At the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development’s annual Economic Forum on May 29, 2018, Director of Global Economic Attitudes Bruce Stokes presented findings from a Pew Research Center survey of OECD Economic Forum attendees. The invitation-only online survey, which focused on views of economic conditions, faith in the multilateral system and the future of work, was completed by 269 Forum attendees between April 26 and May 22, 2018. Some of the results from this survey of thought leaders were compared to results from surveys of the public, which were conducted in 32 countries as part of the 2017 Global Attitudes Survey.
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OECD Forum 2018 Thought Leader Survey
1. OECD Thought Leader Survey
Bruce Stokes
Director, Global Economic Attitudes May, 2018
2. June 4, 2018 2
• Established 1996
• Funded by the Pew Charitable Trusts, foundations
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U.S. politics
Media & news
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Religion
Science
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• www.pewresearch.org
Pew Research Center
2
3. June 4, 2018 3
Methodology
• Results of online survey of 269 registered OECD Forum attendees conducted
from April 26 to May 22, 2018
• Results of survey of 34,788 respondents conducted February 16 to April 28,
2017 in 32 countries. Additional results of a survey of over 38,000
respondents conducted July to October 2002 in 44 countries
3
5. June 4, 2018 55
Many Believe Life Has Improved,
But Widespread Pessimism for Children’s Financial Future
26%
57%
58
55%
42%
34
Life today is __ than it was 20 years ago for people in your country
When children today in your country grow up, they will be __ financially than their parents
Worse Better
Worse off Better off
OECD Forum attendees
Median of 19 OECD publics
OECD Forum attendees
Note: “About the same” responses not shown.
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees. Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey.
6. 30%
47
70%
51Median of 13 OECD publics, 2002
Do not like Like
I __ the pace of modern life
OECD Forum attendees
June 4, 2018 66
Large Majority of Thought Leaders Enjoy
the Pace of Modern Life
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees. Summer 2002 Global Attitudes Survey.
7. 15% 84%
Bad Good
Thought Leaders View Increased Diversity as a Positive
June 4, 2018 7 7
Note: “No change” and “don’t know” responses not shown.
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.
Thinking about the ethnic, religious and racial makeup of your country, over the past 20 years your
country has become …
6% 83%
Less diverse More diverse
Among those who responded “more diverse,” this is a __ thing
8. Agreement Among Thought Leaders that Equality Between
Men and Women has Increased and is a Good Thing
June 4, 2018 8 8
7% 77%
Decreased Increased
1% 98%
Bad Good
Over the past 20 years, equality between men and women has __ in your country
Among those who responded “increased,” this is a __ thing
Note: “No change” and “don’t know” responses not shown.
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.
9. Among Thought Leaders, Concern about
Weakening Family Ties
June 4, 2018 9 9
61% 9%
Weaker Stronger
88% 8%
Bad Good
Over the past 20 years, family ties in your country have become …
Among those who responded “weaker,” this is a __ thing
Note: “No change” and “don’t know” responses not shown.
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.
10. 9%
15
46%
49
91%
80
54%
44
Bad Good
Bad Good
OECD Forum attendees
OECD Forum attendees
Median of 19 OECD publics
Median of 19 OECD publics
Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative
Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts
June 4, 2018 10 10
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees. Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey.
A democratic system where representatives elected by citizens decide what becomes law would be
a __ way of governing your country
Experts, not elected officials, making decisions according to what they think is best for the country
would be a __ way of governing your country
11. 60%
39%
26
39%
61%
67
OECD Forum attendees
Median of 19 OECD publics
OECD Forum attendees
Do no better Do a better job
Bad Good
Thought Leaders Do Not Believe Ordinary People Would Do a Better
Job Solving Problems, Yet Majority Backs Direct Democracy
June 4, 2018 11 11
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees. Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey.
A democratic systems where citizens, not elected officials, vote directly on major national issues to
decide what becomes law would be a __ way of governing your country
Ordinary people would__ solving the country’s problems than elected officials
12. VIEWS ON THE MULTILATERAL SYSTEM
June 4, 2018 12 12
13. Thought Leaders Say Common Values Bring Nations Together
June 4, 2018 13 13
67%
32%
Common
problems
Common
values
When thinking about the international system, __ are more important for bringing nations together
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.
14. Overwhelming Majority of Thought Leaders Believe Multilateral
System Has Positively Impacted Domestic Economies
June 4, 2018 14 14
10% 89%
Institutions within the multilateral system have had a __ impact on the domestic economies of
individual countries
Negative Positive
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.
15. June 4, 2018 1515
16%
22
24
54
56
83%
77
76
45
43
Promote peace
Promote prosperity
Are transparent
No Yes
Are efficient
Promote democratic values
Institutions that currently anchor the multilateral system …
Thought Leaders Say Multilateral Institutions Promote
Peace, But Are Not Efficient and Are Not Transparent
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.
16. June 4, 2018 16 16
47%
48
4
Major reform
Minor reform
No reform at all
The institutions that currently anchor the
international system are in need of …
77%
20
1
Engage more with
citizens than they
do today
Engage with
citizens at the
current level
Engage less with
citizens than they
do today
Institutions should …
Support for Reform of Multilateral Institutions,
Backing for More Engagement with Citizens
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.
18. Strong Confidence in the Future of Automation
June 4, 2018 18
14%
17%
86%
83%
In the next 50 years, robots and computers will __ do much of the work currently done by humans
Robots and computers doing much of the work currently done by humans is a __ thing
for your country
Probably NOT Probably
Bad Good
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.
19. Thought Leaders Think Workplace Changes Driven by
Automation are Likely and Positive
June 4, 2018 19
If robots and computers were able to do much of the work currently being done by humans,
the following is likely to happen
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.
77%
72
72
64
61
57
Ordinary people would have a hard time finding jobs
Inequality between rich and poor would be much
worse than it is today
The economy would be much more efficient
People would find their jobs more meaningful and
fulfilling since machines would mostly be doing
things that people find unappealing
There would be new, better-paying jobs
People would be able to focus less on work and
more on the things that really matter to them in life
20. June 4, 2018 20
Schools Seen as Having the Greatest Responsibility
for Insuring Future Workers Have the Right Skills
85%
71
71
57
32
10%
25
21
38
38
95%
96
92
95
70
Schools
Governments
Individuals
themselves
Employers
Labor unions
A lot of Some TOTAL
The following should have __ responsibility in making sure your country’s workforce has the right
skills and education to be successful in the future
Note: “Not much” and “none” not shown.
Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.
21. All Pew Research Center reports are available
online at www.pewresearch.org
Bruce Stokes
Director, Global Economic Attitudes
@bruceestokes