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March 9, 2015
CLASS PRESENTATION 4
Chief
Food
Officers
Agenda
Market sizing2
Competition1
Lessons learned3
Limited Competition from Rivals and Entrants
Rivalry
+  Few comparable firms
+  Industry growth
+  Sustainable competitive advantage
Supplier
Power
+  Low concentration and low differentiation
+  Potentially strong distribution channel
-­‐  Strong business impact
Substitutes
+  No alternatives with comparable
performance
Buyer
Power
+  Low concentration
±  Low switching costs
+  Differential advantage
New
Entrants
-­‐  Low entry barriers
±  Medium capital requirement
-­‐  Global players with EoS and experience
+  Scalability of our business model
Rivalry
Low
Substitutes
Low
Buyers
Low
Suppliers
Low
New
Entrants
MediumSubject of
further analysis
COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED
SWOT: YUM NEXT DOOR
WEAKNESSES
-­‐  Difficulty in ensure food
quality at delivery
-­‐  Customers may not see
the differentiation
STRENGTHS
+  Great food variety
+  Customer relationship
+  Usability & automation
+  Leveraging network
effects as first movers
+  Economies of scale
OPPORTUNITIES
+  Trend towards mobile
+  Internationalization
THREATS
-­‐  Few entrance barriers
-­‐  Entrants w/ higher
performance & scalable
business models
-­‐  Portuguese consumer
behavior (?)
COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED
SWOT: Food Ordering Portugal
WEAKNESSES
-­‐  Long delivery times
-­‐  Poor usability
-­‐  Little automization
-­‐  Poor variety
-­‐  Poor online marketing
STRENGTHS
+  Partnerships
+  Coverage and
established customer
basis
+  Brand (e.g. Telepizza)
OPPORTUNITIES
+  Leverage customer
basis and partner
network to go digital
THREATS
-­‐  Seasonality
-­‐  Entrants w/ higher
performance & scalable
business models
COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED
SWOT: Online Food Ordering International
WEAKNESSES
-­‐  Little differentiation
-­‐  Minimum order values
STRENGTHS
+  Economies of scale
+  Global footprint
+  Partnerships & variety
+  Fast delivery
+  Mobile applications
+  Advertising
OPPORTUNITIES
+  Further
internationalization
+  Further leverage
advertising for growth
+  Mobile commerce
growth
THREATS
-­‐  Dependence on
restaurants for delivery
-­‐  High reliance on fast-
food but changing
consumption trends
COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED
SWOT: Restaurant Listings Portugal
WEAKNESSES
-­‐  Only information, no
transaction
-­‐  Dependence on
advertising revenue
STRENGTHS
+  Broad variety of
restaurants
+  Usability (customized
site, filters, easy
search)
+  Credibility and trust
OPPORTUNITIES
+  Online market
+  Internationalization
+  New services (online
booking and ordering)
+  Consulting services for
additional revenue
THREATS
-­‐  Competition, e.g.from
websites offering
delivery or booking
-­‐  Seasonality
COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED
Market Sizing: Top – Down
TAM	
  
§  CS1:	
  Students,	
  Internet	
  access:	
  351k	
  
§  CS2:	
  Professionals,	
  18-­‐55	
  years,	
  high	
  educa?on,	
  Internet	
  access:	
  2.157	
  m	
  
SAM	
  
§  CS1:	
  Students,	
  Internet	
  access:	
  108k	
  
§  CS2:	
  Professionals,	
  18-­‐55	
  years,	
  high	
  educa?on,	
  Internet	
  access:	
  329k	
  
SOM	
  
§  CS1:	
  Students,	
  Internet	
  access:	
  11k	
  
§  CS2:	
  Professionals,	
  18-­‐55	
  years,	
  high	
  educa?on,	
  Internet	
  access:	
  33k	
  
2.5m	
  
437k	
  
44k	
  
COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED
Geography:	
  
Lisbon	
  
Market	
  Share:	
  
10%	
  
Sources: INE, PORDATA, Census 2011
Market Sizing: Google Keyword Planner
COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED
   Traffic Source Traffic % Telepizza (100%) Zomato (100%) Tripadvisor (25%) NoMenu (100%) Total
TAM Brand Search 40% 165,000 12,100 18,500 6,600 202,200
Direct 40% 165,000 12,100 18,500 6,600 202,200
Referral 20% 82,500 6,050 9,250 3,300 101,100
    100% 412,500 30,250 46,250 16,500 505,500
Food-related Search           4,900
Total             510,400
SAM Brand Search 40% 74,000 9,900 6,750 3,600 94,250
Direct 40% 74,000 9,900 6,750 3,600 94,250
Referral 20% 37,000 4,950 3,375 1,800 47,125
  185,000 24,750 16,875 9,000 235,625
Food-related Search           1,960
Total             237,585
Explanation
§  Total: traffic on major brands and
through food-related keywords
§  Portugal as TAM, Lisbon area as SAM
§  Traffic % based on own assumptions
using indications from Alexa
§  Search traffic estimations from Google
Keyword Planner
Lessons Learned
COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED
§  Customers – problems - solutions
§  Hypothesis testing
§  Competitor analysis: 5 Forces & SWOT
§  Customer segmentation
§  Market sizing and traffic estimation
Thank you!
Visit us at:
catolicalisbonentrepreneurs.wordpress.com

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Lep class presentation-4-v002

  • 1. March 9, 2015 CLASS PRESENTATION 4 Chief Food Officers
  • 3. Limited Competition from Rivals and Entrants Rivalry +  Few comparable firms +  Industry growth +  Sustainable competitive advantage Supplier Power +  Low concentration and low differentiation +  Potentially strong distribution channel -­‐  Strong business impact Substitutes +  No alternatives with comparable performance Buyer Power +  Low concentration ±  Low switching costs +  Differential advantage New Entrants -­‐  Low entry barriers ±  Medium capital requirement -­‐  Global players with EoS and experience +  Scalability of our business model Rivalry Low Substitutes Low Buyers Low Suppliers Low New Entrants MediumSubject of further analysis COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED
  • 4. SWOT: YUM NEXT DOOR WEAKNESSES -­‐  Difficulty in ensure food quality at delivery -­‐  Customers may not see the differentiation STRENGTHS +  Great food variety +  Customer relationship +  Usability & automation +  Leveraging network effects as first movers +  Economies of scale OPPORTUNITIES +  Trend towards mobile +  Internationalization THREATS -­‐  Few entrance barriers -­‐  Entrants w/ higher performance & scalable business models -­‐  Portuguese consumer behavior (?) COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED
  • 5. SWOT: Food Ordering Portugal WEAKNESSES -­‐  Long delivery times -­‐  Poor usability -­‐  Little automization -­‐  Poor variety -­‐  Poor online marketing STRENGTHS +  Partnerships +  Coverage and established customer basis +  Brand (e.g. Telepizza) OPPORTUNITIES +  Leverage customer basis and partner network to go digital THREATS -­‐  Seasonality -­‐  Entrants w/ higher performance & scalable business models COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED
  • 6. SWOT: Online Food Ordering International WEAKNESSES -­‐  Little differentiation -­‐  Minimum order values STRENGTHS +  Economies of scale +  Global footprint +  Partnerships & variety +  Fast delivery +  Mobile applications +  Advertising OPPORTUNITIES +  Further internationalization +  Further leverage advertising for growth +  Mobile commerce growth THREATS -­‐  Dependence on restaurants for delivery -­‐  High reliance on fast- food but changing consumption trends COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED
  • 7. SWOT: Restaurant Listings Portugal WEAKNESSES -­‐  Only information, no transaction -­‐  Dependence on advertising revenue STRENGTHS +  Broad variety of restaurants +  Usability (customized site, filters, easy search) +  Credibility and trust OPPORTUNITIES +  Online market +  Internationalization +  New services (online booking and ordering) +  Consulting services for additional revenue THREATS -­‐  Competition, e.g.from websites offering delivery or booking -­‐  Seasonality COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED
  • 8. Market Sizing: Top – Down TAM   §  CS1:  Students,  Internet  access:  351k   §  CS2:  Professionals,  18-­‐55  years,  high  educa?on,  Internet  access:  2.157  m   SAM   §  CS1:  Students,  Internet  access:  108k   §  CS2:  Professionals,  18-­‐55  years,  high  educa?on,  Internet  access:  329k   SOM   §  CS1:  Students,  Internet  access:  11k   §  CS2:  Professionals,  18-­‐55  years,  high  educa?on,  Internet  access:  33k   2.5m   437k   44k   COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED Geography:   Lisbon   Market  Share:   10%   Sources: INE, PORDATA, Census 2011
  • 9. Market Sizing: Google Keyword Planner COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED    Traffic Source Traffic % Telepizza (100%) Zomato (100%) Tripadvisor (25%) NoMenu (100%) Total TAM Brand Search 40% 165,000 12,100 18,500 6,600 202,200 Direct 40% 165,000 12,100 18,500 6,600 202,200 Referral 20% 82,500 6,050 9,250 3,300 101,100     100% 412,500 30,250 46,250 16,500 505,500 Food-related Search           4,900 Total             510,400 SAM Brand Search 40% 74,000 9,900 6,750 3,600 94,250 Direct 40% 74,000 9,900 6,750 3,600 94,250 Referral 20% 37,000 4,950 3,375 1,800 47,125   185,000 24,750 16,875 9,000 235,625 Food-related Search           1,960 Total             237,585 Explanation §  Total: traffic on major brands and through food-related keywords §  Portugal as TAM, Lisbon area as SAM §  Traffic % based on own assumptions using indications from Alexa §  Search traffic estimations from Google Keyword Planner
  • 10. Lessons Learned COMPETITION | MARKET SIZING | LESSONS LEARNED §  Customers – problems - solutions §  Hypothesis testing §  Competitor analysis: 5 Forces & SWOT §  Customer segmentation §  Market sizing and traffic estimation
  • 11. Thank you! Visit us at: catolicalisbonentrepreneurs.wordpress.com