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Uploaded byStephen Murgatroyd, PhD FBPsS FRSA
Regina Teachers' Convention 2019
The document discusses many challenges facing education due to rapid changes in demographics, technology, the economy, and society. These changes include shifts to online learning, the gig economy, growing inequality, and new skills needed for jobs. Education systems must adapt quickly to these challenges through reforms like changing governance models, incorporating more technology, and ensuring students learn skills for a changing world of work.
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Regina Teachers' Convention 2019
- 1. The Future Isn'ta Straight Line from the Past - Challenge and Change and the Future of Learning Stephen Murgatroyd, PhD FBPsS FRSA
- 2. This Presentation A BriefHistory of the Future – Some Pieces of the Jigsaw 1 The Specific Challenges for Education 2
- 3. “The pace ofchange has never been this fast, yet it will never be this slow again.”
- 4. Demographics As babyboomers retire the dependency ratio changes – in Canada from 4:1 to 2:1 by 2030 Some regions of Canada growing quickly – Alberta is one Indigenous peoples also growing – a growing & significant part of the Canadian workforce. Some countries below population replacement – especially Japan Others rapidly growing – especially in Asia, China Immigration essential in many countries – Canada needs to double its immigration to “stay the same” – 1 million by 2021 is already on the agenda
- 5. Shifting Global Economies– Shift Happens 424 major cities in the world will generate 75% of the world’s GDP – 325 of these are in Asia New middle class (2.5 billion by 2050) – almost entirely in Asia / India / Africa 50% of the world’s $1 billion companies are headquartered in Asia – more to come
- 6. Globalization MOOCs: 81.5million individuals registered for one of 9,500 MOOCs from 800+ universities and colleges in 2017 Supply chains are global – look at the BMW Mini. 300 options for exterior trim - 15,000,000,000,000,000 possible combinations. Parts delivered to Oxford Just in Time 0 – enough for 1 shift. 3,600 parts in a standard Mini (up to 4,875 in a Mini Cooper S) – from 47 countries.
- 7. Planet in Peril (GretaThunberg is in Alberta Today!) 9.5 billion people on planet Earth by 2050 If we continue current behaviours, we will need 3 planets to supply this population Already experiencing challenges about water, climate, extreme weather events Environmental challenges are real and urgent Climate change is real, get used to it!
- 8. Rapid Advances inTechnologies Artificial Intelligence 3D Printing enabling adaptive manufacturing Stem-Cell Therapies and Gene Splicing Robotics Blockchain Human Implants – Cognitive Implants Neuroplasticity and Cognitive Science
- 11. Technology Will Impact Work.. 30-40% of all current work will be impacted by one or more of these technologies Some jobs will disappear, new jobs will emerge Some workers with low level cognitive skills will not find work We will all have to dance with robots and share our intelligence with machines
- 12. New Forms ofOrganizations Industrial corporations are being replaced by business web organizations – Amazon and Uber are more common models than Proctor and Gamble Global businesses are: Aggregators and brokers Networked supply chains Using gig labour and smart technologies Moving goods and people faster than the tax authorities can find them Disrupting assumptions about how work gets done..
- 13. The New Economyis the Gig Economy 20% of the Australian workforce are in the gig economy – in Canada and the UK this figure is approaching 40% (in Alberta it is 17%) Gig economy growing 12x faster than formal employment The UK has zero hours contracts… Many millennials and iGen’s do not intend to pursue full time work – looking for work : life balance
- 14. Austerity and Recession Total debt from all sources (government, corporate, personal, etc.) is currently US$249 trillion. In the US, to deliver current levels of public services (everything from education to health care to pensions) to the projected population in 2030, taxpayers will need to find an additional US$940 billion. In the UK, they’ll need to find another US$170 billion, and in Canada they’ll need to find another US$90 billion. “We no longer have business cycles – we have debt cycles”
- 15. Growing Inequality Canada isexperiencing growing inequality – our top 100 CEO’s earn the average Canadian wage ($49,510) by 11:47 a.m. on January 3—the first working day of the year. Fewer than 90 families in Canada hold roughly as much wealth as everyone living in Newfoundland and Labrador, New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island collectively owns.
- 16. Identity and Meaning 1in 5 in the US report being lonely 18% of young people in the UK report ”life is not worth living” Mental health issues – especially for teens – growing Identity and meaning from work, family, community are all changing Compassion and empathy in decline as is spirituality Meaning cannot be found in “stuff” but in purpose and compassion
- 17. Then We Lookat Education Specific Challenges
- 18. GOVERNANCE SCHOOL BOARDSGONE NOW OR SOON OR DRAMATICALLY CHANGED QUEBEC NEW BRUNSWICK NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR PEII POWER OF BOARDS REDUCED BC, SASKATCHEWAN AND ALBERTA
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- 24. CLASSROOM COMPLEXITY /SPECIAL NEEDS / INCLUSION
- 25. THE BATTLE OVERCURRICULUM
- 26. THE SKILLS GAP& THE NEW WORLD OF WORK
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- 28. So The Big Picture.. It’s a time of significant change.. More change to come… The key – focused and strategic leadership…
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