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International Journal of Engineering Research and Development
e-ISSN: 2278-067X, p-ISSN: 2278-800X, www.ijerd.com
Volume 5, Issue 11 (February 2013), PP. 78-85

      A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the
                 Prediction of Weight Control
      Hung-Teng Chang1, Pin-Chang Chen2, Han-Chen Huang3, De-Hua Lin4
                  1,2,4
                      Department of Information Management, Yu Da University, Taiwan, R.O.C.
            3(Corresponding Author)
                             Department of Leisure Management, Yu Da University, Taiwan, R.O.C.


     Abstract:- Based on literature review and data collection, this study enabled university students and
     their parents to understand the causes and severity of obesity. This study collected various factors
     affecting obesity. In addition, this study also established the model affecting obesity based on the
     characteristics of learning ability, classification and predication of back-propagation neural network in
     order to provide such information as reference for obese people to lose weight. This study used
     sampling method to conduct a questionnaire survey on obese students, in order to investigate their
     personal living habits and dietary habits. This study used the back-propagation neural network
     software – Alyuda NeuroIntelligence for the analysis, pre-processing, design, training and verification
     of data, in order to find out the correlation between the sum of these factors and obesity (in
     percentage), and used the model as the basis. The data collected from the questionnaires completed by
     the subjects were input into the model established in this study, in order to understand which individual
     habit combinations are the factors leading to obesity, as well as to provide such information as the
     reference for weight control.

     Keywords:- Weight control, Neural networks, Obesity, Back-propagation neural network, Alyuda
     NeuroIntelligence.

                                             I.     INTRODUCTION
      In recent years, owing to the changes in living environment, most of the workers who used to be the
working class have become white-collar workers. The office lifestyle, increase in the number of people who eat
out, changes in lifestyles and eating habit, convenient transportation and lack of exercise habit and opportunity
of most people have led to the increase in obese population and overweight. Moreover, chronic diseases
indirectly or directly caused by obesity have become more and more common in young people. According to the
studies from various fields in recent years, obesity seems to be associated with chronic diseases because it may
lead to diseases such as cardiac diseases, hypertension, diabetes, renal diseases, respiratory diseases and
cardiovascular diseases. Furthermore, obesity may also impose high pressure on the strongest part of body –
bones, and thus lead to degenerative joint disease and wear and tear of bones, which has a severe impact on
human health. This study selected obese university students as the subjects to find out relevant factors affecting
obesity. Based on literature review and data collection, this study enabled students who were overweight and
even troubled by obesity and their parents to better understand the influences of obesity, as well as to attach
further importance to obesity issues and weight control approaches.

                                       II.        LITERATURE REVIEW
A.     Definition of Obesity
       The definition of obesity varies with measurement methods [1-4]. There are four common measurement
standards for obesity: 1) standard weight; 2) body mass index (BMI); 3) body fat percentage; 4) waist to hip
ratio. The first two of them are measured based on height and weight, waist and hip ratio is measured based on
body type and proportion and body fat percentage is the only standard which actually measures fat [5, 6].
However, because its measurement procedures are more complicated, this study used the BMI as the
measurement standard. The explanations are given as follows:
       (A) Standard Weight: The calculation of standard weight varies with races and regions. The current
             calculation method used in Taiwan is that used by World Health Organization. The standard weight
             of a man is:(height –80)* 70%. A man whose standard weight ≧10% is deemed overweight, and
             whose standard weight ≧20% is deemed obese. The standard weight of a woman is: (height - 70)*
             70%. A woman whose standard weight ≧10 is deemed overweight, and whose standard weight
             ≧20% is deemed obese.

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A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control

     (B)    Body Mass Index: Body Mass Index (BMI) is calculated as weight (kg)/[height (m)2]
            (weight/height2).
     (C)    Body Fat Percentage: Body fat percentage refers to the fat content in body (in percentage), namely,
            [ratio of total body fat and body weight]*100%. In general, it can be expressed in fat mass or Body
            Fat (%BF). Obesity is the medical condition in which the adipose tissue in body exceeds the
            proportion for maintaining normal function. A man whose BF% exceeds 25% of his weight is
            deemed obese, and a woman whose BF% exceeds 30% is deemed obese. The descriptions above are
            summarized as follows:
                  Man: actual weight-- (0.88× standard weight) / actual weight ×100%
                  Woman: actual weight -- (0.82× standard weight) / actual weight ×100%
                  Moreover, Wikipedia mentions another calculation method: Body fat% =1.2 × BMI + 0.23
            × age - 5.4 - 10.8 × sex (man = 1; woman = 0). Although BF% can be used to calculate the ratio of
            fat in body, its calculation procedures are more complicated. Therefore, this study did not use it.
     (D)    Waist-to-Hip Ratio (WHR): It is preferable to maintain the ratio of chest, waist and hip at 3: 2: 3.
            WHR is regarded as the simplest index for assessing the fat accumulated in abdomen. Even though
            the weight of a person has not exceeded the standard, the fat in his/her body may threaten his/her
            health. For example, a man whose WHR is greater than 0.9 (waist/hip) or a woman whose WHR is
            greater than 0.8 is deemed overweight. However, the fat accumulated in abdomen of body may
            increase the risk of cardiovascular diseases. Based on the above, there are four standards for
            measuring obesity, including standard weight, BMI, body fat percentage and WHR. Among them,
            BMI is the newest measurement standard. In addition, owing to its convenience for use, it is most
            frequently used as the index for measuring obesity. The aforementioned four measurement standards
            are summarized in Table 1:

                                    Table 1: Standards for Defining Obesity
                             Man                          Woman             Overweight         Obese
       Standard
                        (height-80) ×0.7               (height-70) ×0.6        >10%             >20%
        weight
           BMI                    Weight/ (height × height)                    The data varies with age
                   Actual weight-- (0.88×            Actual weight--
       Body fat                                                                              Man>25%
                   standard weight) /actual      (0.82×standard weight)
      percentage                                                                            Woman>30%
                   weight ×100%                   /actual weight ×100%
                                                                                              Man>0.9
        WHR                                Waist/hip
                                                                                             Woman>0.8

B.    Back-propagation Neural Network
          This study used the back-propagation network (BPN) of neural network, a representative approach
which has been commonly applied to the current neural network learning model. The oldest neural network is
perceptron. However, it does not possess the learning ability of network. After the learning algorithm in the
hidden layer was included, it can be used to solve not only linear problems, but also elliptic curve problems.
After the BPN was improved, the more matured BNP used the gradient steepest descent method as the basic
principle to minimize the error function [7]. The weight values were repeatedly revised to draw closer the
inferred output value and the target output value, in order to achieve the ultimate objective of learning. In
addition, because several hidden layers were added into the BPN, the problem of insufficient learning ability in
the oldest neural network – perceptron was solved [8].
          The learning model of back-propagation network is a supervisal one, and it possesses the functions of
classification and prediction. During network computing, after the training samples were input into the network
for networking training, the trained samples could be input into it to check whether the network was accurate, or
the untrained data could be input into it for estimation of function [9].

                                       III.        METHODOLOGY
         This study selected obese university students aged 18-21 as the subjects, and conducted a questionnaire
survey on 116 subjects. This study collected relevant historical data, including relevant studies conducted by
experts and scholars, in order to analyze the dietary problems and living habit and environment of current
students, as well as to find out various factors leading to obesity. The questionnaires were completed
anonymously. After a total of 18 invalid questionnaires were removed from 116 questionnaires, all the data were
input into the Aluyda NeuroIntelligence system used in this study to assess the combinations of various factors

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A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control

affecting obesity. The data (%) obtained from this system is the proximity to obesity. The higher the percentage
is, the more obese the subject is. The data could be provided as reference to obese students for weight control or
their parents for adjusting the lifestyle and eating habit of university students. The data provided from this study
are the correlation with obesity. The constitution of everyone is different, and thus the factors reflected by them
are different. Relevant information can be provided as reference to individuals.
This study collected and arranged the data from obesity-related studies, analyzed the data background and
referred to relevant studies to summarize the important affecting factors as the input variables to find out
available data for data processing, including data scaling, variable combination, etc. Moreover, this study
established a neural network model and set up various parameters. After the data were collected and the
variables were properly selected, the data pre-processing was initiated, including the procedures such as
selection of training samples and tested samples and their quantity, input of data or their combinations, data
scaling, etc. [10-13]. The research procedures of this study are shown in Figure 1which describe as follows:
       A. To collect the historical data concerning obesity, including the literature review on relevant previous
             studies.
       B. To analyze the physical condition, dietary problems and working and living habits and environments
             of current university students.
       C. To find out various factors leading to obesity. To find out the main factors, such as heredity, illness,
             exercise, diet, time, income, behavioral habit, living habit, medication, etc. to develop the
             questionnaire and to conduct the questionnaire survey on university students aged 18-21.
       D. To use the Alyuda NeuroIntelligence software of neural network to analyze and process the survey
             results as the basic database.
       E.    To establish the accurate model and to use it to predict the factors leading to the obesity of
             university students.
       F.    To verify the analysis results.




                                    Fig. 1: Flowchart of Research Procedures

                                     IV.       SYSTEM SIMULATION
A.    Data analysis
         This study used the data of height and weight collected from the questionnaires as the basis to collect
relevant factors, such as heredity, congenital diseases, dietary orientation, exercise habit, acquired diseases,
psychological status, exercise intensity, exercise time, economic status, childhood obesity, sleep quality, stress
status, medication, gender, number of meals, lifestyle, interpersonal relationship, dietary habit, negative
emotions and personality. This study then performed statistical analyses on various data, respectively.
         The basic data of the subjects collected from the questionnaires were divided into various groups in the
Excel file. The formats of the horizontal axis and the vertical axis were then set up. Upon the confirmation of
the axes, the sample data were input. The basic data were input into the Alyuda NeuroIntelligence software, as
shown in Figure 2.

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A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control




                                               Fig. 2: Data Input

The function of analysis was activated, as shown in Figure 3. The final objective of prediction: obesity was
selected in the field of Target.




                                             Fig. 3: Data Analysis

The function button of analysis field is to input basic data in all the fields:
          The meanings of basic data in the fields were analyzed. The software would actively look for
           unreasonable data and revise them. For example, a height which exceeds 3 meters.
          The inadequate data in the fields would be presented with a shaded background. The missing data
           would be presented with a pale green background. Wrong data in the fields would be presented with
           a lavender background. Data presented with a dark red background would be isolated and would not
           be analyzed. Therefore, this software removed meaningless data, which improved the deficiency of
           generalization of he past neural network.
          Among the 98 data input in the software, 70% of them were selected as the training samples. The
           software would arrange them into a basic model for the subsequent training procedure. 15% of the
           data were selected for testing, and 15% of them were selected for verification, namely, the
           subsequent testing procedure.

                               Table 2: Statistical Analysis on Questionnaire Data
         No. Groups                          Factors
                                                                            Male          Female
          1 1-1        Gender
                                                                            students: 52 students:46
          2   1-2      Age 18 years old: 12; 19 years old: 66; 20 years old: 18; 21 years old: 2
          3   1-3-1    Subject’s height
          4   1-3-2    Subject’s weight
          5   1-4-1    Father’s height                                         According to the data
          6   1-4-2    Father’s weight                                           actually measured
          7   1-5-1    Mother’s height
          8   1-5-2    Mother’s weight

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A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control

                         Statistical Results                        Yes      No
               Whether the subject’s parents suffer from
9 2-1-1                                                              2        96
               congenital diabetes
               Whether the subject’s grandparents suffer from
10 2-1-2                                                             3        95
               congenital diabetes
               Whether the subject’s parents suffer from
11 2-1-3                                                             1        97
               congenital thyroid dysfunction
               Whether the subject’s grandparents suffer from
12 2-1-4                                                             0        98
               congenital thyroid dysfunction
               Whether the subject’s parents suffer from
13 2-1-5                                                             3        95
               congenital hyperinsulinism
               Whether the subject’s grandparents suffer from
14 2-1-6                                                             0        98
               congenital hyperinsulinism
               Whether the subject’s parents suffer from
15 2-1-7                                                             2        96
               congenital adrenal hyperfunction
               Whether the subject’s grandparents suffer from
16 2-1-8                                                             0        98
               congenital adrenal hyperfunction
17 2-2-1       Father’s BMI (obesity)                               34        64
18 2-2-2       Mother’s BMI (obesity)                               33        65
19 3-1-1       Whether the subject suffers from diabetes            3         95
               Whether the subject suffer from thyroid
20 3-1-2                                                             1        97
               dysfunction
21 3-1-3       Whether the subject suffers from hyperinsulinism      1        97
               Whether the subject suffers from adrenal
22 3-1-4                                                             1        97
               hyperfunction
               Whether the subject suffers from chronic otitis
23 3-1-5                                                             8        90
               media
24 3-1-6       Whether the subject suffers from tonsillitis          6        92
25 3-1-7       Whether the subject is on long-term medication        5        93
               Whether the subject frequently drinks sugary
26 3-2-1                                                            57        41
               drinks
27 3-2-2       Whether the subject frequently eats fried food       12        86
28 3-2-3       Whether the subject frequently takes tonics          15        83
29 3-2-4       Whether the subject has regular meals                72        26
               Whether the subject has a fixed amount of three
30 3-2-5                                                            52        46
               meals
31   3-2-6     Whether the subject overeats frequently              14        84
32   3-2-7     Whether the subject eats breakfast everyday          88        10
33   3-2-8     Whether the subject has a night snack frequently     22        76
34   3-2-9     Whether the subject’s lifestyle is normal            67        31
35   3-2-10    Whether the subject has sufficient sleep time        86        12
36   3-2-11    Whether the subject has a regular exercise habit     51        47
               The subject’s heartbeat during exercise is greater
37 3-2-12                                                           56        42
               than 130
               Whether the subject takes exercise for more than
38 3-2-13                                                           55        43
               30 minutes
39 3-2-14      Whether the subject frequently feel stressed         33        65
40 3-2-15      Whether the subject chats with fixed friends         85        13
               Whether the subject frequently feel anxious and
41 3-2-16                                                           14        84
               depressed
               Whether the living environment frequently makes
42 3-2-17                                                           17        81
               the subject feel nervous
43 3-2-18      Whether the subject vents emotions by eating         20        78
               Whether the subject frequently eats snacks when
44 3-2-19                                                           48        50
               watching TV or studying
45 3-2-20      The subject sits for more than 10 hours per day      57        40


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A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control

         As shown in Table 2, among the 52 male students and 46 female students completing the
questionnaires, 12 of them were aged 18, 66 of them were aged 19, 18 of them were aged 20 and 2 of them were
aged 21. Among the 45 fields of factors, 2-2-4, 2-2-6 and 2-2-8 as completed by all the students were the same.
Therefore, they were not included in the discussion. There were 42 input layers totally. Table 3 explained the
factors correlated with obesity where 1 denotes Yes and 2 denotes No. In other words, the disease factor, living
habit and dietary behavior mentioned in the statistical table of factors are all the factors leading to individual
obesity.

                                   Table 3: Factors Associated with Individual Obesity
     Gender Age 2-2-1 2-2-2 3-2-1 3-2-2 3-2-4 3-2-5 3-2-7 3-2-8 3-2-9 3-2-10 3-2-12 3-2-13 3-2-14 3-2-15 3-2-18 3-2-20
     Female 18     1     2     1      2    1     1    1     2    2      1      1      2      1      1      1      1
      Male 18      1     2     1      2    1     2    1     1    1      1      1      1      1      1      2      2

B.   Data Preprocessing
     The Alyuda NeuroIntelligence software would automatically divide and arrange the input data and
condense the 42 dependent variables in the input layers to [-1, 1]. The independent variable “obesity” in the
output layer presented in the end was [0, 1], as shown in Figure 4.




                                               Fig. 4: Data Preprocessing

C.    Neural Network Design
     In terms of the design, Alyuda Neuro Intelligence automatically generalized 11~13 frameworks and
presented the optimal neural network framework as reference. The back-propagation neural network framework
selected (42-90-1) for setting up, as shown in the boldface text in Figure 5. “42” in the framework suggested that
there are 42 data in the input layers (originally, there were 45 factors. 3 of them as completed by the subjects
were completely the same, and thus were not included into the calculation). There could be multiple hidden
layers. One hidden layer is usually used where the number of nodes (neurons) may vary and is automatically
selected by the system. The target value is 1 in the output layer, which can be determined as obese.




                                          Fig. 5: Neural Network Architecture

D.    Data Training
      After many simulation trainings were completed, this study selected to use the Online Back Propagation
algorithm. Default values were used in other function options. Because this study used random sampling to
select subjects and conduct the questionnaire survey, it was preferable to use this algorism. This study used the
Online Back Propagation algorism to obtain the output values and error improvement rate, and achieve the
optimal convergence effect and the highest accuracy. After the data training was completed, the results in Figure
6 could be obtained.
                                                           83
A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control




                                               Fig. 6: Data Training

         The trained basic data input in the horizontal axis in the figure above were presented as the blue curve.
After the data verification, they were presented as the green curve. The two curves reached the optimal
convergence value at the red dot. The expected 500 times of repeated verification of the red curve significantly
showed that the error converged to 200~250.

E.    Data Testing and Evaluation
         After the data training simulation, the predicted data and actually input data were verified. The
predicted value, actual value and the instantaneous predicted value were mutually compared for verification.
The results could be used to verify the accuracy of the predicted value trained from the network model. With the
actual operation, testing and re-correction of model in this study, the feasibility and economic benefit could be
predicted. The data testing and evaluation in this study are shown in Figure 7 and Table 4.




                                                Fig. 7: Data Testing

                                       Table 4: Verification of Simulation Training
                          Serial No.               Layer                  Correlation
                               1                  42-90-1                  86.67%
                               2                  42-48-1                  93.33%
                               3                 42-105-1                  86.67%
                               4                  42-57-1                  93.33%
                               5                  42-6-1                   86.67%
                               6                  42-43-1                  86.67%
                               7                  42-37-1                  86.67%
                               8                  42-67-1                  80.00%
                               9                  42-14-1                  86.67%
                              10                  42-17-1                  80.00%


                                                        84
A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control

        After the 10 repeated simulation trainings in this study, the mean reached 86.67%, verifying that the
model can be used for the calculation of obesity and as a new index of obesity.

                                           V.       CONCLUSION
          The constitution of everyone is different, and the habits leading to obesity also vary with individuals.
For example, theoretically, people who eat more sweets are prone to become fat. However, not everyone who eat
sweets will become fat, and obese individuals may not necessary eat sweets frequently. The results can be
presented as long as the respondents complete the questionnaires and the data were input into the software. This
study investigated the research results based on data collection and literature review. This study collected
various factors leading to obesity and investigated a series of adverse effects caused by obesity. With the
integration of the Alyuda NeuroIntelligence system of neural network used in this study, a new concept for
determination of obesity was developed. This index is the percentage integrating the correlation of various
factors with obesity. If the percentage is closer to 1, the correlation is stronger. Such an index is different from
the current anthropometric indices, such as BMI, WHR, triceps skinfold thickness, body fat and standard weight
where height and weight are mainly assessed for calculation.
        The model used in this study can explicitly point out which people are significantly correlated with
obesity because various factors, other than weight and height, were taken into account. This model does not only
simply use height and weight as the standards for measurement, but also can be provided to users for
considering or selecting dietary behaviors and living habits, as well as assessing which factors may lead to
obesity, to further achieve the objective of weight control.

                                                REFERENCES
[1]. Anthea Wang, Linda S. Kinsinger, Leila C. Kahwati, Sandeep R. Das, Ziya Gizlice, Richard T. Harvey,
      Mary B. Burdick, Steven J. Yevich, “Obesity and Weight Control Practices in 2000 Among Veterans Using
      VA Facilities”, Obesity Research, Vol. 13, Issue 8, pp. 1404-1411, 2005.
[2]. Elissa Jelalian, Chantelle N. Hart, Robyn S. Mehlenbeck, Elizabeth E. Lloyd-Richardson, Jamie D.
      Kaplan, Katherine T. Flynn-O'Brien, Rena R. Wing, “Predictors of Attrition and Weight Loss in an
      Adolescent Weight Control Program”, Obesity, Vol. 16, Issue 6, pp. 1318-1323, 2008.
[3]. Suzanne Phelan, “Pregnancy: a “teachable moment” for weight control and obesity prevention”, American
      Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Vol. 202, Issue 2, pp. 135.e1-135.e8, 2010.
[4]. Pamela J. Goodwin, Anne McTiernan, Rena Wing and Arthur Schatzkin, “Physical Activity, Weight
      Control, and Breast Cancer Risk and Survival: Clinical Trial Rationale and Design Considerations”, JNCI
      J Natl Cancer Inst., Vol. 101, No. 9, pp. 630-643, 2009.
[5]. Anna S. Mueller, Jennifer Pearson, Chandra Muller, Kenneth Frank, Alyn Turner, “Sizing up Peers
      Adolescent Girls’ Weight Control and Social Comparison in the School Context”, Journal of Health and
      Social Behavior, Vol. 51, No. 1, pp. 64-78, 2010.
[6]. Dennis T. Villareal, Marian Banks, Catherine Siener, David R. Sinacore, Samuel Klein, “Physical Frailty
      and Body Composition in Obese Elderly Men and Women”, Obesity Research, Vol. 12, Issue 6, pp.
      913-920, 2004.
[7]. Zexu Zhang, , Shaoshuai Mou, , James Lam, , Huijun Gao, “New passivity criteria for neural networks
      with time-varying delay”, Neural Networks, Vol. 22, Issue 7, pp. 864-868, 2009.
[8]. Jorge J Palop, Lennart Mucke, “Amyloid-β–induced neuronal dysfunction in Alzheimer's disease: from
      synapses toward neural networks”, Nature Neuroscience, Volume 13, No 7, pp. 812-818, 2010.
[9]. Biswajeet Pradhan, Saro Lee, “Regional landslide susceptibility analysis using back-propagation neural
      network model at Cameron Highland, Malaysia”, Landslides, Vol. 7, Issue 1, pp. 13-30, 2010.
[10]. Runqing Huang , Lifeng Xi , Xinglin Li, C. Richard Liu, Hai Qiu, Jay Lee, “Residual life predictions for
      ball bearings based on self-organizing map and back propagation neural network methods”, Mechanical
      Systems and Signal Processing, Vol. 21, Issue 1, pp. 193-207, 2007.
[11]. Paulo J. Lisboa, Azzam F.G. Taktak, “The use of artificial neural networks in decision support in cancer: A
      systematic review”, Neural Networks, Vol. 19, Issue 4, pp. 408-415, 2006.
[12]. Hao Chen, Jitao Sun, “A new approach for global controllability of higher order Boolean control network”,
      Vol. 39, pp. 12-17, 2013.
[13]. Buse Melis Ozyildirim, Mutlu Avci, “Generalized classifier neural network”, Neural Networks, Vol. 39,
      pp. 18-26, 2013.




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Welcome to International Journal of Engineering Research and Development (IJERD)

  • 1. International Journal of Engineering Research and Development e-ISSN: 2278-067X, p-ISSN: 2278-800X, www.ijerd.com Volume 5, Issue 11 (February 2013), PP. 78-85 A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control Hung-Teng Chang1, Pin-Chang Chen2, Han-Chen Huang3, De-Hua Lin4 1,2,4 Department of Information Management, Yu Da University, Taiwan, R.O.C. 3(Corresponding Author) Department of Leisure Management, Yu Da University, Taiwan, R.O.C. Abstract:- Based on literature review and data collection, this study enabled university students and their parents to understand the causes and severity of obesity. This study collected various factors affecting obesity. In addition, this study also established the model affecting obesity based on the characteristics of learning ability, classification and predication of back-propagation neural network in order to provide such information as reference for obese people to lose weight. This study used sampling method to conduct a questionnaire survey on obese students, in order to investigate their personal living habits and dietary habits. This study used the back-propagation neural network software – Alyuda NeuroIntelligence for the analysis, pre-processing, design, training and verification of data, in order to find out the correlation between the sum of these factors and obesity (in percentage), and used the model as the basis. The data collected from the questionnaires completed by the subjects were input into the model established in this study, in order to understand which individual habit combinations are the factors leading to obesity, as well as to provide such information as the reference for weight control. Keywords:- Weight control, Neural networks, Obesity, Back-propagation neural network, Alyuda NeuroIntelligence. I. INTRODUCTION In recent years, owing to the changes in living environment, most of the workers who used to be the working class have become white-collar workers. The office lifestyle, increase in the number of people who eat out, changes in lifestyles and eating habit, convenient transportation and lack of exercise habit and opportunity of most people have led to the increase in obese population and overweight. Moreover, chronic diseases indirectly or directly caused by obesity have become more and more common in young people. According to the studies from various fields in recent years, obesity seems to be associated with chronic diseases because it may lead to diseases such as cardiac diseases, hypertension, diabetes, renal diseases, respiratory diseases and cardiovascular diseases. Furthermore, obesity may also impose high pressure on the strongest part of body – bones, and thus lead to degenerative joint disease and wear and tear of bones, which has a severe impact on human health. This study selected obese university students as the subjects to find out relevant factors affecting obesity. Based on literature review and data collection, this study enabled students who were overweight and even troubled by obesity and their parents to better understand the influences of obesity, as well as to attach further importance to obesity issues and weight control approaches. II. LITERATURE REVIEW A. Definition of Obesity The definition of obesity varies with measurement methods [1-4]. There are four common measurement standards for obesity: 1) standard weight; 2) body mass index (BMI); 3) body fat percentage; 4) waist to hip ratio. The first two of them are measured based on height and weight, waist and hip ratio is measured based on body type and proportion and body fat percentage is the only standard which actually measures fat [5, 6]. However, because its measurement procedures are more complicated, this study used the BMI as the measurement standard. The explanations are given as follows: (A) Standard Weight: The calculation of standard weight varies with races and regions. The current calculation method used in Taiwan is that used by World Health Organization. The standard weight of a man is:(height –80)* 70%. A man whose standard weight ≧10% is deemed overweight, and whose standard weight ≧20% is deemed obese. The standard weight of a woman is: (height - 70)* 70%. A woman whose standard weight ≧10 is deemed overweight, and whose standard weight ≧20% is deemed obese. 78
  • 2. A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control (B) Body Mass Index: Body Mass Index (BMI) is calculated as weight (kg)/[height (m)2] (weight/height2). (C) Body Fat Percentage: Body fat percentage refers to the fat content in body (in percentage), namely, [ratio of total body fat and body weight]*100%. In general, it can be expressed in fat mass or Body Fat (%BF). Obesity is the medical condition in which the adipose tissue in body exceeds the proportion for maintaining normal function. A man whose BF% exceeds 25% of his weight is deemed obese, and a woman whose BF% exceeds 30% is deemed obese. The descriptions above are summarized as follows:  Man: actual weight-- (0.88× standard weight) / actual weight ×100%  Woman: actual weight -- (0.82× standard weight) / actual weight ×100% Moreover, Wikipedia mentions another calculation method: Body fat% =1.2 × BMI + 0.23 × age - 5.4 - 10.8 × sex (man = 1; woman = 0). Although BF% can be used to calculate the ratio of fat in body, its calculation procedures are more complicated. Therefore, this study did not use it. (D) Waist-to-Hip Ratio (WHR): It is preferable to maintain the ratio of chest, waist and hip at 3: 2: 3. WHR is regarded as the simplest index for assessing the fat accumulated in abdomen. Even though the weight of a person has not exceeded the standard, the fat in his/her body may threaten his/her health. For example, a man whose WHR is greater than 0.9 (waist/hip) or a woman whose WHR is greater than 0.8 is deemed overweight. However, the fat accumulated in abdomen of body may increase the risk of cardiovascular diseases. Based on the above, there are four standards for measuring obesity, including standard weight, BMI, body fat percentage and WHR. Among them, BMI is the newest measurement standard. In addition, owing to its convenience for use, it is most frequently used as the index for measuring obesity. The aforementioned four measurement standards are summarized in Table 1: Table 1: Standards for Defining Obesity Man Woman Overweight Obese Standard (height-80) ×0.7 (height-70) ×0.6 >10% >20% weight BMI Weight/ (height × height) The data varies with age Actual weight-- (0.88× Actual weight-- Body fat Man>25% standard weight) /actual (0.82×standard weight) percentage Woman>30% weight ×100% /actual weight ×100% Man>0.9 WHR Waist/hip Woman>0.8 B. Back-propagation Neural Network This study used the back-propagation network (BPN) of neural network, a representative approach which has been commonly applied to the current neural network learning model. The oldest neural network is perceptron. However, it does not possess the learning ability of network. After the learning algorithm in the hidden layer was included, it can be used to solve not only linear problems, but also elliptic curve problems. After the BPN was improved, the more matured BNP used the gradient steepest descent method as the basic principle to minimize the error function [7]. The weight values were repeatedly revised to draw closer the inferred output value and the target output value, in order to achieve the ultimate objective of learning. In addition, because several hidden layers were added into the BPN, the problem of insufficient learning ability in the oldest neural network – perceptron was solved [8]. The learning model of back-propagation network is a supervisal one, and it possesses the functions of classification and prediction. During network computing, after the training samples were input into the network for networking training, the trained samples could be input into it to check whether the network was accurate, or the untrained data could be input into it for estimation of function [9]. III. METHODOLOGY This study selected obese university students aged 18-21 as the subjects, and conducted a questionnaire survey on 116 subjects. This study collected relevant historical data, including relevant studies conducted by experts and scholars, in order to analyze the dietary problems and living habit and environment of current students, as well as to find out various factors leading to obesity. The questionnaires were completed anonymously. After a total of 18 invalid questionnaires were removed from 116 questionnaires, all the data were input into the Aluyda NeuroIntelligence system used in this study to assess the combinations of various factors 79
  • 3. A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control affecting obesity. The data (%) obtained from this system is the proximity to obesity. The higher the percentage is, the more obese the subject is. The data could be provided as reference to obese students for weight control or their parents for adjusting the lifestyle and eating habit of university students. The data provided from this study are the correlation with obesity. The constitution of everyone is different, and thus the factors reflected by them are different. Relevant information can be provided as reference to individuals. This study collected and arranged the data from obesity-related studies, analyzed the data background and referred to relevant studies to summarize the important affecting factors as the input variables to find out available data for data processing, including data scaling, variable combination, etc. Moreover, this study established a neural network model and set up various parameters. After the data were collected and the variables were properly selected, the data pre-processing was initiated, including the procedures such as selection of training samples and tested samples and their quantity, input of data or their combinations, data scaling, etc. [10-13]. The research procedures of this study are shown in Figure 1which describe as follows: A. To collect the historical data concerning obesity, including the literature review on relevant previous studies. B. To analyze the physical condition, dietary problems and working and living habits and environments of current university students. C. To find out various factors leading to obesity. To find out the main factors, such as heredity, illness, exercise, diet, time, income, behavioral habit, living habit, medication, etc. to develop the questionnaire and to conduct the questionnaire survey on university students aged 18-21. D. To use the Alyuda NeuroIntelligence software of neural network to analyze and process the survey results as the basic database. E. To establish the accurate model and to use it to predict the factors leading to the obesity of university students. F. To verify the analysis results. Fig. 1: Flowchart of Research Procedures IV. SYSTEM SIMULATION A. Data analysis This study used the data of height and weight collected from the questionnaires as the basis to collect relevant factors, such as heredity, congenital diseases, dietary orientation, exercise habit, acquired diseases, psychological status, exercise intensity, exercise time, economic status, childhood obesity, sleep quality, stress status, medication, gender, number of meals, lifestyle, interpersonal relationship, dietary habit, negative emotions and personality. This study then performed statistical analyses on various data, respectively. The basic data of the subjects collected from the questionnaires were divided into various groups in the Excel file. The formats of the horizontal axis and the vertical axis were then set up. Upon the confirmation of the axes, the sample data were input. The basic data were input into the Alyuda NeuroIntelligence software, as shown in Figure 2. 80
  • 4. A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control Fig. 2: Data Input The function of analysis was activated, as shown in Figure 3. The final objective of prediction: obesity was selected in the field of Target. Fig. 3: Data Analysis The function button of analysis field is to input basic data in all the fields:  The meanings of basic data in the fields were analyzed. The software would actively look for unreasonable data and revise them. For example, a height which exceeds 3 meters.  The inadequate data in the fields would be presented with a shaded background. The missing data would be presented with a pale green background. Wrong data in the fields would be presented with a lavender background. Data presented with a dark red background would be isolated and would not be analyzed. Therefore, this software removed meaningless data, which improved the deficiency of generalization of he past neural network.  Among the 98 data input in the software, 70% of them were selected as the training samples. The software would arrange them into a basic model for the subsequent training procedure. 15% of the data were selected for testing, and 15% of them were selected for verification, namely, the subsequent testing procedure. Table 2: Statistical Analysis on Questionnaire Data No. Groups Factors Male Female 1 1-1 Gender students: 52 students:46 2 1-2 Age 18 years old: 12; 19 years old: 66; 20 years old: 18; 21 years old: 2 3 1-3-1 Subject’s height 4 1-3-2 Subject’s weight 5 1-4-1 Father’s height According to the data 6 1-4-2 Father’s weight actually measured 7 1-5-1 Mother’s height 8 1-5-2 Mother’s weight 81
  • 5. A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control Statistical Results Yes No Whether the subject’s parents suffer from 9 2-1-1 2 96 congenital diabetes Whether the subject’s grandparents suffer from 10 2-1-2 3 95 congenital diabetes Whether the subject’s parents suffer from 11 2-1-3 1 97 congenital thyroid dysfunction Whether the subject’s grandparents suffer from 12 2-1-4 0 98 congenital thyroid dysfunction Whether the subject’s parents suffer from 13 2-1-5 3 95 congenital hyperinsulinism Whether the subject’s grandparents suffer from 14 2-1-6 0 98 congenital hyperinsulinism Whether the subject’s parents suffer from 15 2-1-7 2 96 congenital adrenal hyperfunction Whether the subject’s grandparents suffer from 16 2-1-8 0 98 congenital adrenal hyperfunction 17 2-2-1 Father’s BMI (obesity) 34 64 18 2-2-2 Mother’s BMI (obesity) 33 65 19 3-1-1 Whether the subject suffers from diabetes 3 95 Whether the subject suffer from thyroid 20 3-1-2 1 97 dysfunction 21 3-1-3 Whether the subject suffers from hyperinsulinism 1 97 Whether the subject suffers from adrenal 22 3-1-4 1 97 hyperfunction Whether the subject suffers from chronic otitis 23 3-1-5 8 90 media 24 3-1-6 Whether the subject suffers from tonsillitis 6 92 25 3-1-7 Whether the subject is on long-term medication 5 93 Whether the subject frequently drinks sugary 26 3-2-1 57 41 drinks 27 3-2-2 Whether the subject frequently eats fried food 12 86 28 3-2-3 Whether the subject frequently takes tonics 15 83 29 3-2-4 Whether the subject has regular meals 72 26 Whether the subject has a fixed amount of three 30 3-2-5 52 46 meals 31 3-2-6 Whether the subject overeats frequently 14 84 32 3-2-7 Whether the subject eats breakfast everyday 88 10 33 3-2-8 Whether the subject has a night snack frequently 22 76 34 3-2-9 Whether the subject’s lifestyle is normal 67 31 35 3-2-10 Whether the subject has sufficient sleep time 86 12 36 3-2-11 Whether the subject has a regular exercise habit 51 47 The subject’s heartbeat during exercise is greater 37 3-2-12 56 42 than 130 Whether the subject takes exercise for more than 38 3-2-13 55 43 30 minutes 39 3-2-14 Whether the subject frequently feel stressed 33 65 40 3-2-15 Whether the subject chats with fixed friends 85 13 Whether the subject frequently feel anxious and 41 3-2-16 14 84 depressed Whether the living environment frequently makes 42 3-2-17 17 81 the subject feel nervous 43 3-2-18 Whether the subject vents emotions by eating 20 78 Whether the subject frequently eats snacks when 44 3-2-19 48 50 watching TV or studying 45 3-2-20 The subject sits for more than 10 hours per day 57 40 82
  • 6. A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control As shown in Table 2, among the 52 male students and 46 female students completing the questionnaires, 12 of them were aged 18, 66 of them were aged 19, 18 of them were aged 20 and 2 of them were aged 21. Among the 45 fields of factors, 2-2-4, 2-2-6 and 2-2-8 as completed by all the students were the same. Therefore, they were not included in the discussion. There were 42 input layers totally. Table 3 explained the factors correlated with obesity where 1 denotes Yes and 2 denotes No. In other words, the disease factor, living habit and dietary behavior mentioned in the statistical table of factors are all the factors leading to individual obesity. Table 3: Factors Associated with Individual Obesity Gender Age 2-2-1 2-2-2 3-2-1 3-2-2 3-2-4 3-2-5 3-2-7 3-2-8 3-2-9 3-2-10 3-2-12 3-2-13 3-2-14 3-2-15 3-2-18 3-2-20 Female 18 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 Male 18 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 B. Data Preprocessing The Alyuda NeuroIntelligence software would automatically divide and arrange the input data and condense the 42 dependent variables in the input layers to [-1, 1]. The independent variable “obesity” in the output layer presented in the end was [0, 1], as shown in Figure 4. Fig. 4: Data Preprocessing C. Neural Network Design In terms of the design, Alyuda Neuro Intelligence automatically generalized 11~13 frameworks and presented the optimal neural network framework as reference. The back-propagation neural network framework selected (42-90-1) for setting up, as shown in the boldface text in Figure 5. “42” in the framework suggested that there are 42 data in the input layers (originally, there were 45 factors. 3 of them as completed by the subjects were completely the same, and thus were not included into the calculation). There could be multiple hidden layers. One hidden layer is usually used where the number of nodes (neurons) may vary and is automatically selected by the system. The target value is 1 in the output layer, which can be determined as obese. Fig. 5: Neural Network Architecture D. Data Training After many simulation trainings were completed, this study selected to use the Online Back Propagation algorithm. Default values were used in other function options. Because this study used random sampling to select subjects and conduct the questionnaire survey, it was preferable to use this algorism. This study used the Online Back Propagation algorism to obtain the output values and error improvement rate, and achieve the optimal convergence effect and the highest accuracy. After the data training was completed, the results in Figure 6 could be obtained. 83
  • 7. A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control Fig. 6: Data Training The trained basic data input in the horizontal axis in the figure above were presented as the blue curve. After the data verification, they were presented as the green curve. The two curves reached the optimal convergence value at the red dot. The expected 500 times of repeated verification of the red curve significantly showed that the error converged to 200~250. E. Data Testing and Evaluation After the data training simulation, the predicted data and actually input data were verified. The predicted value, actual value and the instantaneous predicted value were mutually compared for verification. The results could be used to verify the accuracy of the predicted value trained from the network model. With the actual operation, testing and re-correction of model in this study, the feasibility and economic benefit could be predicted. The data testing and evaluation in this study are shown in Figure 7 and Table 4. Fig. 7: Data Testing Table 4: Verification of Simulation Training Serial No. Layer Correlation 1 42-90-1 86.67% 2 42-48-1 93.33% 3 42-105-1 86.67% 4 42-57-1 93.33% 5 42-6-1 86.67% 6 42-43-1 86.67% 7 42-37-1 86.67% 8 42-67-1 80.00% 9 42-14-1 86.67% 10 42-17-1 80.00% 84
  • 8. A Study on the Application of Neural Network to the Prediction of Weight Control After the 10 repeated simulation trainings in this study, the mean reached 86.67%, verifying that the model can be used for the calculation of obesity and as a new index of obesity. V. CONCLUSION The constitution of everyone is different, and the habits leading to obesity also vary with individuals. For example, theoretically, people who eat more sweets are prone to become fat. However, not everyone who eat sweets will become fat, and obese individuals may not necessary eat sweets frequently. The results can be presented as long as the respondents complete the questionnaires and the data were input into the software. This study investigated the research results based on data collection and literature review. This study collected various factors leading to obesity and investigated a series of adverse effects caused by obesity. With the integration of the Alyuda NeuroIntelligence system of neural network used in this study, a new concept for determination of obesity was developed. This index is the percentage integrating the correlation of various factors with obesity. If the percentage is closer to 1, the correlation is stronger. Such an index is different from the current anthropometric indices, such as BMI, WHR, triceps skinfold thickness, body fat and standard weight where height and weight are mainly assessed for calculation. The model used in this study can explicitly point out which people are significantly correlated with obesity because various factors, other than weight and height, were taken into account. This model does not only simply use height and weight as the standards for measurement, but also can be provided to users for considering or selecting dietary behaviors and living habits, as well as assessing which factors may lead to obesity, to further achieve the objective of weight control. REFERENCES [1]. Anthea Wang, Linda S. Kinsinger, Leila C. Kahwati, Sandeep R. Das, Ziya Gizlice, Richard T. Harvey, Mary B. Burdick, Steven J. Yevich, “Obesity and Weight Control Practices in 2000 Among Veterans Using VA Facilities”, Obesity Research, Vol. 13, Issue 8, pp. 1404-1411, 2005. [2]. Elissa Jelalian, Chantelle N. Hart, Robyn S. Mehlenbeck, Elizabeth E. Lloyd-Richardson, Jamie D. Kaplan, Katherine T. Flynn-O'Brien, Rena R. Wing, “Predictors of Attrition and Weight Loss in an Adolescent Weight Control Program”, Obesity, Vol. 16, Issue 6, pp. 1318-1323, 2008. [3]. Suzanne Phelan, “Pregnancy: a “teachable moment” for weight control and obesity prevention”, American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Vol. 202, Issue 2, pp. 135.e1-135.e8, 2010. [4]. Pamela J. Goodwin, Anne McTiernan, Rena Wing and Arthur Schatzkin, “Physical Activity, Weight Control, and Breast Cancer Risk and Survival: Clinical Trial Rationale and Design Considerations”, JNCI J Natl Cancer Inst., Vol. 101, No. 9, pp. 630-643, 2009. [5]. Anna S. Mueller, Jennifer Pearson, Chandra Muller, Kenneth Frank, Alyn Turner, “Sizing up Peers Adolescent Girls’ Weight Control and Social Comparison in the School Context”, Journal of Health and Social Behavior, Vol. 51, No. 1, pp. 64-78, 2010. [6]. Dennis T. Villareal, Marian Banks, Catherine Siener, David R. Sinacore, Samuel Klein, “Physical Frailty and Body Composition in Obese Elderly Men and Women”, Obesity Research, Vol. 12, Issue 6, pp. 913-920, 2004. [7]. Zexu Zhang, , Shaoshuai Mou, , James Lam, , Huijun Gao, “New passivity criteria for neural networks with time-varying delay”, Neural Networks, Vol. 22, Issue 7, pp. 864-868, 2009. [8]. Jorge J Palop, Lennart Mucke, “Amyloid-β–induced neuronal dysfunction in Alzheimer's disease: from synapses toward neural networks”, Nature Neuroscience, Volume 13, No 7, pp. 812-818, 2010. [9]. Biswajeet Pradhan, Saro Lee, “Regional landslide susceptibility analysis using back-propagation neural network model at Cameron Highland, Malaysia”, Landslides, Vol. 7, Issue 1, pp. 13-30, 2010. [10]. Runqing Huang , Lifeng Xi , Xinglin Li, C. Richard Liu, Hai Qiu, Jay Lee, “Residual life predictions for ball bearings based on self-organizing map and back propagation neural network methods”, Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, Vol. 21, Issue 1, pp. 193-207, 2007. [11]. Paulo J. Lisboa, Azzam F.G. Taktak, “The use of artificial neural networks in decision support in cancer: A systematic review”, Neural Networks, Vol. 19, Issue 4, pp. 408-415, 2006. [12]. Hao Chen, Jitao Sun, “A new approach for global controllability of higher order Boolean control network”, Vol. 39, pp. 12-17, 2013. [13]. Buse Melis Ozyildirim, Mutlu Avci, “Generalized classifier neural network”, Neural Networks, Vol. 39, pp. 18-26, 2013. 85