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Thought Leader Survey: Issues Impacting the Transatlantic Relationship

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On March 24, 2017 at the German Marshall Fund’s annual Brussels Forum, Bruce Stokes, the director of global economic attitudes, presented Pew Research Center findings from a survey of Brussels Forum invitees and alumni of GMF’s Marshall Memorial Fellowship, Transatlantic Inclusion Leaders Network (TILN), Manfred Wörner Seminar (MWS), and the American Political Science Association Congressional Fellowship (APSA).

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Thought Leader Survey: Issues Impacting the Transatlantic Relationship

  1. 1. Thought Leader Survey: Issues Impacting the Transatlantic Relationship Bruce Stokes In collaboration with Director, Global Economic Attitudes March 2017 CORRECTION: In a previous version of this presentation, the confidence ratings for Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping were reversed in the slide “Confidence in Merkel Far Outpaces Trust in Trump, Other Leaders.” It was updated Feb. 27, 2018, to show that the confidence ratings were 39% for Xi and 10% for Putin.
  2. 2. February 27, 2018 2 Pew Research Center • Established 1996 • Funded by the Pew Charitable Trusts, foundations • Non-profit, non-partisan fact tank in Washington • Research topics: U.S. politics Media and the news Social trends Internet and technology Science Hispanics Global public opinion and migration • www.pewresearch.org www.pewresearch.org
  3. 3. February 27, 2018 3www.pewresearch.org Methodology • Results of online survey, conducted from January 18 to March 16, 2017 • Respondents include Brussels Forum invitees and alumni of GMF’s Marshall Memorial Fellowship, Transatlantic Inclusion Leaders (TILN), Manfred Wörner Seminar (MWS) or American Political Science Association (APSA) • 135 invitees, 450 alumni: 585 total respondents • Pew Research Center will release a report later this year comparing views of thought leaders with those of the general public in 10 European countries, U.S. and Canada
  4. 4. February 27, 2018 4www.pewresearch.org Climate Change, Cyberattacks Seen as Greatest Threats 70% 66 62 55 55 31 29 25 Global climate change Cyberattacks from other countries Russia's power and influence The condition of the global economy ISIS China's power and influence Large number of refugees leaving Iraq/Syria U.S. power and influence % saying each is a major threat to their country Source: Pew Research Center survey of German Marshall Fund Transatlantic thought leaders.
  5. 5. February 27, 2018 5www.pewresearch.org Americans and Europeans Differ on Major Threats 84% 79 47 18 56% 66 23 35 Americans Europeans Cyberattacks from other countries Global climate change China's power and influence Large number of refugees leaving Iraq/Syria % saying each is a major threat to their country Note: Only statistically significant differences shown. Source: Pew Research Center survey of German Marshall Fund Transatlantic thought leaders.
  6. 6. February 27, 2018 6www.pewresearch.org Transatlantic Relations Expected to Worsen 77% 62 62 20% 31 28 3% 6 9 Diplomatic issues Economic issues Security issues Get worse Stay about the same Get better Over the next 12 months, do you think that relations between Europe and the U.S. will get better, get worse or stay about the same when it comes to … Source: Pew Research Center survey of German Marshall Fund Transatlantic thought leaders.
  7. 7. February 27, 2018 7www.pewresearch.org Conflicting Views About Whether U.S. Would Honor Article 5 If Russia got into a serious military conflict with one of its neighboring countries that is a NATO ally, do you think the United States would or would not use military force to defend that country? 49% 40 57 41 59 46 52 46% 57 41 57 39 47 45 Total Women Men 18-44 45+ U.S. Europe Yes, U.S. would use forceNo, U.S. would not use force Note: Statistically significant differences in bold. Source: Pew Research Center survey of German Marshall Fund Transatlantic thought leaders.
  8. 8. February 27, 2018 8www.pewresearch.org Confidence in Merkel Far Outpaces Trust in Trump, Other Leaders 7% 61 87 90 92% 39 13 10 German Chancellor Merkel Chinese President Xi U.S. President Trump Russian President Putin Some/a lot of confidenceNot too much/no confidence How much confidence do you have in __ to do the right thing regarding world affairs? Source: Pew Research Center survey of German Marshall Fund Transatlantic thought leaders. CORRECTION: This slide was updated Feb. 27, 2018, to reflect corrected approval ratings for Xi and Putin
  9. 9. February 27, 2018 9www.pewresearch.org Trump’s Negative Qualities Seen as Outweighing the Positive 94% 88 85 48 30 15 6 Arrogant Intolerant Dangerous Charismatic A strong leader Cares about ordinary people Well-qualified to be president Do you think each of the following characteristics describes U.S. President Donald Trump? Positive characteristicsNegative characteristics Source: Pew Research Center survey of German Marshall Fund Transatlantic thought leaders.
  10. 10. February 27, 2018 10 All Pew Research Center reports and data are available online at www.pewresearch.org www.pewresearch.org

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