Netflix: a Competitive Landscape




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                         Prepared by: Denton Bayles
                         For: Sean Campbell
                         CI Spring 2012
Executive Summary
•   Netflix, a leader in the video streaming and rental industry, in the third quarter of 2011 lost 800k subscribers and
    their stock price dropped nearly 500%. How was the company going to respond to this radical stock drop, lost of
    customers, and the poor PR?
•   The following competitive landscape uses the McKinsey 7S framework to identify Netflix’s strengths and
    weaknesses in the following areas: structure, strategy, skills, staff, style, systems, and shared values.
•   The results of the McKinsey 7S framework are that Netflix has set up an ideal corporate structure for flexibility.
    Their long term strategy has always been to dominate the video rental market (changing over time from DVD’s to
    streaming). However, they have struggled to fit their short term strategy seamlessly into their long term strategy
    with mistakes such as Qwikster. They have competencies in their library size, recommendation algorithm, original
    content, partnerships, and IT infrastructure. Their weaknesses lie in marketing/PR, short term strategy, customer
    service, original content, and partnerships. Original content and partnerships are included in both strengths and
    weaknesses due to the fact that the original content will be liked and hated on both sides and partnership with
    one firm means that you did not partner with another. The staff is strong in computer science, computer
    engineering, and economics; but, lacking in marketing and PR. They are talented and come from schools such as
    Stanford and Wharton and the staff in general are well compensated. The Netflix style is to find the very best
    employees and weed out those employees who are merely adequate. They give their employees freedom to be
    creative and work as they need. Netflix relies on operations, product development, human resources, and
    recommendation algorithm systems for their day-to-day success. Finally, Netflix has a shared set of values that
    form their company culture. They divide them into seven sets: values are what we value, high performance,
    freedom and responsibility, context – not control, highly aligned – loosely coupled, pay top of market, promotions
    and development. Their most important values are judgment, communication, impact, curiosity, innovation,
    courage, passion, honesty, selflessness. These are the values that on the corporate level keep the organization on
    path.
•   In the future I expect to see Netflix hire a permanent CMO, eradicate their DVD delivery service, form new
    partnerships, bring in a new CEO with Hastings reverting to Chairman only, a new CCO or additional
    communications/PR talent, another Qwikster-like experiment or the wholesale fire sale of their DVD equipment.
•   Additional research would involve their competitors. They need to understand what Blockbuster, Redbox, and
    Verizon are going to do in the future.
Overview
• Netflix
   – Delivers streaming video content and DVD delivery
     services.
   – Instantly watch as many TV episodes & movies as you
     want for only $7.99 a month.
   – Established in Los Gatos, CA in 1997
   – IPO May 2002
   – 2011, 26 million worldwide subscribers and $3.2B in
     revenue
      • A $1B increase over 2010 despite the 3rd quarter loss of 800k
        subscribers and which still resulted in 6.2 million new
        subscriptions
Financial Overview

         • The plummet of their stock price
           in July 2011 with the
           announcement of changes to
           subscription fees, the
           cancellation of Starz, and the
           announcement of Qwikster
           resulted in a stock price drop of
           nearly 500% over the course of 4
           months.
         • Hasting’s announces he will not
           resign, “this is the first time there
           have been material missteps. If
           you look at the cumulative track
           record, it's extremely positive."
Social Media Review
KIQ
• What actions will Netflix take to address the
  issues surrounding reputation, pricing, and
  service offerings?
Sources
•   Netflix.com
•   Wikipedia.org
•   Business and Competitive Analysis: Effective Application of New and Classic Methods
•   Sean Campbell’s course on Competitive Intelligence and associated materials
•   Netflix annual reports
•   Paidcontent.org
•   Techcrunch.com
•   Slideshare.com
•   Linkedin.com
•   Facebook.com
•   Netflix blog
•   Twitter.com
•   Glassdoor.com
•   Compete.com
•   Quora.com
•   My Google Reader
•   My Google Alerts
Methodology
1. Choose competitor
     a. Chose Netflix because I was intrigued by how they were
        going to try to fix their business.
2. Choose KIQ(s)
3. Choose framework
     a) McKinsey 7S chosen because it allows for hard and soft
        data.
4.   Collect data
5.   Synthesize the data
6.   Make predictions
7.   Future monitoring
McKinsey 7S
• “It is a management tool designed to facilitate the
  process of strategy implementation within the context
  of organizational change.” -Fleisher
Structure
Structure Cont.
• Netflix is divided into six major functions and
  legal with the CEO retaining centralized
  decision making authority over the six major
  function areas.
• The structure is a flat structure that is
  designed to help Netflix meet its desire for
  flexibility
Strategy
• Current main strategic goal is to become a streaming
  only service
   – The Qwikster experiment was a failure; It showed Netflix
     that the switch to online only would be difficult to do
     without sacrificing their customer base
   – The online only strategy of the company has been “on
     again, off again.” After their move to originally bring the
     services together they are proving difficult to separate.
   – Develop original content in the mold of a “Mad Men” like
     show to market as an exclusive and draw more people to
     the service
   – PAC – Netflix is showing their need for a free internet by
     forming their own PAC in response to SOPA/PIPA
Skills

                    Strengths                                                            Gaps
Significant library (100,000+ movies & TV)                     Marketing / Public Relations
Recommendation Algorithm (75% of                               Making their short term strategy consistent
viewing done based on recommendations)                         with their long term strategy
Original Content                                               Customer Service
Partnerships (most major studios)                              Original content*
IT infrastructure                                              Partnerships*

Is it true that Netflix divides subscribers into 10 groups and assigns each group to an internal team that competes to
boost loyalty metrics of that group?
“There aren't 10 groups, however every subscriber might be allocated to a differential experience in a particular area - for
example, a variant of a recommendation algorithm, a different search results presentation, a different web UI, a
streaming experience that starts a second faster with lower bitrate prior to upshifting to the highest quality their
connection will support, etc. The terminology is that each customer is assigned to one test cell in each test, usually the
default or "control" test cell. There are typically a few hundred tests running concurrently, and a customer picked at
random would likely have a differential experience in more than 1 but less than 10 of the different tests, all assigned
randomly.” – Neil Hunt, CPO via Quora
Staff
• Reed Hastings – CEO
  – MSCS from Stanford
  – Has a trend as a long term CEO. 14 years with
    Netflix and 7 years with his only previous CEO
    post at Pure Atria Software.
• Jesse Becker – Interim CMO
  –   BS in Economics from Wharton
  –   MBA from Stanford
  –   Previously worked for Amazon and Oracle
  –   Expertise primarily in acquisition channels
  –   With Netflix since 2000
Staff Cont.
• Jonathan Friedland - CCO
   – MS Economics from London School of Economics
   – Worked previously for Walt Disney Company and
     the Wall Street Journal
   – Experience as a SVP with WDC and a foreign
     correspondent/editor
• Neil Hunt – CPO
   – PhDCS from University of Aberdeen, UK
   – Worked previously as Director of Engineering for
     Rational Software and at Netflix as VP of
     Engineering
   – In his current post at Netflix since 2002.
Staff Cont.
• David Wells – CFO
  – MBA/MPP University of Chicago
  – BS Accounting University of Virginia
  – Previously worked for Deloitte Consulting
  – Has been with Netflix since 2004 as
    Director of Operations Planning & Analysis
    and VP of Financial Planning & Analysis
Compensation
Staff Review
• Many of the Chief Executives share history
   – Reed Hastings was CEO of Pure Atria Software which was acquired by
     Rational Software.
   – Most of the Chief Executives worked at one of these two companies
• Most of the Chief Executives have been with Netflix over 10 years
• Compensation – strong focus on paying high enough salaries to
  keep top performers at the company, focused primarily on salary as
  opposed to stock options or bonuses
• Talent – the resumes of Netflix’s employees boast of Stanford,
  Wharton, Harvard, etc.
• Strengths in computer science, computer engineering, and
  economics
• Weak in Marketing and PR
   – Recently released their CMO who had been at the company for 12
     years
   – CCO is a journalist with experience in a different industry
Style
Style Review
• Despite the performance driven,
  competitive culture; Netflix insists that
  “cutthroat” or “sink or swim” behaviors
  are not tolerated
• There is a stress on the importance of
  creative performance, but how do you
  define creative performance?
• Walk the talk – Most of the Chief
  Executives have been with the company
  for over ten years, but they did recently   “I have worked for Reed for twelve
                                              years at Netflix, and I believe the
  remove their CMO and CFO                    culture deck is as accurate a
                                              document as we can create in
                                              describing our culture” – John
                                              Ciancutti, VP of Engineering via Quora
Systems
• Operations – For their DVD service the warehouse holds over 26
  million DVD’s. 100,000 DVD’s are returned every day and most of
  those never reach the shelves, but are immediately returned to
  circulation.
• Product Development – Although Netflix has a significant movie
  and television library they focus on quality over quantity as a
  method to differentiate themselves from Amazon
• Human Resources – between hiring and firing the HR system keeps
  itself busy through a series of performance reviews that are integral
  in their efforts to meet the corporate goals for finding the best
  human capital
• Recommendation Algorithm – Like Google or Amazon, Netflix relies
  on their recommendation algorithm and are constantly working to
  improve the system
Shared Values
• Corporate Culture
  –   Values are what we value
  –   High performance
  –   Freedom & responsibility
  –   Context, not control
  –   Highly aligned, loosely coupled
  –   Pay top of market
  –   Promotions & development
• Values
  – Judgment, Communication, Impact, Curiosity,
    Innovation, Courage, Passion, Honesty, Selflessness
Predictions
•   New CMO
•   Eradication of DVD delivery
•   New partnerships (because of the loss of Starz)
•   New CEO, Hastings will become chairman only
•   New CCO or additional communications/PR talent
•   They will attempt “Qwikster-esque” business
    again or have a wholesale sell off of their DVD
    operations
Moving Forward
• Competition is catching up, as streaming video
  becomes the norm, more and more people
  will look outside of Netflix, How will they
  react?
  – Blockbuster focuses primarily on DVD’s, but could
    expand
  – Redbox
  – Redbox/Verizon partnership
KIQ Answers
• What actions will Netflix take to address the
  issues surrounding reputation, pricing, and
  service offerings?
  – New CMO
  – Additional communications/PR talent
  – Online only service with the consistent $7.99 price
  – The addition of Original content and new
    partnerships
Sources
•   www.netflix.com
•   http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reed_Hastings
•   http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netflix
•   Fleisher, Craig S.; Bensoussan, Babette E. (2007-02-27). Business and Competitive Analysis: Effective Application of New and
    Classic Methods (Kindle Locations 5367-5369). Pearson Education (USA). Kindle Edition.
•   Sean Campbell’s course on Competitive Intelligence at Willamette University and associated materials
•   Netflix annual reports. http://ir.netflix.com/secfiling.cfm?filingID=1193125-12-53009&CIK=1065280
•   Netflix Investor Relations. http://ir.netflix.com/stockquote.cfm
•   http://paidcontent.org/2011/09/24/how-blockbuster-netflix-hulu-and-amazon-stack-up/
•   http://techcrunch.com/2009/08/05/other-companies-should-have-to-read-this-internal-netflix-presentation/
•   http://static.slidesharecdn.com/swf/ssplayer2.swf?doc=culture9-090801103430-phpapp02&rel=0&stripped_title=culture-
    1798664
•   www.linkedin.com/company/netflix
•   www.facebook.com/netflix
•   http://blog.netflix.com/
•   http://blog.netflix.com/
•   www.twitter.com/netflix
•   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K3GzO2_NFfQ
•   Glassdoor.com
•   http://siteanalytics.compete.com/netflix.com/
•   http://www.quora.com/Netflix
•   My Google Reader
•   My Google Alerts

Netflix competitive landscape

  • 1.
    Netflix: a CompetitiveLandscape 100% 50% 10% Prepared by: Denton Bayles For: Sean Campbell CI Spring 2012
  • 2.
    Executive Summary • Netflix, a leader in the video streaming and rental industry, in the third quarter of 2011 lost 800k subscribers and their stock price dropped nearly 500%. How was the company going to respond to this radical stock drop, lost of customers, and the poor PR? • The following competitive landscape uses the McKinsey 7S framework to identify Netflix’s strengths and weaknesses in the following areas: structure, strategy, skills, staff, style, systems, and shared values. • The results of the McKinsey 7S framework are that Netflix has set up an ideal corporate structure for flexibility. Their long term strategy has always been to dominate the video rental market (changing over time from DVD’s to streaming). However, they have struggled to fit their short term strategy seamlessly into their long term strategy with mistakes such as Qwikster. They have competencies in their library size, recommendation algorithm, original content, partnerships, and IT infrastructure. Their weaknesses lie in marketing/PR, short term strategy, customer service, original content, and partnerships. Original content and partnerships are included in both strengths and weaknesses due to the fact that the original content will be liked and hated on both sides and partnership with one firm means that you did not partner with another. The staff is strong in computer science, computer engineering, and economics; but, lacking in marketing and PR. They are talented and come from schools such as Stanford and Wharton and the staff in general are well compensated. The Netflix style is to find the very best employees and weed out those employees who are merely adequate. They give their employees freedom to be creative and work as they need. Netflix relies on operations, product development, human resources, and recommendation algorithm systems for their day-to-day success. Finally, Netflix has a shared set of values that form their company culture. They divide them into seven sets: values are what we value, high performance, freedom and responsibility, context – not control, highly aligned – loosely coupled, pay top of market, promotions and development. Their most important values are judgment, communication, impact, curiosity, innovation, courage, passion, honesty, selflessness. These are the values that on the corporate level keep the organization on path. • In the future I expect to see Netflix hire a permanent CMO, eradicate their DVD delivery service, form new partnerships, bring in a new CEO with Hastings reverting to Chairman only, a new CCO or additional communications/PR talent, another Qwikster-like experiment or the wholesale fire sale of their DVD equipment. • Additional research would involve their competitors. They need to understand what Blockbuster, Redbox, and Verizon are going to do in the future.
  • 3.
    Overview • Netflix – Delivers streaming video content and DVD delivery services. – Instantly watch as many TV episodes & movies as you want for only $7.99 a month. – Established in Los Gatos, CA in 1997 – IPO May 2002 – 2011, 26 million worldwide subscribers and $3.2B in revenue • A $1B increase over 2010 despite the 3rd quarter loss of 800k subscribers and which still resulted in 6.2 million new subscriptions
  • 4.
    Financial Overview • The plummet of their stock price in July 2011 with the announcement of changes to subscription fees, the cancellation of Starz, and the announcement of Qwikster resulted in a stock price drop of nearly 500% over the course of 4 months. • Hasting’s announces he will not resign, “this is the first time there have been material missteps. If you look at the cumulative track record, it's extremely positive."
  • 5.
  • 6.
    KIQ • What actionswill Netflix take to address the issues surrounding reputation, pricing, and service offerings?
  • 7.
    Sources • Netflix.com • Wikipedia.org • Business and Competitive Analysis: Effective Application of New and Classic Methods • Sean Campbell’s course on Competitive Intelligence and associated materials • Netflix annual reports • Paidcontent.org • Techcrunch.com • Slideshare.com • Linkedin.com • Facebook.com • Netflix blog • Twitter.com • Glassdoor.com • Compete.com • Quora.com • My Google Reader • My Google Alerts
  • 8.
    Methodology 1. Choose competitor a. Chose Netflix because I was intrigued by how they were going to try to fix their business. 2. Choose KIQ(s) 3. Choose framework a) McKinsey 7S chosen because it allows for hard and soft data. 4. Collect data 5. Synthesize the data 6. Make predictions 7. Future monitoring
  • 9.
    McKinsey 7S • “Itis a management tool designed to facilitate the process of strategy implementation within the context of organizational change.” -Fleisher
  • 10.
  • 11.
    Structure Cont. • Netflixis divided into six major functions and legal with the CEO retaining centralized decision making authority over the six major function areas. • The structure is a flat structure that is designed to help Netflix meet its desire for flexibility
  • 12.
    Strategy • Current mainstrategic goal is to become a streaming only service – The Qwikster experiment was a failure; It showed Netflix that the switch to online only would be difficult to do without sacrificing their customer base – The online only strategy of the company has been “on again, off again.” After their move to originally bring the services together they are proving difficult to separate. – Develop original content in the mold of a “Mad Men” like show to market as an exclusive and draw more people to the service – PAC – Netflix is showing their need for a free internet by forming their own PAC in response to SOPA/PIPA
  • 13.
    Skills Strengths Gaps Significant library (100,000+ movies & TV) Marketing / Public Relations Recommendation Algorithm (75% of Making their short term strategy consistent viewing done based on recommendations) with their long term strategy Original Content Customer Service Partnerships (most major studios) Original content* IT infrastructure Partnerships* Is it true that Netflix divides subscribers into 10 groups and assigns each group to an internal team that competes to boost loyalty metrics of that group? “There aren't 10 groups, however every subscriber might be allocated to a differential experience in a particular area - for example, a variant of a recommendation algorithm, a different search results presentation, a different web UI, a streaming experience that starts a second faster with lower bitrate prior to upshifting to the highest quality their connection will support, etc. The terminology is that each customer is assigned to one test cell in each test, usually the default or "control" test cell. There are typically a few hundred tests running concurrently, and a customer picked at random would likely have a differential experience in more than 1 but less than 10 of the different tests, all assigned randomly.” – Neil Hunt, CPO via Quora
  • 14.
    Staff • Reed Hastings– CEO – MSCS from Stanford – Has a trend as a long term CEO. 14 years with Netflix and 7 years with his only previous CEO post at Pure Atria Software. • Jesse Becker – Interim CMO – BS in Economics from Wharton – MBA from Stanford – Previously worked for Amazon and Oracle – Expertise primarily in acquisition channels – With Netflix since 2000
  • 15.
    Staff Cont. • JonathanFriedland - CCO – MS Economics from London School of Economics – Worked previously for Walt Disney Company and the Wall Street Journal – Experience as a SVP with WDC and a foreign correspondent/editor • Neil Hunt – CPO – PhDCS from University of Aberdeen, UK – Worked previously as Director of Engineering for Rational Software and at Netflix as VP of Engineering – In his current post at Netflix since 2002.
  • 16.
    Staff Cont. • DavidWells – CFO – MBA/MPP University of Chicago – BS Accounting University of Virginia – Previously worked for Deloitte Consulting – Has been with Netflix since 2004 as Director of Operations Planning & Analysis and VP of Financial Planning & Analysis
  • 17.
  • 18.
    Staff Review • Manyof the Chief Executives share history – Reed Hastings was CEO of Pure Atria Software which was acquired by Rational Software. – Most of the Chief Executives worked at one of these two companies • Most of the Chief Executives have been with Netflix over 10 years • Compensation – strong focus on paying high enough salaries to keep top performers at the company, focused primarily on salary as opposed to stock options or bonuses • Talent – the resumes of Netflix’s employees boast of Stanford, Wharton, Harvard, etc. • Strengths in computer science, computer engineering, and economics • Weak in Marketing and PR – Recently released their CMO who had been at the company for 12 years – CCO is a journalist with experience in a different industry
  • 19.
  • 20.
    Style Review • Despitethe performance driven, competitive culture; Netflix insists that “cutthroat” or “sink or swim” behaviors are not tolerated • There is a stress on the importance of creative performance, but how do you define creative performance? • Walk the talk – Most of the Chief Executives have been with the company for over ten years, but they did recently “I have worked for Reed for twelve years at Netflix, and I believe the remove their CMO and CFO culture deck is as accurate a document as we can create in describing our culture” – John Ciancutti, VP of Engineering via Quora
  • 21.
    Systems • Operations –For their DVD service the warehouse holds over 26 million DVD’s. 100,000 DVD’s are returned every day and most of those never reach the shelves, but are immediately returned to circulation. • Product Development – Although Netflix has a significant movie and television library they focus on quality over quantity as a method to differentiate themselves from Amazon • Human Resources – between hiring and firing the HR system keeps itself busy through a series of performance reviews that are integral in their efforts to meet the corporate goals for finding the best human capital • Recommendation Algorithm – Like Google or Amazon, Netflix relies on their recommendation algorithm and are constantly working to improve the system
  • 22.
    Shared Values • CorporateCulture – Values are what we value – High performance – Freedom & responsibility – Context, not control – Highly aligned, loosely coupled – Pay top of market – Promotions & development • Values – Judgment, Communication, Impact, Curiosity, Innovation, Courage, Passion, Honesty, Selflessness
  • 23.
    Predictions • New CMO • Eradication of DVD delivery • New partnerships (because of the loss of Starz) • New CEO, Hastings will become chairman only • New CCO or additional communications/PR talent • They will attempt “Qwikster-esque” business again or have a wholesale sell off of their DVD operations
  • 24.
    Moving Forward • Competitionis catching up, as streaming video becomes the norm, more and more people will look outside of Netflix, How will they react? – Blockbuster focuses primarily on DVD’s, but could expand – Redbox – Redbox/Verizon partnership
  • 25.
    KIQ Answers • Whatactions will Netflix take to address the issues surrounding reputation, pricing, and service offerings? – New CMO – Additional communications/PR talent – Online only service with the consistent $7.99 price – The addition of Original content and new partnerships
  • 26.
    Sources • www.netflix.com • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reed_Hastings • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netflix • Fleisher, Craig S.; Bensoussan, Babette E. (2007-02-27). Business and Competitive Analysis: Effective Application of New and Classic Methods (Kindle Locations 5367-5369). Pearson Education (USA). Kindle Edition. • Sean Campbell’s course on Competitive Intelligence at Willamette University and associated materials • Netflix annual reports. http://ir.netflix.com/secfiling.cfm?filingID=1193125-12-53009&CIK=1065280 • Netflix Investor Relations. http://ir.netflix.com/stockquote.cfm • http://paidcontent.org/2011/09/24/how-blockbuster-netflix-hulu-and-amazon-stack-up/ • http://techcrunch.com/2009/08/05/other-companies-should-have-to-read-this-internal-netflix-presentation/ • http://static.slidesharecdn.com/swf/ssplayer2.swf?doc=culture9-090801103430-phpapp02&rel=0&stripped_title=culture- 1798664 • www.linkedin.com/company/netflix • www.facebook.com/netflix • http://blog.netflix.com/ • http://blog.netflix.com/ • www.twitter.com/netflix • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K3GzO2_NFfQ • Glassdoor.com • http://siteanalytics.compete.com/netflix.com/ • http://www.quora.com/Netflix • My Google Reader • My Google Alerts