Mr Market wants to go higher but it needs to settle back and absorb some of its recent gains. Crude oil and gold look awful, while the US Dollar Index is on its way to a "moon shot."
Are we all ready for the "Year of the Monkey?" It has been interesting! We see some trading opportunities but remember to just visit the trade and not marry it!
If the market opens up soft, watch out for margin calls in the futures and margin clerks selling out positions. Equities, you have a three-day settlement so, you calls may go out in the morning but you will have time to pray for a rally.
This shortened week has been very exciting for the bulls with three of the four days bragging of robust rallies. Even the retreat in the shortened Christmas Eve session was positive for the market insomuch as not much ground was lost.
he world is changing and we have to learn to adjust to new technologies. The markets have been viewed as volatile.....where were you during the highly volatile tech rally at the turn of the century. Let us remind you that during those years,trading haults were triggered frequently. Today, we have nothing like that to deal with. Hummm guess volatile is a relative term.
Are we all ready for the "Year of the Monkey?" It has been interesting! We see some trading opportunities but remember to just visit the trade and not marry it!
If the market opens up soft, watch out for margin calls in the futures and margin clerks selling out positions. Equities, you have a three-day settlement so, you calls may go out in the morning but you will have time to pray for a rally.
This shortened week has been very exciting for the bulls with three of the four days bragging of robust rallies. Even the retreat in the shortened Christmas Eve session was positive for the market insomuch as not much ground was lost.
he world is changing and we have to learn to adjust to new technologies. The markets have been viewed as volatile.....where were you during the highly volatile tech rally at the turn of the century. Let us remind you that during those years,trading haults were triggered frequently. Today, we have nothing like that to deal with. Hummm guess volatile is a relative term.
Surprise! Freight rail traffic is down 16.1% for the month of April. In case you believe that this
is a fluke number, it is not. The freight rail traffic has been down every month since November.
Okay so not everything was down, vehicle part were up as well as coke and chemicals.
Petroleum products were down 25.1% and even grain mill products, grains, and pulp and paper
were down. Coal, is a disaster, down big every month.
- Social Security payments will increase by $2 per $1,000 next year, but Medicare part B costs will increase by $27.20, leaving seniors with less money. The cost of living increase does not cover the rise in Medicare costs.
- A French colleague expressed concerns about "scary" conditions in France like a large influx of immigrants and poor economic prospects, reflecting growing populism in Europe over issues like immigration and jobs. These populist sentiments have also fueled movements like Brexit and Donald Trump's campaign.
- In the Friday session following the Brexit vote, the S&P 500 fell 1.9% and closed below a support level, while the Nasdaq fell 2% and came close
The document provides an analysis and outlook for various financial markets including stocks, crude oil, gold, and the US Dollar index based on technical indicators. It notes bullish patterns forming in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ indexes and predicts potential short-term rallies. It also comments on recent moves higher in crude oil prices which it attributes partly to US dollar weakness. The analysis finds gold and the US dollar in sideways trading ranges for the near future. It closes with standard risk disclosure language.
The document provides commentary on various financial markets and economic indicators. It discusses:
1. Employer tactics like making all employees part-time or using automation to avoid paying $15 minimum wage and benefits.
2. The impact of a strong US dollar on multinational company earnings and exports. The dollar is at a support level and could impact future earnings if it gains strength.
3. Commentary on movements in the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar Index, crude oil, and gold. Technical indicators are discussed for each market.
- The S&P 500 hit a resistance level twice last week according to a horizontal line drawn based on past behavior, but volume is declining in the recent four-day rally, which is typical of the wishy-washy market.
- Earnings season has had some positive and negative surprises, and mergers are beginning to appear as companies take advantage of cheap borrowing costs.
- Most indexes gained on Friday but volume was low on some new highs, a sign the market may need rest before further gains, though indicators still point higher overall. Gold and oil retreated as the dollar rallied.
“Sell in May and go away!” Well maybe, our suggestion is to use trailing stops or hard stops on your positions. We suggest that approach because the truth is that we do not know when the correction or plunge will occur, we only know that it will occur. Remember bull markets can last longer that you might ever have believed. The US market is a bit long in the tooth as a bull market and lasting advances might be harder to achieve thus we advise caution. We are not telling you to sell just to make sure that any long positions have stops in place. The rally that began in March of 2009 has proceeded higher with nothing more than a couple of hiccups along the way. The rally has been strong and predictable. The longer a trend lasts the stronger the reversal will be so with that in mind, don’t try to predict the end of the bull just keep your protection in place.
- The document is a weekly market summary and outlook letter from an options trading advisory service.
- It provides analysis of recent price action and technical indicators for S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar, crude oil, and gold markets.
- The letter expects markets to see increased volatility over the coming week due to the Brexit vote on Thursday, with reactions on both Thursday and Friday depending on the outcome.
Although the Chinese markets, Saudi turmoil and North Korean nuclear test have been given credit for last week's market retreat, there are other factors that are being ignored. We have been warning that a strong US Dollar will have a deflationary effect on the US economy and somewhat negative effects on the middle income earners, companies that depend on exports and corporations that need to borrow money.
Americans feel financially strained due to stagnant wages and rising costs of living over the past 40 years. While automation has eliminated some jobs, a larger issue is a skills gap as the culture pushes more people into white-collar jobs instead of trades with strong demand. Technology will likely continue disrupting jobs but widespread social problems from unemployment are decades away.
Get your popcorn here for the big debate on television tomorrow. The market is not doing much, maybe the debating wizards will give it a reason to move, one way or the other.
This document provides commentary and analysis on various financial markets and indexes from July 31, 2016. It includes quotes from The Wonderful Wizard of Oz relevant to the upcoming US presidential election. Market summaries are given for the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar Index, crude oil, gold, and currencies like the British Pound in the context of Brexit. Charts and technical indicators are referenced to describe recent trends and levels of support and resistance. Potential risks for traders are also noted.
The document provides an overview and analysis of various financial markets including stocks, commodities, currencies, and precious metals from March 15, 2015. It notes recent declines in stocks while small-cap stocks and the Russell 2000 have remained stronger. Commodities like oil declined further while gold and currencies like the US dollar increased. Overall the markets seem overextended on the upside or downside depending on the asset, and volatility is expected around upcoming futures and options expirations.
This past week the US markets rallied in the Monday session, retreated in the Tuesday and Wednesday sessions, rallied in Thursday session and then on Friday the "Jobs Report" was release in the morning and the market gave back all the weeks gains on Good Friday. What is going to happen on Monday? How will this effect the US Dollar, crude oil and gold?
With the market gyrating like they were dangling from a bungee rope, now might be a good time to get serious about reviewing your charts. Today's letter is loaded with charts along with opinions.
Option Queen Newsletter July 20, 2014 with chartsScutify
- Old vintage clothing and selling homes as a "for sale by owner" are ways for people to make extra cash when money gets tight. Listing a home as FSBO can save the 6% realtor commission, and MLS services allow FSBO listings for about $295. Basic photography for online listings costs $100-350.
- The stock markets were up last week despite global chaos, as the conflicts have not impacted the US economy. Interest rates remain low, benefiting the stock market, though rates will likely rise eventually.
- Most market indexes rallied or traded range-bound last week. Indicators show mixed signals across indexes, with some pointing higher and others lower or neutral. The document analy
Surprise! Freight rail traffic is down 16.1% for the month of April. In case you believe that this
is a fluke number, it is not. The freight rail traffic has been down every month since November.
Okay so not everything was down, vehicle part were up as well as coke and chemicals.
Petroleum products were down 25.1% and even grain mill products, grains, and pulp and paper
were down. Coal, is a disaster, down big every month.
- Social Security payments will increase by $2 per $1,000 next year, but Medicare part B costs will increase by $27.20, leaving seniors with less money. The cost of living increase does not cover the rise in Medicare costs.
- A French colleague expressed concerns about "scary" conditions in France like a large influx of immigrants and poor economic prospects, reflecting growing populism in Europe over issues like immigration and jobs. These populist sentiments have also fueled movements like Brexit and Donald Trump's campaign.
- In the Friday session following the Brexit vote, the S&P 500 fell 1.9% and closed below a support level, while the Nasdaq fell 2% and came close
The document provides an analysis and outlook for various financial markets including stocks, crude oil, gold, and the US Dollar index based on technical indicators. It notes bullish patterns forming in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ indexes and predicts potential short-term rallies. It also comments on recent moves higher in crude oil prices which it attributes partly to US dollar weakness. The analysis finds gold and the US dollar in sideways trading ranges for the near future. It closes with standard risk disclosure language.
The document provides commentary on various financial markets and economic indicators. It discusses:
1. Employer tactics like making all employees part-time or using automation to avoid paying $15 minimum wage and benefits.
2. The impact of a strong US dollar on multinational company earnings and exports. The dollar is at a support level and could impact future earnings if it gains strength.
3. Commentary on movements in the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar Index, crude oil, and gold. Technical indicators are discussed for each market.
- The S&P 500 hit a resistance level twice last week according to a horizontal line drawn based on past behavior, but volume is declining in the recent four-day rally, which is typical of the wishy-washy market.
- Earnings season has had some positive and negative surprises, and mergers are beginning to appear as companies take advantage of cheap borrowing costs.
- Most indexes gained on Friday but volume was low on some new highs, a sign the market may need rest before further gains, though indicators still point higher overall. Gold and oil retreated as the dollar rallied.
“Sell in May and go away!” Well maybe, our suggestion is to use trailing stops or hard stops on your positions. We suggest that approach because the truth is that we do not know when the correction or plunge will occur, we only know that it will occur. Remember bull markets can last longer that you might ever have believed. The US market is a bit long in the tooth as a bull market and lasting advances might be harder to achieve thus we advise caution. We are not telling you to sell just to make sure that any long positions have stops in place. The rally that began in March of 2009 has proceeded higher with nothing more than a couple of hiccups along the way. The rally has been strong and predictable. The longer a trend lasts the stronger the reversal will be so with that in mind, don’t try to predict the end of the bull just keep your protection in place.
- The document is a weekly market summary and outlook letter from an options trading advisory service.
- It provides analysis of recent price action and technical indicators for S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar, crude oil, and gold markets.
- The letter expects markets to see increased volatility over the coming week due to the Brexit vote on Thursday, with reactions on both Thursday and Friday depending on the outcome.
Although the Chinese markets, Saudi turmoil and North Korean nuclear test have been given credit for last week's market retreat, there are other factors that are being ignored. We have been warning that a strong US Dollar will have a deflationary effect on the US economy and somewhat negative effects on the middle income earners, companies that depend on exports and corporations that need to borrow money.
Americans feel financially strained due to stagnant wages and rising costs of living over the past 40 years. While automation has eliminated some jobs, a larger issue is a skills gap as the culture pushes more people into white-collar jobs instead of trades with strong demand. Technology will likely continue disrupting jobs but widespread social problems from unemployment are decades away.
Get your popcorn here for the big debate on television tomorrow. The market is not doing much, maybe the debating wizards will give it a reason to move, one way or the other.
This document provides commentary and analysis on various financial markets and indexes from July 31, 2016. It includes quotes from The Wonderful Wizard of Oz relevant to the upcoming US presidential election. Market summaries are given for the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar Index, crude oil, gold, and currencies like the British Pound in the context of Brexit. Charts and technical indicators are referenced to describe recent trends and levels of support and resistance. Potential risks for traders are also noted.
The document provides an overview and analysis of various financial markets including stocks, commodities, currencies, and precious metals from March 15, 2015. It notes recent declines in stocks while small-cap stocks and the Russell 2000 have remained stronger. Commodities like oil declined further while gold and currencies like the US dollar increased. Overall the markets seem overextended on the upside or downside depending on the asset, and volatility is expected around upcoming futures and options expirations.
This past week the US markets rallied in the Monday session, retreated in the Tuesday and Wednesday sessions, rallied in Thursday session and then on Friday the "Jobs Report" was release in the morning and the market gave back all the weeks gains on Good Friday. What is going to happen on Monday? How will this effect the US Dollar, crude oil and gold?
With the market gyrating like they were dangling from a bungee rope, now might be a good time to get serious about reviewing your charts. Today's letter is loaded with charts along with opinions.
Option Queen Newsletter July 20, 2014 with chartsScutify
- Old vintage clothing and selling homes as a "for sale by owner" are ways for people to make extra cash when money gets tight. Listing a home as FSBO can save the 6% realtor commission, and MLS services allow FSBO listings for about $295. Basic photography for online listings costs $100-350.
- The stock markets were up last week despite global chaos, as the conflicts have not impacted the US economy. Interest rates remain low, benefiting the stock market, though rates will likely rise eventually.
- Most market indexes rallied or traded range-bound last week. Indicators show mixed signals across indexes, with some pointing higher and others lower or neutral. The document analy
The sentiment levels show that there are lots of bulls waiting for a correction and lots of bulls
still out there. Meanwhile the bears have dwindled to a few scared animals. This week we have
the Scottish vote for independence on Thursday. While it really doesn’t impact the US markets
it will have a huge effect on the UK banks and debt market. After all if Scotland can declare
independence why not other locals such as areas of Spain and Italy….Catalonia anybody?
- The ECB has begun quantitative easing which will depress the euro relative to the US dollar. This will make US exports more expensive abroad while increasing imports to the US. It could lead to layoffs in US industries like oil as demand declines for domestic goods.
- The authors believe the FOMC will not raise rates this year due to a weak economy and job growth. Higher rates could appreciate the dollar further and negatively impact US exports and multinational corporate earnings.
- Most stock indices declined slightly on Friday but indicators are pointing lower. Crude oil continued declining on oversupply concerns while the strong dollar pushed gold lower intraday. The US dollar index reached new highs not seen since 2003.
Gold is the rally for real? Crude oil how low can it go? The S&P 500 looks like a roller coaster ride. What to do next? Get one professional's opinion!
Looks like Santa has left crude oil a lump of coal. The markets are deep into tax selling season here in the USA. The S&P 500 with 9% oil declined in Friday session.
The market continues is trek higher even with, a not so stellar, “jobs report.” There is too much sideline money waiting for a pull backs to jump on board, therefore any retreat will likely be
shallow. One of these days, the bounce will die like a beach ball that has been deflated. Until that time, up up and away we go. The S&P 500 looks as though it is forming a rounding top which could either launch a retreat or become a spring board for the next assault to the upper stratosphere. So far, we have been correct in keeping our stops tight and behaving defensively. The world is chaotic with hot spots all over. There will come a time when one of these hot spots will become an erupting volcano. The good news is that here in the USA we are not involved on our own soil.
We are getting fairly close to a short-term top. There are too many analysts looking for a correction. Stay long keep your stops tight and if elected keep the proceeds in cash.
We are entering a very strange economic condition where most of the central banks in the globe,
except the US of course, are making extreme efforts to deflate their currencies and increase
liquidity in their markets by printing money
The document discusses recent changes by the SEC that will allow money market funds to let their share prices float below $1 and to block withdrawals during times of crisis. It also summarizes market performance for stocks, gold, oil and the US dollar for the week. The S&P 500, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 fell while gold rose. Crude oil closed near recent levels and the US dollar index strengthened significantly.
- The document discusses the impact of lower oil prices on consumer spending and the US economy, noting that lower gas prices act as a tax break that will likely boost consumer spending, especially during the holiday season.
- It also discusses recent gains in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ indexes, noting that indicators are overbought but the upward trend may continue. Volume has been average.
- Gold prices are discussed as well, noting the chart looks "truly awful" and further declines are possible based on technical indicators.
This is a short week for the US markets. Thursday is Thanksgiving and Friday, well you are supposed to shop until you drop so the US markets close early to help you achieve that goal. Gold anybody? Russia has been acquiring lots of gold. Are they really that smart or is this in their grand plan? Swiss are voting on repatriating their gold and pegging it to their currency.
The document provides a weekly market summary and outlook for various indexes and commodities. It notes that the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 ended the week lower after reaching new highs earlier. The Russell 2000 and crude oil performed poorly, with indicators pointing lower. Gold also looks weak with support at $1182. The US dollar index remains strong with indicators pointing higher still. In closing, the author advises caution given mixed signals in markets and recommends tight stops if positions are held.
Lots of strange things happening this past week. Did the market turn the corner or was this just a one-day-wonder bounce. The US Dollar and crude oil have disconnect, well for now. Read more to solve these mysteries.
Lots of under-currents this week. Is the economy expanding or is that expansion very moderate. How will the savings on cheaper gasoline help Christmas shopping and is OPEC behind the rout in crude oil? So many questions.
STREETONOMICS: Exploring the Uncharted Territories of Informal Markets throug...sameer shah
Delve into the world of STREETONOMICS, where a team of 7 enthusiasts embarks on a journey to understand unorganized markets. By engaging with a coffee street vendor and crafting questionnaires, this project uncovers valuable insights into consumer behavior and market dynamics in informal settings."
"Does Foreign Direct Investment Negatively Affect Preservation of Culture in the Global South? Case Studies in Thailand and Cambodia."
Do elements of globalization, such as Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), negatively affect the ability of countries in the Global South to preserve their culture? This research aims to answer this question by employing a cross-sectional comparative case study analysis utilizing methods of difference. Thailand and Cambodia are compared as they are in the same region and have a similar culture. The metric of difference between Thailand and Cambodia is their ability to preserve their culture. This ability is operationalized by their respective attitudes towards FDI; Thailand imposes stringent regulations and limitations on FDI while Cambodia does not hesitate to accept most FDI and imposes fewer limitations. The evidence from this study suggests that FDI from globally influential countries with high gross domestic products (GDPs) (e.g. China, U.S.) challenges the ability of countries with lower GDPs (e.g. Cambodia) to protect their culture. Furthermore, the ability, or lack thereof, of the receiving countries to protect their culture is amplified by the existence and implementation of restrictive FDI policies imposed by their governments.
My study abroad in Bali, Indonesia, inspired this research topic as I noticed how globalization is changing the culture of its people. I learned their language and way of life which helped me understand the beauty and importance of cultural preservation. I believe we could all benefit from learning new perspectives as they could help us ideate solutions to contemporary issues and empathize with others.
In a tight labour market, job-seekers gain bargaining power and leverage it into greater job quality—at least, that’s the conventional wisdom.
Michael, LMIC Economist, presented findings that reveal a weakened relationship between labour market tightness and job quality indicators following the pandemic. Labour market tightness coincided with growth in real wages for only a portion of workers: those in low-wage jobs requiring little education. Several factors—including labour market composition, worker and employer behaviour, and labour market practices—have contributed to the absence of worker benefits. These will be investigated further in future work.
Solution Manual For Financial Accounting, 8th Canadian Edition 2024, by Libby...Donc Test
Solution Manual For Financial Accounting, 8th Canadian Edition 2024, by Libby, Hodge, Verified Chapters 1 - 13, Complete Newest Version Solution Manual For Financial Accounting, 8th Canadian Edition by Libby, Hodge, Verified Chapters 1 - 13, Complete Newest Version Solution Manual For Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Chapters Download Stuvia Solution Manual For Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Ebook Download Stuvia Solution Manual For Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Solution Manual For Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Download Stuvia Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Chapters Download Stuvia Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Ebook Download Stuvia Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Download Stuvia
BONKMILLON Unleashes Its Bonkers Potential on Solana.pdfcoingabbar
Introducing BONKMILLON - The Most Bonkers Meme Coin Yet
Let's be real for a second – the world of meme coins can feel like a bit of a circus at times. Every other day, there's a new token promising to take you "to the moon" or offering some groundbreaking utility that'll change the game forever. But how many of them actually deliver on that hype?
Lecture slide titled Fraud Risk Mitigation, Webinar Lecture Delivered at the Society for West African Internal Audit Practitioners (SWAIAP) on Wednesday, November 8, 2023.
Vicinity Jobs’ data includes more than three million 2023 OJPs and thousands of skills. Most skills appear in less than 0.02% of job postings, so most postings rely on a small subset of commonly used terms, like teamwork.
Laura Adkins-Hackett, Economist, LMIC, and Sukriti Trehan, Data Scientist, LMIC, presented their research exploring trends in the skills listed in OJPs to develop a deeper understanding of in-demand skills. This research project uses pointwise mutual information and other methods to extract more information about common skills from the relationships between skills, occupations and regions.
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The Rise of Generative AI in Finance: Reshaping the Industry with Synthetic DataChampak Jhagmag
In this presentation, we will explore the rise of generative AI in finance and its potential to reshape the industry. We will discuss how generative AI can be used to develop new products, combat fraud, and revolutionize risk management. Finally, we will address some of the ethical considerations and challenges associated with this powerful technology.
1. Option Queen Letter
By the Option Royals
Jeanette Young, CFP®
, CMT, M.S. and Jordan Young, CMT
4305 Pointe Gate Drive
Livingston, New Jersey 07039
www.OptnQueen.com
optnqueen@aol.com
November 22, 2015
We are fortunate to live in a free country where we are allowed to express our feelings. No
matter what people say there is a freedom here for both men and women which all enjoy whether
they are visitors to our shores or residents. To learn how precious this freedom is, travel to
another country where these freedoms are not permitted and you will understand all too quickly
how lucky we are. Along with these freedoms comes a responsibility for those who reap their
benefits to protect them.
The current increase in wages is not going to solve the economic problems of average wage
earner. Raising interest rates certainly won’t help those living on the edge. We agree that the
FOMC cannot remain at zero indefinitely but something is really wrong with their thesis. We
have been at zero interest rates for almost a decade and have not seen the economy expand. That
is because the benefits of zero interest rates flows to the wealthiest of the population and not the
average worker. Until the FOMC begins to understand this, we are doomed to this shallow
economic expansion.
Our tax code is antiquated and oppressive….it takes scholars to understand and interpret the
rules. The system is so screwed up that multi-millionaires like Warren Buffett with enormous
passive income get both Medicare and social security. Remember the time when Buffett stated
that he pays less in taxes than does his secretary? Yes they paid into the system but do they
really need those few dollars to survive. We would rather see the money returned to the coffers
and keep the system going for a while longer. As to the tax code, a Value Added Tax would be
a fair tax to the average tax payer. All those people demanding cash for services rendered would
finally pay their fair share. There should be a levy for earnings from both passive and ordinary
incomes that are greater than $250.000 and the rest of us should not have to pay any tax or a very
moderate flat tax.. We should sell the real-estate that the IRS owns and return the money to the
2. people. Government employees and the congress should get the same health care that we are
forced to deal with. Congressional pensions should be cut to ribbons. Do they really need that
money? They are in the service of the people not to take advantage of the people.
Back to the markets. We are in a seasonally strong period for our market. The end of the year is
approaching and many portfolio managers are playing catch-up with the markets trying to out-
perform them. As to the terrorist attacks, Mr. Market basically has always tended to bounce
back quickly from these incidents. It is almost as though the market is telling the terrorist that
the terrorists have no control over the financial markets. The market can be brought to its knees
with events like Bear and Lehman but that is different.
The S&P 500 rallied 9.5 handles (points) in the Friday session leaving a bullish looking
candlestick on the chart. This rally has lasted five days and as such is getting over-extended.
We would not be surprised to see some slight retreat or backing and filling before the next rally
begins. This is a shortened trading week as we American’s celebrate Thanksgiving on Thursday
and shopping on Friday, known as “Black Friday.” It is such an important shopping day for the
retailers that the markets close early to allow shoppers to abandon their posts in favor of the
Mall. All the indicators that we follow continue to point higher. Most of the day’s volume was
seen at 2089 which was also a frequently traded price along with 2090 and 2084 to 2086. The 60
minute0.2% by 3-box point and figure chart has an upside target of 2169.65. The daily 1% by 3-
box point and figure chart has an upside target of 2542.39. Our chart shows us that it is possible
to see this index at 2154 or by December 15. Naturally, if the market fails at 2110.25, all best to
the upside are off. That said, we have a more ominous view of the market for 2016’s first
quarter which, we believe will be difficult.
3.
4.
5.
6. The NASDAQ 100 rallied 30 handles (points) in the Friday session. All the indicators that we
follow continue to point higher with room to the upside. Yes, we have been up for the past five
trading days and it is likely that we will have a small retreat within a day or so, but the seasonals
remain favorable. The Bollinger Bands look as though they are about ready to begin expanding
again which would bring additional volatility into the market. The most frequently traded price
in the Friday session was 4683.9-4684 also which was the high volume area for the day. The 60
minute 0.2% by 3-box chart has an upside target of 4795.95 and looks very positive. The daily
1% by 3-box point and figure chart has a new downside target of 4058.33 and a slightly older
upside target of 6350.61. We would be inclined to believe the downside number for the time
being remembering that the seasonality is positive. The bottom line is; we are slightly
overbought and have been rallying for a number of days, it is quite likely that we will pull back a
tad from these levels. Thursday the markets are closed and Friday is a half day so most of the
action will be seen by the close of Wednesday’s session.
7.
8.
9. The Russell 2000 rallied 9.40 handles (points) in the Friday session trying to catch up to the
other indices. This index retreated in the Thursday session but put in a very bullish looking
candlestick in the Friday session. Both the RSI and stochastic indicators are pointing higher with
plenty of room to the upside. Clearly the majority of the volume was seen near the close. The
high volume area was 1173, which was the last print of the day. The most frequently traded
number was 1172.40. The 17 by 3-box reversal point and figure chart remains bullish for the
moment. These small capitulation companies generally do not have the global exposure that is
seen in the large multi-nationals therefore the strong US Dollar has less effect on their earnings.
10.
11. Crude Oil closed close to the lows in the Friday session. The low of 38.99 was a horizontal
support line. There is a lower support line at 37.75. The chart looks awful. The channel
downtrend levels are 38.90 and 41.29. The indicators are all oversold and we are seeing a
possible signal to go long in our own indicators. There are some small divergences seen here in
the other indicators also. Although we are making significantly lower levels in price, the
indicators are not making lower lows. This tells us to watch this chart very carefully for a
12. possible change of direction. The 60 minute 0.7 by 3-box point and figure chart has a downside
target of 37.61. The chart looks awful. The daily 0.9% by 3-box chart has a downside target of
29.84 again an awful looking chart unless you are short the market. The most frequently traded
price in the Friday session was 41.90. At least the Market Profile chart looks fairly stable for the
moment. That comment is the most positive comment we can make about crude oil.
13.
14. Gold retreated slightly in the Friday session. Wondering why gold rallied with the US Dollar?
Instability in the world leads to a renewed interest in the safety of gold. Have no fear, it is short
lived unless the US Dollar retreats or something else blows up. The chart is the worst looking
chart we have seen in a long time. We do see divergences in the indicators telling us to be wary
and careful. The downward trending channel lines are 1087.34 and 1056.97. The most
frequently traded price in the Friday session was 1082. The RSI is pointing lower at almost
15. oversold levels, the stochastic is curling over but not issuing a sell-signal. Our own indicator has
issued a buy-signal. The daily 0.9% by 3-box point and figure chart has a downside target of
1046.03. The 60 minute 0.25% by 3-box point and figure chart has a downside target of 1003.62
which looks really possible. Trust the trend lines not so much the indicators. Remember the
indicators are there to tell you to become alert and pay more attention which, they are clearly
doing at this time. You should not rely on indicators for buys or sells.
16.
17.
18. The US Dollar index rallied in the Friday session. We are near high of 100.38 seen in March of
this year. The last time the US Dollar was on an aggressive upside rally of this magnitude was as
it approached the highs of 121.29 in July of 2001. The next leg higher should take us to 100.38
then 102. None of this is good for our ability to export US made stuff insomuch as it becomes
very expensive for others to buy. The footnote is, if the product is unique enough it will be
bought if it represents value. As to commodities they will continue to slide under the thumb of
the strong US Dollar. The high volume area of the session was 99.60. The most frequently
traded price was 99.18 much of which was traded in the overnight session. The daily 0.6% by 3-
box point and figure chart has an upside target of 100.7032. This chart looks positive. The 60
minute 0.2% by 3-box point and figure chart also looks positive with an upside target of
105.3559. The Market Profile chart looks rather flat. We would not be surprised to see some
backing and filling in the index.
22. Risk
Trading futures, options on futures and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves
substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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