Dr. Patrick Oliva
Michelin Challenge Bibendum Chairman
Tong ZHANG
             Shanghai-Tongji University
Director of New Energy Vehicle Development Center
Phil GOTT
              IHS
Managing Director IHS Automotive
THANKS TO THE CHAIRS OF THE WORKSHOPS
INTER-CITY PASSENGER CAR RALLY

             300 Km around Berlin (60 km/h)

                Fuel consumption (ICE)
                4.8L/100 km (production)
                   3.7L/100 km (prototypes)

                   CO2 emission (well to wheel)
                   127g/km     91g/km (ICE)
                   ~80 g/km (Electric)
BATTERY EV RALLY

     120 Km around Berlin (60 km/h)

      16 kWh/100 Km consumption
      (1.79 L/100Km eq)

              Diesel consumption (eq)


                  CO2 emission
                  72 g/Km
URBAN VEHICLE RALLY

        30 km (30 stops)

          4 wheeler consumption
          15 kWh/100 km - 8 kWh/100 km
            CO2 emission
            68 g/km - 37 g/km


            2 wheeler consumption
            4 kWh/100 km
            19 g/km
ACHIEVABLE LITHIUM ION BATTERY TARGETS
                                                   Price
              Electric   Motor                    250 €/kWh
              current
                          M
                                                 Cycle life
                                             1500 cycles (>7 years)

Electrolyte                                        Safety

                                                         ☺
                                 = Li+   Battery pack energy density
                                                150 Wh/kg
TOWARDS REASONABLY PRICED
  Battery price
                           ELECTRIC VEHICLES                            Cost-in-use
(€ for 100 km range)                                                  (€/100,000Km)

                       600                                                   7500
                           €/kW
                               h
                                                                             6000

                       400€/
                            kWh                                              4500


                       200€/kWh                                              3000


                                                                             1500


                                                                             0

                                   Vehicle consumption (kWh/100 km)
GOING ELECTRIC IS AFFORDABLE...
Added
 Cost


                                                  >2000-10000€/100km    Full Battery Electric Drive

                                                1500-3000€   Electric Drive (Plug-In Hybrid)

                                   1300-2000€   Electric Take-off (Full Hybrid)

                       800-1500€   Engine Assistance (Mild Hybrid)

            200-400€   Kinetic Energy Recovery (MicroMild hybrid)

  60-100€   Stop & Start
ACHIEVABLE HYDROGEN FUEL CELL TARGETS
               Energy                          Stack price
                                            Lower than 100 €/kW
                 M
                                                 Cycle life
                                           >3000 cycles (>5 years)
Oxygen                          Hydrogen
                                                   Safety
     Cathode

               Water
                        Anode
                                                    ☺
                                            Stack power density
                                               ~1 kW/kg
BIOFUEL

             Horizon
          From today on

               Cost
    Possibly competitive with oil

              Where
   Anywhere it does not compete
      against food or forest
CO2 SAVING


          Carbon pricing
      Necessary but not decisive

           Other initiatives
    Set stable long term, internally
         consistent objectives
    Define other incentives such as
     vehicle use and performance
TOWARDS 100G CO2/KM (WELL TO WHEEL)



                 The market will not do it alone

                     Regulatory leadership
                         is essential

                      Technical solutions
                         are available
ROAD SAFETY
IN TRADITIONALLY MOTORIZED COUNTRIES


                          Priorities

                       Develop ITS and
                   crash avoidance systems

                      Develop a holistic
                     regulatory approach
ROAD SAFETY IN MOTORIZING COUNTRIES

                    Priorities for reducing
                           accidents
                           Education
                     Reducing mixed trafic

                    Positive business case
                 The human cost on businesses
                    is very high; around 30%
                   of crashes are work related
                 Each € invested in road safety
                           returns 15 €
ITS TECHNOLOGY
                   Why
       To make urban mobility more
           efficient and safer

              Requirements
       Seamless information sharing
      between users, service providers

                 When
         Technology exists. Global
        implementation still to come
MASS AND SAFETY


                  Crashworthiness and light weight
                     are not mutually exclusive
         Safety
          Mass      Policies & regulations need
                    to take a holistic approach
Safety                  to both road safety
Mass                  & environmental issues
NATURAL GAS:
THE PROMISE OF ENERGY INDEPENDENCE?
                      CO2 benefits (>20%)

                 Proven gas reserves and wider
                     geographic availability

                 Likely long-term price advantage
                             versus oil

                   Need for long-term political
                          commitment
BUS TRANSIT EFFICIENCY



          The cheapest and fastest way to
           start implementing an efficient
                   public transport.

           New technologies: hybridation,
            electric power train, ITS will
             permit a better efficiency
TRUCK LOGISTICS


       Inter-city: new generation trucks
        permit a better efficiency. Road
         transport: the best partner for
            economic development.

       Intra-city: new dedicated delivery
                   hybrid trucks
Challenge bibendum berlin 2011 key finding

Challenge bibendum berlin 2011 key finding

  • 2.
    Dr. Patrick Oliva MichelinChallenge Bibendum Chairman
  • 3.
    Tong ZHANG Shanghai-Tongji University Director of New Energy Vehicle Development Center
  • 4.
    Phil GOTT IHS Managing Director IHS Automotive
  • 5.
    THANKS TO THECHAIRS OF THE WORKSHOPS
  • 6.
    INTER-CITY PASSENGER CARRALLY 300 Km around Berlin (60 km/h) Fuel consumption (ICE) 4.8L/100 km (production) 3.7L/100 km (prototypes) CO2 emission (well to wheel) 127g/km 91g/km (ICE) ~80 g/km (Electric)
  • 7.
    BATTERY EV RALLY 120 Km around Berlin (60 km/h) 16 kWh/100 Km consumption (1.79 L/100Km eq) Diesel consumption (eq) CO2 emission 72 g/Km
  • 8.
    URBAN VEHICLE RALLY 30 km (30 stops) 4 wheeler consumption 15 kWh/100 km - 8 kWh/100 km CO2 emission 68 g/km - 37 g/km 2 wheeler consumption 4 kWh/100 km 19 g/km
  • 9.
    ACHIEVABLE LITHIUM IONBATTERY TARGETS Price Electric Motor 250 €/kWh current M Cycle life 1500 cycles (>7 years) Electrolyte Safety ☺ = Li+ Battery pack energy density 150 Wh/kg
  • 10.
    TOWARDS REASONABLY PRICED Battery price ELECTRIC VEHICLES Cost-in-use (€ for 100 km range) (€/100,000Km) 600 7500 €/kW h 6000 400€/ kWh 4500 200€/kWh 3000 1500 0 Vehicle consumption (kWh/100 km)
  • 11.
    GOING ELECTRIC ISAFFORDABLE... Added Cost >2000-10000€/100km Full Battery Electric Drive 1500-3000€ Electric Drive (Plug-In Hybrid) 1300-2000€ Electric Take-off (Full Hybrid) 800-1500€ Engine Assistance (Mild Hybrid) 200-400€ Kinetic Energy Recovery (MicroMild hybrid) 60-100€ Stop & Start
  • 12.
    ACHIEVABLE HYDROGEN FUELCELL TARGETS Energy Stack price Lower than 100 €/kW M Cycle life >3000 cycles (>5 years) Oxygen Hydrogen Safety Cathode Water Anode ☺ Stack power density ~1 kW/kg
  • 13.
    BIOFUEL Horizon From today on Cost Possibly competitive with oil Where Anywhere it does not compete against food or forest
  • 14.
    CO2 SAVING Carbon pricing Necessary but not decisive Other initiatives Set stable long term, internally consistent objectives Define other incentives such as vehicle use and performance
  • 15.
    TOWARDS 100G CO2/KM(WELL TO WHEEL) The market will not do it alone Regulatory leadership is essential Technical solutions are available
  • 16.
    ROAD SAFETY IN TRADITIONALLYMOTORIZED COUNTRIES Priorities Develop ITS and crash avoidance systems Develop a holistic regulatory approach
  • 17.
    ROAD SAFETY INMOTORIZING COUNTRIES Priorities for reducing accidents Education Reducing mixed trafic Positive business case The human cost on businesses is very high; around 30% of crashes are work related Each € invested in road safety returns 15 €
  • 18.
    ITS TECHNOLOGY Why To make urban mobility more efficient and safer Requirements Seamless information sharing between users, service providers When Technology exists. Global implementation still to come
  • 19.
    MASS AND SAFETY Crashworthiness and light weight are not mutually exclusive Safety Mass Policies & regulations need to take a holistic approach Safety to both road safety Mass & environmental issues
  • 20.
    NATURAL GAS: THE PROMISEOF ENERGY INDEPENDENCE? CO2 benefits (>20%) Proven gas reserves and wider geographic availability Likely long-term price advantage versus oil Need for long-term political commitment
  • 21.
    BUS TRANSIT EFFICIENCY The cheapest and fastest way to start implementing an efficient public transport. New technologies: hybridation, electric power train, ITS will permit a better efficiency
  • 22.
    TRUCK LOGISTICS Inter-city: new generation trucks permit a better efficiency. Road transport: the best partner for economic development. Intra-city: new dedicated delivery hybrid trucks