Business opportunities of moderate to even light complexity often expose decision makers to hundreds, if not tens of thousands, of coordinated decision options that should be considered thoughtfully before making resource commitments. That complexity is just overwhelming! Unfortunately, the typical response is either analysis paralysis or "shooting from the hip," both of which expose decision makers to unnecessary loss of value and risk. This tutorial teaches decision makers how to tame option complexity to develop creative, valuable decision strategies that range from "mild to wild" with three simple thinking tools.
The document describes an accident that occurred during a school camp that changed the author's attitude towards life. During a game of four corners captains ball, the author's wrist was accidentally stepped on, causing injury. The author was scared and worried while waiting at the emergency department to learn the extent of the injury. X-rays were taken and the doctor examined them. The author was relieved to learn the wrist was not broken, but it was a scary experience that taught them to appreciate what they have and the people in their life.
This document provides tips and advice from various financial publications on a wide range of money and investing topics. It contains over 100 short sections organized under categories like stocks, mutual funds, retirement, taxes, and real estate. The tips aim to help readers make better financial decisions by sharing strategies and insights from experts on selecting investments and managing personal finances.
The document discusses overconfidence and how it led to the collapse of Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM), a large hedge fund, in 1998 due to excessive leverage and risk taking, highlighting how two Nobel prize-winning economists who helped run LTCM made poor decisions despite their intellectual achievements. It also examines other examples of how overconfidence can negatively impact judgment and decision making.
Beautiful Objective Writing Worksheet Background - SIoulia King
The document provides instructions for creating an account on the HelpWriting.net site to request writing assistance. It outlines a 5-step process: 1) Create an account with a password and email. 2) Complete a form with assignment details. 3) Writers will bid on the request and the client can choose a writer. 4) The client will receive a paper and can request revisions if needed. 5) HelpWriting.net promises original, high-quality content and refunds for plagiarized work.
Behavioral Economics At Work Nunnally, Steadman, Baxter Las Vegas Finalksteadman
The document summarizes a presentation on behavioral economics and judgment risk given by Tyler Nunnally, the founder and CEO of Upside Risk. The presentation discusses concepts from behavioral economics like heuristics and biases that can lead to judgment errors, and examines how risk appetite can impact decision making and business performance. Best practices for managing judgment risk and reducing biases are also covered.
The document discusses how difficult it is for people to accurately predict how they will respond to future risks and challenges. It provides the example of a friend who achieved his goal of becoming a doctor against all odds, but is now disappointed in his career. People are poor forecasters of their future selves and tend to ignore important context when anticipating future situations. Investors in particular struggle to predict how fearful or greedy they will feel during market downturns or surges. The best approach is to use past behavior as a guide rather than trying to envision hypothetical future responses.
The document discusses the increasing use of stochastic modeling in financial reporting to value variable products with embedded options like variable annuities. Stochastic modeling allows for a more accurate assessment of risk by generating distributions of potential outcomes through simulation, as opposed to the traditional deterministic approach. It provides benefits for reserving, capital requirements, hedging strategies, and stress testing of products, but requires significant resources and expertise to implement properly.
Business opportunities of moderate to even light complexity often expose decision makers to hundreds, if not tens of thousands, of coordinated decision options that should be considered thoughtfully before making resource commitments. That complexity is just overwhelming! Unfortunately, the typical response is either analysis paralysis or "shooting from the hip," both of which expose decision makers to unnecessary loss of value and risk. This tutorial teaches decision makers how to tame option complexity to develop creative, valuable decision strategies that range from "mild to wild" with three simple thinking tools.
The document describes an accident that occurred during a school camp that changed the author's attitude towards life. During a game of four corners captains ball, the author's wrist was accidentally stepped on, causing injury. The author was scared and worried while waiting at the emergency department to learn the extent of the injury. X-rays were taken and the doctor examined them. The author was relieved to learn the wrist was not broken, but it was a scary experience that taught them to appreciate what they have and the people in their life.
This document provides tips and advice from various financial publications on a wide range of money and investing topics. It contains over 100 short sections organized under categories like stocks, mutual funds, retirement, taxes, and real estate. The tips aim to help readers make better financial decisions by sharing strategies and insights from experts on selecting investments and managing personal finances.
The document discusses overconfidence and how it led to the collapse of Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM), a large hedge fund, in 1998 due to excessive leverage and risk taking, highlighting how two Nobel prize-winning economists who helped run LTCM made poor decisions despite their intellectual achievements. It also examines other examples of how overconfidence can negatively impact judgment and decision making.
Beautiful Objective Writing Worksheet Background - SIoulia King
The document provides instructions for creating an account on the HelpWriting.net site to request writing assistance. It outlines a 5-step process: 1) Create an account with a password and email. 2) Complete a form with assignment details. 3) Writers will bid on the request and the client can choose a writer. 4) The client will receive a paper and can request revisions if needed. 5) HelpWriting.net promises original, high-quality content and refunds for plagiarized work.
Behavioral Economics At Work Nunnally, Steadman, Baxter Las Vegas Finalksteadman
The document summarizes a presentation on behavioral economics and judgment risk given by Tyler Nunnally, the founder and CEO of Upside Risk. The presentation discusses concepts from behavioral economics like heuristics and biases that can lead to judgment errors, and examines how risk appetite can impact decision making and business performance. Best practices for managing judgment risk and reducing biases are also covered.
The document discusses how difficult it is for people to accurately predict how they will respond to future risks and challenges. It provides the example of a friend who achieved his goal of becoming a doctor against all odds, but is now disappointed in his career. People are poor forecasters of their future selves and tend to ignore important context when anticipating future situations. Investors in particular struggle to predict how fearful or greedy they will feel during market downturns or surges. The best approach is to use past behavior as a guide rather than trying to envision hypothetical future responses.
The document discusses the increasing use of stochastic modeling in financial reporting to value variable products with embedded options like variable annuities. Stochastic modeling allows for a more accurate assessment of risk by generating distributions of potential outcomes through simulation, as opposed to the traditional deterministic approach. It provides benefits for reserving, capital requirements, hedging strategies, and stress testing of products, but requires significant resources and expertise to implement properly.
In This Issue:
1. Your #1 MUST-DO Resolution For 2017
2. Free Report: What Every Small Business Owner Must Know About Protecting And Preserving their Company’s Critical Data And Computer Systems
3. 3 Ways Smart People Blow The Close
4. STAYING ON TOP
Essay On Why Pitbulls Should Not Be BannedApril Bergseth
The document provides steps for requesting writing assistance from HelpWriting.net:
1. Create an account and provide contact information.
2. Complete a 10-minute order form providing instructions, sources, deadline, and attach a sample for style imitation.
3. Review bids from writers and choose one based on qualifications, history, and feedback and provide a deposit.
4. Review the paper and authorize full payment or request revisions if needed, as free revisions are provided. Multiple revisions are allowed to ensure satisfaction. HelpWriting.net guarantees original, high-quality content or a full refund.
Persuasive Essay On Junk Food. Online assignment writing service.Dianne Aldrian
Cleft lip is caused by a lack of fusion in the processes that form the upper lip during fetal development, and can result from factors like air pollution, maternal smoking, diabetes, and certain medications. Specific genetic syndromes like Trisomy 13 and 18, Van der Woude syndrome, Velocardiofacial syndrome, and Median facial dysplasia are also associated with an increased risk of cleft lip. The research paper discusses cleft lip, its causes, and genetic syndromes commonly linked to an increased prevalence of this oral birth defect.
016 Essay Example Paragraph Starters CounterKrystal Green
The document provides a summary of the key events and security issues related to the 2012 Aurora, Colorado movie theater shooting that killed 12 people and injured 70 others. It asks questions about the impact on gun laws and changes to movie theater security in the aftermath. The summary discusses the shooting, security at the time, the emergency response, and whether theaters enhanced security or if the event affected gun laws.
This memo discusses current market conditions and risks of overconfidence among investors. It notes that many elements that fuel bull markets and bubbles are present today, including a long period of positive performance, abundant capital, and a willingness to suspend disbelief. However, prospective returns are low while asset prices and risk-taking are high. The memo analyzes valuations in US equities and record-low readings on the VIX index as signs of complacency. While early warnings may prove premature, the author believes it is better to acknowledge risks too soon than too late.
Sample Essays For Graduate Admissions. Online assignment writing service.Julie Oden
Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) is a psychiatric disorder that can develop after exposure to a traumatic event. PTSD is characterized by symptoms like re-experiencing the traumatic event through flashbacks or nightmares, avoidance of trauma-related stimuli, negative changes in mood and cognition, and hyperarousal. It is diagnosed based on criteria in the DSM-IV including experiencing a traumatic stressor and exhibiting specific symptom clusters for over a month. Treatment options aim to reduce symptoms through psychotherapy, medication, or a combination of both. While prognosis varies, early treatment is important for management and recovery. Ongoing research seeks better approaches to prevent and treat PTSD.
Write A Short Essay On Positive Thinking Essay Writing EnglishJackie Gold
The document provides instructions for requesting writing assistance from HelpWriting.net in 5 steps:
1) Create an account with a password and email. 2) Complete an order form with instructions, sources, and deadline. 3) Review bids from writers and choose one. 4) Review the paper and authorize payment. 5) Request revisions until satisfied. It emphasizes original, high-quality content and full satisfaction.
Most insurance sales training fails for three key reasons: (1) it does not adapt to changes in the insurance buyer, who is now overwhelmed, risk-averse, and prefers team decision making; (2) it is not aligned with recent neuroscience research showing decisions are driven by emotion first, then logic; and (3) it lacks assessment of individual needs, customized solutions, ongoing coaching and metrics. To be effective, sales training must account for how the buyer has changed and address the emotional aspects of decision making. It also needs customized approaches tailored to producers' unique needs with ongoing support.
The All In One Essay Creating Quick Guide HoMichelle Adams
Here are the key points about descriptive statistics:
- Descriptive statistics are used to describe basic features of the data in a study. They provide simple summaries about the sample and the measures.
- The most common types of descriptive statistics are: measures of central tendency (mean, median, mode), measures of variability (range, variance, standard deviation), and measures of position (percentiles).
- Measures of central tendency describe the central or typical values in the data set. The mean is the average and is calculated by adding all values then dividing by the number of values. The median is the middle value when values are arranged from lowest to highest. The mode is the most frequent value.
- Measures of variability
College Essay Writing An Academic ArticleRenee Lewis
1. Seagram has enjoyed success since 1924 through diversification, purchasing companies in oil, fruit juice, entertainment, and electricity. This diversification provided stability and opportunities for growth.
2. The project evaluates Seagram's assets to design a plan that utilizes its strengths and systems to maximize future growth.
DIMOND WRIT 200
ASSIGNMENT SHEET
Rhetorical Analysis: Statement of Purpose
Assignment Overview Based on your understanding of rhetorical analysis through readings, homework, and class discussion, rhetorically analyze a written document from your program of study at the University of Baltimore and a store you frequent. Consider the elements of each. For each memo, evaluate the audience, purpose, context, media/design, and genre. For the final written assignment, you will write a Statement of Purpose for an audience of your choice, rhetorically analyzing your personal or professional goals.
Rhetorical Situation Write a Statement of Purpose for the future. You choose the audience, but remember, your audience will be heavily influenced by your purpose and context. For example, are you writing it for a potential graduate program? Are you writing it as a reminder for yourself? Are you writing it for a potential employer?
Assignment Details Using the two rhetorical analysis homework assignments and relevant free-writes as a starting point, you will generate a 3 page minimum document in which you write a Statement of Purpose that rhetorically analyzes your personal or professional goals. 2 ½ pages does not meet the requirement.
Deadlines Feb 10 Two rhetorical analysis memos due: 15 points
Feb 12 Workshop Draft of Statement of Purpose for Writers’ Workshop. Bring three complete drafts: 20 points
Feb 17 Submission Draft for Instructor to give Detailed Written Comments, including all corresponding documents listed on the rubric: 40 points
April 30 Polished Draft for Portfolio Submission. With revision, this may fit the Polished Rhetorical Analysis Document Requirement of your WRIT 200 Portfolio.
Other Requirements A one-page cover letter detailing your writing process and identifying which learning outcomes you achieved is required with the typed Statement of Purpose. The Statement of Purpose must be in MLA Format. A physical copy of your Submission Draft is due in class on February 17, as well as a single attachment to the assignment description in the Assignment section of Sakai. Please name it: YOURNAME-SP.docx
RUBRIC/INSTRUCTOR COMMENTS: Statement of Purpose
Two rhetorical analysis memos in class on February 10
___/15
Contributes three complete drafts and participates in Writer’s Workshop on February 12
___/20
Addresses the assignment’s rhetorical situation, utilizing textual conventions to address the document’s purpose
___/10
Establishes a clear focus with an appropriate sense of audience and purpose
___/10
Organizes evidence that support point of view while applying rhetorical concepts
___/10
Submits the following documents in order on February 17:
· Cover Letter
· Submission Draft
· Workshop Draft
· Writer’s Workshop Comments
· Two rhetorical analysis memos
___/10
Total:
Additional Comments:
CHAPTER FOUR
Framing and the Reversal of Preferences
X he following is one of the most famous probl.
1. The document outlines 5 steps to get writing help from HelpWriting.net, including creating an account, completing an order form, reviewing bids from writers, authorizing payment, and requesting revisions.
2. A bidding system is used where the client can choose a writer based on qualifications and feedback to work on their assignment.
3. The client can request multiple revisions to ensure satisfaction, and the company promises original, high-quality content with refunds for plagiarism.
A Pyramid ofDecision ApproachesPaul J.H. Schoemaker J. E.docxransayo
There are four general approaches to decision making outlined in the pyramid model, ranging from intuitive to highly analytical. Intuition, while sometimes effective, is prone to random inconsistency and systematic distortion. Rules are more structured but can also be distorted and fail to adapt to changes. Case-based reasoning examines prior similar situations but risks poor analogies. The most analytical approach is quantitative modeling, which minimizes biases but requires significant data and analysis. Overall the pyramid suggests combining approaches based on the situation, with more analytical methods used for high-stake or complex decisions.
Numbers Rule Your World: The Hidden Influence of Probabilities and Statistics...McGraw-Hill Professional
NUMBERS RULE YOUR WORLD
In the popular tradition of eye-opening bestsellers like Freakonomics, The Tipping Point, and Super Crunchers, this fascinating book from renowned statistician and blogger Kaiser Fung takes you inside the hidden world of facts and figures that affect you every day, in every way.
These are the statistics that rule your life, your job, your commute, your vacation, your food, your health, your money, and your success. This is how engineers calculate your quality of living, how corporations determine your needs, and how politicians estimate your opinions. These are the numbers you never think about-even though they play a crucial role in every single aspect of your life.
What you learn may surprise you, amuse you, or even enrage you. But there's one thing you won't be able to deny: Numbers Rule Your World…
American Bankers Association Risk Management Forum April 29, 2010 Tyler D. ...tnunnally
American Bankers Association Risk Management Forum, April 29, 2010. Best Practices: Managing Judgment Risk. Presented by Tyler D. Nunnally, Founder & CEO, Upside Risk
The International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) is responsible for developing International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) to be used by companies around the world. The IASB follows a due process to develop standards that involves publishing discussion papers, exposure drafts, and allowing public comments. Currently there are over 40 IFRS standards. Recent standards address revenue recognition and leases. The IASB headquarters is located in London and their mission is to develop global standards to enhance the quality and comparability of financial information.
Legal Research Paper Working Paper ReferencinDenise Hudson
This document discusses how to create an account and request a paper on the website HelpWriting.net. It outlines a 5-step process: 1) Create an account with an email and password. 2) Complete an order form providing instructions, sources, and deadline. 3) Review bids from writers and choose one. 4) Review the completed paper and authorize payment. 5) Request revisions until satisfied. It notes the website promises original, high-quality content or a full refund.
1. The Incident Command System (ICS) is a tool forA. Co.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The Incident Command System (ICS) is a tool for:
A. Command, control, and coordination at an incident
B. Interagency responses only
C. Multi-jurisdictional responses only
D. Responses involving first-response personnel only
2. ICS can be used to manage all types of incidents.
A. True
B. False
3. Federal law requires that ICS be used for all natural disasters.
A. True
B. False
4.The ICS General Staff includes:
A. Branch, Division, Group, and Unit managers
B. All managers of operational resources.
C. Planning, Operations, Logistics, and Finance/Administration Section Chiefs
D. Incident Commander and the Information, Safety, and Liaison Officers
5. All incidents, regardless of size, will have an Incident Commander.
A. True
B. False
6. In an ICS environment, the optimum span of control is:
A. Two (2) resources
B. Five (5) resources
C. Eight (8) resources
D. Ten (10) resources
7. Which section is responsible for providing incident facilities?
A. Planning
B. Operations
C. Logistics
D. Finance/Administration
8. Which section is responsible for documenting the status of resources, incident response, and developing the IAP?
A. Planning
B. Operations
C. Logistics
D. Finance/Administration
9. The Incident Commander is responsible for all the following EXCEPT:
A. Protecting life and property
B. Controlling resources assigned to the incident
C. Maintaining accountability
D. Coordinating the community-wide response
10. Given what you know about your agency, your job and you capabilities, where would you most likely be assigned in an ICS structure? To whom would you report? Be sure to include what your job is or would be during an event.
.
1. The Thirteenth Amendment effectively brought an end to slaver.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The Thirteenth Amendment effectively brought an end to slavery in the United States. Lincoln had issued the Emancipation Proclamation over 3 years earlier. Why, then, was the Thirteenth Amendment issued? Was it necessary? How come?
2. The Fourteenth Amendment settled the question of who is a citizen of the United States. (anyone naturalized or born here). Why are Indians excluded?
3. Persons who are citizens may not be denied the right to vote according to the Fifteenth Amendment. The Civil Rights crises of the 1960s, and the work of Martin Luther King (and many others) sought, among other things, to assure that the right to vote was available to all. Why? The Fifteenth Amendment had been passed almost a hundred years earlier. How could persons be denied the ballot?
4. How could Andrew Johnson, Lincoln's successor, veto the Civil Rights Bill in 1866 when the 13th Amendment had already been passed in 1865? What issues did he cite to justify his veto? (Hint: look at the Johnson primary source)
5. The 14th Amendment. How does Foner explain the relationship between the Federal and the State as a result of the 14th Amendment?
https://util.wwnorton.com/jwplayer?type=video&msrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-johnson.mp4&csrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-johnson.vtt&cp=1
https://util.wwnorton.com/jwplayer?type=video&msrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/14th-amendment.mp4&csrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/14th-amendment.vtt&cp=1
https://util.wwnorton.com/jwplayer?type=video&msrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-amendments-2.mp4&csrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-amendments-2.vtt&cp=1
.
1. The Thirteenth Amendment effectively brought an end to slavery in.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The Thirteenth Amendment effectively brought an end to slavery in the United States. Lincoln had issued the Emancipation Proclamation over 3 years earlier. Why, then, was the Thirteenth Amendment issued? Was it necessary? How come?
2. The Fourteenth Amendment settled the question of who is a citizen of the United States. (anyone naturalized or born here). Why are Indians excluded?
3. Persons who are citizens may not be denied the right to vote according to the Fifteenth Amendment. The Civil Rights crises of the 1960s, and the work of Martin Luther King (and many others) sought, among other things, to assure that the right to vote was available to all. Why? The Fifteenth Amendment had been passed almost a hundred years earlier. How could persons be denied the ballot?
4. How could Andrew Johnson, Lincoln's successor, veto the Civil Rights Bill in 1866 when the 13th Amendment had already been passed in 1865? What issues did he cite to justify his veto? (Hint: look at the Johnson primary source)
5. The 14th Amendment. How does Foner explain the relationship between the Federal and the State as a result of the 14th Amendment?
https://util.wwnorton.com/jwplayer?type=video&msrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-johnson.mp4&csrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-johnson.vtt&cp=1
https://util.wwnorton.com/jwplayer?type=video&msrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/14th-amendment.mp4&csrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/14th-amendment.vtt&cp=1
https://util.wwnorton.com/jwplayer?type=video&msrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-amendments-2.mp4&csrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-amendments-2.vtt&cp=1
.
1. The Fight for a True Democracyhttpswww.nytimes.com201.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The Fight for a True Democracy
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/23/podcasts/1619-slavery-anniversary.html
(Follow the link to the podcast)
Directions:
Students will listen to this podcast and write 3 paragraphs about it. One paragraph should summarize the podcast episode, the second paragraph should discuss its significance in U.S. History, and the last paragraph should explain what the student thought about the podcast.
.
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In This Issue:
1. Your #1 MUST-DO Resolution For 2017
2. Free Report: What Every Small Business Owner Must Know About Protecting And Preserving their Company’s Critical Data And Computer Systems
3. 3 Ways Smart People Blow The Close
4. STAYING ON TOP
Essay On Why Pitbulls Should Not Be BannedApril Bergseth
The document provides steps for requesting writing assistance from HelpWriting.net:
1. Create an account and provide contact information.
2. Complete a 10-minute order form providing instructions, sources, deadline, and attach a sample for style imitation.
3. Review bids from writers and choose one based on qualifications, history, and feedback and provide a deposit.
4. Review the paper and authorize full payment or request revisions if needed, as free revisions are provided. Multiple revisions are allowed to ensure satisfaction. HelpWriting.net guarantees original, high-quality content or a full refund.
Persuasive Essay On Junk Food. Online assignment writing service.Dianne Aldrian
Cleft lip is caused by a lack of fusion in the processes that form the upper lip during fetal development, and can result from factors like air pollution, maternal smoking, diabetes, and certain medications. Specific genetic syndromes like Trisomy 13 and 18, Van der Woude syndrome, Velocardiofacial syndrome, and Median facial dysplasia are also associated with an increased risk of cleft lip. The research paper discusses cleft lip, its causes, and genetic syndromes commonly linked to an increased prevalence of this oral birth defect.
016 Essay Example Paragraph Starters CounterKrystal Green
The document provides a summary of the key events and security issues related to the 2012 Aurora, Colorado movie theater shooting that killed 12 people and injured 70 others. It asks questions about the impact on gun laws and changes to movie theater security in the aftermath. The summary discusses the shooting, security at the time, the emergency response, and whether theaters enhanced security or if the event affected gun laws.
This memo discusses current market conditions and risks of overconfidence among investors. It notes that many elements that fuel bull markets and bubbles are present today, including a long period of positive performance, abundant capital, and a willingness to suspend disbelief. However, prospective returns are low while asset prices and risk-taking are high. The memo analyzes valuations in US equities and record-low readings on the VIX index as signs of complacency. While early warnings may prove premature, the author believes it is better to acknowledge risks too soon than too late.
Sample Essays For Graduate Admissions. Online assignment writing service.Julie Oden
Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) is a psychiatric disorder that can develop after exposure to a traumatic event. PTSD is characterized by symptoms like re-experiencing the traumatic event through flashbacks or nightmares, avoidance of trauma-related stimuli, negative changes in mood and cognition, and hyperarousal. It is diagnosed based on criteria in the DSM-IV including experiencing a traumatic stressor and exhibiting specific symptom clusters for over a month. Treatment options aim to reduce symptoms through psychotherapy, medication, or a combination of both. While prognosis varies, early treatment is important for management and recovery. Ongoing research seeks better approaches to prevent and treat PTSD.
Write A Short Essay On Positive Thinking Essay Writing EnglishJackie Gold
The document provides instructions for requesting writing assistance from HelpWriting.net in 5 steps:
1) Create an account with a password and email. 2) Complete an order form with instructions, sources, and deadline. 3) Review bids from writers and choose one. 4) Review the paper and authorize payment. 5) Request revisions until satisfied. It emphasizes original, high-quality content and full satisfaction.
Most insurance sales training fails for three key reasons: (1) it does not adapt to changes in the insurance buyer, who is now overwhelmed, risk-averse, and prefers team decision making; (2) it is not aligned with recent neuroscience research showing decisions are driven by emotion first, then logic; and (3) it lacks assessment of individual needs, customized solutions, ongoing coaching and metrics. To be effective, sales training must account for how the buyer has changed and address the emotional aspects of decision making. It also needs customized approaches tailored to producers' unique needs with ongoing support.
The All In One Essay Creating Quick Guide HoMichelle Adams
Here are the key points about descriptive statistics:
- Descriptive statistics are used to describe basic features of the data in a study. They provide simple summaries about the sample and the measures.
- The most common types of descriptive statistics are: measures of central tendency (mean, median, mode), measures of variability (range, variance, standard deviation), and measures of position (percentiles).
- Measures of central tendency describe the central or typical values in the data set. The mean is the average and is calculated by adding all values then dividing by the number of values. The median is the middle value when values are arranged from lowest to highest. The mode is the most frequent value.
- Measures of variability
College Essay Writing An Academic ArticleRenee Lewis
1. Seagram has enjoyed success since 1924 through diversification, purchasing companies in oil, fruit juice, entertainment, and electricity. This diversification provided stability and opportunities for growth.
2. The project evaluates Seagram's assets to design a plan that utilizes its strengths and systems to maximize future growth.
DIMOND WRIT 200
ASSIGNMENT SHEET
Rhetorical Analysis: Statement of Purpose
Assignment Overview Based on your understanding of rhetorical analysis through readings, homework, and class discussion, rhetorically analyze a written document from your program of study at the University of Baltimore and a store you frequent. Consider the elements of each. For each memo, evaluate the audience, purpose, context, media/design, and genre. For the final written assignment, you will write a Statement of Purpose for an audience of your choice, rhetorically analyzing your personal or professional goals.
Rhetorical Situation Write a Statement of Purpose for the future. You choose the audience, but remember, your audience will be heavily influenced by your purpose and context. For example, are you writing it for a potential graduate program? Are you writing it as a reminder for yourself? Are you writing it for a potential employer?
Assignment Details Using the two rhetorical analysis homework assignments and relevant free-writes as a starting point, you will generate a 3 page minimum document in which you write a Statement of Purpose that rhetorically analyzes your personal or professional goals. 2 ½ pages does not meet the requirement.
Deadlines Feb 10 Two rhetorical analysis memos due: 15 points
Feb 12 Workshop Draft of Statement of Purpose for Writers’ Workshop. Bring three complete drafts: 20 points
Feb 17 Submission Draft for Instructor to give Detailed Written Comments, including all corresponding documents listed on the rubric: 40 points
April 30 Polished Draft for Portfolio Submission. With revision, this may fit the Polished Rhetorical Analysis Document Requirement of your WRIT 200 Portfolio.
Other Requirements A one-page cover letter detailing your writing process and identifying which learning outcomes you achieved is required with the typed Statement of Purpose. The Statement of Purpose must be in MLA Format. A physical copy of your Submission Draft is due in class on February 17, as well as a single attachment to the assignment description in the Assignment section of Sakai. Please name it: YOURNAME-SP.docx
RUBRIC/INSTRUCTOR COMMENTS: Statement of Purpose
Two rhetorical analysis memos in class on February 10
___/15
Contributes three complete drafts and participates in Writer’s Workshop on February 12
___/20
Addresses the assignment’s rhetorical situation, utilizing textual conventions to address the document’s purpose
___/10
Establishes a clear focus with an appropriate sense of audience and purpose
___/10
Organizes evidence that support point of view while applying rhetorical concepts
___/10
Submits the following documents in order on February 17:
· Cover Letter
· Submission Draft
· Workshop Draft
· Writer’s Workshop Comments
· Two rhetorical analysis memos
___/10
Total:
Additional Comments:
CHAPTER FOUR
Framing and the Reversal of Preferences
X he following is one of the most famous probl.
1. The document outlines 5 steps to get writing help from HelpWriting.net, including creating an account, completing an order form, reviewing bids from writers, authorizing payment, and requesting revisions.
2. A bidding system is used where the client can choose a writer based on qualifications and feedback to work on their assignment.
3. The client can request multiple revisions to ensure satisfaction, and the company promises original, high-quality content with refunds for plagiarism.
A Pyramid ofDecision ApproachesPaul J.H. Schoemaker J. E.docxransayo
There are four general approaches to decision making outlined in the pyramid model, ranging from intuitive to highly analytical. Intuition, while sometimes effective, is prone to random inconsistency and systematic distortion. Rules are more structured but can also be distorted and fail to adapt to changes. Case-based reasoning examines prior similar situations but risks poor analogies. The most analytical approach is quantitative modeling, which minimizes biases but requires significant data and analysis. Overall the pyramid suggests combining approaches based on the situation, with more analytical methods used for high-stake or complex decisions.
Numbers Rule Your World: The Hidden Influence of Probabilities and Statistics...McGraw-Hill Professional
NUMBERS RULE YOUR WORLD
In the popular tradition of eye-opening bestsellers like Freakonomics, The Tipping Point, and Super Crunchers, this fascinating book from renowned statistician and blogger Kaiser Fung takes you inside the hidden world of facts and figures that affect you every day, in every way.
These are the statistics that rule your life, your job, your commute, your vacation, your food, your health, your money, and your success. This is how engineers calculate your quality of living, how corporations determine your needs, and how politicians estimate your opinions. These are the numbers you never think about-even though they play a crucial role in every single aspect of your life.
What you learn may surprise you, amuse you, or even enrage you. But there's one thing you won't be able to deny: Numbers Rule Your World…
American Bankers Association Risk Management Forum April 29, 2010 Tyler D. ...tnunnally
American Bankers Association Risk Management Forum, April 29, 2010. Best Practices: Managing Judgment Risk. Presented by Tyler D. Nunnally, Founder & CEO, Upside Risk
The International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) is responsible for developing International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) to be used by companies around the world. The IASB follows a due process to develop standards that involves publishing discussion papers, exposure drafts, and allowing public comments. Currently there are over 40 IFRS standards. Recent standards address revenue recognition and leases. The IASB headquarters is located in London and their mission is to develop global standards to enhance the quality and comparability of financial information.
Legal Research Paper Working Paper ReferencinDenise Hudson
This document discusses how to create an account and request a paper on the website HelpWriting.net. It outlines a 5-step process: 1) Create an account with an email and password. 2) Complete an order form providing instructions, sources, and deadline. 3) Review bids from writers and choose one. 4) Review the completed paper and authorize payment. 5) Request revisions until satisfied. It notes the website promises original, high-quality content or a full refund.
Similar to PM World Journal Heuristics and Biases in Project Management .docx (18)
1. The Incident Command System (ICS) is a tool forA. Co.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The Incident Command System (ICS) is a tool for:
A. Command, control, and coordination at an incident
B. Interagency responses only
C. Multi-jurisdictional responses only
D. Responses involving first-response personnel only
2. ICS can be used to manage all types of incidents.
A. True
B. False
3. Federal law requires that ICS be used for all natural disasters.
A. True
B. False
4.The ICS General Staff includes:
A. Branch, Division, Group, and Unit managers
B. All managers of operational resources.
C. Planning, Operations, Logistics, and Finance/Administration Section Chiefs
D. Incident Commander and the Information, Safety, and Liaison Officers
5. All incidents, regardless of size, will have an Incident Commander.
A. True
B. False
6. In an ICS environment, the optimum span of control is:
A. Two (2) resources
B. Five (5) resources
C. Eight (8) resources
D. Ten (10) resources
7. Which section is responsible for providing incident facilities?
A. Planning
B. Operations
C. Logistics
D. Finance/Administration
8. Which section is responsible for documenting the status of resources, incident response, and developing the IAP?
A. Planning
B. Operations
C. Logistics
D. Finance/Administration
9. The Incident Commander is responsible for all the following EXCEPT:
A. Protecting life and property
B. Controlling resources assigned to the incident
C. Maintaining accountability
D. Coordinating the community-wide response
10. Given what you know about your agency, your job and you capabilities, where would you most likely be assigned in an ICS structure? To whom would you report? Be sure to include what your job is or would be during an event.
.
1. The Thirteenth Amendment effectively brought an end to slaver.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The Thirteenth Amendment effectively brought an end to slavery in the United States. Lincoln had issued the Emancipation Proclamation over 3 years earlier. Why, then, was the Thirteenth Amendment issued? Was it necessary? How come?
2. The Fourteenth Amendment settled the question of who is a citizen of the United States. (anyone naturalized or born here). Why are Indians excluded?
3. Persons who are citizens may not be denied the right to vote according to the Fifteenth Amendment. The Civil Rights crises of the 1960s, and the work of Martin Luther King (and many others) sought, among other things, to assure that the right to vote was available to all. Why? The Fifteenth Amendment had been passed almost a hundred years earlier. How could persons be denied the ballot?
4. How could Andrew Johnson, Lincoln's successor, veto the Civil Rights Bill in 1866 when the 13th Amendment had already been passed in 1865? What issues did he cite to justify his veto? (Hint: look at the Johnson primary source)
5. The 14th Amendment. How does Foner explain the relationship between the Federal and the State as a result of the 14th Amendment?
https://util.wwnorton.com/jwplayer?type=video&msrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-johnson.mp4&csrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-johnson.vtt&cp=1
https://util.wwnorton.com/jwplayer?type=video&msrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/14th-amendment.mp4&csrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/14th-amendment.vtt&cp=1
https://util.wwnorton.com/jwplayer?type=video&msrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-amendments-2.mp4&csrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-amendments-2.vtt&cp=1
.
1. The Thirteenth Amendment effectively brought an end to slavery in.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The Thirteenth Amendment effectively brought an end to slavery in the United States. Lincoln had issued the Emancipation Proclamation over 3 years earlier. Why, then, was the Thirteenth Amendment issued? Was it necessary? How come?
2. The Fourteenth Amendment settled the question of who is a citizen of the United States. (anyone naturalized or born here). Why are Indians excluded?
3. Persons who are citizens may not be denied the right to vote according to the Fifteenth Amendment. The Civil Rights crises of the 1960s, and the work of Martin Luther King (and many others) sought, among other things, to assure that the right to vote was available to all. Why? The Fifteenth Amendment had been passed almost a hundred years earlier. How could persons be denied the ballot?
4. How could Andrew Johnson, Lincoln's successor, veto the Civil Rights Bill in 1866 when the 13th Amendment had already been passed in 1865? What issues did he cite to justify his veto? (Hint: look at the Johnson primary source)
5. The 14th Amendment. How does Foner explain the relationship between the Federal and the State as a result of the 14th Amendment?
https://util.wwnorton.com/jwplayer?type=video&msrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-johnson.mp4&csrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-johnson.vtt&cp=1
https://util.wwnorton.com/jwplayer?type=video&msrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/14th-amendment.mp4&csrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/14th-amendment.vtt&cp=1
https://util.wwnorton.com/jwplayer?type=video&msrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-amendments-2.mp4&csrc=/wwnorton.college.public/history/give/reconstruction-amendments-2.vtt&cp=1
.
1. The Fight for a True Democracyhttpswww.nytimes.com201.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The Fight for a True Democracy
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/23/podcasts/1619-slavery-anniversary.html
(Follow the link to the podcast)
Directions:
Students will listen to this podcast and write 3 paragraphs about it. One paragraph should summarize the podcast episode, the second paragraph should discuss its significance in U.S. History, and the last paragraph should explain what the student thought about the podcast.
.
1. The article for week 8 described hip hop as a weapon. This weeks.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The article for week 8 described hip hop as a weapon. This week's reading makes several references to hip hop and spirituality? Can hip hop be described as a spiritual movement? Why or why not?
2. In the movie, "I Love Hip Hop in Morocco" on of the rappers repeatedly used the "N" word. Do you agree with his use of the "N" word for Moroccans? How did he justify its use?
.
1. The Hatch Act defines prohibited activities of public employees. .docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The Hatch Act defines prohibited activities of public employees. Analyze the significance of these prohibitions with regard to an individual’s political actions. Provide a rationale for your response.
2. Analyze the key ethical challenges of privatization. Take a position on whether the private sector should be responsible for program outcomes of a public program or service. Provide a rationale for your response
.
1. The Case for Reparations” by Ta-Nehisi Coates (604-19) in Rere.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. “The Case for Reparations” by Ta-Nehisi Coates (604-19) in Rereading America
2. “Choosing a School for My Daughter in a Segregated City” (152) by Nikole Hannah-Jones3. “From Social Class and the Hidden Curriculum of Work” (136) by Jean Anyon
4. John Taylor Gatto's "Against School" (114) in Rereading America
How to Do Extra Credit: 1. 5 Paged Essay-Must Be Singled Spaced.
For 100 points do extra credit where you review a film, video, music video, or lecture or book that reflects the discussions in class. Write a paper on themes presented in the class reflected in one of those mediums. Consider the ideas about culture. Observe how culture and condition were presented. Think about what values were being preserved or dismantled. Then, write in third person, what was learned. The essay is in third person; don’t write you, we, our us, or me. It is not considered academic.
Question: What are the themes in the event that link to the course, and how do those themes represent social problems or ways to resolve those problems?
1st Paragraph 100 POINTS FOR ESSAY
Introduction: Write summary of the event, lecture, music video, or song. (5 sentences)
Thesis: Answer the questions above. (1-2 sentences)
2nd Paragraph
Point: Write what is the importance of the theme. (1-2 sentences)
Illustration A. Summary (3 sentences)
Illustration B. Quotation (1-2 lines)
Explanation:
A. Explain the importance of the quote (2 sentences)
B. Explain how the importance is linked to Anzaldua (2 sentences)
3rd Paragraph
Point: Write what is the importance of the theme. (1-2 sentences)
Illustration A. Summary (3 sentences)
Illustration B. Quotation (1-2 lines)
Explanation:
A. Explain the importance of the quote (2 sentences)
B. Explain how the importance is linked Anzaldua (2 sentences)
4th Paragraph
Point: Write what is the importance of the theme. (1-2 sentences)
Illustration A. Summary (3 sentences)
Illustration B. Quotation (1-2 lines)
Explanation:
A. Explain the importance of the quote (2 sentences)
B. Explain how the importance is linked to Anzaldua (2 sentences)
5th Conclusion: Write 3 sentences on what you learned you didn't know before. Write in third person.
.
1. Some people say that chatbots are inferior for chatting.Others di.docxstilliegeorgiana
This document contains 6 prompts for short essays on topics related to chatbots. The prompts cover debates about chatbot capabilities, financial benefits of chatbots, IBM Watson's goal of reaching 1 billion people by 2018, comparing chatbots on Facebook and WeChat, researching the role of chatbots in helping dementia patients, and how the Singapore government is working with Microsoft to develop chatbots for e-government services. Responses should be in APA format with 2 references and be 2 pages long.
1. Some people say that chatbots are inferior for chatting.Other.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. Some people say that chatbots are inferior for chatting.Others disagree. Discuss.
2. Discuss the financial benefits of chatbots.
3. Discuss how IBM Watson will reach 1 billion people by 2018 and what the implications of that are.
4. Compare the chatbots of Facebook and WeChat. Which has more functionalities?
5. Research the role of chatbots in helping patients with dementia
6. Microsoft partners with the government of Singapore to develop chatbots for e-services. Find out how this is done.
APA format with 2 references.
2 pages
.
1. Some people say that chatbots are inferior for chatting. Others d.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. Some people say that chatbots are inferior for chatting. Others disagree. Discuss.
2. Discuss the financial benefits of chatbots.
3. Discuss how IBM Watson will reach 1 billion people by 2018 and what the implications of that are.
4. Compare the chatbots of Facebook and WeChat. Which has more functionalities?
5. Research the role of chatbots in helping patients with dementia.
6.Microsoft partners with the government of Singapore to develop chatbots for e-services. Find out how this is done.
Note: Each question must be answered in 6-7 ines and refernces must be APA cited
.
1. Tell us about yourself and your personal journey that has to .docxstilliegeorgiana
1. Tell us about yourself and your personal journey that has to lead you to the University of the ABC. (Currently, I’m pursuing my masters in IT and next applying for Ph.D. In IT) in same ABC university
2. What are your research interests in the area of information technology? How did you become interested in this area of research?
3. What unique qualities do you think you have that will help you in being successful in this program? (Ph.D. IT Program)
4. How can obtaining a doctorate impact your contribution to the practices of information technology? Where do you see yourself after obtaining a doctorate from ABC?
.
1. Tell us what characteristics of Loma Linda University are particu.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. Tell us what characteristics of Loma Linda University are particularly attractive and meaningful to you and why you have chosen to apply for advanced education.
(500 words)
2.
LLU believes deeply in integrating spiritual values into the educational experience. As a result, religion courses and chapel attendance are part of the curriculum. Tell us why you believe such a faith-based education would be of special benefit to you. (500 words)
3.
Tell us the desirable qualities that you see in yourself that you believe would aid us in considering your application. (1000 words)
4. Discuss how your spiritual origins, development, and experience have influenced and been integrated into your daily life. (1000 words)
.
1. Tell us about yourself and your personal journey that has lea.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. Tell us about yourself and your personal journey that has lead you to University of the Cumberlands.
2. What are your research interests in the area of information technology? How did you become interested in this area of research?
3. What is your current job/career and how will this program impact your career growth?
4. What unique qualities do you think you have that will help you in being successful in this program?
5. How can obtaining a doctorate impact your contribution to the practices of information technology? Where do you see yourself after obtaining a doctorate from UC?
.
1. The Research paper will come in five parts. The instructions are.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The Research paper will come in five parts. The instructions are:
RESEARCH PAPER TOPIC
Impact of Women in Missions History
o
Part 2:
Refined topic, edited abstract, outline, and ten sources - Students will incorporate any changes to topic, outline the paper, write questions to be answered by the research, and submit ten sources. Submit Part 2 by 11:59 p.m. (ET) on Sunday of Module/Week 3.
Note:
Some will need to limit their topic. Others will need to expand their topic. This process should begin this week and continue until the final project is submitted.
DUE SUNDAY, MAY 31ST
o
Part 3:
Introduction and first five pages - Students will submit the introduction and first five pages of the research paper. Submit Part 3 by 11:59 p.m. (ET) on Sunday of Module/Week 4.
DUE FRIDAY, JUNE 5TH
o
Part 4:
Introduction and first ten pages - Students will submit introduction and first ten pages, incorporating changes made to initial submission. Submit Part 4 by 11:59 p.m. (ET) on Sunday of Module/Week 5.
DUE FRIDAY, JUNE 12TH
o
Part 5:
Complete research paper - Students will submit the complete research paper. The paper will be 5000-6000 words in the body of the paper, with a minimum of ten academic resources cited. Submit Part 5 by 11:59 p.m. (ET) on Sunday of Module/Week 7
DUE FRIDAY, JUNE 19TH
.
1. The minutiae points located on a fingerprint will help determine .docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The minutiae points located on a fingerprint will help determine the _________________ of a fingerprint since it has been empirically demonstrated that no two fingerprints are alike.
2. A fingerprint will remain ______________ during an individual's lifetime.
3. The epidermis is the outer layer of the skin, while the ___________ is the inner layer of the skin.
4. The ____________ is formed by ridges entering from one side of the print, rising and falling, and exiting on the opposite side (like a wave).
5. Level 2 includes locating and comparing _________________
.
1. The initial post is to be posted first and have 300-500 words.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The initial post is to be posted first and have 300-500 words
· The original post is substantive, showing depth of knowledge on the topic and requires 2 references. References are from LDRS 300 course text or readings.
· Substantive replies occur under two or more different threads, other than that belonging to you.
· Response posts to peers' original postings are respectful, show clear synthesis and evaluation of the content read, and provides depth, breath, or new insight to the topic.
· Be clearly written and contain no APA/spelling/grammatical errors
Use
APA Citations for all your sources and include an APA References list. (No Title Page, or other APA formatting is required)
Spelling and Grammar is important.
Discussion Question: Servant Leadership in a movie, book, or drama film you have enjoyed.
Based on our readings from
Lead Like Jesus
(Blanchard, Hodges, & Hendry, 2016),
Jesus on Leadership (Wilkes, 1998)
and thus far in the lectures of LDRS 300;
A Servant Leader models Jesus by having the following leadership traits
:
1. Followership.
2. Greatness in Service.
3. Takes Risks.
4. Shares Responsibility and Authority.
5. Practices
one of
the Being Habits or Doing Habits.
6. Embodies the Vision, Mission, and Values of the group.
7. Is a Performance Coach.
8. Displays Lessons Learned from The Work of a Carpenter.
Choose a character from a movie and discuss the following two questions.
1.
How did the character display TWO (2) traits of a Servant Leader like Jesus from the list above?
1.
Give
2 examples from the movie to support your position.
2. H
ow would you describe the EGO of this character in terms of the two ways EGO is discussed in this class? (
Edging God Out
Verses
Exalting God Only
)
1.
Give at least 2 examples from the movie to support your position.
.
1. The key elements of supplier measurement are quality, delivery, a.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. The key elements of supplier measurement are quality, delivery, and price. On the surface this appears to be a simple matter, but what are the complicating factors?
2. David Atkinson, the founder and Managing Director of Four Pillars, a management consulting and training company, states that “supplier relationship management is . . . process-focused. It’s a lot more about how the organization systematically plans, than it is about an ’interpersonal’ skill set of the procurement person or relationship manager.” Do you agree or disagree with this statement?
3. Supplier performance measurement is an essential lever for successful supplier management that encompasses both pre- and post-contract management. From this vantage point, how would you distinguish the focuses of supplier performance measurement undertaken pre-contract stage versus post-contract stage?
.
1. Search the Internet and locate an article that relates to the top.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. Search the Internet and locate an article that relates to the topic of HACKING and summarize the reading in your own words. Your summary should be 2-3 paragraphs in length and uploaded as a TEXT DOCUMENT.
2. Do you feel the benefits of cloud computing are worth the threats and vulnerabilities? Have we arrived at a point where we can trust external agencies to secure our most precious data? Please explain your answer.
3. In a few short paragraphs, explain which cloud services you use (Google, Amazon, iCloud, Verizon, Microsoft One, Dropbox, etc) and what type of information you store (docs, photos, music, other files?). How much space do you have and what does this cost per month?
.
1. Text mining – Text mining or text data mining is a process to e.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. Text mining – Text mining or text data mining is a process to extract high-quality information from the text. It is done through patterns and trends devised using statistical pattern learning. Firstly, the input data is structured. After structuring, patterns are derived from this structured data and finally, the output is evaluated and interpreted. The main applications of text mining include competitive intelligence, E-Discovery, National Security, and social media monitoring. It is a trending topic for the thesis in data mining.
Some research needs
Problem definition – In the first phase problem definition is listed i.e. business aims and objectives are determined taking into consideration certain factors like the current background and future prospective.
Data exploration – Required data is collected and explored using various statistical methods along with identification of underlying problems.
Data preparation – The data is prepared for modeling by cleansing and formatting the raw data in the desired way. The meaning of data is not changed while preparing.
Modeling – In this phase the data model is created by applying certain mathematical functions and modeling techniques. After the model is created it goes through validation and verification.
Evaluation – After the model is created, it is evaluated by a team of experts to check whether it satisfies business objectives or not.
Deployment – After evaluation, the model is deployed and further plans are made for its maintenance. A properly organized report is prepared with the summary of the work done.
Research paper Policy
· APA format
. https://apastyle.apa.org/
. https://owl.purdue.edu/owl/research_and_citation/apa_style/apa_formatting_and_style_guide/general_format.html
· Min number of pages are 15 pages
· Must have
. Contents with page numbers
. Abstract
. Introduction
. The problem
4. Are there any sub-problems?
4. Is there any issue need to be present concerning the problem?
. The solutions
5. Steps of the solutions
. Compare the solution to other solution
. Any suggestion to improve the solution
. Conclusion
. References
· Missing one of the above will result -5/30 of the research paper
· Paper does not stick to the APA will result in 0 in the research paper
Spring 2020 Name: ______________________________
MATH 175 – Test 2 (Show Your Work )
7. Given
5
cos2
18
q
=-
and
180270
q
<<
oo
, find values of
sin
q
and
cos
q
.
8. Verify that each of the following is a trigonometric identity.
22
1sin
sec2sectantan
1sin
q
qqqq
q
-
=-+
+
9. Give the exact value of
4
cos2arctan
3
æö
ç÷
èø
without using a calculator.
10. Solve
2cos2cos2
qq
=
for all exact solutions in degrees.
PAGE
1
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_1234567896.unknown
_1234567894.unknown
_1234567892.unknown
_1234567890.unknown
Information Systems for Business and Beyond (2019)
Information System.
1. Students need to review 3 different social media platforms that a.docxstilliegeorgiana
1. Students need to review 3 different social media platforms that are not mainstream.
a. TikTok
b. Lasso
c. Vero
d. Steemit
e. Caffeine
f. Houseparty
g. Amazon Spark
h. Anchor
i. Facebook for Creators
j. Foursquare Swarm
k. Facecast
l. Google My Business
m. Reddit
2. Provide background of how the platform started, who owns them and how big of a following they have?
3. What are the platforms demographics?
4. Strategies and Tools/Platforms – Strengths, Opportunities for Improvement, and recommendation for each platform.
5. Monitoring and Measuring what to measure? What analytics? What tools to use?
6. What companies are currently posting on this platform?
7. Develop 2 case examples of how companies are using this platform to engage with their customers? Include images of posts.
.
This document provides an overview of wound healing, its functions, stages, mechanisms, factors affecting it, and complications.
A wound is a break in the integrity of the skin or tissues, which may be associated with disruption of the structure and function.
Healing is the body’s response to injury in an attempt to restore normal structure and functions.
Healing can occur in two ways: Regeneration and Repair
There are 4 phases of wound healing: hemostasis, inflammation, proliferation, and remodeling. This document also describes the mechanism of wound healing. Factors that affect healing include infection, uncontrolled diabetes, poor nutrition, age, anemia, the presence of foreign bodies, etc.
Complications of wound healing like infection, hyperpigmentation of scar, contractures, and keloid formation.
Leveraging Generative AI to Drive Nonprofit InnovationTechSoup
In this webinar, participants learned how to utilize Generative AI to streamline operations and elevate member engagement. Amazon Web Service experts provided a customer specific use cases and dived into low/no-code tools that are quick and easy to deploy through Amazon Web Service (AWS.)
This presentation was provided by Racquel Jemison, Ph.D., Christina MacLaughlin, Ph.D., and Paulomi Majumder. Ph.D., all of the American Chemical Society, for the second session of NISO's 2024 Training Series "DEIA in the Scholarly Landscape." Session Two: 'Expanding Pathways to Publishing Careers,' was held June 13, 2024.
Beyond Degrees - Empowering the Workforce in the Context of Skills-First.pptxEduSkills OECD
Iván Bornacelly, Policy Analyst at the OECD Centre for Skills, OECD, presents at the webinar 'Tackling job market gaps with a skills-first approach' on 12 June 2024
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إضغ بين إيديكم من أقوى الملازم التي صممتها
ملزمة تشريح الجهاز الهيكلي (نظري 3)
💀💀💀💀💀💀💀💀💀💀
تتميز هذهِ الملزمة بعِدة مُميزات :
1- مُترجمة ترجمة تُناسب جميع المستويات
2- تحتوي على 78 رسم توضيحي لكل كلمة موجودة بالملزمة (لكل كلمة !!!!)
#فهم_ماكو_درخ
3- دقة الكتابة والصور عالية جداً جداً جداً
4- هُنالك بعض المعلومات تم توضيحها بشكل تفصيلي جداً (تُعتبر لدى الطالب أو الطالبة بإنها معلومات مُبهمة ومع ذلك تم توضيح هذهِ المعلومات المُبهمة بشكل تفصيلي جداً
5- الملزمة تشرح نفسها ب نفسها بس تكلك تعال اقراني
6- تحتوي الملزمة في اول سلايد على خارطة تتضمن جميع تفرُعات معلومات الجهاز الهيكلي المذكورة في هذهِ الملزمة
واخيراً هذهِ الملزمة حلالٌ عليكم وإتمنى منكم إن تدعولي بالخير والصحة والعافية فقط
كل التوفيق زملائي وزميلاتي ، زميلكم محمد الذهبي 💊💊
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Andreas Schleicher presents PISA 2022 Volume III - Creative Thinking - 18 Jun...EduSkills OECD
Andreas Schleicher, Director of Education and Skills at the OECD presents at the launch of PISA 2022 Volume III - Creative Minds, Creative Schools on 18 June 2024.
2. probabilities of future events. In many
cases, using these rules will help us make good decisions.
However, depending upon the
situation, this type of decision making can lead to faulty
judgments or biases. In this paper we
will focus on a few common heuristics and biases which affect
project management: availability,
anchoring, representativeness, and others.
How Project Managers Became “Gamblers”
There is a problem that pervades our society: we have all
become pathological gamblers. We are
not referring to those of us who spend all of our spare time in
casinos in the vague hope that they
will win their retirement nest egg – the opposite outcome is
almost nearly always the case.
Rather, we are referring to how we must gamble during the
course of our everyday lives. If you
drive or are a passenger in a car, there is a probability that you
will be involved in an accident.
Take your clothes to the dry cleaner and there is probability that
your shirt will be damaged; you
buy chicken in the supermarket and there is a probability you
would get salmonella or some
3. other unpleasant condition. In fact, there are whole industries
whose revenue and profits dwarfs
those of the Las Vegas casinos that are all based on gambling:
investments and insurance. When
we invest our money, what we are actually doing is gambling
that certain stocks or mutual funds
will provide us with a certain returns. And unless we are willing
to watch the value of our
savings evaporate over time due to inflation, we are left with
few options but to place a bets
using one or multiple financial instruments. In our society, this
type of gambling is both a
respectable profession and a source of great personal wealth.
Professional gamblers earn much
higher amount of money than people who actually produce the
goods. 15 of the 120 richest
people in the world made their fortune in investment, finance,
gaming, or leveraged buyouts -
industries whose are based on gambling (Forbes 2017).
Perhaps, what is most interesting is that this type of gambling
has in some specific cases become
mandatory; you must bet on something or face possible legal
consequences. The most common
example is car insurance which you must have before you can
4. drive on public roads. As this is
the case and we don’t have any other but to gamble, let’s learn
how to improve our gambling
skills. In this paper we will learn about common mistakes which
all people, including project
managers, make when people make their choices under
uncertainties.
Availability Heuristic
Let‘s imagine that you are an IT project manager and tasked
with selecting new laptop
computers for your organization. You reviewed all the product
sheets for Dell, Toshiba, HP, and
other laptop brands: performance, price, reliability, memory,
etc. After a detailed analysis, you
decided that Toshiba is a best brand for your organization.
However, the day before you are
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6. of their habit despite
overwhelming evidence that smoking is harmful, they may
answer that they aren’t
worried because they know someone who smoked all of their
life and lived until a ripe
old age 95 years when they were unfortunately run over by a
bus.
research to find the perfect
vacation locale, you discover that Mexico has beautiful
beaches, world class hotels, and
good security in the tourist areas. However, just as you were in
the process of selecting
your Mexican vacation destination, you see headline in the news
that US tourist had been
robbed in Acapulco. You become extremely worried and think
about cancelling your
vacation.
need to select a platform.
You know only four companies that develop software
applications similar to the one you
are planning to develop. Three of them are using Oracle and
7. only one is using Microsoft
SQL Server, so you decide on using the Oracle platform.
What is the common theme in all of these examples? In all of
these situations you are making a
bet. If you smoke, you are betting that you will be one of the
luck few whose lifespan will not be
shortened by the habit. If you purchase a computer, you are
betting that it will be reliable.
Unfortunately, most people don’t perform this type of detailed
analysis for most real life issues
in which the extra effort would be very beneficial. One of the
main reasons we don’t is because
it takes a lot of mental effort and energy. In addition, our
ability to perform a truly rational
analysis is limited because:
a) the information we have may be limited,
b) our minds have basic cognitive limitations, and
c) there is only a finite amount of time that we have to make
decisions.
Therefore instead of using detailed analysis, we rely on
simplified mental strategies or “rules of
thumb” to guide our decisions. In the psychology of judgment
and decision making these rules
9. of smokers vs. non-smokers.
But a couple of examples of smokers we know who lived until
the age of 95, can cause
us to disregard the medical statistics usually override this
statistical information and as a
result we may significantly reduce the probability of
experiencing a shorter lifespan
because of smoking.
robbery in Acapulco
you didn’t read about the
hundreds of thousands successful vacations and happy tourists.
To make matters worse,
because there are no images of the actual robbery, you tend to
make them up, enhance
them with images you might have seen in movies: lots of
violence, blood, incompetent
local police in cahoots with organized crime. Now the previous
images in your mind of a
relaxing vacation on the beach are replaced with the images of
an imagined crime scene.
No wonder you are thinking of canceling your trip to Acapulco.
software similar to the
10. application you have planned; however there are probably
dozens if not hundreds of
companies involved in similar development. You are making a
decision based on very
limited number of samples.
In all of these situations, people judge the frequency of an event
based on something that is easy
to remember or imagine, but not actual data. Essentially we
replace statistics with imagination.
Here is another example of the availability heuristic. Let’s
compare two different descriptions of
potential oil drilling failure due to low quality of seismic data.
If high quality seismic data is not purchased,
there is an increased chance that the well we
drill will be dry and we will incur some losses.
If high quality seismic is not purchased, a $ 3.6
million well may be dry. Moreover, we will
have wasted at least 17 business days drilling
plus three more days on rig mobilization. In
addition, we will miss the opportunity to drill
11. wells in a different field. We estimate that our
income after taxes will be 10% lower if this
well is dry.
Which version of the event will sound more realistic to the
management? If you are like most
managers, you picked the second. It is more vivid, has more
details, and therefore looks more
probable. Vivid events are easily brought to mind and since we
can recall them better, it affects
our estimation of probabilities. Lawyers, police officers, and
politicians often use the availability
heuristic and paint vivid descriptions of a process or an event
when trying to convince us that
their version of the events is the truth. Experienced project
managers are also aware that they
can sway senior management or project stakeholders by painting
vivid pictures; for example, a
project failure if additional resources are not provided.
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13. suggestion is to collect as many samples of reliable information
and include it to the analysis.
For example, if you estimate probability of a risk “delay with
receiving payment” ask your
accounting department to check records of previous payments –
have they been delayed or not.
If you don’t obtain this information, you may base your
judgment based on recent payment
delay or a remarkable delay which involved a huge sum of
money.
Anchoring
Do you know how much this seemingly simple purse cost
(Figure 1)? The price usually starts at
about US $5,000, but can reach 5 and sometimes 6 digit prices.
It is a “Birkin” bag by Hermes.
Allegedly, the waiting list for a Birkin is over two years;
however, Hermes will sell a Birkin to
“regular” customers without putting them through the agony of
a waiting list. Hermes claims
that only few hundred bags are produced per year and that they
are sold only at Hermes stores
and never online. The bags are often constructed using exotic
animal skins and studded with
15. pound. You also know that apples normally range in prices from
$1 to $2 depending on the type,
quality, and season. Now you can compare the $1 and $2 apples
and decide whether the
difference in quality, type, etc. makes it worthwhile to pay an
extra $1. In your analysis, you
leave out supply and demand, net present value or expected
value, you just use a mental shortcut
by comparing the prices of apples with a reference point. This is
a simple and effective
analytical process. In the case of Birkin bags, the situation is
not so simple. There are no readily
available reference points to help determine what the cost
should be for a Birken bag. Therefore,
Hermes is free to ask for any price when they first introduce the
bag and at that point, the price
becomes the anchor that will be used to determine the prices of
all Birkins bags. People
commonly rely on anchors, or one particular piece of
information or reference point to make
decisions. If this anchor is set up incorrectly or arbitrarily, it
may lead to wrong decisions. This
effect is called the anchoring heuristic (Tversky and Kahneman
1974).
16. Here is another example. In 1993, federal regulators forced
public companies to disclose their
compensation to senior management, which at that time was 131
times as much as the average
worker. In 2008, the average CEO’s combined compensation
was 369 times greater than the
average worker (Ariely 2009). The underlying reason for such
growth is the anchoring heuristic.
After CEO compensation started to be disclosed, every board
began comparing the salary of
their CEO and others in a similar position, which might not be
the correct reference or anchor
point to use. Remember, the main argument for enormous CEO
salaries is that other CEOs have
a similar level of compensation. Obviously, boards do not want
a bad CEO: so they find the
“normal” compensation in their industry and add 10-30% to
attract the best candidates.
Anchoring often manifests itself in estimation of project costs,
resources, or duration. For
example, we estimate that a project would take 20 days based on
experience with a similar
project, but this reference point may be not applicable to the
current project. Now, even if we
17. add contingency time to perform probabilistic analysis (e.g. 15
to 25 days duration): the result
still will be incorrect.
Here is another outcome related to anchoring. Project managers
often compare project
performance against benchmarks. In many cases this is a good
practice; however, incorrect
benchmarks can give incorrect insights into the actual
performance of projects. For example, a
project manager may discover that administrative costs for
similar projects were around 10% of
the project cost. With this in mind, he or she may start to reduce
the project’s administration
expenses without a clear idea how administrative expenses for
the previous project were
calculated and whether these numbers applicable for this
specific case.
Another bias related to anchoring is called the focusing effect
(Schkade and Kahneman 1998).
The focusing effect occurs when decision-makers place too
much importance on one aspect of
an event or process. Here is a question for you: do you think the
senior manager of your
18. company has a good life? If you focus solely on your manager’s
salary and perks the answer
may be yes. However, you might not know that that the manager
has a wife and two teenage
daughters who spend thousands on perfume, a very critical live-
in mother-in-law, a leaky
basement, and a slipped disk. He may be a very unhappy man
for reasons that have nothing to
do with his employment.
The problem with the anchoring heuristic is it very difficult to
overcome. One suggestion is to
use more than one reference point during your analysis of an
issue. When you buy a Dooney &
Bourke bag, try to assess prices using not just Gucci as a
reference, but also bags that you can
find at Walmart. When you think about project cost, use more
than one as a reference.
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21. Remember that most objects are hard to classify. Moreover,
people are often uncomfortable with
how certain goods or things are categorized. For example, to
what type of categories should
vehicles like the Mercedes-Benz R-Class belong (Figure 3)?
Daimler markets it as a multi-
purpose vehicle (MPV), but for most people it is a station
wagon on anabolic steroids. Without a
doubt it is a good family vehicle, but partially because it is hard
to classify, sales of the R-class
were sluggish (Mercedes-Benz USA 2010).
Figure 3. Mercedes-Benz R-Class
Cars are not the only things we tend to classify. We tend to
classify pretty well everything that
we happen across, including people. In our minds, we create
certain categories and when we
meet people with who have certain attributes we then we try to
fit them into these categories,
though sometimes it has the same result as trying to fit a square
peg into a round hole. Captain
Holly Graf was a commander of the Japan-based guided missile
cruiser U.S.S. Cowpens
22. (Thompson 2010). She had all attributes to place her in the
commander category: she was very
knowledgeable, experienced, outspoken, and decisive, all
necessary attributes when
commanding a large navy ship. Because of these attributes, she
was promoted into the rank of
commander. Unfortunately, people who classified her as a
commander type and then promoted
her to the position ignored one other important attribute
required by leaders: people skills. It
turns out Commander Graf had none. After numerous
complaints regarding her handling of
subordinates and other ranking officers, she was removed from
her position as a captain of a
billion-dollar warship for "cruelty and maltreatment" of her
400-member crew. According to the
Navy inspector general's report and the accounts of officers who
served under her command,
Holly Graf was the closest thing the U.S. Navy had to a female
Captain Bligh. Inspector
general's report stated that she repeatedly verbally abused and
assaulted her crew.
Our mistakes in classification lead us to create stereotypes or
develop prejudices. For example,
24. But here is much less trivial consequence of our attempt to
classify things. People make
judgment about probabilities and risks based on the category
this object, person, or process
represents. This heuristic is called representativeness.
Representativeness can lead to a number
of mental mistakes. Here is the question for you:
A Russian spy Ivan Petroff infiltrated the White House
disguised as a rat exterminator and stole
a top-secret document: a list of Washington DC’s approved
escort agencies. Three people
actually witnessed Ivan Petroff inside the White House. Whose
description of the Russian spy is
most probable:
a) White House bartender Mick Mousy described the
exterminator as a big guy in a black
suit.
b) White House taxi driver Mohamed Toscanini described the
exterminator as a big guy in
black suit and sunglasses.
c) White House secret service agent Bert Bigneck described the
exterminator as a big guy
in black suit and sunglasses, who spoke with Russian accent.
Correct answer is a). The more general a description, the more
25. probable the description is.
people in black suits is greater than
than
accent.
The probability of the three events occurring together (in
"conjunction") is always less than or
equal to the probability of either one occurring alone.
Therefore, the more detailed description,
such as “exterminator was a big guy in black suit and
sunglasses, who spoke with Russian
accent” is less probable (Figure 4). This effect is called the
conjunction fallacy (Tversky and
Kahneman 1983).
People in
black suites
People wearing
sunglasses
People with
Russian accent
People in back suites, sunglasses,
27. you should not expect to change your chances that all future
project cost estimation will be
accurate. A similar situation can occur if you suddenly
experience a sudden growth in your
investment: a 10% return for the last quarter after 6% for the
past few years. Time to buy that
vacation home, right? No, unfortunately, we have to disappoint
you: 10% is probably an
aberration.
To mitigate the negative effect of representativeness try to think
about different methods
categorize objects or events. For example, you have to estimate
how long it would take to
develop a software user interface. This particular task could
belong to different categories:
By approaching this task from multiple viewpoints, you can
make your estimates based on
similar projects for each different category.
Some Other Heuristics and Biases
28. The list of heuristics biases is quite extensive. For the sake of
brevity, we have provided a list of
biases that are most in project management.
Confirmation bias. People tend to confirm preconceptions or
hypotheses, independent of
whether they are true or not.
Ignoring base rate frequencies. People assess the probability of
something based on evidence
without taking sufficient account of the "base rate" or "prior
probability" of the evidence.
Illusion of control. People often believe that they are in control
of situation; although, in
reality, they are not. You have probably heard about telekinesis
or the direct influence of mind
on a physical system, in which a system or object is
manipulated in a way that cannot be
entirely accounted for by the mediation of any known physical
energy: bending spoons, moving
objects. Many instances of telekinesis can be attributed to the
illusion of control (Bösch,
Steinkamp, and Boller 2006). Similar to mediums and other
participants in paranormal activities,
project managers often believe that they are in control of
situations when in reality they are not.
29. Omission Bias. People have a tendency to judge harmful actions
as worse than equally harmful
omissions. What would be better: to observe a potential problem
in a project and do nothing or
actually be part of the problem? The result will be the same: the
project will be behind schedule.
This bias often manifests itself when people are making
decisions regarding safety and security.
People sometimes think that result of not reporting a potential
safety violation is not as bad as
actually breaking safety rules.
Optimism bias or planning fallacy. People tend to be over-
optimistic about the outcome of
planned actions.
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31. That Shape Our Decisions. Harper; Rev Exp edition
Bösch, H., Steinkamp, F., Boller, E. 2006. Examining
psychokinesis: The interaction of human
intention with random number generators - a meta-analysis.
Psychological Bulletin 132 (4):
497–523
Forbes. 2017. The World's Billionaires 2017. Available at
http://www.forbes.com/lists/
(Accessed December 6, 2017).
Mercedes-Benz USA. 2010. Mercedes-Benz Posts Highest Sales
Month for the Year With
20,025 Vehicles Sold in DecemberMercedes-Benz USA. Press
Release 05-Jan-2010. Available
at http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/mercedes-benz-
posts-highest-sales-month-for-the-
year-with-20025-vehicles-sold-in-december-80710637.html,
(Accessed March 9, 2010).
Schkade, D. A., & Kahneman, D. 1998. Does living in
California make people happy? A
focusing illusion in judgments of life satisfaction.
Psychological Science, 9, 340-346.
Schwartz, B. 2005. The Paradox of Choice: Why More Is Less.
New York: Harper Perennial,
32. 2005.
Tonello M. 2009. Bringing Home the Birkin: My Life in Hot
Pursuit of the World's Most
Coveted Handbag. Harper Paperbacks; Reprint edition
Thompson M. 2010. The Rise and Fall of a Female Captain
Bligh. Times Magazine. Mar. 03,
2010
Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. 1973. Availability: A Heuristic
for judging frequency and
probability. Cognitive Psychology, 5, 207-232
Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. 1974. Judgment under
uncertainty: Heuristics and biases.
Science, 185, 1124-1130.
Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. 1983. Extension versus intuitive
reasoning: The conjunction
fallacy in probability judgment. Psychological Review 90 (4):
293–315.
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http://www.forbes.com/lists/
http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/mercedes-benz-
posts-highest-sales-month-for-the-year-with-20025-vehicles-
34. agencies to establish effective decision analysis and risk
management processes as well
as to conduct risk analyses of complex projects. Lev’s current
research interests include
the application of decision analysis and risk management to
project management. He
writes and speaks around the world on the decision analysis
process, the psychology of
judgment and decision-making and risk management. Lev can be
contacted at
[email protected]
Michael Trumper
Intaver Institute
Alberta, Canada
Michael Trumper has over 20 years’ experience in
communications,
software design, and project risk and management. Michael is a
partner at Intaver Institute
Inc., a vendor of project risk management and analysis
software. Michael has authored
papers on quantitative methods in project estimation and risk
analysis. He is a co-author of
two books on project risk management and decision analysis. He
has developed and
delivered project risk analysis and management solutions to
clients that include NASA,
DOE, and Lockheed Martin.
35. Eugenia Virine, PMP
Alberta, Canada
Eugenia Virine, PMP, is a senior manager for revenue
development at
Greyhound Canada. Over the past 12 years Eugenia has
managed many complex projects
in the areas of transportation and information technology. Her
current research interests
include project risk and decision analysis, project performance
management, and project
metrics. Eugenia holds B. Comm. degree from University of
Calgary.
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mailto:[email protected]
35905 Topic: Application: Building a Basic Data Set
Number of Pages: 1 (Double Spaced)
Number of sources: 4
Writing Style: APA
Type of document: Essay
36. Academic Level:Ph. D.
Category: Healthcare
Language Style: English (U.S.)
Order Instructions: Attached
Application: Building a Basic Data Set
Your goal for this Application is to create an SPSS data set
using data provided in the Application Data Set document. Note
that this is not an import activity—you are not attempting to
migrate the data using SPSS import tools. Rather, you are
replicating the data set in SPSS and entering the data by hand.
As you do, make sure to apply the best practices for handling
values, variables, data types, and labels.
To prepare for this Application, participate in the Discussion
area to clarify any questions you may have about the material
presented in the textbook, demonstration video, the assigned
Study Questions, or the end-of-chapter exercises.
The Assignment:
Type in the data provided in the "Module 2 Application Data
Set" to create an SPSS data set.
Pay specific attention to:
Data types
Level of measurement
40. Name Type Label Values Missing Measure
ID_Num
Numeric
A unique and encrypted ID
number for a patient
None
Nominal
Age_BP
41. Numeric
Initial visit age in years when
a patient’s blood pressure
was recorded
None
Scale
sex
Numeric
42. Sex of patient
0 = female,
1 = male
None
Nominal
Systolic_BP
Numeric
Systolic blood pressure at
initial visit
None
Scale
Diastolic_BP
43. Numeric
Diastolic blood pressure at
initial visit
None
Scale
BMI Numeric Body Mass Index
None Scale
Death_age
Numeric
Follow-up age at death in
whole years
None