The document discusses how internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles can help meet CO2 emissions reduction targets by 2050. It notes that global energy demand is expected to double by 2050 even as emissions must be cut 50%. ICE vehicle efficiency can be significantly improved through existing and emerging drivetrain technologies, and conventional and advanced biofuels will make a growing contribution to decarbonizing ICE fuels. A diverse mix of fuel and drivetrain types, more efficient lubricants, and interventions to reduce demand will all be needed for the transport sector to help achieve emissions targets.

1. How Will Internal Combustion Engine
Vehicles Contribute to Meeting CO2
Emissions Targets?
Bibendum Challenge 2010
Rio de Janeiro
Selda Gunsel
Vice President, Fuels and B2B Technology
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2. A New Energy Future
By 2050 global CO2 emissions must fall by at least 50%, yet
energy demand is predicted to double.
Securing new sources of energy and squeezing more from
existing resources are vital to meet soaring long-term
demand.
More efficient energy use can help save resources and cut
greenhouse gases.
Satisfying the world’s demand for energy will take multiple
resources - from fossil fuels to renewables - developed into
smarter products in tandem with improved use within a more
efficient infrastructure.
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3. Transport Energy Demand Will Increase Rapidly
Global population is growing and demand for mobility is increasing
Number of road vehicles is expected to double to more than two billion by 2050
Energy-related CO2 emissions – approx 62% of the global total
Transport accounts for about 23% of energy-related CO2 emissions - road
transport accounts for 17%
Energy Related CO2 Emissions* Estimate of worldwide vehicle demand
Industry & Manufacturing: 76.5%
Power Generation
Buildings & Commerce
Road Transport: 17% Commercial
Heavy Duty and Passenger Light
Duty Vehicles
Other Transport: 6.5%
Rail, Aviation, Marine
Source: International Energy Agency Source: World Business Council for Sustainable Development
* 62% of global CO2 emissions 2007
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4. Options for Reducing Carbon From Transport
Alternative
combustion modes
Lighter materials Turbo charging &
Engine downsizing
Reduced
friction
Efficiency Hybridization
Improvement
Clean diesel Improved
Energy efficient Transmissions
lubricants
Eco-Driving
H2 Fuel Cell
Vehicle
Downsizing Advanced Biofuels
Intelligent traffic E-Mobility
Conventional Biofuels
Demand
Decarbonisation
Interventions CNG Low carbon
manufacturing
Modal shift Speed Limits
LNG
Road pricing Carbon Capture & Storage
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5. Fuel & Lubricant Options for Sustainable Transport
Conventional fuels – improved
efficiency
Conventional biofuels – ethanol
and biodiesel
Advanced biofuels – novel
feedstocks and processes
Advanced lubricants – for
improved efficiency
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6. Summary
Transport is a significant contributor to GHG emissions globally
Major growth in demand for mobility is expected
Significant improvements will occur in ICE vehicle efficiency from the
application of existing and emerging drivetrain technology
Conventional biofuels will make a significant and growing contribution to
decarbonisation of ICE fuels
Advanced biofuels from novel feedstocks offer further long term potential for
CO2 reduction
Increased diversity of fuel and drivetrain types is expected (electric, gas,
hydrogen….)
Energy efficient lubricants will improve vehicle efficiency
Interventions to reduce overall demand will be required
Collaboration is needed to deliver smarter and more sustainable mobility
Copyright of Shell Global Solutions May 2010 6

7. Q&A
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