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Davis County Chamber
    of Commerce



           David Entwistle
        Chief Executive Officer
 University of Utah Hospitals & Clinics
               April, 2013
Health reform as a topic

1. I saw this topic and was so excited.
2. I feel I have marginal knowledge and want to learn
   more.
3. What was the planning committee thinking when
   they picked this topic?
4. I wonder if they can tell if I am asleep if I put on my
   sunglasses.
Agenda


 1. U.S. Spend Comparisons
 2. National Perspective
 3. Health Reform Outlined
 4. How Hospitals Responding
 5. Employer Strategies
Healthcare Spending per Capita,
                        2008
                                       Adjusted for Differences in Cost of Living




* 2007.
Source: OECD Health Data 2010 (Oct. 2010)
                                                                                    4
Hospital Spending per Discharge,
                      2008
                                       Adjusted for Differences in Cost of Living




* 2007.
** 2006.
Source: OECD Health Data 2010 (Oct. 2010)
                                                                                    5
2009 U.S. Healthcare Expenditures per Capita Significantly
Greater Than Other OECD Countries for Similar Life
Expectancy
                               85
                                                     Japan

                                                         Spain
                                                                                 France
                                                                                     Canada
     Average Life Expectancy




                                                                                      U.K.
                               80                                                  Germany
                                                                                                                         U.S.




                               75
                                     Turkey




                               70
                                    $0        $2,000                         $4,000                         $6,000      $8,000
                                                        Healthcare Spending per Capita
Note: Canada average life expectancy for 2007. Italy life expectancy for 2008. Australia, Japan, Portugal, and Turkey
healthcare spending for 2008. Greece healthcare spending for 2007.
Source: OECD updated November 2011.
Costs by Age Categories

                                                        Healthcare Costs by Age   U.S. is spending much
                                                                                  more for older ages




Source: Fischbeck, Paul. “US-Europe Comparisons of Health Risk for Specific
Gender-Age Groups.” Carnegie Mellon University; September, 2009.
    7
Happy New Year!

“The aging population and the rising cost of
  health care makes Medicare the biggest
  contributor to our deficit...We’ve got to find
  ways to reform that program without hurting
  seniors who count on it to survive.”

                   President Barack Obama, January 1, 2013
             News conference after Fiscal Cliff Tax Deal passes
At the Inauguration

“We must make the hard choices to reduce the
  cost of health care and the size of our
  deficit, But we reject the belief that America
  must choose between caring for the generation
  that built this country and investing in the
  generation that will build its future.”

                 President Barack Obama, January 21, 2013
                                       Inaugural Address
Sequestration Impact on Key
Budget Areas
     Medicaid   Medicare                   Other   Defense
       0.0%                                                  0.0%



                                                             -2.0%
                 -2.0%


                                                             -4.0%



                                                             -6.0%



                                                             -8.0%
                                           -7.8%



                                                             -10.0%
                                                   -10.0%


                                                             -12.0%




                         Source: cbo.gov
Healthcare Inflation Continues to Outpace National
                              Inflation
10%
                               9.50%
9%
                    8.50%                 8.40%
8%

7%       7.10%                                       7.10%
                                                                6.80%
                                                                           6.60%
                                                                                      6.20%
6%

5%
                                                                                                 4.70%

4%                                                                                               3.85%                 3.90%     3.91%
         3.80%                                                                                              3.80%
                                                                3.39%      3.24%
3%                  2.83%                                                             2.85%
                                                     2.68%
                                          2.27%
2%                                                                                                                               2.10%
                               1.59%                                                                                   1.64%

1%
                                                                                                            0.34%
0%
      2000       2001       2002       2003       2004       2005       2006       2007       2008       2009       2010       2011

                        Total National Health Expenditures                            US Inflation Rate


                                          Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics and CMS
The Problem: Current Growth Rate
So What is Reform really about?

$/N
                                                                Healthier
                                                                Population
                                                                Lower Use
                                                                Lower Prices
                                                                Higher Quality




                201                                          Time
                3
              Source: Len Nichols, George Mason University
Health Reform Law: Two Big Themes


  • Payer Reform- More people will be
    covered by insurance but at a lower
    reimbursement rates for hospitals &
    providers.
  • Delivery Reform- Shift from “Pay for
    Procedures” to “Pay for Outcomes.”



                                           15
The Market is Changing…

• Focus on delivering greater value.
   – Improved clinical outcomes
   – Increased patient satisfaction
   – Lower cost
• Payment systems and methodologies are changing…
  rewarding those who deliver value.
• Initial projections indicate we will be paid on average at
  Medicare Rates.
• Academic Medical Centers funding to support academic
  mission will be diminished.
Accountable Care Organizations (ACO)

• Goal: maintain or improve quality of care while
  reducing overall health care costs.
• ACO Model
   – Care for a defined population of patients
   – Focus on keeping individuals well
   – Eliminate unnecesary, test, care, etc




                                                    17
So why Have ACOs been such a hot
topic in Reform?
• Dartmouth Atlas showed that costs and quality
  could be attributed fairly accurately to the
  “community practice” defined by hospital service
  areas, and that performance varies widely from
  one hospital community to another
• So...if cost and quality can be attributed to
  hospitals and their “extended medical staffs”
  perhaps they could be held accountable
• And...if they could be held accountable, they
  could share in the savings from their lower
  costs, and risk if costs could not be reduced.
ACOs: Some early lessons and
questions
  – Intense focus on cost and cost reduction
  – Physicians move to laser-like focus on “My Results
    vs. Peers”
  – A huge interest in and need for data
  – Physicians have been willing to make difficult
    decisions that had been avoided in the past
  – Costs decrease from:
     • Reduced ED use; Reduced admissions: Reduced
       discretionary diagnostics
Forget the 80-20 Rule. It’s the 5-50 Role that will
get you in Population Health Management

ACOs routinely report that 5 percent of their
  populations account for 50 percent of their
  claims costs. These 5 percent are patients with
  one or more chronic illnesses. The need is to
  focus on the 5 percent, and then on the “Pre-5
  percent”, or the next 5 percent.
Concentration of Health Spending in the
                       U.S., 2004

                                                         97%

                                              80%
                                  74%
                       64%

           49%


 23%

                                                                   3%

Top 1%    Top 5%     Top 10%    Top 15%     Top 20%    Top 50%    Bottom
                                                                   50%

           Population Percentile Ranked by Health Care Spending
Variability of Quality and Cost
                 Cost and LOS Variation by Surgeon, Major Joint Replacement (MS-DRG 470)

               Avg. Cost
                                                                                           ALOS




    Avg: $14,962




                                                               Individual Physicians


Source: Internal data from client in southeast United States
                                                                                                  22
Reliable care costs less (Premier)
                         Data reveal that lower hospital costs are associated with
                                  patients receiving better patient care
                                         Hospital Costs for Pneumonia Patients

                               $10,298

                                                         $9,158
Average Hospital Costs




                                                                                 $8,412




                              Low                                                High
                                Degree of Patient Process Measurement and Improvements
How Hospitals
 Responding
Financial Model is Changing

  – Health industry growing beyond sustainability…
  – We must focus on cost reduction
  – Key to success is a systematic approach, data-
    driven process & communication
  – Must focus care processes that limit variation




                                                     25
Promote & Reward Accountability

• Accelerate payment and delivery system reforms
• Eliminate preventable infection and complications
• Engage individuals in their health and health care
• Better manage advanced illness
• Advance the use of health information technology
  and electronic health records
• Promote transparency of quality and pricing
  information
    “Ensuring a Healthier Tomorrow”, American Hospital Association
Use limited health care dollars wisely


•   Eliminate non-value added treatments
•   Revamp care for vulnerable populations
•   Promote population health
•   Modernize federal health programs
•   Simplify administrative and regulatory processes
•   Reform the medical liability system

    “Ensuring a Healthier Tomorrow”, American Hospital Association
Top 5 Things Hospitals Doing to Respond



    1. Align high-quality physicians
        – ACOs require physician partnership.
        – Hospitals must align physicians & engage
          them to create lower-cost, higher-quality
          outcomes.
        – Implement strategies to strengthen physician
          relationships.



                                                         28
Top 5 Things Hospitals Doing to Respond



    2. Focus beyond the hospital
       – The hospital itself is no longer the center of
         the health care model.
       – Organizations need to assess the continuum of
         care.




                                                      29
Top 5 Things Hospitals Doing to Respond



    3. Create information transparency
        – Build IT infrastructure; create common IT
          across the care continuum.
        – Pricing (Time, Bitter Pill)
        – The success of the population management
          model depends on information transparency
          across multiple organizations.



                                                      30
Top 5 Things Hospitals
Can Do To Respond (continued)


   4. Think value, not volume
     – Move the organization’s direction from
       growing inpatient volumes to delivering the
       most effective care.
     – Monitor costs, not margin
   5. Create a shared community vision
     – Bring providers together – requires a
       common vision between the community and
       providers of care.
                                                     31
32
Different strategies for different healthcare
spend segments




Source: Wellspan Health
Employers Getting Aggressive on Cost and Quality


School System in Southern California; 55 School Districts

$500 Million in Healthcare Claims

Top 10% of Users Account for 60-70% of claims. Sent
   these records to Best Doctors for 2nd Opinion:
 15% had Wrong Diagnosis
 60% of Treatments were NOT state-of-the-art
                     WHAT TO DO???
Incentivize Employees to Go to Best
Providers!
Incentivize Employees to Go to Best
Providers!




Out of Network
NO Reimbursement
Incentivize Employees to Go to Best
Providers!




     16% Premium
     Contribution
     $1,000 Deductible
     Higher Co-Pay
Incentivize Employees to Go to Best
Providers!




                                      8% Premium Contribution
                                      Small Deductible
                                      Co-Pay
Incentivize Employees to Go to Best
Providers!



                                      NO Premium Increase
                                      NO Deductible
                                      NO Co-Pay
Incentivize Employees to Go to Best
Providers!




     16% Premium                      NO Premium Increase
     Contribution                     NO Deductible
     $1,000 Deductible                NO Co-Pay
     Higher Co-Pay

                                        8% Premium Contribution
       Out of Network                   Small Deductible
       NO                               Co-Pay
       Reimbursement
Results?

By adjusting Premium Contributions, Co-
   Payments, and Deductibles 87% of Covered
   Population now go to the Low Cost & High
   Quality Quadrant of Providers
Preliminary Savings to the TPA and VEBA
   (Voluntary Employee Benefit Association) are in
   the Multiple Millions of Dollars
Case Study – Individual Intervention


                     One Year of Services                Visit Count


           Ambulatory Visits                                 12
           Hospital Admits – Medical & Mental                8
           Hospital Outpatient – Radiology, GI               16
           Emergency Room Visits                             59
                                                 Total       95
Care Management Interventions


• Care Manager contacted patient

• Primary Care Physician identified

• Team meeting with physician, Care
  Manager, and patient to develop a
  Care Plan

• Care Manager contacts patient
  weekly

• Patient utilizing various day
  treatment and wellness programs

• No Emergency Room visits since
  Care Manager made contact 2
  months ago
Summary

• Tremendous Challenges Ahead
• Momentum for change in Provider Industry
  Growing
• Costs Leveling Off
• Risks and incentives are shifting
• Must be new innovative solutions
• We must take accountability for own health in
  proactive ways
Questions?

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Dave Entwistle

  • 1. Davis County Chamber of Commerce David Entwistle Chief Executive Officer University of Utah Hospitals & Clinics April, 2013
  • 2. Health reform as a topic 1. I saw this topic and was so excited. 2. I feel I have marginal knowledge and want to learn more. 3. What was the planning committee thinking when they picked this topic? 4. I wonder if they can tell if I am asleep if I put on my sunglasses.
  • 3. Agenda 1. U.S. Spend Comparisons 2. National Perspective 3. Health Reform Outlined 4. How Hospitals Responding 5. Employer Strategies
  • 4. Healthcare Spending per Capita, 2008 Adjusted for Differences in Cost of Living * 2007. Source: OECD Health Data 2010 (Oct. 2010) 4
  • 5. Hospital Spending per Discharge, 2008 Adjusted for Differences in Cost of Living * 2007. ** 2006. Source: OECD Health Data 2010 (Oct. 2010) 5
  • 6. 2009 U.S. Healthcare Expenditures per Capita Significantly Greater Than Other OECD Countries for Similar Life Expectancy 85 Japan Spain France Canada Average Life Expectancy U.K. 80 Germany U.S. 75 Turkey 70 $0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 Healthcare Spending per Capita Note: Canada average life expectancy for 2007. Italy life expectancy for 2008. Australia, Japan, Portugal, and Turkey healthcare spending for 2008. Greece healthcare spending for 2007. Source: OECD updated November 2011.
  • 7. Costs by Age Categories Healthcare Costs by Age U.S. is spending much more for older ages Source: Fischbeck, Paul. “US-Europe Comparisons of Health Risk for Specific Gender-Age Groups.” Carnegie Mellon University; September, 2009. 7
  • 8. Happy New Year! “The aging population and the rising cost of health care makes Medicare the biggest contributor to our deficit...We’ve got to find ways to reform that program without hurting seniors who count on it to survive.” President Barack Obama, January 1, 2013 News conference after Fiscal Cliff Tax Deal passes
  • 9. At the Inauguration “We must make the hard choices to reduce the cost of health care and the size of our deficit, But we reject the belief that America must choose between caring for the generation that built this country and investing in the generation that will build its future.” President Barack Obama, January 21, 2013 Inaugural Address
  • 10.
  • 11. Sequestration Impact on Key Budget Areas Medicaid Medicare Other Defense 0.0% 0.0% -2.0% -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% -7.8% -10.0% -10.0% -12.0% Source: cbo.gov
  • 12. Healthcare Inflation Continues to Outpace National Inflation 10% 9.50% 9% 8.50% 8.40% 8% 7% 7.10% 7.10% 6.80% 6.60% 6.20% 6% 5% 4.70% 4% 3.85% 3.90% 3.91% 3.80% 3.80% 3.39% 3.24% 3% 2.83% 2.85% 2.68% 2.27% 2% 2.10% 1.59% 1.64% 1% 0.34% 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total National Health Expenditures US Inflation Rate Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics and CMS
  • 13. The Problem: Current Growth Rate
  • 14. So What is Reform really about? $/N Healthier Population Lower Use Lower Prices Higher Quality 201 Time 3 Source: Len Nichols, George Mason University
  • 15. Health Reform Law: Two Big Themes • Payer Reform- More people will be covered by insurance but at a lower reimbursement rates for hospitals & providers. • Delivery Reform- Shift from “Pay for Procedures” to “Pay for Outcomes.” 15
  • 16. The Market is Changing… • Focus on delivering greater value. – Improved clinical outcomes – Increased patient satisfaction – Lower cost • Payment systems and methodologies are changing… rewarding those who deliver value. • Initial projections indicate we will be paid on average at Medicare Rates. • Academic Medical Centers funding to support academic mission will be diminished.
  • 17. Accountable Care Organizations (ACO) • Goal: maintain or improve quality of care while reducing overall health care costs. • ACO Model – Care for a defined population of patients – Focus on keeping individuals well – Eliminate unnecesary, test, care, etc 17
  • 18. So why Have ACOs been such a hot topic in Reform? • Dartmouth Atlas showed that costs and quality could be attributed fairly accurately to the “community practice” defined by hospital service areas, and that performance varies widely from one hospital community to another • So...if cost and quality can be attributed to hospitals and their “extended medical staffs” perhaps they could be held accountable • And...if they could be held accountable, they could share in the savings from their lower costs, and risk if costs could not be reduced.
  • 19. ACOs: Some early lessons and questions – Intense focus on cost and cost reduction – Physicians move to laser-like focus on “My Results vs. Peers” – A huge interest in and need for data – Physicians have been willing to make difficult decisions that had been avoided in the past – Costs decrease from: • Reduced ED use; Reduced admissions: Reduced discretionary diagnostics
  • 20. Forget the 80-20 Rule. It’s the 5-50 Role that will get you in Population Health Management ACOs routinely report that 5 percent of their populations account for 50 percent of their claims costs. These 5 percent are patients with one or more chronic illnesses. The need is to focus on the 5 percent, and then on the “Pre-5 percent”, or the next 5 percent.
  • 21. Concentration of Health Spending in the U.S., 2004 97% 80% 74% 64% 49% 23% 3% Top 1% Top 5% Top 10% Top 15% Top 20% Top 50% Bottom 50% Population Percentile Ranked by Health Care Spending
  • 22. Variability of Quality and Cost Cost and LOS Variation by Surgeon, Major Joint Replacement (MS-DRG 470) Avg. Cost ALOS Avg: $14,962 Individual Physicians Source: Internal data from client in southeast United States 22
  • 23. Reliable care costs less (Premier) Data reveal that lower hospital costs are associated with patients receiving better patient care Hospital Costs for Pneumonia Patients $10,298 $9,158 Average Hospital Costs $8,412 Low High Degree of Patient Process Measurement and Improvements
  • 25. Financial Model is Changing – Health industry growing beyond sustainability… – We must focus on cost reduction – Key to success is a systematic approach, data- driven process & communication – Must focus care processes that limit variation 25
  • 26. Promote & Reward Accountability • Accelerate payment and delivery system reforms • Eliminate preventable infection and complications • Engage individuals in their health and health care • Better manage advanced illness • Advance the use of health information technology and electronic health records • Promote transparency of quality and pricing information “Ensuring a Healthier Tomorrow”, American Hospital Association
  • 27. Use limited health care dollars wisely • Eliminate non-value added treatments • Revamp care for vulnerable populations • Promote population health • Modernize federal health programs • Simplify administrative and regulatory processes • Reform the medical liability system “Ensuring a Healthier Tomorrow”, American Hospital Association
  • 28. Top 5 Things Hospitals Doing to Respond 1. Align high-quality physicians – ACOs require physician partnership. – Hospitals must align physicians & engage them to create lower-cost, higher-quality outcomes. – Implement strategies to strengthen physician relationships. 28
  • 29. Top 5 Things Hospitals Doing to Respond 2. Focus beyond the hospital – The hospital itself is no longer the center of the health care model. – Organizations need to assess the continuum of care. 29
  • 30. Top 5 Things Hospitals Doing to Respond 3. Create information transparency – Build IT infrastructure; create common IT across the care continuum. – Pricing (Time, Bitter Pill) – The success of the population management model depends on information transparency across multiple organizations. 30
  • 31. Top 5 Things Hospitals Can Do To Respond (continued) 4. Think value, not volume – Move the organization’s direction from growing inpatient volumes to delivering the most effective care. – Monitor costs, not margin 5. Create a shared community vision – Bring providers together – requires a common vision between the community and providers of care. 31
  • 32. 32
  • 33. Different strategies for different healthcare spend segments Source: Wellspan Health
  • 34. Employers Getting Aggressive on Cost and Quality School System in Southern California; 55 School Districts $500 Million in Healthcare Claims Top 10% of Users Account for 60-70% of claims. Sent these records to Best Doctors for 2nd Opinion: 15% had Wrong Diagnosis 60% of Treatments were NOT state-of-the-art WHAT TO DO???
  • 35. Incentivize Employees to Go to Best Providers!
  • 36. Incentivize Employees to Go to Best Providers! Out of Network NO Reimbursement
  • 37. Incentivize Employees to Go to Best Providers! 16% Premium Contribution $1,000 Deductible Higher Co-Pay
  • 38. Incentivize Employees to Go to Best Providers! 8% Premium Contribution Small Deductible Co-Pay
  • 39. Incentivize Employees to Go to Best Providers! NO Premium Increase NO Deductible NO Co-Pay
  • 40. Incentivize Employees to Go to Best Providers! 16% Premium NO Premium Increase Contribution NO Deductible $1,000 Deductible NO Co-Pay Higher Co-Pay 8% Premium Contribution Out of Network Small Deductible NO Co-Pay Reimbursement
  • 41. Results? By adjusting Premium Contributions, Co- Payments, and Deductibles 87% of Covered Population now go to the Low Cost & High Quality Quadrant of Providers Preliminary Savings to the TPA and VEBA (Voluntary Employee Benefit Association) are in the Multiple Millions of Dollars
  • 42. Case Study – Individual Intervention One Year of Services Visit Count Ambulatory Visits 12 Hospital Admits – Medical & Mental 8 Hospital Outpatient – Radiology, GI 16 Emergency Room Visits 59 Total 95
  • 43. Care Management Interventions • Care Manager contacted patient • Primary Care Physician identified • Team meeting with physician, Care Manager, and patient to develop a Care Plan • Care Manager contacts patient weekly • Patient utilizing various day treatment and wellness programs • No Emergency Room visits since Care Manager made contact 2 months ago
  • 44. Summary • Tremendous Challenges Ahead • Momentum for change in Provider Industry Growing • Costs Leveling Off • Risks and incentives are shifting • Must be new innovative solutions • We must take accountability for own health in proactive ways

Editor's Notes

  1. Spacing