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LeanKanban
India 2018
LeanKanban
India 2018
Enterprise and Business Maturity through
Value-added Kanban Quantification
Masa K. Maeda
Valueinnova LLC USA
LeanKanban
India 2018
Previously:
Executive & Enterprise Lean-Agile Coach
Steering
Committee
Steward
& Coach
Masa K. Maeda, PhD
Founder & CEO
USA
Electric
Communities
R&DOne of the originators Coordinating Committee Founding team member
Senior
Consultant
LeanKanban
India 2018
LeanKanban
India 2018
©Masa K. Maeda Photo by Jonas Zürcher on Unsplash
LeanKanban
India 2018
©Masa K. Maeda Photo by Charles Deluvio on Unsplash
LeanKanban
India 2018
LeanKanban
India 2018
• December 20, 1951: The first power plant to produce
electricity using atomic energy (Plutonium 239)
• Testing at EBR-I confirmed that a reactor could create
(or breed) more fuel than it consumes
• This pioneering reactor operated for 12 years before
being shut down for the last time in December 1963.
Experimental
Breeder
Reactor 1
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
Measurements
are important
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
Kanban
Maturity Model
ML0 Oblivious
ML1 Emerging
ML2 Defined
ML3 Managed
ML4 Quantitatively Managed
ML5 Optimizing
ML6 Congruent
Achievement
Collaboration
Transparency
Flow
Agreement
Customer service
Respect
Understanding
Purpose
Balance
Leadership
Regulatory
compliance
Market focus
Short-term
investment
Business focus
Long-term
investment
Experimentation
Business survivability
Diversity
Tolerance
Individual
Team
Project /ServiceMultiple projects
& Shared services
Project/ProductPortfolio
BusinessPortfolio
More information: www.kanbanmaturitymodel.com
👉You don’t have to
wait until being here
to start measuring
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
©Masa K. Maeda Photo by Charles Deluvio on Unsplash
LeanKanban
India 2018
What can we do with measurements
such that the enterprise
and the business mature?
LeanKanban
India 2018
Traditional Economics
It assumes that since people
are logical and rational their
economic decisions are done
accordingly.
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
Behavioral Economics
It acknowledges that people
behave irrationally.
Their economic decisions are
influenced by emotional
factors, cognitive bias and
social situations.
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
How do we take irrationality
into account to make better
decisions such that the
enterprise and the business
mature?
Photo: Young Frankenstein 1972
LeanKanban
India 2018
LeanKanban
India 2018
©Masa K. Maeda Photo by Charles Deluvio on Unsplash
LeanKanban
India 2018
LeanKanban
India 2018
Flow efficiency
Measured as the actual work time against the total wait time
Flow Efficiency in % = Work Time / ( Work Time + Wait Time)
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
New Manager
(command & ctrl
micromanager)
starts managing
people instead of
the work product
New team
on new project
w/lean-agile coach
Team had 4 months
of lean-agile
experience
Coach the
Manager to
think Lean and
focus on flow
😃Team
😖Team
🙂Team
Flow efficiency
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
😖Team
😖Management
😖Customers
Flow efficiency
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
Identified pattern:
๏ Thursdays had higher %
๏ Fridays had the lowest % (second lowest was Mondays)
๏ WIP was okay enough
Flow efficiency
%
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
Cycle Time
Work Time = (Time spent by a card in the ‘In-Progress’ column types)
– (The time the card was blocked in these columns)
Wait Time = (Time spent by a card in the ‘Ready’, and ‘Completed’ Column Type)
– (The time the card was blocked in these columns)
Blocked Time = Time the card was blocked in columns
©Masa K. Maeda
Waits often result in queue
increase or in task switching
LeanKanban
India 2018
Cycle Time
😐Team
😀Customer
๏ Not much opportunity for improvement identified with respect to value-added work
๏ Focus was on wait-time reduction (some by tech, most by customer)
๏ WIP okay
๏ Upstream hadn’t changed resulting in blocked tasks👉
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
Cycle Time
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
Cycle Time
Spikes of work
Some spikes are due to blockage
😐Customer
😖Customer
😖Customer
๏ WIP limit management (reduction, on this case)
๏ ~85% capacity utilization
๏ Team 🙂
©Masa K. Maeda
😀Customer
😀Customer
😐Customer
😀Customer
😀Customer
😐Customer
LeanKanban
India 2018
Value Stream Map
Useful to bring early awareness on some opportunities for improvement
©Masa K. Maeda
Non-value-added
time
Value-added
time
Value-added activity
LeanKanban
India 2018
Waiting is a waste
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
Waiting for another ticket
Waiting for another agile cell
Waiting for external customer response
Internal wait
Waiting for DevOps
Waiting for internal customer
Waiting for Design
Waiting for DBA
Waiting for admin
Not categorized
Recommendation: start with the high-impact ones AND with the easier ones
©Masa K. Maeda
Waiting is a waste
LeanKanban
India 2018
©Masa K. Maeda©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
Taking irrationality
into account
Photo: Young Frankenstein 1972
Yes, your irrational
behavior is
predictable…
mostly
LeanKanban
India 2018
©Masa K. Maeda
Ego Depletion
LeanKanban
India 2018
©Masa K. Maeda
Ego Depletion
The quality of your decisions change when you are cognitively busy, overloaded or tired
LeanKanban
India 2018
©Masa K. Maeda
Cognitive ease
Ego Depletion occurs when: Reduce Ego Depletion by:
High WIP Limiting WIP
Multitasking
Working on no more than
two tasks at a time
Too much discussion
Having high and clear
visualizationSomeone tries to influence
Long work hours Avoiding extra work hours
Information bias
Anchoring bias
Ego Depletion
Information bias: tendency to misinterpret information (observation bias)
Anchoring bias: over reliant on the first piece of info available
Cognitive Ease: the opposite state to Ego Depletion
LeanKanban
India 2018
Making decisions later in the day
or later in the week
lead to poor decisions
If you are a nigh person then your
decisions are better during that time
©Masa K. Maeda
Ego Depletion
LeanKanban
India 2018
©Masa K. Maeda
Risk Aversion and Risk Seeking
Gulongxia, China
LeanKanban
India 2018
Which would you choose?
๏ Get $900 for sure
๏ 90% chance to get $1,000
©Masa K. Maeda Example ©Daniel Khaneman
Risk Aversion and Risk Seeking
LeanKanban
India 2018
Which would you choose?
๏ Lose $900 for sure
๏ 90% chance to lose $1,000
©Masa K. Maeda Example ©Daniel Khaneman
Risk Aversion and Risk Seeking
LeanKanban
India 2018
Did you choose?
๏ Get $900 for sure
๏ 90% chance to get $1,000
Did you choose?
๏ Lose $900 for sure
๏ 90% chance to lose $1,000 👉
👉
©Masa K. Maeda Example ©Daniel Khaneman
Risk Aversion and Risk Seeking
People are more sensitive towards losing that towards gaining
LeanKanban
India 2018
©Masa K. Maeda
Risk aversion/seeking
behaviors
Reduce risk aversion/seeking by:
Poor prioritization
Visualizing blockage
Establishing explicit policies
Identifying patterns of behavior over time
Visualizing and tracking the entire value chain
(establishing risk seeking measures)
Favoritism
Leaving things for later
Doing easy tasks first and
hard ones later
Recency bias
Ostrich effect bias
- Recency: recent info is more valuable
- Ostrich effect: ignore dangerous or negative info
LeanKanban
India 2018
Bandwagon effect
©Masa K. Maeda
A belief increases based on the # of people who hold that same belief.
LeanKanban
India 2018
Bandwagon behaviors:
Reduce bandwagon effect
through:
Word of mouth
Classes of service
Explicit policies
Cadence-based feedback loops
Metrics
High collaboration frameworks
Traditional meetings
Traditional planning
Traditional estimating
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
Limited options
©Masa K. Maeda
People feel better about their choice when options are limited
LeanKanban
India 2018
Too many options occur
when:
Limit options by:
Poorly prioritized backlog Limiting WIP (upper & lower)
Establishing explicit policies that limit
options (where applicable)
Applying the Kanban flight levels
Applying the Kanban Maturity Model
Allowing inflow to just happen
Multitasking
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
Clustering illusion
The tendency to see patterns where there aren’t.
Be careful not to jump to conclusions.
Deliver Deliver
©Masa K. Maeda
Bottleneck? …most likely not. Bottleneck. Do something? …probably not.
LeanKanban
India 2018
Clustering illusion
causing behavior:
Avoid clustering illusion by:
Poor visualization Ensuring high visualization
Lack of SLAs Making WIP limits visible
Assumptions Making policies explicit
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
Kanban also helps reduce the incidence of:
Confirmation Bias
(not seeking contradictory information)
Status Quo Bias
(Avoid change)
Negativity Bias
(Emphasis on the negative)
Unit Bias
(thinking that one-size-fits-all)
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018
Thank you!
©Masa K. Maeda
LeanKanban
India 2018

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Lean Kanban 2018 | Enterprise and Business Maturity through Value-added Quantification with Kanban - Masa K. Maeda

  • 1. LeanKanban India 2018 LeanKanban India 2018 Enterprise and Business Maturity through Value-added Kanban Quantification Masa K. Maeda Valueinnova LLC USA
  • 2. LeanKanban India 2018 Previously: Executive & Enterprise Lean-Agile Coach Steering Committee Steward & Coach Masa K. Maeda, PhD Founder & CEO USA Electric Communities R&DOne of the originators Coordinating Committee Founding team member Senior Consultant
  • 3. LeanKanban India 2018 LeanKanban India 2018 ©Masa K. Maeda Photo by Jonas Zürcher on Unsplash
  • 4. LeanKanban India 2018 ©Masa K. Maeda Photo by Charles Deluvio on Unsplash LeanKanban India 2018
  • 5. LeanKanban India 2018 • December 20, 1951: The first power plant to produce electricity using atomic energy (Plutonium 239) • Testing at EBR-I confirmed that a reactor could create (or breed) more fuel than it consumes • This pioneering reactor operated for 12 years before being shut down for the last time in December 1963. Experimental Breeder Reactor 1 ©Masa K. Maeda
  • 7. LeanKanban India 2018 Kanban Maturity Model ML0 Oblivious ML1 Emerging ML2 Defined ML3 Managed ML4 Quantitatively Managed ML5 Optimizing ML6 Congruent Achievement Collaboration Transparency Flow Agreement Customer service Respect Understanding Purpose Balance Leadership Regulatory compliance Market focus Short-term investment Business focus Long-term investment Experimentation Business survivability Diversity Tolerance Individual Team Project /ServiceMultiple projects & Shared services Project/ProductPortfolio BusinessPortfolio More information: www.kanbanmaturitymodel.com 👉You don’t have to wait until being here to start measuring ©Masa K. Maeda
  • 8. LeanKanban India 2018 ©Masa K. Maeda Photo by Charles Deluvio on Unsplash LeanKanban India 2018 What can we do with measurements such that the enterprise and the business mature?
  • 9. LeanKanban India 2018 Traditional Economics It assumes that since people are logical and rational their economic decisions are done accordingly. ©Masa K. Maeda
  • 10. LeanKanban India 2018 Behavioral Economics It acknowledges that people behave irrationally. Their economic decisions are influenced by emotional factors, cognitive bias and social situations. ©Masa K. Maeda
  • 11. LeanKanban India 2018 ©Masa K. Maeda LeanKanban India 2018 How do we take irrationality into account to make better decisions such that the enterprise and the business mature? Photo: Young Frankenstein 1972
  • 12. LeanKanban India 2018 LeanKanban India 2018 ©Masa K. Maeda Photo by Charles Deluvio on Unsplash LeanKanban India 2018
  • 13. LeanKanban India 2018 Flow efficiency Measured as the actual work time against the total wait time Flow Efficiency in % = Work Time / ( Work Time + Wait Time) ©Masa K. Maeda
  • 14. LeanKanban India 2018 New Manager (command & ctrl micromanager) starts managing people instead of the work product New team on new project w/lean-agile coach Team had 4 months of lean-agile experience Coach the Manager to think Lean and focus on flow 😃Team 😖Team 🙂Team Flow efficiency ©Masa K. Maeda
  • 16. LeanKanban India 2018 Identified pattern: ๏ Thursdays had higher % ๏ Fridays had the lowest % (second lowest was Mondays) ๏ WIP was okay enough Flow efficiency % ©Masa K. Maeda
  • 17. LeanKanban India 2018 Cycle Time Work Time = (Time spent by a card in the ‘In-Progress’ column types) – (The time the card was blocked in these columns) Wait Time = (Time spent by a card in the ‘Ready’, and ‘Completed’ Column Type) – (The time the card was blocked in these columns) Blocked Time = Time the card was blocked in columns ©Masa K. Maeda Waits often result in queue increase or in task switching
  • 18. LeanKanban India 2018 Cycle Time 😐Team 😀Customer ๏ Not much opportunity for improvement identified with respect to value-added work ๏ Focus was on wait-time reduction (some by tech, most by customer) ๏ WIP okay ๏ Upstream hadn’t changed resulting in blocked tasks👉 ©Masa K. Maeda
  • 20. LeanKanban India 2018 Cycle Time Spikes of work Some spikes are due to blockage 😐Customer 😖Customer 😖Customer ๏ WIP limit management (reduction, on this case) ๏ ~85% capacity utilization ๏ Team 🙂 ©Masa K. Maeda 😀Customer 😀Customer 😐Customer 😀Customer 😀Customer 😐Customer
  • 21. LeanKanban India 2018 Value Stream Map Useful to bring early awareness on some opportunities for improvement ©Masa K. Maeda Non-value-added time Value-added time Value-added activity
  • 22. LeanKanban India 2018 Waiting is a waste ©Masa K. Maeda
  • 23. LeanKanban India 2018 Waiting for another ticket Waiting for another agile cell Waiting for external customer response Internal wait Waiting for DevOps Waiting for internal customer Waiting for Design Waiting for DBA Waiting for admin Not categorized Recommendation: start with the high-impact ones AND with the easier ones ©Masa K. Maeda Waiting is a waste
  • 24. LeanKanban India 2018 ©Masa K. Maeda©Masa K. Maeda LeanKanban India 2018 Taking irrationality into account Photo: Young Frankenstein 1972 Yes, your irrational behavior is predictable… mostly
  • 25. LeanKanban India 2018 ©Masa K. Maeda Ego Depletion
  • 26. LeanKanban India 2018 ©Masa K. Maeda Ego Depletion The quality of your decisions change when you are cognitively busy, overloaded or tired
  • 27. LeanKanban India 2018 ©Masa K. Maeda Cognitive ease Ego Depletion occurs when: Reduce Ego Depletion by: High WIP Limiting WIP Multitasking Working on no more than two tasks at a time Too much discussion Having high and clear visualizationSomeone tries to influence Long work hours Avoiding extra work hours Information bias Anchoring bias Ego Depletion Information bias: tendency to misinterpret information (observation bias) Anchoring bias: over reliant on the first piece of info available Cognitive Ease: the opposite state to Ego Depletion
  • 28. LeanKanban India 2018 Making decisions later in the day or later in the week lead to poor decisions If you are a nigh person then your decisions are better during that time ©Masa K. Maeda Ego Depletion
  • 29. LeanKanban India 2018 ©Masa K. Maeda Risk Aversion and Risk Seeking Gulongxia, China
  • 30. LeanKanban India 2018 Which would you choose? ๏ Get $900 for sure ๏ 90% chance to get $1,000 ©Masa K. Maeda Example ©Daniel Khaneman Risk Aversion and Risk Seeking
  • 31. LeanKanban India 2018 Which would you choose? ๏ Lose $900 for sure ๏ 90% chance to lose $1,000 ©Masa K. Maeda Example ©Daniel Khaneman Risk Aversion and Risk Seeking
  • 32. LeanKanban India 2018 Did you choose? ๏ Get $900 for sure ๏ 90% chance to get $1,000 Did you choose? ๏ Lose $900 for sure ๏ 90% chance to lose $1,000 👉 👉 ©Masa K. Maeda Example ©Daniel Khaneman Risk Aversion and Risk Seeking People are more sensitive towards losing that towards gaining
  • 33. LeanKanban India 2018 ©Masa K. Maeda Risk aversion/seeking behaviors Reduce risk aversion/seeking by: Poor prioritization Visualizing blockage Establishing explicit policies Identifying patterns of behavior over time Visualizing and tracking the entire value chain (establishing risk seeking measures) Favoritism Leaving things for later Doing easy tasks first and hard ones later Recency bias Ostrich effect bias - Recency: recent info is more valuable - Ostrich effect: ignore dangerous or negative info
  • 34. LeanKanban India 2018 Bandwagon effect ©Masa K. Maeda A belief increases based on the # of people who hold that same belief.
  • 35. LeanKanban India 2018 Bandwagon behaviors: Reduce bandwagon effect through: Word of mouth Classes of service Explicit policies Cadence-based feedback loops Metrics High collaboration frameworks Traditional meetings Traditional planning Traditional estimating ©Masa K. Maeda
  • 36. LeanKanban India 2018 Limited options ©Masa K. Maeda People feel better about their choice when options are limited
  • 37. LeanKanban India 2018 Too many options occur when: Limit options by: Poorly prioritized backlog Limiting WIP (upper & lower) Establishing explicit policies that limit options (where applicable) Applying the Kanban flight levels Applying the Kanban Maturity Model Allowing inflow to just happen Multitasking ©Masa K. Maeda
  • 38. LeanKanban India 2018 Clustering illusion The tendency to see patterns where there aren’t. Be careful not to jump to conclusions. Deliver Deliver ©Masa K. Maeda Bottleneck? …most likely not. Bottleneck. Do something? …probably not.
  • 39. LeanKanban India 2018 Clustering illusion causing behavior: Avoid clustering illusion by: Poor visualization Ensuring high visualization Lack of SLAs Making WIP limits visible Assumptions Making policies explicit ©Masa K. Maeda
  • 40. LeanKanban India 2018 Kanban also helps reduce the incidence of: Confirmation Bias (not seeking contradictory information) Status Quo Bias (Avoid change) Negativity Bias (Emphasis on the negative) Unit Bias (thinking that one-size-fits-all) ©Masa K. Maeda
  • 41. LeanKanban India 2018 Thank you! ©Masa K. Maeda LeanKanban India 2018