- Old vintage clothing and selling homes as a "for sale by owner" are ways for people to make extra cash when money gets tight. Listing a home as FSBO can save the 6% realtor commission, and MLS services allow FSBO listings for about $295. Basic photography for online listings costs $100-350.
- The stock markets were up last week despite global chaos, as the conflicts have not impacted the US economy. Interest rates remain low, benefiting the stock market, though rates will likely rise eventually.
- Most market indexes rallied or traded range-bound last week. Indicators show mixed signals across indexes, with some pointing higher and others lower or neutral. The document analy
We are getting fairly close to a short-term top. There are too many analysts looking for a correction. Stay long keep your stops tight and if elected keep the proceeds in cash.
The market continues is trek higher even with, a not so stellar, “jobs report.” There is too much sideline money waiting for a pull backs to jump on board, therefore any retreat will likely be
shallow. One of these days, the bounce will die like a beach ball that has been deflated. Until that time, up up and away we go. The S&P 500 looks as though it is forming a rounding top which could either launch a retreat or become a spring board for the next assault to the upper stratosphere. So far, we have been correct in keeping our stops tight and behaving defensively. The world is chaotic with hot spots all over. There will come a time when one of these hot spots will become an erupting volcano. The good news is that here in the USA we are not involved on our own soil.
The document provides an analysis and outlook for various financial markets including stocks, crude oil, gold, and the US Dollar index based on technical indicators. It notes bullish patterns forming in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ indexes and predicts potential short-term rallies. It also comments on recent moves higher in crude oil prices which it attributes partly to US dollar weakness. The analysis finds gold and the US dollar in sideways trading ranges for the near future. It closes with standard risk disclosure language.
“Sell in May and go away!” Well maybe, our suggestion is to use trailing stops or hard stops on your positions. We suggest that approach because the truth is that we do not know when the correction or plunge will occur, we only know that it will occur. Remember bull markets can last longer that you might ever have believed. The US market is a bit long in the tooth as a bull market and lasting advances might be harder to achieve thus we advise caution. We are not telling you to sell just to make sure that any long positions have stops in place. The rally that began in March of 2009 has proceeded higher with nothing more than a couple of hiccups along the way. The rally has been strong and predictable. The longer a trend lasts the stronger the reversal will be so with that in mind, don’t try to predict the end of the bull just keep your protection in place.
We are getting fairly close to a short-term top. There are too many analysts looking for a correction. Stay long keep your stops tight and if elected keep the proceeds in cash.
The market continues is trek higher even with, a not so stellar, “jobs report.” There is too much sideline money waiting for a pull backs to jump on board, therefore any retreat will likely be
shallow. One of these days, the bounce will die like a beach ball that has been deflated. Until that time, up up and away we go. The S&P 500 looks as though it is forming a rounding top which could either launch a retreat or become a spring board for the next assault to the upper stratosphere. So far, we have been correct in keeping our stops tight and behaving defensively. The world is chaotic with hot spots all over. There will come a time when one of these hot spots will become an erupting volcano. The good news is that here in the USA we are not involved on our own soil.
The document provides an analysis and outlook for various financial markets including stocks, crude oil, gold, and the US Dollar index based on technical indicators. It notes bullish patterns forming in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ indexes and predicts potential short-term rallies. It also comments on recent moves higher in crude oil prices which it attributes partly to US dollar weakness. The analysis finds gold and the US dollar in sideways trading ranges for the near future. It closes with standard risk disclosure language.
“Sell in May and go away!” Well maybe, our suggestion is to use trailing stops or hard stops on your positions. We suggest that approach because the truth is that we do not know when the correction or plunge will occur, we only know that it will occur. Remember bull markets can last longer that you might ever have believed. The US market is a bit long in the tooth as a bull market and lasting advances might be harder to achieve thus we advise caution. We are not telling you to sell just to make sure that any long positions have stops in place. The rally that began in March of 2009 has proceeded higher with nothing more than a couple of hiccups along the way. The rally has been strong and predictable. The longer a trend lasts the stronger the reversal will be so with that in mind, don’t try to predict the end of the bull just keep your protection in place.
The document provides an overview and analysis of various financial markets including stocks, commodities, currencies, and precious metals from March 15, 2015. It notes recent declines in stocks while small-cap stocks and the Russell 2000 have remained stronger. Commodities like oil declined further while gold and currencies like the US dollar increased. Overall the markets seem overextended on the upside or downside depending on the asset, and volatility is expected around upcoming futures and options expirations.
The document provides a weekly market summary and outlook for various indexes and commodities. It notes that the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 ended the week lower after reaching new highs earlier. The Russell 2000 and crude oil performed poorly, with indicators pointing lower. Gold also looks weak with support at $1182. The US dollar index remains strong with indicators pointing higher still. In closing, the author advises caution given mixed signals in markets and recommends tight stops if positions are held.
This is a short week for the US markets. Thursday is Thanksgiving and Friday, well you are supposed to shop until you drop so the US markets close early to help you achieve that goal. Gold anybody? Russia has been acquiring lots of gold. Are they really that smart or is this in their grand plan? Swiss are voting on repatriating their gold and pegging it to their currency.
This past week the US markets rallied in the Monday session, retreated in the Tuesday and Wednesday sessions, rallied in Thursday session and then on Friday the "Jobs Report" was release in the morning and the market gave back all the weeks gains on Good Friday. What is going to happen on Monday? How will this effect the US Dollar, crude oil and gold?
This shortened week has been very exciting for the bulls with three of the four days bragging of robust rallies. Even the retreat in the shortened Christmas Eve session was positive for the market insomuch as not much ground was lost.
Mr Market wants to go higher but it needs to settle back and absorb some of its recent gains. Crude oil and gold look awful, while the US Dollar Index is on its way to a "moon shot."
Are we all ready for the "Year of the Monkey?" It has been interesting! We see some trading opportunities but remember to just visit the trade and not marry it!
Americans feel financially strained due to stagnant wages and rising costs of living over the past 40 years. While automation has eliminated some jobs, a larger issue is a skills gap as the culture pushes more people into white-collar jobs instead of trades with strong demand. Technology will likely continue disrupting jobs but widespread social problems from unemployment are decades away.
The document provides commentary on various financial markets and economic indicators. It discusses:
1. Employer tactics like making all employees part-time or using automation to avoid paying $15 minimum wage and benefits.
2. The impact of a strong US dollar on multinational company earnings and exports. The dollar is at a support level and could impact future earnings if it gains strength.
3. Commentary on movements in the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar Index, crude oil, and gold. Technical indicators are discussed for each market.
With the market gyrating like they were dangling from a bungee rope, now might be a good time to get serious about reviewing your charts. Today's letter is loaded with charts along with opinions.
- The document is a weekly market summary and outlook letter from an options trading advisory service.
- It provides analysis of recent price action and technical indicators for S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar, crude oil, and gold markets.
- The letter expects markets to see increased volatility over the coming week due to the Brexit vote on Thursday, with reactions on both Thursday and Friday depending on the outcome.
The document discusses recent changes by the SEC that will allow money market funds to let their share prices float below $1 and to block withdrawals during times of crisis. It also summarizes market performance for stocks, gold, oil and the US dollar for the week. The S&P 500, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 fell while gold rose. Crude oil closed near recent levels and the US dollar index strengthened significantly.
The document provides an overview and analysis of recent market movements in response to the Swiss National Bank allowing the Swiss franc to float freely. It discusses the rally in the franc and fallout for some firms. It also analyzes price movements and indicators for the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, crude oil, gold, and US Dollar Index from the prior week. Recommendations are given to remain alert and watch for effects of Swiss franc funds moving into US and European markets.
Surprise! Freight rail traffic is down 16.1% for the month of April. In case you believe that this
is a fluke number, it is not. The freight rail traffic has been down every month since November.
Okay so not everything was down, vehicle part were up as well as coke and chemicals.
Petroleum products were down 25.1% and even grain mill products, grains, and pulp and paper
were down. Coal, is a disaster, down big every month.
Get your popcorn here for the big debate on television tomorrow. The market is not doing much, maybe the debating wizards will give it a reason to move, one way or the other.
The sentiment levels show that there are lots of bulls waiting for a correction and lots of bulls
still out there. Meanwhile the bears have dwindled to a few scared animals. This week we have
the Scottish vote for independence on Thursday. While it really doesn’t impact the US markets
it will have a huge effect on the UK banks and debt market. After all if Scotland can declare
independence why not other locals such as areas of Spain and Italy….Catalonia anybody?
We are entering a very strange economic condition where most of the central banks in the globe,
except the US of course, are making extreme efforts to deflate their currencies and increase
liquidity in their markets by printing money
The document provides an overview and analysis of various financial markets including stocks, commodities, currencies, and precious metals from March 15, 2015. It notes recent declines in stocks while small-cap stocks and the Russell 2000 have remained stronger. Commodities like oil declined further while gold and currencies like the US dollar increased. Overall the markets seem overextended on the upside or downside depending on the asset, and volatility is expected around upcoming futures and options expirations.
The document provides a weekly market summary and outlook for various indexes and commodities. It notes that the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 ended the week lower after reaching new highs earlier. The Russell 2000 and crude oil performed poorly, with indicators pointing lower. Gold also looks weak with support at $1182. The US dollar index remains strong with indicators pointing higher still. In closing, the author advises caution given mixed signals in markets and recommends tight stops if positions are held.
This is a short week for the US markets. Thursday is Thanksgiving and Friday, well you are supposed to shop until you drop so the US markets close early to help you achieve that goal. Gold anybody? Russia has been acquiring lots of gold. Are they really that smart or is this in their grand plan? Swiss are voting on repatriating their gold and pegging it to their currency.
This past week the US markets rallied in the Monday session, retreated in the Tuesday and Wednesday sessions, rallied in Thursday session and then on Friday the "Jobs Report" was release in the morning and the market gave back all the weeks gains on Good Friday. What is going to happen on Monday? How will this effect the US Dollar, crude oil and gold?
This shortened week has been very exciting for the bulls with three of the four days bragging of robust rallies. Even the retreat in the shortened Christmas Eve session was positive for the market insomuch as not much ground was lost.
Mr Market wants to go higher but it needs to settle back and absorb some of its recent gains. Crude oil and gold look awful, while the US Dollar Index is on its way to a "moon shot."
Are we all ready for the "Year of the Monkey?" It has been interesting! We see some trading opportunities but remember to just visit the trade and not marry it!
Americans feel financially strained due to stagnant wages and rising costs of living over the past 40 years. While automation has eliminated some jobs, a larger issue is a skills gap as the culture pushes more people into white-collar jobs instead of trades with strong demand. Technology will likely continue disrupting jobs but widespread social problems from unemployment are decades away.
The document provides commentary on various financial markets and economic indicators. It discusses:
1. Employer tactics like making all employees part-time or using automation to avoid paying $15 minimum wage and benefits.
2. The impact of a strong US dollar on multinational company earnings and exports. The dollar is at a support level and could impact future earnings if it gains strength.
3. Commentary on movements in the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar Index, crude oil, and gold. Technical indicators are discussed for each market.
With the market gyrating like they were dangling from a bungee rope, now might be a good time to get serious about reviewing your charts. Today's letter is loaded with charts along with opinions.
- The document is a weekly market summary and outlook letter from an options trading advisory service.
- It provides analysis of recent price action and technical indicators for S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar, crude oil, and gold markets.
- The letter expects markets to see increased volatility over the coming week due to the Brexit vote on Thursday, with reactions on both Thursday and Friday depending on the outcome.
The document discusses recent changes by the SEC that will allow money market funds to let their share prices float below $1 and to block withdrawals during times of crisis. It also summarizes market performance for stocks, gold, oil and the US dollar for the week. The S&P 500, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 fell while gold rose. Crude oil closed near recent levels and the US dollar index strengthened significantly.
The document provides an overview and analysis of recent market movements in response to the Swiss National Bank allowing the Swiss franc to float freely. It discusses the rally in the franc and fallout for some firms. It also analyzes price movements and indicators for the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, crude oil, gold, and US Dollar Index from the prior week. Recommendations are given to remain alert and watch for effects of Swiss franc funds moving into US and European markets.
Surprise! Freight rail traffic is down 16.1% for the month of April. In case you believe that this
is a fluke number, it is not. The freight rail traffic has been down every month since November.
Okay so not everything was down, vehicle part were up as well as coke and chemicals.
Petroleum products were down 25.1% and even grain mill products, grains, and pulp and paper
were down. Coal, is a disaster, down big every month.
Get your popcorn here for the big debate on television tomorrow. The market is not doing much, maybe the debating wizards will give it a reason to move, one way or the other.
The sentiment levels show that there are lots of bulls waiting for a correction and lots of bulls
still out there. Meanwhile the bears have dwindled to a few scared animals. This week we have
the Scottish vote for independence on Thursday. While it really doesn’t impact the US markets
it will have a huge effect on the UK banks and debt market. After all if Scotland can declare
independence why not other locals such as areas of Spain and Italy….Catalonia anybody?
We are entering a very strange economic condition where most of the central banks in the globe,
except the US of course, are making extreme efforts to deflate their currencies and increase
liquidity in their markets by printing money
- The ECB has begun quantitative easing which will depress the euro relative to the US dollar. This will make US exports more expensive abroad while increasing imports to the US. It could lead to layoffs in US industries like oil as demand declines for domestic goods.
- The authors believe the FOMC will not raise rates this year due to a weak economy and job growth. Higher rates could appreciate the dollar further and negatively impact US exports and multinational corporate earnings.
- Most stock indices declined slightly on Friday but indicators are pointing lower. Crude oil continued declining on oversupply concerns while the strong dollar pushed gold lower intraday. The US dollar index reached new highs not seen since 2003.
Lots of strange things happening this past week. Did the market turn the corner or was this just a one-day-wonder bounce. The US Dollar and crude oil have disconnect, well for now. Read more to solve these mysteries.
Gold is the rally for real? Crude oil how low can it go? The S&P 500 looks like a roller coaster ride. What to do next? Get one professional's opinion!
Looks like Santa has left crude oil a lump of coal. The markets are deep into tax selling season here in the USA. The S&P 500 with 9% oil declined in Friday session.
Although the Chinese markets, Saudi turmoil and North Korean nuclear test have been given credit for last week's market retreat, there are other factors that are being ignored. We have been warning that a strong US Dollar will have a deflationary effect on the US economy and somewhat negative effects on the middle income earners, companies that depend on exports and corporations that need to borrow money.
- The document discusses the impact of lower oil prices on consumer spending and the US economy, noting that lower gas prices act as a tax break that will likely boost consumer spending, especially during the holiday season.
- It also discusses recent gains in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ indexes, noting that indicators are overbought but the upward trend may continue. Volume has been average.
- Gold prices are discussed as well, noting the chart looks "truly awful" and further declines are possible based on technical indicators.
Lots of under-currents this week. Is the economy expanding or is that expansion very moderate. How will the savings on cheaper gasoline help Christmas shopping and is OPEC behind the rout in crude oil? So many questions.
- The S&P 500 hit a resistance level twice last week according to a horizontal line drawn based on past behavior, but volume is declining in the recent four-day rally, which is typical of the wishy-washy market.
- Earnings season has had some positive and negative surprises, and mergers are beginning to appear as companies take advantage of cheap borrowing costs.
- Most indexes gained on Friday but volume was low on some new highs, a sign the market may need rest before further gains, though indicators still point higher overall. Gold and oil retreated as the dollar rallied.
This document provides commentary and analysis on various financial markets and indexes from July 31, 2016. It includes quotes from The Wonderful Wizard of Oz relevant to the upcoming US presidential election. Market summaries are given for the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar Index, crude oil, gold, and currencies like the British Pound in the context of Brexit. Charts and technical indicators are referenced to describe recent trends and levels of support and resistance. Potential risks for traders are also noted.
Similar to Option Queen Newsletter July 20, 2014 with charts (15)
If the market opens up soft, watch out for margin calls in the futures and margin clerks selling out positions. Equities, you have a three-day settlement so, you calls may go out in the morning but you will have time to pray for a rally.
We hope you enjoyed the roller-coaster ride the market provided during the last two weeks. We not only had the Brexit vote, but the end of the month adjustments and the left-over natural adjustment that occurs right after a quarterly expiration of futures. Wahoo an option sellers delight, the VIX pulled out of the doldrums into a brief state of excitement!
- Social Security payments will increase by $2 per $1,000 next year, but Medicare part B costs will increase by $27.20, leaving seniors with less money. The cost of living increase does not cover the rise in Medicare costs.
- A French colleague expressed concerns about "scary" conditions in France like a large influx of immigrants and poor economic prospects, reflecting growing populism in Europe over issues like immigration and jobs. These populist sentiments have also fueled movements like Brexit and Donald Trump's campaign.
- In the Friday session following the Brexit vote, the S&P 500 fell 1.9% and closed below a support level, while the Nasdaq fell 2% and came close
he world is changing and we have to learn to adjust to new technologies. The markets have been viewed as volatile.....where were you during the highly volatile tech rally at the turn of the century. Let us remind you that during those years,trading haults were triggered frequently. Today, we have nothing like that to deal with. Hummm guess volatile is a relative term.
Scutify All-Star Michael Haynes who is also the CEO of The American Precious Metals Exchange (APMEX) talks about Gold and Silver and how it may be time to diversify due to uncertainty in the world.
How to Implement a Strategy: Transform Your Strategy with BSC Designer's Comp...Aleksey Savkin
The Strategy Implementation System offers a structured approach to translating stakeholder needs into actionable strategies using high-level and low-level scorecards. It involves stakeholder analysis, strategy decomposition, adoption of strategic frameworks like Balanced Scorecard or OKR, and alignment of goals, initiatives, and KPIs.
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Anny Serafina Love - Letter of Recommendation by Kellen Harkins, MS.AnnySerafinaLove
This letter, written by Kellen Harkins, Course Director at Full Sail University, commends Anny Love's exemplary performance in the Video Sharing Platforms class. It highlights her dedication, willingness to challenge herself, and exceptional skills in production, editing, and marketing across various video platforms like YouTube, TikTok, and Instagram.
HOW TO START UP A COMPANY A STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE.pdf46adnanshahzad
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These materials are perfect for enhancing your business or classroom presentations, offering visual aids to supplement your insights. Please note that while comprehensive, these slides are intended as supplementary resources and may not be complete for standalone instructional purposes.
Frameworks/Models included:
Microsoft’s Digital Transformation Framework
McKinsey’s Ten Guiding Principles of Digital Transformation
Forrester’s Digital Transformation Framework
IDC’s Digital Transformation MaturityScape
MIT’s Digital Transformation Framework
Gartner’s Digital Transformation Framework
Accenture’s Digital Strategy & Enterprise Frameworks
Deloitte’s Digital Industrial Transformation Framework
Capgemini’s Digital Transformation Framework
PwC’s Digital Transformation Framework
Cisco’s Digital Transformation Framework
Cognizant’s Digital Transformation Framework
DXC Technology’s Digital Transformation Framework
The BCG Strategy Palette
McKinsey’s Digital Transformation Framework
Digital Transformation Compass
Four Levels of Digital Maturity
Design Thinking Framework
Business Model Canvas
Customer Journey Map
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This PowerPoint compilation offers a comprehensive overview of 20 leading innovation management frameworks and methodologies, selected for their broad applicability across various industries and organizational contexts. These frameworks are valuable resources for a wide range of users, including business professionals, educators, and consultants.
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INCLUDED FRAMEWORKS/MODELS:
1. Stanford’s Design Thinking
2. IDEO’s Human-Centered Design
3. Strategyzer’s Business Model Innovation
4. Lean Startup Methodology
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6. Doblin’s Ten Types of Innovation
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17. Stage-Gate Model
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19. Microsoft’s Digital Transformation Framework
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1. Jeanette Schwarz Young, CFP®
, CMT, M.S.
Jordan Young, CMT
83 Highwood Terrace
Weehawken, New Jersey 07086
www.OptnQueen.com
July 20, 2014
The Option Queen Letter
By the Option Royals
When money gets tight people start reinventing themselves thinking of new ways to create cash
flow. Old vintage clothing is a good source of cash and a great way to clean up closets. Not all
clothing is desired so it does take investigation to discover which items can be sold. Another
way people are saving money is to list their homes and properties as “for sale by owner” or
FSBO in an attempt to save the real-estate commissions, which can be as much as 6% of the sale
price. Multiple listing services allow FSBO’s and charge a reasonable fee of about $295. Next
is getting the visuals for your house. Here you need to hire a photographer which will cost from
about $100 to $350 for MLS ready photos and a virtual tour of the house. Some of the
photographers even offer staging services for your home. So for about $600 you can have your
house on the market and available to be seen on MLS, Trulia, Zillow etc.
The markets were, for the most part, up for this past option’s expiration week. Rallies that
continue in the face of global chaos are not to be ignored. They are telling us that buyers remain
strong and because the conflicts and chaos are not here in the USA, our markets are watching but
not regarding this chaos as threats to the US stock market. That said, we will have our plunge
eventually, just not yet. The market will tell you when it is ready to flop, so far, no news is good
news on the flop front. Basically, until interest rates are pressured higher, there seems no place
else for the income seeking investor to go than our stock market. Interest rates will advance, just
not yet. Yes, the Fed is beginning to tighten by stepping away from their asset purchases but that
is not causing interest rates to advance. There will come a time when interest rates begin to
advance, whether Fed inspired or market inspired, and that will cause the US Dollar to become
stronger which in turn will cause the US products and services, which are exported, to become
more expensive. That eventually will cause a slowdown in exports and that will affect the value
of various companies that rely on foreign exports for a good deal of their income. Well anyway
that is the circle we will be entering eventually.
The S&P 500 rallied 17.75 in the Friday session tacking on 0.91% on the day. This past week
saw one failed attempt at a new high and a range bound trading week ending the Friday session
with a lower high and a lower low than was seen in the Thursday session. The stochastic
indicator and the RSI are both pointing higher. The Thomas DeMark Expert indicator is pointing
lower and our own indicator is beginning to curl to the upside but still remains negative. We are
above the Ichimoku Clouds for all time-frames. The downward trending channel lines are
1975.58 and 1942.37. We note that should this market close above 1975.58, it will likely
attempt a push to new highs. Both the weekly and the monthly chart remain positive. The daily
1% by 3-box point and figure chart continues to point higher with an upside target of 2278.81.
The 60 minute 0.1% by 3-box point and figure chart has a violated downtrend line and a good
2. uptrend line. We see a triple top and a downside target of 1935.69. 22.1% of last week’s
volume was seen at the 1965.96 area. The 5-period moving average is 1965.01 (a recurring
number indicating escalated importance). The top of the Bollinger Band is 1982.33 and the
lower edge is seen at 1941.28.
3.
4. The NASDAQ 100 rallied 1.39% in the Friday session printing an outside day on the chart. To
the relief of the bulls, the volume expanded in this very positive session. All the indicators that
5. we follow herein are issuing a buy-signal although the stochastic indicator is at overbought
levels. As you well know, we are bullishly overbought and can continue in the condition for
some time, therefore, this is an alert and not a signal. Our own indicator has just issued a buy-
signal again, an alert. The Friday session did not yield a new yearly high for this index but it
will not take too much effort to achieve that goal in the coming week. The 5-period exponential
moving average is 3908.10. The top of the Bollinger Band is 3962.27 and the lower edge is seen
at 3787.20. The upward trending channel lines are 3858.23 and 3972.32. The daily 1% by 3-
box point and figure chart has an upside target of 3978.36 which looks achievable. We have no
downtrend lines and the chart continues to look very positive. Another positive chart is the 60
minute 0.1% by 3-box chart. When changing this chart to a 0.2% by 3-box chart we achieve an
upside target of 4120.29 on another very positive looking chart.
6.
7.
8.
9. The Russell 2000 rallied in the Friday session and above the Ichimoku Clouds for the daily time-
frame, above the clouds for the weekly time-frame and in the clouds for the monthly time-frame.
The action in this index has been the poster-child for the risk-on trade, abandoned by those
seeking less risky trades. The velocity to the downside cannot continue insomuch as the angle of
decent has been too steep. The Friday session did help remove some of that decent but has not
reversed the direction of the trade. The stochastic indicator and the RSI continue it issue go long
messages. Our own indicator is not in agreement with that finding. The 5-period exponential
moving average is 1145.53. The top of the Bollinger Band is 1213.65 and the lower edge is seen
at 1130.31. The downward trending channel lines are 1164.51 and 1118.80. We expect to see
this index rally and risk off traders return. Keep your stops tight and fasten your seat-belt.
10.
11. Crude oil lost 0.3% in the Friday session after attempting to cross the horizontal resistance line at
102.98. The RSI has rolled over and is now pointing lower. The stochastic indicator sees the
fast line flattening out while the longer line is curling to the upside. Our own indicator continues
to issue a buy-signal. All this tells us is that we have a mixed bag of tricks and need
confirmation to either go long or short. At the moment, the reversal from the 99.01 low is
impressive but isn’t enough to become a bull. The medium uptrend line is 98.11. The 5-period
exponential moving average is 101.36. The top of the Bollinger Band is 106.58 and the lower
edge is seen at 98.93. We closed inside the Ichimoku Clouds for the daily time-frame above the
clouds for the weekly time-frame and in the clouds for the monthly time-frame. The monthly
chart continues to show a market in a trading range and trading between an uptrend line and a
downtrend line which resolves itself in January of 2016. The daily 1% by 3-box point and figure
chart has a troublesome downside target of 84.59. The 60 minute 0.2% by 3-box chart gives a
slightly different view of crude. We have both upside (111.64) and downside (100.22) targets.
We have closed above the downtrend line and look, well, almost positive. We believe that we
need to see this market close above 102.98 for us to become bullish.
12.
13.
14. The chart of Gold looks much like the chart of crude oil for the Thursday-Friday session. The
rally in Gold was contained at the horizontal resistance line of 1325.50. Support is seen at the
15. 1293.80 horizontal line. Both the RSI and the stochastic indicator have turned negative at the
neutral level. Our own indicator has just issued a sell-signal. The 5-period exponential moving
average is 1312.14. The top of the Bollinger Band is 1340.61 and the lower edge is seen at
1298.69. The Bollinger Bands are flattening out after having contracted and could be warning us
that volatility is about to return to this market. We are above the Ichimoku Clouds for the daily
time-frame, in the clouds for the weekly time-frame and below the clouds for the monthly time-
frame. The 60 minute 0.2% by 3-box point and figure chart has a downside target of 1210.64.
The chart looks hopeful. The daily 0.9% by 3-box point and figure chart has an old upside target
of 1470.31 and a more recent downside target of 1113.74. This chart highlights the congestion
seen in this product. While we like gold, we prefer to wait for this congestion to resolve before
jumping into a position.
16.
17. The US Dollar Index broke out to the upside this week and closed the Friday session at 80.56.
Friday’s action broke above the 80.62 resistance line but failed to close above it. On the daily
18. chart resistance is still seen above at 80.62 and above that at the 81 mark (the June 5th
high).
80.33 should hold this market in check on the downside (in conjunction with the short term
uptrend line) and below that we see a safety net at 80.14. The Bollinger Bands are expanding
with the upper band at 80.61 and the lower band at 79.83. The 20-period simple moving average
is 80.22, the 5-period exponential moving average is 80.46 and the index is above both. Both
indicators that we follow are registering continued buy-signals, however; our own indicator
seems to be losing a little bit of momentum.
19. The weekly chart of the US Dollar Index tells a very interesting story. Here we can see the
market has been forming a very large triangle as it has consolidated over the past four years. A
point of inflection lies just ahead in August/September and we expect to see volatility come into
this market accompanying a violent move. For the week ahead, upside resistance crosses the
downtrend line perfectly at 80.80 or so. This market should stay above the support line for the
week ahead at 80 flat. The 30 minute .05 x 3 Point and Figure Chart shows this market to be in
an uptrend (obviously). An internal uptrend line has formed and we have two activated upside
targets at 81.45 and 82.70. Taking all of this information together, we think the US Dollar Index
may (and this is a big may), pull back mildly in the first day or so of trading this week but will
then make its way on to 81 flat followed by 80.80.
20. Risk
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions
involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully
consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and
financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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