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Digitalisatie in Media.
Disruptie of Opportuniteit?
Luc Verbist
Former CIO De Persgroep
7 April 2016
2014
Organische groei
Overnames
(Nederland)
De Persgroep
Omzet: 1.650 Mio €
70% Buiten België
EBITDA: 215 Mio €
FTE: 6.000
HQ : Brussel
IT : Gecentraliseerd in Brussel
De Persgroep
What is technology based disruption?
 Business modellen wijzigden gestaag.
 Nieuwe technologie ligt aan de basis
van erg disruptieve wijzigingen.
 Muziek
 Foto
 Media
 Taxi
 Banken
 Verzekeringen
… elke industrie zal geïmpacteerd worden.
 Recente voorbeeld van disruptie : 3D printing.
How to recognise a
disruptive technology break through?
E-ink in the late 90 ties
Predictions :
- Will replace paper
- Will replace newspapers
and magazines
Reality :
- No break through in newspapers
- No full colour displays
- To expensive
- No foldable large screens (yet)
 Seriously overestimated business potential
Characteristics of Disruptive technology
 Lower cost than existing technology
 Lower quality than existing technology (at first)
 Lower margins per unit than existing technology
If all conditions are met at the same time
Greater market opportunity
Recommended reading :
“The Innovator's Dilemma” by C.M. Christensen
“Leading Digital” by G. Westerman, D. Bonnet, A. McAfee
Pitfalls.
 Timing is of the essence
 Fear for canibalisation
 Risk avoidance behaviour
 Leaving comfort zone
 No understanding of new technology by senior mngt
 Too focussed on existing markets and products
 Short term thinking
 Technology can be around for some time but not
all conditions are met
What about Media?
Business model under pressure
Circulation
Business model under pressure
Business model under pressure
Business model under pressure
But where to?
Business Strategy
The innovator's dilemma: harvest existing while looking for new model
Existing : still accountable for 90% of income and profit
 Foster existing business
 Creating economy of scale
 Strive for operational excellence in existing business
New :
 Invest in new Digital products
 Experiment with new business models
 Customer centric approach based on Big Data
Business Strategy
 Strive for operational excellence in existing business
 Optimize processes (e.g. churn prediction models)
 Standardize processes throughout entire organization
 Reduce manpower wherever possible
 Increase quality of service towards customers without losing profitability
Business Strategy
 Invest in new Digital products
 News apps and websites per brand (VK redesign, AD redesign)
 New products (Paper.nl, Wekker app, …)
 Content recommendation based products
 Experiment with new business models
 Different pricing points
 New advertising models (targeted advertising)
 Paid for content
 Hard paywalls
 Metered paywalls
 Pay per article
Business Strategy
Unregistered
User
Registered
User
Single
copy
buyer
Subscriber
Member
Value or ARPU
(average revenu
Per user)
Customer journey’s
Business Strategy
 Experiment with new business models
Opportunities : Big Data collection & exploring
Readers Marketing:
 Readers recruitment
 Upsell and cross-Sales
 Conservation
 Reduce churn
Advertising use:
 More targetted campaigns
 Personalize ads
 Multi channel campaings
 Example : Krux
Business Strategy
 Personalize and adapt content during day and depending on type of device
 Example : Topics.be
Business Strategy
Gebruik van big data
0
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
100,000,000
120,000,000
140,000,000
2013|30
2013|33
2013|36
2013|39
2013|42
2013|45
2013|48
2013|51
2014|01
2014|04
2014|07
2014|10
2014|13
2014|16
2014|19
2014|22
2014|25
2014|28
2014|31
2014|34
2014|37
2014|40
2014|43
2014|46
2014|49
2014|52
Pageviews per week
Status Today
News and Classified websites
 HLN.be
 DeMorgen.be
 Nina.be
 Goedgevoel.be
 Volkskrant.nl
 AlgemeenDagblad.nl
 Trouw.nl
 Parool.nl
 Vacature.com
 Gouden Spelen.be
 Regiojobs.be
 Tweakers.nl
 Autotrack.nl
 Carsom.nl
 VNU Media.nl
 Intermediair.nl
 Nationale Vacaturebank.nl
Turnover
55 Mio €
Ebitda
7,2 Mio €
Reach : + 7 Mio unique visitors/day
Newswebsites
 Premium Content Websites
 Tijd, NYT, WSJ, FT, …
 Paywall (metered)
 Subscription model
 Advertising model
 Popular Content Websites
 HLN, Nu, NOS, Deredactie, …
 Pure Advertising model
 No paywall yet
 No subscription model yet
Business model
established &
mature
Tablet Subscribers
 HLN.be
 DeMorgen.be
 Volkskrant.nl
 AlgemeenDagblad.nl
 Trouw.nl
 Parool.nl
Older generation still fancies print
No good offer yet for reading paper on tablet
iPad only: 18.000 per day
iPad total: 250.000 per day
Print : 1.000.000 per day
Organisational Challenges
Challenge
 Existing business
 Operational excellence
 Preserve margin and income
 Manage decline
 Processes are being tuned
 a lot of IT work to be done
 New business
 Lot of experimenting
 Low margins and low turnover (certainly at the start)
 Hyper volatile market
 Product IS software
 a lot of IT work to be done
AA lot more
ICT resources
required
Hoe zal de ICT organisatie wijzigen?
Creative company of the future
 1/3 creatives
 1/3 commercial and marketing
 1/x ICT staff (where x is less than 10)
Shocking conclusion for a traditional print company
ICT evolves from a supporting service
to the core product of the company
Most boardmembers have no understanding of ICT
Digitalisatie in Media.
Disruptie of Opportuniteit?
Beide
Q&A
Luc Verbist
Former CIO De Persgroep
Luc.Verbist@hotmail.com

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Luc verbist

  • 1. Digitalisatie in Media. Disruptie of Opportuniteit? Luc Verbist Former CIO De Persgroep 7 April 2016
  • 3. Omzet: 1.650 Mio € 70% Buiten België EBITDA: 215 Mio € FTE: 6.000 HQ : Brussel IT : Gecentraliseerd in Brussel De Persgroep
  • 4. What is technology based disruption?
  • 5.  Business modellen wijzigden gestaag.  Nieuwe technologie ligt aan de basis van erg disruptieve wijzigingen.  Muziek  Foto  Media  Taxi  Banken  Verzekeringen … elke industrie zal geïmpacteerd worden.
  • 6.  Recente voorbeeld van disruptie : 3D printing.
  • 7. How to recognise a disruptive technology break through?
  • 8. E-ink in the late 90 ties Predictions : - Will replace paper - Will replace newspapers and magazines Reality : - No break through in newspapers - No full colour displays - To expensive - No foldable large screens (yet)  Seriously overestimated business potential
  • 9. Characteristics of Disruptive technology  Lower cost than existing technology  Lower quality than existing technology (at first)  Lower margins per unit than existing technology If all conditions are met at the same time Greater market opportunity Recommended reading : “The Innovator's Dilemma” by C.M. Christensen “Leading Digital” by G. Westerman, D. Bonnet, A. McAfee
  • 10. Pitfalls.  Timing is of the essence  Fear for canibalisation  Risk avoidance behaviour  Leaving comfort zone  No understanding of new technology by senior mngt  Too focussed on existing markets and products  Short term thinking  Technology can be around for some time but not all conditions are met
  • 12. Business model under pressure Circulation
  • 15. Business model under pressure But where to?
  • 16. Business Strategy The innovator's dilemma: harvest existing while looking for new model Existing : still accountable for 90% of income and profit  Foster existing business  Creating economy of scale  Strive for operational excellence in existing business New :  Invest in new Digital products  Experiment with new business models  Customer centric approach based on Big Data
  • 17. Business Strategy  Strive for operational excellence in existing business  Optimize processes (e.g. churn prediction models)  Standardize processes throughout entire organization  Reduce manpower wherever possible  Increase quality of service towards customers without losing profitability
  • 18. Business Strategy  Invest in new Digital products  News apps and websites per brand (VK redesign, AD redesign)  New products (Paper.nl, Wekker app, …)  Content recommendation based products
  • 19.  Experiment with new business models  Different pricing points  New advertising models (targeted advertising)  Paid for content  Hard paywalls  Metered paywalls  Pay per article Business Strategy
  • 20. Unregistered User Registered User Single copy buyer Subscriber Member Value or ARPU (average revenu Per user) Customer journey’s Business Strategy  Experiment with new business models
  • 21. Opportunities : Big Data collection & exploring Readers Marketing:  Readers recruitment  Upsell and cross-Sales  Conservation  Reduce churn Advertising use:  More targetted campaigns  Personalize ads  Multi channel campaings  Example : Krux Business Strategy
  • 22.  Personalize and adapt content during day and depending on type of device  Example : Topics.be Business Strategy
  • 23. Gebruik van big data 0 20,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 100,000,000 120,000,000 140,000,000 2013|30 2013|33 2013|36 2013|39 2013|42 2013|45 2013|48 2013|51 2014|01 2014|04 2014|07 2014|10 2014|13 2014|16 2014|19 2014|22 2014|25 2014|28 2014|31 2014|34 2014|37 2014|40 2014|43 2014|46 2014|49 2014|52 Pageviews per week
  • 24.
  • 26. News and Classified websites  HLN.be  DeMorgen.be  Nina.be  Goedgevoel.be  Volkskrant.nl  AlgemeenDagblad.nl  Trouw.nl  Parool.nl  Vacature.com  Gouden Spelen.be  Regiojobs.be  Tweakers.nl  Autotrack.nl  Carsom.nl  VNU Media.nl  Intermediair.nl  Nationale Vacaturebank.nl Turnover 55 Mio € Ebitda 7,2 Mio € Reach : + 7 Mio unique visitors/day
  • 27. Newswebsites  Premium Content Websites  Tijd, NYT, WSJ, FT, …  Paywall (metered)  Subscription model  Advertising model  Popular Content Websites  HLN, Nu, NOS, Deredactie, …  Pure Advertising model  No paywall yet  No subscription model yet Business model established & mature
  • 28. Tablet Subscribers  HLN.be  DeMorgen.be  Volkskrant.nl  AlgemeenDagblad.nl  Trouw.nl  Parool.nl Older generation still fancies print No good offer yet for reading paper on tablet iPad only: 18.000 per day iPad total: 250.000 per day Print : 1.000.000 per day
  • 30. Challenge  Existing business  Operational excellence  Preserve margin and income  Manage decline  Processes are being tuned  a lot of IT work to be done  New business  Lot of experimenting  Low margins and low turnover (certainly at the start)  Hyper volatile market  Product IS software  a lot of IT work to be done AA lot more ICT resources required
  • 31. Hoe zal de ICT organisatie wijzigen?
  • 32. Creative company of the future  1/3 creatives  1/3 commercial and marketing  1/x ICT staff (where x is less than 10) Shocking conclusion for a traditional print company ICT evolves from a supporting service to the core product of the company Most boardmembers have no understanding of ICT
  • 33. Digitalisatie in Media. Disruptie of Opportuniteit? Beide
  • 34. Q&A Luc Verbist Former CIO De Persgroep Luc.Verbist@hotmail.com