1. Delray Beach City Commission
Delray Beach, FL
January 14, 2014
Presented by
Nancy Schneider MBA, MA
2. Resilient Community
Sea Level Rise and Storm Surge
◦ Definitions
◦ Projections
◦ Impacts
• Our Allies and Partners
• Tools and Best Practices
• FEMA CRS – Flood Insurance
• Biggert-Waters Act
• The Plan – Our Road Map.
2
3. The ability to not only bounce back, but “bounce
forward” – to recover and at the same time to
enhance the capacities of the community to
better withstand future stresses.
Due to climate change and sea level rise, assets
with multi-decadal lifespans will be exposed to
weather events more extreme and less easy to
predict than ever before. Building codes and
zoning need to plan for changes.
Not just the built environment, but resilience on
the societal level also.
The ability to not only bounce back, but “bounce
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4. Historic Trend of Rising Seas:
Nine inches of sea level rise have occurred at
Key West over the past 100 years (global average rate
of rise).
Key West tide gauge data.
Source: The Nature Conservancy
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5. Future Projections
Unified Sea Level Rise Projection
3 – 7 inches of sea level rise by 2030
9 – 24 inches of sea level rise by 2060 5
6. Coastal Inundation and Shoreline Erosion
Loss of Natural Resources, Ecosystems
and Resource-based Economies
Business: Local Economy, Tourism
Loss of Property and Property Values
Severe Flooding: Intracoastal Basin and
Low Lying Areas, West: Tropic Isles, Lake
Ida, canal communities, et. al.
Infrastructure (transportation, energy,
facilities, telecommunications).
Elevated Coastal Groundwater Tables
◦ Salt Water Intrusion and Reduced
Drainage Capacity
o Fresh Water Supply and
o Drinking Water
o Outflows
o On-site Septic Disposal
Community impacts: Cultural resources,
public health, displaced persons.
Emergency Response: Police, Fire,
Hospital. 6
7. Saltwater Intrusion Effects on
Drinking Water in South Florida
(slide courtesy of SFWMD)
Coastal well-fields
Limestone
rock
sample
10. The
impacts
are
local
–
we
are
on
the
“front
line”.
Today’s
choices
shape
tomorrow’s
vulnerabilities.
It
takes
time
–
we
need
to
start
now.
Can
be
more
effective
and
less
costly
(4
to
1).
10
11. Intentional,
proactive,
and
occurs
at
the
societal
level
Changes
in
policy
and
behavior
that
people
and
organizations
adopt
AFTER
encountering
coastal
hazard
impacts.
11
12. • Protect/Fortify – “Stand and Defend” Sea walls, dikes, groynes.
But may increase future risks, create false sense of security,
destroy natural areas.
• Accommodate – “Buy Some Time” Retrofit or raise buildings,
elevate roads, enhance wetlands.
• Managed Retreat/Relocation – “Get Out of the Way” Strategic
decision to withdraw, relocate or abandon assets includes
setbacks and restore wetlands.
• Avoid – “Stay Out of the Way” No further development in high
hazard areas.
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22. FEMA program administered by ISO
VOLUNTARY Incentive Program (1990)
A Way of Quantifying A Community’s
Floodplain Management Efforts Above &
Beyond the Minimum NFIP standards
19 creditable community activities
Based on a 10 Class system. 500 pts. per
Class
5% insurance premium discount per Class
22
27. 8) Formal Scenario Planning
a) Engage Stakeholders in Planning Process
I. Hold Public Meetings/Charettes to inform residents of long‐term issues and to
develop a wide support base
9) Hire a qualified sustainability officer with experience in technical as well
as communications aspects of sustainability, in addition to mitigation
and adaptation to coastal hazards.
10) The city to research and apply for grants to fund the above analysis and
possible pilot projects.
11) Plan Resilience or Value Zones. (Managed Relocation)
12) Ensure that our beach re‐nourishment programs are protected for the
next 50 years (ACE now says the county has 50 years of sand offshore);
(Fortify)
10) Review every dune in town every year and budget for select re‐
nourishment and re‐vegetation where appropriate. (Fortify)
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28. Individuals with experience
in/as:
GIS, mapping, data
Planning,
Economists,
Land use attorneys,
Civil engineers,
Inundation modeling experts
if available;
Emergency managers
Coastal Management
Sciences: Oceanography,
Geology, Climatology
Visualization tools with an
interest in coastal hazards.
Individuals from:
The Business Community/
Chamber
NGOs related to
Environment/Climate and
related fields
City staff.
Other:
Students (FAU, Earth Science)
Local experts: History,
Networking,
*Coastal Hazard Adaptation Committee
Member Recommendation
28
29. A Resilience Zone is a special improvement district,
precinct, neighborhood, or corridor designated in
official planning documents for comprehensive risk
management and upgrading so that it performs
with resilience in the face of a variety of predictable
and unpredictable extremes.
‘Resilience’ is itself proposed here as a new
category of urban property performance. Resilience
is the ability of a property and its surrounding
urban area to provide predictable, targeted benefits
to tenants, residents and users, and predictable
returns to owners and investors, under a wider
range of often unpredictable circumstances.
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30. Thirty Year Ago Ed Wright Decided to
Elevate His Home When He Built It.
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http://www.app.com/videonetwork/2332907082001/Elevation-Saved-
Mantoloking-Home