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United States Companies
Investment Proposal
Notre Dame Student International Business Council
&
Oxford Strategy Group
Two Companies Proposed for
Potential Investment
SalesForce Facebook
market cap: $52.39 Billion
Market Share: 33.2% CRM
Market Cap: $301.75 Billion
Market Share: 66% Social
Networking
Started 1999
Predicted to be 4th largest software
company in the world in two years
Global leader in Social Networking
Strongest Financial statements
Predicted growth
United States Economy Analysis
General trends -- Relatively steady economic growth since 2010
- Dominated by services-oriented companies
- Tech, financial services, healthcare and retail
- Have honed in on tech
- As in the our most recent decade it has made significant moves
and will likely continue to
- Big data and consumer analytics
- Uber vs. Taxi
- Airbnb vs. Hotel
- Netflix vs. cable tv
- Social media and peer-to-peer sharing
United States Economy Analysis
United States Economy Analysis
The reason for strong growth in service and technology industry is the
underlying strength of the US economy:
• Good infrastructures
• Huge Market
• Good investment environment
• Excellent supply of talents and good education resources
• Strong innovation culture
• Global influences
Prediction of Economic Trends
Revenue Growth
over next 5 years:
Software publishing:
15% increase in
revenue
Data processing:
22% increase in
revenue
Prediction of Economic Trends
Overall we expect US GDP Annual Growth Rate to stay around 2% within next 5 years
● Safe market
High technology industries will further expand and claim growing importance
● Growth will depend more on innovation and technology breakthroughs
● Traditional industries will continue to be revolutionised with the emergence of
new technologies
IT industry
Among them, IT sector has attained remarkably strong growth in the past decade.
IT Industry – Growing employment
ITIndustry–ContributiontoPrivatefixedInvestment
SWOT Analysis of US IT Industry
Strengths
1. Variety
2. Strong growth
3. Quick return on investment
4. Strong societal awareness
5. Huge pool of talent resources
6. Readily accessible investment
funds
Weakness
1. Potential for breach in
information security
2. Rapid obsolescence cycles
3. Technology stagnation
Opportunities
1. Markets in emerging economies
2. Positive societal expectations
3. Huge room for potential growth
(lots of traditional industries in
the wake of IT revolution)
4. New technology products
Threats
1. Competition from overseas
● Low barriers to entry -
emerging economies
Overview of Strategy, and choosing
our Investments
Within IT Industry
Focused on two dominating sectors:
• Customer Relations Management (CRM)
• Social Networking
Why CRM :
• Although Industry value added continues to be in line with national GDP -- industry is
recession proof
• the industry's products continue to be accepted by the market
Why Social Networking :
• Becoming an integral part everyday life -- continued growth predicted
Facebook Overview
Company Summary
Facebook, Inc. is a social networking
company. The Company is engaged
in developing products that enables
users to connect and share through
mobile devices and personal
computers.
Key Facts and Statistics
Founded: 2004
IPO Year: 2012
Ticker: FB (NASDAQ)
Sector: Technology
Industry: Internet Content and Info.
Headquarters: Menlo Park, CA
CEO and Founder: Mark Zuckerberg
Number of Employees: 10,082
Market Cap: $301.75 Billion
Stock Performance Last Two Years (Compared to S&P)
SWOT Analysis of Facebook
Strengths:
1) Diverse user base
2) Mobile integration
3) Cross-platform integration
4) Popular, news-savvy management
5) Strong stock performance, maintenance of market share
Weaknesses:
1) Dependence on ads for revenue
2) User privacy, information filtering
3) Substantial R/D expenses associated with innovation
Opportunities:
1) Recent acquisition of Instagram, WhatsApp → Wide variety
of appeal and interconnectivity
2) Expansion in app markets, intriguing safety features
3) Inclusion of additional tools for developers, explosion of
new features
4) Growth of revenue from payment processing fees, services
completed online
5) Broadband growth → Expansion of user base in less-
developed areas
Threats:
1) User bias towards SM platform (Snapchat, Twitter, Vine)
2) Millennial user “cool” factor
3) Trend away from personal, mobile computer usage →
potentially less ad revenue
4) Eat or be eaten mentality: talent and creativity outweigh
establishment to some extent → Barriers to entry not
terrible for small startups
Source: The Street Industry Data, IBISWorld, Nasdaq
Facebook Financials
Facebook Industry Average S&P 500
Price to Earnings
(P/E)
104.10 59.80 28.61
Price to BV 7.28 6.65 6.94
Price to Sales 19.63 9.56 2.93
Price to Cash
Flow
65.70 39.90 15.59
Sales (5YR
Growth Rate %)
633 28.84 5.93
The Case for Investing in Facebook
1. 40 million small businesses use Facebook
• FB has proprietary ad software so they can track ad effectiveness
2. Over 1 billion people use Facebook daily
• Growth is global
3. Instagram, WhatsApp and Oculus Rift have yet to monetize
4. Recently invested $500 million in new data center in Texas
Salesforce Overview
Salesforce.com Inc provides enterprise
cloud computing solutions, offering
social and mobile cloud apps and
platform services, as well as
professional services to facilitate
the adoption of its solutions.
Founded: 1999
IPO Year: 2004
Ticker: CRM (NYSE)
Sector: Technology
Industry: Software - Application
Headquarters: San Francisco, CA
CEO and Founder: Marc Bernioff
Number of Employees: 16,227
Market Cap: $52.06 Billion
Stock Performance Last Five Years (Compared to S&P)Company Summary
Key Facts and Statistics
SWOT Analysis of Salesforce
Strengths
1) Robust revenue growth
2) Solid stock price performance
3) Compelling growth in net income
4) Good cash flow from operations
5) Expanding profit margins
6) Low level of volatility
7) Company's product is user/consumer friendly
8) Mature industry and thus revenue is growing at the
same pace as economy
Weaknesses
1) High debt management risk
2) Negative Net Income
3) Profits
4) Valuations
5) Security
Opportunities
1) Jump-start international growth
2) Global leaders in niche sector (CRM)
3) Cloud market is robust
4) Actively acquiring to grow horizontally and vertically
Threats
1) It is competing with established brands like Oracle and
SAP
2) Barriers to entry are medium and steady
Salesforce Close Competitors
Salesforce Intuit Dassault
Systemes
Rev Growth
(3 Yr Avg)
40 3.3 8.8
Revenue in Millions
(TTM)
5,974 4,192 4,368
Price to Sales 8.7 9.7 11.2
Price to Book 11.6 13.4 12.4
Intuit Inc creates business and financial management solutions that
help simplify the business of life for small businesses, consumers,
and accounting professionals.
Dassault Systemes SA provides end to end software applications and
services, designed to support companies’ processes. It provides
Product Lifecycle Management, 3D Design, and 3D Digital Mock-Up.
The Case for Salesforce
1. Salesforce.com Inc provides enterprise cloud computing solutions, offering social
and mobile cloud apps and platform services, as well as professional services to
facilitate the adoption of its solutions.
2. Salesforce has customers on long-term contracts generating predictable recurring
revenue
3. Revenue continues to grow further and the Salesforce has scores of deferred
revenue which will pour into their coffers in the near future.
4. Analyst projected EPS growth over the next 5 years at 55%
5. A merger or acquisition deal is on the cards. If some sort of a merger or acquisition
deal does indeed occur then Salesforce’s share value will increase exponentially
and investors will make a handsome profit. However, even if the acquisition
rumours and the indications given off by the company prove to be unfounded
6. It has brought revolution in technology. It is working on sales diversification by
region and more high-end multiple products sales and therefore its stock price has
nearly unlimited room to run for early-in-the-know investors.
Recommendation for investment
Conservative scenario
Value of money in 5
years, if market grows
at the rate of 5%
63814.07813
Salesforce Facebook
Current stock price 71 107
Diversifying investment 12000 38000
Number of stocks that
can be bought
169 355
Predicted lowest value
of the stock
60 153.6123379
Worth of stocks after 5
years
10140 54532.37995 64672.37995
Growth scenario
Value of money in 5
years, if market grows
at the rate of 5%
63814.07813
Salesforce Facebook
Current stock price 71 107
Diversifying
investment
12000 38000
Number of stocks that
can be bought
169 355
Predicted highest
value of the stock
150 153.6123379
Worth of stocks after
5 years
25350 54532.37995 79882.37995
What if scenario
Value of money in 5
years, if market grows
at the rate of 5%
63814.07813
Salesforce Facebook
Current stock price 71 107
Diversifying
investment
0 50000
Number of stocks that
can be bought
0 467
Predicted lowest value
of the stock
52 153.6123379
Worth of stocks after 5
years
0 71736.9618 71736.9618
Thank You
Please feel free to ask questions

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SIBC-OSG Investment Proposal Presentation

  • 1. United States Companies Investment Proposal Notre Dame Student International Business Council & Oxford Strategy Group
  • 2. Two Companies Proposed for Potential Investment SalesForce Facebook market cap: $52.39 Billion Market Share: 33.2% CRM Market Cap: $301.75 Billion Market Share: 66% Social Networking Started 1999 Predicted to be 4th largest software company in the world in two years Global leader in Social Networking Strongest Financial statements Predicted growth
  • 3. United States Economy Analysis General trends -- Relatively steady economic growth since 2010 - Dominated by services-oriented companies - Tech, financial services, healthcare and retail - Have honed in on tech - As in the our most recent decade it has made significant moves and will likely continue to - Big data and consumer analytics - Uber vs. Taxi - Airbnb vs. Hotel - Netflix vs. cable tv - Social media and peer-to-peer sharing
  • 5. United States Economy Analysis The reason for strong growth in service and technology industry is the underlying strength of the US economy: • Good infrastructures • Huge Market • Good investment environment • Excellent supply of talents and good education resources • Strong innovation culture • Global influences
  • 6. Prediction of Economic Trends Revenue Growth over next 5 years: Software publishing: 15% increase in revenue Data processing: 22% increase in revenue
  • 7. Prediction of Economic Trends Overall we expect US GDP Annual Growth Rate to stay around 2% within next 5 years ● Safe market High technology industries will further expand and claim growing importance ● Growth will depend more on innovation and technology breakthroughs ● Traditional industries will continue to be revolutionised with the emergence of new technologies
  • 8. IT industry Among them, IT sector has attained remarkably strong growth in the past decade.
  • 9. IT Industry – Growing employment
  • 11. SWOT Analysis of US IT Industry Strengths 1. Variety 2. Strong growth 3. Quick return on investment 4. Strong societal awareness 5. Huge pool of talent resources 6. Readily accessible investment funds Weakness 1. Potential for breach in information security 2. Rapid obsolescence cycles 3. Technology stagnation Opportunities 1. Markets in emerging economies 2. Positive societal expectations 3. Huge room for potential growth (lots of traditional industries in the wake of IT revolution) 4. New technology products Threats 1. Competition from overseas ● Low barriers to entry - emerging economies
  • 12. Overview of Strategy, and choosing our Investments Within IT Industry Focused on two dominating sectors: • Customer Relations Management (CRM) • Social Networking Why CRM : • Although Industry value added continues to be in line with national GDP -- industry is recession proof • the industry's products continue to be accepted by the market Why Social Networking : • Becoming an integral part everyday life -- continued growth predicted
  • 13. Facebook Overview Company Summary Facebook, Inc. is a social networking company. The Company is engaged in developing products that enables users to connect and share through mobile devices and personal computers. Key Facts and Statistics Founded: 2004 IPO Year: 2012 Ticker: FB (NASDAQ) Sector: Technology Industry: Internet Content and Info. Headquarters: Menlo Park, CA CEO and Founder: Mark Zuckerberg Number of Employees: 10,082 Market Cap: $301.75 Billion Stock Performance Last Two Years (Compared to S&P)
  • 14. SWOT Analysis of Facebook Strengths: 1) Diverse user base 2) Mobile integration 3) Cross-platform integration 4) Popular, news-savvy management 5) Strong stock performance, maintenance of market share Weaknesses: 1) Dependence on ads for revenue 2) User privacy, information filtering 3) Substantial R/D expenses associated with innovation Opportunities: 1) Recent acquisition of Instagram, WhatsApp → Wide variety of appeal and interconnectivity 2) Expansion in app markets, intriguing safety features 3) Inclusion of additional tools for developers, explosion of new features 4) Growth of revenue from payment processing fees, services completed online 5) Broadband growth → Expansion of user base in less- developed areas Threats: 1) User bias towards SM platform (Snapchat, Twitter, Vine) 2) Millennial user “cool” factor 3) Trend away from personal, mobile computer usage → potentially less ad revenue 4) Eat or be eaten mentality: talent and creativity outweigh establishment to some extent → Barriers to entry not terrible for small startups
  • 15. Source: The Street Industry Data, IBISWorld, Nasdaq Facebook Financials Facebook Industry Average S&P 500 Price to Earnings (P/E) 104.10 59.80 28.61 Price to BV 7.28 6.65 6.94 Price to Sales 19.63 9.56 2.93 Price to Cash Flow 65.70 39.90 15.59 Sales (5YR Growth Rate %) 633 28.84 5.93
  • 16. The Case for Investing in Facebook 1. 40 million small businesses use Facebook • FB has proprietary ad software so they can track ad effectiveness 2. Over 1 billion people use Facebook daily • Growth is global 3. Instagram, WhatsApp and Oculus Rift have yet to monetize 4. Recently invested $500 million in new data center in Texas
  • 17. Salesforce Overview Salesforce.com Inc provides enterprise cloud computing solutions, offering social and mobile cloud apps and platform services, as well as professional services to facilitate the adoption of its solutions. Founded: 1999 IPO Year: 2004 Ticker: CRM (NYSE) Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Application Headquarters: San Francisco, CA CEO and Founder: Marc Bernioff Number of Employees: 16,227 Market Cap: $52.06 Billion Stock Performance Last Five Years (Compared to S&P)Company Summary Key Facts and Statistics
  • 18. SWOT Analysis of Salesforce Strengths 1) Robust revenue growth 2) Solid stock price performance 3) Compelling growth in net income 4) Good cash flow from operations 5) Expanding profit margins 6) Low level of volatility 7) Company's product is user/consumer friendly 8) Mature industry and thus revenue is growing at the same pace as economy Weaknesses 1) High debt management risk 2) Negative Net Income 3) Profits 4) Valuations 5) Security Opportunities 1) Jump-start international growth 2) Global leaders in niche sector (CRM) 3) Cloud market is robust 4) Actively acquiring to grow horizontally and vertically Threats 1) It is competing with established brands like Oracle and SAP 2) Barriers to entry are medium and steady
  • 19. Salesforce Close Competitors Salesforce Intuit Dassault Systemes Rev Growth (3 Yr Avg) 40 3.3 8.8 Revenue in Millions (TTM) 5,974 4,192 4,368 Price to Sales 8.7 9.7 11.2 Price to Book 11.6 13.4 12.4 Intuit Inc creates business and financial management solutions that help simplify the business of life for small businesses, consumers, and accounting professionals. Dassault Systemes SA provides end to end software applications and services, designed to support companies’ processes. It provides Product Lifecycle Management, 3D Design, and 3D Digital Mock-Up.
  • 20. The Case for Salesforce 1. Salesforce.com Inc provides enterprise cloud computing solutions, offering social and mobile cloud apps and platform services, as well as professional services to facilitate the adoption of its solutions. 2. Salesforce has customers on long-term contracts generating predictable recurring revenue 3. Revenue continues to grow further and the Salesforce has scores of deferred revenue which will pour into their coffers in the near future. 4. Analyst projected EPS growth over the next 5 years at 55% 5. A merger or acquisition deal is on the cards. If some sort of a merger or acquisition deal does indeed occur then Salesforce’s share value will increase exponentially and investors will make a handsome profit. However, even if the acquisition rumours and the indications given off by the company prove to be unfounded 6. It has brought revolution in technology. It is working on sales diversification by region and more high-end multiple products sales and therefore its stock price has nearly unlimited room to run for early-in-the-know investors.
  • 21. Recommendation for investment Conservative scenario Value of money in 5 years, if market grows at the rate of 5% 63814.07813 Salesforce Facebook Current stock price 71 107 Diversifying investment 12000 38000 Number of stocks that can be bought 169 355 Predicted lowest value of the stock 60 153.6123379 Worth of stocks after 5 years 10140 54532.37995 64672.37995
  • 22. Growth scenario Value of money in 5 years, if market grows at the rate of 5% 63814.07813 Salesforce Facebook Current stock price 71 107 Diversifying investment 12000 38000 Number of stocks that can be bought 169 355 Predicted highest value of the stock 150 153.6123379 Worth of stocks after 5 years 25350 54532.37995 79882.37995
  • 23. What if scenario Value of money in 5 years, if market grows at the rate of 5% 63814.07813 Salesforce Facebook Current stock price 71 107 Diversifying investment 0 50000 Number of stocks that can be bought 0 467 Predicted lowest value of the stock 52 153.6123379 Worth of stocks after 5 years 0 71736.9618 71736.9618
  • 24. Thank You Please feel free to ask questions

Editor's Notes

  1. looking for trends found significant growth in IT, and this is what we looked into
  2. From looking at the graphs, want the viewer to be able to deduce for themselves that we are choosing a strong sector for investment comparing driving components of industry to more standard components of industry
  3. From looking at the graphs, want the viewer to be able to deduce for themselves that we are choosing a strong sector for investment
  4. Strengths: $12.47 billion in revenue in 2014. From as far back as 2008, Facebook has commanded at least 40% of the monthly social networking visits. Facebook had over 1 billion monthly users in each of the 12 months last year, in 2014. This represented an 18% increase from 2013, and recently released Q3 preliminary reports for 2015 indicate a similarly healthy double-digit increase from 2014 to 2015. The sheer volume of users, combined with a burgeoning number of mobile users should carry forward Facebook’s usage. (27% MDAU growth from Q3 ‘14- Q3 ‘15) Of course, the number of users that Facebook draws to the site is essential to the service, as social networking sites represent a way to communicate regardless of distance, time, and operating platform. According to industry research on IBISWorld, revenue has grown on average 42.3% for the years 2013-2015. Strong performance in generating advertising revenue, along with a successful IPO under the guidance of founder Mark Zuckerberg in May of 2012 has resulted in exceptional growth in both stock price ($28 in December 2012 to roughly $110 trading today) and a good P/E ratio (104.10 vs. 59.80). 66.1% market share, IPO tripled revenue Weaknesses: Facebook, as was mentioned earlier, is heavily dependent on advertisements on the site for revenue. Because the company offers no tangible service, but has an enormous reach in the consumer world, advertisers are drawn to it as a new, trendy medium for getting their messages across. Additionally, there have been a number of scandals involving the breach and leak of private data, which is always under threat from talented hackers. Lastly, Facebook is a cutting-edge tech operation. In order to stay ahead of the curve, they must invest substantial capital in research and development. The $2.7 billion dollars they spent in 2014 represented 22 % of their total revenue. Opportunities: As Facebook has developed substantial cash flow, they have had the ability to buy out additional companies with significant market impact. April of 2012 saw the acquisition of Instagram, in a $1 billion deal, while 2014 saw the purchase of WhatsApp for $19 billion and Oculus VR for $2 billion. These additions to the Facebook family allow inter-platform sharing, and can serve to diversify Facebook’s services and acquire new talent. Additionally, 7.8% of tot rev in 2014 was accounted for by the collection of payments for online services pertaining to monetary processing. Lastly, there is expected to be 15.6% yearly broadband growth in ‘15-’17 resulting in a further reach for Facebook’s services in areas still developing their mobile infrastructure. Threats: The Social Network Services sector is a fickle one, prone to consumer abnormalities and brash decisions. Any company can get a couple of ultra-talented hackers into a room and develop a stellar website from a stellar idea. Though there are a number of established players, who have made huge fortunes over the last 5-10 year, startups pose a significant threat to becoming the ‘next big thing’ should Facebook and its subsidiaries become complacent in the marketplace. Facebook has, from its inception, appealed to young users, though in 2014, the rate of usage growth was highest among adults 65 and older. Teens often spurn the technology favored by their parents, so this could signal stock volatility in the coming years. 11% growth of users 65+ from ‘13-’14 v. 3% 18-29
  5. Comments: 30/30 analysts from major investment banks gave Facebook a strong buy or buy declaration, and, despite having a high P/E ratio, this most likely corresponds to the growth at the company in the last several years. A high P/E ratio indicates that investors are keen on purchasing the stock on the projections of future growth, and since Facebook’s ratio isn’t in the 20-40 range in which it might be considered overvalued, it looks solid. Facebook’s Price/Book Value ratio is more in line with the rest of the industry, most likely due to the fact that Facebook reports a substantial amount (~18 billion in 2014) of Goodwill. Again, the Price to Sales and Price to Cash Flow are higher than industry average, due to the growth potential of the company. Something not shown, but still important to consider is the debt to equity ratio, for Facebook, .3%, which is incredibly low. This means that Facebook still seems to be getting substantial investments rather than incurring debt to fund operations and research.
  6. While CRM’s market valuation seems inflated, comparison to other SaaS players with similar financial profiles shows it is actually trading at a bargain.