By Tomas Chlebecek
The Facts: Worldwide, there are about 100 lightning bolts happening every second. In the U.S.A., about 100 people die every year from lightning strikes!
The Question:  What is the probability that you will get struck by a bolt of lightning in the United States in One year? We need to use the Poisson Formula…. P(x) =  u x e -u x! u=  2.71828 x=   The exact number of occurrences in an interval.
Initial Steps:  1 st  we need to find out how many people are in the U.S.A… The answer is ~ 304,037,060 people! Since 100 People die a year we need to move the decimal place over twice. Making the chance for one person 1out of 3,040,370.60 or simplified…. 0.00000033
What are the chances that in the year 2008, exactly 50 people will be struck by lightning ? In Microsoft Excel find the Poisson Function and type in the Formula… =Poisson(50,100,False) The answer given is, 1.22314 E  - 08 Simplified it is, 0.0000000122 There is a 0.0000000122 chance that 50 people will be struck by lightning in the year 2008!!!
Basically………… YOUR PRETTY MUCH SAFE!!!

Poisson Distribution

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  • 2.
    The Facts: Worldwide,there are about 100 lightning bolts happening every second. In the U.S.A., about 100 people die every year from lightning strikes!
  • 3.
    The Question: What is the probability that you will get struck by a bolt of lightning in the United States in One year? We need to use the Poisson Formula…. P(x) = u x e -u x! u= 2.71828 x= The exact number of occurrences in an interval.
  • 4.
    Initial Steps: 1 st we need to find out how many people are in the U.S.A… The answer is ~ 304,037,060 people! Since 100 People die a year we need to move the decimal place over twice. Making the chance for one person 1out of 3,040,370.60 or simplified…. 0.00000033
  • 5.
    What are thechances that in the year 2008, exactly 50 people will be struck by lightning ? In Microsoft Excel find the Poisson Function and type in the Formula… =Poisson(50,100,False) The answer given is, 1.22314 E - 08 Simplified it is, 0.0000000122 There is a 0.0000000122 chance that 50 people will be struck by lightning in the year 2008!!!
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