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Preparedness 101
By: Arthur Davis BS, MS
Paramedic, firefighter, educator
Why do we need to engage in
Preparedness?
 The public is unprepared for an emergency lasting more
than 72 hours, a nationwide emergency or a multiple-region
event
 We live in a fragile society whose infrastructure and people
are threatened by emergencies from which our recovery may
be severely limited
 The government will not be able to help most people, i.e.
Katrina, Fran
 Any Federal response is based upon resources from the
States and Local agencies
 Preparedness less than 72 hrs (localized natural disasters)
will use the same concepts detailed here but with smaller
amounts & less redundancy-see www.fema.gov
Once Upon a
Time…..the Family was
the Center
• we have spent 3
decades promoting
individualism over the
family and community
•It is
family/community/
faith that will pull us
through adversity
It Has Been Written…………
 Mat 6:19-20; 24-34-know God, avoid worry &
greed ( not to be interpreted as avoid preparing)
 Gen 41:1-32 -Joseph- fed many after saving up
for a famine
 Gen 6:21- Noah- you are to take every kind of
food…
 1Tim 5:8- if anyone prepares for his family….
 Proverbs 27:12- the prudent man forsees
danger….
 Ecclesiastes 11:2- give a serving to seven and
also to eight……
 Mat 25:1-13- ....and those who were ready went in
with Him to the wedding (spiritual prep)
The US population is basically a
safe, well-provided for, well-
adjusted people with strong
infrastructure……..or so we
think?!
…Greeks, Romans, British and Communist Russia also
thought so
Lets Reflect………..
What are the risks that we
potentially face?
 Natural disasters – hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, etc
 Terrorism – explosives; dirty bomb; expansion of war-
martial law, fear
 Pandemic Flu – bird flu, smallpox- large numbers of
deceased; lack of medical services; inability to travel
 Internet/Gas pipelines/Power grid – our fragile
infrastructure is tied to these three entities and a disruption
in 1 would cause all three to collapse.
 Economic Collapse – hyperinflation of the dollar; high gas
prices; food and commodity shortages-civil unrest; looting;
rationing
The Key to Our Society
= power grid +internet +
gas supply
•The connection between
these 3 items cannot be
over-emphasized
•Neither can its
importance to our current
standard of living
•If one of these fails- they
all fail – and our society
basically goes back to a
pre-industrial society
The Big Risk we all face?.....
Economic Collapse
 Hyperinflation: costs more to buy same amt- the gov’t prints
money w/o end (QE 1-?) and prices on everything sky rocket;
spending ceases and economy grinds to a halt – Germany after
WWI
 Deflation: the dollar collapses in value and commodities drop in
value as well – Great Depression
 Poor Economic Growth:
 Unemployment Numbers – they are artificially low and do not represent
the underemployed and those who have stopped looking
 Banks are not lending – we have no growth in business or jobs
 NAFTA tied us to others & Euro problems will affect us
 QE is backed by derivatives & derivatives do not have sufficient
GDP to support them for long
Related Social Issues
 The generations that survived the Great Depression/WWII
grew up in modest means, had a work ethic & could
sacrifice….. the generations since then have lived in relative
opulence & had many entitlements
 When our economy collapses life will not be easy or nice-
when a people who have whatever they want, when they
want it, don’t get it….. they won’t be easy-going nor nice …in
other words- CIVIL UNREST & RIOTING
 As OF 2006, 50% of the total income in the US was
concentrated in the upper 10% of the population- almost
25% of the total income in the US was found in the upper 1%
 this is the greatest disparity in US history!
Change Happens…….
A Word on Revolutions………
 Extreme economic inequality
 Economic shock-’08
 Failed “Change”- failure of rising expectations: unemployment; health care;
cost of living increases- in opinion of > half the population
 Weak Middle Class- relative deprivation: not destitute but at a lower
economic level than one expected to be & less hope of improvement
 Feeling of Distrust / Incompetence in Gov’t- wars; immigration; Katrina;
threat of gov’t shut –downs; local gov’ts going bankrupt; sequestration; fiscal
cliff- in opinion of > half the population
 Spark- trigger of conflict: 2nd economic shock; terrorist attack
 Series of unplanned reactions to a series of cascading events
 Led by middle class NOT lower classes (due to anomie among lower)
 Seemingly out of nowhere (Soviet collapse in ‘89)-but in reality trigger
points simmer under the surface of society
 Most revolutions occur after a long period of foreign conflict- producing
ready-trained veterans at home: Iraq & Afganistan
 Most revolutions occur after a period of political
stagnation/polarization
Normalcy Bias
 The pervasive, misinformed idea that bad things will
never happen, or effect our region or ourselves
 The Reality is: that crime is at an all time high; we are
wide open to another terrorist event- our stores hold
enough food & fuel for an avg suburban population for
24 hrs (w/o re-stock)- we as a people are completely
dependent on technology for ADLs & lifestyle
 We are focused on secularism & immediate
gratification
 The concept of Self- Sufficiency has been bred out of
us & neglected
 Even rural America (pop. < 2000) is dependent on
technology for many things for daily life
Extreme Apocalyptic Thinking
 i.e. “Doomsday Preppers”
 This other extreme is also less than helpful
 Meteors, a “New Ice Age”, the “Super-
volcano” & other extinction-level events
 can all happen but are very unlikely & unlikely
successful in preparing for
 One must be balanced in any prepping
approach & not over-emphasize a
particular aspect- i.e. guns, bombs, etc
 Normalcy bias is still a bigger threat than
this by many factors
The Masses are Wholly Unprepared
Levels of Preparedness- 0-5
0- Typical apt dweller; travels for employment; eats out mostly & lives
out of a suitcase; the first dead or refugees
1- Typical urban/suburban home owner; limited food; no disaster
mindset or kit; likely unprotected from social violence
2- A homeowner that has 48-72 hrs worth of supplies; knows local
risks; has a plan for 72 hrs; assumes help from gov’t
3- A homeowner that has 3 -6 mos. worth of stored food/H2O; a
redundant means of security; some back-up power; has some basic
wilderness/medical competence; likely has a garden; knows help
may not come for some time
4- Has 1 yr stored food/H2O; a means to reliably replenish food/H2O
stores continuously; several levels of security; lives at a retreat or
can get to one; has a grp of like-minded preppers; has reliable
renewable energy in place; has a store of precious metals/barter
goods
5- Lives isolated, completely off the grid; is completely self sufficient;
unaware of many potential threats
Some Things to Ponder……
 Most know where the nearest Costco is, but where is your
nearest food distribution center or restaurant supply?
 Where would you get medicine if the pharmacies are empty?
 Many own a generator; what do you do when the gas runs
out or the pumps have no power?
 What do you do when you call 911 & there is no answer
because police, fire & EMS stayed home for their families?
 When is the best time to evacuate? How? To where?
 Could you shoot someone in self-defense?
 What does it mean if your State refuses to send its NG &n
resources to help the Fed gov’t?
 We have never faced a national emergency that has affected
all (or most) of the 50 States
 80% of the US is currently at Level 2 Preparedness or below
The Focus of Preparedness
 What exactly does “prepared” mean?
 What are the priorities?
 Can I do this where I live?
 What I am I not knowledgeable in?
 Could I live in a pre-industrial society-result of a rapid
decline?
 Do I have to get used to a life similar to the 1930s-1940s-
result of a slow decline?
**It really all depends on how much, and how close together,
the ”dominoes fall” as to whether we have a slow societal
decline- that can be responded to- or it is a rapid societal
decline -that cannot be managed by government**
Public Response to Disasters
 Event
 Cooperation- most work together initially & hope for relief
 Conflict- when relief does not come or resources dwindle
 Chaos- break down of law & order
 Re-Alignment- survivors bond & re-group
 Evil-doers also re-group
 6 mos. After the chaos, those surviving will have survival skills
 Groups will form around a common culture/ideal
 Fear people/groups without a moral compass (faith)
 Foreign governments?!
 Return to New Normal- a changed region/country ; new
gov’t; sectionalism
Time frames on these periods vary according to culture &
precipitating event
When things start to fall apart…..
 When will you know it is the beginning of a
rapid national decline?
 A run on the banks & stores
 Power grid, gasoline & internet disruptions
 Rioting/unrest begins (the first sign of such)
 Your friends &neighbors in Public Safety don’t go to
work
 Martial law is declared- it is likely too late
 You are in heaven with Jesus watching all of this
 THINGS CAN UNRAVEL VERY QUICKLY SO
BEING PREPARED AHEAD OF TIME IS
ESSENTIAL
 We are already currently showing signs of a slow
decline
….It May Fall Apart Very Quickly!
 The Roman Empire (really their gov’t &
control) fell apart over a period of yrs-
their society was agrarian & de-
centralized so everyday life cont’d as
normal overall
 We are very centralized & have a much
more technologically based
infrastructure- so we would likely fall
down to the pre-industrial level much
faster
BIBLE-BEANS-
BULLETS-
BANDAIDS-
BUTTRESSING
Core of Preparedness
 It really does not matter whether your
concern is a natural disaster, slow
economic downturn or a rapid
economic/societal decline
 These five areas comprise what you will
need to survive, thrive and/or develop
self-reliance
FAITH- “BIBLE”
 When law breaks down there needs to be a foundation for
society- people need guidance
 People will need and be looking for something solid to
cling to and derive support
 When catastrophic events occur they are frequently
interpreted in biblical terms- many times not accurately
 Many do not have Jesus
 We as Christians need to be here to spread God’s word
 When Jesus returns, he will return to a populated Earth-if
we have the means to survive provided for us, we should use it to
help others- God provides to people thru other people in order to
achieve his purposes as well as by His direct hand
Get-Started Point- find faith; find out what Jesus can do for
you; bring the Word to others
Moral Responsibility
 Those of us that have the means &
abilities to help ourselves and survive
are blessed
 The physically & developmentally
disabled, elderly and orphaned will have
no safety net when the gov’t ceases to
aid them
 In times of trouble we especially have a
calling to help those of lesser means
and abilities
FOOD- “BEANS”
 Water stored and a means to purify it- natural source is
ideal
 Nutritious canned food stored in temp sensitive
environs
 A garden for growing vegetables; planting fruit trees
 A means for hunting & owning/access to livestock plus
cooking w/o utilities
 Gaining the ability to can, dry & preserve/store food
 Your water/food supplies must be replenishable
 The scope of your needs is based on the number of
people you need to collectively support
Get Started Point- Secure a water source(s)- IT IS YOUR FIRST
PRIORITY; start buying a supply of canned food
SECURITY- “BULLETS”
 You need guns despite the contrary views on gun
ownership- criminals WILL use them and the police
will not be there to bail you out
 A shotgun & a rifle is a good start plus 1000 rounds
of ammo- you also need to learn how to use them
 Learn the basics of home defense- locks; perimeter;
warning devices
 Own a medium-large dog w/ basic obedience
 Decide early if you are staying or leaving your home
when things turn bad
Get Started Point- buy a shot gun & take a gun safety
course
Basics of Defense
MEDICAL CARE-
“BANDAIDS”
 Take an EMT course for basic medical care
concepts (preferably a Wilderness EMT course)-
any community college will offer this
 Begin stockpiling medical supplies plus OTC &
any Rx meds needed
 A formally trained MD/RN/medic will be needed
once you form a group
 Get vaccinated PRN & get dental work up to date
 Prevention of injury/illness will be a watchword
after a collapse- organized health care will be very
limited
Get Started Point- start a fitness routine & quit
tobacco use
Knowledge- Supplies- Skills-
Prevention
HOMESTEADING-
“BUTTRESSING”
 Organize; Acquire; & begin Rotating food in a pantry (O.A.R.)
 Implement an alternative energy source(s) (solar, generator,
etc) for a freezer, batteries, radio, flashlights, etc- your power
must be replenishable
 Buy lithium-ion rechargeable batteries in all sizes
 Work out the logistics of sanitation with no power grid for
your home
 Eventual replacements for mass produced cleaners, soap,
insecticides, etc will need to be made
 Decide where you will develop your post-collapse
home/retreat before investing
 Repair, Reuse & Re-issue of many things from clothes, tools
to grease & foodscraps
Get Started Point- clean out your house & throw out all non-
essential items or junk
And If It Does Not Fall Completely
Apart…..a Slow Decline
 A very depressed economy w/ law & order will
produce a very different world from what we are
used to
 Even if order & gov’t is maintained crime/conflict
will rise - some element of security will be needed
 Life will become more self-reliant out of necessity-
Repair, Reuse & Re-issue will be watch words
 Shortages & power outages will likely be
common- a garden, well-stocked pantry & a back
up power source would be prudent
 Food & Medicine should be your priorities
 You will need to become much less dependent on
cell phones & internet-based ADLs
You Will Need a Store of Wealth as
a Hedge Against Inflation
One More Thing(s)……..
 You don’t need to do this yourself; start
thinking how to collaborate
 Start & secure a stash of silver coins to
use as currency in a post-collapse world
 Silver is more denominizable than Gold
 Barter items to stock up on:
 flour/wheat grain; salt; sugar
 ammunition (in common calibers)
 ETOH; coffee; tea
 fuels
G0 or
STAY?
Staying Put/Evacuation - Choosing a
Retreat Location
 Your priorities & retreat attributes will remain
the same regardless of staying or leaving
 This decision will depend greatly on where you
live now
 4 Options:
 Leave for a retreat that your extended family or you
will live
 Leave for a cooperative retreat w/ pre-established
members
 Stay where you are & collaborate
 Stay where you are & stick w/ family
City/Urban
**You need to “Get Out of Dodge”
(G.O.O.D.)**
 Looting; riots; fires & lack of resources
 Disease will be rampant in a short time
 Evacuation needs to be done in advance at
first sign of unrest - before gridlock
 All utilities are tied to the grid
 sanitation, water, gas
 The ability to defend & provide for yourself
will be extremely limited
What’s wrong with the Suburbs?
Suburban
 Not optimum but feasible for a retreat in certain
cases
 If w/n 20 mi of a city; surrounded by cities; and/or
in congested sub divisions---G.O.O.D.
 If closer to rural areas- assess your defensibility,
ability to grow & hunt, access to water
 Most homes are not set up for living w/o modern
utilities
 Lack insulation; screens; traditional fireplace
 You will need assistance with transporting
necessities to your home
 most suburban areas are not set up for homesteading
needs- parcels of arable land; wooded areas w/ game;
running water
This Looks Secluded and
Safe…….
Rural/Farm
 You are likely in the second best position of the
four
 Your visibility & isolation could make you a target
 How close are you to an interstate? (refugees)
 What is your wildland fire & flood danger?(no fire
response post-collapse)
 How much help do you need to defend & work the
land? Do you have non-motorized farm
implements?
 Alabama; Mississippi; Georgia; No. & So.
Carolina; Tennesee (these states do not depend on
irrigation & have longer growing seasons than Midwest &
mild winters)
I Will Lift Up My eyes to the
Hills….Psalm 121
Rural- Mountains
 The best area for a retreat/home in post-
collapse world
 Montana; Eastern Washington & Oregon;
Idaho; Wyoming; rural Colorado-Adirondack,
Green, Sierra Nevada, Smoky & Blue Ridge Mnt regions
 Best access to water & natural resources
 Limited populations & far from potential
urban area refugees
 Most defensible
Retreat Attributes
 As far as possible from population centers, interstates,
& avenues refugees will take
 Access to replenish able water sources
 An adequate amt of arable land for your group size
 An area that is defensible 360 degrees
 Access to wood but also have optimum sunlight
 A well ventilated & insulated bldg(s)
 Wild-land fire & flood protection
 Like-minded neighbors
 Assess proximity to industrial centers- pollution,
hazmat, fires
Get-Started point: research your locale & look at your
home; determine whether you are best suited to stay or
look elsewhere
Evacuation-G.O.O.D.
 You need pre-determined route(s) to your retreat location
 Caching or pre-staging supplies at the retreat location is
advised as more than 72 hrs may be needed for the trip-
limits what you haul as well
 Family valuables could also be added- this could be a
permanent move
 Vehicles- a 4x4 crew cab truck; solid SUV(set up for off-road)
is the preferred G.O.O.D. vehicle
 Fuel must be stored to allow for the trip (pumps dn work if
grid down)- diesel would be best
 You must be ready to go quickly before the highways are
impassible
Get Started Point- research & stock a G.O.O.D. bag for each
family member
How to Form-Join a Group
 Honesty; trustworthiness; faith in God; good work
ethic; ability to teach; “Could I depend on this
person with my life?”
 Friends & family are a natural starting point
 At least 3-4 people at a good fitness level & are
proficient & seasoned with firearms
 You will need a medical specialist;
mechanic/tradesman; gardener; leader/organizer
 If joining- What are your marketable
skills/knowledge & resources?
 General preparedness competence for all
members-start education early as groups grows &
matures
Save Money NOW……
 Keep $ out of reach of U.S.- Swiss; India or invest in tangibles
 Buy Gold & Silver- consider undeveloped farm land
 Diversify-Long haul- Commodities (not traded in U.S. dollar)- Index
stocks- Lrg, well-diversified companies (GE, GF, Boeing, defense
industries)
 Max contributions or start a 401K- Roth
 No 2nd Mortgage & pay down existing- change to fixed rate
 Used reliable transportation
 Get out of the “high-rent district”
 Buy bulk- spend less on needs
 Use lower cost education options
 Avoid capital gains taxes on inherited assets- in your name or on
deed for 2 yrs
 End frivolous spending
Resources
 www.fema.gov
 www.survivalblog.com
 www.radiofreeredoubt.com
 www.ncpreppers.com
 www.PrepperPress.com
 The Encyclopedia of Country Living- Carla Emery
 Just in Case: How to be Self-Sufficient When the
Unexpected Happens- Kathy Harrison
 How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It-
James W. Rawles
 Holding Your Ground- Preparing for Defense if it All Falls
Apart- Joe Nobody
 Wilderness First Responder Textbook- Buck Tilton
 http://carolinareadiness.com/ (Western Carolina Readiness
Store)
 http://homestead.org
*The information contained in this PPT is a combination of my research & knowledge plus information found in the references cited as resources on this page

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Preparedness 101.1

  • 1. Preparedness 101 By: Arthur Davis BS, MS Paramedic, firefighter, educator
  • 2.
  • 3. Why do we need to engage in Preparedness?  The public is unprepared for an emergency lasting more than 72 hours, a nationwide emergency or a multiple-region event  We live in a fragile society whose infrastructure and people are threatened by emergencies from which our recovery may be severely limited  The government will not be able to help most people, i.e. Katrina, Fran  Any Federal response is based upon resources from the States and Local agencies  Preparedness less than 72 hrs (localized natural disasters) will use the same concepts detailed here but with smaller amounts & less redundancy-see www.fema.gov
  • 4. Once Upon a Time…..the Family was the Center • we have spent 3 decades promoting individualism over the family and community •It is family/community/ faith that will pull us through adversity
  • 5. It Has Been Written…………  Mat 6:19-20; 24-34-know God, avoid worry & greed ( not to be interpreted as avoid preparing)  Gen 41:1-32 -Joseph- fed many after saving up for a famine  Gen 6:21- Noah- you are to take every kind of food…  1Tim 5:8- if anyone prepares for his family….  Proverbs 27:12- the prudent man forsees danger….  Ecclesiastes 11:2- give a serving to seven and also to eight……  Mat 25:1-13- ....and those who were ready went in with Him to the wedding (spiritual prep)
  • 6. The US population is basically a safe, well-provided for, well- adjusted people with strong infrastructure……..or so we think?! …Greeks, Romans, British and Communist Russia also thought so Lets Reflect………..
  • 7. What are the risks that we potentially face?  Natural disasters – hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, etc  Terrorism – explosives; dirty bomb; expansion of war- martial law, fear  Pandemic Flu – bird flu, smallpox- large numbers of deceased; lack of medical services; inability to travel  Internet/Gas pipelines/Power grid – our fragile infrastructure is tied to these three entities and a disruption in 1 would cause all three to collapse.  Economic Collapse – hyperinflation of the dollar; high gas prices; food and commodity shortages-civil unrest; looting; rationing
  • 8. The Key to Our Society = power grid +internet + gas supply •The connection between these 3 items cannot be over-emphasized •Neither can its importance to our current standard of living •If one of these fails- they all fail – and our society basically goes back to a pre-industrial society
  • 9. The Big Risk we all face?..... Economic Collapse  Hyperinflation: costs more to buy same amt- the gov’t prints money w/o end (QE 1-?) and prices on everything sky rocket; spending ceases and economy grinds to a halt – Germany after WWI  Deflation: the dollar collapses in value and commodities drop in value as well – Great Depression  Poor Economic Growth:  Unemployment Numbers – they are artificially low and do not represent the underemployed and those who have stopped looking  Banks are not lending – we have no growth in business or jobs  NAFTA tied us to others & Euro problems will affect us  QE is backed by derivatives & derivatives do not have sufficient GDP to support them for long
  • 10. Related Social Issues  The generations that survived the Great Depression/WWII grew up in modest means, had a work ethic & could sacrifice….. the generations since then have lived in relative opulence & had many entitlements  When our economy collapses life will not be easy or nice- when a people who have whatever they want, when they want it, don’t get it….. they won’t be easy-going nor nice …in other words- CIVIL UNREST & RIOTING  As OF 2006, 50% of the total income in the US was concentrated in the upper 10% of the population- almost 25% of the total income in the US was found in the upper 1%  this is the greatest disparity in US history!
  • 12. A Word on Revolutions………  Extreme economic inequality  Economic shock-’08  Failed “Change”- failure of rising expectations: unemployment; health care; cost of living increases- in opinion of > half the population  Weak Middle Class- relative deprivation: not destitute but at a lower economic level than one expected to be & less hope of improvement  Feeling of Distrust / Incompetence in Gov’t- wars; immigration; Katrina; threat of gov’t shut –downs; local gov’ts going bankrupt; sequestration; fiscal cliff- in opinion of > half the population  Spark- trigger of conflict: 2nd economic shock; terrorist attack  Series of unplanned reactions to a series of cascading events  Led by middle class NOT lower classes (due to anomie among lower)  Seemingly out of nowhere (Soviet collapse in ‘89)-but in reality trigger points simmer under the surface of society  Most revolutions occur after a long period of foreign conflict- producing ready-trained veterans at home: Iraq & Afganistan  Most revolutions occur after a period of political stagnation/polarization
  • 13. Normalcy Bias  The pervasive, misinformed idea that bad things will never happen, or effect our region or ourselves  The Reality is: that crime is at an all time high; we are wide open to another terrorist event- our stores hold enough food & fuel for an avg suburban population for 24 hrs (w/o re-stock)- we as a people are completely dependent on technology for ADLs & lifestyle  We are focused on secularism & immediate gratification  The concept of Self- Sufficiency has been bred out of us & neglected  Even rural America (pop. < 2000) is dependent on technology for many things for daily life
  • 14. Extreme Apocalyptic Thinking  i.e. “Doomsday Preppers”  This other extreme is also less than helpful  Meteors, a “New Ice Age”, the “Super- volcano” & other extinction-level events  can all happen but are very unlikely & unlikely successful in preparing for  One must be balanced in any prepping approach & not over-emphasize a particular aspect- i.e. guns, bombs, etc  Normalcy bias is still a bigger threat than this by many factors
  • 15. The Masses are Wholly Unprepared Levels of Preparedness- 0-5 0- Typical apt dweller; travels for employment; eats out mostly & lives out of a suitcase; the first dead or refugees 1- Typical urban/suburban home owner; limited food; no disaster mindset or kit; likely unprotected from social violence 2- A homeowner that has 48-72 hrs worth of supplies; knows local risks; has a plan for 72 hrs; assumes help from gov’t 3- A homeowner that has 3 -6 mos. worth of stored food/H2O; a redundant means of security; some back-up power; has some basic wilderness/medical competence; likely has a garden; knows help may not come for some time 4- Has 1 yr stored food/H2O; a means to reliably replenish food/H2O stores continuously; several levels of security; lives at a retreat or can get to one; has a grp of like-minded preppers; has reliable renewable energy in place; has a store of precious metals/barter goods 5- Lives isolated, completely off the grid; is completely self sufficient; unaware of many potential threats
  • 16. Some Things to Ponder……  Most know where the nearest Costco is, but where is your nearest food distribution center or restaurant supply?  Where would you get medicine if the pharmacies are empty?  Many own a generator; what do you do when the gas runs out or the pumps have no power?  What do you do when you call 911 & there is no answer because police, fire & EMS stayed home for their families?  When is the best time to evacuate? How? To where?  Could you shoot someone in self-defense?  What does it mean if your State refuses to send its NG &n resources to help the Fed gov’t?  We have never faced a national emergency that has affected all (or most) of the 50 States  80% of the US is currently at Level 2 Preparedness or below
  • 17. The Focus of Preparedness  What exactly does “prepared” mean?  What are the priorities?  Can I do this where I live?  What I am I not knowledgeable in?  Could I live in a pre-industrial society-result of a rapid decline?  Do I have to get used to a life similar to the 1930s-1940s- result of a slow decline? **It really all depends on how much, and how close together, the ”dominoes fall” as to whether we have a slow societal decline- that can be responded to- or it is a rapid societal decline -that cannot be managed by government**
  • 18. Public Response to Disasters  Event  Cooperation- most work together initially & hope for relief  Conflict- when relief does not come or resources dwindle  Chaos- break down of law & order  Re-Alignment- survivors bond & re-group  Evil-doers also re-group  6 mos. After the chaos, those surviving will have survival skills  Groups will form around a common culture/ideal  Fear people/groups without a moral compass (faith)  Foreign governments?!  Return to New Normal- a changed region/country ; new gov’t; sectionalism Time frames on these periods vary according to culture & precipitating event
  • 19. When things start to fall apart…..  When will you know it is the beginning of a rapid national decline?  A run on the banks & stores  Power grid, gasoline & internet disruptions  Rioting/unrest begins (the first sign of such)  Your friends &neighbors in Public Safety don’t go to work  Martial law is declared- it is likely too late  You are in heaven with Jesus watching all of this  THINGS CAN UNRAVEL VERY QUICKLY SO BEING PREPARED AHEAD OF TIME IS ESSENTIAL  We are already currently showing signs of a slow decline
  • 20. ….It May Fall Apart Very Quickly!  The Roman Empire (really their gov’t & control) fell apart over a period of yrs- their society was agrarian & de- centralized so everyday life cont’d as normal overall  We are very centralized & have a much more technologically based infrastructure- so we would likely fall down to the pre-industrial level much faster
  • 22. Core of Preparedness  It really does not matter whether your concern is a natural disaster, slow economic downturn or a rapid economic/societal decline  These five areas comprise what you will need to survive, thrive and/or develop self-reliance
  • 23.
  • 24. FAITH- “BIBLE”  When law breaks down there needs to be a foundation for society- people need guidance  People will need and be looking for something solid to cling to and derive support  When catastrophic events occur they are frequently interpreted in biblical terms- many times not accurately  Many do not have Jesus  We as Christians need to be here to spread God’s word  When Jesus returns, he will return to a populated Earth-if we have the means to survive provided for us, we should use it to help others- God provides to people thru other people in order to achieve his purposes as well as by His direct hand Get-Started Point- find faith; find out what Jesus can do for you; bring the Word to others
  • 25. Moral Responsibility  Those of us that have the means & abilities to help ourselves and survive are blessed  The physically & developmentally disabled, elderly and orphaned will have no safety net when the gov’t ceases to aid them  In times of trouble we especially have a calling to help those of lesser means and abilities
  • 26. FOOD- “BEANS”  Water stored and a means to purify it- natural source is ideal  Nutritious canned food stored in temp sensitive environs  A garden for growing vegetables; planting fruit trees  A means for hunting & owning/access to livestock plus cooking w/o utilities  Gaining the ability to can, dry & preserve/store food  Your water/food supplies must be replenishable  The scope of your needs is based on the number of people you need to collectively support Get Started Point- Secure a water source(s)- IT IS YOUR FIRST PRIORITY; start buying a supply of canned food
  • 27.
  • 28. SECURITY- “BULLETS”  You need guns despite the contrary views on gun ownership- criminals WILL use them and the police will not be there to bail you out  A shotgun & a rifle is a good start plus 1000 rounds of ammo- you also need to learn how to use them  Learn the basics of home defense- locks; perimeter; warning devices  Own a medium-large dog w/ basic obedience  Decide early if you are staying or leaving your home when things turn bad Get Started Point- buy a shot gun & take a gun safety course
  • 30. MEDICAL CARE- “BANDAIDS”  Take an EMT course for basic medical care concepts (preferably a Wilderness EMT course)- any community college will offer this  Begin stockpiling medical supplies plus OTC & any Rx meds needed  A formally trained MD/RN/medic will be needed once you form a group  Get vaccinated PRN & get dental work up to date  Prevention of injury/illness will be a watchword after a collapse- organized health care will be very limited Get Started Point- start a fitness routine & quit tobacco use
  • 32. HOMESTEADING- “BUTTRESSING”  Organize; Acquire; & begin Rotating food in a pantry (O.A.R.)  Implement an alternative energy source(s) (solar, generator, etc) for a freezer, batteries, radio, flashlights, etc- your power must be replenishable  Buy lithium-ion rechargeable batteries in all sizes  Work out the logistics of sanitation with no power grid for your home  Eventual replacements for mass produced cleaners, soap, insecticides, etc will need to be made  Decide where you will develop your post-collapse home/retreat before investing  Repair, Reuse & Re-issue of many things from clothes, tools to grease & foodscraps Get Started Point- clean out your house & throw out all non- essential items or junk
  • 33.
  • 34. And If It Does Not Fall Completely Apart…..a Slow Decline  A very depressed economy w/ law & order will produce a very different world from what we are used to  Even if order & gov’t is maintained crime/conflict will rise - some element of security will be needed  Life will become more self-reliant out of necessity- Repair, Reuse & Re-issue will be watch words  Shortages & power outages will likely be common- a garden, well-stocked pantry & a back up power source would be prudent  Food & Medicine should be your priorities  You will need to become much less dependent on cell phones & internet-based ADLs
  • 35. You Will Need a Store of Wealth as a Hedge Against Inflation
  • 36. One More Thing(s)……..  You don’t need to do this yourself; start thinking how to collaborate  Start & secure a stash of silver coins to use as currency in a post-collapse world  Silver is more denominizable than Gold  Barter items to stock up on:  flour/wheat grain; salt; sugar  ammunition (in common calibers)  ETOH; coffee; tea  fuels
  • 38. Staying Put/Evacuation - Choosing a Retreat Location  Your priorities & retreat attributes will remain the same regardless of staying or leaving  This decision will depend greatly on where you live now  4 Options:  Leave for a retreat that your extended family or you will live  Leave for a cooperative retreat w/ pre-established members  Stay where you are & collaborate  Stay where you are & stick w/ family
  • 39.
  • 40. City/Urban **You need to “Get Out of Dodge” (G.O.O.D.)**  Looting; riots; fires & lack of resources  Disease will be rampant in a short time  Evacuation needs to be done in advance at first sign of unrest - before gridlock  All utilities are tied to the grid  sanitation, water, gas  The ability to defend & provide for yourself will be extremely limited
  • 41. What’s wrong with the Suburbs?
  • 42. Suburban  Not optimum but feasible for a retreat in certain cases  If w/n 20 mi of a city; surrounded by cities; and/or in congested sub divisions---G.O.O.D.  If closer to rural areas- assess your defensibility, ability to grow & hunt, access to water  Most homes are not set up for living w/o modern utilities  Lack insulation; screens; traditional fireplace  You will need assistance with transporting necessities to your home  most suburban areas are not set up for homesteading needs- parcels of arable land; wooded areas w/ game; running water
  • 43. This Looks Secluded and Safe…….
  • 44. Rural/Farm  You are likely in the second best position of the four  Your visibility & isolation could make you a target  How close are you to an interstate? (refugees)  What is your wildland fire & flood danger?(no fire response post-collapse)  How much help do you need to defend & work the land? Do you have non-motorized farm implements?  Alabama; Mississippi; Georgia; No. & So. Carolina; Tennesee (these states do not depend on irrigation & have longer growing seasons than Midwest & mild winters)
  • 45. I Will Lift Up My eyes to the Hills….Psalm 121
  • 46. Rural- Mountains  The best area for a retreat/home in post- collapse world  Montana; Eastern Washington & Oregon; Idaho; Wyoming; rural Colorado-Adirondack, Green, Sierra Nevada, Smoky & Blue Ridge Mnt regions  Best access to water & natural resources  Limited populations & far from potential urban area refugees  Most defensible
  • 47. Retreat Attributes  As far as possible from population centers, interstates, & avenues refugees will take  Access to replenish able water sources  An adequate amt of arable land for your group size  An area that is defensible 360 degrees  Access to wood but also have optimum sunlight  A well ventilated & insulated bldg(s)  Wild-land fire & flood protection  Like-minded neighbors  Assess proximity to industrial centers- pollution, hazmat, fires Get-Started point: research your locale & look at your home; determine whether you are best suited to stay or look elsewhere
  • 48. Evacuation-G.O.O.D.  You need pre-determined route(s) to your retreat location  Caching or pre-staging supplies at the retreat location is advised as more than 72 hrs may be needed for the trip- limits what you haul as well  Family valuables could also be added- this could be a permanent move  Vehicles- a 4x4 crew cab truck; solid SUV(set up for off-road) is the preferred G.O.O.D. vehicle  Fuel must be stored to allow for the trip (pumps dn work if grid down)- diesel would be best  You must be ready to go quickly before the highways are impassible Get Started Point- research & stock a G.O.O.D. bag for each family member
  • 49. How to Form-Join a Group  Honesty; trustworthiness; faith in God; good work ethic; ability to teach; “Could I depend on this person with my life?”  Friends & family are a natural starting point  At least 3-4 people at a good fitness level & are proficient & seasoned with firearms  You will need a medical specialist; mechanic/tradesman; gardener; leader/organizer  If joining- What are your marketable skills/knowledge & resources?  General preparedness competence for all members-start education early as groups grows & matures
  • 50. Save Money NOW……  Keep $ out of reach of U.S.- Swiss; India or invest in tangibles  Buy Gold & Silver- consider undeveloped farm land  Diversify-Long haul- Commodities (not traded in U.S. dollar)- Index stocks- Lrg, well-diversified companies (GE, GF, Boeing, defense industries)  Max contributions or start a 401K- Roth  No 2nd Mortgage & pay down existing- change to fixed rate  Used reliable transportation  Get out of the “high-rent district”  Buy bulk- spend less on needs  Use lower cost education options  Avoid capital gains taxes on inherited assets- in your name or on deed for 2 yrs  End frivolous spending
  • 51. Resources  www.fema.gov  www.survivalblog.com  www.radiofreeredoubt.com  www.ncpreppers.com  www.PrepperPress.com  The Encyclopedia of Country Living- Carla Emery  Just in Case: How to be Self-Sufficient When the Unexpected Happens- Kathy Harrison  How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It- James W. Rawles  Holding Your Ground- Preparing for Defense if it All Falls Apart- Joe Nobody  Wilderness First Responder Textbook- Buck Tilton  http://carolinareadiness.com/ (Western Carolina Readiness Store)  http://homestead.org *The information contained in this PPT is a combination of my research & knowledge plus information found in the references cited as resources on this page