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Nevada Notables
Ranked #1 in Population Growth During the Past 10 Years 

Ranked #1 in Employment Growth During the Past 10 Year

Ranked #1 in Income Growth During the Past 10 Years

Ranks #1 In Retiree In‐Migration

Ranks #3 in Terms of Business Tax Climate

Ranks Among the Nation’s Lowest In Term of Household Tax Burden

Ranks at or Near the Nation’s Highest in the Expansion Rate for 
Residential, Commercial, Industrial, and Hospitality Development

Ranks Among the Largest Tourism Economies in the World
Laying the Foundation
National Economic Indicators
Real Growth in Gross Domestic Product         +1.7%
US Employment Growth                          +0.2%
US Unemployment Rate                          ­0.1%
US Disposable Income Growth Rate              +3.0%
Consumer Debt Growth                          ­3.1%
Consumer Price Index                          +1.2%
US Retail Sales                               +5.5%
US Construction Activity                     ­13.8%
US New Home Sales                            ­34.2%
US Housing Price Appreciation Rate            ­4.9%
Value of the US Dollar                        +0.8%
S&P 500                                       +2.8%
Consumer Confidence Index ­ Expectations      ­1.8%
Intent to Vacation                            ­1.1%
Pattern of the U.S. Economic Recovery
      Gross Domestic Product              US Employment             Dow Jones Indus. Avg.
        (Annualized Growth)               (Monthly Change)             (Y‐O‐Y Growth)
6%                               600                         60%

4%                               400
                                                             40%
                                 200
2%
                                                             20%
                                   0
0%
                                ­200                          0%
­2%
                                ­400
                                                             ­20%
­4%
                                ­600
­6%                                                          ­40%
                                ­800
                                         (in thousands)
­8%                            ­1,000                        ­60%
      '07   '08   '09   '10             '07 '08 '09 '10             '07 '08 '09 '10
United States Unemployment Rate
                                                              Monthly Series
12%

11%
10%
9%

8%
7%
6%

5%
4%
3%
      '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10
                               Source: U.S. Department of Labor: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Average Weekly Hours Worked
                                                               Monthly Series
36.0

35.5

35.0

34.5

34.0

33.5

33.0

32.5

32.0
       '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10
                                Source: U.S. Department of Labor: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Over Extended 
                    Consumer




            Real Estate
Financial     Crisis
Collapse
Over Extended 
Consumer
Household Net Worth
                                                                Total Net Worth
            $70                                                             Peak:
Trillions



                                                                      $66 Trillion

            $60                                                                               Current:
                                                                                           $54 Trillion

            $50

            $40




                                                                                       The Bust and Recovery
            $30

            $20
                                                         Tech
            $10                     Normal              Bubble             The
                                    Growth            “The Warning”       Boom
             $0
                  '80   '83   '86   '89   '92   '95   '98     '01      '04       '07                           '10
Total Domestic Nonfinancial Debt
                                                        As a % of GDP
260%

240%

220%

200%

180%
        50­Year Mean = 163%
160%

140%

120%

100%
       '52 '56 '60 '64 '68 '72 '76 '80 '84 '88 '92 '96 '00 '04 '08
                                 Source: U.S. Federal Reserve – Z.1 Flow of Funds Accounts
Outstanding Credit Ratios
                           As a Percent of Disposable Income
140%
                                                                % of 
130%                                                            Disposable 
                                                                Income
120%

110%

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%
       '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10
                                     Source: U.S. Federal Reserve – Z.1 Flow of Funds Accounts
Mortgage Equity Withdrawal
                                  As a % of Disposable Income
14%
12%
10%
 8%
 6%
 4%
 2%
 0%
­2%
­4%
­6%
­8%
      '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09
Consumption and Savings
                        As a Percentage of Disposable Income
96%                                                                                        16%

94%                                                                                        14%
                                Consumption
92%                                                                                        12%

90%                                                                                        10%

88%                                                                                        8%

86%                                                                Personal                6%
                                                                   Savings
84%                                                                                        4%

82%                                                                                        2%

80%                                                                                        0%
      '80   '83   '86   '89   '92      '95      '98      '01      '04      '07       '10
                              Source: U.S. Department of Commerce – Bureau of Economic Analysis
Personal Consumption
                                              Annualized Growth Rates
10%

8%

6%

4%

2%

0%

­2%

­4%
      12341234123412341234123412341234123412341234
       '00   '01   '02   '03       '04      '05      '06      '07      '08      '09      '10
                               Source: U.S. Department of Commerce: Bureau of Economic Analysis 
Growth in US Retail Sales
                                     vs. Same Month Previous Year
15%

10%

 5%

 0%

­5%

­10%

­15%
       '00   '01   '02   '03   '04     '05     '06     '07      '08      '09     '10
                                        Source: U.S. Department of Commerce: Census Bureau
New Consumer Debt
                                                                    Monthly Series
           $250
Billions




           $200

           $150

           $100

            $50

             $0

            ­$50

           ­$100

           ­$150
                   '00   '01   '02   '03   '04    '05   '06   '07    '08      '09       '10
                                                                    Source: U.S. Federal Reserve
Consumer Confidence Index
200
            Present Situation
180         Future Expectations

160
140
120
100
 80
 60
 40
 20
  0
      '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10
                                                Source: Consumer Conference Board
Consumer Confidence Index
200
            Present Situation
180         Future Expectations

160
140
120
100
 80
 60
 40
 20
  0
      '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10
                                                Source: Consumer Conference Board
Consumer Confidence Index
200
            Present Situation
180         Future Expectations

160
140
120
100
 80
 60
 40
 20
  0
      '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10
                                                Source: Consumer Conference Board
Real Estate
  Crisis
New Home Sales            Residential Permitting                      New Home Pricing 
        Remain Low                   Remains Low                               Remains Low
140                           2,500                                 $280

120                                                                 $260
                              2,000
100                                                                 $240

                              1,500
80                                                                  $220

60                                                                  $200
                              1,000

40                                                                  $180
                               500
20                                                                  $160

        Thousands                      Thousands                                Thousands
 0                               0                                  $140
      '00   '03   '06   '09           '00 '03 '06 '09                       '00     '03     '06    '09
                                          Source: U.S. Department of Commerce – Bureau of Economic Analysis
Housing Market Instability
                                      Select Markets




                                  Foreclosure Rates (Q1+Q2 ‘10)

                                  United States:          1 in 78
                                  Colorado:               1 in 71
                                  Idaho:                  1 in 59
                                  Utah:                   1 in 52
                                  California:             1 in 39
                                  Arizona:                1 in 30
                                  Nevada:                 1 in 17

Source: RealtyTrac
New Foreclosures
                                              United States
120,000


100,000


 80,000


 60,000


 40,000


 20,000


     0
          '03   '04   '05   '06   '07   '08    '09         '10
                                               Source: Foreclosure.com
Foreclosure Starts
                               % of all mortgages each quarter
1.6%

1.4%

1.2%

1.0%

0.8%

0.6%

0.4%

0.2%

0.0%
       12341234123412341234123412341234123412341234
       '00   '01   '02   '03    '04    '05   '06      '07      '08     '09      '10

                                                   Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
Delinquency Rates at Commercial Banks
                                             Real Estate Loans by Type
12%

10%
                        Commercial 
                        Real Estate
8%
         All Real 
         Estate
6%

4%

2%
                      Residential 
                      Real Estate
0%
  1987      1990     1993    1996     1999     2002   2005   2008
Financial
Collapse
3­Month LIBOR/T­Bill Spread
                           Daily Series
5%


4%


3%


2%


1%


0%
  2006    2007    2008    2009      2010
Total Loans and Leases at Commercial Banks
                                                              (in billions)
$8,000

$7,000

$6,000

$5,000

$4,000

$3,000

$2,000

$1,000

   $0
         '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10
                                                      Source: U.S. Federal Reserve
Growth in U.S. Construction Activity
                                     Trailing 12­Month Averages
15%

10%

 5%

 0%

­5%

­10%

­15%

­20%
       '00   '01   '02   '03   '04   '05    '06      '07      '08      '09      '10
                                      Source: U.S. Department of Commerce: Census Bureau
United States Job Growth ­ 2006




NV #4
+4.6%



        Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics 
United States Job Growth ­ 2007




NV #27
+1.0%



         Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics 
United States Job Growth ­ 2008




NV #49
 ‐2.2%



         Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics 
United States Job Growth ­ 2009




NV #51
 ‐9.1%



         Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics 
United States Job Growth – 2010(p)




  NV #51
   ‐1.8%



Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (As of August 2010)
Las Vegas MSA Employment
                                                             Monthly Series
1,000,000

 950,000
              Peak to Present =
 900,000      ­146,400

 850,000

 800,000

 750,000

 700,000

 650,000
            '00   '01   '02    '03   '04   '05   '06   '07    '08   '09   '10
Las Vegas MSA Employment Growth
                                           Year‐Over‐Year Growth
 80,000
 60,000
 40,000
 20,000
      0
 ­20,000
 ­40,000
 ­60,000
 ­80,000
­100,000
­120,000
           '90'91'92'93'94'95'96'97'98'99'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08'09'10
Las Vegas MSA Employment Growth
                                                                           By Sector
Professional & Business Services    Total Job Losses =                        3,600
                  Other Services    ­15,800                                1,300
    Education & Health Services                                        300
           Leisure & Hospitality                                       100
    Natural Resources & Mining                                         0
                    Information                             ­800
                  Manufacturing                           ­1,000
                    Government                          ­1,700
             Financial Activities                       ­1,800
Trade, Transportation & Utilities                       ­2,300
                   Construction     ­13,500

                               ­20,000        ­10,000              0                  10,000
Unemployment Rate
15%                                                                14.8%
          Las Vegas Unemployment Rate
14%       US Unemployment Rate
13%
12%
11%
10%
9%                                                                  9.5%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
      '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10
Southern Nevada
Residential Market
Southern Nevada Residential Market
                                             Q2 2010    Q2 2009
Demand Indicators
   New Home Sales                               1,978      1,199
   New Home Sales Price                      $193,300   $212,800
   Existing Home Sales                         13,477     13,476
   Existing Home Sales Price                 $123,900   $123,800


Supply Indicators
   Residential Permits                          1,535      1,795
   MLS Listings (end of quarter)               12,253     13,490


Foreclosures
   Foreclosures – New                           8,163      7,671
    Foreclosures – Active (end of quarter)      8,646      8,686
Clark County Housing Units Permitted
                                                                                                     Annual Series
45,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
 5,000
     0
           '90
                 '91
                       '92
                             '93
                                   '94
                                         '95
                                               '96
                                                     '97
                                                           '98
                                                                 '99
                                                                       '00
                                                                             '01
                                                                                   '02
                                                                                         '03
                                                                                               '04
                                                                                                     '05
                                                                                                           '06
                                                                                                                 '07
                                                                                                                       '08
                                                                                                                             '09
                                                                                                                                   '10(p)
  (P) – Preliminary; For the trailing 12­months ending August 2010
Multi­Family Units Permitted
                                                   Trailing 12‐Month Series
50,000         Multi‐Family Units Permitted
45,000         Single Family Units Permitted

40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
 5,000
    0
         '00    '01      '02      '03      '04   '05   '06   '07   '08   '09   '10
Commercial                                                       Commercial 
          Buildings Permitted                                                Permit Valuation
              (Trailing 12‐Month Series)                                      (Trailing 12‐Month Series)
1,800                                                            $3.0




                                                      Billions
1,600
                                                                 $2.5
1,400

1,200                                                            $2.0

1,000
                                                                 $1.5
 800

 600                                                             $1.0

 400
                                                                 $0.5
 200

   0                                                             $0.0
        '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10                     '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
Clark County                                 Clark County 
              New Home Sales                          New Home Sales Price 
               (Trailing 12‐Months)                         (Monthly Series)
45,000                                     $400,000

40,000                                     $350,000
35,000
                                           $300,000
30,000
                                           $250,000
25,000
                                           $200,000
20,000
                                           $150,000
15,000
                                           $100,000
10,000

 5,000                                      $50,000

    0                                           $0
         '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10              '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
Clark County New Home Sales Price PSF
                            Monthly Series
$350

$300

$250

$200

$150

$100

 $50

  $0
Clark County                                 Clark County 
            Existing Home Sales                   Existing Home Sales Price 
               (Trailing 12‐Months)                         (Monthly Series)
60,000                                     $350,000


50,000                                     $300,000

                                           $250,000
40,000
                                           $200,000
30,000
                                           $150,000
20,000
                                           $100,000

10,000                                      $50,000

    0                                           $0
         '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10              '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
Clark County Existing Home Sales Price PSF
                                Monthly Series
$200
$180
$160
$140
$120
$100
 $80
 $60
 $40
 $20
  $0
Clark County Home Sales Prices
   Resale Home Prices as a Percentage of New Home Prices
110%

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%
       '03   '04     '05   '06   '07   '08   '09   '10
Housing Price Appreciation
                                       Four‐Quarter Growth Rates
50%
             Las Vegas, NV     United States
40%

30%

20%

10%

 0%

­10%

­20%

­30%

­40%
       '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10
Housing Price Depreciation Rankings
                                          By State | Q2 2010

  Rank   Region                           Year­over­year

  1      Idaho                                       ‐11.0%
  2      Arizona                                       ‐8.2%
  3      Delaware                                      ‐7.5%
  4      Nevada                                       ­7.2%
  5      Florida                                       ‐5.9%
  6      Maine                                         ‐5.4%
  7      Michigan                                      ‐5.4%
  8      New Hampshire                                 ‐5.2%
  9      New Mexico                                    ‐5.0%
  10     Alabama                                       ‐4.9%
                         Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Housing Price Depreciation Rankings
                     By Metropolitan Area | Q2 2010

  Rank   Region                                Year­over­year

  1      Bend, OR                                         ‐18.6%
  2      Ocala, FL                                        ‐18.6%
  3      Madera, CA                                       ‐17.6%
  4      Lakeland‐Winter Haven, FL                        ‐17.6%
  5      Reno‐Sparks, NV                                  ‐17.3%
  6      Orlando, FL                                      ‐16.1%
  7      Lake Havasu, AZ                                  ‐15.1%
  8      Daytona Beach, FL                                ‐15.0%
  9      Port St. Lucie, FL                               ‐14.4%
  10     Las Vegas, NV                                    ­13.9%
                              Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Resale (MLS) Home Listings
18,000
            Tenant Occupied       Vacant    Owner Occupied
16,000

14,000

12,000

10,000

 8,000

 6,000

 4,000

 2,000

    0
         Sep­09 Oct­09 Nov­09 Dec­09 Jan­10 Feb­10 Mar­10 Apr­10 May­10 Jun­10 Jul­10 Aug­10 Sep­10
Resale (MLS) Home Listings
18,000
            Tenant Occupied       Vacant    Owner Occupied
16,000

14,000                           Homebuyer Tax Credit Expires
12,000

10,000

 8,000

 6,000

 4,000

 2,000

    0
         Sep­09 Oct­09 Nov­09 Dec­09 Jan­10 Feb­10 Mar­10 Apr­10 May­10 Jun­10 Jul­10 Aug­10 Sep­10
Clark County Active Foreclosures
                                                   Monthly Series
12,000


10,000


 8,000


 6,000


 4,000


 2,000


    0
         '02   '03   '04   '05   '06   '07   '08     '09   '10
Loans with Installments Past Due (All Loans)
15%

      National Average = 9.4%
10%

5%

0%

Loans with Installments Seriously Past Due (90+ days)
10%
8%
6%    National Average = 4.9%

4%
2%
0%
                                Source: Mortgage Bankers Association, National Delinquency Survey Q1 2010
Apartment Market
                                   Q2 2010    Q2 2009
Apartment Rents (Asking Rates)
 Studio                               $498       $572 
 Junior 1 Bedroom                     $631       $741 
 1 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom                $670       $756 
 2 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom                $674       $766 
 2 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom                $830       $924 
 2 Bedroom Townhome                   $936      $1,062 
 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom                $968      $1,073 
 Average Rent                         $765       $857


Occupancy Rate
 End of quarter                      90.7%      90.5%
Apartment Market
                                       Average Monthly Rents
$950
$900
$850
$800
$750
$700
$650
$600
       1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
         '03     '04     '05     '06     '07     '08     '09     '10
Apartment Market
                                               Occupancy Rate
97%
96%
95%
94%
93%
92%
91%
90%
89%
88%
87%
      1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
        '03     '04     '05     '06     '07     '08     '09     '10
Southern Nevada
Commercial Market
Southern Nevada Office Market
                                          Overview

                          Q2 2010               Q2 2009
Inventory (SF)              49.7 M                 49.2 M
Vacancy                     24.1%                  21.8%
Lease Rates               $2.13 psf           $2.32 psf
Net Absorption (SF)       ­427,000             ­820,000
Completed (SF)                    ­             365,000
Under Construction (SF)    611,000                   1.4 M




                                      Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Office Market
                                                           Inventory and Vacancy Rates
           60                                                                                                    30%
Millions




                    Inventory       Vacancy Rate

           50                                                                                                    25%

           40                                                                                                    20%

           30                                                                                                    15%

           20                                                                                                    10%

           10                                                                                                    5%

           0                                                                                                     0%
                1    2   3      4   1   2   3      4   1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4     1    2     3     4
                      '06                '07               '08             '09                  '10

                                                                                   Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Office Market
                             Vacant Inventory and Average Asking Rates
           14                                                                                                $2.40
                    Vacant Inventory
Millions




                    Avg Asking Price
           12                                                                                                $2.35

           10                                                                                                $2.30

           8                                                                                                 $2.25

           6                                                                                                 $2.20

           4                                                                                                 $2.15

           2                                                                                                 $2.10

           0                                                                                                 $2.05
                1    2   3   4   1     2   3   4   1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4     1    2     3     4
                      '06              '07             '08             '09                  '10

                                                                               Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Office Market
           Average Asking Price                            Actual Lease Rates
$2.40                                     $2.40

         $2.27                            $2.20
$2.20            $2.23
                         $2.16
                                 $2.13
                                          $2.00
$2.00
                                                                     $1.93
                                          $1.80
$1.80                                                                                       $0.83 PSF
                                                       $1.69
                                          $1.60

$1.60                                                                             $1.49
                                          $1.40

                                                                                                $1.30
$1.40                                     $1.20
        Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010              Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010
                                           Source(s): Applied Analysis; compilation by InBusiness Las Vegas
Southern Nevada Retail Market
                                           Overview

                           Q2 2010              Q2 2009
Inventory (SF)              51.9 M                 51.2 M
Vacancy                     10.4%                  10.2%
Lease Rates               $1.68 psf            $2.02 psf
Net Absorption (SF)        166,000             ­293,000
Completed (SF)             139,000                           0
Under Construction (SF)    569,000                   1.3 M




                                      Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Retail Market
                                                           Inventory and Vacancy Rates
           60                                                                                                    12%
Millions




                    Inventory       Vacancy Rate

           50                                                                                                    10%

           40                                                                                                    8%

           30                                                                                                    6%

           20                                                                                                    4%

           10                                                                                                    2%

           0                                                                                                     0%
                1    2   3      4   1   2   3      4   1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4     1    2     3     4
                      '06                '07               '08             '09                  '10

                                                                                   Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Retail Market
                            Vacant Inventory and Average Asking Rates
           6                                                                                                $2.50
                   Vacant Inventory
Millions




                   Avg Asking Price
           5                                                                                                $2.25

           4                                                                                                $2.00

           3                                                                                                $1.75

           2                                                                                                $1.50

           1                                                                                                $1.25

           0                                                                                                $1.00
               1    2   3   4   1     2   3   4   1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4     1    2     3     4
                     '06              '07             '08             '09                  '10

                                                                              Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Retail Market
           Average Asking Price                            Actual Lease Rates
$2.00                                     $2.00
         $1.95

$1.80            $1.84                    $1.80

                         $1.72
                                 $1.68
$1.60                                     $1.60                      $1.64
                                                       $1.55
$1.40                                     $1.40                                             $0.52 PSF



$1.20                                     $1.20
                                                                                  $1.18         $1.16
$1.00                                     $1.00
        Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010              Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010
                                           Source(s): Applied Analysis; compilation by InBusiness Las Vegas
Taxable Retail Spending
                                                          Trailing 12‐Month Totals
           $40
Billions




           $35

           $30

           $25

           $20

           $15

           $10

            $5

            $0
                 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
Taxable Retail Spending
                                                         Trailing 12‐Month Growth
           $6
Billions




           $4

           $2

           $0

           ­$2

           ­$4

           ­$6

           ­$8
                 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
Taxable Retail Spending
                                   Growth Rates for the Top 10 Categories
(1) Food Services & Drinking Places (19.1%)                                            ­1.4%
      (2) General Merchandise Stores (9.5%)                                                0.0%
 (3) Clothing & Clothing Accessories (9.2%)                                                       4.5%
   (4) Motor Vehicle & Parts Dealers (8.4%)                                           ­3.4%
                     (5) Accommodation (6.1%)                                                        10.7%
   (6) Merch. Wholesalers, Durables  (5.1%)                   ­34.9%
            (7) Food & Beverage Stores (3.8%)                                         ­3.0%
      (8) Rental and Leasing Services (3.6%)                              ­21.4%
   (9) Health & Personal Care Stores (3.6%)                                        ­9.9%
            (10) Building Material, etc. (3.4%)                             ­18.4%

                                                        ­50% ­40% ­30% ­20% ­10% 0%               10% 20%
 Note: Growth rates between the trailing 12­months ending July of 2010 and 2009.
Southern Nevada Industrial Market
                                           Overview

                          Q2 2010               Q2 2009
Inventory (SF)             103.4 M               102.6 M
Vacancy                     16.2%                  12.2%
Lease Rates               $0.58 psf            $0.71 psf
Net Absorption (SF)       ­842,000                  ­1.3 M
Completed (SF)                   0              189,000
Under Construction (SF)   150,000               816,000




                                      Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Industrial Market
                                                            Inventory and Vacancy Rates
           105                                                                                                    18%
Millions




                     Inventory       Vacancy Rate

           100                                                                                                    15%

            95                                                                                                    12%

            90                                                                                                    9%

            85                                                                                                    6%

            80                                                                                                    3%

            75                                                                                                    0%
                 1    2   3      4   1   2   3      4   1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4    1     2     3    4
                       '06                '07               '08             '09                 '10
                                                                                    Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Industrial Market
                             Vacant Inventory and Average Asking Rates
           20                                                                                                   $1.00
Millions




                    Vacant Inventory       Avg Asking Price
           18                                                                                                   $0.90
           16                                                                                                   $0.80
           14                                                                                                   $0.70
           12                                                                                                   $0.60
           10                                                                                                   $0.50
           8                                                                                                    $0.40
           6                                                                                                    $0.30
           4                                                                                                    $0.20
           2                                                                                                    $0.10
           0                                                                                                    $0.00
                1    2   3   4   1     2    3    4   1   2    3   4   1   2   3   4    1     2     3    4
                      '06              '07                '08             '09                 '10
                                                                                  Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Industrial Market
           Average Asking Price                            Actual Lease Rates
$0.70                                     $0.70
         $0.68
$0.65                                     $0.65
                 $0.63
$0.60                                     $0.60
                         $0.60
                                 $0.58
$0.55                                     $0.55

$0.50                                                                $0.53
                                          $0.50                                             $0.16 PSF
                                                       $0.51

$0.45                                     $0.45

                                                                                  $0.41         $0.42
$0.40                                     $0.40
        Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010              Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010
                                           Source(s): Applied Analysis; compilation by InBusiness Las Vegas
Effective Inventory in Years
                                             Quarterly Series
7
                                                                     6.5
6                                                        Office
5

4                                                                    3.6
                                                Industrial
3
                                                                     2.4
2                                                        Retail

1

0
    1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
     2003    2004    2005    2006    2007    2008    2009            2010

                                                      Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market
                                                       Overview

                                      Q2 2010              Q2 2009

Number of Acres Sold                     744.9                  395.4

Total Value Transacted                $139.9 M            $101.0 M

Price Per Acre                        $187,800           $255,300

Price Per Square Foot                    $4.31                  $5.86

Net Appreciation Over Prior Quarter      2.9%                    6.2%

Net Appreciation Over Prior Year       ­26.5%                ­93.8%



                                                 Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market
                                                                        Acres Sold
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
 800
 600
 400
 200
   0
        1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4    1     2     3     4
            '06             '07             '08             '09                  '10
                                                                    Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market
                                                                 Total Value Transacted
           $1,400
Millions




           $1,200

           $1,000

            $800

            $600

            $400

            $200

              $0
                     1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4     1     2     3    4
                         '06             '07             '08             '09                  '10
                                                                                 Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market
                                                          Price Per Acre (Non‐Resort)
            $1,000
Thousands




             $900
             $800
             $700
             $600
             $500
             $400
             $300
             $200
             $100
               $0
                      1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4     1     2     3    4
                          '06             '07             '08             '09                  '10
                                                                                  Source(s): Applied Analysis
Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market
                 Price Per Acre Y‐O‐Y Appreciation (Non‐Resort)
60%

40%

20%

 0%

­20%

­40%

­60%

­80%
       1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4   1   2   3   4    1     2     3     4
           '06             '07             '08             '09                  '10
                                                                   Source(s): Applied Analysis
Imbalance Concerns in the 
  Core Tourism Industry
Relative Dependence on Tourism
Leisure and Hospitality Employment as Share of Total 
Core Tourism Indicators
Las Vegas Visitor Volume                            +4.7%
Room Inventory                                       +4.9%
Convention Attendance                               +28.4%
Average Daily Room Rate                              +4.8%
Room Nights Occupied                                 +4.7%
Clark County Gaming Revenues                         ­5.0%
Win Per Slot Per Day                                 ­9.7%
Win Per Table Game Per Day                          +15.7%
McCarran International Passenger Count               ­0.4%
Average Price Per Gallon of Gasoline (California)   +10.4%
Passengers on International Flights                 +12.1%
Average Daily Traffic Counts at CA/NV Border        +2.9%
Visitor Volume                                            *



            Past               Past                  Past       Past       Past 
          10 Years            5 Years             12 Months   3 Months    Month
            (CAGR)              (CAGR)

        +146,000            ­246,000              +744,000    +339,000   +150,000




           +0.4%               ­0.7%               +2.1%       +0.9%      +0.4%




*Calculations based on trailing 12‐month totals
Las Vegas                 McCarran Int’l                Hotel/Motel
      Visitor Volume                Passengers                  Room Inventory
40   (In millions)           60   (In millions)           160   (In thousands)
                                                                                 +1.8%

39                                                        150
                             50
                                                  +0.8%
38                                                        140
                     +0.3%
                             40
37                                                        130


36                           30                           120


35                                                        110
                             20
34                                                        100

                             10
33                                                         90

                                                           80
32                            0
Hotel Occupancy           Average Daily               Room Nights
            Rates                 Room Rates                  Occupied
100%                      $140                       50   (In millions)


                          $120                                            +0.7%
95%                                                  45
                                             +3.6%
                          $100
90%                                                  40

                           $80
85%                                                  35
                     ­1.2%$60

80%                                                  30
                           $40

75%                                                  25
                           $20


70%                         $0                       20
Notable Tourism Industry Improvements
       Las Vegas Visitor Volume          Cars Travelling Over I­15            AA Gaming Index
             (Y‐O‐Y Change)                   (Y‐O‐Y Change)                      (Y‐O‐Y Change)

200      (in thousands)           5     (in thousands)               400
                                  4                                  300
100
                                  3                                  200
  0                               2                                  100
                                  1                                    0
­100
                                  0                                  ­100
­200                              ­1                                 ­200
                                  ­2                                 ­300
­300
                                  ­3                                 ­400
­400                              ­4                                 ­500
       '07   '08   '09    '10          '07   '08    '09   '10               '07    '08   '09   '10
Notable Tourism Industry Concerns
        Occupancy Rates       Average Daily Room Rates          Gross Gaming Revenues
         (Monthly Series)            (Monthly Series)                     (Coin‐In)
100%                        $150                              $11    (in billions)

95%                         $140
                                                              $10
90%
                            $130
85%                                                            $9
                            $120
80%
                            $110
75%                                                            $8

                            $100
70%
                                                               $7
65%                          $90

60%                          $80                               $6
       '07 '08 '09 '10             '07   '08   '09      '10         '07   '08   '09   '10
$0
                                                                                $2
                                                                                          $4
                                                                                                     $6
                                                                                                                 $8
                                                                                                                            $10
                                                                                                                                    $12
                                                                                                                                              $14
                                                                 '90                 $4.1 B
                                                                                     $4.2 B
                                                                 '92                  $4.4 B
                                                                                        $4.7 B
                                                                 '94                        $5.4 B
                                                                                             $5.7 B
                                                                                                                                          (in billions)


                                                                 '96                          $5.8 B
                                                                                                $6.2 B
                                                                 '98                             $6.3 B
                                                                                                      $7.2 B
                                                                 '00                                    $7.7 B
                                                                                                        $7.6 B
                                                                 '02                                    $7.6 B
                                                                                                         $7.8 B
                                                                 '04                                          $8.7 B
                                                                                                                    $9.7 B
                                                                                                                                                                                       Clark County 




                                                                 '06                                                   $10.6 B
                                                                                                                         $10.9 B
                                                                                                                    $9.8 B
                                                                                                                                                               Gross Gaming Revenues




                                                                 '08
                                                                                                               $8.8 B
                                          '10(p)                                                              $8.8 B




(P) – Preliminary; For the trailing 12­months ending July 2010
                                                                       $0.0
                                                                                 $0.5
                                                                                              $1.0
                                                                                                          $1.5
                                                                                                                      $2.0
                                                                                                                                   $2.5




                                                                 '90      $0.4 B
                                                                           $0.5 B
                                                                 '92         $0.5 B
                                                                              $0.6 B
                                                                 '94             $0.7 B
                                                                                      $0.9 B
                                                                                                                                          $3.0 (in billions)




                                                                 '96                    $1.0 B
                                                                                            $1.1 B
                                                                 '98                            $1.3 B
                                                                                                   $1.4 B
                                                                 '00                                  $1.5 B
                                                                                                       $1.6 B
                                                                 '02                                     $1.6 B
                                                                                                           $1.7 B
                                                                 '04                                             $2.0 B
                                                                                                                          $2.2 B
                                                                                                                                                                                       Locals Market




                                                                 '06                                                        $2.5 B
                                                                                                                              $2.6 B
                                                                                                                                                               Gross Gaming Revenues




                                                                 '08                                                     $2.4 B
                                                                                                                    $2.2 B
                                          '10(p)                                                                  $2.1 B
Resort Corridor Projects
                                                               On Hold




                                      Wyndham Desert Blue
                                      Wyndham Vacation Ownership

Echelon Las Vegas                     St. Regis 
Boyd Gaming                           Residences
                                      Las Vegas Sands
                                      Corp




Harmon Hotel        Octavious Tower                       Fontainebleau
MGM MIRAGE          Caesars Palace                        Icahn NV Gaming
Est. Rooms                                 Est. Rooms with Announced 
            Under Construction                                  Completion Dates
45,000                                                 45,000

40,000                                                 40,000

35,000                                                 35,000

30,000                                                 30,000

25,000                                                 25,000

20,000                                                 20,000

15,000                                                 15,000

10,000                                                 10,000

 5,000                                                  5,000

    0                                                      0

         '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10            '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
Southern Nevada/ 
 Statewide Social 
    Indicators
Notice of Breaches and Default
                                                         Monthly Series
12,000


10,000


 8,000


 6,000


 4,000


 2,000


    0
         '00   '01   '02   '03   '04   '05   '06   '07       '08         '09        '10
                                                   Source(s): Clark County Recorder’s Office
Nevada Welfare Caseloads
                                                                                    Monthly Series
40,000

35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

 5,000

    0
         '01   '02         '03        '04         '05         '06         '07        '08         '09         '10
               Source(s): Nevada Department of Health and Human Services – Division of Welfare and Supportive Services
SNAP (Food Stamp) Participants
                                                                                    Monthly Series
350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

 50,000

     0
          '02     '03          '04          '05          '06          '07           '08          '09          '10
                Source(s): Nevada Department of Health and Human Services – Division of Welfare and Supportive Services
Medicaid Eligible Recipients 
                                                    (Retroactive) Monthly Series
300,000


250,000


200,000


150,000


100,000


 50,000


     0
          '02    '03           '04          '05          '06          '07          '08          '09          '10
                Source(s): Nevada Department of Health and Human Services – Division of Welfare and Supportive Services
Nevada Checkup Enrollment
                                                                             Monthly Series
30,000
29,000
28,000
27,000
26,000
25,000
24,000
23,000
22,000
21,000
20,000


         Source(s): Nevada Department of Health and Human Services – Division of Healthcare Financing and Policy
Households Served by Three Square
                         Monthly Series
60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

    0


                             Source(s): Three Square
Property Crime Incidents
                            Monthly Series
5,000
4,800
4,600
4,400
4,200
4,000
3,800
3,600
3,400
3,200
3,000


                   Source(s): Las Vegas Metro Police Department
Juvenile Referrals
                                      Monthly Series
3,000


2,500


2,000


1,500


1,000


 500


   0
        '04   '05   '06   '07   '08       '09               '10
                                          Source(s): Clark County
Students Receiving Free & Reduced 
                       Lunch Assistance
55%
50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%


                           Source(s): Clark County School District
Homeless Children Enrolled in the CCSD
                                  Monthly Series
7,000

6,000

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

   0


                            Source(s): Clark County School District
Number of All CPS Investigation Calls
                                         Monthly Series
1,200


1,000


 800


 600


 400


 200


   0
        '05   '06   '07      '08                    '09
                          Source(s): Clark County Family Services Department
Social Service Clients Not Seen 
                      Due to Lack of Capacity
16,000

14,000

12,000

10,000

 8,000

 6,000

 4,000

 2,000

    0


                                    Source(s): Clark County
Emergency Room Holds at UMC
                                     Monthly Series
1,600

1,500

1,400

1,300

1,200

1,100

1,000


                     Source(s): University Medical Center of Southern Nevada
When asked about Crime/Gangs/Drugs:
            Not at all 
           Concerned
             3.4%


Not too Concerned
      6.2%

                                      Very Concerned
                                          59.8%


                          Somewhat 
                          Concerned
                            30.5%




                                                2010 Las Vegas Perspective Survey
Crimes Index Rates 
                   (Per 100,000 Residents)
10,000
 9,000
 8,000
 7,000                   Las Vegas, NV

 6,000
 5,000
         United States
 4,000
 3,000
 2,000
 1,000
    0
Nevada Crime Statistics

Type of Crime        Crime Rates       % Change in Crime Rates 
                                          (2000 through 2009)
                      2009    2000
Violent Crime          702     524                34.0%
Property Crime        3,056   3,744              ‐18.4%
Murder                   6         7               ‐9.2%
Rape                    39      43               ‐10.2%
Robbery                228     227                 0.2%
Aggravated Assault     430     247                73.8%
Burglary               832     877                 ‐5.1%
Larceny               1,755   2,208              ‐20.5%
Vehicle Theft          702     524                34.0%
“The pain is good because it 
reminds you that you are still alive.”
Nevada Association For Court Career Advancement Presentation Final

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Nevada Association For Court Career Advancement Presentation Final

  • 1.
  • 4.
  • 5. National Economic Indicators Real Growth in Gross Domestic Product +1.7% US Employment Growth +0.2% US Unemployment Rate ­0.1% US Disposable Income Growth Rate +3.0% Consumer Debt Growth ­3.1% Consumer Price Index +1.2% US Retail Sales +5.5% US Construction Activity ­13.8% US New Home Sales ­34.2% US Housing Price Appreciation Rate ­4.9% Value of the US Dollar +0.8% S&P 500 +2.8% Consumer Confidence Index ­ Expectations ­1.8% Intent to Vacation ­1.1%
  • 6. Pattern of the U.S. Economic Recovery Gross Domestic Product US Employment Dow Jones Indus. Avg. (Annualized Growth) (Monthly Change) (Y‐O‐Y Growth) 6% 600 60% 4% 400 40% 200 2% 20% 0 0% ­200 0% ­2% ­400 ­20% ­4% ­600 ­6% ­40% ­800 (in thousands) ­8% ­1,000 ­60% '07 '08 '09 '10 '07 '08 '09 '10 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. United States Unemployment Rate Monthly Series 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 Source: U.S. Department of Labor: Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 10. Average Weekly Hours Worked Monthly Series 36.0 35.5 35.0 34.5 34.0 33.5 33.0 32.5 32.0 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 Source: U.S. Department of Labor: Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 11. Over Extended  Consumer Real Estate Financial Crisis Collapse
  • 13. Household Net Worth Total Net Worth $70 Peak: Trillions $66 Trillion $60 Current: $54 Trillion $50 $40 The Bust and Recovery $30 $20 Tech $10 Normal  Bubble The Growth “The Warning” Boom $0 '80 '83 '86 '89 '92 '95 '98 '01 '04 '07 '10
  • 14. Total Domestic Nonfinancial Debt As a % of GDP 260% 240% 220% 200% 180% 50­Year Mean = 163% 160% 140% 120% 100% '52 '56 '60 '64 '68 '72 '76 '80 '84 '88 '92 '96 '00 '04 '08 Source: U.S. Federal Reserve – Z.1 Flow of Funds Accounts
  • 15. Outstanding Credit Ratios As a Percent of Disposable Income 140% % of  130% Disposable  Income 120% 110% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 Source: U.S. Federal Reserve – Z.1 Flow of Funds Accounts
  • 16. Mortgage Equity Withdrawal As a % of Disposable Income 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% ­2% ­4% ­6% ­8% '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09
  • 17.
  • 18. Consumption and Savings As a Percentage of Disposable Income 96% 16% 94% 14% Consumption 92% 12% 90% 10% 88% 8% 86% Personal 6% Savings 84% 4% 82% 2% 80% 0% '80 '83 '86 '89 '92 '95 '98 '01 '04 '07 '10 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce – Bureau of Economic Analysis
  • 19. Personal Consumption Annualized Growth Rates 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% ­2% ­4% 12341234123412341234123412341234123412341234 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce: Bureau of Economic Analysis 
  • 20. Growth in US Retail Sales vs. Same Month Previous Year 15% 10% 5% 0% ­5% ­10% ­15% '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce: Census Bureau
  • 21. New Consumer Debt Monthly Series $250 Billions $200 $150 $100 $50 $0 ­$50 ­$100 ­$150 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source: U.S. Federal Reserve
  • 22. Consumer Confidence Index 200 Present Situation 180 Future Expectations 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 Source: Consumer Conference Board
  • 23. Consumer Confidence Index 200 Present Situation 180 Future Expectations 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 Source: Consumer Conference Board
  • 24. Consumer Confidence Index 200 Present Situation 180 Future Expectations 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 Source: Consumer Conference Board
  • 26. New Home Sales  Residential Permitting New Home Pricing  Remain Low Remains Low Remains Low 140 2,500 $280 120 $260 2,000 100 $240 1,500 80 $220 60 $200 1,000 40 $180 500 20 $160 Thousands Thousands Thousands 0 0 $140 '00 '03 '06 '09 '00 '03 '06 '09 '00 '03 '06 '09 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce – Bureau of Economic Analysis
  • 27. Housing Market Instability Select Markets Foreclosure Rates (Q1+Q2 ‘10) United States:          1 in 78 Colorado:  1 in 71 Idaho: 1 in 59 Utah: 1 in 52 California:  1 in 39 Arizona:  1 in 30 Nevada:  1 in 17 Source: RealtyTrac
  • 28. New Foreclosures United States 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source: Foreclosure.com
  • 29. Foreclosure Starts % of all mortgages each quarter 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 12341234123412341234123412341234123412341234 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
  • 30. Delinquency Rates at Commercial Banks Real Estate Loans by Type 12% 10% Commercial  Real Estate 8% All Real  Estate 6% 4% 2% Residential  Real Estate 0% 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008
  • 32. 3­Month LIBOR/T­Bill Spread Daily Series 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
  • 33. Total Loans and Leases at Commercial Banks (in billions) $8,000 $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 Source: U.S. Federal Reserve
  • 34. Growth in U.S. Construction Activity Trailing 12­Month Averages 15% 10% 5% 0% ­5% ­10% ­15% ­20% '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce: Census Bureau
  • 35. United States Job Growth ­ 2006 NV #4 +4.6% Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics 
  • 36. United States Job Growth ­ 2007 NV #27 +1.0% Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics 
  • 37. United States Job Growth ­ 2008 NV #49 ‐2.2% Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics 
  • 38. United States Job Growth ­ 2009 NV #51 ‐9.1% Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics 
  • 39. United States Job Growth – 2010(p) NV #51 ‐1.8% Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (As of August 2010)
  • 40.
  • 41. Las Vegas MSA Employment Monthly Series 1,000,000 950,000 Peak to Present = 900,000 ­146,400 850,000 800,000 750,000 700,000 650,000 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 42. Las Vegas MSA Employment Growth Year‐Over‐Year Growth 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 ­20,000 ­40,000 ­60,000 ­80,000 ­100,000 ­120,000 '90'91'92'93'94'95'96'97'98'99'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08'09'10
  • 43. Las Vegas MSA Employment Growth By Sector Professional & Business Services Total Job Losses = 3,600 Other Services ­15,800 1,300 Education & Health Services 300 Leisure & Hospitality 100 Natural Resources & Mining 0 Information ­800 Manufacturing ­1,000 Government ­1,700 Financial Activities ­1,800 Trade, Transportation & Utilities ­2,300 Construction ­13,500 ­20,000 ­10,000 0 10,000
  • 44. Unemployment Rate 15% 14.8% Las Vegas Unemployment Rate 14% US Unemployment Rate 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 9.5% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10
  • 46. Southern Nevada Residential Market Q2 2010 Q2 2009 Demand Indicators New Home Sales 1,978 1,199 New Home Sales Price $193,300 $212,800 Existing Home Sales 13,477 13,476 Existing Home Sales Price $123,900 $123,800 Supply Indicators Residential Permits 1,535 1,795 MLS Listings (end of quarter) 12,253 13,490 Foreclosures Foreclosures – New 8,163 7,671 Foreclosures – Active (end of quarter) 8,646 8,686
  • 47. Clark County Housing Units Permitted Annual Series 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10(p) (P) – Preliminary; For the trailing 12­months ending August 2010
  • 48. Multi­Family Units Permitted Trailing 12‐Month Series 50,000 Multi‐Family Units Permitted 45,000 Single Family Units Permitted 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 49. Commercial  Commercial  Buildings Permitted Permit Valuation (Trailing 12‐Month Series) (Trailing 12‐Month Series) 1,800 $3.0 Billions 1,600 $2.5 1,400 1,200 $2.0 1,000 $1.5 800 600 $1.0 400 $0.5 200 0 $0.0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 50. Clark County  Clark County  New Home Sales  New Home Sales Price  (Trailing 12‐Months) (Monthly Series) 45,000 $400,000 40,000 $350,000 35,000 $300,000 30,000 $250,000 25,000 $200,000 20,000 $150,000 15,000 $100,000 10,000 5,000 $50,000 0 $0 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 51. Clark County New Home Sales Price PSF Monthly Series $350 $300 $250 $200 $150 $100 $50 $0
  • 52. Clark County  Clark County  Existing Home Sales  Existing Home Sales Price  (Trailing 12‐Months) (Monthly Series) 60,000 $350,000 50,000 $300,000 $250,000 40,000 $200,000 30,000 $150,000 20,000 $100,000 10,000 $50,000 0 $0 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 53. Clark County Existing Home Sales Price PSF Monthly Series $200 $180 $160 $140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0
  • 54. Clark County Home Sales Prices Resale Home Prices as a Percentage of New Home Prices 110% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 55. Housing Price Appreciation Four‐Quarter Growth Rates 50% Las Vegas, NV United States 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% ­10% ­20% ­30% ­40% '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10
  • 56. Housing Price Depreciation Rankings By State | Q2 2010 Rank Region Year­over­year 1 Idaho ‐11.0% 2 Arizona ‐8.2% 3 Delaware ‐7.5% 4 Nevada ­7.2% 5 Florida ‐5.9% 6 Maine ‐5.4% 7 Michigan ‐5.4% 8 New Hampshire ‐5.2% 9 New Mexico ‐5.0% 10 Alabama ‐4.9% Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency
  • 57. Housing Price Depreciation Rankings By Metropolitan Area | Q2 2010 Rank Region Year­over­year 1 Bend, OR ‐18.6% 2 Ocala, FL ‐18.6% 3 Madera, CA ‐17.6% 4 Lakeland‐Winter Haven, FL ‐17.6% 5 Reno‐Sparks, NV ‐17.3% 6 Orlando, FL ‐16.1% 7 Lake Havasu, AZ ‐15.1% 8 Daytona Beach, FL ‐15.0% 9 Port St. Lucie, FL ‐14.4% 10 Las Vegas, NV ­13.9% Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency
  • 58. Resale (MLS) Home Listings 18,000 Tenant Occupied Vacant Owner Occupied 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Sep­09 Oct­09 Nov­09 Dec­09 Jan­10 Feb­10 Mar­10 Apr­10 May­10 Jun­10 Jul­10 Aug­10 Sep­10
  • 59. Resale (MLS) Home Listings 18,000 Tenant Occupied Vacant Owner Occupied 16,000 14,000 Homebuyer Tax Credit Expires 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Sep­09 Oct­09 Nov­09 Dec­09 Jan­10 Feb­10 Mar­10 Apr­10 May­10 Jun­10 Jul­10 Aug­10 Sep­10
  • 60. Clark County Active Foreclosures Monthly Series 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 61. Loans with Installments Past Due (All Loans) 15% National Average = 9.4% 10% 5% 0% Loans with Installments Seriously Past Due (90+ days) 10% 8% 6% National Average = 4.9% 4% 2% 0% Source: Mortgage Bankers Association, National Delinquency Survey Q1 2010
  • 62. Apartment Market Q2 2010 Q2 2009 Apartment Rents (Asking Rates) Studio $498  $572  Junior 1 Bedroom $631  $741  1 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom $670  $756  2 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom $674  $766  2 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom $830  $924  2 Bedroom Townhome $936  $1,062  3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom $968  $1,073  Average Rent $765 $857 Occupancy Rate End of quarter 90.7% 90.5%
  • 63. Apartment Market Average Monthly Rents $950 $900 $850 $800 $750 $700 $650 $600 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 64. Apartment Market Occupancy Rate 97% 96% 95% 94% 93% 92% 91% 90% 89% 88% 87% 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 66. Southern Nevada Office Market Overview Q2 2010 Q2 2009 Inventory (SF) 49.7 M 49.2 M Vacancy 24.1% 21.8% Lease Rates $2.13 psf $2.32 psf Net Absorption (SF) ­427,000 ­820,000 Completed (SF) ­ 365,000 Under Construction (SF) 611,000 1.4 M Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 67. Southern Nevada Office Market Inventory and Vacancy Rates 60 30% Millions Inventory Vacancy Rate 50 25% 40 20% 30 15% 20 10% 10 5% 0 0% 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 68. Southern Nevada Office Market Vacant Inventory and Average Asking Rates 14 $2.40 Vacant Inventory Millions Avg Asking Price 12 $2.35 10 $2.30 8 $2.25 6 $2.20 4 $2.15 2 $2.10 0 $2.05 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 69. Southern Nevada Office Market Average Asking Price Actual Lease Rates $2.40 $2.40 $2.27 $2.20 $2.20 $2.23 $2.16 $2.13 $2.00 $2.00 $1.93 $1.80 $1.80 $0.83 PSF $1.69 $1.60 $1.60 $1.49 $1.40 $1.30 $1.40 $1.20 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Source(s): Applied Analysis; compilation by InBusiness Las Vegas
  • 70. Southern Nevada Retail Market Overview Q2 2010 Q2 2009 Inventory (SF) 51.9 M 51.2 M Vacancy 10.4% 10.2% Lease Rates $1.68 psf $2.02 psf Net Absorption (SF) 166,000 ­293,000 Completed (SF) 139,000 0 Under Construction (SF) 569,000 1.3 M Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 71. Southern Nevada Retail Market Inventory and Vacancy Rates 60 12% Millions Inventory Vacancy Rate 50 10% 40 8% 30 6% 20 4% 10 2% 0 0% 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 72. Southern Nevada Retail Market Vacant Inventory and Average Asking Rates 6 $2.50 Vacant Inventory Millions Avg Asking Price 5 $2.25 4 $2.00 3 $1.75 2 $1.50 1 $1.25 0 $1.00 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 73. Southern Nevada Retail Market Average Asking Price Actual Lease Rates $2.00 $2.00 $1.95 $1.80 $1.84 $1.80 $1.72 $1.68 $1.60 $1.60 $1.64 $1.55 $1.40 $1.40 $0.52 PSF $1.20 $1.20 $1.18 $1.16 $1.00 $1.00 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Source(s): Applied Analysis; compilation by InBusiness Las Vegas
  • 74. Taxable Retail Spending Trailing 12‐Month Totals $40 Billions $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 75. Taxable Retail Spending Trailing 12‐Month Growth $6 Billions $4 $2 $0 ­$2 ­$4 ­$6 ­$8 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 76. Taxable Retail Spending Growth Rates for the Top 10 Categories (1) Food Services & Drinking Places (19.1%) ­1.4% (2) General Merchandise Stores (9.5%) 0.0% (3) Clothing & Clothing Accessories (9.2%) 4.5% (4) Motor Vehicle & Parts Dealers (8.4%) ­3.4% (5) Accommodation (6.1%) 10.7% (6) Merch. Wholesalers, Durables  (5.1%) ­34.9% (7) Food & Beverage Stores (3.8%) ­3.0% (8) Rental and Leasing Services (3.6%) ­21.4% (9) Health & Personal Care Stores (3.6%) ­9.9% (10) Building Material, etc. (3.4%) ­18.4% ­50% ­40% ­30% ­20% ­10% 0% 10% 20% Note: Growth rates between the trailing 12­months ending July of 2010 and 2009.
  • 77. Southern Nevada Industrial Market Overview Q2 2010 Q2 2009 Inventory (SF) 103.4 M 102.6 M Vacancy 16.2% 12.2% Lease Rates $0.58 psf $0.71 psf Net Absorption (SF) ­842,000 ­1.3 M Completed (SF) 0 189,000 Under Construction (SF) 150,000 816,000 Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 78. Southern Nevada Industrial Market Inventory and Vacancy Rates 105 18% Millions Inventory Vacancy Rate 100 15% 95 12% 90 9% 85 6% 80 3% 75 0% 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 79. Southern Nevada Industrial Market Vacant Inventory and Average Asking Rates 20 $1.00 Millions Vacant Inventory Avg Asking Price 18 $0.90 16 $0.80 14 $0.70 12 $0.60 10 $0.50 8 $0.40 6 $0.30 4 $0.20 2 $0.10 0 $0.00 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 80. Southern Nevada Industrial Market Average Asking Price Actual Lease Rates $0.70 $0.70 $0.68 $0.65 $0.65 $0.63 $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 $0.58 $0.55 $0.55 $0.50 $0.53 $0.50 $0.16 PSF $0.51 $0.45 $0.45 $0.41 $0.42 $0.40 $0.40 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Source(s): Applied Analysis; compilation by InBusiness Las Vegas
  • 81. Effective Inventory in Years Quarterly Series 7 6.5 6 Office 5 4 3.6 Industrial 3 2.4 2 Retail 1 0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 82. Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market Overview Q2 2010 Q2 2009 Number of Acres Sold 744.9 395.4 Total Value Transacted $139.9 M $101.0 M Price Per Acre $187,800 $255,300 Price Per Square Foot $4.31 $5.86 Net Appreciation Over Prior Quarter 2.9% 6.2% Net Appreciation Over Prior Year ­26.5% ­93.8% Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 83. Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market Acres Sold 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 84. Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market Total Value Transacted $1,400 Millions $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 85. Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market Price Per Acre (Non‐Resort) $1,000 Thousands $900 $800 $700 $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 86. Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market Price Per Acre Y‐O‐Y Appreciation (Non‐Resort) 60% 40% 20% 0% ­20% ­40% ­60% ­80% 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis
  • 89. Core Tourism Indicators Las Vegas Visitor Volume +4.7% Room Inventory +4.9% Convention Attendance +28.4% Average Daily Room Rate +4.8% Room Nights Occupied +4.7% Clark County Gaming Revenues ­5.0% Win Per Slot Per Day ­9.7% Win Per Table Game Per Day +15.7% McCarran International Passenger Count ­0.4% Average Price Per Gallon of Gasoline (California) +10.4% Passengers on International Flights +12.1% Average Daily Traffic Counts at CA/NV Border +2.9%
  • 90. Visitor Volume * Past  Past  Past  Past  Past  10 Years 5 Years 12 Months 3 Months Month (CAGR) (CAGR) +146,000 ­246,000 +744,000 +339,000 +150,000 +0.4% ­0.7% +2.1% +0.9% +0.4% *Calculations based on trailing 12‐month totals
  • 91. Las Vegas McCarran Int’l Hotel/Motel Visitor Volume Passengers Room Inventory 40 (In millions) 60 (In millions) 160 (In thousands) +1.8% 39 150 50 +0.8% 38 140 +0.3% 40 37 130 36 30 120 35 110 20 34 100 10 33 90 80 32 0
  • 92. Hotel Occupancy  Average Daily  Room Nights Rates Room Rates Occupied 100% $140 50 (In millions) $120 +0.7% 95% 45 +3.6% $100 90% 40 $80 85% 35 ­1.2%$60 80% 30 $40 75% 25 $20 70% $0 20
  • 93. Notable Tourism Industry Improvements Las Vegas Visitor Volume Cars Travelling Over I­15 AA Gaming Index (Y‐O‐Y Change) (Y‐O‐Y Change) (Y‐O‐Y Change) 200 (in thousands) 5 (in thousands) 400 4 300 100 3 200 0 2 100 1 0 ­100 0 ­100 ­200 ­1 ­200 ­2 ­300 ­300 ­3 ­400 ­400 ­4 ­500 '07 '08 '09 '10 '07 '08 '09 '10 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 94. Notable Tourism Industry Concerns Occupancy Rates Average Daily Room Rates Gross Gaming Revenues (Monthly Series) (Monthly Series) (Coin‐In) 100% $150 $11 (in billions) 95% $140 $10 90% $130 85% $9 $120 80% $110 75% $8 $100 70% $7 65% $90 60% $80 $6 '07 '08 '09 '10 '07 '08 '09 '10 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 95. $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 '90 $4.1 B $4.2 B '92 $4.4 B $4.7 B '94 $5.4 B $5.7 B (in billions) '96 $5.8 B $6.2 B '98 $6.3 B $7.2 B '00 $7.7 B $7.6 B '02 $7.6 B $7.8 B '04 $8.7 B $9.7 B Clark County  '06 $10.6 B $10.9 B $9.8 B Gross Gaming Revenues '08 $8.8 B '10(p) $8.8 B (P) – Preliminary; For the trailing 12­months ending July 2010 $0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 '90 $0.4 B $0.5 B '92 $0.5 B $0.6 B '94 $0.7 B $0.9 B $3.0 (in billions) '96 $1.0 B $1.1 B '98 $1.3 B $1.4 B '00 $1.5 B $1.6 B '02 $1.6 B $1.7 B '04 $2.0 B $2.2 B Locals Market '06 $2.5 B $2.6 B Gross Gaming Revenues '08 $2.4 B $2.2 B '10(p) $2.1 B
  • 96. Resort Corridor Projects On Hold Wyndham Desert Blue Wyndham Vacation Ownership Echelon Las Vegas St. Regis  Boyd Gaming Residences Las Vegas Sands Corp Harmon Hotel Octavious Tower Fontainebleau MGM MIRAGE Caesars Palace Icahn NV Gaming
  • 97. Est. Rooms  Est. Rooms with Announced  Under Construction Completion Dates 45,000 45,000 40,000 40,000 35,000 35,000 30,000 30,000 25,000 25,000 20,000 20,000 15,000 15,000 10,000 10,000 5,000 5,000 0 0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
  • 99. Notice of Breaches and Default Monthly Series 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Clark County Recorder’s Office
  • 100. Nevada Welfare Caseloads Monthly Series 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Health and Human Services – Division of Welfare and Supportive Services
  • 101. SNAP (Food Stamp) Participants Monthly Series 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Health and Human Services – Division of Welfare and Supportive Services
  • 102. Medicaid Eligible Recipients  (Retroactive) Monthly Series 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Health and Human Services – Division of Welfare and Supportive Services
  • 103. Nevada Checkup Enrollment Monthly Series 30,000 29,000 28,000 27,000 26,000 25,000 24,000 23,000 22,000 21,000 20,000 Source(s): Nevada Department of Health and Human Services – Division of Healthcare Financing and Policy
  • 104. Households Served by Three Square Monthly Series 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Source(s): Three Square
  • 105. Property Crime Incidents Monthly Series 5,000 4,800 4,600 4,400 4,200 4,000 3,800 3,600 3,400 3,200 3,000 Source(s): Las Vegas Metro Police Department
  • 106. Juvenile Referrals Monthly Series 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Clark County
  • 107. Students Receiving Free & Reduced  Lunch Assistance 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% Source(s): Clark County School District
  • 108. Homeless Children Enrolled in the CCSD Monthly Series 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Source(s): Clark County School District
  • 109. Number of All CPS Investigation Calls Monthly Series 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 Source(s): Clark County Family Services Department
  • 110. Social Service Clients Not Seen  Due to Lack of Capacity 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Source(s): Clark County
  • 111. Emergency Room Holds at UMC Monthly Series 1,600 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000 Source(s): University Medical Center of Southern Nevada
  • 112. When asked about Crime/Gangs/Drugs: Not at all  Concerned 3.4% Not too Concerned 6.2% Very Concerned 59.8% Somewhat  Concerned 30.5% 2010 Las Vegas Perspective Survey
  • 113. Crimes Index Rates  (Per 100,000 Residents) 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 Las Vegas, NV 6,000 5,000 United States 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0
  • 114. Nevada Crime Statistics Type of Crime Crime Rates % Change in Crime Rates  (2000 through 2009) 2009 2000 Violent Crime 702 524 34.0% Property Crime 3,056 3,744 ‐18.4% Murder 6 7 ‐9.2% Rape 39 43 ‐10.2% Robbery 228 227 0.2% Aggravated Assault 430 247 73.8% Burglary 832 877 ‐5.1% Larceny 1,755 2,208 ‐20.5% Vehicle Theft 702 524 34.0%