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Power of Analytics
  Startups Special

         Nitin Godawat
         DeciDyn Systems

         May 2009
Today’s Menu
Starters
 Analytics – An Introduction
 Example from Financial Services

 Main Courses
   Why Analytics?
   Users of Analytics
   Increasing Use of Analytics
   Analytics – Tools and Techniques
   Is Investment in Analytics Worth?
   The Next Wave & The Enablers

   Dessert
     Some More Examples
     Careers in Analytics

     Finally A Candy
       For Small & Medium Enterprises

                                        2
Analytics – An Introduction

Business                  Queries/         OLAP             Data    Advanced Data
Question                  Reports                         Analytics   Analytics

What is the revenue
                              History
from a campaign?

Which age group had
                                  Drill down
the highest response?
How are customers likely to
                                        Adds prediction
respond to the next offer?

How do I deliver a
                                   Prediction, personalization and optimization
personalized offer with
the highest ROI within
my budget?

    “Data Analytics is a combination of art and science to understand,
              predict and influence customer’s behaviour”
                                                                                  3
Example from Financial Services
                                                  Complaint
                                                  Complaint
      Activity                                    Calls,
                                                  Calls,
      Level                                       Request Calls,
                                                  Request Calls,
                                                  Waiver Calls
                                                  Waiver Calls

                        Credit Line Increase //                                       Credit Line
                        Credit Line Increase                                          Credit Line
                        Decrease,                                                     Decrease,
                        Decrease,                                                     Decrease,
                        Purchase Authorization,                                       Credit Line Freeze
                        Purchase Authorization,                                       Credit Line Freeze
                        FC/ Late Charge Waivers
                        FC/ Late Charge Waivers                                                       Call Frequency,
                                                                                                      Call Frequency,
                Welcome Campaigns,
                Welcome Campaigns,                                                                    Call Timing
                                                                                                      Call Timing
                Discounts,
                Discounts,
                                                                                                                   Involuntary
                Demographic Profiling,
                Demographic Profiling,
                                                                                                                    Closures
                Triggers,
                Triggers,
                Customer Value Based
                Customer Value Based
                Campaigns
                Campaigns




                                                                                                           Reactivation,
                                                                                                           Reactivation,
                                                                                                           Cross Sell
                                                                                                           Cross Sell
Solicit,
Solicit,
Discount,
Discount,
Advertisement
Advertisement
                                                                                                                 S2S Cross Sell
                                                                                                                 S2S Cross Sell
Credit
Credit
Approval,
Approval,
                       Acquisition                                                                                Attrite
Credit Line
Credit Line
                                                                                                                           Time
Application,
Application,                              Marketing         Risk   Operations   Collections
                                          Marketing         Risk   Operations   Collections
Activation
Activation


                                                                                                                                  4
Today’s Menu
Starters
 Analytics – An Introduction
 Example from Financial Services

 Main Courses
   Why Analytics?
   Users of Analytics
   Increasing Use of Analytics
   Analytics – Tools and Techniques
   Is Investment in Analytics Worth?
   The Next Wave & The Enablers

   Dessert
     Some More Examples
     Careers in Analytics

     Finally A Candy
       For Small & Medium Enterprises

                                        5
Few Facts
 • By 2010, 1.6 billion users are expected to come online (Imagine the amount of
   clickstream data that’s going to be generated!)
 • 40 billion personal emails, 17 billion alerts and a further 40 billion spam emails are sent
   each day (What’s the requirement for server space, broadband??)
 • Visa and Mastercard had approximately 90 billion purchase transactions in 2007
 • The digital universe in 2007 was estimated at 281 exabytes (EB) and is projected to be
   nearly 1.8 zettabytes (ZB) in 2011
 • In healthcare, the Enterprise Research Group estimated that compliance records
   exceeded 1,600 petabytes in 2006
 • Chevron's CIO says his company accumulates data at the rate of 2 terabytes –
   17,592,000,000,000 bits – a day
 • Wal-Mart - reputed to have the largest database of customer transactions in the world.
   In 2000, database was reported to be 110 terabytes, with recordings and storage of
   information on tens of millions of transactions a day. By 2004, it was reported to be half
   a petabyte (1 PB)

                           Do I still need to answer ‘Why Analytics’?

Source: Publicly available information                                               1 ZB = 1 trillion GB 6
                                         1 PB – 1 million GB   1 EB = 1 billion GB
Users of Analytics
                                Procter & Gamble
                                Unilever
                                                    Consumer
                                                    Products
        Barclays Bank
                                                                                       AT&T, BT,
                           Financial
        Capital One                                                 Telecommunications Sprint
                           Services
        MBNA




Wal-Mart    Retail, Store and                                                                         Harrah’s International
                                                                                    Hospitality and
Tesco
            Supply chain                                                                              Marriot International
                                                                                    Entertainment
JC Penney
                                                                                                      Boston Red Sox


                                                    Users of
                                                    Analytics

                  E-Business
                                                                                  Industrial
                     and
                                                                                                 CEMEX
                                                                                  Products
                 Web Analytics
                                                                                                 John Deere
       Google
       Yahoo
       Amazon

                                        Transport           Pharmaceuticals
                            FedEx                                             Pfizer, GSK
                            UPS
                                                                                                                               7
Increasing Use of Analytics

   15% of top performers versus 3%
    of low performers indicated that
                                                              47%
    analytical capabilities are a key
                                                                                     2002
        element of their strategy.
                                                                                     2006
                                               37%
                       33%
                                        27%

                                                        19%

      12%                                                                     10%
                                                                        9%
                             8%

             0%

   No analytical       Minimal       Some analytical   Above average      Analytic
    capability        analytical       capability        analytical    capability is a
                      capability                         capability    key element of
                                                                          strategy

Source: Accenture study of 205/392 companies


                                                                                            8
Analytics Tools and Techniques
Techniques range from ‘easy to understand’ to incomprehensible
                                                                  Easy
• Exploratory Analysis (Distributions, Ratios, etc.)
• Objective Segmentation Techniques
• Non-objective Segmentation
• Regression, Time-Series Models
• Pattern Recognition, Text Mining
                                                                  Hard
• Advanced Techniques (e.g. Neural Net, SVM, GA)

                           Business Intelligence   Miscellaneous Tools
    Analysis Tools
                           Tools
                           •   SAS BI              • Campaign
•    SAS, SPSS, R
                                                     Management: Unica
                           •   Hyperion
•    Knowledge Studio
                                                   • Google Analytics
                           •   Business Objects
•    Model Builder, KXEN
                                                   • Oracle, SAP, etc.
                           •   Cognos
•    Octave/Matlab
                                                     have basic analytics
                           •   Palo
•    Crystal Ball
                                                     capability

                                                                            9
Is Investment in Analytics Worth?


                                          Visible ROI

                    Predictive Analytics

                    BPM/CRM/BI

                    Back-Office Applications

                    Middleware & Infrastructure Technologies

                    Operational Systems

                    Hardware



                                                           10
The Next Wave & The Enablers

• Intelligent Datawarehousing: Embedded with Analytics capability

• Understanding Unstructured Data: Pattern & Image Recognition, Text
  Mining, Speech Analytics

• Faster Processors, Grid/Parallel Computing

• In-memory Analytics

• Personalization: Customized Recommendation at Individual Level

• Real-time Analytics, Web 3.0

• Extensive Research on Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning Techniques




                                                                              11
Today’s Menu
Starters
 Analytics – An Introduction
 Example from Financial Services

 Main Courses
   Why Analytics?
   Users of Analytics
   Increasing Use of Analytics
   Analytics – Tools and Techniques
   Is Investment in Analytics Worth?
   The Next Wave & The Enablers

   Dessert
     Some More Examples
     Careers in Analytics

     Finally A Candy
       For Small & Medium Enterprises

                                        12
Some More Examples
Retail Sales Analysis: Correlate sales with weather pattern and decide how much to stock a
particular item

Fraud Detection Applications: To track certain factors that define a credit card user’s
fraudulent behavior. If the owner of the card usually travels in known regions of the world, but
card usage starts appearing in other geographical regions, that spending pattern could
indicate someone other than its owner is using that card.

Quality Analysis in the Manufacturing Process: Predicting when a piece of equipment will
fail given the factors that existed when similar equipment failed in the past.

Fighting terrorism: Authorities can monitor data banks for information like a suspicious
person’s visa status and firearm registration, and then extrapolate from that data to see if the
individual in question fits a common terrorist’s behavior profile.

“People You May Know”: Facebook and Linkedin suggests people that a user may know

Recommender System: Amazon recommends products/books based on your surfing
behaviour and past transactions




                                                                                                   13
Careers in Analytics
                                                      Statistical/
                                MIS
                                                    Mathematical/OR
                             Developers
                                                       Modelers
                       • MBA/M.Tech/B.Tech/MCA
                                                    • PG in Stats/Eco/Maths, B.Tech
                       • SAS, SQL, Excel, VBA
                                                    • SAS, SPSS, R, Knowledge Studio
                       • OLAP Tools like Cognos,    • Neural Net, Genetic Algorithm,
                         Business Objects, etc.       SVM, KNN, etc.
                       • 1-10 year of experience    • 1-10 years of experience


        Software                                                            Database
        Developers                                                          Consultants
                                         Well-rounded
    • M.Tech/B.Tech/MCA
                                                                       M.Tech/B/Tech/MCA
                                                                   •
                                          Analytics
    • Java, C++, SQL, Python
                                                                       Oracle, SQL Server, ETL, etc.
                                                                   •
    • Good understanding of
                                         Professional                  Database Design/Optimization
                                                                   •
      databases
                                                                       1-10 years of experience
                                                                   •
    • 1-10 years of experience



                            Market Research          Domain
                            Analysts                 Consultants
                    • MBA/BBA/MA(Eco)               • MBA or Any PG
                    • Market/Domain Understanding   • Experience of one industry like
                    • Understanding of Survey and
                                                      Retail, Financial Services, etc
                      MR tool                       • 5+ Experience in Operations
                    • 1-10 years of experience        Role




                                                                                                       14
Today’s Menu
Starters
 Analytics – An Introduction
 Example from Financial Services

 Main Courses
   Why Analytics?
   Users of Analytics
   Increasing Use of Analytics
   Analytics – Tools and Techniques
   Is Investment in Analytics Worth?
   The Next Wave & The Enablers

   Dessert
     Some More Examples
     Careers in Analytics

     Finally A Candy
       For Small & Medium Enterprises

                                        15
For Small & Medium Enterprises
Quick Solutions
    Set up a comprehensive Management Information System
    Analyze Cause and Effect - Try Fish Bone Diagram
    Apply 80:20 rule (Pareto) – It works!
    ‘Champion-Challenger’ approach. e.g. Price Discovery
Advance Solutions
    Integrated Campaign Management System with Web Analytics
    Develop Customer Profiles based on demographic information
    Identify Product Bundles using Market Basket Analysis
    Analyze Click-stream data to build intelligent website
    Use Recommendation Engine for online and offline campaigns
    Apply Text Analytics to convert unstructured data into structured one
    Optimize Web Pages using heat maps, etc
    Use Web Crawling and Text Analysis to gain Competitive Market Intelligence
    Carry out Social Network Analysis to engage customers/prospects
    Perform Optimization to reduce inventory, save costs, etc.
         Data, Data and More Data…Use Data for Decisions!
                                                                                 16
For any clarifications, feel free to contact the author at

             Nitin.Godawat@decidyn.com




                  Do visit our site at
                  www.DeciDyn.com




                                                             17

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Power Of Analytics

  • 1. Power of Analytics Startups Special Nitin Godawat DeciDyn Systems May 2009
  • 2. Today’s Menu Starters Analytics – An Introduction Example from Financial Services Main Courses Why Analytics? Users of Analytics Increasing Use of Analytics Analytics – Tools and Techniques Is Investment in Analytics Worth? The Next Wave & The Enablers Dessert Some More Examples Careers in Analytics Finally A Candy For Small & Medium Enterprises 2
  • 3. Analytics – An Introduction Business Queries/ OLAP Data Advanced Data Question Reports Analytics Analytics What is the revenue History from a campaign? Which age group had Drill down the highest response? How are customers likely to Adds prediction respond to the next offer? How do I deliver a Prediction, personalization and optimization personalized offer with the highest ROI within my budget? “Data Analytics is a combination of art and science to understand, predict and influence customer’s behaviour” 3
  • 4. Example from Financial Services Complaint Complaint Activity Calls, Calls, Level Request Calls, Request Calls, Waiver Calls Waiver Calls Credit Line Increase // Credit Line Credit Line Increase Credit Line Decrease, Decrease, Decrease, Decrease, Purchase Authorization, Credit Line Freeze Purchase Authorization, Credit Line Freeze FC/ Late Charge Waivers FC/ Late Charge Waivers Call Frequency, Call Frequency, Welcome Campaigns, Welcome Campaigns, Call Timing Call Timing Discounts, Discounts, Involuntary Demographic Profiling, Demographic Profiling, Closures Triggers, Triggers, Customer Value Based Customer Value Based Campaigns Campaigns Reactivation, Reactivation, Cross Sell Cross Sell Solicit, Solicit, Discount, Discount, Advertisement Advertisement S2S Cross Sell S2S Cross Sell Credit Credit Approval, Approval, Acquisition Attrite Credit Line Credit Line Time Application, Application, Marketing Risk Operations Collections Marketing Risk Operations Collections Activation Activation 4
  • 5. Today’s Menu Starters Analytics – An Introduction Example from Financial Services Main Courses Why Analytics? Users of Analytics Increasing Use of Analytics Analytics – Tools and Techniques Is Investment in Analytics Worth? The Next Wave & The Enablers Dessert Some More Examples Careers in Analytics Finally A Candy For Small & Medium Enterprises 5
  • 6. Few Facts • By 2010, 1.6 billion users are expected to come online (Imagine the amount of clickstream data that’s going to be generated!) • 40 billion personal emails, 17 billion alerts and a further 40 billion spam emails are sent each day (What’s the requirement for server space, broadband??) • Visa and Mastercard had approximately 90 billion purchase transactions in 2007 • The digital universe in 2007 was estimated at 281 exabytes (EB) and is projected to be nearly 1.8 zettabytes (ZB) in 2011 • In healthcare, the Enterprise Research Group estimated that compliance records exceeded 1,600 petabytes in 2006 • Chevron's CIO says his company accumulates data at the rate of 2 terabytes – 17,592,000,000,000 bits – a day • Wal-Mart - reputed to have the largest database of customer transactions in the world. In 2000, database was reported to be 110 terabytes, with recordings and storage of information on tens of millions of transactions a day. By 2004, it was reported to be half a petabyte (1 PB) Do I still need to answer ‘Why Analytics’? Source: Publicly available information 1 ZB = 1 trillion GB 6 1 PB – 1 million GB 1 EB = 1 billion GB
  • 7. Users of Analytics Procter & Gamble Unilever Consumer Products Barclays Bank AT&T, BT, Financial Capital One Telecommunications Sprint Services MBNA Wal-Mart Retail, Store and Harrah’s International Hospitality and Tesco Supply chain Marriot International Entertainment JC Penney Boston Red Sox Users of Analytics E-Business Industrial and CEMEX Products Web Analytics John Deere Google Yahoo Amazon Transport Pharmaceuticals FedEx Pfizer, GSK UPS 7
  • 8. Increasing Use of Analytics 15% of top performers versus 3% of low performers indicated that 47% analytical capabilities are a key 2002 element of their strategy. 2006 37% 33% 27% 19% 12% 10% 9% 8% 0% No analytical Minimal Some analytical Above average Analytic capability analytical capability analytical capability is a capability capability key element of strategy Source: Accenture study of 205/392 companies 8
  • 9. Analytics Tools and Techniques Techniques range from ‘easy to understand’ to incomprehensible Easy • Exploratory Analysis (Distributions, Ratios, etc.) • Objective Segmentation Techniques • Non-objective Segmentation • Regression, Time-Series Models • Pattern Recognition, Text Mining Hard • Advanced Techniques (e.g. Neural Net, SVM, GA) Business Intelligence Miscellaneous Tools Analysis Tools Tools • SAS BI • Campaign • SAS, SPSS, R Management: Unica • Hyperion • Knowledge Studio • Google Analytics • Business Objects • Model Builder, KXEN • Oracle, SAP, etc. • Cognos • Octave/Matlab have basic analytics • Palo • Crystal Ball capability 9
  • 10. Is Investment in Analytics Worth? Visible ROI Predictive Analytics BPM/CRM/BI Back-Office Applications Middleware & Infrastructure Technologies Operational Systems Hardware 10
  • 11. The Next Wave & The Enablers • Intelligent Datawarehousing: Embedded with Analytics capability • Understanding Unstructured Data: Pattern & Image Recognition, Text Mining, Speech Analytics • Faster Processors, Grid/Parallel Computing • In-memory Analytics • Personalization: Customized Recommendation at Individual Level • Real-time Analytics, Web 3.0 • Extensive Research on Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning Techniques 11
  • 12. Today’s Menu Starters Analytics – An Introduction Example from Financial Services Main Courses Why Analytics? Users of Analytics Increasing Use of Analytics Analytics – Tools and Techniques Is Investment in Analytics Worth? The Next Wave & The Enablers Dessert Some More Examples Careers in Analytics Finally A Candy For Small & Medium Enterprises 12
  • 13. Some More Examples Retail Sales Analysis: Correlate sales with weather pattern and decide how much to stock a particular item Fraud Detection Applications: To track certain factors that define a credit card user’s fraudulent behavior. If the owner of the card usually travels in known regions of the world, but card usage starts appearing in other geographical regions, that spending pattern could indicate someone other than its owner is using that card. Quality Analysis in the Manufacturing Process: Predicting when a piece of equipment will fail given the factors that existed when similar equipment failed in the past. Fighting terrorism: Authorities can monitor data banks for information like a suspicious person’s visa status and firearm registration, and then extrapolate from that data to see if the individual in question fits a common terrorist’s behavior profile. “People You May Know”: Facebook and Linkedin suggests people that a user may know Recommender System: Amazon recommends products/books based on your surfing behaviour and past transactions 13
  • 14. Careers in Analytics Statistical/ MIS Mathematical/OR Developers Modelers • MBA/M.Tech/B.Tech/MCA • PG in Stats/Eco/Maths, B.Tech • SAS, SQL, Excel, VBA • SAS, SPSS, R, Knowledge Studio • OLAP Tools like Cognos, • Neural Net, Genetic Algorithm, Business Objects, etc. SVM, KNN, etc. • 1-10 year of experience • 1-10 years of experience Software Database Developers Consultants Well-rounded • M.Tech/B.Tech/MCA M.Tech/B/Tech/MCA • Analytics • Java, C++, SQL, Python Oracle, SQL Server, ETL, etc. • • Good understanding of Professional Database Design/Optimization • databases 1-10 years of experience • • 1-10 years of experience Market Research Domain Analysts Consultants • MBA/BBA/MA(Eco) • MBA or Any PG • Market/Domain Understanding • Experience of one industry like • Understanding of Survey and Retail, Financial Services, etc MR tool • 5+ Experience in Operations • 1-10 years of experience Role 14
  • 15. Today’s Menu Starters Analytics – An Introduction Example from Financial Services Main Courses Why Analytics? Users of Analytics Increasing Use of Analytics Analytics – Tools and Techniques Is Investment in Analytics Worth? The Next Wave & The Enablers Dessert Some More Examples Careers in Analytics Finally A Candy For Small & Medium Enterprises 15
  • 16. For Small & Medium Enterprises Quick Solutions Set up a comprehensive Management Information System Analyze Cause and Effect - Try Fish Bone Diagram Apply 80:20 rule (Pareto) – It works! ‘Champion-Challenger’ approach. e.g. Price Discovery Advance Solutions Integrated Campaign Management System with Web Analytics Develop Customer Profiles based on demographic information Identify Product Bundles using Market Basket Analysis Analyze Click-stream data to build intelligent website Use Recommendation Engine for online and offline campaigns Apply Text Analytics to convert unstructured data into structured one Optimize Web Pages using heat maps, etc Use Web Crawling and Text Analysis to gain Competitive Market Intelligence Carry out Social Network Analysis to engage customers/prospects Perform Optimization to reduce inventory, save costs, etc. Data, Data and More Data…Use Data for Decisions! 16
  • 17. For any clarifications, feel free to contact the author at Nitin.Godawat@decidyn.com Do visit our site at www.DeciDyn.com 17