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Unit-2
Levels of Information System
• Transaction Processing System
• Management Information System
• Executive Support Systems
• Decision Support System
• Expert Systems
Transaction Processing System
• Basic systems for operational level managers
• Routine and daily transactions
• They are detailed
• Example Sales- item purchased, quantity purchased,
price, customer who purchased
• Example Order placed to supplier, Supplier name, Product, quantity,
delivery time, etc
Transaction Processing System
• They are online and current
• Example Online reservation system
• Example-Sale at retail center can be tracked recorded by
scanner as long as its online
Management Information System
• These cater to need of middle level managers
• They are periodic
• Processed in batches (month or quarter)
• They are summary of transactions for a period
• Need not be online or current
Management Information System
• They are in the form of reports
• Incentive to salesman
• How much sale has he got-should we give him incentive?
• Comparison between periods of time
• Has sales increased or decrease; analyse why?
• Does this product need promotional push?
• Comparison between sales in regions
Executive Support System
• Used by senior level of managers
• CEO, Board of Directors
• Involve long term and strategic issues
• Affect the organization for 5-10 years, long periods of time
• If benefit, reap for long period of time
Executive Support System
• They are external oriented
• Example-Air India Divestment on hold
• Match with changes in external environment
• Eg: If I am losing market share, is new competitor in market?
• They are graphical to reflect trends (no details, no summary)
Decision Support Systems
• Any system that supports a decision
• DSS is an integrated system
• That combines data, models
• And interactive user-friendly software
• Into a single system under user control
• Custom built for specific occasion /application
DSS (cont)
• Uses analytical models
• Undertakes ‘what if analysis’
• They are interactive
• Example Impact of reduction in supplier base on
• Price, delivery time, reliability of supplier
• Supplier-10, Per supplier 100 units, Total-1000 units
• Supplier-2, each get 500 units
DSS (cont)
• Example How does change in size of package of box
• Affect other products the company produces
• -In terms of shipping
• -In terms of display shelf in the store
DSS (cont)
• What if analysis-
• Seeing how changes to one variable affect other variable
• If cut advt by 10%, what would happen to sales
• Sensitivity analysis-
• How repeated changes to a single variable affect other variables
• Cut advt by $100 repeatedly so see its relationship with sales
DSS (cont)
• Goal seeking analysis-
• Making repeated changes to selected variables until a chosen variable reaches a
target value
• Let’s try increase in advt until sales reach $ 1 million
• Optimization analysis-
• Finding an optimum value for selected variables, given certain constraints
• What is best amount of advt, given budget & choice of media
Expert System
Expert System
• Knowledge-based information system
• It uses knowledge about specific application area
• To act as an expert consultant to end users
• Answer questions in a very specific problem area
Expert Systems
• It makes human-like inferences about knowledge
• Contained in a specialized knowledge base
• Explain reasoning process & also conclusions to user
• It is form of advice from an expert consultant in a specific area
• Computer programs that emulate human behavior
• Computer programs that mimic human expertise
Uses of Expert Systems
• Various Scientific use
• Oil Drilling
• Geological Survey
• Medical Science
Examples
• Dendral: To identify structure of chemical compound
• Prospector: To identify sites for drilling or mining
• Knife: Knowledge and Information Fusion Exchange
• Soldiers in US made right military decisions
• Mycin: Large expert from medical science
Expert System- Mycin
• Developed in 1970s by Stanford University
• Consultative advice on bacterial infection in blood
• And Meningitis
• Response of physicians interpreted to diagnose the disease
• Experts Systems helped to diagnose disease
History of Development
• Expert system are from research in AI
• Provide information on how to analyze problems
• And develop search strategies for its solution
History of Development
• Three stages of development
• Natural Language Processing
• Robotics
• Expert systems
Stages of Development
• Natural Language Processing
• Design and development of computer programs
• That understand & respond in languages
• Commonly known by humans-COBOL, FORTRAN
Stages of Development
• Robotics:
• Visual and tactile programs
• That note changes in the environment and react
• Dull dirty dangerous; complex boring routine
• Example: Japan restaurant
• Stacking boxes in warehouse
Stages of Development
• Expert systems:
• Emulate human expertise
• Domain specific knowledge
• Uses reasoning strategy that humans do
Types of Expert System
• Assistant: First Level
• Robots, Physical work
• Colleague: Second Level
• Expert systems, Mental work, Works in consultation
• True Expert: Third Level
• Work independently
Components of Expert System
• Knowledge Base: Components of knowledge related to specific domain of
expertise
Fact: statements that associate elements of subject domain with truth values-age,
sex, EPS
Procedural Rules: well defined sequence of actions to events in a specific domain
Heuristics: hunch, thumb rules
Components (cont)
• Inference Engine:
• Access the knowledge base
• Uses the knowledge stored therein
• Uses search strategies within itself and arrives at a solution
• IE processes the knowledge related to a specific problem
• It then makes association & inferences
• And recommends a course of action
Components (cont)
• User Interface:
• Software program needed
• To communicate with user
• Explanation subsystem within it
• Describes the reasoning strategy
Features
• Works with Incomplete Information:
Headache-where, frequency, associated symptoms
• Works on Consultation:
Query is made
• Uses an Inference Strategy:
Sequence of steps, events
Benefits
• Captures expertise:
• Captures expertise of an expert or a group of experts
• Outperforms:
• Outperforms a single human expert
• Faster and more consistent:
• Faster and more consistent than human expert
Benefits
• Knowledge of several experts
• Can have knowledge of several experts
• Tired or distracted or stressed
• Does not get tired or distracted or stressed
• Preserve and reproduce knowledge
• Can preserve and reproduce knowledge of an expert
Limitations
• Limited focus
• Inability to learn on its own (unlike human expert)
• Maintenance problem
• High development costs
• Only solves specific types of problems in a limited domain
• Fail when broad knowledge base & subjective problem solving
Development of Expert Systems
• Rule Based Knowledge
• Case Based Reasoning
• Forward Chaining
• Backward Chaining
Rule Based Knowledge
• Knowledge is represented in form of rules & statement of facts
• It is a set of ‘If’ (condition) and ‘Then’ (conclusions)
• Its like a decision tree
• Series of questions and answers
Case Based Reasoning
• Represents knowledge in the form of cases
• Examples of past performance, occurrences & experience
• Similar cases, problems and solutions
• Example-Maruti had a Union problem, we did this, it worked
Forward & Backward Chaining
• Forward Chaining is data driven
• Starts with facts and works towards conclusion
• Backward Chaining is goal driven
• Starts with goals and works backwards supporting facts
Participants & Languages
• Domain Expert:
• Person whose knowledge is being captured
• Knowledge Engineering:
• Person trained in design, development, implementation & maintenance of expert system
• Knowledge User: Person or group who benefit
Languages Used
Languages Used:
• Lisp-List Processing
• Prologue-Programming in Logic
Limited Use in Management
• Skeptical Attitude
• Fear of Replacement
• Wait & See Attitude
• Success Stories
• Frequent Updation
• End of Slides
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MIS Unit-2.pptx

  • 2. Levels of Information System • Transaction Processing System • Management Information System • Executive Support Systems • Decision Support System • Expert Systems
  • 3. Transaction Processing System • Basic systems for operational level managers • Routine and daily transactions • They are detailed • Example Sales- item purchased, quantity purchased, price, customer who purchased • Example Order placed to supplier, Supplier name, Product, quantity, delivery time, etc
  • 4. Transaction Processing System • They are online and current • Example Online reservation system • Example-Sale at retail center can be tracked recorded by scanner as long as its online
  • 5. Management Information System • These cater to need of middle level managers • They are periodic • Processed in batches (month or quarter) • They are summary of transactions for a period • Need not be online or current
  • 6. Management Information System • They are in the form of reports • Incentive to salesman • How much sale has he got-should we give him incentive? • Comparison between periods of time • Has sales increased or decrease; analyse why? • Does this product need promotional push? • Comparison between sales in regions
  • 7. Executive Support System • Used by senior level of managers • CEO, Board of Directors • Involve long term and strategic issues • Affect the organization for 5-10 years, long periods of time • If benefit, reap for long period of time
  • 8. Executive Support System • They are external oriented • Example-Air India Divestment on hold • Match with changes in external environment • Eg: If I am losing market share, is new competitor in market? • They are graphical to reflect trends (no details, no summary)
  • 9. Decision Support Systems • Any system that supports a decision • DSS is an integrated system • That combines data, models • And interactive user-friendly software • Into a single system under user control • Custom built for specific occasion /application
  • 10. DSS (cont) • Uses analytical models • Undertakes ‘what if analysis’ • They are interactive • Example Impact of reduction in supplier base on • Price, delivery time, reliability of supplier • Supplier-10, Per supplier 100 units, Total-1000 units • Supplier-2, each get 500 units
  • 11. DSS (cont) • Example How does change in size of package of box • Affect other products the company produces • -In terms of shipping • -In terms of display shelf in the store
  • 12. DSS (cont) • What if analysis- • Seeing how changes to one variable affect other variable • If cut advt by 10%, what would happen to sales • Sensitivity analysis- • How repeated changes to a single variable affect other variables • Cut advt by $100 repeatedly so see its relationship with sales
  • 13. DSS (cont) • Goal seeking analysis- • Making repeated changes to selected variables until a chosen variable reaches a target value • Let’s try increase in advt until sales reach $ 1 million • Optimization analysis- • Finding an optimum value for selected variables, given certain constraints • What is best amount of advt, given budget & choice of media
  • 15. Expert System • Knowledge-based information system • It uses knowledge about specific application area • To act as an expert consultant to end users • Answer questions in a very specific problem area
  • 16. Expert Systems • It makes human-like inferences about knowledge • Contained in a specialized knowledge base • Explain reasoning process & also conclusions to user • It is form of advice from an expert consultant in a specific area • Computer programs that emulate human behavior • Computer programs that mimic human expertise
  • 17. Uses of Expert Systems • Various Scientific use • Oil Drilling • Geological Survey • Medical Science
  • 18. Examples • Dendral: To identify structure of chemical compound • Prospector: To identify sites for drilling or mining • Knife: Knowledge and Information Fusion Exchange • Soldiers in US made right military decisions • Mycin: Large expert from medical science
  • 19. Expert System- Mycin • Developed in 1970s by Stanford University • Consultative advice on bacterial infection in blood • And Meningitis • Response of physicians interpreted to diagnose the disease • Experts Systems helped to diagnose disease
  • 20. History of Development • Expert system are from research in AI • Provide information on how to analyze problems • And develop search strategies for its solution
  • 21. History of Development • Three stages of development • Natural Language Processing • Robotics • Expert systems
  • 22. Stages of Development • Natural Language Processing • Design and development of computer programs • That understand & respond in languages • Commonly known by humans-COBOL, FORTRAN
  • 23. Stages of Development • Robotics: • Visual and tactile programs • That note changes in the environment and react • Dull dirty dangerous; complex boring routine • Example: Japan restaurant • Stacking boxes in warehouse
  • 24. Stages of Development • Expert systems: • Emulate human expertise • Domain specific knowledge • Uses reasoning strategy that humans do
  • 25. Types of Expert System • Assistant: First Level • Robots, Physical work • Colleague: Second Level • Expert systems, Mental work, Works in consultation • True Expert: Third Level • Work independently
  • 26. Components of Expert System • Knowledge Base: Components of knowledge related to specific domain of expertise Fact: statements that associate elements of subject domain with truth values-age, sex, EPS Procedural Rules: well defined sequence of actions to events in a specific domain Heuristics: hunch, thumb rules
  • 27. Components (cont) • Inference Engine: • Access the knowledge base • Uses the knowledge stored therein • Uses search strategies within itself and arrives at a solution • IE processes the knowledge related to a specific problem • It then makes association & inferences • And recommends a course of action
  • 28. Components (cont) • User Interface: • Software program needed • To communicate with user • Explanation subsystem within it • Describes the reasoning strategy
  • 29. Features • Works with Incomplete Information: Headache-where, frequency, associated symptoms • Works on Consultation: Query is made • Uses an Inference Strategy: Sequence of steps, events
  • 30. Benefits • Captures expertise: • Captures expertise of an expert or a group of experts • Outperforms: • Outperforms a single human expert • Faster and more consistent: • Faster and more consistent than human expert
  • 31. Benefits • Knowledge of several experts • Can have knowledge of several experts • Tired or distracted or stressed • Does not get tired or distracted or stressed • Preserve and reproduce knowledge • Can preserve and reproduce knowledge of an expert
  • 32. Limitations • Limited focus • Inability to learn on its own (unlike human expert) • Maintenance problem • High development costs • Only solves specific types of problems in a limited domain • Fail when broad knowledge base & subjective problem solving
  • 33. Development of Expert Systems • Rule Based Knowledge • Case Based Reasoning • Forward Chaining • Backward Chaining
  • 34.
  • 35. Rule Based Knowledge • Knowledge is represented in form of rules & statement of facts • It is a set of ‘If’ (condition) and ‘Then’ (conclusions) • Its like a decision tree • Series of questions and answers
  • 36. Case Based Reasoning • Represents knowledge in the form of cases • Examples of past performance, occurrences & experience • Similar cases, problems and solutions • Example-Maruti had a Union problem, we did this, it worked
  • 37. Forward & Backward Chaining • Forward Chaining is data driven • Starts with facts and works towards conclusion • Backward Chaining is goal driven • Starts with goals and works backwards supporting facts
  • 38. Participants & Languages • Domain Expert: • Person whose knowledge is being captured • Knowledge Engineering: • Person trained in design, development, implementation & maintenance of expert system • Knowledge User: Person or group who benefit
  • 39. Languages Used Languages Used: • Lisp-List Processing • Prologue-Programming in Logic
  • 40. Limited Use in Management • Skeptical Attitude • Fear of Replacement • Wait & See Attitude • Success Stories • Frequent Updation
  • 41. • End of Slides