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Learning Objectives
Upon completion of Chapter 6 you will be able to:
• Understand the importance of incremental after-tax cash
flows.
• Be able to estimate incremental after-tax cash flows.
• Be able to calculate the tax consequences on an asset sale.
• Understand why sunk costs do not matter in capital budgeting.
• Know the three categories of cash flows typically seen in an
investment proposal.
Relevant Cash Flows for
Capital Budgeting
6
iStockphoto/Thinkstock
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CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows
A company’s very first goal is staying financially healthy; a
bankrupt company helps no one, neither owners nor employees
nor customers. Financial health requires that bills and debts be
paid in full and on time. This is done with cash. Cash
is what lets a company keep its doors open and the lights on.
Cash keeps the machines
running, the raw materials flowing into factories, and the
finished goods flowing out.
In Chapter 2 we explained why cash flow is more important
than accounting profits. We
repeat that message here because it is so important. A company
cannot pay its employ-
ees, suppliers, banks, or tax agencies with net income. Those
entities only accept cash. In
Chapter 2 we also explained why cash flow and accounting
profit (net income or profit
after tax) differ. As a quick reminder, it has to do with how
revenue is recognized, how
costs are matched to sales, and how some costs are allocated
over time via depreciation.
In this chapter we expand the discussion of cash flow to exactly
which type of cash flows
we use when analyzing investment opportunities or determining
a company’s financial
health. We draw on accounting, tax rules, and economic theory
to arrive at the appropri-
ate cash flows for financial analysis. In a corporate setting,
investment analysis is called
capital budgeting: the decision about how to best budget
investment capital to create
wealth for shareholders.
6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows
We discussed how to use accounting statements to estimate cash
flows in Chapter 2. There we showed a simple approach that
gave a reasonable approximation in most cases and a more
complete approach. The simple approach just added
depreciation expense back to net income to find an estimate of
cash flow. This approach is
usually fairly close to the exact value because depreciation is
usually the primary account
that causes net income and cash flow to differ.
The more complete approach begins with net income and
subtracts increases in assets and
adds increases in liabilities. Note that depreciation expense will
be included in changes in
fixed assets or property, plant, and equipment (PP&E), so is not
treated separately as it was
in the simple approach. If you are not comfortable with
translating accounting data into
cash flows, be sure to review the more detailed description of
the process in Chapter 2.
The appropriate cash flows for evaluating a corporate
investment decision are incremen-
tal after-tax cash flows. We will explain this definition in some
detail as the chapter pro-
gresses. For now, let’s look at the logic underlying each portion
of this expression.
Incremental: This is similar to the concept of marginal in
microeconomics. Economists
make decisions by comparing marginal costs and marginal
revenues. Recall that a prod-
uct’s marginal cost is the cost of making one more unit of the
product. If the marginal cost
is less than the marginal revenue (the price the unit will be sold
for), then the company
produces and sells that additional unit of production. Production
continues as long as
marginal cost is below marginal revenue. In finance we have
adopted the concept under-
lying marginal analysis to evaluate corporate investment
proposals. We compare the
additional cash flow that the proposed project or product will
generate to the additional
costs that the investment requires.
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CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows
After-tax: When we evaluate a project proposal, we do so from
the perspective of the
owners of the company. If the company is publicly traded, this
means we evaluate from
the shareholders’ perspective. Owners receive their return from
after-tax dollars. That is,
shareholders have a claim on after-tax profits. These are often
referred to as residual cash
flows because they are left after all other obligations have been
paid. We will see that taxes
can have a large effect on cash flows, so they cannot be
ignored.
Cash flows: As we discussed at the very beginning of this
chapter (and in Chapter 2), it is
cash that allows a company to pay its obligations—wages to
employees, bills from suppli-
ers, taxes, etc.—and remain financially viable.
Incremental Cash Flows
The use of incremental cash flows builds on the concept of
marginal costs and revenues in
economics. In corporate finance we don’t deal with individual
units of production, but
rather with investments in assets and other expenditures
(training, marketing, R&D, etc.)
to make new products or services, to expand production of
existing product lines, or to
reduce costs. In these situations we are dealing with a set of
expenditures, sometimes total-
ing millions or even billions of dollars. The underlying concept
is the same as in economics:
If additional revenues exceed additional costs, then the
investment should be pursued.
To make revenues and outlays (cash inflows and outflows)
comparable, we apply the pres-
ent value tools from Chapter 4 to translate all cash flows into
today’s dollars. If the present
value of cash inflows exceeds the present value of costs, then
the investment is said to have
a positive net present value, and so it is wealth-creating and
should be accepted. You will
learn more about actually computing a net present value in
Chapter 7. In this chapter we
focus on the most important input in the net present value
computation: cash flows.
The With-and-Without Principle
To determine incremental cash flows, we imagine the company
with and without the
proposed investment. The cash flows that the company
generates without the proposed
investment act as a baseline against which to identify changes
in cash flows. We subtract
the cash flows without the project from the company’s cash
flows if the project is accepted.
This difference is the incremental cash flow from the proposed
project.
You might ask how the with-and-without approach differs from
just measuring the pro-
posed product’s revenue and costs. If you add up all the costs of
designing, producing,
marketing, and distributing a new product, there is a good
chance that some of the costs
will not be incremental. Examples include sunk costs, allocation
of overhead, and canni-
balism of sales.
Sunk Costs
Consider research and development costs for a product. Before a
proposal can be submit-
ted for funding, money has to be spent designing the product. It
might seem like these
costs should be included in the proposal. But including them is
incorrect. They are sunk
costs. It doesn’t matter whether or not the new product is
pursued; these funds have been
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CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows
spent and cannot be recovered. In respect to these R&D
expenditures, the company is no
different with or without the project; in either case the money
has been spent. Another
common type of sunk cost is marketing research.
Basically, anything that is spent prior to the proposal being
submitted and analyzed can-
not be recovered, so it is a sunk cost.
Allocation of Overhead
Managerial accounting classes typically dedicate several weeks
to the allocation of over-
head costs. There are several approaches for doing this. If you
thought that cost account-
ing was challenging, we have good news for you: In finance we
do not allocate overhead.
If a cost is truly overhead and fixed, then the with-and-without
principle will not identify
it as incremental. Whether or not the proposed project is
accepted, the company will incur
the cost.
Let’s look at some examples. Sometimes factory floor space is
allocated by square feet
or square meters utilized by a project. Almost always, the rent
or lease expense for this
area has to be paid whether or not the new project is accepted.
Applying the with-and-
without concept means that if rent or lease payments do not
change, no floor space cost is
incremental to the project. We discuss a possible exception to
this rule under opportunity
costs below.
Salaried managers may have some portion of their time
allocated to a new project, but
unless there are new cash outlays associated with hiring a
replacement to complete other
assigned tasks the managers no longer have time to complete,
there is no allocation of
salaries to the new project. Only if salary expenses with the
project were greater than
without it would there be any incremental cost.
To summarize, we only look at changes in cash flows, so
anything that is truly fixed, and
by definition doesn’t change, is not incremental and therefore is
not a relevant cash flow
for corporate investment analysis purposes.
Cannibalism of Sales
Often new products are related to a company’s existing
products. This makes sense
because companies develop expertise in certain markets, certain
types of production,
certain types of distribution, and so on. This is an application of
the core competency
idea that is a central thesis of management. Examples abound.
Boeing makes passenger
jets; Campbell makes soup; McDonald’s sells fast food via
franchises; John Deere makes
farm equipment.
When a company introduces a new product, it is likely related
to existing product lines.
Thus, it may compete with existing products. Consider the
Campbell Soup Company and
its chicken soup line. Is Campbell’s Chicken & Stars very
different from Chicken Alphabet
soup or Chicken Noodle soup or Chicken NoodleO’s or Chicken
with Mini Noodles or
Homestyle Chicken Noodle soup or Chunky Classic Chicken
Noodle soup? When a new
chicken noodle soup variant is introduced, it is very likely that
some of its sales will come
from the existing chicken noodle variants that Campbell is
already selling. If so, how
should the revenues (and thus the cash inflows) from the new
product be calculated?
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CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows
Using the with-and-without principle we would compare the
revenues after the new soup
is introduced to the sales before and use this difference. The
difference is the incremental
revenue from the new product.
Computing incremental revenues can be complicated. Let’s go
back about 20 years to
the time when doctors began warning about people having too
much sodium (or salt)
in their diets. It was thought that too much salt could result in
higher blood pressure
and possibly other health prob-
lems. At that time people start-
ing shifting their purchases
toward low-sodium versions of
products. If the Campbell Soup
Company introduced a low-
sodium chicken noodle soup in
response to a competitor doing
so (although Campbell Soup
is so huge that it may not have
any significant competitors),
we would compute incremental
cash inflows differently.
The without baseline would be
Campbell Soup’s sales with-
out the low-sodium variety.
The sales would presumably be
lower because health-conscious
consumers would shift to the
competitor’s low-sodium soup.
If Campbell Soup introduces a low-sodium variety and prevents
sales from being lost,
those recovered sales should be included as incremental revenue
in the cash flows for
the low-sodium-soup analysis. This is a subtle distinction:
When a company introduces a
defensive product, it needs to consider the revenues protected
(i.e., not lost to competitors)
in addition to new revenues when determining incremental cash
inflows or benefits associ-
ated with the product.
After-Tax Cash Flows
Because we take the perspective of owners when analyzing
corporate investment propos-
als, and because owners are paid from after-tax dollars, we need
to consider taxes when
determining the appropriate cash flows for investment analysis.
Taxes affect investment cash flows in several ways. Companies
pay tax on their income.
Income is computed as revenues for the period minus tax-
deductible expenses for that
period. An important expense when evaluating an investment
proposal is depreciation
expense. Most large investments involve the purchase of long-
lived equipment, which
will have its cost depreciated over time via depreciation
expense.
Try Demonstration Problem 6.1 to assess your skill at
estimating cash flows.
Bloomberg/Getty Images
The Campbell Soup Company produces a variety of chicken
soups.
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CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows
Demonstration Problem 6.1: Cash Flow Estimation
You and several other entrepreneurial recent college graduates
are considering organizing a series
of bluegrass music festivals. You have found a group of bands
and musicians who will commit to
come and perform over a 3-day period each July for the next 5
years. You have found an old outdoor
amphitheater, but it requires some remodeling and new
equipment before it can be used. Before you
commit to this series of five bluegrass festivals, use the
following information to estimate the cash
flow from the festivals.
a. The musicians, as a group, want a guarantee of $25,000 per
year plus $1 per ticket sold. In
addition, the musicians need housing. The total housing expense
will be $4,500.
b. Refurbishing and equipping the pavilion will generate a
depreciation expense of $6,500 per
year for 5 years.
c. Insurance, security, equipment rental, lighting, and audio
services will total about $8,500 per
year. Printing, advertising, telephone use, postage, and other
expenses related to the festival
are estimated to total $7,500 per year.
d. With effective advertising, a member of the group, who is a
marketing professional, believes
the festival will draw people from throughout the region.
Tentatively, an average ticket price
of $10 is being considered.
e. Based on similar events elsewhere, she estimates total ticket
sales over the 3 days will be
about 6,500 the first year, growing to 8,000 in years 2 and 3,
and to 9,000 in years 4 and 5.
f. The appropriate tax rate for this project is 28%.
Solution
Revenues
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Tickets 6,500 8,000 8,000 9,000 9,000
Revenue at $10/ticket $65,000 $80,000 $80,000 $90,000
$90,000
Expenses
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Musicians’ fee $25,000 $25,000 $25,000 $25,000 $25,000
Musicians’ gate receipts 6,000 8,000 8,000 9,000 9,000
Musicians’ housing 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500
Depreciation 6,500 6,500 6,500 6,500 6,500
Insurance, etc. 20,500 20,500 20,500 20,500 20,500
Total expenses $62,500 $64,500 $64,500 $65,500 $65,500
Taxes, Profits, and Cash Flow
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Profit $2,000 $15,500 $15,500 $24,500 $24,500
Tax 560 4,340 4,340 6,860 6,860
Net profit 1,440 11,160 11,160 17,640 17,640
Cash flow 7,940 17,660 17,660 24,140 24,140
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CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows
The Depreciation Tax Shield
The income statement in Table 6.1 includes a line for
depreciation expense. This expense
reduces taxable income, so reduces the amount of taxes paid. In
Table 6.2 depreciation
expense is removed, so taxable income and taxes go up.
Table 6.1: Income statement with depreciation expense
Income Statement for the Year 2012
Revenue 1,000,000
COGS 487,500
Gross margin 512,500
Depreciation expense 200,000
Taxable income 312,500
Taxes (32%) 100,000
Net income 212,500
Add back depreciation 200,000
Cash flow 412,500
Table 6.2: Income statement without depreciation expense
Income Statement for the Year 2012
Revenue 1,000,000
COGS 487,500
Gross margin 512,500
Depreciation expense 0
Taxable income 512,500
Taxes 164,000
Net income 348,500
Add back depreciation 0
Cash flow 348,500
In Table 6.1 depreciation expense reduced taxable income by
$200,000. Because of this
tax shield, taxes decreased by $64,000, from $164,000 (in Table
6.1 without depreciation
expense) to $100,000 in Table 6.2. The tax shield effect can be
estimated directly from
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CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows
(6.1) Tax Savings 5 Depreciation Expense 3 Tax Rate
Substituting in the values we are given gives us
Tax Savings 5 $200,000 3 0.32
5 $64,000
In Tables 6.1 and 6.2 notice how the presence of depreciation
expense affects cash
flow. Cash flow in Table 6.1, estimated by adding depreciation
expense to net income,
is $412,500. When depreciation expense is removed, as shown
in Table 6.2, cash flow
decreases to $348,500. This $64,000 fall in cash flow arises
because of the loss of the depre-
ciation tax shield. The change in cash flow is exactly equal to
the tax savings estimated
with Equation (6.1).
While there are tax savings and cash flow increases in years
when depreciation expense is
recognized, you need to think about the cash flow implications
over an asset’s entire life.
When the asset is purchased, a large outlay is made. Think of
this as a negative cash flow
or an outflow of cash. Over the depreciable life of the asset, the
tax savings from depre-
ciation expense generate positive cash flows. Figure 6.1 shows
the timeline of cash flows
associated with the purchase and depreciation of a long-lived
asset.
Figure 6.1: Timeline of cash flows associated with a long-lived
asset
In Figure 6.1 a company purchases a machine (or some other
asset) for $1,200,000. The
company recognizes $200,000 of depreciation expense each year
for the wear and tear
(or the consumption) of the machine for the next 6 years.
Assuming a tax rate of 32%, the
$200,000 of depreciation expense reduces taxable income by
$200,000 and thereby reduces
taxes by $64,000. It is the $64,000 annual tax savings that we
recognize as a cash flow.
While these tax savings are great, you need to remember that
they exist only because the
company spent $1,200,000 on the machine initially. The tax
shields are not free.
Depreciation Tax Shields
of $64,000 per year based on
32% tax rate
2
Time (years)
1 43 65
0
–$1,200,000
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CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows
Ignoring the time value of money for a moment, we see that the
sum of the tax shield cash
flows is $384,000 (5 6 3 $64,000), not $1,200,000. The sum of
the tax shields is less than
the amount spent because, though over the 6-year asset life
taxable income is reduced
by $1,200,000 ($200,000 per year), this only reduces taxes, and
creates cash flows, by
$64,000 per year. Notice that
$1,200,000 3 0.32 5 $384,000. If
the time value of money is con-
sidered, then the present value
of the depreciation tax shields is
less than $384,000. Sometimes
government economic stimu-
lus policies accelerate deprecia-
tion, even allowing companies
to take all of the depreciation in
the first year. This increases the
value of the tax shields in terms
of their present value.
Tax Deductible Expenses
For companies, almost all busi-
ness expenses are tax deduct-
ible; that is, they are subtracted
from revenue and reduce tax-
able income. We can calculate
after-tax cost using
(6.2) After-Tax Cost 5 Cost 3 (1 2 Tax Rate)
The after-tax cost of a deductible expense for a $2,000 outlay
and a 35% tax rate is then
given by
After-Tax Cost 5 $2,000 3 (1 2 0.35)
5 $1,300
The company writes a check to the supplier for $2,000, but after
the cost reduces taxable
income, the company realizes a tax savings of $700, making the
after-tax cost of the $2,000
just $1,300.
For both depreciation and deductible expenses, the tax savings
are greater the higher the
tax rate. This also means that the savings decrease with a drop
in the tax rate. A company
with losses, which would pay no taxes, would see little
immediate benefit from either
depreciation or tax-deductibility of expenses. If the losses are
temporary, the company
might receive value via tax-loss carry forwards (which enable
firms to deduct the losses
from 1 year from future profits in order to lower taxes in future
years) or other provisions
of the tax code.
Pat Byrnes/The New Yorker Collection/www.cartoonbank.com
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www.cartoonbank.com
CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows
This approach [(dollars 3 (1 2 Tax Rate)] can also be applied to
cash inflows, so
(6.3) After-Tax Earnings 5 Earnings 3 (1 2 Tax Rate)
For example, if you earn an extra $5,000 and your tax rate is
22%, then your after-tax earn-
ings will be $3,900 as
After-Tax Earnings 5 Earnings 3 (1 2 Tax Rate)
5 $5,000 3 (1 2 0.22)
5 $3,900
Your 22% tax rate means you pay $1,100 on $5,000 of
additional earning, leaving $3,900
after-tax income.
Recapture of Depreciation, Gains, and Losses
As companies upgrade equipment and change their product mix
(and thereby the
machines required for production), they sell some assets. If an
asset is sold for its current
book value (usually, original cost less accumulated
depreciation), then there are no tax
consequences. However, if the sales price differs from the
current book value, then we
need to consider taxes.
If the sales price falls between the original cost and the current
book value, then the
company depreciated the asset too quickly. This extra
depreciation is recaptured by the
tax authorities in the form of tax at the company’s ordinary tax
rate. Since the company
reduced its taxes too much, it has to return some of those
savings. Here is an example: A
construction company bought a bulldozer 3 years ago for
$150,000. It depreciated the bull-
dozer using the straight-line method at $30,000 per year,
assuming a 5-year life. The cur-
rent book value is $60,000 ($150,000 2 3 3 $30,000). It decides
to replace the machine, so it
sells it for $75,000. The sales price of the used machine
($75,000) exceeds the current book
value ($60,000). The company depreciated the bulldozer
$15,000 too much, so it must pay
taxes on that excessive depreciation. Assuming the tax rate is
35%, the company would
have a tax bill of $5,250 (5 0.35 3 $15,000). The after-tax
income from the sale of the used
bulldozer would be $75,000 2 $5,250 5 $69,750.
There isn’t anything wrong (i.e., it isn’t illegal) for the sales
price of an asset to differ from
the asset’s book value. Market values fluctuate, and
depreciation is just a guess about the
loss of economic value of a machine or factory. When the sales
price is finally known, then
there is a settling up.
If the sales price is less than the current book value, then the
company has a loss (or didn’t
depreciate fast enough) and receives tax relief equal to the tax
shield if it had depreciated
the asset to the sales price. Using the bulldozer example above,
suppose the sales price of
the used machine was $40,000. The current book value is
$60,000, as above. Therefore the
company deserves $20,000 of extra depreciation, which would
reduce its taxes by $7,000
(5 0.35 3 $20,000). The after-tax income from the sale of the
used bulldozer would be
$40,000 (from the sale) 1 $7,000 (from tax savings) 5 $47,000.
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CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows
The last possibility is that the asset is sold for more than its
original price. This situation is
probably rare for equipment, but it is actually common in real
estate transactions and for
other assets that typically appreciate in value, such as antique
cars.
Suppose that in 1957 a company bought its CEO a Ford
Thunderbird to use as a com-
pany car. The price of the car in 1957 was $3,408. Over the
years repairs added about
$3,000 to this cost, resulting in a total investment of $6,408.
This is called the cost basis. For
information about these tax issues, see the IRS item in the Web
Resources section at the
end of the chapter. Today, according to several websites, the car
would sell for between
$30,000 and $60,000. Suppose the company had depreciated the
car to zero over 6 years
many years ago (presumably by 1963 or 1964) but today sold it
for $40,000. It would
have to recapture $6,408 of depreciation. The gain beyond
$6,408 would be a long-term
capital gain taxed at the preferential 15% long-term gain rate.
The first $6,408 would be
taxed at the company’s ordinary rate of 35%. The remaining
amount, the capital gain of
$40,000 2 $6,408 5 $33,592, would be taxed at 15%. The after-
tax cash flow from selling
this classic roadster would be
After-Tax Cash Flow 5 $40,000 2 $6,408 3 0.35 2 $33,592 3
0.15
5 $40,000 2 $2,242.80 2 $5,038.80
5 $32,718.40
As an interesting aside, consider the following: In 1957 Ford
hand-built 12 supercharged
racing Thunderbirds. One came to auction in 2009 with an
estimated price of $300,000 to
$350,000! Ford also made 222 factory-built supercharged
Thunderbirds in 1957. They sell
for well over $100,000 today.
Figure 6.2 summarizes the tax issues of selling a piece of
equipment. If the sales price is
below the current book value (in the yellow area), then there is
a loss. If the sales price is
in the green area, then depreciation needs to be recaptured. If
the sales price is higher than
the original cost (or current cost basis), then there will be
recapture of depreciation and a
capital gain.
Figure 6.2: Losses, recapture, and gains from the sale of an
asset
We have presented a somewhat simplified version of these tax
issues. There are some
potential complications when selling more than one asset in a
fiscal year, and when selling
to a related party. If this topic interests you, be sure to look at
the IRS tax document in the
Web Resources at the end of the chapter.
Current Book
Value
Original Cost
(or Cost Basis)
Sales Price
Loss Recapture Depreciation Capital Gain
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CHAPTER 6Section 6.2 Categories of Cash Flows
6.2 Categories of Cash Flows
When we analyze proposed investments, it is handy to
categorize cash flows into three types. By creating a checklist
for each type, we can help to assure that nothing has been left
out of the analysis. The three categories of cash flows are
• initial investment,
• operating cash flows, and
• terminal cash flows.
Initial Investment
For the purposes of analysis we assume that the initial
investment occurs today, at time
t 5 0. This ensures that the expenditures associated with the
initial investment are in
today’s dollars or are present values that need no further
discounting. All other cash flows
will be discounted using present value techniques to time t 5 0,
so that cash flows can be
compared.
The initial investment always includes the purchase of new
equipment or facilities or
some other large outlay. Remember that we estimate these cash
flows so that they can be
used in an analysis of whether or not an investment should be
made. If there is no signifi-
cant outlay for equipment or facilities, then there is no
investment to examine.
If the proposed investment is to replace existing equipment,
then the initial investment
will usually include proceeds from the sale of the old
equipment, with appropriate tax
adjustments.
Any additional (uncompleted and not contracted by time t 5 0)
R&D or marketing
research would also be included, as would training for
employees and specific installation
costs for equipment or machinery. Costs for R&D and/or
marketing research that have
already been paid are not included, as they are sunk costs.
Part of the initial investment that is often overlooked is working
capital. To produce and
sell merchandise, a company needs raw materials from suppliers
(which generate accounts
payable), to maintain inventory (which adds to the inventory
account), and often it must
offer credit to customers (which creates accounts receivable).
Using the with-and-without
concept, changes in these working capital accounts become part
of the incremental cash
flows for the project. At the start of the project the investment
will include some level of
inventory and accounts receivable less the amount of
spontaneous financing provided by
suppliers through accounts payable. As the sales of the product
increase, additional work-
ing capital investment may be required to support higher sales
levels.
Operating Cash Flows: New Revenue or Profit
The goal of a new product introduction or other corporate
investment is to increase share-
holder wealth. In the introduction to this chapter we said that
this means increasing cash
flows available for owners or residual cash flows. As discussed
in Chapter 2 and above,
cash flows are approximated by net income plus depreciation
expense, or more exactly as
net income plus changes in assets and liabilities.
byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 152 3/28/13 3:32 PM
CHAPTER 6Section 6.2 Categories of Cash Flows
We will show two different ways to get the approximate cash
flows, and then later con-
sider changes in working capital (the main source of changes in
assets and liabilities for
most projects). The two approaches differ by the information
with which they begin: EBT
(earnings before taxes) or EBDT (earnings before depreciation
and taxes).
Approach 1: The EBT Approach
If you know the change in earnings before taxes (taxable
income), then you can find the
after-tax operating cash flows by creating the very bottom of an
income statement and
adding depreciation expense to net income. This approach is
also excellent if you are
creating pro forma or projected income statements for the
proposed project. An example
shows this slightly extended version. See A Closer Look: Is
EBITDA a Measure of Cash Flow?
for an in-depth discussion of using earnings before interest,
taxes, depreciation, and amor-
tization (EBITDA) as a measure of cash flows.
A Closer Look: Is EBITDA a Measure of Cash Flow?
Some financial analysts specialize in evaluating whether firms
can borrow more money. In the 1980s
these debt analysts began using EBITDA as an indicator of a
company’s ability to repay its debt.
EBITDA quickly became the favorite tool of debt analysts,
particularly those studying high-yield or
junk bonds. We know from our discussion of transforming
accounting profits into cash flow that one
method is to add depreciation (and amortization) to net income.
EBITDA does this. It also adds back
taxes and interest payments. Because interest is paid before
taxes, EBITDA is a reasonable estimate
of the cash available to make those interest payments. If
EBITDA is sufficiently high (approximately
two or three times the total debt service payments), analysts feel
comfortable recommending that
the company borrow more money.
Over time, other analysts started using EBITDA as an estimate
of cash flow. Equity analysts estimate
the value, today and in the near future, of shares of stock.
Depending on their valuation, the ana-
lysts issue recommendations to buy, hold, or sell the stock.
Many stock price valuation models use
estimates of future cash flows available to stockholders to form
a current share price. Some equity
analysts and companies themselves began using EBITDA to
argue for higher share prices. By defini-
tion, the EBITDA must be larger than cash flow estimates that
add depreciation to net income, so that
the valuation can support a higher stock value. Soon investment
analysts began criticizing the use of
EBITDA as a universally appropriate measure of cash flow.
Their argument, in a nutshell, was that the
measure of cash flow appropriate for one use might not be
appropriate for other uses. While EBITDA
may be an appropriate measure for lenders, it is not appropriate
for stockholders. Stockholders care
about the cash paid for interest and taxes. Equity investors are
interested in after-tax cash flows. In
fact, equity investors are interested in cash flows after all
payments have been made. These residual
(or remaining) cash flows are available to investors, so they are
the best measure of an investment’s
value to stockholders. As this brief discussion makes clear,
there is not a single measure of cash flow
that is always appropriate. The measure of cash flow needs to
fit the job it is being applied to.
byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 153 3/28/13 3:32 PM
CHAPTER 6Section 6.2 Categories of Cash Flows
As an example, consider that a new product will generate sales
of $20,000 per year. COGS
(direct costs) will be $14,000 and there will be $1,500 of
depreciation expense. The com-
pany’s tax rate is 30%. Find the annual after-tax cash flows for
this product.
First, subtracting COGS from sales gives us the gross margin:
Sales $20,000
COGS 2$14,000
Gross margin $6,000
Then subtract depreciation to get the taxable income:
Gross margin $6,000
Depreciation expense 2$1,500
Taxable income $4,500
A tax rate of 30% means $1,350 must be paid in taxes, so that
the net income will be
Taxable income $4,500
Tax (30%) 2$1,350
Net income $3,150
Adding back depreciation gives the after-tax cash flow:
Net income $3,150
Add back depreciation 1$1,500
After-tax cash flow $4,650
Demonstration Problem 6.2: Cash Flow Estimation
Lincoln Composite Materials produces aerospace parts from
fiberglass, Kevlar™, and other plastics.
Last year Lincoln had a net income of $2,746,347 on sales of
$68 million. The depreciation expense
was $710,558 and taxes were $976,994. Use this information to
provide a rough estimate of Lincoln’s
cash flow.

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Learning ObjectivesUpon completion of Chapter 6 you will b.docx

  • 1. Learning Objectives Upon completion of Chapter 6 you will be able to: • Understand the importance of incremental after-tax cash flows. • Be able to estimate incremental after-tax cash flows. • Be able to calculate the tax consequences on an asset sale. • Understand why sunk costs do not matter in capital budgeting. • Know the three categories of cash flows typically seen in an investment proposal. Relevant Cash Flows for Capital Budgeting 6 iStockphoto/Thinkstock byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 141 3/28/13 3:32 PM CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows A company’s very first goal is staying financially healthy; a bankrupt company helps no one, neither owners nor employees nor customers. Financial health requires that bills and debts be
  • 2. paid in full and on time. This is done with cash. Cash is what lets a company keep its doors open and the lights on. Cash keeps the machines running, the raw materials flowing into factories, and the finished goods flowing out. In Chapter 2 we explained why cash flow is more important than accounting profits. We repeat that message here because it is so important. A company cannot pay its employ- ees, suppliers, banks, or tax agencies with net income. Those entities only accept cash. In Chapter 2 we also explained why cash flow and accounting profit (net income or profit after tax) differ. As a quick reminder, it has to do with how revenue is recognized, how costs are matched to sales, and how some costs are allocated over time via depreciation. In this chapter we expand the discussion of cash flow to exactly which type of cash flows we use when analyzing investment opportunities or determining a company’s financial health. We draw on accounting, tax rules, and economic theory to arrive at the appropri- ate cash flows for financial analysis. In a corporate setting, investment analysis is called capital budgeting: the decision about how to best budget investment capital to create wealth for shareholders. 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows We discussed how to use accounting statements to estimate cash flows in Chapter 2. There we showed a simple approach that gave a reasonable approximation in most cases and a more
  • 3. complete approach. The simple approach just added depreciation expense back to net income to find an estimate of cash flow. This approach is usually fairly close to the exact value because depreciation is usually the primary account that causes net income and cash flow to differ. The more complete approach begins with net income and subtracts increases in assets and adds increases in liabilities. Note that depreciation expense will be included in changes in fixed assets or property, plant, and equipment (PP&E), so is not treated separately as it was in the simple approach. If you are not comfortable with translating accounting data into cash flows, be sure to review the more detailed description of the process in Chapter 2. The appropriate cash flows for evaluating a corporate investment decision are incremen- tal after-tax cash flows. We will explain this definition in some detail as the chapter pro- gresses. For now, let’s look at the logic underlying each portion of this expression. Incremental: This is similar to the concept of marginal in microeconomics. Economists make decisions by comparing marginal costs and marginal revenues. Recall that a prod- uct’s marginal cost is the cost of making one more unit of the product. If the marginal cost is less than the marginal revenue (the price the unit will be sold for), then the company produces and sells that additional unit of production. Production continues as long as marginal cost is below marginal revenue. In finance we have
  • 4. adopted the concept under- lying marginal analysis to evaluate corporate investment proposals. We compare the additional cash flow that the proposed project or product will generate to the additional costs that the investment requires. byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 142 3/28/13 3:32 PM CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows After-tax: When we evaluate a project proposal, we do so from the perspective of the owners of the company. If the company is publicly traded, this means we evaluate from the shareholders’ perspective. Owners receive their return from after-tax dollars. That is, shareholders have a claim on after-tax profits. These are often referred to as residual cash flows because they are left after all other obligations have been paid. We will see that taxes can have a large effect on cash flows, so they cannot be ignored. Cash flows: As we discussed at the very beginning of this chapter (and in Chapter 2), it is cash that allows a company to pay its obligations—wages to employees, bills from suppli- ers, taxes, etc.—and remain financially viable. Incremental Cash Flows The use of incremental cash flows builds on the concept of marginal costs and revenues in
  • 5. economics. In corporate finance we don’t deal with individual units of production, but rather with investments in assets and other expenditures (training, marketing, R&D, etc.) to make new products or services, to expand production of existing product lines, or to reduce costs. In these situations we are dealing with a set of expenditures, sometimes total- ing millions or even billions of dollars. The underlying concept is the same as in economics: If additional revenues exceed additional costs, then the investment should be pursued. To make revenues and outlays (cash inflows and outflows) comparable, we apply the pres- ent value tools from Chapter 4 to translate all cash flows into today’s dollars. If the present value of cash inflows exceeds the present value of costs, then the investment is said to have a positive net present value, and so it is wealth-creating and should be accepted. You will learn more about actually computing a net present value in Chapter 7. In this chapter we focus on the most important input in the net present value computation: cash flows. The With-and-Without Principle To determine incremental cash flows, we imagine the company with and without the proposed investment. The cash flows that the company generates without the proposed investment act as a baseline against which to identify changes in cash flows. We subtract the cash flows without the project from the company’s cash flows if the project is accepted.
  • 6. This difference is the incremental cash flow from the proposed project. You might ask how the with-and-without approach differs from just measuring the pro- posed product’s revenue and costs. If you add up all the costs of designing, producing, marketing, and distributing a new product, there is a good chance that some of the costs will not be incremental. Examples include sunk costs, allocation of overhead, and canni- balism of sales. Sunk Costs Consider research and development costs for a product. Before a proposal can be submit- ted for funding, money has to be spent designing the product. It might seem like these costs should be included in the proposal. But including them is incorrect. They are sunk costs. It doesn’t matter whether or not the new product is pursued; these funds have been byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 143 3/28/13 3:32 PM CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows spent and cannot be recovered. In respect to these R&D expenditures, the company is no different with or without the project; in either case the money has been spent. Another common type of sunk cost is marketing research. Basically, anything that is spent prior to the proposal being
  • 7. submitted and analyzed can- not be recovered, so it is a sunk cost. Allocation of Overhead Managerial accounting classes typically dedicate several weeks to the allocation of over- head costs. There are several approaches for doing this. If you thought that cost account- ing was challenging, we have good news for you: In finance we do not allocate overhead. If a cost is truly overhead and fixed, then the with-and-without principle will not identify it as incremental. Whether or not the proposed project is accepted, the company will incur the cost. Let’s look at some examples. Sometimes factory floor space is allocated by square feet or square meters utilized by a project. Almost always, the rent or lease expense for this area has to be paid whether or not the new project is accepted. Applying the with-and- without concept means that if rent or lease payments do not change, no floor space cost is incremental to the project. We discuss a possible exception to this rule under opportunity costs below. Salaried managers may have some portion of their time allocated to a new project, but unless there are new cash outlays associated with hiring a replacement to complete other assigned tasks the managers no longer have time to complete, there is no allocation of salaries to the new project. Only if salary expenses with the project were greater than
  • 8. without it would there be any incremental cost. To summarize, we only look at changes in cash flows, so anything that is truly fixed, and by definition doesn’t change, is not incremental and therefore is not a relevant cash flow for corporate investment analysis purposes. Cannibalism of Sales Often new products are related to a company’s existing products. This makes sense because companies develop expertise in certain markets, certain types of production, certain types of distribution, and so on. This is an application of the core competency idea that is a central thesis of management. Examples abound. Boeing makes passenger jets; Campbell makes soup; McDonald’s sells fast food via franchises; John Deere makes farm equipment. When a company introduces a new product, it is likely related to existing product lines. Thus, it may compete with existing products. Consider the Campbell Soup Company and its chicken soup line. Is Campbell’s Chicken & Stars very different from Chicken Alphabet soup or Chicken Noodle soup or Chicken NoodleO’s or Chicken with Mini Noodles or Homestyle Chicken Noodle soup or Chunky Classic Chicken Noodle soup? When a new chicken noodle soup variant is introduced, it is very likely that some of its sales will come from the existing chicken noodle variants that Campbell is already selling. If so, how should the revenues (and thus the cash inflows) from the new
  • 9. product be calculated? byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 144 3/28/13 3:32 PM CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows Using the with-and-without principle we would compare the revenues after the new soup is introduced to the sales before and use this difference. The difference is the incremental revenue from the new product. Computing incremental revenues can be complicated. Let’s go back about 20 years to the time when doctors began warning about people having too much sodium (or salt) in their diets. It was thought that too much salt could result in higher blood pressure and possibly other health prob- lems. At that time people start- ing shifting their purchases toward low-sodium versions of products. If the Campbell Soup Company introduced a low- sodium chicken noodle soup in response to a competitor doing so (although Campbell Soup is so huge that it may not have any significant competitors), we would compute incremental cash inflows differently. The without baseline would be
  • 10. Campbell Soup’s sales with- out the low-sodium variety. The sales would presumably be lower because health-conscious consumers would shift to the competitor’s low-sodium soup. If Campbell Soup introduces a low-sodium variety and prevents sales from being lost, those recovered sales should be included as incremental revenue in the cash flows for the low-sodium-soup analysis. This is a subtle distinction: When a company introduces a defensive product, it needs to consider the revenues protected (i.e., not lost to competitors) in addition to new revenues when determining incremental cash inflows or benefits associ- ated with the product. After-Tax Cash Flows Because we take the perspective of owners when analyzing corporate investment propos- als, and because owners are paid from after-tax dollars, we need to consider taxes when determining the appropriate cash flows for investment analysis. Taxes affect investment cash flows in several ways. Companies pay tax on their income. Income is computed as revenues for the period minus tax- deductible expenses for that period. An important expense when evaluating an investment proposal is depreciation expense. Most large investments involve the purchase of long- lived equipment, which will have its cost depreciated over time via depreciation
  • 11. expense. Try Demonstration Problem 6.1 to assess your skill at estimating cash flows. Bloomberg/Getty Images The Campbell Soup Company produces a variety of chicken soups. byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 145 3/28/13 3:32 PM CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows Demonstration Problem 6.1: Cash Flow Estimation You and several other entrepreneurial recent college graduates are considering organizing a series of bluegrass music festivals. You have found a group of bands and musicians who will commit to come and perform over a 3-day period each July for the next 5 years. You have found an old outdoor amphitheater, but it requires some remodeling and new equipment before it can be used. Before you commit to this series of five bluegrass festivals, use the following information to estimate the cash flow from the festivals. a. The musicians, as a group, want a guarantee of $25,000 per year plus $1 per ticket sold. In addition, the musicians need housing. The total housing expense will be $4,500. b. Refurbishing and equipping the pavilion will generate a
  • 12. depreciation expense of $6,500 per year for 5 years. c. Insurance, security, equipment rental, lighting, and audio services will total about $8,500 per year. Printing, advertising, telephone use, postage, and other expenses related to the festival are estimated to total $7,500 per year. d. With effective advertising, a member of the group, who is a marketing professional, believes the festival will draw people from throughout the region. Tentatively, an average ticket price of $10 is being considered. e. Based on similar events elsewhere, she estimates total ticket sales over the 3 days will be about 6,500 the first year, growing to 8,000 in years 2 and 3, and to 9,000 in years 4 and 5. f. The appropriate tax rate for this project is 28%. Solution Revenues Year 1 2 3 4 5
  • 13. Tickets 6,500 8,000 8,000 9,000 9,000 Revenue at $10/ticket $65,000 $80,000 $80,000 $90,000 $90,000 Expenses Year 1 2 3 4 5 Musicians’ fee $25,000 $25,000 $25,000 $25,000 $25,000 Musicians’ gate receipts 6,000 8,000 8,000 9,000 9,000 Musicians’ housing 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500 Depreciation 6,500 6,500 6,500 6,500 6,500 Insurance, etc. 20,500 20,500 20,500 20,500 20,500 Total expenses $62,500 $64,500 $64,500 $65,500 $65,500 Taxes, Profits, and Cash Flow Year 1 2 3 4 5
  • 14. Profit $2,000 $15,500 $15,500 $24,500 $24,500 Tax 560 4,340 4,340 6,860 6,860 Net profit 1,440 11,160 11,160 17,640 17,640 Cash flow 7,940 17,660 17,660 24,140 24,140 byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 146 3/28/13 3:32 PM CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows The Depreciation Tax Shield The income statement in Table 6.1 includes a line for depreciation expense. This expense reduces taxable income, so reduces the amount of taxes paid. In Table 6.2 depreciation expense is removed, so taxable income and taxes go up. Table 6.1: Income statement with depreciation expense Income Statement for the Year 2012
  • 15. Revenue 1,000,000 COGS 487,500 Gross margin 512,500 Depreciation expense 200,000 Taxable income 312,500 Taxes (32%) 100,000 Net income 212,500 Add back depreciation 200,000 Cash flow 412,500 Table 6.2: Income statement without depreciation expense Income Statement for the Year 2012 Revenue 1,000,000 COGS 487,500
  • 16. Gross margin 512,500 Depreciation expense 0 Taxable income 512,500 Taxes 164,000 Net income 348,500 Add back depreciation 0 Cash flow 348,500 In Table 6.1 depreciation expense reduced taxable income by $200,000. Because of this tax shield, taxes decreased by $64,000, from $164,000 (in Table 6.1 without depreciation expense) to $100,000 in Table 6.2. The tax shield effect can be estimated directly from byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 147 3/28/13 3:32 PM
  • 17. CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows (6.1) Tax Savings 5 Depreciation Expense 3 Tax Rate Substituting in the values we are given gives us Tax Savings 5 $200,000 3 0.32 5 $64,000 In Tables 6.1 and 6.2 notice how the presence of depreciation expense affects cash flow. Cash flow in Table 6.1, estimated by adding depreciation expense to net income, is $412,500. When depreciation expense is removed, as shown in Table 6.2, cash flow decreases to $348,500. This $64,000 fall in cash flow arises because of the loss of the depre- ciation tax shield. The change in cash flow is exactly equal to the tax savings estimated with Equation (6.1). While there are tax savings and cash flow increases in years when depreciation expense is recognized, you need to think about the cash flow implications
  • 18. over an asset’s entire life. When the asset is purchased, a large outlay is made. Think of this as a negative cash flow or an outflow of cash. Over the depreciable life of the asset, the tax savings from depre- ciation expense generate positive cash flows. Figure 6.1 shows the timeline of cash flows associated with the purchase and depreciation of a long-lived asset. Figure 6.1: Timeline of cash flows associated with a long-lived asset In Figure 6.1 a company purchases a machine (or some other asset) for $1,200,000. The company recognizes $200,000 of depreciation expense each year for the wear and tear (or the consumption) of the machine for the next 6 years. Assuming a tax rate of 32%, the $200,000 of depreciation expense reduces taxable income by $200,000 and thereby reduces taxes by $64,000. It is the $64,000 annual tax savings that we recognize as a cash flow. While these tax savings are great, you need to remember that they exist only because the
  • 19. company spent $1,200,000 on the machine initially. The tax shields are not free. Depreciation Tax Shields of $64,000 per year based on 32% tax rate 2 Time (years) 1 43 65 0 –$1,200,000 byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 148 3/28/13 3:32 PM CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows Ignoring the time value of money for a moment, we see that the sum of the tax shield cash
  • 20. flows is $384,000 (5 6 3 $64,000), not $1,200,000. The sum of the tax shields is less than the amount spent because, though over the 6-year asset life taxable income is reduced by $1,200,000 ($200,000 per year), this only reduces taxes, and creates cash flows, by $64,000 per year. Notice that $1,200,000 3 0.32 5 $384,000. If the time value of money is con- sidered, then the present value of the depreciation tax shields is less than $384,000. Sometimes government economic stimu- lus policies accelerate deprecia- tion, even allowing companies to take all of the depreciation in the first year. This increases the value of the tax shields in terms of their present value. Tax Deductible Expenses For companies, almost all busi- ness expenses are tax deduct- ible; that is, they are subtracted from revenue and reduce tax-
  • 21. able income. We can calculate after-tax cost using (6.2) After-Tax Cost 5 Cost 3 (1 2 Tax Rate) The after-tax cost of a deductible expense for a $2,000 outlay and a 35% tax rate is then given by After-Tax Cost 5 $2,000 3 (1 2 0.35) 5 $1,300 The company writes a check to the supplier for $2,000, but after the cost reduces taxable income, the company realizes a tax savings of $700, making the after-tax cost of the $2,000 just $1,300. For both depreciation and deductible expenses, the tax savings are greater the higher the tax rate. This also means that the savings decrease with a drop in the tax rate. A company with losses, which would pay no taxes, would see little immediate benefit from either depreciation or tax-deductibility of expenses. If the losses are
  • 22. temporary, the company might receive value via tax-loss carry forwards (which enable firms to deduct the losses from 1 year from future profits in order to lower taxes in future years) or other provisions of the tax code. Pat Byrnes/The New Yorker Collection/www.cartoonbank.com byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 149 3/28/13 3:32 PM www.cartoonbank.com CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows This approach [(dollars 3 (1 2 Tax Rate)] can also be applied to cash inflows, so (6.3) After-Tax Earnings 5 Earnings 3 (1 2 Tax Rate) For example, if you earn an extra $5,000 and your tax rate is 22%, then your after-tax earn- ings will be $3,900 as
  • 23. After-Tax Earnings 5 Earnings 3 (1 2 Tax Rate) 5 $5,000 3 (1 2 0.22) 5 $3,900 Your 22% tax rate means you pay $1,100 on $5,000 of additional earning, leaving $3,900 after-tax income. Recapture of Depreciation, Gains, and Losses As companies upgrade equipment and change their product mix (and thereby the machines required for production), they sell some assets. If an asset is sold for its current book value (usually, original cost less accumulated depreciation), then there are no tax consequences. However, if the sales price differs from the current book value, then we need to consider taxes. If the sales price falls between the original cost and the current book value, then the company depreciated the asset too quickly. This extra depreciation is recaptured by the tax authorities in the form of tax at the company’s ordinary tax
  • 24. rate. Since the company reduced its taxes too much, it has to return some of those savings. Here is an example: A construction company bought a bulldozer 3 years ago for $150,000. It depreciated the bull- dozer using the straight-line method at $30,000 per year, assuming a 5-year life. The cur- rent book value is $60,000 ($150,000 2 3 3 $30,000). It decides to replace the machine, so it sells it for $75,000. The sales price of the used machine ($75,000) exceeds the current book value ($60,000). The company depreciated the bulldozer $15,000 too much, so it must pay taxes on that excessive depreciation. Assuming the tax rate is 35%, the company would have a tax bill of $5,250 (5 0.35 3 $15,000). The after-tax income from the sale of the used bulldozer would be $75,000 2 $5,250 5 $69,750. There isn’t anything wrong (i.e., it isn’t illegal) for the sales price of an asset to differ from the asset’s book value. Market values fluctuate, and depreciation is just a guess about the loss of economic value of a machine or factory. When the sales price is finally known, then
  • 25. there is a settling up. If the sales price is less than the current book value, then the company has a loss (or didn’t depreciate fast enough) and receives tax relief equal to the tax shield if it had depreciated the asset to the sales price. Using the bulldozer example above, suppose the sales price of the used machine was $40,000. The current book value is $60,000, as above. Therefore the company deserves $20,000 of extra depreciation, which would reduce its taxes by $7,000 (5 0.35 3 $20,000). The after-tax income from the sale of the used bulldozer would be $40,000 (from the sale) 1 $7,000 (from tax savings) 5 $47,000. byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 150 3/28/13 3:32 PM CHAPTER 6Section 6.1 How to Compute Cash Flows The last possibility is that the asset is sold for more than its original price. This situation is probably rare for equipment, but it is actually common in real
  • 26. estate transactions and for other assets that typically appreciate in value, such as antique cars. Suppose that in 1957 a company bought its CEO a Ford Thunderbird to use as a com- pany car. The price of the car in 1957 was $3,408. Over the years repairs added about $3,000 to this cost, resulting in a total investment of $6,408. This is called the cost basis. For information about these tax issues, see the IRS item in the Web Resources section at the end of the chapter. Today, according to several websites, the car would sell for between $30,000 and $60,000. Suppose the company had depreciated the car to zero over 6 years many years ago (presumably by 1963 or 1964) but today sold it for $40,000. It would have to recapture $6,408 of depreciation. The gain beyond $6,408 would be a long-term capital gain taxed at the preferential 15% long-term gain rate. The first $6,408 would be taxed at the company’s ordinary rate of 35%. The remaining amount, the capital gain of $40,000 2 $6,408 5 $33,592, would be taxed at 15%. The after-
  • 27. tax cash flow from selling this classic roadster would be After-Tax Cash Flow 5 $40,000 2 $6,408 3 0.35 2 $33,592 3 0.15 5 $40,000 2 $2,242.80 2 $5,038.80 5 $32,718.40 As an interesting aside, consider the following: In 1957 Ford hand-built 12 supercharged racing Thunderbirds. One came to auction in 2009 with an estimated price of $300,000 to $350,000! Ford also made 222 factory-built supercharged Thunderbirds in 1957. They sell for well over $100,000 today. Figure 6.2 summarizes the tax issues of selling a piece of equipment. If the sales price is below the current book value (in the yellow area), then there is a loss. If the sales price is in the green area, then depreciation needs to be recaptured. If the sales price is higher than the original cost (or current cost basis), then there will be recapture of depreciation and a capital gain.
  • 28. Figure 6.2: Losses, recapture, and gains from the sale of an asset We have presented a somewhat simplified version of these tax issues. There are some potential complications when selling more than one asset in a fiscal year, and when selling to a related party. If this topic interests you, be sure to look at the IRS tax document in the Web Resources at the end of the chapter. Current Book Value Original Cost (or Cost Basis) Sales Price Loss Recapture Depreciation Capital Gain byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 151 3/28/13 3:32 PM
  • 29. CHAPTER 6Section 6.2 Categories of Cash Flows 6.2 Categories of Cash Flows When we analyze proposed investments, it is handy to categorize cash flows into three types. By creating a checklist for each type, we can help to assure that nothing has been left out of the analysis. The three categories of cash flows are • initial investment, • operating cash flows, and • terminal cash flows. Initial Investment For the purposes of analysis we assume that the initial investment occurs today, at time t 5 0. This ensures that the expenditures associated with the initial investment are in today’s dollars or are present values that need no further discounting. All other cash flows will be discounted using present value techniques to time t 5 0, so that cash flows can be compared.
  • 30. The initial investment always includes the purchase of new equipment or facilities or some other large outlay. Remember that we estimate these cash flows so that they can be used in an analysis of whether or not an investment should be made. If there is no signifi- cant outlay for equipment or facilities, then there is no investment to examine. If the proposed investment is to replace existing equipment, then the initial investment will usually include proceeds from the sale of the old equipment, with appropriate tax adjustments. Any additional (uncompleted and not contracted by time t 5 0) R&D or marketing research would also be included, as would training for employees and specific installation costs for equipment or machinery. Costs for R&D and/or marketing research that have already been paid are not included, as they are sunk costs. Part of the initial investment that is often overlooked is working capital. To produce and
  • 31. sell merchandise, a company needs raw materials from suppliers (which generate accounts payable), to maintain inventory (which adds to the inventory account), and often it must offer credit to customers (which creates accounts receivable). Using the with-and-without concept, changes in these working capital accounts become part of the incremental cash flows for the project. At the start of the project the investment will include some level of inventory and accounts receivable less the amount of spontaneous financing provided by suppliers through accounts payable. As the sales of the product increase, additional work- ing capital investment may be required to support higher sales levels. Operating Cash Flows: New Revenue or Profit The goal of a new product introduction or other corporate investment is to increase share- holder wealth. In the introduction to this chapter we said that this means increasing cash flows available for owners or residual cash flows. As discussed in Chapter 2 and above,
  • 32. cash flows are approximated by net income plus depreciation expense, or more exactly as net income plus changes in assets and liabilities. byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 152 3/28/13 3:32 PM CHAPTER 6Section 6.2 Categories of Cash Flows We will show two different ways to get the approximate cash flows, and then later con- sider changes in working capital (the main source of changes in assets and liabilities for most projects). The two approaches differ by the information with which they begin: EBT (earnings before taxes) or EBDT (earnings before depreciation and taxes). Approach 1: The EBT Approach If you know the change in earnings before taxes (taxable income), then you can find the after-tax operating cash flows by creating the very bottom of an income statement and adding depreciation expense to net income. This approach is
  • 33. also excellent if you are creating pro forma or projected income statements for the proposed project. An example shows this slightly extended version. See A Closer Look: Is EBITDA a Measure of Cash Flow? for an in-depth discussion of using earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amor- tization (EBITDA) as a measure of cash flows. A Closer Look: Is EBITDA a Measure of Cash Flow? Some financial analysts specialize in evaluating whether firms can borrow more money. In the 1980s these debt analysts began using EBITDA as an indicator of a company’s ability to repay its debt. EBITDA quickly became the favorite tool of debt analysts, particularly those studying high-yield or junk bonds. We know from our discussion of transforming accounting profits into cash flow that one method is to add depreciation (and amortization) to net income. EBITDA does this. It also adds back taxes and interest payments. Because interest is paid before taxes, EBITDA is a reasonable estimate of the cash available to make those interest payments. If EBITDA is sufficiently high (approximately
  • 34. two or three times the total debt service payments), analysts feel comfortable recommending that the company borrow more money. Over time, other analysts started using EBITDA as an estimate of cash flow. Equity analysts estimate the value, today and in the near future, of shares of stock. Depending on their valuation, the ana- lysts issue recommendations to buy, hold, or sell the stock. Many stock price valuation models use estimates of future cash flows available to stockholders to form a current share price. Some equity analysts and companies themselves began using EBITDA to argue for higher share prices. By defini- tion, the EBITDA must be larger than cash flow estimates that add depreciation to net income, so that the valuation can support a higher stock value. Soon investment analysts began criticizing the use of EBITDA as a universally appropriate measure of cash flow. Their argument, in a nutshell, was that the measure of cash flow appropriate for one use might not be appropriate for other uses. While EBITDA may be an appropriate measure for lenders, it is not appropriate for stockholders. Stockholders care about the cash paid for interest and taxes. Equity investors are
  • 35. interested in after-tax cash flows. In fact, equity investors are interested in cash flows after all payments have been made. These residual (or remaining) cash flows are available to investors, so they are the best measure of an investment’s value to stockholders. As this brief discussion makes clear, there is not a single measure of cash flow that is always appropriate. The measure of cash flow needs to fit the job it is being applied to. byr80656_06_c06_141-160.indd 153 3/28/13 3:32 PM CHAPTER 6Section 6.2 Categories of Cash Flows As an example, consider that a new product will generate sales of $20,000 per year. COGS (direct costs) will be $14,000 and there will be $1,500 of depreciation expense. The com- pany’s tax rate is 30%. Find the annual after-tax cash flows for this product. First, subtracting COGS from sales gives us the gross margin:
  • 36. Sales $20,000 COGS 2$14,000 Gross margin $6,000 Then subtract depreciation to get the taxable income: Gross margin $6,000 Depreciation expense 2$1,500 Taxable income $4,500 A tax rate of 30% means $1,350 must be paid in taxes, so that the net income will be Taxable income $4,500 Tax (30%) 2$1,350 Net income $3,150 Adding back depreciation gives the after-tax cash flow:
  • 37. Net income $3,150 Add back depreciation 1$1,500 After-tax cash flow $4,650 Demonstration Problem 6.2: Cash Flow Estimation Lincoln Composite Materials produces aerospace parts from fiberglass, Kevlar™, and other plastics. Last year Lincoln had a net income of $2,746,347 on sales of $68 million. The depreciation expense was $710,558 and taxes were $976,994. Use this information to provide a rough estimate of Lincoln’s cash flow.