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TTIP, AGRIFOOD TRADE AND
REGULATORY COHERENCE
Alan Matthews
alan.matthews@tcd.ie
Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Presentation to GMCC-15, 7th International Conference on
Coexistence between Genetically Modified (GM) and non-
GM based Agricultural Supply Chains,
Amsterdam,November 17-20, 2015
1
Many previous initiatives…
2
… leading to the launch of TTIP in June 2013
TTIP state of play
• Feb 2013 President Obama announces start of negotiations in
State of the Union message
• Feb 2013 HLWG final report recommends launch of
negotiations on a comprehensive trade and investment
agreement
• June 2013 Negotiations launched at G8 Summit in Northern
Ireland
• 11 negotiating rounds to date with 12th planned for Jan/Feb
2016
3
Proposed structure of TTIP
• 24 chapters grouped in three pillars
• Market access
• Goods, agriculture, services including e-commerce, public procurement,
rules of origin
• Regulatory cooperation
• Chapters on regulatory co-operation/coherence, TBT, SPS, and nine
sectoral annexes (including one on pesticides)
• Regulatory cooperation discussions are led by the regulators from the EU
and the US.
• Rules
• Sustainable development including labour and environment, trade
facilitation, competition, energy, raw materials, state owned enterprises,
subsidies, SMEs, investment protection, intellectual property protection,
dispute settlement, among others
4
Agrifood tariffs faced by US and EU exporters,
2010/2011
MFN average of
traded tariff lines
Trade-weighted
Duty-free imports
WTO Tariff Profiles 2011 Simple Trade-
weighted
Tariff lines
%
Value %
Average tariff faced by EU
agrifood imports to US
7.1 2.2 23.9 47.1
Average tariff faced by US
agrifood imports to EU
16.9 5.7 14.7 46.9
CEPII MAcMap 2010 Applied protection Share tariff peaks (AVE
> 15%)
Average tariff faced by EU
agrifood imports to US
6.4 6.5
Average tariff faced by US
agrifood imports to EU
12.9 28.7
5
Source: WTO World Tariff Profiles; Disdier, Emlinger and Fouré 2015
Tariff negotiations
• Second tariff offers now exchanged by both sides
• Tariff outcomes should be at least as ambitious as in the CETA
agreement (on the EU side) and the TPP agreement (on the US
side)
• Eliminating agricultural tariffs (or opening larger TRQs for
sensitive products) would certainly be beneficial
• However, all agree that the main action in these negotiations is
around non-tariff measures (NTMs) including EU demand for
recognition of particular Geographical Indications (GIs)
6
Differences in regulatory approaches
• US and EU share basic mandate to achieve a high level of food
safety and consumer protection
• EU General Food Law 2002
• US Food Safety Modernization Act 2011
• Both laws contain many similarities in approach…
• ..but cultural, political and institutional differences between
the US and EU continue to result in different perceptions of risk
and thus different regulatory outcomes
7
SPS high-profile issues
• Beef hormones
• Beta agonists e.g. ractopamine in pork
• Biotechnology
• Pathogen reduction treatments
• US dairy standards (Grade A Pasteurized Milk Ordinance)
• Proposed changes to EU pesticide regulations which would
ban substances classified as endocrine disruptors and set
default low MRLs
• Antibiotics in animal feed
• Cloning restrictions
8
Significance of agrifood NTMs
(ad valorem equivalent)
ECORYS (2009) US EU
Processed foods (food & beverages) 73% 57%
Disdier, Emlinger and Fouré (2015)
Agri-food product 36% 40%
9
NTMs in a modern society
• Governments rely on NTMs to achieve public policy goals,
including the protection of human health and the environment
– the fact that trade is affected is a normal and legitimate
consequence of such regulation.
• On the other hand, NTMs may be used to shield domestic
producers from foreign competitors, or they may be
unnecessarily trade restrictive.
10
NTMs in a modern society
• To trade economists, NTMs are perceived as a distortion.
• “As much as 80% of the total potential gains come from cutting costs
imposed by bureaucracy and regulations, as well as from liberalising
trade in services and public procurement” (CEPR, 2013).
• By ignoring market imperfections, welfare is found to increase when
NTMs are reduced and trade expands
• Taking account of consumer welfare, the optimal degree of
regulation is not zero (Beghin et al., 2012, Beghin et al., 2015)
• Increasing compatibility of NTMs across trading nations is a
clear gain
11
Previous efforts at regulatory convergence
• Previous efforts have had limited success
• 1995 New Transatlantic Agenda
• formalizing regulatory cooperation agreements in virtually all areas of economic
regulation through a Joint EU-US Action Plan outlining over 150 specific areas of
cooperation
• 2002 Guidelines for Regulatory Cooperation and Transparency agreed to
encourage US and EU agencies to consult each other on a regular basis
• 2004 Roadmap for EU-US regulatory Cooperation and Transparency
• 2005 High-Level Regulatory Cooperation Forum set up
• Some successes in the agri-food area
• Veterinary Equivalence Agreement (1998)
• Wine Agreement (2006)
• Organic Equivalence Agreement (2012)
• Key issues
• How would an agreement affect EU decision-making on SPS and TBT issues?
• What enforcement mechanism would be available?
12
Over-dramatised claims …
• TTIP was going to be an ambitious agreement, intended to
remove non-tariff barriers to trade
• Karel de Gucht: “the purpose is ‘to create an internal market
between the US and the EU’ ”
• The US and EU would agree on harmonised standards and rules
which would become the gold standard for the rest of the
world
• All this would be completed “on one tank of gas”, with de
Gucht expressing the hope that negotiations might be wrapped
up by end of 2014
13
…brought an inevitable counter-reaction
• Civil society groups
mounted an energetic
campaign to discredit TTIP
• Fears focused on the
regulatory agenda and
ISDS, fanned by allegations
of lack of transparency
• Concerns about ‘race to
the bottom’ and
‘regulatory chill’
• And that regulatory rules
would be decided by trade
officials
14
Source: Eurobarometer
15
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
LT
MT
RO
IE
PL
BG
DK
EL
CY
SE
EE
ES
HR
HU
NL
UK
CZ
LV
PT
IT
FI
EU28
SK
BE
FR
SI
LU
DE
AT
Percent in favour of TTIP agreement,
2015
Source: Eurobarometer, Spring 2015
Models of international regulatory cooperation
• A hierarchy of models (OECD, 2013)
• Agreement on information exchange
• Agreement to adopt good regulatory practice
• Mutual recognition of testing and conformity assessment
procedures while maintaining separate standards
• Recognition of equivalence of each other’s standards:
• Mutual recognition of different standards as providing the
same level of health, safety or environmental protection.
• Harmonisation of standards, meaning that two countries
agree to adopt the same standards.
16
The WTO baseline – SPS and TBTAgreements
• SPS Agreement
• Recognises right to implement SPS standards but seeks to minimize
negative effects on trade
• Contains obligations on good regulatory practice, including that measures
should be based on scientific principles.
• Allows for (encourages) recognition of mutual equivalence.
• Encourages harmonisation based on international standards.
• Contains information sharing obligations
• TBT Agreement
• Recognizes countries’ rights to adopt the standards they consider
appropriate
• Standards should not be more restrictive of trade than necessary
• Encourages use of international standards
• Encourages transparency and information sharing
17
EU draft text on regulatory cooperation
• Recognise “the importance of regulation to achieve public
policy objectives, and their right to regulate”
• Regulatory practice: emphasis on providing opportunities for
public involvement, obliging agencies to take into account the
regulatory approaches of the other Party, requiring
consultations
• Encouraging greater regulatory compatibility through joint
examination “provided mutual benefits can be realised without
compromising the achievement of legitimate public policy
objectives” (Art. 10)
• Establish Regulatory Cooperation Body
18
EU draft text on SPS+ chapter
• Import checks Art 8: Parties would recognise each other’s
competent authorities
• Art 9 deals with recognising equivalence of different standards
and contains [Annex] detailing equivalent measures
• Animal welfare Art. 17 requires parties “to respect trade
conditions for live animals and animal products that are aimed
to protect their welfare”, to collaborate on research and
exchange information
• Provides a framework for dialogue and cooperation
19
TTP Chapter 25 Regulatory coherence
• Affirms importance of “the role that regulation plays in
achieving public policy objectives”
• Defines regulatory coherence as the use of good regulatory
practices in establishing regulations and enhancing regulatory
cooperation across governments
• Limits scope to covered measures, i.e. those which are notified
by the Parties
• Sets out standards for good regulatory practice
• Establishes a Committee on Regulatory Cooperation to review
implementation and to consider future priorities.
• All of this chapter is excluded from the dispute settlement
procedures of the agreement.
20
TTP Chapter 7 on SPS Measures
• Objective, inter alia, to “protect human, animal or plant life or health
in the territories of the Parties while facilitating and expanding trade
by utilising a variety of means to address and seek to resolve sanitary
and phytosanitary issues”
• Equivalence: Goes beyond SPS Agreement by specifying the steps a
Party must take when a request for recognition is received
• Precaution: Less prescriptive than the SPS Agreement
• Risk assessment: SPS measures should be based on science but goes
no further than the SPS Agreement
• Import checks: requires clear information on what is required
• Information exchange: Including an SPS Committee
• Neither decisions on equivalence nor risk assessment can be subject
to TPP dispute settlement
21
TTPArticle 2.29 on ‘trade in products of modern
[agricultural] biotechnology’
• 11 Paragraphs
• 1 + 4. “The Parties confirm the importance of transparency,
cooperation and exchanging information related to the trade of
products of modern biotechnology. “
• 2. “Nothing in this Article shall prevent a Party from adopting
measures in accordance with its rights and obligations under
the WTO Agreements or other provisions of this Agreement.”
• 3. “Nothing in this Article shall require a Party to adopt or
modify its laws, regulations, and policies for the control of
products of modern biotechnology within its territory.”
• 5-11 How to address LLP occurrences through information
exchange and a standing committee
22
Trade rules and regulatory autonomy
• Parties agree regulatory decisions “subject to their respective
applicable internal requirements and procedures” (CETA)
• But what about state-to-state dispute settlement?
• Could the US rely on a TTIP provision to overturn an EU
regulation it felt was inconsistent with its obligations?
• Where a Party is found in breach of its obligations, it is
required, whenever possible, to eliminate the non-conformity
• In the event of non-implementation, the complaining Party is
entitled to compensation and may suspend benefits
23
Trade rules and regulatory autonomy
• Could a private party rely on TTIP commitments to overturn an
EU regulation?
• ECJ provisions indicate that some limited elements of international
agreements can have direct effect in EU law
• In signing recent bilateral FTAs, e.g. Korea, Columbia Peru, the Council
added provisions specifying that “The Agreement shall not be construed
as conferring rights or imposing obligations which can be directly invoked
before Union or Member State courts and tribunals.”
• CETA Article 14.14 ‘Nothing in this Agreement shall be construed as
conferring rights or imposing obligations on persons other than those
created between the Parties under public international law, nor as
permitting this Agreement to be directly invoked in the domestic legal
systems of the Parties.’
•
24
Much ado about nothing?
• The Shakespearean parallel
• A reading of the available texts suggests little immediate
change in EU or US SPS regulations…
• … and therefore limited immediate gains from regulatory
cooperation
• … even if worth making the effort for the potential gains
• ... However, expectations for a ‘living agreement’ weakened by
hesitant responses of the regulatory agencies
• Political assurances on retaining key EU regulations
• Implications for ratification
• May enhance the chances for ratification on the EU side of the Atlantic
• But likely to reduce the chances for ratification on the US side
25

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Matthews ttip presentation gmcc nov 2015 final

  • 1. TTIP, AGRIFOOD TRADE AND REGULATORY COHERENCE Alan Matthews alan.matthews@tcd.ie Trinity College Dublin, Ireland Presentation to GMCC-15, 7th International Conference on Coexistence between Genetically Modified (GM) and non- GM based Agricultural Supply Chains, Amsterdam,November 17-20, 2015 1
  • 2. Many previous initiatives… 2 … leading to the launch of TTIP in June 2013
  • 3. TTIP state of play • Feb 2013 President Obama announces start of negotiations in State of the Union message • Feb 2013 HLWG final report recommends launch of negotiations on a comprehensive trade and investment agreement • June 2013 Negotiations launched at G8 Summit in Northern Ireland • 11 negotiating rounds to date with 12th planned for Jan/Feb 2016 3
  • 4. Proposed structure of TTIP • 24 chapters grouped in three pillars • Market access • Goods, agriculture, services including e-commerce, public procurement, rules of origin • Regulatory cooperation • Chapters on regulatory co-operation/coherence, TBT, SPS, and nine sectoral annexes (including one on pesticides) • Regulatory cooperation discussions are led by the regulators from the EU and the US. • Rules • Sustainable development including labour and environment, trade facilitation, competition, energy, raw materials, state owned enterprises, subsidies, SMEs, investment protection, intellectual property protection, dispute settlement, among others 4
  • 5. Agrifood tariffs faced by US and EU exporters, 2010/2011 MFN average of traded tariff lines Trade-weighted Duty-free imports WTO Tariff Profiles 2011 Simple Trade- weighted Tariff lines % Value % Average tariff faced by EU agrifood imports to US 7.1 2.2 23.9 47.1 Average tariff faced by US agrifood imports to EU 16.9 5.7 14.7 46.9 CEPII MAcMap 2010 Applied protection Share tariff peaks (AVE > 15%) Average tariff faced by EU agrifood imports to US 6.4 6.5 Average tariff faced by US agrifood imports to EU 12.9 28.7 5 Source: WTO World Tariff Profiles; Disdier, Emlinger and Fouré 2015
  • 6. Tariff negotiations • Second tariff offers now exchanged by both sides • Tariff outcomes should be at least as ambitious as in the CETA agreement (on the EU side) and the TPP agreement (on the US side) • Eliminating agricultural tariffs (or opening larger TRQs for sensitive products) would certainly be beneficial • However, all agree that the main action in these negotiations is around non-tariff measures (NTMs) including EU demand for recognition of particular Geographical Indications (GIs) 6
  • 7. Differences in regulatory approaches • US and EU share basic mandate to achieve a high level of food safety and consumer protection • EU General Food Law 2002 • US Food Safety Modernization Act 2011 • Both laws contain many similarities in approach… • ..but cultural, political and institutional differences between the US and EU continue to result in different perceptions of risk and thus different regulatory outcomes 7
  • 8. SPS high-profile issues • Beef hormones • Beta agonists e.g. ractopamine in pork • Biotechnology • Pathogen reduction treatments • US dairy standards (Grade A Pasteurized Milk Ordinance) • Proposed changes to EU pesticide regulations which would ban substances classified as endocrine disruptors and set default low MRLs • Antibiotics in animal feed • Cloning restrictions 8
  • 9. Significance of agrifood NTMs (ad valorem equivalent) ECORYS (2009) US EU Processed foods (food & beverages) 73% 57% Disdier, Emlinger and Fouré (2015) Agri-food product 36% 40% 9
  • 10. NTMs in a modern society • Governments rely on NTMs to achieve public policy goals, including the protection of human health and the environment – the fact that trade is affected is a normal and legitimate consequence of such regulation. • On the other hand, NTMs may be used to shield domestic producers from foreign competitors, or they may be unnecessarily trade restrictive. 10
  • 11. NTMs in a modern society • To trade economists, NTMs are perceived as a distortion. • “As much as 80% of the total potential gains come from cutting costs imposed by bureaucracy and regulations, as well as from liberalising trade in services and public procurement” (CEPR, 2013). • By ignoring market imperfections, welfare is found to increase when NTMs are reduced and trade expands • Taking account of consumer welfare, the optimal degree of regulation is not zero (Beghin et al., 2012, Beghin et al., 2015) • Increasing compatibility of NTMs across trading nations is a clear gain 11
  • 12. Previous efforts at regulatory convergence • Previous efforts have had limited success • 1995 New Transatlantic Agenda • formalizing regulatory cooperation agreements in virtually all areas of economic regulation through a Joint EU-US Action Plan outlining over 150 specific areas of cooperation • 2002 Guidelines for Regulatory Cooperation and Transparency agreed to encourage US and EU agencies to consult each other on a regular basis • 2004 Roadmap for EU-US regulatory Cooperation and Transparency • 2005 High-Level Regulatory Cooperation Forum set up • Some successes in the agri-food area • Veterinary Equivalence Agreement (1998) • Wine Agreement (2006) • Organic Equivalence Agreement (2012) • Key issues • How would an agreement affect EU decision-making on SPS and TBT issues? • What enforcement mechanism would be available? 12
  • 13. Over-dramatised claims … • TTIP was going to be an ambitious agreement, intended to remove non-tariff barriers to trade • Karel de Gucht: “the purpose is ‘to create an internal market between the US and the EU’ ” • The US and EU would agree on harmonised standards and rules which would become the gold standard for the rest of the world • All this would be completed “on one tank of gas”, with de Gucht expressing the hope that negotiations might be wrapped up by end of 2014 13
  • 14. …brought an inevitable counter-reaction • Civil society groups mounted an energetic campaign to discredit TTIP • Fears focused on the regulatory agenda and ISDS, fanned by allegations of lack of transparency • Concerns about ‘race to the bottom’ and ‘regulatory chill’ • And that regulatory rules would be decided by trade officials 14 Source: Eurobarometer
  • 16. Models of international regulatory cooperation • A hierarchy of models (OECD, 2013) • Agreement on information exchange • Agreement to adopt good regulatory practice • Mutual recognition of testing and conformity assessment procedures while maintaining separate standards • Recognition of equivalence of each other’s standards: • Mutual recognition of different standards as providing the same level of health, safety or environmental protection. • Harmonisation of standards, meaning that two countries agree to adopt the same standards. 16
  • 17. The WTO baseline – SPS and TBTAgreements • SPS Agreement • Recognises right to implement SPS standards but seeks to minimize negative effects on trade • Contains obligations on good regulatory practice, including that measures should be based on scientific principles. • Allows for (encourages) recognition of mutual equivalence. • Encourages harmonisation based on international standards. • Contains information sharing obligations • TBT Agreement • Recognizes countries’ rights to adopt the standards they consider appropriate • Standards should not be more restrictive of trade than necessary • Encourages use of international standards • Encourages transparency and information sharing 17
  • 18. EU draft text on regulatory cooperation • Recognise “the importance of regulation to achieve public policy objectives, and their right to regulate” • Regulatory practice: emphasis on providing opportunities for public involvement, obliging agencies to take into account the regulatory approaches of the other Party, requiring consultations • Encouraging greater regulatory compatibility through joint examination “provided mutual benefits can be realised without compromising the achievement of legitimate public policy objectives” (Art. 10) • Establish Regulatory Cooperation Body 18
  • 19. EU draft text on SPS+ chapter • Import checks Art 8: Parties would recognise each other’s competent authorities • Art 9 deals with recognising equivalence of different standards and contains [Annex] detailing equivalent measures • Animal welfare Art. 17 requires parties “to respect trade conditions for live animals and animal products that are aimed to protect their welfare”, to collaborate on research and exchange information • Provides a framework for dialogue and cooperation 19
  • 20. TTP Chapter 25 Regulatory coherence • Affirms importance of “the role that regulation plays in achieving public policy objectives” • Defines regulatory coherence as the use of good regulatory practices in establishing regulations and enhancing regulatory cooperation across governments • Limits scope to covered measures, i.e. those which are notified by the Parties • Sets out standards for good regulatory practice • Establishes a Committee on Regulatory Cooperation to review implementation and to consider future priorities. • All of this chapter is excluded from the dispute settlement procedures of the agreement. 20
  • 21. TTP Chapter 7 on SPS Measures • Objective, inter alia, to “protect human, animal or plant life or health in the territories of the Parties while facilitating and expanding trade by utilising a variety of means to address and seek to resolve sanitary and phytosanitary issues” • Equivalence: Goes beyond SPS Agreement by specifying the steps a Party must take when a request for recognition is received • Precaution: Less prescriptive than the SPS Agreement • Risk assessment: SPS measures should be based on science but goes no further than the SPS Agreement • Import checks: requires clear information on what is required • Information exchange: Including an SPS Committee • Neither decisions on equivalence nor risk assessment can be subject to TPP dispute settlement 21
  • 22. TTPArticle 2.29 on ‘trade in products of modern [agricultural] biotechnology’ • 11 Paragraphs • 1 + 4. “The Parties confirm the importance of transparency, cooperation and exchanging information related to the trade of products of modern biotechnology. “ • 2. “Nothing in this Article shall prevent a Party from adopting measures in accordance with its rights and obligations under the WTO Agreements or other provisions of this Agreement.” • 3. “Nothing in this Article shall require a Party to adopt or modify its laws, regulations, and policies for the control of products of modern biotechnology within its territory.” • 5-11 How to address LLP occurrences through information exchange and a standing committee 22
  • 23. Trade rules and regulatory autonomy • Parties agree regulatory decisions “subject to their respective applicable internal requirements and procedures” (CETA) • But what about state-to-state dispute settlement? • Could the US rely on a TTIP provision to overturn an EU regulation it felt was inconsistent with its obligations? • Where a Party is found in breach of its obligations, it is required, whenever possible, to eliminate the non-conformity • In the event of non-implementation, the complaining Party is entitled to compensation and may suspend benefits 23
  • 24. Trade rules and regulatory autonomy • Could a private party rely on TTIP commitments to overturn an EU regulation? • ECJ provisions indicate that some limited elements of international agreements can have direct effect in EU law • In signing recent bilateral FTAs, e.g. Korea, Columbia Peru, the Council added provisions specifying that “The Agreement shall not be construed as conferring rights or imposing obligations which can be directly invoked before Union or Member State courts and tribunals.” • CETA Article 14.14 ‘Nothing in this Agreement shall be construed as conferring rights or imposing obligations on persons other than those created between the Parties under public international law, nor as permitting this Agreement to be directly invoked in the domestic legal systems of the Parties.’ • 24
  • 25. Much ado about nothing? • The Shakespearean parallel • A reading of the available texts suggests little immediate change in EU or US SPS regulations… • … and therefore limited immediate gains from regulatory cooperation • … even if worth making the effort for the potential gains • ... However, expectations for a ‘living agreement’ weakened by hesitant responses of the regulatory agencies • Political assurances on retaining key EU regulations • Implications for ratification • May enhance the chances for ratification on the EU side of the Atlantic • But likely to reduce the chances for ratification on the US side 25