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Martin Bailey October 2012 1
I fill a bathtub with water and provide a
teaspoon, cup, and bucket.
How do you empty the tub?
Martin Bailey October 2012 2
Formulas Getting all mumble-jumbled?
ETC = EAC–AC
EAC = BAC/Cumulative CPI
EV= %Complete*BAC
PERTPV (Planned Value)
CV (Cost Variance)
EV (Earned Value)
SPI (Schedule Performance Index)
EAC = AC+Bottom up ETC
VAC = BAC–EAC
n(n-1)/2
Martin Bailey October 2012 3
Is this how you feel?
Martin Bailey October 2012 4
Is this how you see the PMI questions?
Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working
on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the
new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team
has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4
months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in
this time period.
Is this project:
A. On time
B. Ahead of Schedule
C. Behind Schedule
D. Not enough information to determine
Don’t be scared of the Exam Questions
• In many cases you may reach for a calculator
and try to remember formulas when you don’t
need to.
• The goal of this presentation is to “demystify”
determining project status the easy way.
– On time, ahead of schedule, late
– On budget, under budget, overbudget
Martin Bailey October 2012 6
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road
Project Plan
8 Months long
10 miles of gravel
Cost of $80,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road
Project Plan
8 Months long
10 miles of gravel
Cost of $80,000
Simple budget plan:
$8,000 per mile planned cost
$10,000 per month budget
– example at end of 3rd month $30,000 planned budget
$10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000
Expected Completion 5 miles- PV
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road
Project Plan
8 Months long, 10 miles of gravel BAC $80,000
$10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000
Completion – 5 miles EV
Cost of $40,00
4th month
Expected Completion 5 miles- PV
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road
Project Plan
8 Months long, 10 miles of gravel BAC $80,000
$10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000
Completion – 5 miles EV
Cost of $40,00
4th month
What can we
tell from this?
Expected Completion 5 miles- PV
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road
Project Plan
8 Months long, 10 miles of gravel BAC $80,000
$10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000
Completion – 5 miles EV
Cost of $40,00
4th month
On Schedule
Expected Completion 5 miles- PV
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road
Project Plan
8 Months long, 10 miles of gravel BAC $80,000
$10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000
Completion – 5 miles EV
Cost of $40,00
4th month
On Budget
Expected Completion 5 miles- PV
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road
Project Plan
8 Months long, 10 miles of gravel BAC $80,000
$10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000
Completion – 4 miles EV Behind
schedule
4th month PV = 5 miles at $40.00
EV = 4 miles
AC = $32,000
Expected Completion 5 miles- PV
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road
Project Plan
8 Months long, 10 miles of gravel BAC $80,000
$10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000
Completion – 6 miles EV Ahead of schedule
Over budget
4th month PV = 5 miles at $40.00
EV = 6 miles
AC = $48,000
Understanding 4 Key Formulas
• Cost Variance
• Cost Performance Index
• Schedule Variance
• Schedule Performance Index
Martin Bailey October 2012 15
Understanding 4 Key Formulas
• Cost Variance
• Cost Performance Index
• Schedule Variance
• Schedule Performance Index
Variance means Difference
Or Subtraction
Martin Bailey October 2012 16
Understanding 4 Key Formulas
• Cost Variance
CV= EV - AC
• Cost Performance Index
• Schedule Variance
SV = EV - PV
• Schedule Performance Index
Variance means Difference
Or Subtraction
Cost Variance =
Earned Value – Actual Cost
Schedule Variance =
Earned Value – Planned Value
Martin Bailey October 2012 17
Understanding 4 Key Formulas
• Cost Variance
CV= EV - AC
• Cost Performance Index
• Schedule Variance
SV = EV - PV
• Schedule Performance Index
Helpful Hints:
BOTH subtract from Earned
Value
The Cost formulas include
“Cost” values
Cost Variance =
Earned Value – Actual Cost
Schedule Variance =
Earned Value – Planned Value
Martin Bailey October 2012 18
Understanding 4 Key Formulas
• Cost Variance
• Cost Performance Index
• Schedule Variance
• Schedule Performance Index
Index means Ratio or Fraction
Martin Bailey October 2012 19
Understanding 4 Key Formulas
• Cost Variance
• Cost Performance Index
CPI = EV / AC
• Schedule Variance
• Schedule Performance Index
SPI = EV / PV
Index means Ratio or Fraction
Martin Bailey October 2012 20
Understanding 4 Key Formulas
• Cost Variance
CV= EV - AC
• Cost Performance Index
CPI = EV / AC
• Schedule Variance
SV = EV - PV
• Schedule Performance Index
SPI = EV / PV
Helpful Hints:
The Cost formulas include
“Cost” values
Cost Variance =
Earned Value – Actual Cost
Cost Performance Index =
Earned Value / Actual Cost
Martin Bailey October 2012 21
Understanding 4 Key Formulas
• Cost Variance
CV= EV AC
• Cost Performance Index
CPI = EV / AC
• Schedule Variance
SV = EV PV
• Schedule Performance Index
SPI = EV / PV
Helpful Hints:
The MAGIC function sign
Notice that to get CPI you
“tipped” the minus sign in CV
to make it a “divide by” sign
Notice that to get SPI you
“tipped” the minus sign in SV
to make it a “divide by” sign
This means:
Once you know CV
and SV you know CPI
& SPI !
Martin Bailey October 2012 22
What can EV, AC, & PV tell you
Without Calculations
EV = Earned Value
AC = Actual Cost
PV = Planned Value
Martin Bailey October 2012 23
What can EV, AC, & PV tell you
Without Calculations
EV = Earned Value
AC = Actual Cost
PV = Planned Value
What can we determine without
using the formulas for
CV, SV, CPI, SPI?
Martin Bailey October 2012 24
EV = Earned Value
AC = Actual Cost
What can EV, AC, & PV tell you
Without Calculations
• If EV = AC
– On budget
• If EV > AC
– Under Budget
– Positive Cost Variance
• If EV < AC
– Over Budget
– Negative Cost Variance
If EV =AC CV = EV-AC
CV = 0 (good)
CPI = EV/AC
CV = 1 (good)
If EV > AC CV = EV-AC
CV > 0 positive (good)
CPI = EV/AC
CPI > I (good)
If EV < AC CV = EV-AC
CV < 0 negative (bad)
CPI = EV/AC
CPI < I (bad)
Martin Bailey October 2012 25
EV = Earned Value
PV = Planned Value
What can EV, AC, & PV tell you
Without Calculations
• If EV = PV
– On schedule
• If EV > PV
– Ahead of Schedule
– Positive Schedule Variance
• If EV < PV
– Behind Schedule
– Negative Schedule Variance
If PV =AC SV = EV-PV
SV = 0 (good)
SPI = EV/PV
SV = 1 (good)
If EV > PV SV = EV-PV
SV > 0 positive (good)
SPI = EV/PV
SPI > I (good)
If EV < PV SV = EV-PV
SV < 0 negative (bad)
SPI = EV/PV
SPI < I (bad)
Martin Bailey October 2012 26
You’ve been hired by a large consulting
firm to evaluate a software project for
them. You have access to the CPI and
EV for the project, but not the AC. The
CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How
much money has actually been spent
on the project?
A. $158,700
B. $172,500
C. $187,500
D. There is not enough information to
calculate the actual cost
Martin Bailey October 2012 27
You’ve been hired by a large consulting
firm to evaluate a software project for
them. You have access to the CPI and
EV for the project, but not the AC. The
CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How
much money has actually been spent
on the project?
A. $158,700
B. $172,500
C. $187,500
D. There is not enough information to
calculate the actual cost
Did you
immediately try to
remember the
formula?
Martin Bailey October 2012 28
You’ve been hired by a large consulting
firm to evaluate a software project for
them. You have access to the CPI and
EV for the project, but not the AC. The
CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How
much money has actually been spent
on the project?
A. $158,700
B. $172,500
C. $187,500
D. There is not enough information to
calculate the actual cost
First:
Take out the
"noise"
Martin Bailey October 2012 29
You’ve been hired by a large consulting
firm to evaluate a software project for
them. You have access to the CPI and
EV for the project, but not the AC. The
CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How
much money has actually been spent
on the project?
A. $158,700
B. $172,500
C. $187,500
D. There is not enough information to
calculate the actual cost
Time for the
formula?
CPI = EV / AC
Martin Bailey October 2012 30
You’ve been hired by a large consulting
firm to evaluate a software project for
them. You have access to the CPI and
EV for the project, but not the AC. The
CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How
much money has actually been spent
on the project?
A. $158,700
B. $172,500
C. $187,500
D. There is not enough information to
calculate the actual cost
CPI = EV / AC
Now where is my
Calculator?
Martin Bailey October 2012 31
You’ve been hired by a large consulting
firm to evaluate a software project for
them. You have access to the CPI and
EV for the project, but not the AC. The
CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How
much money has actually been spent
on the project?
A. $158,700
B. $172,500
C. $187,500
D. There is not enough information to
calculate the actual cost
It is not that
difficult !
Use
Logic &
Understanding
to answer this in seconds
without a calculator.
Martin Bailey October 2012 32
You’ve been hired by a large consulting
firm to evaluate a software project for
them. You have access to the CPI and
EV for the project, but not the AC. The
CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How
much money has actually been spent
on the project?
A. $158,700
B. $172,500
C. $187,500
D. There is not enough information to
calculate the actual cost
What does CPI
Mean?
CPI = Cost Performance Index
CPI of 1 means: we are getting
value equal to what we are
spending
CPI > 1 means that we are
getting more value than what
we are paying for. (Paying less
for more)
CPI < 1 means we are getting
less value than we are paying
for. (Paying more for less)
Martin Bailey October 2012 33
You’ve been hired by a large consulting
firm to evaluate a software project for
them. You have access to the CPI and
EV for the project, but not the AC. The
CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How
much money has actually been spent
on the project?
A. $158,700
B. $172,500
C. $187,500
D. There is not enough information to
calculate the actual cost
CPI < 1 means we are
getting less value than
we are paying for.
(Paying more for less)
A CPI of .92 is less than
1. This means we are
paying more for less.
This means Costs are
greater than the
Earned Value.
Martin Bailey October 2012 34
You’ve been hired by a large consulting
firm to evaluate a software project for
them. You have access to the CPI and
EV for the project, but not the AC. The
CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How
much money has actually been spent
on the project?
A. $158,700
B. $172,500
C. $187,500
D. There is not enough information to
calculate the actual cost
A CPI of .92 is less than
1. This means we are
paying more for less.
This means Costs are
greater than the
Earned Value.
Only one answer
indicates Costs Greater
Than Earned Value.
© Martin Bailey Sept 2012
Martin Bailey October 2012 35
You are managing a project with AC
= $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = -
$2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC =
$92,100. Your sponsor asks you to
forecast how much money you
expect to spend on the remainder
of the project. Which is the BEST
estimate to use for this forecast?
A. $45,600
B. $87,400
C. $90,000
D. $92,100
Martin Bailey October 2012 36
You are managing a project with AC
= $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = -
$2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC =
$92,100. Your sponsor asks you to
forecast how much money you
expect to spend on the remainder
of the project. Which is the BEST
estimate to use for this forecast?
A. $45,600
B. $87,400
C. $90,000
D. $92,100
Trying to
remember a
specific formula?
Ready to Reach for
a calculator?
Martin Bailey October 2012 37
You are managing a project with AC
= $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = -
$2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC =
$92,100. Your sponsor asks you to
forecast how much money you
expect to spend on the remainder
of the project. Which is the BEST
estimate to use for this forecast?
A. $45,600
B. $87,400
C. $90,000
D. $92,100
It is not that
difficult !
Use
Logic &
Understanding
to answer this in seconds
without a calculator.
Martin Bailey October 2012 38
First Let’s look at key point
of the question.
You are managing a project with AC
= $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = -
$2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC =
$92,100. Your sponsor asks you to
forecast how much money you
expect to spend on the remainder
of the project. Which is the BEST
estimate to use for this forecast?
A. $45,600
B. $87,400
C. $90,000
D. $92,100
Martin Bailey October 2012 39
First Let’s look at key point
of the question.
You are managing a project with AC
= $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = -
$2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC =
$92,100. Your sponsor asks you to
forecast how much money you
expect to spend on the remainder
of the project. Which is the BEST
estimate to use for this forecast?
A. $45,600
B. $87,400
C. $90,000
D. $92,100
Martin Bailey October 2012 40
First Let’s look at key point
of the question.
You are managing a project with AC
= $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = -
$2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC =
$92,100. Your sponsor asks you to
forecast how much money you
expect to spend on the remainder
of the project. Which is the BEST
estimate to use for this forecast?
A. $45,600
B. $87,400
C. $90,000
D. $92,100
how much money you expect to
spend on the remainder of the
project.
This sounds very much like,” Estimate
(of costs) to Completion”.
ETCis short for
Estimate to Completion
Martin Bailey October 2012 41
First Let’s look at key point
of the question.
You are managing a project with AC
= $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = -
$2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC =
$92,100. Your sponsor asks you to
forecast how much money you
expect to spend on the remainder
of the project. Which is the BEST
estimate to use for this forecast?
A. $45,600
B. $87,400
C. $90,000
D. $92,100
how much money you expect to
spend on the remainder of the
project.
This sounds very much like,” Estimate
(of costs) to Completion”.
ETCis short for
Estimate to Completion
Martin Bailey October 2012 42
You are managing a construction
project to install new door frames in
an office building. You planned on
spending $12,500 on the project, but
your costs are higher than expected,
and now you’re afraid that your
project is spending too much money.
What number tells you the difference
between the amount of money you
planned on spending and what you’ve
actually spent so far on the project?
A. AC
B. SV
C. CV
D. VAC
Martin Bailey October 2012 43
First Step: get rid of the
"noise"
You are managing a construction
project to install new door frames in
an office building. You planned on
spending $12,500 on the project, but
your costs are higher than expected,
and now you’re afraid that your
project is spending too much money.
What number tells you the difference
between the amount of money you
planned on spending and what you’ve
actually spent so far on the project?
A. AC
B. SV
C. CV
D. VAC
Martin Bailey October 2012 44
Now to look at keywords
You are managing a construction
project to install new door frames in
an office building. You planned on
spending $12,500 on the project, but
your costs are higher than expected,
and now you’re afraid that your
project is spending too much money.
What number tells you the difference
between the amount of money you
planned on spending and what you’ve
actually spent so far on the project?
A. AC
B. SV
C. CV
D. VAC
Difference = Variance
Spending = Cost
So what we need
Cost Variance
Martin Bailey October 2012 45
Now to look at keywords
You are managing a construction
project to install new door frames in
an office building. You planned on
spending $12,500 on the project, but
your costs are higher than expected,
and now you’re afraid that your
project is spending too much money.
What number tells you the difference
between the amount of money you
planned on spending and what you’ve
actually spent so far on the project?
A. AC
B. SV
C. CV
D. VAC
Difference = Variance
Spending = Cost
So what we need
Cost Variance
CV = Cost Variance
Martin Bailey October 2012 46
You are managing a project with an EV
of $15,000, PV of $12,000, and AC of
$11,000. How would you BEST
describe this project?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and
within its budget
B. The project is behind schedule and
within its budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and
over its budget
D. The project is behind schedule and
over its budget
Martin Bailey October 2012 47
You are managing a project with an EV
of $15,000, PV of $12,000, and AC of
$11,000. How would you BEST
describe this project?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and
within its budget
B. The project is behind schedule and
within its budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and
over its budget
D. The project is behind schedule and
over its budget
Did you
immediately try to
remember the
formulas?
Martin Bailey October 2012 48
You are managing a project with an EV
of $15,000, PV of $12,000, and AC of
$11,000. How would you BEST
describe this project?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and
within its budget
B. The project is behind schedule and
within its budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and
over its budget
D. The project is behind schedule and
over its budget
Did you
immediately try to
remember the
formulas?
CPI = EV / AC
SPI = EV /PV
Martin Bailey October 2012 49
You are managing a project with an EV
of $15,000, PV of $12,000, and AC of
$11,000. How would you BEST
describe this project?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and
within its budget
B. The project is behind schedule and
within its budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and
over its budget
D. The project is behind schedule and
over its budget
Did you
immediately try to
remember the
formulas?
CPI = EV / AC
SPI = EV /PV
Reaching for your
calculator?
Martin Bailey October 2012 50
You are managing a project with an EV
of $15,000, PV of $12,000, and AC of
$11,000. How would you BEST
describe this project?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and
within its budget
B. The project is behind schedule and
within its budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and
over its budget
D. The project is behind schedule and
over its budget
It is not that
difficult !
Use
Logic &
Understanding
to answer this in seconds
without a calculator.
Martin Bailey October 2012 51
EV = $15,000 – earned value
AC = $11,000 – actual cost
PV = $12,000 – planned value
A. The project is ahead of schedule and
within its budget
B. The project is behind schedule and
within its budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and
over its budget
D. The project is behind schedule and
over its budget
Get rid of the “noise”
Martin Bailey October 2012 52
EV = $15,000 – earned value
AC = $11,000 – actual cost
PV = $12,000 – planned value
A. The project is ahead of schedule and
within its budget
B. The project is behind schedule and
within its budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and
over its budget
D. The project is behind schedule and
over its budget
We earned more than
what it cost.
It cost less than we
planned to spend.
Martin Bailey October 2012 53
EV = $15,000 – earned value
AC = $11,000 – actual cost
PV = $12,000 – planned value
A. The project is ahead of schedule and
within its budget
B. The project is behind schedule and
within its budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and
over its budget
D. The project is behind schedule and
over its budget
We earned more than
what it cost.
That means we are
under/ within budget
It cost less than we
planned to spend.
Martin Bailey October 2012 54
EV = $15,000 – earned value
AC = $11,000 – actual cost
PV = $12,000 – planned value
A. The project is ahead of schedule
and within its budget
B. The project is behind schedule and
within its budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and
over its budget
D. The project is behind schedule and
over its budget
We earned more than
what it cost.
That means we are
under/ within budget
It cost less than we
planned to spend.
That means we are
ahead of schedule
Martin Bailey October 2012 55
You are managing a project with a total
budget of $450,000. According to the
schedule, your team should have completed
45% of the work by now. But at the latest
status meeting, the team only reported that
40% of the work has actually been
completed. The team has spent $165,000 so
far on the project. How would you BEST
describe this project?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and
within its budget
B. The project is behind schedule and within
its budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and over
its budget
D. The project is behind schedule and over its
budget
Martin Bailey October 2012 56
You are managing a project with a total
budget of $450,000. According to the
schedule, your team should have completed
45% of the work by now. But at the latest
status meeting, the team only reported that
40% of the work has actually been
completed. The team has spent $165,000 so
far on the project. How would you BEST
describe this project?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and
within its budget
B. The project is behind schedule and within
its budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and over
its budget
D. The project is behind schedule and over its
budget
Don’t be scared.
There are only 1
calculation and
logic involved.
Martin Bailey October 2012 57
The Easy Part
You are managing a project with a total budget
of $450,000. According to the schedule, your
team should have completed 45% of the work by
now. But at the latest status meeting, the team
only reported that 40% of the work has actually
been completed. The team has spent $165,000
so far on the project. How would you BEST
describe this project?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its
budget
B. The project is behind schedule and within its
budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its
budget
D. The project is behind schedule and over its
budget
Martin Bailey October 2012 58
The Easy Part
You are managing a project with a total budget
of $450,000. According to the schedule, your
team should have completed 45% of the work by
now. But at the latest status meeting, the team
only reported that 40% of the work has actually
been completed. The team has spent $165,000
so far on the project. How would you BEST
describe this project?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its
budget
B. The project is behind schedule and within its
budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its
budget
D. The project is behind schedule and over its
budget
You are behind
Schedule
Half of the answers
are gone!
Now we need 1
formula, a
calculator, and
logic.
Martin Bailey October 2012 59
You are managing a project with a total budget
of $450,000. According to the schedule, your
team should have completed 45% of the work by
now. But at the latest status meeting, the team
only reported that 40% of the work has actually
been completed. The team has spent $165,000
so far on the project. How would you BEST
describe this project?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its
budget
B. The project is behind schedule and within its
budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its
budget
D. The project is behind schedule and over its
budget
You are behind
Schedule
Earned Value
EV = BAC * actual % complete
EV = $450,000 * 40%
EV = $180,000
Martin Bailey October 2012 60
You are managing a project with a total
budget of $450,000. According to the
schedule, your team should have
completed 45% of the work by now. But at
the latest status meeting, the team only
reported that 40% of the work has
actually been completed. The team has
spent $165,000 so far on the project. How
would you BEST describe this project?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and
within its budget
B. The project is behind schedule and
within its budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and
over its budget
D. The project is behind schedule and over
its budget
You are behind
Schedule
EV = $180,000
AC = $165,000
Martin Bailey October 2012 61
You are managing a project with a total
budget of $450,000. According to the
schedule, your team should have
completed 45% of the work by now. But at
the latest status meeting, the team only
reported that 40% of the work has
actually been completed. The team has
spent $165,000 so far on the project. How
would you BEST describe this project?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and
within its budget
B. The project is behind schedule and
within its budget
C. The project is ahead of schedule and
over its budget
D. The project is behind schedule and over
its budget
You are behind
Schedule
EV = $180,000
AC = $165,000
Cost is less than
value, therefore
you are NOT over
budget
Martin Bailey October 2012 62
Which of the following cumulative
measures indicates that your project is
about 9% under budget.
A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the
cumulative EV was 110.
B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the
cumulative AC was 110.
C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the
cumulative EV was 100.
D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the
cumulative PV was 110.
Martin Bailey October 2012 63
Which of the following cumulative
measures indicates that your project is
about 9% under budget.
A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the
cumulative EV was 110.
B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the
cumulative AC was 110.
C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the
cumulative EV was 100.
D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the
cumulative PV was 110.
Understand the
question before
getting stuck on
formulas and reaching
for the calculator.
This will make life
easier.
Martin Bailey October 2012 64
Which of the following cumulative
measures indicates that your project is
about 9% under budget.
A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the
cumulative EV was 110.
B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the
cumulative AC was 110.
C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the
cumulative EV was 100.
D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the
cumulative PV was 110.
Budget is COST, not
schedule.
So think either
COST Variance
Or
COST Performance
Index
Martin Bailey October 2012 65
Which of the following cumulative
measures indicates that your project is
about 9% under budget.
A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the
cumulative EV was 110.
B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the
cumulative AC was 110.
C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the
cumulative EV was 100.
D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the
cumulative PV was 110.
COST Variance
CV = EV - AC
COST Performance
Index
CPI = EV / AC
© Martin Bailey Sept 2012
Martin Bailey October 2012 66
Which of the following cumulative
measures indicates that your project is
about 9% under budget.
A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the
cumulative EV was 110.
B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the
cumulative AC was 110.
C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the
cumulative EV was 100.
D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the
cumulative PV was 110.
COST Variance
CV = EV - AC
COST Performance
Index
CPI = EV / AC
PV is NOT in either
formula, so 2 answers
are NOT correct
Martin Bailey October 2012 67
Which of the following cumulative
measures indicates that your project is
about 9% under budget.
A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the
cumulative EV was 110.
B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the
cumulative AC was 110.
C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the
cumulative EV was 100.
D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the
cumulative PV was 110.
COST Variance
CV = EV - AC
COST Performance Index
CPI = EV / AC
PV is NOT in either formula,
So 2 answers are NOT correct
Time to reach for the
calculator? Which
formula do I use?
Martin Bailey October 2012 68
Which of the following cumulative
measures indicates that your project is
about 9% under budget.
A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the
cumulative EV was 110.
B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the
cumulative AC was 110.
C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the
cumulative EV was 100.
D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the
cumulative PV was 110.
It is not that
difficult !
Use
Logic &
Understanding
to answer this in seconds
without a calculator.
Martin Bailey October 2012 69
Which of the following cumulative
measures indicates that your project is
about 9% under budget.
A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the
cumulative EV was 110.
B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the
cumulative AC was 110.
C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the
cumulative EV was 100.
D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the
cumulative PV was 110.
The key words are Under
Budget.
The means getting more
for your money than you
are spending.
You can rephrase that
to: Getting move
value than you are
paying for, or EV > AC.
Martin Bailey October 2012 70
Which of the following cumulative
measures indicates that your project is
about 9% under budget.
A. The cumulative AC was 100, and
the cumulative EV was 110.
B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the
cumulative AC was 110.
C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the
cumulative EV was 100.
D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the
cumulative PV was 110.
The key words are Under
Budget.
The means getting more
for your money than you
are spending.
You can rephrase that
to: Getting move
value than you are
paying for, or EV > AC.
The answer is A.
Martin Bailey October 2012 71
During the 6 month update on a 10 month
$300,000 project, the earned value
management analysis shows that the
cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is
$120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In
planning its action the project management
team can conclude all of the following from
these measures EXCEPT:
A. Less has been accomplished than planned
B. Less has been spent than planned
C. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed behind schedule and under
budget.
D. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed ahead of schedule and over
budget.
Martin Bailey October 2012 72
During the 6 month update on a 10 month
$300,000 project, the earned value
management analysis shows that the
cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is
$120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In
planning its action the project management
team can conclude all of the following from
these measures EXCEPT:
A. Less has been accomplished than planned
B. Less has been spent than planned
C. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed behind schedule and under
budget.
D. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed ahead of schedule and over
budget.
To quote a character from
Little Orphan Annie,
“Oh my goodness,
OH MY GOODNESS!”
There is a lot there!
Martin Bailey October 2012 73
During the 6 month update on a 10 month
$300,000 project, the earned value
management analysis shows that the
cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is
$120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In
planning its action the project management
team can conclude all of the following from
these measures EXCEPT:
A. Less has been accomplished than planned
B. Less has been spent than planned
C. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed behind schedule and under
budget.
D. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed ahead of schedule and over
budget.
First the Important thing
Note the word EXCEPT!
Martin Bailey October 2012 74
During the 6 month update on a 10 month
$300,000 project, the earned value
management analysis shows that the
cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is
$120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In
planning its action the project management
team can conclude all of the following from
these measures EXCEPT:
A. Less has been accomplished than planned
B. Less has been spent than planned
C. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed behind schedule and under
budget.
D. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed ahead of schedule and over
budget.
Now take out the "noise".
Martin Bailey October 2012 75
During the 6 month update on a 10 month
$300,000 project, the earned value
management analysis shows that the
cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is
$120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In
planning its action the project management
team can conclude all of the following from
these measures EXCEPT:
A. Less has been accomplished than planned
B. Less has been spent than planned
C. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed behind schedule and under
budget.
D. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed ahead of schedule and over
budget.
A & B deal with
differences.
C& D look to be dealing
with Performance
(Indexes)
Get rid of the “noise”
Martin Bailey October 2012 76
During the 6 month update on a 10 month
$300,000 project, the earned value
management analysis shows that the
cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is
$120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In
planning its action the project management
team can conclude all of the following from
these measures EXCEPT:
A. Less has been accomplished than planned
B. Less has been spent than planned
C. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed behind schedule and under
budget.
D. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed ahead of schedule and over
budget.
Now that the “noise” is
gone lets highlight the
question in green and go
over what we know.
EV = $150,000
AC = $120,000
EV = $150,000
PV = $190,000
Calculator Time ?
What
Formulas?
Martin Bailey October 2012 77
During the 6 month update on a 10 month
$300,000 project, the earned value
management analysis shows that the
cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is
$120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In
planning its action the project management
team can conclude all of the following from
these measures EXCEPT:
A. Less has been accomplished than planned
B. Less has been spent than planned
C. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed behind schedule and under
budget.
D. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed ahead of schedule and over
budget.
It is not that
difficult !
Use
Logic &
Understanding
to answer this in seconds
without a calculator.
Martin Bailey October 2012 78
During the 6 month update on a 10 month
$300,000 project, the earned value
management analysis shows that the
cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is
$120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In
planning its action the project management
team can conclude all of the following from
these measures EXCEPT:
A. Less has been accomplished than planned
B. Less has been spent than planned
C. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed behind schedule and under
budget.
D. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed ahead of schedule and over
budget.
EV = $150,000
AC = $120,000
We have earned more
value than the cost. We
are Under Budget.
EV = $150,000
PV = $190,000
We have received less
value than we planned to
this point. We are Behind
Schedule.
Martin Bailey October 2012 79
Time to Answer the
Question
During the 6 month update on a 10 month
$300,000 project, the earned value
management analysis shows that the
cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is
$120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In
planning its action the project management
team can conclude all of the following from
these measures EXCEPT:
A. Less has been accomplished than planned
B. Less has been spent than planned
C. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed behind schedule and under
budget.
D. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed ahead of schedule and over
budget.
We are Under Budget.
We are Behind Schedule.
A is true
B is true
C is true
D is NOT true
Martin Bailey October 2012 80
Time to Answer the
Question
During the 6 month update on a 10 month
$300,000 project, the earned value
management analysis shows that the
cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is
$120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In
planning its action the project management
team can conclude all of the following from
these measures EXCEPT:
A. Less has been accomplished than planned
B. Less has been spent than planned
C. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed behind schedule and under
budget.
D. Continuing performance at the same
efficiency with no management
intervention, the project will probably be
completed ahead of schedule and over
budget.
We are Under Budget.
We are Behind Schedule.
A is true
B is true
C is true
D is NOT true
Don’t forget the EXCEPT !
D is the correct answer!
Martin Bailey October 2012 81
If cumulative PV = 100, cumulative EV =
98 and cumulative AC = 104, the
project is likely to be:
A. Ahead of Schedule
B. Headed for a cost overrun
C. Operating at project cost projection
D. Under budget at completion
Martin Bailey October 2012 82
If cumulative PV = 100, cumulative EV =
98 and cumulative AC = 104, the
project is likely to be:
A. Ahead of Schedule
B. Headed for a cost overrun
C. Operating at project cost projection
D. Under budget at completion
EV = 98
AC = 104
EV = 98
PV = 100
Martin Bailey October 2012 83
If cumulative PV = 100, cumulative EV =
98 and cumulative AC = 104, the
project is likely to be:
A. Ahead of Schedule
B. Headed for a cost overrun
C. Operating at project cost projection
D. Under budget at completion
EV = 98
AC = 104
If EV < AC we are
over budget
EV = 98
PV = 100
If EV < PV we are
behind schedule
Martin Bailey October 2012 84
If cumulative PV = 100, cumulative EV =
98 and cumulative AC = 104, the
project is likely to be:
A. Ahead of Schedule
B. Headed for a cost overrun
C. Operating at project cost projection
D. Under budget at completion
EV = 98
AC = 104
If EV < AC we are
over budget
EV = 98
PV = 100
If EV < PV we are
behind schedule
Martin Bailey October 2012 85
If cumulative PV = 100, cumulative EV =
98 and cumulative AC = 104, the
project is likely to be:
A. Ahead of Schedule
B. Headed for a cost overrun
C. Operating at project cost projection
D. Under budget at completion
EV = 98
AC = 104
If EV < AC we are
over budget
EV = 98
PV = 100
If EV < PV we are
behind schedule
Martin Bailey October 2012 86
You monitored figures on cost and
planned/earned value for each individual
project week until the data date at the end
of the sixth week. What is the status of this
project at this date?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget.
B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget.
C. The project is behind schedule and over budget.
D. The project is behind schedule and under budget.
Project week Actual costs Earned value Planned value
1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000
2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000
3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000
4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000
5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000
6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000
Martin Bailey October 2012 87
You monitored figures on cost and
planned/earned value for each individual
project week until the data date at the end
of the sixth week. What is the status of this
project at this date?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget.
B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget.
C. The project is behind schedule and over budget.
D. The project is behind schedule and under budget.
This looks scary on the
surface.
Lots of formulas &
calculations.
Project week Actual costs Earned value Planned value
1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000
2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000
3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000
4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000
5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000
6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000
Martin Bailey October 2012 88
You monitored figures on cost and
planned/earned value for each individual
project week until the data date at the end
of the sixth week. What is the status of this
project at this date?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget.
B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget.
C. The project is behind schedule and over budget.
D. The project is behind schedule and under budget.
Actually it is easy.
First Steps.
Get Column Totals
For AC, EV, PV
Project week Actual costs
AC
Earned value
EV
Planned value
PV
1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000
2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000
3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000
4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000
5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000
6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000
Martin Bailey October 2012 89
You monitored figures on cost and
planned/earned value for each individual
project week until the data date at the end
of the sixth week. What is the status of this
project at this date?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget.
B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget.
C. The project is behind schedule and over budget.
D. The project is behind schedule and under budget.
AC = $635,000
EV = $619,000
PV = $657,000
Now to rearrange
them to make
comparison easier
Project week Actual costs
AC
Earned value
EV
Planned value
PV
1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000
2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000
3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000
4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000
5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000
6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000
Martin Bailey October 2012 90
You monitored figures on cost and
planned/earned value for each individual
project week until the data date at the end
of the sixth week. What is the status of this
project at this date?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget.
B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget.
C. The project is behind schedule and over budget.
D. The project is behind schedule and under budget.
EV = $619,000
AC = $635,000
EV = $619,000
PV = $657,000
Project week Actual costs
AC
Earned value
EV
Planned value
PV
1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000
2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000
3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000
4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000
5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000
6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000
Martin Bailey October 2012 91
You monitored figures on cost and
planned/earned value for each individual
project week until the data date at the end
of the sixth week. What is the status of this
project at this date?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget.
B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget.
C. The project is behind schedule and over budget.
D. The project is behind schedule and under budget.
EV = $619,000
AC = $635,000
Since EV < AC, you are
over budget
EV = $619,000
PV = $657,000
Project week Actual costs
AC
Earned value
EV
Planned value
PV
1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000
2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000
3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000
4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000
5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000
6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000
Martin Bailey October 2012 92
You monitored figures on cost and
planned/earned value for each individual
project week until the data date at the end
of the sixth week. What is the status of this
project at this date?
A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget.
B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget.
C. The project is behind schedule and over budget.
D. The project is behind schedule and under budget.
EV = $619,000
AC = $635,000
Since EV < AC, you are
over budget
EV = $619,000
PV = $657,000
Since EV < PV, you are
behind schedule
Project week Actual costs
AC
Earned value
EV
Planned value
PV
1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000
2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000
3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000
4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000
5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000
6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000
Martin Bailey October 2012 93
A project manager reported the
following earned value data: PV:
$12,400,000 EV: $14,500,000 AC:
$14,500,000 What does this mean?
A. The project is over budget and
on schedule.
B. The project is under budget and
on schedule
C. The project is on budget, but
behind schedule.
D. The project is on budget and
ahead of schedule.
Martin Bailey October 2012 94
A project manager reported the
following earned value data: PV:
$12,400,000 EV: $14,500,000 AC:
$14,500,000 What does this mean?
A. The project is over budget and
on schedule.
B. The project is under budget and
on schedule
C. The project is on budget, but
behind schedule.
D. The project is on budget and
ahead of schedule.
First:
Get rid of the noise
Martin Bailey October 2012 95
A project manager reported the
following earned value data: PV:
$12,400,000 EV: $14,500,000 AC:
$14,500,000 What does this mean?
A. The project is over budget and
on schedule.
B. The project is under budget and
on schedule
C. The project is on budget, but
behind schedule.
D. The project is on budget and
ahead of schedule.
EV = $14,500,000
AC = $14,500,000
EV = $14,500,000
PV = $12,400,000
Martin Bailey October 2012 96
A project manager reported the
following earned value data: PV:
$12,400,000 EV: $14,500,000 AC:
$14,500,000 What does this mean?
A. The project is over budget and
on schedule.
B. The project is under budget and
on schedule
C. The project is on budget, but
behind schedule.
D. The project is on budget and
ahead of schedule.
EV = $14,500,000
AC = $14,500,000
EV = AC (On budget)
EV = $14,500,000
PV = $12,400,000
Martin Bailey October 2012 97
A project manager reported the
following earned value data: PV:
$12,400,000 EV: $14,500,000 AC:
$14,500,000 What does this mean?
A. The project is over budget and
on schedule.
B. The project is under budget and
on schedule
C. The project is on budget, but
behind schedule.
D. The project is on budget and
ahead of schedule.
EV = $14,500,000
AC = $14,500,000
EV = AC (On budget)
EV = $14,500,000
PV = $12,400,000
EV > PV (ahead of
schedule)
Martin Bailey October 2012 98
Question 14 You are a Project Manager of a
home remodeling project. The
Budget At Completion (BAC) for this
project is $68,000 US. By looking at
your schedule, you should be 65%
complete, but you are only 50%
done. What is your Earned Value?
A. $30,800 US
B. $44,200 US
C. $34,000 US
D. $22,000 US
Martin Bailey October 2012 99
You are a Project Manager of a
home remodeling project. The
Budget At Completion (BAC) for this
project is $68,000 US. By looking at
your schedule, you should be 65%
complete, but you are only 50%
done. What is your Earned Value?
A. $30,800 US
B. $44,200 US
C. $34,000 US
D. $22,000 US
Lots of words.
What is the real
question?
Martin Bailey October 2012 100
You are a Project Manager of a
home remodeling project. The
Budget At Completion (BAC) for this
project is $68,000 US. By looking at
your schedule, you should be 65%
complete, but you are only 50%
done. What is your Earned Value?
A. $30,800 US
B. $44,200 US
C. $34,000 US
D. $22,000 US
EV =
BAC * %complete
Martin Bailey October 2012 101
You are a Project Manager of a
home remodeling project. The
Budget At Completion (BAC) for this
project is $68,000 US. By looking at
your schedule, you should be 65%
complete, but you are only 50%
done. What is your Earned Value?
$30,800 US
$44,200 US
$34,000 US
$22,000 US
Get rid of the
noise
Martin Bailey October 2012 102
You are a Project Manager of a
home remodeling project. The
Budget At Completion (BAC) for this
project is $68,000 US. By looking at
your schedule, you should be 65%
complete, but you are only 50%
done. What is your Earned Value?
A. $30,800 US
B. $44,200 US
C. $34,000 US
D. $22,000 US
$68,000 * %50 =
$34,000
Martin Bailey October 2012 103
There are 17 people on a
project. How many lines of
communication are there?
A. 136
B. 105
C. 112
D. 68
Martin Bailey October 2012 104
Communication Lines There are 17 people on a
project. How many lines of
communication are there?
A. 136
B. 105
C. 112
D. 68
Answer = N * (N-1) / 2
© Martin Bailey Sept 2012
Martin Bailey October 2012 105
Communication Lines There are 17 people on a
project. How many lines of
communication are there?
A. 136
B. 105
C. 112
D. 68
Answer = N * (N-1) / 2
Answer = 17 * 16 / 2
Answer = 136
Martin Bailey October 2012 106
Communication Lines There are 17 people on a
project. How many lines of
communication are there?
A. 136
B. 105
C. 112
D. 68
A different Approach
Using N or N-1
(because I don’t like
multplying BIG numbers)
Either N or N-1 ends up being
EVEN.. So divide the even number
by 2 and multiply by the other.
In this Case N = 17
N-1 = 16 16/2 = 8
8 * 17 = 136
Martin Bailey October 2012 107
You are a project manager on a large
military contract that involves 7
subcontractor companies and a total
of 1,253 team members, 752
stakeholders and sponsors, and 14
project managers (including you). You
need to get a handle on the
communications channels, because
otherwise your project will devolve
into chaos. How many potential
channels of communication are there
on this project?
A. 2019
B. 91
C. 2,037,171
D. No way to determine
Martin Bailey October 2012 108
Communication Channels
You are a project manager on a large
military contract that involves 7
subcontractor companies and a total
of 1,253 team members, 752
stakeholders and sponsors, and 14
project managers (including you). You
need to get a handle on the
communications channels, because
otherwise your project will devolve
into chaos. How many potential
channels of communication are there
on this project?
A. 2019
B. 91
C. 2,037,171
D. No way to determine
First we need to get rid of the
“curveball” that was thrown
in here.
The Subcontractors are
Stakeholders!
So don’t include the
Companies as additional
Stakeholders!
Martin Bailey October 2012 109
Communication Channels
You are a project manager on a large
military contract that involves 7
subcontractor companies and a total
of 1,253 team members, 752
stakeholders and sponsors, and 14
project managers (including you). You
need to get a handle on the
communications channels, because
otherwise your project will devolve
into chaos. How many potential
channels of communication are there
on this project?
A. 2019
B. 91
C. 2,037,171
D. No way to determine
I guess we need a calculator
to figure out N
1,253
752
+ 14
2019
N = 2019
Martin Bailey October 2012 110
Communication Channels
You are a project manager on a large
military contract that involves 7
subcontractor companies and a total
of 1,253 team members, 752
stakeholders and sponsors, and 14
project managers (including you). You
need to get a handle on the
communications channels, because
otherwise your project will devolve
into chaos. How many potential
channels of communication are there
on this project?
A. 2019
B. 91
C. 2,037,171
D. No way to determine
I guess we need a calculator
to figure out N
1,253
752
+ 14
2019
N = 2019
Martin Bailey October 2012 111
You are a project manager on a large
military contract that involves 7
subcontractor companies and a total
of 1,253 team members, 752
stakeholders and sponsors, and 14
project managers (including you). You
need to get a handle on the
communications channels, because
otherwise your project will devolve
into chaos. How many potential
channels of communication are there
on this project?
A. 2019
B. 91
C. 2,037,171
D. No way to determine
Prove it by
doing the Math
The formula is N * (N-1) /2
N = 2019
N-1 = 2018
Now divide the even
number by 2
2018/2 = 1009
2,019 * 1,009 =
2,037,171
Martin Bailey October 2012 112
You are a project manager on a large
military contract that involves 7
subcontractor companies and a total
of 1,253 team members, 752
stakeholders and sponsors, and 14
project managers (including you). You
need to get a handle on the
communications channels, because
otherwise your project will devolve
into chaos. How many potential
channels of communication are there
on this project?
A. 2019
B. 91
C. 2,037,171
D. No way to determine
Lets put the calculator down.
The rest is logic !
N = 2019
The formula is
N * (N-1) /2
Martin Bailey October 2012 113
You are a project manager on a large
military contract that involves 7
subcontractor companies and a total
of 1,253 team members, 752
stakeholders and sponsors, and 14
project managers (including you). You
need to get a handle on the
communications channels, because
otherwise your project will devolve
into chaos. How many potential
channels of communication are there
on this project?
A. 2019
B. 91
C. 2,037,171
D. No way to determine
N = 2019
The formula is
N * (N-1) /2
Therefore we know
the answer is larger
than 2019 !
This eliminates A & B
Martin Bailey October 2012 114
You are a project manager on a large
military contract that involves 7
subcontractor companies and a total
of 1,253 team members, 752
stakeholders and sponsors, and 14
project managers (including you). You
need to get a handle on the
communications channels, because
otherwise your project will devolve
into chaos. How many potential
channels of communication are there
on this project?
A. 2019
B. 91
C. 2,037,171
D. No way to determine
N = 2019
The formula is
N * (N-1) /2
Since we know N
We can compute
N-1
Which means we CAN
determine an answer!
C is Correct !
Martin Bailey October 2012 115
You are the project manager for a
project where there are 7 team-
members. One more team member
will be joining after 1 week. What is
the number of communication
channels once the new person joins
your team?
A. 28
B. 21
C. 18
D. 36
Martin Bailey October 2012 116
You are the project manager for a
project where there are 7 team-
members. One more team member
will be joining after 1 week. What is
the number of communication
channels once the new person joins
your team?
A. 28
B. 21
C. 18
D. 36
7 team members
1 new team member
You (don’t forget yourself)
9 Total contacts
Martin Bailey October 2012 117
You are the project manager for a
project where there are 7 team-
members. One more team member
will be joining after 1 week. What is
the number of communication
channels once the new person joins
your team?
A. 28
B. 21
C. 18
D. 36
9 Total contacts
N * (N-1) / 2
N = 9
N-1 = 8
8/2 = 4
9 * 4 = 36
Martin Bailey October 2012 118
Back to the first question
Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working
on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the
new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team
has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4
months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in
this time period.
Is this project:
A. On time
B. Ahead of Schedule
C. Behind Schedule
D. Not enough information to determine
Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working
on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the
new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team
has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4
months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in
this time period.
Is this project:
A. On time
B. Ahead of Schedule
C. Behind Schedule
D. Not enough information to determine
Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working
on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the
new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team
has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4
months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in
this time period.
Is this project:
A. On time
B. Ahead of Schedule
C. Behind Schedule
D. Not enough information to determine
Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working
on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the
new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team
has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4
months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in
this time period.
Is this project:
A. On time
B. Ahead of Schedule
C. Behind Schedule
D. Not enough information to determine
Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working
on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the
new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team
has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4
months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in
this time period.
Is this project:
A. On time
B. Ahead of Schedule
C. Behind Schedule
D. Not enough information to determine
Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working
on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the
new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team
has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4
months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in
this time period.
Is this project:
A. On time
B. Ahead of Schedule
C. Behind Schedule
D. Not enough information to determine
Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working
on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the
new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team
has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4
months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in
this time period.
Is this project:
A. On time
B. Ahead of Schedule
C. Behind Schedule
D. Not enough information to determine
Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working
on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the
new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team
has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4
months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in
this time period.
Is this project:
A. On time
B. Ahead of Schedule
C. Behind Schedule
D. Not enough information to determine
The real question is
Delivered 4 miles of road in 4 months.
Planned for 5 miles of road in this time period.
Is this project:
A. On time
B. Ahead of Schedule
C. Behind Schedule
D. Not enough information to determine
Summary
Budget or Cost
EV = Earned Value
AC = Actual Cost
If EV = AC
– On budget
If EV > AC
– Under Budget
– Positive Cost Variance
If EV < AC
– Over Budget
– Negative Cost Variance
NOTE: Within Budget can mean
On Budget or Under Budget
Schedule
EV = Earned Value
PV = Planned Value
If EV = PV
– On schedule
If EV > PV
– Ahead of Schedule
– Positive Schedule Variance
If EV < PV
– Behind Schedule
– Negative Schedule Variance
NOTE: Within Schedule can mean
On Schedule or Ahead of Schedule
Martin Bailey October 2012 128
Summary (Continued)
• The goal of this presentation is to show you logic (or
tricks) that will save you time on the exam.
• If you answer a question this way but feel it was too
easy.
– Answer the question using the short cut
– Mark the question for review
– Answer the question again
• If you use a formula on the 2nd or 3rd time thru – be sure to use the
correct one
• Use the scratch paper
• Don’t forget to do the “Brain Dump” before starting.
Martin Bailey October 2012 / March 2016 129
Questions or Comments?
Martin Bailey October 2012 130
Martin R. Bailey
Mentor, Leader, and Advisor
in Project & Program Management
as well as Agile.
MartinRBailey@gmail.com
479-270-2485
MPM, PMP, CSM, ITIL
www.linkedin.com/in/martinrbailey

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Logic of Formulas - how to answer EVM questions without Math

  • 2. I fill a bathtub with water and provide a teaspoon, cup, and bucket. How do you empty the tub? Martin Bailey October 2012 2
  • 3. Formulas Getting all mumble-jumbled? ETC = EAC–AC EAC = BAC/Cumulative CPI EV= %Complete*BAC PERTPV (Planned Value) CV (Cost Variance) EV (Earned Value) SPI (Schedule Performance Index) EAC = AC+Bottom up ETC VAC = BAC–EAC n(n-1)/2 Martin Bailey October 2012 3
  • 4. Is this how you feel? Martin Bailey October 2012 4
  • 5. Is this how you see the PMI questions? Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4 months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in this time period. Is this project: A. On time B. Ahead of Schedule C. Behind Schedule D. Not enough information to determine
  • 6. Don’t be scared of the Exam Questions • In many cases you may reach for a calculator and try to remember formulas when you don’t need to. • The goal of this presentation is to “demystify” determining project status the easy way. – On time, ahead of schedule, late – On budget, under budget, overbudget Martin Bailey October 2012 6
  • 7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road Project Plan 8 Months long 10 miles of gravel Cost of $80,000
  • 8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road Project Plan 8 Months long 10 miles of gravel Cost of $80,000 Simple budget plan: $8,000 per mile planned cost $10,000 per month budget – example at end of 3rd month $30,000 planned budget $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000
  • 9. Expected Completion 5 miles- PV 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road Project Plan 8 Months long, 10 miles of gravel BAC $80,000 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 Completion – 5 miles EV Cost of $40,00 4th month
  • 10. Expected Completion 5 miles- PV 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road Project Plan 8 Months long, 10 miles of gravel BAC $80,000 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 Completion – 5 miles EV Cost of $40,00 4th month What can we tell from this?
  • 11. Expected Completion 5 miles- PV 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road Project Plan 8 Months long, 10 miles of gravel BAC $80,000 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 Completion – 5 miles EV Cost of $40,00 4th month On Schedule
  • 12. Expected Completion 5 miles- PV 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road Project Plan 8 Months long, 10 miles of gravel BAC $80,000 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 Completion – 5 miles EV Cost of $40,00 4th month On Budget
  • 13. Expected Completion 5 miles- PV 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road Project Plan 8 Months long, 10 miles of gravel BAC $80,000 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 Completion – 4 miles EV Behind schedule 4th month PV = 5 miles at $40.00 EV = 4 miles AC = $32,000
  • 14. Expected Completion 5 miles- PV 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 PROJECT: a gravel (stone) road Project Plan 8 Months long, 10 miles of gravel BAC $80,000 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 Completion – 6 miles EV Ahead of schedule Over budget 4th month PV = 5 miles at $40.00 EV = 6 miles AC = $48,000
  • 15. Understanding 4 Key Formulas • Cost Variance • Cost Performance Index • Schedule Variance • Schedule Performance Index Martin Bailey October 2012 15
  • 16. Understanding 4 Key Formulas • Cost Variance • Cost Performance Index • Schedule Variance • Schedule Performance Index Variance means Difference Or Subtraction Martin Bailey October 2012 16
  • 17. Understanding 4 Key Formulas • Cost Variance CV= EV - AC • Cost Performance Index • Schedule Variance SV = EV - PV • Schedule Performance Index Variance means Difference Or Subtraction Cost Variance = Earned Value – Actual Cost Schedule Variance = Earned Value – Planned Value Martin Bailey October 2012 17
  • 18. Understanding 4 Key Formulas • Cost Variance CV= EV - AC • Cost Performance Index • Schedule Variance SV = EV - PV • Schedule Performance Index Helpful Hints: BOTH subtract from Earned Value The Cost formulas include “Cost” values Cost Variance = Earned Value – Actual Cost Schedule Variance = Earned Value – Planned Value Martin Bailey October 2012 18
  • 19. Understanding 4 Key Formulas • Cost Variance • Cost Performance Index • Schedule Variance • Schedule Performance Index Index means Ratio or Fraction Martin Bailey October 2012 19
  • 20. Understanding 4 Key Formulas • Cost Variance • Cost Performance Index CPI = EV / AC • Schedule Variance • Schedule Performance Index SPI = EV / PV Index means Ratio or Fraction Martin Bailey October 2012 20
  • 21. Understanding 4 Key Formulas • Cost Variance CV= EV - AC • Cost Performance Index CPI = EV / AC • Schedule Variance SV = EV - PV • Schedule Performance Index SPI = EV / PV Helpful Hints: The Cost formulas include “Cost” values Cost Variance = Earned Value – Actual Cost Cost Performance Index = Earned Value / Actual Cost Martin Bailey October 2012 21
  • 22. Understanding 4 Key Formulas • Cost Variance CV= EV AC • Cost Performance Index CPI = EV / AC • Schedule Variance SV = EV PV • Schedule Performance Index SPI = EV / PV Helpful Hints: The MAGIC function sign Notice that to get CPI you “tipped” the minus sign in CV to make it a “divide by” sign Notice that to get SPI you “tipped” the minus sign in SV to make it a “divide by” sign This means: Once you know CV and SV you know CPI & SPI ! Martin Bailey October 2012 22
  • 23. What can EV, AC, & PV tell you Without Calculations EV = Earned Value AC = Actual Cost PV = Planned Value Martin Bailey October 2012 23
  • 24. What can EV, AC, & PV tell you Without Calculations EV = Earned Value AC = Actual Cost PV = Planned Value What can we determine without using the formulas for CV, SV, CPI, SPI? Martin Bailey October 2012 24
  • 25. EV = Earned Value AC = Actual Cost What can EV, AC, & PV tell you Without Calculations • If EV = AC – On budget • If EV > AC – Under Budget – Positive Cost Variance • If EV < AC – Over Budget – Negative Cost Variance If EV =AC CV = EV-AC CV = 0 (good) CPI = EV/AC CV = 1 (good) If EV > AC CV = EV-AC CV > 0 positive (good) CPI = EV/AC CPI > I (good) If EV < AC CV = EV-AC CV < 0 negative (bad) CPI = EV/AC CPI < I (bad) Martin Bailey October 2012 25
  • 26. EV = Earned Value PV = Planned Value What can EV, AC, & PV tell you Without Calculations • If EV = PV – On schedule • If EV > PV – Ahead of Schedule – Positive Schedule Variance • If EV < PV – Behind Schedule – Negative Schedule Variance If PV =AC SV = EV-PV SV = 0 (good) SPI = EV/PV SV = 1 (good) If EV > PV SV = EV-PV SV > 0 positive (good) SPI = EV/PV SPI > I (good) If EV < PV SV = EV-PV SV < 0 negative (bad) SPI = EV/PV SPI < I (bad) Martin Bailey October 2012 26
  • 27. You’ve been hired by a large consulting firm to evaluate a software project for them. You have access to the CPI and EV for the project, but not the AC. The CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How much money has actually been spent on the project? A. $158,700 B. $172,500 C. $187,500 D. There is not enough information to calculate the actual cost Martin Bailey October 2012 27
  • 28. You’ve been hired by a large consulting firm to evaluate a software project for them. You have access to the CPI and EV for the project, but not the AC. The CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How much money has actually been spent on the project? A. $158,700 B. $172,500 C. $187,500 D. There is not enough information to calculate the actual cost Did you immediately try to remember the formula? Martin Bailey October 2012 28
  • 29. You’ve been hired by a large consulting firm to evaluate a software project for them. You have access to the CPI and EV for the project, but not the AC. The CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How much money has actually been spent on the project? A. $158,700 B. $172,500 C. $187,500 D. There is not enough information to calculate the actual cost First: Take out the "noise" Martin Bailey October 2012 29
  • 30. You’ve been hired by a large consulting firm to evaluate a software project for them. You have access to the CPI and EV for the project, but not the AC. The CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How much money has actually been spent on the project? A. $158,700 B. $172,500 C. $187,500 D. There is not enough information to calculate the actual cost Time for the formula? CPI = EV / AC Martin Bailey October 2012 30
  • 31. You’ve been hired by a large consulting firm to evaluate a software project for them. You have access to the CPI and EV for the project, but not the AC. The CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How much money has actually been spent on the project? A. $158,700 B. $172,500 C. $187,500 D. There is not enough information to calculate the actual cost CPI = EV / AC Now where is my Calculator? Martin Bailey October 2012 31
  • 32. You’ve been hired by a large consulting firm to evaluate a software project for them. You have access to the CPI and EV for the project, but not the AC. The CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How much money has actually been spent on the project? A. $158,700 B. $172,500 C. $187,500 D. There is not enough information to calculate the actual cost It is not that difficult ! Use Logic & Understanding to answer this in seconds without a calculator. Martin Bailey October 2012 32
  • 33. You’ve been hired by a large consulting firm to evaluate a software project for them. You have access to the CPI and EV for the project, but not the AC. The CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How much money has actually been spent on the project? A. $158,700 B. $172,500 C. $187,500 D. There is not enough information to calculate the actual cost What does CPI Mean? CPI = Cost Performance Index CPI of 1 means: we are getting value equal to what we are spending CPI > 1 means that we are getting more value than what we are paying for. (Paying less for more) CPI < 1 means we are getting less value than we are paying for. (Paying more for less) Martin Bailey October 2012 33
  • 34. You’ve been hired by a large consulting firm to evaluate a software project for them. You have access to the CPI and EV for the project, but not the AC. The CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How much money has actually been spent on the project? A. $158,700 B. $172,500 C. $187,500 D. There is not enough information to calculate the actual cost CPI < 1 means we are getting less value than we are paying for. (Paying more for less) A CPI of .92 is less than 1. This means we are paying more for less. This means Costs are greater than the Earned Value. Martin Bailey October 2012 34
  • 35. You’ve been hired by a large consulting firm to evaluate a software project for them. You have access to the CPI and EV for the project, but not the AC. The CPI is .92, and the EV is $172,500. How much money has actually been spent on the project? A. $158,700 B. $172,500 C. $187,500 D. There is not enough information to calculate the actual cost A CPI of .92 is less than 1. This means we are paying more for less. This means Costs are greater than the Earned Value. Only one answer indicates Costs Greater Than Earned Value. © Martin Bailey Sept 2012 Martin Bailey October 2012 35
  • 36. You are managing a project with AC = $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = - $2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC = $92,100. Your sponsor asks you to forecast how much money you expect to spend on the remainder of the project. Which is the BEST estimate to use for this forecast? A. $45,600 B. $87,400 C. $90,000 D. $92,100 Martin Bailey October 2012 36
  • 37. You are managing a project with AC = $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = - $2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC = $92,100. Your sponsor asks you to forecast how much money you expect to spend on the remainder of the project. Which is the BEST estimate to use for this forecast? A. $45,600 B. $87,400 C. $90,000 D. $92,100 Trying to remember a specific formula? Ready to Reach for a calculator? Martin Bailey October 2012 37
  • 38. You are managing a project with AC = $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = - $2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC = $92,100. Your sponsor asks you to forecast how much money you expect to spend on the remainder of the project. Which is the BEST estimate to use for this forecast? A. $45,600 B. $87,400 C. $90,000 D. $92,100 It is not that difficult ! Use Logic & Understanding to answer this in seconds without a calculator. Martin Bailey October 2012 38
  • 39. First Let’s look at key point of the question. You are managing a project with AC = $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = - $2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC = $92,100. Your sponsor asks you to forecast how much money you expect to spend on the remainder of the project. Which is the BEST estimate to use for this forecast? A. $45,600 B. $87,400 C. $90,000 D. $92,100 Martin Bailey October 2012 39
  • 40. First Let’s look at key point of the question. You are managing a project with AC = $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = - $2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC = $92,100. Your sponsor asks you to forecast how much money you expect to spend on the remainder of the project. Which is the BEST estimate to use for this forecast? A. $45,600 B. $87,400 C. $90,000 D. $92,100 Martin Bailey October 2012 40
  • 41. First Let’s look at key point of the question. You are managing a project with AC = $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = - $2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC = $92,100. Your sponsor asks you to forecast how much money you expect to spend on the remainder of the project. Which is the BEST estimate to use for this forecast? A. $45,600 B. $87,400 C. $90,000 D. $92,100 how much money you expect to spend on the remainder of the project. This sounds very much like,” Estimate (of costs) to Completion”. ETCis short for Estimate to Completion Martin Bailey October 2012 41
  • 42. First Let’s look at key point of the question. You are managing a project with AC = $25,100, ETC = $45,600, VAC = - $2,600, BAC =$90,000, and EAC = $92,100. Your sponsor asks you to forecast how much money you expect to spend on the remainder of the project. Which is the BEST estimate to use for this forecast? A. $45,600 B. $87,400 C. $90,000 D. $92,100 how much money you expect to spend on the remainder of the project. This sounds very much like,” Estimate (of costs) to Completion”. ETCis short for Estimate to Completion Martin Bailey October 2012 42
  • 43. You are managing a construction project to install new door frames in an office building. You planned on spending $12,500 on the project, but your costs are higher than expected, and now you’re afraid that your project is spending too much money. What number tells you the difference between the amount of money you planned on spending and what you’ve actually spent so far on the project? A. AC B. SV C. CV D. VAC Martin Bailey October 2012 43
  • 44. First Step: get rid of the "noise" You are managing a construction project to install new door frames in an office building. You planned on spending $12,500 on the project, but your costs are higher than expected, and now you’re afraid that your project is spending too much money. What number tells you the difference between the amount of money you planned on spending and what you’ve actually spent so far on the project? A. AC B. SV C. CV D. VAC Martin Bailey October 2012 44
  • 45. Now to look at keywords You are managing a construction project to install new door frames in an office building. You planned on spending $12,500 on the project, but your costs are higher than expected, and now you’re afraid that your project is spending too much money. What number tells you the difference between the amount of money you planned on spending and what you’ve actually spent so far on the project? A. AC B. SV C. CV D. VAC Difference = Variance Spending = Cost So what we need Cost Variance Martin Bailey October 2012 45
  • 46. Now to look at keywords You are managing a construction project to install new door frames in an office building. You planned on spending $12,500 on the project, but your costs are higher than expected, and now you’re afraid that your project is spending too much money. What number tells you the difference between the amount of money you planned on spending and what you’ve actually spent so far on the project? A. AC B. SV C. CV D. VAC Difference = Variance Spending = Cost So what we need Cost Variance CV = Cost Variance Martin Bailey October 2012 46
  • 47. You are managing a project with an EV of $15,000, PV of $12,000, and AC of $11,000. How would you BEST describe this project? A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget Martin Bailey October 2012 47
  • 48. You are managing a project with an EV of $15,000, PV of $12,000, and AC of $11,000. How would you BEST describe this project? A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget Did you immediately try to remember the formulas? Martin Bailey October 2012 48
  • 49. You are managing a project with an EV of $15,000, PV of $12,000, and AC of $11,000. How would you BEST describe this project? A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget Did you immediately try to remember the formulas? CPI = EV / AC SPI = EV /PV Martin Bailey October 2012 49
  • 50. You are managing a project with an EV of $15,000, PV of $12,000, and AC of $11,000. How would you BEST describe this project? A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget Did you immediately try to remember the formulas? CPI = EV / AC SPI = EV /PV Reaching for your calculator? Martin Bailey October 2012 50
  • 51. You are managing a project with an EV of $15,000, PV of $12,000, and AC of $11,000. How would you BEST describe this project? A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget It is not that difficult ! Use Logic & Understanding to answer this in seconds without a calculator. Martin Bailey October 2012 51
  • 52. EV = $15,000 – earned value AC = $11,000 – actual cost PV = $12,000 – planned value A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget Get rid of the “noise” Martin Bailey October 2012 52
  • 53. EV = $15,000 – earned value AC = $11,000 – actual cost PV = $12,000 – planned value A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget We earned more than what it cost. It cost less than we planned to spend. Martin Bailey October 2012 53
  • 54. EV = $15,000 – earned value AC = $11,000 – actual cost PV = $12,000 – planned value A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget We earned more than what it cost. That means we are under/ within budget It cost less than we planned to spend. Martin Bailey October 2012 54
  • 55. EV = $15,000 – earned value AC = $11,000 – actual cost PV = $12,000 – planned value A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget We earned more than what it cost. That means we are under/ within budget It cost less than we planned to spend. That means we are ahead of schedule Martin Bailey October 2012 55
  • 56. You are managing a project with a total budget of $450,000. According to the schedule, your team should have completed 45% of the work by now. But at the latest status meeting, the team only reported that 40% of the work has actually been completed. The team has spent $165,000 so far on the project. How would you BEST describe this project? A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget Martin Bailey October 2012 56
  • 57. You are managing a project with a total budget of $450,000. According to the schedule, your team should have completed 45% of the work by now. But at the latest status meeting, the team only reported that 40% of the work has actually been completed. The team has spent $165,000 so far on the project. How would you BEST describe this project? A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget Don’t be scared. There are only 1 calculation and logic involved. Martin Bailey October 2012 57
  • 58. The Easy Part You are managing a project with a total budget of $450,000. According to the schedule, your team should have completed 45% of the work by now. But at the latest status meeting, the team only reported that 40% of the work has actually been completed. The team has spent $165,000 so far on the project. How would you BEST describe this project? A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget Martin Bailey October 2012 58
  • 59. The Easy Part You are managing a project with a total budget of $450,000. According to the schedule, your team should have completed 45% of the work by now. But at the latest status meeting, the team only reported that 40% of the work has actually been completed. The team has spent $165,000 so far on the project. How would you BEST describe this project? A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget You are behind Schedule Half of the answers are gone! Now we need 1 formula, a calculator, and logic. Martin Bailey October 2012 59
  • 60. You are managing a project with a total budget of $450,000. According to the schedule, your team should have completed 45% of the work by now. But at the latest status meeting, the team only reported that 40% of the work has actually been completed. The team has spent $165,000 so far on the project. How would you BEST describe this project? A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget You are behind Schedule Earned Value EV = BAC * actual % complete EV = $450,000 * 40% EV = $180,000 Martin Bailey October 2012 60
  • 61. You are managing a project with a total budget of $450,000. According to the schedule, your team should have completed 45% of the work by now. But at the latest status meeting, the team only reported that 40% of the work has actually been completed. The team has spent $165,000 so far on the project. How would you BEST describe this project? A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget You are behind Schedule EV = $180,000 AC = $165,000 Martin Bailey October 2012 61
  • 62. You are managing a project with a total budget of $450,000. According to the schedule, your team should have completed 45% of the work by now. But at the latest status meeting, the team only reported that 40% of the work has actually been completed. The team has spent $165,000 so far on the project. How would you BEST describe this project? A. The project is ahead of schedule and within its budget B. The project is behind schedule and within its budget C. The project is ahead of schedule and over its budget D. The project is behind schedule and over its budget You are behind Schedule EV = $180,000 AC = $165,000 Cost is less than value, therefore you are NOT over budget Martin Bailey October 2012 62
  • 63. Which of the following cumulative measures indicates that your project is about 9% under budget. A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the cumulative EV was 110. B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the cumulative AC was 110. C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the cumulative EV was 100. D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the cumulative PV was 110. Martin Bailey October 2012 63
  • 64. Which of the following cumulative measures indicates that your project is about 9% under budget. A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the cumulative EV was 110. B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the cumulative AC was 110. C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the cumulative EV was 100. D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the cumulative PV was 110. Understand the question before getting stuck on formulas and reaching for the calculator. This will make life easier. Martin Bailey October 2012 64
  • 65. Which of the following cumulative measures indicates that your project is about 9% under budget. A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the cumulative EV was 110. B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the cumulative AC was 110. C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the cumulative EV was 100. D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the cumulative PV was 110. Budget is COST, not schedule. So think either COST Variance Or COST Performance Index Martin Bailey October 2012 65
  • 66. Which of the following cumulative measures indicates that your project is about 9% under budget. A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the cumulative EV was 110. B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the cumulative AC was 110. C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the cumulative EV was 100. D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the cumulative PV was 110. COST Variance CV = EV - AC COST Performance Index CPI = EV / AC © Martin Bailey Sept 2012 Martin Bailey October 2012 66
  • 67. Which of the following cumulative measures indicates that your project is about 9% under budget. A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the cumulative EV was 110. B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the cumulative AC was 110. C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the cumulative EV was 100. D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the cumulative PV was 110. COST Variance CV = EV - AC COST Performance Index CPI = EV / AC PV is NOT in either formula, so 2 answers are NOT correct Martin Bailey October 2012 67
  • 68. Which of the following cumulative measures indicates that your project is about 9% under budget. A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the cumulative EV was 110. B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the cumulative AC was 110. C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the cumulative EV was 100. D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the cumulative PV was 110. COST Variance CV = EV - AC COST Performance Index CPI = EV / AC PV is NOT in either formula, So 2 answers are NOT correct Time to reach for the calculator? Which formula do I use? Martin Bailey October 2012 68
  • 69. Which of the following cumulative measures indicates that your project is about 9% under budget. A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the cumulative EV was 110. B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the cumulative AC was 110. C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the cumulative EV was 100. D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the cumulative PV was 110. It is not that difficult ! Use Logic & Understanding to answer this in seconds without a calculator. Martin Bailey October 2012 69
  • 70. Which of the following cumulative measures indicates that your project is about 9% under budget. A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the cumulative EV was 110. B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the cumulative AC was 110. C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the cumulative EV was 100. D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the cumulative PV was 110. The key words are Under Budget. The means getting more for your money than you are spending. You can rephrase that to: Getting move value than you are paying for, or EV > AC. Martin Bailey October 2012 70
  • 71. Which of the following cumulative measures indicates that your project is about 9% under budget. A. The cumulative AC was 100, and the cumulative EV was 110. B. The cumulative PV was 100, and the cumulative AC was 110. C. The cumulative AC was 110, and the cumulative EV was 100. D. The cumulative EV was 100, and the cumulative PV was 110. The key words are Under Budget. The means getting more for your money than you are spending. You can rephrase that to: Getting move value than you are paying for, or EV > AC. The answer is A. Martin Bailey October 2012 71
  • 72. During the 6 month update on a 10 month $300,000 project, the earned value management analysis shows that the cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is $120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In planning its action the project management team can conclude all of the following from these measures EXCEPT: A. Less has been accomplished than planned B. Less has been spent than planned C. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed behind schedule and under budget. D. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed ahead of schedule and over budget. Martin Bailey October 2012 72
  • 73. During the 6 month update on a 10 month $300,000 project, the earned value management analysis shows that the cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is $120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In planning its action the project management team can conclude all of the following from these measures EXCEPT: A. Less has been accomplished than planned B. Less has been spent than planned C. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed behind schedule and under budget. D. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed ahead of schedule and over budget. To quote a character from Little Orphan Annie, “Oh my goodness, OH MY GOODNESS!” There is a lot there! Martin Bailey October 2012 73
  • 74. During the 6 month update on a 10 month $300,000 project, the earned value management analysis shows that the cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is $120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In planning its action the project management team can conclude all of the following from these measures EXCEPT: A. Less has been accomplished than planned B. Less has been spent than planned C. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed behind schedule and under budget. D. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed ahead of schedule and over budget. First the Important thing Note the word EXCEPT! Martin Bailey October 2012 74
  • 75. During the 6 month update on a 10 month $300,000 project, the earned value management analysis shows that the cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is $120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In planning its action the project management team can conclude all of the following from these measures EXCEPT: A. Less has been accomplished than planned B. Less has been spent than planned C. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed behind schedule and under budget. D. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed ahead of schedule and over budget. Now take out the "noise". Martin Bailey October 2012 75
  • 76. During the 6 month update on a 10 month $300,000 project, the earned value management analysis shows that the cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is $120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In planning its action the project management team can conclude all of the following from these measures EXCEPT: A. Less has been accomplished than planned B. Less has been spent than planned C. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed behind schedule and under budget. D. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed ahead of schedule and over budget. A & B deal with differences. C& D look to be dealing with Performance (Indexes) Get rid of the “noise” Martin Bailey October 2012 76
  • 77. During the 6 month update on a 10 month $300,000 project, the earned value management analysis shows that the cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is $120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In planning its action the project management team can conclude all of the following from these measures EXCEPT: A. Less has been accomplished than planned B. Less has been spent than planned C. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed behind schedule and under budget. D. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed ahead of schedule and over budget. Now that the “noise” is gone lets highlight the question in green and go over what we know. EV = $150,000 AC = $120,000 EV = $150,000 PV = $190,000 Calculator Time ? What Formulas? Martin Bailey October 2012 77
  • 78. During the 6 month update on a 10 month $300,000 project, the earned value management analysis shows that the cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is $120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In planning its action the project management team can conclude all of the following from these measures EXCEPT: A. Less has been accomplished than planned B. Less has been spent than planned C. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed behind schedule and under budget. D. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed ahead of schedule and over budget. It is not that difficult ! Use Logic & Understanding to answer this in seconds without a calculator. Martin Bailey October 2012 78
  • 79. During the 6 month update on a 10 month $300,000 project, the earned value management analysis shows that the cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is $120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In planning its action the project management team can conclude all of the following from these measures EXCEPT: A. Less has been accomplished than planned B. Less has been spent than planned C. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed behind schedule and under budget. D. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed ahead of schedule and over budget. EV = $150,000 AC = $120,000 We have earned more value than the cost. We are Under Budget. EV = $150,000 PV = $190,000 We have received less value than we planned to this point. We are Behind Schedule. Martin Bailey October 2012 79
  • 80. Time to Answer the Question During the 6 month update on a 10 month $300,000 project, the earned value management analysis shows that the cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is $120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In planning its action the project management team can conclude all of the following from these measures EXCEPT: A. Less has been accomplished than planned B. Less has been spent than planned C. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed behind schedule and under budget. D. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed ahead of schedule and over budget. We are Under Budget. We are Behind Schedule. A is true B is true C is true D is NOT true Martin Bailey October 2012 80
  • 81. Time to Answer the Question During the 6 month update on a 10 month $300,000 project, the earned value management analysis shows that the cumulative PV is $190,000, the cumulative AC is $120,000 and the cumulative EV is $150,000. In planning its action the project management team can conclude all of the following from these measures EXCEPT: A. Less has been accomplished than planned B. Less has been spent than planned C. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed behind schedule and under budget. D. Continuing performance at the same efficiency with no management intervention, the project will probably be completed ahead of schedule and over budget. We are Under Budget. We are Behind Schedule. A is true B is true C is true D is NOT true Don’t forget the EXCEPT ! D is the correct answer! Martin Bailey October 2012 81
  • 82. If cumulative PV = 100, cumulative EV = 98 and cumulative AC = 104, the project is likely to be: A. Ahead of Schedule B. Headed for a cost overrun C. Operating at project cost projection D. Under budget at completion Martin Bailey October 2012 82
  • 83. If cumulative PV = 100, cumulative EV = 98 and cumulative AC = 104, the project is likely to be: A. Ahead of Schedule B. Headed for a cost overrun C. Operating at project cost projection D. Under budget at completion EV = 98 AC = 104 EV = 98 PV = 100 Martin Bailey October 2012 83
  • 84. If cumulative PV = 100, cumulative EV = 98 and cumulative AC = 104, the project is likely to be: A. Ahead of Schedule B. Headed for a cost overrun C. Operating at project cost projection D. Under budget at completion EV = 98 AC = 104 If EV < AC we are over budget EV = 98 PV = 100 If EV < PV we are behind schedule Martin Bailey October 2012 84
  • 85. If cumulative PV = 100, cumulative EV = 98 and cumulative AC = 104, the project is likely to be: A. Ahead of Schedule B. Headed for a cost overrun C. Operating at project cost projection D. Under budget at completion EV = 98 AC = 104 If EV < AC we are over budget EV = 98 PV = 100 If EV < PV we are behind schedule Martin Bailey October 2012 85
  • 86. If cumulative PV = 100, cumulative EV = 98 and cumulative AC = 104, the project is likely to be: A. Ahead of Schedule B. Headed for a cost overrun C. Operating at project cost projection D. Under budget at completion EV = 98 AC = 104 If EV < AC we are over budget EV = 98 PV = 100 If EV < PV we are behind schedule Martin Bailey October 2012 86
  • 87. You monitored figures on cost and planned/earned value for each individual project week until the data date at the end of the sixth week. What is the status of this project at this date? A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget. B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget. C. The project is behind schedule and over budget. D. The project is behind schedule and under budget. Project week Actual costs Earned value Planned value 1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000 2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000 3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000 4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000 5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000 6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000 Martin Bailey October 2012 87
  • 88. You monitored figures on cost and planned/earned value for each individual project week until the data date at the end of the sixth week. What is the status of this project at this date? A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget. B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget. C. The project is behind schedule and over budget. D. The project is behind schedule and under budget. This looks scary on the surface. Lots of formulas & calculations. Project week Actual costs Earned value Planned value 1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000 2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000 3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000 4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000 5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000 6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000 Martin Bailey October 2012 88
  • 89. You monitored figures on cost and planned/earned value for each individual project week until the data date at the end of the sixth week. What is the status of this project at this date? A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget. B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget. C. The project is behind schedule and over budget. D. The project is behind schedule and under budget. Actually it is easy. First Steps. Get Column Totals For AC, EV, PV Project week Actual costs AC Earned value EV Planned value PV 1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000 2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000 3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000 4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000 5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000 6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000 Martin Bailey October 2012 89
  • 90. You monitored figures on cost and planned/earned value for each individual project week until the data date at the end of the sixth week. What is the status of this project at this date? A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget. B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget. C. The project is behind schedule and over budget. D. The project is behind schedule and under budget. AC = $635,000 EV = $619,000 PV = $657,000 Now to rearrange them to make comparison easier Project week Actual costs AC Earned value EV Planned value PV 1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000 2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000 3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000 4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000 5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000 6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000 Martin Bailey October 2012 90
  • 91. You monitored figures on cost and planned/earned value for each individual project week until the data date at the end of the sixth week. What is the status of this project at this date? A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget. B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget. C. The project is behind schedule and over budget. D. The project is behind schedule and under budget. EV = $619,000 AC = $635,000 EV = $619,000 PV = $657,000 Project week Actual costs AC Earned value EV Planned value PV 1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000 2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000 3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000 4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000 5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000 6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000 Martin Bailey October 2012 91
  • 92. You monitored figures on cost and planned/earned value for each individual project week until the data date at the end of the sixth week. What is the status of this project at this date? A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget. B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget. C. The project is behind schedule and over budget. D. The project is behind schedule and under budget. EV = $619,000 AC = $635,000 Since EV < AC, you are over budget EV = $619,000 PV = $657,000 Project week Actual costs AC Earned value EV Planned value PV 1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000 2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000 3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000 4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000 5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000 6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000 Martin Bailey October 2012 92
  • 93. You monitored figures on cost and planned/earned value for each individual project week until the data date at the end of the sixth week. What is the status of this project at this date? A. The project is ahead of schedule and over budget. B. The project is ahead of schedule and under budget. C. The project is behind schedule and over budget. D. The project is behind schedule and under budget. EV = $619,000 AC = $635,000 Since EV < AC, you are over budget EV = $619,000 PV = $657,000 Since EV < PV, you are behind schedule Project week Actual costs AC Earned value EV Planned value PV 1 $65,000 $61,000 $67,000 2 $85,000 $79,000 $89,000 3 $100,000 $102,000 $110,000 4 $125,000 $124,000 $121,000 5 $135,000 $133,000 $139,000 6 $125,000 $120,000 $131,000 Martin Bailey October 2012 93
  • 94. A project manager reported the following earned value data: PV: $12,400,000 EV: $14,500,000 AC: $14,500,000 What does this mean? A. The project is over budget and on schedule. B. The project is under budget and on schedule C. The project is on budget, but behind schedule. D. The project is on budget and ahead of schedule. Martin Bailey October 2012 94
  • 95. A project manager reported the following earned value data: PV: $12,400,000 EV: $14,500,000 AC: $14,500,000 What does this mean? A. The project is over budget and on schedule. B. The project is under budget and on schedule C. The project is on budget, but behind schedule. D. The project is on budget and ahead of schedule. First: Get rid of the noise Martin Bailey October 2012 95
  • 96. A project manager reported the following earned value data: PV: $12,400,000 EV: $14,500,000 AC: $14,500,000 What does this mean? A. The project is over budget and on schedule. B. The project is under budget and on schedule C. The project is on budget, but behind schedule. D. The project is on budget and ahead of schedule. EV = $14,500,000 AC = $14,500,000 EV = $14,500,000 PV = $12,400,000 Martin Bailey October 2012 96
  • 97. A project manager reported the following earned value data: PV: $12,400,000 EV: $14,500,000 AC: $14,500,000 What does this mean? A. The project is over budget and on schedule. B. The project is under budget and on schedule C. The project is on budget, but behind schedule. D. The project is on budget and ahead of schedule. EV = $14,500,000 AC = $14,500,000 EV = AC (On budget) EV = $14,500,000 PV = $12,400,000 Martin Bailey October 2012 97
  • 98. A project manager reported the following earned value data: PV: $12,400,000 EV: $14,500,000 AC: $14,500,000 What does this mean? A. The project is over budget and on schedule. B. The project is under budget and on schedule C. The project is on budget, but behind schedule. D. The project is on budget and ahead of schedule. EV = $14,500,000 AC = $14,500,000 EV = AC (On budget) EV = $14,500,000 PV = $12,400,000 EV > PV (ahead of schedule) Martin Bailey October 2012 98
  • 99. Question 14 You are a Project Manager of a home remodeling project. The Budget At Completion (BAC) for this project is $68,000 US. By looking at your schedule, you should be 65% complete, but you are only 50% done. What is your Earned Value? A. $30,800 US B. $44,200 US C. $34,000 US D. $22,000 US Martin Bailey October 2012 99
  • 100. You are a Project Manager of a home remodeling project. The Budget At Completion (BAC) for this project is $68,000 US. By looking at your schedule, you should be 65% complete, but you are only 50% done. What is your Earned Value? A. $30,800 US B. $44,200 US C. $34,000 US D. $22,000 US Lots of words. What is the real question? Martin Bailey October 2012 100
  • 101. You are a Project Manager of a home remodeling project. The Budget At Completion (BAC) for this project is $68,000 US. By looking at your schedule, you should be 65% complete, but you are only 50% done. What is your Earned Value? A. $30,800 US B. $44,200 US C. $34,000 US D. $22,000 US EV = BAC * %complete Martin Bailey October 2012 101
  • 102. You are a Project Manager of a home remodeling project. The Budget At Completion (BAC) for this project is $68,000 US. By looking at your schedule, you should be 65% complete, but you are only 50% done. What is your Earned Value? $30,800 US $44,200 US $34,000 US $22,000 US Get rid of the noise Martin Bailey October 2012 102
  • 103. You are a Project Manager of a home remodeling project. The Budget At Completion (BAC) for this project is $68,000 US. By looking at your schedule, you should be 65% complete, but you are only 50% done. What is your Earned Value? A. $30,800 US B. $44,200 US C. $34,000 US D. $22,000 US $68,000 * %50 = $34,000 Martin Bailey October 2012 103
  • 104. There are 17 people on a project. How many lines of communication are there? A. 136 B. 105 C. 112 D. 68 Martin Bailey October 2012 104
  • 105. Communication Lines There are 17 people on a project. How many lines of communication are there? A. 136 B. 105 C. 112 D. 68 Answer = N * (N-1) / 2 © Martin Bailey Sept 2012 Martin Bailey October 2012 105
  • 106. Communication Lines There are 17 people on a project. How many lines of communication are there? A. 136 B. 105 C. 112 D. 68 Answer = N * (N-1) / 2 Answer = 17 * 16 / 2 Answer = 136 Martin Bailey October 2012 106
  • 107. Communication Lines There are 17 people on a project. How many lines of communication are there? A. 136 B. 105 C. 112 D. 68 A different Approach Using N or N-1 (because I don’t like multplying BIG numbers) Either N or N-1 ends up being EVEN.. So divide the even number by 2 and multiply by the other. In this Case N = 17 N-1 = 16 16/2 = 8 8 * 17 = 136 Martin Bailey October 2012 107
  • 108. You are a project manager on a large military contract that involves 7 subcontractor companies and a total of 1,253 team members, 752 stakeholders and sponsors, and 14 project managers (including you). You need to get a handle on the communications channels, because otherwise your project will devolve into chaos. How many potential channels of communication are there on this project? A. 2019 B. 91 C. 2,037,171 D. No way to determine Martin Bailey October 2012 108
  • 109. Communication Channels You are a project manager on a large military contract that involves 7 subcontractor companies and a total of 1,253 team members, 752 stakeholders and sponsors, and 14 project managers (including you). You need to get a handle on the communications channels, because otherwise your project will devolve into chaos. How many potential channels of communication are there on this project? A. 2019 B. 91 C. 2,037,171 D. No way to determine First we need to get rid of the “curveball” that was thrown in here. The Subcontractors are Stakeholders! So don’t include the Companies as additional Stakeholders! Martin Bailey October 2012 109
  • 110. Communication Channels You are a project manager on a large military contract that involves 7 subcontractor companies and a total of 1,253 team members, 752 stakeholders and sponsors, and 14 project managers (including you). You need to get a handle on the communications channels, because otherwise your project will devolve into chaos. How many potential channels of communication are there on this project? A. 2019 B. 91 C. 2,037,171 D. No way to determine I guess we need a calculator to figure out N 1,253 752 + 14 2019 N = 2019 Martin Bailey October 2012 110
  • 111. Communication Channels You are a project manager on a large military contract that involves 7 subcontractor companies and a total of 1,253 team members, 752 stakeholders and sponsors, and 14 project managers (including you). You need to get a handle on the communications channels, because otherwise your project will devolve into chaos. How many potential channels of communication are there on this project? A. 2019 B. 91 C. 2,037,171 D. No way to determine I guess we need a calculator to figure out N 1,253 752 + 14 2019 N = 2019 Martin Bailey October 2012 111
  • 112. You are a project manager on a large military contract that involves 7 subcontractor companies and a total of 1,253 team members, 752 stakeholders and sponsors, and 14 project managers (including you). You need to get a handle on the communications channels, because otherwise your project will devolve into chaos. How many potential channels of communication are there on this project? A. 2019 B. 91 C. 2,037,171 D. No way to determine Prove it by doing the Math The formula is N * (N-1) /2 N = 2019 N-1 = 2018 Now divide the even number by 2 2018/2 = 1009 2,019 * 1,009 = 2,037,171 Martin Bailey October 2012 112
  • 113. You are a project manager on a large military contract that involves 7 subcontractor companies and a total of 1,253 team members, 752 stakeholders and sponsors, and 14 project managers (including you). You need to get a handle on the communications channels, because otherwise your project will devolve into chaos. How many potential channels of communication are there on this project? A. 2019 B. 91 C. 2,037,171 D. No way to determine Lets put the calculator down. The rest is logic ! N = 2019 The formula is N * (N-1) /2 Martin Bailey October 2012 113
  • 114. You are a project manager on a large military contract that involves 7 subcontractor companies and a total of 1,253 team members, 752 stakeholders and sponsors, and 14 project managers (including you). You need to get a handle on the communications channels, because otherwise your project will devolve into chaos. How many potential channels of communication are there on this project? A. 2019 B. 91 C. 2,037,171 D. No way to determine N = 2019 The formula is N * (N-1) /2 Therefore we know the answer is larger than 2019 ! This eliminates A & B Martin Bailey October 2012 114
  • 115. You are a project manager on a large military contract that involves 7 subcontractor companies and a total of 1,253 team members, 752 stakeholders and sponsors, and 14 project managers (including you). You need to get a handle on the communications channels, because otherwise your project will devolve into chaos. How many potential channels of communication are there on this project? A. 2019 B. 91 C. 2,037,171 D. No way to determine N = 2019 The formula is N * (N-1) /2 Since we know N We can compute N-1 Which means we CAN determine an answer! C is Correct ! Martin Bailey October 2012 115
  • 116. You are the project manager for a project where there are 7 team- members. One more team member will be joining after 1 week. What is the number of communication channels once the new person joins your team? A. 28 B. 21 C. 18 D. 36 Martin Bailey October 2012 116
  • 117. You are the project manager for a project where there are 7 team- members. One more team member will be joining after 1 week. What is the number of communication channels once the new person joins your team? A. 28 B. 21 C. 18 D. 36 7 team members 1 new team member You (don’t forget yourself) 9 Total contacts Martin Bailey October 2012 117
  • 118. You are the project manager for a project where there are 7 team- members. One more team member will be joining after 1 week. What is the number of communication channels once the new person joins your team? A. 28 B. 21 C. 18 D. 36 9 Total contacts N * (N-1) / 2 N = 9 N-1 = 8 8/2 = 4 9 * 4 = 36 Martin Bailey October 2012 118
  • 119. Back to the first question Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4 months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in this time period. Is this project: A. On time B. Ahead of Schedule C. Behind Schedule D. Not enough information to determine
  • 120. Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4 months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in this time period. Is this project: A. On time B. Ahead of Schedule C. Behind Schedule D. Not enough information to determine
  • 121. Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4 months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in this time period. Is this project: A. On time B. Ahead of Schedule C. Behind Schedule D. Not enough information to determine
  • 122. Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4 months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in this time period. Is this project: A. On time B. Ahead of Schedule C. Behind Schedule D. Not enough information to determine
  • 123. Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4 months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in this time period. Is this project: A. On time B. Ahead of Schedule C. Behind Schedule D. Not enough information to determine
  • 124. Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4 months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in this time period. Is this project: A. On time B. Ahead of Schedule C. Behind Schedule D. Not enough information to determine
  • 125. Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4 months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in this time period. Is this project: A. On time B. Ahead of Schedule C. Behind Schedule D. Not enough information to determine
  • 126. Bob, a project manager for 25th Century Construction, is working on his 535th project and is retiring after his 35th year. Using the new distinctive sky blue Ford F-850 3 ton dump-truck his team has delivered 4 miles of road consisting of 7/8 grade gravel in 4 months. Jenny, his associate, had planned for 5 miles of road in this time period. Is this project: A. On time B. Ahead of Schedule C. Behind Schedule D. Not enough information to determine
  • 127. The real question is Delivered 4 miles of road in 4 months. Planned for 5 miles of road in this time period. Is this project: A. On time B. Ahead of Schedule C. Behind Schedule D. Not enough information to determine
  • 128. Summary Budget or Cost EV = Earned Value AC = Actual Cost If EV = AC – On budget If EV > AC – Under Budget – Positive Cost Variance If EV < AC – Over Budget – Negative Cost Variance NOTE: Within Budget can mean On Budget or Under Budget Schedule EV = Earned Value PV = Planned Value If EV = PV – On schedule If EV > PV – Ahead of Schedule – Positive Schedule Variance If EV < PV – Behind Schedule – Negative Schedule Variance NOTE: Within Schedule can mean On Schedule or Ahead of Schedule Martin Bailey October 2012 128
  • 129. Summary (Continued) • The goal of this presentation is to show you logic (or tricks) that will save you time on the exam. • If you answer a question this way but feel it was too easy. – Answer the question using the short cut – Mark the question for review – Answer the question again • If you use a formula on the 2nd or 3rd time thru – be sure to use the correct one • Use the scratch paper • Don’t forget to do the “Brain Dump” before starting. Martin Bailey October 2012 / March 2016 129
  • 130. Questions or Comments? Martin Bailey October 2012 130 Martin R. Bailey Mentor, Leader, and Advisor in Project & Program Management as well as Agile. MartinRBailey@gmail.com 479-270-2485 MPM, PMP, CSM, ITIL www.linkedin.com/in/martinrbailey