11.
  • 12. Decomposing sample farmers into four age groups Age group Proportion (% in sample) 25 years or less (young) – 17%, 25 and 39 yrs (young -2 nd cycle) – 35%, 39 and 55 yrs (old) – 39%, older 55 yrs (seniors) – 9%. These four groups assumes to represent farm households found at their different demographic cycle.
  • 13. How young households perform (in terms of average income) Income/prosperity improves as households’ move to their next stage in their demographic cycle? Why? Better access to productive resources like farmland.
  • 14.
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  • 18.