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Submitted by:
Team Spartans , IIM Ranchi
Team Members
Priyesh Thakur priyesh.thakur13@iimranchi.ac.in 7762923894
Krunal Patel krunal.patel13@iimranchi.ac.in 9546528969
Ashutosh ashutosh13@iimranchi.ac.in 8252482338
Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
To identify technology
and markets with
significant potential and
conduct feasibility
analysis for KEC
To analyze the value
chain of KEC and
ascertain the new
business fitment
To analyse the
investments, and earning
potential in entering the
solar structures segment
To suggest a viable
business model for entry.
• Analyzed the market
potential for CSP and
PV structures.
• Also , did a viability
study based on fixed
tilt and tracker based
structures.
• Examined the export
markets.
• Identified the types
of angles used for
solar mounting
structures.
• Analyzed the inter-
linkages between
various
components of the
value chain.
• Calculating KEC’s
market serving
capacity based on
its excess capacity
and government’s
growth projection
• Projected revenues
based on excess
capacity of KEC
• Analyzed the
contractual models
used in solar
projects.
• Pros/Cons of
choosing different
contractual
structures to enter
the market.
• PV is dominant
technology used
across countries.
• Fixed tilt will be
preferred over axis
trackers in emerging
markets due to lack
of expertise.
• APAC is the preferred
export market.
• It is easy for KEC to
enter into this
market given its
existing operational
infrastructure.
• Also, no capex is
required as existing
PPE will suffice.
• With its existing
excess capacity KEC
can serve up-to 7%
of the solar PV
structures market
• KEC excess capacity
can be offloaded
very easily given
the ample demand.
• Entering via EPC is
preferred over
individual bidding.
• Consistent orders
leveraging KEC
brand quity via EPC
overweighs the
increased margins
via individual
contracts.
Analysis
Insights
Strategic
objectives
“Enter solar structures market”Recommendation
• Thermal Power generation is facing problems related to mining, import and transportation of coal.
• Project clearances are becoming increasingly difficult due to environmental policies.
69%
2%
16%
13%
Thermal
Nuclear
Hydro
RES*
*Note : renewable energy sources(RES) is primarily wind energy with only 0.1%
constituting solar energy.
Source: Rajya Sabha Unstarred question no. 58 dated on 07.07.2014
Sector-wise Power Generation Capacity in India (As
on 31.05.2014)
12039
7530.2
14507
20359
9263
3453.7
9585
12160.5
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11
Target
Achievement
Target and achievement of Power generation in India (2007-08 to 2010-11) (in Megawatt(MW))
Source : Lok Sabha Unstarred
Question No. 1757, dated on
23.03.2012.
India has a huge energy deficit and is overly dependent on traditional thermal power generation
Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
Proposed roadmap for JNNSM ,India 2010
Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
SOLAR Technologies
Photovoltaic Systems(PV)
•Solar PV panels use photovoltaic cells to convert solar radiation into direct
current electricity.
•Mounted on roofs of commercial and residential buildings.
Concentrated Solar Power Systems(CSP) :
•CSP use mirrors or lenses to concentrate a large area of sunlight onto a small
area which drives a steam turbine to generate power.
•Large scale plants spread over several acres.
Fixed Tilt Systems:
•Inclined at a fixed angle from the ground.
•Less efficient, cheaper, require less land.
Single and Dual Axis Tracker Systems
•Trackers have the ability to track the sun through the day to maximize
incidence on the panels.
•Dual axis trackers have the additional ability to account for the rotation and
revolution of the earth for better tracking.
•More Efficient, Costlier, and require more land.
MARKET CLASSIFICATION TYPES
*Customer segmentation only for PV as CSP are only on grid projects
Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
IFC(International Finance Corporation) in its publication “Utility Scale solar power plants: A guide for
developers and investors, 2012” mentions the following about Fixed tilt vs. Axis tracking systems :
“Since fixed tilt mounting systems are simpler, cheaper and have lower maintenance requirements
than tracking systems, they are the preferred option for countries with a nascent solar market and
with limited indigenous manufacturers of tracking technology such as India.”
As per Bridge to India – India Solar compass July 2013 report:
“Out of the total 1,746 MW installed in India , only approximately 80 MW use some form of axis
tracking technology.”
Bridge to India Pvt. Ltd. did a financial analysis to calculate EIRR for Fixed tilt vs tracking systems and
following were the results:
Marginal for Horizontal Single Axis and Dual Axis
for Vertical single axis in Indian conditions.
Marginal increase insufficient to justify additional costs and
risks involved with tracking systems.
Over Short to Medium Term Horizon (2-8 Years) Fixed Tilt Systems will dominate over axis trackers
Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
MW
Annual Installed Capacity-Region
middle east latin america asia pacific euprope north america
Potential Export Markets
• By 2020, APAC solar market share to grow
from 42% to 47%
• MEA region & Latin America are in the
development /growth stage which requires
rapid capital investment both public and
private.
• Favourable solar incidence expected to
boost MEA region
• MNCs domination through investment in
integrated value chain
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
BillionUSD
Revenue
• Market revenue expected to grow to USD
137.02 billion from the current USD59.84
billion(2013)
• Europe to see an expected decrease in
terms of revenue on account of increasing
assessment of green energy targets
• The global solar market is likely to recover in
2014 with a further increase in the
remaining forecast period
Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
Asia Pacific region is an attractive solar export market
Frost & Sullivan Global Solar PV report
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
MW
APAC Installed capacity and growth
Capacity Growth Rate
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0
20
40
60
20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
BillionUSD
Revenue USD billion
Revenue USD billion Growth Rate
APAC market – An analysis
• By 2020 20 GW is expected to be
installed every year
• The APAC market is expected to grow to USD
54.72 billion with a CAGR of 13.6%
• China market is dominated by EPC
participants that are well integrated across
the value chain
• The Market development depends on the
ability of market participants to influence
policy makers to define supportive legislation
0
10000
20000
30000
20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
MW
APAC installed capacity
country analysis
Rest of APAC Australia Japan India China
• Delay in implementation
of policies
• Huge emphasis on
thermal power projects
• Intense competition
• Declining price of solar
module
• Governments policy
support
• High solar radiation
• Manufacturing base
Drivers Restraints
Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
China leads the solar market in both growth rate and size among APAC countries
Frost & Sullivan Global Solar PV report
KEY STATES
TARGET SEGMENT
 In APAC, of the two technologies, solar
PV power revenue share was 99.6%.
CSP Projects are few and far between in
APAC due to technology maturity, paucity
of funds, and unavailability of large land
area with strong sunlight.
TARGET EXPORT MARKET
Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
60 tonne steel is
required for 1 MW
capacity solar plant
Capital cost for steel
mounting structure is
Rs.50 lakh/MW
Solar structure is priced at Rs. 0.833 lacs per
tonne
CERC’s analysis on BenchmarkCapital Cost for Solar PV Power Projects
Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
C purlins
Types of steel angles used in solar structure
I beam
Clamp
Bracket
Z purlins
Inbound
logistics
Operations
Outbound
logistics
Marketing
and sales
After sales
Procurement
Technology
Human
Resource
Infrastructure
Existing suppliers
Existing assembly line CRM
Labour General Management New sales force
Existing plant Carriers
Solar EPC
customer
Individual
solar project
customer
R
e
v
e
n
u
e
KEC
Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
Revenue projections
Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
EPC
players
Solar
module
Mounting
Structure
Inverter
supplier
Solar
module
Mounting
Structure
Inverter
supplier
Solar
power
project
Contractor 1 Contractor 2Owner
Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
Consistent orders
Can leverage KEC brand
Consistent payments
Low sales effort
Pros Cons
Comparatively low margin
Higher margins
Pros Cons
Lack of visibility to end
customer
Inconsistent orders
Payments depend upon
project completion
Higher visibility of RPG
as a brand
High sales effort
Better capacity utilization
V/S
“Partnering with EPC is the smart choice”
Thank you

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Winners | RPG Blizzard Campus Expert 3.0 | Team Spartans | IIM Ranchi

  • 1. Submitted by: Team Spartans , IIM Ranchi Team Members Priyesh Thakur priyesh.thakur13@iimranchi.ac.in 7762923894 Krunal Patel krunal.patel13@iimranchi.ac.in 9546528969 Ashutosh ashutosh13@iimranchi.ac.in 8252482338
  • 2. Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy To identify technology and markets with significant potential and conduct feasibility analysis for KEC To analyze the value chain of KEC and ascertain the new business fitment To analyse the investments, and earning potential in entering the solar structures segment To suggest a viable business model for entry. • Analyzed the market potential for CSP and PV structures. • Also , did a viability study based on fixed tilt and tracker based structures. • Examined the export markets. • Identified the types of angles used for solar mounting structures. • Analyzed the inter- linkages between various components of the value chain. • Calculating KEC’s market serving capacity based on its excess capacity and government’s growth projection • Projected revenues based on excess capacity of KEC • Analyzed the contractual models used in solar projects. • Pros/Cons of choosing different contractual structures to enter the market. • PV is dominant technology used across countries. • Fixed tilt will be preferred over axis trackers in emerging markets due to lack of expertise. • APAC is the preferred export market. • It is easy for KEC to enter into this market given its existing operational infrastructure. • Also, no capex is required as existing PPE will suffice. • With its existing excess capacity KEC can serve up-to 7% of the solar PV structures market • KEC excess capacity can be offloaded very easily given the ample demand. • Entering via EPC is preferred over individual bidding. • Consistent orders leveraging KEC brand quity via EPC overweighs the increased margins via individual contracts. Analysis Insights Strategic objectives “Enter solar structures market”Recommendation
  • 3. • Thermal Power generation is facing problems related to mining, import and transportation of coal. • Project clearances are becoming increasingly difficult due to environmental policies. 69% 2% 16% 13% Thermal Nuclear Hydro RES* *Note : renewable energy sources(RES) is primarily wind energy with only 0.1% constituting solar energy. Source: Rajya Sabha Unstarred question no. 58 dated on 07.07.2014 Sector-wise Power Generation Capacity in India (As on 31.05.2014) 12039 7530.2 14507 20359 9263 3453.7 9585 12160.5 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 Target Achievement Target and achievement of Power generation in India (2007-08 to 2010-11) (in Megawatt(MW)) Source : Lok Sabha Unstarred Question No. 1757, dated on 23.03.2012. India has a huge energy deficit and is overly dependent on traditional thermal power generation Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
  • 4. Proposed roadmap for JNNSM ,India 2010 Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
  • 5. SOLAR Technologies Photovoltaic Systems(PV) •Solar PV panels use photovoltaic cells to convert solar radiation into direct current electricity. •Mounted on roofs of commercial and residential buildings. Concentrated Solar Power Systems(CSP) : •CSP use mirrors or lenses to concentrate a large area of sunlight onto a small area which drives a steam turbine to generate power. •Large scale plants spread over several acres. Fixed Tilt Systems: •Inclined at a fixed angle from the ground. •Less efficient, cheaper, require less land. Single and Dual Axis Tracker Systems •Trackers have the ability to track the sun through the day to maximize incidence on the panels. •Dual axis trackers have the additional ability to account for the rotation and revolution of the earth for better tracking. •More Efficient, Costlier, and require more land. MARKET CLASSIFICATION TYPES *Customer segmentation only for PV as CSP are only on grid projects Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
  • 6. IFC(International Finance Corporation) in its publication “Utility Scale solar power plants: A guide for developers and investors, 2012” mentions the following about Fixed tilt vs. Axis tracking systems : “Since fixed tilt mounting systems are simpler, cheaper and have lower maintenance requirements than tracking systems, they are the preferred option for countries with a nascent solar market and with limited indigenous manufacturers of tracking technology such as India.” As per Bridge to India – India Solar compass July 2013 report: “Out of the total 1,746 MW installed in India , only approximately 80 MW use some form of axis tracking technology.” Bridge to India Pvt. Ltd. did a financial analysis to calculate EIRR for Fixed tilt vs tracking systems and following were the results: Marginal for Horizontal Single Axis and Dual Axis for Vertical single axis in Indian conditions. Marginal increase insufficient to justify additional costs and risks involved with tracking systems. Over Short to Medium Term Horizon (2-8 Years) Fixed Tilt Systems will dominate over axis trackers Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
  • 7. 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 MW Annual Installed Capacity-Region middle east latin america asia pacific euprope north america Potential Export Markets • By 2020, APAC solar market share to grow from 42% to 47% • MEA region & Latin America are in the development /growth stage which requires rapid capital investment both public and private. • Favourable solar incidence expected to boost MEA region • MNCs domination through investment in integrated value chain 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 BillionUSD Revenue • Market revenue expected to grow to USD 137.02 billion from the current USD59.84 billion(2013) • Europe to see an expected decrease in terms of revenue on account of increasing assessment of green energy targets • The global solar market is likely to recover in 2014 with a further increase in the remaining forecast period Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy Asia Pacific region is an attractive solar export market Frost & Sullivan Global Solar PV report
  • 8. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 MW APAC Installed capacity and growth Capacity Growth Rate 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 20 40 60 20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020 BillionUSD Revenue USD billion Revenue USD billion Growth Rate APAC market – An analysis • By 2020 20 GW is expected to be installed every year • The APAC market is expected to grow to USD 54.72 billion with a CAGR of 13.6% • China market is dominated by EPC participants that are well integrated across the value chain • The Market development depends on the ability of market participants to influence policy makers to define supportive legislation 0 10000 20000 30000 20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020 MW APAC installed capacity country analysis Rest of APAC Australia Japan India China • Delay in implementation of policies • Huge emphasis on thermal power projects • Intense competition • Declining price of solar module • Governments policy support • High solar radiation • Manufacturing base Drivers Restraints Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy China leads the solar market in both growth rate and size among APAC countries Frost & Sullivan Global Solar PV report
  • 9. KEY STATES TARGET SEGMENT  In APAC, of the two technologies, solar PV power revenue share was 99.6%. CSP Projects are few and far between in APAC due to technology maturity, paucity of funds, and unavailability of large land area with strong sunlight. TARGET EXPORT MARKET Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
  • 10. 60 tonne steel is required for 1 MW capacity solar plant Capital cost for steel mounting structure is Rs.50 lakh/MW Solar structure is priced at Rs. 0.833 lacs per tonne CERC’s analysis on BenchmarkCapital Cost for Solar PV Power Projects Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy C purlins Types of steel angles used in solar structure I beam Clamp Bracket Z purlins
  • 11. Inbound logistics Operations Outbound logistics Marketing and sales After sales Procurement Technology Human Resource Infrastructure Existing suppliers Existing assembly line CRM Labour General Management New sales force Existing plant Carriers Solar EPC customer Individual solar project customer R e v e n u e KEC Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
  • 12. Revenue projections Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy
  • 13. EPC players Solar module Mounting Structure Inverter supplier Solar module Mounting Structure Inverter supplier Solar power project Contractor 1 Contractor 2Owner Executive Summary Feasibility Operations Financials Entry Strategy Consistent orders Can leverage KEC brand Consistent payments Low sales effort Pros Cons Comparatively low margin Higher margins Pros Cons Lack of visibility to end customer Inconsistent orders Payments depend upon project completion Higher visibility of RPG as a brand High sales effort Better capacity utilization V/S “Partnering with EPC is the smart choice”