SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Leadership in Uncertain Times
Mandeep Singh
?
• Why a question mark?
• Am I to ask the question?
• Will I be asked to answer?
• Why in the corner?
• Why only one? One question only?
• Why black on white?
Its always been an ‘uncertain times’
• 9/11
• Gulf War
• Y2K Bug
• Cold war
• 1973 Oil shock
• Pearl Harbor - WW II
• Great depression
• WW I
Nothing new ever happens
if you consider the time past immemorial
What are ‘uncertain times’?
• Pace of change more rapid.
• Its not only economic but even social changes
that have their impact.
• Factors impacting outcome
– Seemingly unrelated events impact outcomes
more than ever before.
– Impact felt faster.
Changing pace of change
Uncertainty
• Triggers of uncertainty. The black swan
syndrome.
• Chaos theory.
• Impact of technology.
• Globalisation.
• Demographic shift.
How to prepare for uncertain times
The traditional approaches are –
Anticipate.
• Things you can foresee.
Adapt.
• Things that you cant foresee.
In either case, ACT and act fast.
The OODA Loop
Observe
Orient
Decide
Act
Uncertain times
• The millennials.
• Impact of technology.
• Information overload.
• Globalisation.
• Social media.
Uncertainty–Leadership Correlation
Level of uncertainty
Possibleoptions/outcomes
Level 1
• Relatively simple view of future
• One of two obvious options
• Leadership – Traditional
SWOT
Benchmarking
Competency-based
Summary of “Industrial” Leadership
• Framed by level 1 uncertainty
• These industrial age leadership theories have been:
• management-oriented
• Focused on the leader
• goal-achievement-dominated
• male-oriented
• utilitarian and materialistic in ethical perspective
• Rationalistic
– Philip Rost, Leadership for the 21st Century
Uncertainty–Leadership Correlation
Level of uncertainty
Possibleoptions/outcomes
Level 1
Level 2
Alternate futures
• Mutually exclusive and collectively
exhaustive
• One will occur
• Leadership - Qualitative decision
analysis
Uncertainty–Leadership Correlation
Level of uncertainty
Possibleoptions/outcomes
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Range of futures
Not mutually exclusive
• Leadership Strategy -Decision
tree/cost-benefit analysis
Uncertainty–Leadership Correlation
Level of uncertainty
Possibleoptions/outcomes
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Level 4
• True ambiguity- The future is
unknown and unknowable
• Leadership strategy – Work
backwards
‘White Water’ Conditions
• Conditions are full of surprises
• Complex systems tend to produce novel
problems
• Conditions feature events that are “messy”
and
• Events are often very costly
Working Backwards
• Start with a strategy
• Aligning strategy with the organizational
mission and values
• Assumptions about the future to support a
defined strategy
• ‘Wargame’ likelihood of assumptions
coming out to be true
• Hedging bets on the outcome
How to prepare for uncertain times
• Contingency planning. Remember - No plan
survives contact.
• Stay connected- communicate.
• Informal approach.
• Exploit technology.
• Manage information.
Nirbhaya rapist released
Diesel SUVs registration suspended
Paris accord
Green signal to stalled projects
Start ups the way to be
Economy to grow 8 percent
GST bill stalled. Again.
Three more bills need to be passed after GST Bill
Indian growth projections faulty
Public spending at all time low
Social sector ignored
JAM – the focus of NDA government
Sonia Gandhi appears in court
DDCA scandal. Financial irregularities surface
AAP demands Jaitley’s head
Modi tells his cabinet to go after the opposition
Arunacahal Assembly proceedings stalled
Japan to finance Bullet trainIIP figures disappoint
Fed rates cut
Oil prices not likely to fall further
Syria peace process gets UN backing
Executive process the only way out
Indo-Pak talks back on rail
UP elections due in 2017
BJP appoints new Kerala unit head
Nirbhaya rapist released
Diesel SUVs registration suspended
Paris accord
Green signal to stalled projects
Start ups the way to be
Economy to grow 8 percent
GST bill stalled. Again.
Three more bills need to be passed after GST Bill
Indian growth projections faulty
Public spending at all time low
Social sector ignored
JAM – the focus of NDA government
Sonia Gandhi appears in court
DDCA scandal. Financial irregularities surface
AAP demands Jaitley’s head
Modi tells his cabinet to go after the opposition
Arunacahal Assembly proceedings stalled
Japan to finance Bullet trainIIP figures disappoint
Fed rates cut
Oil prices not likely to fall further
Syria peace process gets UN backing
Executive process the only way out
Indo-Pak talks back on rail
UP elections due in 2017
BJP appoints new Kerala unit head
The simulation exercise
• Ravinder was the only one who made money
in the simulation exercise. How ?
• He kept abreast of the news.
• Observe how seemingly unrelated events
occur. Join the dots, and you get to know with
a reasonable degree of assurance – what to do
What do leaders need to do?
• A strong effective and skill sets of others to get more
done inleader in today’s uncertain economy shares the
leadership role with others members of the team.
Stepping out from the formal leadership role, it is an
informal team approach where the lead role shifts by
the subject at hand. It allows the organization to tap
the excitement a way that drives an even better
outcome.
• By building trusted relationships within an
organization through accessibility, transparency,
communications and actions the shared leadership
concept achieves a much higher sense of commitment
and meaning to those involved.
Colleen Brown
President / CEO
Fisher Communications
What do leaders need to do?
There are lots of effective styles. Yet they should
be enabling in order to succeed and generate leverage.
Leaders need to demonstrate a steady hand. It’s easy to
worry and lose focus in a bad economy. Steve McConnell
Managing Partner
NBBJ
What do leaders need to do?
There are lots of effective styles. Yet they should
be enabling in order to succeed and generate leverage.
Leaders need to demonstrate a steady hand. It’s easy to
worry and lose focus in a bad economy.
Hiring the right people really matters, and really counts.
After that, as a leader, you need to stay out of the way.
Surround yourself with people who are smarter than you,
and then just lead through the team. In a sense, the
whole organization must lead together.
Steve McConnell
Managing Partner
NBBJ
Chris Wallace
President / CEO
Texas Chamber of Commerce
Requisites for effective leadership
• Manage information.
• Shorten your OODA loop.
• Involve the entire team.
• Enable the team.
• Accessibility.
• Communications.
• Integrity.
Transformative Leadership
Transformative leadership
occurs when one or more
people engage with others
in such a way that leaders
and followers raise one
another to higher levels of
motivations and morality.
Burns. Transformative Leadership
Leadership in Self-Organizing Systems
• Define the boundaries
• Invite diversity
• Create transforming
exchanges
• Serve the system
• There are no set piece strategies or plans that
will win.
• You have to chart your own course. And select
what suits you and your organization.
• Who follows change, will survive.
• Who does not, will perish.
• Who causes change, will lead.
Thank you

More Related Content

What's hot

Change Management
Change ManagementChange Management
Change Management
Paras Kaushik
 
An introduction to agile leadership
An introduction to agile leadershipAn introduction to agile leadership
An introduction to agile leadership
Jose E. Rodriguez Huerta
 
Catalyst by CHANDRAMOULI VENKATESAN Executive summary
Catalyst by CHANDRAMOULI VENKATESAN Executive summaryCatalyst by CHANDRAMOULI VENKATESAN Executive summary
Catalyst by CHANDRAMOULI VENKATESAN Executive summary
varunrp44
 
Successful Career Presentation
Successful Career PresentationSuccessful Career Presentation
Successful Career PresentationHammad Siddiqui
 
Workforce Planning in a VUCA World Adam Gibson, Strategic Workforce Planning ...
Workforce Planning in a VUCA World Adam Gibson, Strategic Workforce Planning ...Workforce Planning in a VUCA World Adam Gibson, Strategic Workforce Planning ...
Workforce Planning in a VUCA World Adam Gibson, Strategic Workforce Planning ...
TALiNT Partners
 
Agile Mindset : The Paradigm Shift..! - Agile Tour Algiers 2017
Agile Mindset : The Paradigm Shift..! - Agile Tour Algiers 2017Agile Mindset : The Paradigm Shift..! - Agile Tour Algiers 2017
Agile Mindset : The Paradigm Shift..! - Agile Tour Algiers 2017
Taoufik Fekhar
 
The Emergence of Business Agility
The Emergence of Business AgilityThe Emergence of Business Agility
The Emergence of Business Agility
Jose Casal-Gimenez FBCS CITP
 
Agile Leadership introduction
Agile Leadership introductionAgile Leadership introduction
Agile Leadership introduction
Martin Ellemann Olesen
 
Comparing Scaled Agile Framework (SAFe) and Disciplined Agile Delivery (DAD)
Comparing Scaled Agile Framework (SAFe) and Disciplined Agile Delivery (DAD) Comparing Scaled Agile Framework (SAFe) and Disciplined Agile Delivery (DAD)
Comparing Scaled Agile Framework (SAFe) and Disciplined Agile Delivery (DAD)
Rodney Bodamer
 
Change Management
Change ManagementChange Management
Change Management
Khandaker Saiful Islam
 
Adoptando y escalando la agilidad en corporaciones
Adoptando y escalando la agilidad en corporacionesAdoptando y escalando la agilidad en corporaciones
Adoptando y escalando la agilidad en corporaciones
GeneXus
 
Change Management PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Change Management PowerPoint Presentation SlidesChange Management PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Change Management PowerPoint Presentation Slides
SlideTeam
 
Principles of Leadership for the VUCA World
Principles of Leadership for the VUCA WorldPrinciples of Leadership for the VUCA World
Principles of Leadership for the VUCA World
Deepa Nagarajan LLP
 
Business agility presentation
Business agility presentationBusiness agility presentation
Business agility presentation
Tim Guay
 
Agile Transformation and Cultural Change
 Agile Transformation and Cultural Change Agile Transformation and Cultural Change
Agile Transformation and Cultural Change
Johnny Ordóñez
 
The Art Of Managing People
The Art Of Managing PeopleThe Art Of Managing People
The Art Of Managing PeopleGeethashree N
 
William Bridges - Managing Transitions
William Bridges - Managing TransitionsWilliam Bridges - Managing Transitions
William Bridges - Managing TransitionsRoberto Giannicola
 
Grooming future leaders gk oct2018
Grooming future leaders gk oct2018Grooming future leaders gk oct2018
Grooming future leaders gk oct2018
Leahcim Semaj
 
How to Embrace Change at Work
How to Embrace Change at WorkHow to Embrace Change at Work
How to Embrace Change at Work
LinkedIn
 
Managing Change in the Workplace
Managing Change in the Workplace Managing Change in the Workplace
Managing Change in the Workplace
Pro Way Development
 

What's hot (20)

Change Management
Change ManagementChange Management
Change Management
 
An introduction to agile leadership
An introduction to agile leadershipAn introduction to agile leadership
An introduction to agile leadership
 
Catalyst by CHANDRAMOULI VENKATESAN Executive summary
Catalyst by CHANDRAMOULI VENKATESAN Executive summaryCatalyst by CHANDRAMOULI VENKATESAN Executive summary
Catalyst by CHANDRAMOULI VENKATESAN Executive summary
 
Successful Career Presentation
Successful Career PresentationSuccessful Career Presentation
Successful Career Presentation
 
Workforce Planning in a VUCA World Adam Gibson, Strategic Workforce Planning ...
Workforce Planning in a VUCA World Adam Gibson, Strategic Workforce Planning ...Workforce Planning in a VUCA World Adam Gibson, Strategic Workforce Planning ...
Workforce Planning in a VUCA World Adam Gibson, Strategic Workforce Planning ...
 
Agile Mindset : The Paradigm Shift..! - Agile Tour Algiers 2017
Agile Mindset : The Paradigm Shift..! - Agile Tour Algiers 2017Agile Mindset : The Paradigm Shift..! - Agile Tour Algiers 2017
Agile Mindset : The Paradigm Shift..! - Agile Tour Algiers 2017
 
The Emergence of Business Agility
The Emergence of Business AgilityThe Emergence of Business Agility
The Emergence of Business Agility
 
Agile Leadership introduction
Agile Leadership introductionAgile Leadership introduction
Agile Leadership introduction
 
Comparing Scaled Agile Framework (SAFe) and Disciplined Agile Delivery (DAD)
Comparing Scaled Agile Framework (SAFe) and Disciplined Agile Delivery (DAD) Comparing Scaled Agile Framework (SAFe) and Disciplined Agile Delivery (DAD)
Comparing Scaled Agile Framework (SAFe) and Disciplined Agile Delivery (DAD)
 
Change Management
Change ManagementChange Management
Change Management
 
Adoptando y escalando la agilidad en corporaciones
Adoptando y escalando la agilidad en corporacionesAdoptando y escalando la agilidad en corporaciones
Adoptando y escalando la agilidad en corporaciones
 
Change Management PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Change Management PowerPoint Presentation SlidesChange Management PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Change Management PowerPoint Presentation Slides
 
Principles of Leadership for the VUCA World
Principles of Leadership for the VUCA WorldPrinciples of Leadership for the VUCA World
Principles of Leadership for the VUCA World
 
Business agility presentation
Business agility presentationBusiness agility presentation
Business agility presentation
 
Agile Transformation and Cultural Change
 Agile Transformation and Cultural Change Agile Transformation and Cultural Change
Agile Transformation and Cultural Change
 
The Art Of Managing People
The Art Of Managing PeopleThe Art Of Managing People
The Art Of Managing People
 
William Bridges - Managing Transitions
William Bridges - Managing TransitionsWilliam Bridges - Managing Transitions
William Bridges - Managing Transitions
 
Grooming future leaders gk oct2018
Grooming future leaders gk oct2018Grooming future leaders gk oct2018
Grooming future leaders gk oct2018
 
How to Embrace Change at Work
How to Embrace Change at WorkHow to Embrace Change at Work
How to Embrace Change at Work
 
Managing Change in the Workplace
Managing Change in the Workplace Managing Change in the Workplace
Managing Change in the Workplace
 

Viewers also liked

The Lean Non-Profit: How Two People Can Save The World
The Lean Non-Profit: How Two People Can Save The WorldThe Lean Non-Profit: How Two People Can Save The World
The Lean Non-Profit: How Two People Can Save The WorldNaveed Lalani
 
Prueba4entrada2014comunicacion
Prueba4entrada2014comunicacionPrueba4entrada2014comunicacion
Prueba4entrada2014comunicacion
AlexanderZ Yana Bolívar
 
Naveed Lalani's LinkedIn Case Study
Naveed Lalani's LinkedIn Case StudyNaveed Lalani's LinkedIn Case Study
Naveed Lalani's LinkedIn Case Study
Naveed Lalani
 
ガラパゴス携帯とは?
ガラパゴス携帯とは?ガラパゴス携帯とは?
ガラパゴス携帯とは?octobermonster
 
Parque de Inovação no Instituto de Engenharia
Parque de Inovação no Instituto de EngenhariaParque de Inovação no Instituto de Engenharia
Parque de Inovação no Instituto de Engenharia
Renato Almeida Prado
 
Factories act 1948
Factories act 1948Factories act 1948
Factories act 1948
Mandeep Singh
 
Jamie Turner - How consumers engage with Apps
Jamie Turner - How consumers engage with AppsJamie Turner - How consumers engage with Apps
Jamie Turner - How consumers engage with Apps
Francesc Cañigueral
 
Kathy Blankley Roman - Solo Art Series - Event Catalogue
Kathy Blankley Roman - Solo Art Series - Event CatalogueKathy Blankley Roman - Solo Art Series - Event Catalogue
Kathy Blankley Roman - Solo Art Series - Event Catalogue
Light Space & Time Online Art Gallery
 
Donna Howard - Solo Art Series Exhibition - Event Catalogue
Donna Howard - Solo Art Series Exhibition - Event CatalogueDonna Howard - Solo Art Series Exhibition - Event Catalogue
Donna Howard - Solo Art Series Exhibition - Event Catalogue
Light Space & Time Online Art Gallery
 
Hacking A Professional Alliance
Hacking A Professional AllianceHacking A Professional Alliance
Hacking A Professional Alliance
Naveed Lalani
 
What the f*** is Bitcoin?
What the f*** is Bitcoin?What the f*** is Bitcoin?
What the f*** is Bitcoin?
Naveed Lalani
 
Insigniter linkidn.power point presentation
Insigniter linkidn.power point presentationInsigniter linkidn.power point presentation
Insigniter linkidn.power point presentationinsigniterweb
 
Factories act 1948
Factories act 1948Factories act 1948
Factories act 1948
Mandeep Singh
 
How Old Spice Mesmerized, Caressed, Made Love To… And Hacked The Social Graph
How Old Spice Mesmerized, Caressed, Made Love To… And Hacked The Social GraphHow Old Spice Mesmerized, Caressed, Made Love To… And Hacked The Social Graph
How Old Spice Mesmerized, Caressed, Made Love To… And Hacked The Social Graph
Naveed Lalani
 
Parque de Inovação no Instituto de Engenharia
Parque de Inovação no Instituto de EngenhariaParque de Inovação no Instituto de Engenharia
Parque de Inovação no Instituto de Engenharia
Renato Almeida Prado
 

Viewers also liked (16)

The Lean Non-Profit: How Two People Can Save The World
The Lean Non-Profit: How Two People Can Save The WorldThe Lean Non-Profit: How Two People Can Save The World
The Lean Non-Profit: How Two People Can Save The World
 
Prueba4entrada2014comunicacion
Prueba4entrada2014comunicacionPrueba4entrada2014comunicacion
Prueba4entrada2014comunicacion
 
Naveed Lalani's LinkedIn Case Study
Naveed Lalani's LinkedIn Case StudyNaveed Lalani's LinkedIn Case Study
Naveed Lalani's LinkedIn Case Study
 
MuBu MCG June 2010
MuBu MCG June 2010MuBu MCG June 2010
MuBu MCG June 2010
 
ガラパゴス携帯とは?
ガラパゴス携帯とは?ガラパゴス携帯とは?
ガラパゴス携帯とは?
 
Parque de Inovação no Instituto de Engenharia
Parque de Inovação no Instituto de EngenhariaParque de Inovação no Instituto de Engenharia
Parque de Inovação no Instituto de Engenharia
 
Factories act 1948
Factories act 1948Factories act 1948
Factories act 1948
 
Jamie Turner - How consumers engage with Apps
Jamie Turner - How consumers engage with AppsJamie Turner - How consumers engage with Apps
Jamie Turner - How consumers engage with Apps
 
Kathy Blankley Roman - Solo Art Series - Event Catalogue
Kathy Blankley Roman - Solo Art Series - Event CatalogueKathy Blankley Roman - Solo Art Series - Event Catalogue
Kathy Blankley Roman - Solo Art Series - Event Catalogue
 
Donna Howard - Solo Art Series Exhibition - Event Catalogue
Donna Howard - Solo Art Series Exhibition - Event CatalogueDonna Howard - Solo Art Series Exhibition - Event Catalogue
Donna Howard - Solo Art Series Exhibition - Event Catalogue
 
Hacking A Professional Alliance
Hacking A Professional AllianceHacking A Professional Alliance
Hacking A Professional Alliance
 
What the f*** is Bitcoin?
What the f*** is Bitcoin?What the f*** is Bitcoin?
What the f*** is Bitcoin?
 
Insigniter linkidn.power point presentation
Insigniter linkidn.power point presentationInsigniter linkidn.power point presentation
Insigniter linkidn.power point presentation
 
Factories act 1948
Factories act 1948Factories act 1948
Factories act 1948
 
How Old Spice Mesmerized, Caressed, Made Love To… And Hacked The Social Graph
How Old Spice Mesmerized, Caressed, Made Love To… And Hacked The Social GraphHow Old Spice Mesmerized, Caressed, Made Love To… And Hacked The Social Graph
How Old Spice Mesmerized, Caressed, Made Love To… And Hacked The Social Graph
 
Parque de Inovação no Instituto de Engenharia
Parque de Inovação no Instituto de EngenhariaParque de Inovação no Instituto de Engenharia
Parque de Inovação no Instituto de Engenharia
 

Similar to Leadership in uncertain times

CPA Congress 2014 - Day Three Wrap Up
CPA Congress 2014 - Day Three Wrap UpCPA Congress 2014 - Day Three Wrap Up
CPA Congress 2014 - Day Three Wrap Up
CPA Australia
 
Leadership,VUCA ,5 LEVELS & Leadership Grid
Leadership,VUCA ,5 LEVELS & Leadership GridLeadership,VUCA ,5 LEVELS & Leadership Grid
Leadership,VUCA ,5 LEVELS & Leadership Grid
JVV Creations
 
Managing in an uncertain world
Managing in an uncertain worldManaging in an uncertain world
Managing in an uncertain world
Tristan Wiggill
 
RemCom Academy
RemCom AcademyRemCom Academy
RemCom Academy
Purple House Recruitment
 
Change to survive
Change to surviveChange to survive
Change to survive
Lions Clubs India
 
CPA Congress 2014 - Day One Wrap Up
CPA Congress 2014 - Day One Wrap UpCPA Congress 2014 - Day One Wrap Up
CPA Congress 2014 - Day One Wrap Up
CPA Australia
 
mfr030618slideshare1
mfr030618slideshare1mfr030618slideshare1
mfr030618slideshare1
KAYODE ADEBIYI
 
The Future NGO is Agile, digital and entrepreneurial.pptx.pdf
The Future NGO is Agile, digital and entrepreneurial.pptx.pdfThe Future NGO is Agile, digital and entrepreneurial.pptx.pdf
The Future NGO is Agile, digital and entrepreneurial.pptx.pdf
MzN International
 
Keys to Thriving in the Nigerian Business Environment
Keys to Thriving in the Nigerian Business EnvironmentKeys to Thriving in the Nigerian Business Environment
Keys to Thriving in the Nigerian Business Environment
FATE Foundation
 
The five essential skills of outstanding leaders
The five essential skills of outstanding leadersThe five essential skills of outstanding leaders
The five essential skills of outstanding leaders
Ali Zeeshan
 
Chapter 19 Kilgore Custom Milling (300 – 350 Words)1). Assu.docx
Chapter 19 Kilgore Custom Milling (300 – 350 Words)1). Assu.docxChapter 19 Kilgore Custom Milling (300 – 350 Words)1). Assu.docx
Chapter 19 Kilgore Custom Milling (300 – 350 Words)1). Assu.docx
keturahhazelhurst
 
10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx
10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx
10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx
christiandean12115
 
10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx
10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx
10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx
paynetawnya
 
Iiac imds 2021 21st century economy and business- managing for results_final ...
Iiac imds 2021 21st century economy and business- managing for results_final ...Iiac imds 2021 21st century economy and business- managing for results_final ...
Iiac imds 2021 21st century economy and business- managing for results_final ...
KAYODE ADEBIYI
 
Extracts Module 1 Section 2 Kotter's 8 steps
Extracts Module 1 Section 2 Kotter's 8 stepsExtracts Module 1 Section 2 Kotter's 8 steps
Extracts Module 1 Section 2 Kotter's 8 steps
Ged Melia
 
Digitization acceleration - Why it matter for institutional funding and grants
Digitization acceleration - Why it matter for institutional funding and grantsDigitization acceleration - Why it matter for institutional funding and grants
Digitization acceleration - Why it matter for institutional funding and grants
MzN International
 
E-learning and data: two peas in a pod
E-learning and data: two peas in a podE-learning and data: two peas in a pod
E-learning and data: two peas in a pod
Xylos
 
The world of leadership is changing!
The world of leadership is changing!The world of leadership is changing!
The world of leadership is changing!
Association for Project Management
 
Fpi ilaro managing for results 02102021-update
Fpi ilaro   managing for results 02102021-updateFpi ilaro   managing for results 02102021-update
Fpi ilaro managing for results 02102021-update
KAYODE ADEBIYI
 

Similar to Leadership in uncertain times (20)

CPA Congress 2014 - Day Three Wrap Up
CPA Congress 2014 - Day Three Wrap UpCPA Congress 2014 - Day Three Wrap Up
CPA Congress 2014 - Day Three Wrap Up
 
Leadership,VUCA ,5 LEVELS & Leadership Grid
Leadership,VUCA ,5 LEVELS & Leadership GridLeadership,VUCA ,5 LEVELS & Leadership Grid
Leadership,VUCA ,5 LEVELS & Leadership Grid
 
Managing in an uncertain world
Managing in an uncertain worldManaging in an uncertain world
Managing in an uncertain world
 
RemCom Academy
RemCom AcademyRemCom Academy
RemCom Academy
 
Change to survive
Change to surviveChange to survive
Change to survive
 
CPA Congress 2014 - Day One Wrap Up
CPA Congress 2014 - Day One Wrap UpCPA Congress 2014 - Day One Wrap Up
CPA Congress 2014 - Day One Wrap Up
 
mfr030618slideshare1
mfr030618slideshare1mfr030618slideshare1
mfr030618slideshare1
 
The Future NGO is Agile, digital and entrepreneurial.pptx.pdf
The Future NGO is Agile, digital and entrepreneurial.pptx.pdfThe Future NGO is Agile, digital and entrepreneurial.pptx.pdf
The Future NGO is Agile, digital and entrepreneurial.pptx.pdf
 
Keys to Thriving in the Nigerian Business Environment
Keys to Thriving in the Nigerian Business EnvironmentKeys to Thriving in the Nigerian Business Environment
Keys to Thriving in the Nigerian Business Environment
 
The five essential skills of outstanding leaders
The five essential skills of outstanding leadersThe five essential skills of outstanding leaders
The five essential skills of outstanding leaders
 
Chapter 19 Kilgore Custom Milling (300 – 350 Words)1). Assu.docx
Chapter 19 Kilgore Custom Milling (300 – 350 Words)1). Assu.docxChapter 19 Kilgore Custom Milling (300 – 350 Words)1). Assu.docx
Chapter 19 Kilgore Custom Milling (300 – 350 Words)1). Assu.docx
 
10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx
10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx
10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx
 
10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx
10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx
10 What does a golfer, tennis player or cricketer (or any othe.docx
 
Iiac imds 2021 21st century economy and business- managing for results_final ...
Iiac imds 2021 21st century economy and business- managing for results_final ...Iiac imds 2021 21st century economy and business- managing for results_final ...
Iiac imds 2021 21st century economy and business- managing for results_final ...
 
E 04
E 04E 04
E 04
 
Extracts Module 1 Section 2 Kotter's 8 steps
Extracts Module 1 Section 2 Kotter's 8 stepsExtracts Module 1 Section 2 Kotter's 8 steps
Extracts Module 1 Section 2 Kotter's 8 steps
 
Digitization acceleration - Why it matter for institutional funding and grants
Digitization acceleration - Why it matter for institutional funding and grantsDigitization acceleration - Why it matter for institutional funding and grants
Digitization acceleration - Why it matter for institutional funding and grants
 
E-learning and data: two peas in a pod
E-learning and data: two peas in a podE-learning and data: two peas in a pod
E-learning and data: two peas in a pod
 
The world of leadership is changing!
The world of leadership is changing!The world of leadership is changing!
The world of leadership is changing!
 
Fpi ilaro managing for results 02102021-update
Fpi ilaro   managing for results 02102021-updateFpi ilaro   managing for results 02102021-update
Fpi ilaro managing for results 02102021-update
 

Recently uploaded

Senior Project and Engineering Leader Jim Smith.pdf
Senior Project and Engineering Leader Jim Smith.pdfSenior Project and Engineering Leader Jim Smith.pdf
Senior Project and Engineering Leader Jim Smith.pdf
Jim Smith
 
Oprah Winfrey: A Leader in Media, Philanthropy, and Empowerment | CIO Women M...
Oprah Winfrey: A Leader in Media, Philanthropy, and Empowerment | CIO Women M...Oprah Winfrey: A Leader in Media, Philanthropy, and Empowerment | CIO Women M...
Oprah Winfrey: A Leader in Media, Philanthropy, and Empowerment | CIO Women M...
CIOWomenMagazine
 
SOCIO-ANTHROPOLOGY FACULTY OF NURSING.....
SOCIO-ANTHROPOLOGY FACULTY OF NURSING.....SOCIO-ANTHROPOLOGY FACULTY OF NURSING.....
SOCIO-ANTHROPOLOGY FACULTY OF NURSING.....
juniourjohnstone
 
Founder-Game Director Workshop (Session 1)
Founder-Game Director  Workshop (Session 1)Founder-Game Director  Workshop (Session 1)
Founder-Game Director Workshop (Session 1)
Amir H. Fassihi
 
TCS AI for Business Study – Key Findings
TCS AI for Business Study – Key FindingsTCS AI for Business Study – Key Findings
TCS AI for Business Study – Key Findings
Tata Consultancy Services
 
Case Analysis - The Sky is the Limit | Principles of Management
Case Analysis - The Sky is the Limit | Principles of ManagementCase Analysis - The Sky is the Limit | Principles of Management
Case Analysis - The Sky is the Limit | Principles of Management
A. F. M. Rubayat-Ul Jannat
 
Training- integrated management system (iso)
Training- integrated management system (iso)Training- integrated management system (iso)
Training- integrated management system (iso)
akaash13
 
Leadership Ethics and Change, Purpose to Impact Plan
Leadership Ethics and Change, Purpose to Impact PlanLeadership Ethics and Change, Purpose to Impact Plan
Leadership Ethics and Change, Purpose to Impact Plan
Muhammad Adil Jamil
 
W.H.Bender Quote 65 - The Team Member and Guest Experience
W.H.Bender Quote 65 - The Team Member and Guest ExperienceW.H.Bender Quote 65 - The Team Member and Guest Experience
W.H.Bender Quote 65 - The Team Member and Guest Experience
William (Bill) H. Bender, FCSI
 
一比一原版杜克大学毕业证(Duke毕业证)成绩单留信认证
一比一原版杜克大学毕业证(Duke毕业证)成绩单留信认证一比一原版杜克大学毕业证(Duke毕业证)成绩单留信认证
一比一原版杜克大学毕业证(Duke毕业证)成绩单留信认证
gcljeuzdu
 

Recently uploaded (10)

Senior Project and Engineering Leader Jim Smith.pdf
Senior Project and Engineering Leader Jim Smith.pdfSenior Project and Engineering Leader Jim Smith.pdf
Senior Project and Engineering Leader Jim Smith.pdf
 
Oprah Winfrey: A Leader in Media, Philanthropy, and Empowerment | CIO Women M...
Oprah Winfrey: A Leader in Media, Philanthropy, and Empowerment | CIO Women M...Oprah Winfrey: A Leader in Media, Philanthropy, and Empowerment | CIO Women M...
Oprah Winfrey: A Leader in Media, Philanthropy, and Empowerment | CIO Women M...
 
SOCIO-ANTHROPOLOGY FACULTY OF NURSING.....
SOCIO-ANTHROPOLOGY FACULTY OF NURSING.....SOCIO-ANTHROPOLOGY FACULTY OF NURSING.....
SOCIO-ANTHROPOLOGY FACULTY OF NURSING.....
 
Founder-Game Director Workshop (Session 1)
Founder-Game Director  Workshop (Session 1)Founder-Game Director  Workshop (Session 1)
Founder-Game Director Workshop (Session 1)
 
TCS AI for Business Study – Key Findings
TCS AI for Business Study – Key FindingsTCS AI for Business Study – Key Findings
TCS AI for Business Study – Key Findings
 
Case Analysis - The Sky is the Limit | Principles of Management
Case Analysis - The Sky is the Limit | Principles of ManagementCase Analysis - The Sky is the Limit | Principles of Management
Case Analysis - The Sky is the Limit | Principles of Management
 
Training- integrated management system (iso)
Training- integrated management system (iso)Training- integrated management system (iso)
Training- integrated management system (iso)
 
Leadership Ethics and Change, Purpose to Impact Plan
Leadership Ethics and Change, Purpose to Impact PlanLeadership Ethics and Change, Purpose to Impact Plan
Leadership Ethics and Change, Purpose to Impact Plan
 
W.H.Bender Quote 65 - The Team Member and Guest Experience
W.H.Bender Quote 65 - The Team Member and Guest ExperienceW.H.Bender Quote 65 - The Team Member and Guest Experience
W.H.Bender Quote 65 - The Team Member and Guest Experience
 
一比一原版杜克大学毕业证(Duke毕业证)成绩单留信认证
一比一原版杜克大学毕业证(Duke毕业证)成绩单留信认证一比一原版杜克大学毕业证(Duke毕业证)成绩单留信认证
一比一原版杜克大学毕业证(Duke毕业证)成绩单留信认证
 

Leadership in uncertain times

  • 1. Leadership in Uncertain Times Mandeep Singh
  • 2. ?
  • 3. • Why a question mark? • Am I to ask the question? • Will I be asked to answer? • Why in the corner? • Why only one? One question only? • Why black on white?
  • 4. Its always been an ‘uncertain times’ • 9/11 • Gulf War • Y2K Bug • Cold war • 1973 Oil shock • Pearl Harbor - WW II • Great depression • WW I
  • 5. Nothing new ever happens if you consider the time past immemorial
  • 6. What are ‘uncertain times’? • Pace of change more rapid. • Its not only economic but even social changes that have their impact. • Factors impacting outcome – Seemingly unrelated events impact outcomes more than ever before. – Impact felt faster.
  • 8. Uncertainty • Triggers of uncertainty. The black swan syndrome. • Chaos theory. • Impact of technology. • Globalisation. • Demographic shift.
  • 9. How to prepare for uncertain times The traditional approaches are – Anticipate. • Things you can foresee. Adapt. • Things that you cant foresee. In either case, ACT and act fast.
  • 11. Uncertain times • The millennials. • Impact of technology. • Information overload. • Globalisation. • Social media.
  • 12. Uncertainty–Leadership Correlation Level of uncertainty Possibleoptions/outcomes Level 1 • Relatively simple view of future • One of two obvious options • Leadership – Traditional SWOT Benchmarking Competency-based
  • 13. Summary of “Industrial” Leadership • Framed by level 1 uncertainty • These industrial age leadership theories have been: • management-oriented • Focused on the leader • goal-achievement-dominated • male-oriented • utilitarian and materialistic in ethical perspective • Rationalistic – Philip Rost, Leadership for the 21st Century
  • 14. Uncertainty–Leadership Correlation Level of uncertainty Possibleoptions/outcomes Level 1 Level 2 Alternate futures • Mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive • One will occur • Leadership - Qualitative decision analysis
  • 15. Uncertainty–Leadership Correlation Level of uncertainty Possibleoptions/outcomes Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Range of futures Not mutually exclusive • Leadership Strategy -Decision tree/cost-benefit analysis
  • 16. Uncertainty–Leadership Correlation Level of uncertainty Possibleoptions/outcomes Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 • True ambiguity- The future is unknown and unknowable • Leadership strategy – Work backwards
  • 17. ‘White Water’ Conditions • Conditions are full of surprises • Complex systems tend to produce novel problems • Conditions feature events that are “messy” and • Events are often very costly
  • 18. Working Backwards • Start with a strategy • Aligning strategy with the organizational mission and values • Assumptions about the future to support a defined strategy • ‘Wargame’ likelihood of assumptions coming out to be true • Hedging bets on the outcome
  • 19. How to prepare for uncertain times • Contingency planning. Remember - No plan survives contact. • Stay connected- communicate. • Informal approach. • Exploit technology. • Manage information.
  • 20. Nirbhaya rapist released Diesel SUVs registration suspended Paris accord Green signal to stalled projects Start ups the way to be Economy to grow 8 percent GST bill stalled. Again. Three more bills need to be passed after GST Bill Indian growth projections faulty Public spending at all time low Social sector ignored JAM – the focus of NDA government Sonia Gandhi appears in court DDCA scandal. Financial irregularities surface AAP demands Jaitley’s head Modi tells his cabinet to go after the opposition Arunacahal Assembly proceedings stalled Japan to finance Bullet trainIIP figures disappoint Fed rates cut Oil prices not likely to fall further Syria peace process gets UN backing Executive process the only way out Indo-Pak talks back on rail UP elections due in 2017 BJP appoints new Kerala unit head
  • 21. Nirbhaya rapist released Diesel SUVs registration suspended Paris accord Green signal to stalled projects Start ups the way to be Economy to grow 8 percent GST bill stalled. Again. Three more bills need to be passed after GST Bill Indian growth projections faulty Public spending at all time low Social sector ignored JAM – the focus of NDA government Sonia Gandhi appears in court DDCA scandal. Financial irregularities surface AAP demands Jaitley’s head Modi tells his cabinet to go after the opposition Arunacahal Assembly proceedings stalled Japan to finance Bullet trainIIP figures disappoint Fed rates cut Oil prices not likely to fall further Syria peace process gets UN backing Executive process the only way out Indo-Pak talks back on rail UP elections due in 2017 BJP appoints new Kerala unit head
  • 22. The simulation exercise • Ravinder was the only one who made money in the simulation exercise. How ? • He kept abreast of the news. • Observe how seemingly unrelated events occur. Join the dots, and you get to know with a reasonable degree of assurance – what to do
  • 23. What do leaders need to do? • A strong effective and skill sets of others to get more done inleader in today’s uncertain economy shares the leadership role with others members of the team. Stepping out from the formal leadership role, it is an informal team approach where the lead role shifts by the subject at hand. It allows the organization to tap the excitement a way that drives an even better outcome. • By building trusted relationships within an organization through accessibility, transparency, communications and actions the shared leadership concept achieves a much higher sense of commitment and meaning to those involved. Colleen Brown President / CEO Fisher Communications
  • 24. What do leaders need to do? There are lots of effective styles. Yet they should be enabling in order to succeed and generate leverage. Leaders need to demonstrate a steady hand. It’s easy to worry and lose focus in a bad economy. Steve McConnell Managing Partner NBBJ
  • 25. What do leaders need to do? There are lots of effective styles. Yet they should be enabling in order to succeed and generate leverage. Leaders need to demonstrate a steady hand. It’s easy to worry and lose focus in a bad economy. Hiring the right people really matters, and really counts. After that, as a leader, you need to stay out of the way. Surround yourself with people who are smarter than you, and then just lead through the team. In a sense, the whole organization must lead together. Steve McConnell Managing Partner NBBJ Chris Wallace President / CEO Texas Chamber of Commerce
  • 26. Requisites for effective leadership • Manage information. • Shorten your OODA loop. • Involve the entire team. • Enable the team. • Accessibility. • Communications. • Integrity.
  • 27. Transformative Leadership Transformative leadership occurs when one or more people engage with others in such a way that leaders and followers raise one another to higher levels of motivations and morality. Burns. Transformative Leadership
  • 28. Leadership in Self-Organizing Systems • Define the boundaries • Invite diversity • Create transforming exchanges • Serve the system
  • 29. • There are no set piece strategies or plans that will win. • You have to chart your own course. And select what suits you and your organization.
  • 30. • Who follows change, will survive. • Who does not, will perish. • Who causes change, will lead.