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By,
     Quality                   ANIL KUMAR SAHU - 20104004
Associates, Inc.               SANDEEP PRASAD - 20104005
                               SARJEEVAN SAINBHI - 20104006

SCHOOL OF PETROLEUM MANAGEMENT, PDPU.




                               Quantitative Methods
                 Sarjeevan Sainbhi                       1
Coverage
                 Case Understanding -

                       Case Analysis -

       Beyond Case Analysis -




 Sarjeevan Sainbhi                   2
Case facts
• Quality Associates       ~ Client (Mfg. Company)
    (Consulting Firm)
• Initial Client Sample : 800 observation
• Quality Associates Suggestion : Random sample
  of 30 to monitor the process.
• Hypothesis
               H0 : µ = 12 ; Ha : µ ≠ 12
• Requirement:
   “If the process was not operating Satisfactorily,
           corrective actions could be taken”.
                          Sarjeevan Sainbhi            3
Given Data:

                    n             = 30
                    µ             = 12
                    No. of samples = 4
                    σ             = 0.21
                    S             = 0.21




Sarjeevan Sainbhi                          4
Analysis                                Sample 2
                     Sample 1
8                      7                              8                                     6       6
6                          5                          6                            4 4
                         4                            4                                         3           3
4                  3 3                 3                                 2
             2 2                                      2              1       1
                                                             0                                                  0 0
2                                  1                  0
         0                                 0 0
0




                                                             11.9
                                                              12




                                                            More
                                                             11.5
                                                             11.6
                                                             11.7
                                                             11.8


                                                             12.1
                                                             12.2
                                                             12.3
                                                             12.4
                                                             12.5
    11.5 11.7 11.9 12.1 12.3 12.5
                     Frequency                                                     Frequency
                                                          10                                8
    10                     9                                                                        6
                     4 4           4                        5                                   4
     5                                                                                  3               3
                                                                             2 2
             1 2 2             2       2
                                           0 0 0                     0 0
                                                                                    1                       1
                                                                                                                0
     0                                                      0



                      Frequency                                                    Frequency
                     Sample 3                    Sarjeevan Sainbhi
                                                                                 Sample 4                             5
Analysis
                                                Box Plot

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
    10             10.5         11      11.5          12       12.5       13         13.5         14
         Series1          Series2    Series3       Series4     Series5    Series6      Series7
         Series8          Series9    Series10      Series11    Series12   Series13     Series14
         Series15         Series16   Series17      Series18    Series19   Series20     Series21
         Series22         Series23   Series24      Series25    Series26   Series27     Series28
         Series29         Series30   Series31      Series32
                                           Sarjeevan Sainbhi                                       6
Analysis
                  CO-VARIANCE

           SAMPLE 1    SAMPLE 2            SAMPLE 3    SAMPLE 4

SAMPLE 1    0.046938

SAMPLE 2    0.046938      0.046938

SAMPLE 3    0.008929      0.008929          0.041489

SAMPLE 4    0.009392      0.009392          0.013891    0.041065


                       Sarjeevan Sainbhi                           7
Analysis
                CO-RELATION


           SAMPLE 1         SAMPLE 2              SAMPLE 3       SAMPLE 4

SAMPLE 1              1

SAMPLE 2              1                       1

SAMPLE 3    0.202328            0.202328                     1


SAMPLE 4    0.213919            0.213919           0.336544                 1

                          Sarjeevan Sainbhi                                     8
Analysis
                       Descriptive statistics : Summary Table
SAMPLE 1                 SAMPLE 2                     SAMPLE 3                    SAMPLE 4


  Mean      11.9587        Mean         12.0287         Mean         11.8890        Mean         12.0813
Standard
  Error      0.0402    Standard Error    0.0402    Standard Error     0.0378    Standard Error    0.0376
Median      11.9550       Median        12.0250        Median        11.9200       Median        12.0800
  Mode      11.9300        Mode         12.0000         Mode         11.9500        Mode         12.0200
Standard                 Standard                     Standard                    Standard
Deviation    0.2204      Deviation       0.2204       Deviation       0.2072      Deviation       0.2061
 Sample                   Sample                                                   Sample
Variance     0.0486      Variance        0.0486    Sample Variance    0.0429      Variance        0.0425
Skewness    -0.2350      Skewness       -0.2350       Skewness       -0.5225      Skewness       -0.3896
  Sum       358.7600       Sum          360.8600         Sum         356.6700       Sum          362.4400

 Count      30.0000        Count        30.0000         Count        30.0000        Count        30.0000


                                            Sarjeevan Sainbhi                                               9
Analysis
sample size

              Data
Population Standard Deviation                     0.21
Sampling Error                                    0.04
Confidence Level                                  99%

               Intermediate Calculations
Z Value                                     -2.5758293
Calculated Sample Size                     182.8743376

                          Result
Sample Size Needed                                183


        Finite Populations
Population Size                                    800
Sample Size with FPC                       149.0001973
Sample Size Needed Sarjeevan Sainbhi               150   10
Analysis
sample size             30.00          30.00         30.00   30.00
sample mean             11.96          12.03         11.89   12.08
population std. dev.     0.21           0.21          0.21    0.21
co-efficient of
                        1.84%          1.83%         1.74%   1.71%
variation

hypothesis value        12.00          12.00         12.00   12.00

standard error           0.04           0.04          0.04   0.04
test statistic z =      -1.08           0.75         -2.90   2.12

p- value (lower tail)    0.14           0.77         0.002    0.98
P-value (upper-tail)     0.86           0.23          1.00    0.02
p - value (two tail)     0.28           0.45         0.004    0.03
α                        0.01           0.01          0.01    0.01
α/2                     0.005          0.005         0.005   0.005

                                 Sarjeevan Sainbhi                   11
Sample 1                                                      Sample 2


                          P=.028                                                              P=.45
     P=.028                                                        P=.45

α=.005                            α=.005                       α=.005                             α=.005




              -1.08   1.08                                                   -0.75   0.75
         -2.576           2.576                                     -2.576                    2.576

   Sample 3                                                     Sample 4


                                                                                              P=.03
                                                                   P=.03

    α=.005                    α=.005                           α=.005                             α=.005
P=.004
                                          P=.004

                                                                           -2.12       2.12
 -2.90                             2.90
          -2.576                           Sarjeevan Sainbhi        -2.576                    2.576   12
                         2.576
Analysis

a) Result       Do not Reject H0 Do not Reject H0        Reject H0   Do not Reject H0

b) std. dev.          0.22              0.22               0.21            0.21
 M.E.                0.11              0.11              0.11              0.11
 Upper limit =
sample mean +       12.07             12.14             12.00             12.19
M.E.
 Lower limit =
sample mean -       11.85             11.92             11.78             11.97
M.E.
c) Interval    Do not Reject H0: Do not Reject H0: Do not Reject H0: Do not Reject H0:
Estimate         within Limit      within Limit      within Limit      within Limit
d) Changing α


                                     Sarjeevan Sainbhi                            13
Conclusion
• More samples are required in order to determine
  variability in the process.
• The samples can be collected at different time &
  days of operation to monitor the process
  effectively.
• The sample standard deviation varies within the
  sample.
• As all the Same Mean are within limited thus No
  corrective action is required.
• As the value of α is changed to larger value, the P
  value reduces leading to rejection of Null
  hypothesis.
                       Sarjeevan Sainbhi            14
Sarjeevan Sainbhi   15

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Q2 exe mba10-qm_quality associates_20104004-05-06

  • 1. By, Quality ANIL KUMAR SAHU - 20104004 Associates, Inc. SANDEEP PRASAD - 20104005 SARJEEVAN SAINBHI - 20104006 SCHOOL OF PETROLEUM MANAGEMENT, PDPU. Quantitative Methods Sarjeevan Sainbhi 1
  • 2. Coverage Case Understanding - Case Analysis - Beyond Case Analysis - Sarjeevan Sainbhi 2
  • 3. Case facts • Quality Associates ~ Client (Mfg. Company) (Consulting Firm) • Initial Client Sample : 800 observation • Quality Associates Suggestion : Random sample of 30 to monitor the process. • Hypothesis H0 : µ = 12 ; Ha : µ ≠ 12 • Requirement: “If the process was not operating Satisfactorily, corrective actions could be taken”. Sarjeevan Sainbhi 3
  • 4. Given Data: n = 30 µ = 12 No. of samples = 4 σ = 0.21 S = 0.21 Sarjeevan Sainbhi 4
  • 5. Analysis Sample 2 Sample 1 8 7 8 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 11.9 12 More 11.5 11.6 11.7 11.8 12.1 12.2 12.3 12.4 12.5 11.5 11.7 11.9 12.1 12.3 12.5 Frequency Frequency 10 8 10 9 6 4 4 4 5 4 5 3 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 Frequency Frequency Sample 3 Sarjeevan Sainbhi Sample 4 5
  • 6. Analysis Box Plot 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 10 10.5 11 11.5 12 12.5 13 13.5 14 Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5 Series6 Series7 Series8 Series9 Series10 Series11 Series12 Series13 Series14 Series15 Series16 Series17 Series18 Series19 Series20 Series21 Series22 Series23 Series24 Series25 Series26 Series27 Series28 Series29 Series30 Series31 Series32 Sarjeevan Sainbhi 6
  • 7. Analysis CO-VARIANCE SAMPLE 1 SAMPLE 2 SAMPLE 3 SAMPLE 4 SAMPLE 1 0.046938 SAMPLE 2 0.046938 0.046938 SAMPLE 3 0.008929 0.008929 0.041489 SAMPLE 4 0.009392 0.009392 0.013891 0.041065 Sarjeevan Sainbhi 7
  • 8. Analysis CO-RELATION SAMPLE 1 SAMPLE 2 SAMPLE 3 SAMPLE 4 SAMPLE 1 1 SAMPLE 2 1 1 SAMPLE 3 0.202328 0.202328 1 SAMPLE 4 0.213919 0.213919 0.336544 1 Sarjeevan Sainbhi 8
  • 9. Analysis Descriptive statistics : Summary Table SAMPLE 1 SAMPLE 2 SAMPLE 3 SAMPLE 4 Mean 11.9587 Mean 12.0287 Mean 11.8890 Mean 12.0813 Standard Error 0.0402 Standard Error 0.0402 Standard Error 0.0378 Standard Error 0.0376 Median 11.9550 Median 12.0250 Median 11.9200 Median 12.0800 Mode 11.9300 Mode 12.0000 Mode 11.9500 Mode 12.0200 Standard Standard Standard Standard Deviation 0.2204 Deviation 0.2204 Deviation 0.2072 Deviation 0.2061 Sample Sample Sample Variance 0.0486 Variance 0.0486 Sample Variance 0.0429 Variance 0.0425 Skewness -0.2350 Skewness -0.2350 Skewness -0.5225 Skewness -0.3896 Sum 358.7600 Sum 360.8600 Sum 356.6700 Sum 362.4400 Count 30.0000 Count 30.0000 Count 30.0000 Count 30.0000 Sarjeevan Sainbhi 9
  • 10. Analysis sample size Data Population Standard Deviation 0.21 Sampling Error 0.04 Confidence Level 99% Intermediate Calculations Z Value -2.5758293 Calculated Sample Size 182.8743376 Result Sample Size Needed 183 Finite Populations Population Size 800 Sample Size with FPC 149.0001973 Sample Size Needed Sarjeevan Sainbhi 150 10
  • 11. Analysis sample size 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 sample mean 11.96 12.03 11.89 12.08 population std. dev. 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 co-efficient of 1.84% 1.83% 1.74% 1.71% variation hypothesis value 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 standard error 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 test statistic z = -1.08 0.75 -2.90 2.12 p- value (lower tail) 0.14 0.77 0.002 0.98 P-value (upper-tail) 0.86 0.23 1.00 0.02 p - value (two tail) 0.28 0.45 0.004 0.03 α 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 α/2 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 Sarjeevan Sainbhi 11
  • 12. Sample 1 Sample 2 P=.028 P=.45 P=.028 P=.45 α=.005 α=.005 α=.005 α=.005 -1.08 1.08 -0.75 0.75 -2.576 2.576 -2.576 2.576 Sample 3 Sample 4 P=.03 P=.03 α=.005 α=.005 α=.005 α=.005 P=.004 P=.004 -2.12 2.12 -2.90 2.90 -2.576 Sarjeevan Sainbhi -2.576 2.576 12 2.576
  • 13. Analysis a) Result Do not Reject H0 Do not Reject H0 Reject H0 Do not Reject H0 b) std. dev. 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.21 M.E. 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 Upper limit = sample mean + 12.07 12.14 12.00 12.19 M.E. Lower limit = sample mean - 11.85 11.92 11.78 11.97 M.E. c) Interval Do not Reject H0: Do not Reject H0: Do not Reject H0: Do not Reject H0: Estimate within Limit within Limit within Limit within Limit d) Changing α Sarjeevan Sainbhi 13
  • 14. Conclusion • More samples are required in order to determine variability in the process. • The samples can be collected at different time & days of operation to monitor the process effectively. • The sample standard deviation varies within the sample. • As all the Same Mean are within limited thus No corrective action is required. • As the value of α is changed to larger value, the P value reduces leading to rejection of Null hypothesis. Sarjeevan Sainbhi 14