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UKRAINE: Land of Opportunities




Trade Mission Odessa, September 2012
By Juraj SEBO and Aad Weening
Global Online Trends
 • World Internet users: 2.4 bn to reach 3.5 billion in 2015

 • Global e-Spend 2011: $969billion (set to double in 5 years)

 • Mobile Commerce will reach 20% of total e-sales this year

 • BRIC countries to lead (Brazil, Russia, India, China): e-Sales up 500% since
    2007; China’s e-sales 2012 will grow with 88%, India plus 50%, Russia plus
    35% and Brazil plus 30%

 • Watch the MIKT countries: Mexico, Indonesia, (South) Korea and Turkey!

 • And....the CIVETS countries: Columbia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey
    and South Africa

 • Global e-Shoppers to reach 1 bn in 2012, more than tripled since 2005

 • Integration of tradional and digital media
Global e-Commerce View
                                                 2012               2011            2012/2011

       USA                                               $355bn            $311bn        +15%

       Europe                                            $390bn            $343bn        +20%

       Asia Pacific                                      $290bn            $220bn        +35%

       Latin America                                      $55bn            $43bn         +30%

       MENA                                              $14.5bn           €10bn         +45%

       World                                            $1,160bn           $969bn        +20%

                 Estimated Annual Increase Ukraine: +/- 50% Y-on-Y
Source: IMRG estimates, IMRG Global B2C e-Commerce Overview 2011

NOTE: estimated average annual rate of exchange EUR/USD: 1.25 for
2012; down from 1.3920 in 2011
Identifying Markets
* Mature markets in USA & Western Europe: growth per annum between 10
      and 15%


* Southern Europe catching up: led by Italy and Spain, growth per annum around
      30 to 40 %, Turkey coming up fast!


* Emerging markets in Eastern Europe, led by Russia, followed by Poland and
Ukraine, growth per annum (safely) estimated at 35 - 50%


* Asia-Pacific: fastest growing region;  China: 88% up in 2012 and a shift from C2C to
      B2C. India plus 50% expected in 2012, more (local) retailers online


* MENA(P) countries coming up, led by Israel & UAE, growing around 45% per year

* Latin America coming up fast, led by Brazil with 60% of total B2C e-sales, followed
      by Mexico, Argentina, Caribbean and Columbia. Growth rate around 30%


* Africa still in its infancy, led by Egypt & South Africa
Online Issues


* Trust & Confidence: trust marks like Trusted Shops
* Increasing Offer: retailers online, getting local businesses online
* Ordering: availability
* Delivery Options: Standard, 24/48 hours, @Home, Click &
     Collect, address systems
*Payment: Security & Options; moving from a “cash-oriented” society
to digital payments
* Returns, setting up a reliable and trusted return system is essential
UA Country Facts and Figures
                          KEY FIGURES Ukraine
                            Area: 603,550 km2
           3rd largest and the 7th most populated of Europe
                        Currency: Hryvnia (UAH)
                     Population 2012: 45,6 million
                               Men: 46,1%
                              Women: 53,9%
                       Retail Sales 2012: €90bn (e)
                                Up: 16% (e)
                    B2C e-Sales 2012: €1,100mn(e)
                    Internet Users 2011: 18 million
                         % of population: 39,5%
                           Spend per user: €40
                       Facebook Users: 2,004,420
                            Penetration: 4,4%
                            Ranking: #63/213
                          Internet Domain: .ua
                           Dialling Code: +380
Economy: % growth GDP
Source: IMF
              2010   2011   2012   2013

   USA        3,0    1,7    2,0    2,3

 Euro Zone    1,9    1,5    -0,4   0,7

C&E Europe    4,5    5,3    1,9    2,8

  Russia      4,3    4,3    4,0    3,9

  Poland      3,9    4,4    2,6    3,2

 Ukraine      4,1    5,2    3,0    3,5
UA Internet Users
                                  30.0
                                         2000

                                         2005
                           18.0
                  15.0                   2010

                                         2011
           5.0
     0.2                                 2016

                 million

   estimate: 66% buys online

   2016: estimate 65% of the population
48% of UA Consumers likely to shop
                            online
Entering the UA Market

  A distance selling company or an online retailer can
  enter the Ukrainian market in two ways:

  • Consignment
  no certification needed with some exceptions and no customs duty and no VAT
  longer delivery period



  • Direct Import
  faster delivery, but certification needed and customs duties and VAT will be charged



The following slide shows the number of parcels sent via Slovakia: Y-on-Y a healthy growth
Volume of items forwarded to
                    Ukraine
Thank you very much for your kind attention

Juraj Sebo: sebo.juraj1@gmail.com
Aad Weening: aad.weening@imrg.org

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Юрай Себо

  • 1. UKRAINE: Land of Opportunities Trade Mission Odessa, September 2012 By Juraj SEBO and Aad Weening
  • 2. Global Online Trends • World Internet users: 2.4 bn to reach 3.5 billion in 2015 • Global e-Spend 2011: $969billion (set to double in 5 years) • Mobile Commerce will reach 20% of total e-sales this year • BRIC countries to lead (Brazil, Russia, India, China): e-Sales up 500% since 2007; China’s e-sales 2012 will grow with 88%, India plus 50%, Russia plus 35% and Brazil plus 30% • Watch the MIKT countries: Mexico, Indonesia, (South) Korea and Turkey! • And....the CIVETS countries: Columbia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa • Global e-Shoppers to reach 1 bn in 2012, more than tripled since 2005 • Integration of tradional and digital media
  • 3. Global e-Commerce View 2012 2011 2012/2011 USA $355bn $311bn +15% Europe $390bn $343bn +20% Asia Pacific $290bn $220bn +35% Latin America $55bn $43bn +30% MENA $14.5bn €10bn +45% World $1,160bn $969bn +20% Estimated Annual Increase Ukraine: +/- 50% Y-on-Y Source: IMRG estimates, IMRG Global B2C e-Commerce Overview 2011 NOTE: estimated average annual rate of exchange EUR/USD: 1.25 for 2012; down from 1.3920 in 2011
  • 4. Identifying Markets * Mature markets in USA & Western Europe: growth per annum between 10 and 15% * Southern Europe catching up: led by Italy and Spain, growth per annum around 30 to 40 %, Turkey coming up fast! * Emerging markets in Eastern Europe, led by Russia, followed by Poland and Ukraine, growth per annum (safely) estimated at 35 - 50% * Asia-Pacific: fastest growing region; China: 88% up in 2012 and a shift from C2C to B2C. India plus 50% expected in 2012, more (local) retailers online * MENA(P) countries coming up, led by Israel & UAE, growing around 45% per year * Latin America coming up fast, led by Brazil with 60% of total B2C e-sales, followed by Mexico, Argentina, Caribbean and Columbia. Growth rate around 30% * Africa still in its infancy, led by Egypt & South Africa
  • 5. Online Issues * Trust & Confidence: trust marks like Trusted Shops * Increasing Offer: retailers online, getting local businesses online * Ordering: availability * Delivery Options: Standard, 24/48 hours, @Home, Click & Collect, address systems *Payment: Security & Options; moving from a “cash-oriented” society to digital payments * Returns, setting up a reliable and trusted return system is essential
  • 6. UA Country Facts and Figures KEY FIGURES Ukraine Area: 603,550 km2 3rd largest and the 7th most populated of Europe Currency: Hryvnia (UAH) Population 2012: 45,6 million Men: 46,1% Women: 53,9% Retail Sales 2012: €90bn (e) Up: 16% (e) B2C e-Sales 2012: €1,100mn(e) Internet Users 2011: 18 million % of population: 39,5% Spend per user: €40 Facebook Users: 2,004,420 Penetration: 4,4% Ranking: #63/213 Internet Domain: .ua Dialling Code: +380
  • 7. Economy: % growth GDP Source: IMF 2010 2011 2012 2013 USA 3,0 1,7 2,0 2,3 Euro Zone 1,9 1,5 -0,4 0,7 C&E Europe 4,5 5,3 1,9 2,8 Russia 4,3 4,3 4,0 3,9 Poland 3,9 4,4 2,6 3,2 Ukraine 4,1 5,2 3,0 3,5
  • 8. UA Internet Users 30.0 2000 2005 18.0 15.0 2010 2011 5.0 0.2 2016 million estimate: 66% buys online 2016: estimate 65% of the population
  • 9. 48% of UA Consumers likely to shop online
  • 10. Entering the UA Market A distance selling company or an online retailer can enter the Ukrainian market in two ways: • Consignment no certification needed with some exceptions and no customs duty and no VAT longer delivery period • Direct Import faster delivery, but certification needed and customs duties and VAT will be charged The following slide shows the number of parcels sent via Slovakia: Y-on-Y a healthy growth
  • 11. Volume of items forwarded to Ukraine
  • 12. Thank you very much for your kind attention Juraj Sebo: sebo.juraj1@gmail.com Aad Weening: aad.weening@imrg.org