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Daily Commodity Re
                                                 D                eport

                                                                                                                    17th July 2012
                                                                MC GOLD (4 AUGUST 12 - Gold op
                                                                   CX                         2)           pened lower at 29230. It
                   Gold
                   G            Si
                                 ilver           Cr
                                                  rude
                 (4 A
                    Aug-12)    (5 Sept-12)     (19 J
                                                   Jul-12)      mov ved lower to touch an int tra-day low of 29173 but managed to
                                                                bou unce back. It moved highe to touch an intra-day hig of 29330.
                                                                                             er             n          gh
 Ope
   en                29,230        52,721           4,787       It en
                                                                    nded the day on a flat note to close at 2
                                                                                              e             29280.
 High
    h                29,330        52,835           4,828

 Low
   w                 29,173        52,413           4,760       The RSI remain place belo its averag which would result in
                                                                   e            ns           ow           ge,
                                                                selling pressure However, the Stochas
                                                                                e.                         stic is placed above its
                                                                                                                         d
 Clos
    se               29,280        52,745           4,820       aveerage and is a
                                                                                also placed in the over sold zone, which would lead
                                                                                             n              d            h
 Prev Close
    v.               29,268        52,767           4,791       to re
                                                                    egular bouts of short covering at lower levels. The A
                                                                                                                        ADX line, +DI
                                                                line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a r
                                                                   e            e            g                          range bound
 %C
  Change              0.04%        -0.04%           0.61%
                                                                tren MCX GO
                                                                   nd.          OLD faces r  resistance at 29668, 301
                                                                                                           t             179, 30340,
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                          304 and 3100 while the supports are placed at 28
                                                                   428          00,                       e              8859, 28765
                                                                and 27962 levels
                                                                   d            s.
                   Volume (In 000
                   V            0's)

                 16/0
                    07/2012    14/0
                                  07/2012         % Chg.        MC SILVER ( SEPT 12) - Silver ope
                                                                   CX            (5                         ened lower a 52721. It
                                                                                                                         at
                                                                mov ved lower to touch an int tra-day low of 52413 but managed to
 Gold (gms)
    d              32,234.0
                   3               1,196.0      259
                                                  95.15%        bou unce back. It moved higher to touch an intra-day hig of 52835..
                                                                                                                        gh
 Silve (kgs)
     er              1,223.2           39.8     297
                                                  72.57%            nded the day on a flat note to close to c
                                                                It en                         e             close at 52745
                                                                                                                         5.
 Crud (bbl)
    de             21,270.2
                   2                 349.7      598
                                                  82.41%
                                                                The RSI rema
                                                                   e            ains place below its a  average. Mo oreover, the
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                          Stochastic has oonce again sli
                                                                                             ipped below i average. T
                                                                                                         its        These would
                                                                lead to selling p
                                                                   d            pressure. The ADX line, + line and –DI line are
                                                                                            e           +DI
                  Tu
                   urnover (In Lacs)                            movving sideway indicating a range bo
                                                                                ys,         g            ound trend. MCX Silver
                 16/0
                    07/2012    14/0
                                  07/2012         % Chg.
                                                                face resistance at 53675, 54
                                                                   es           e            4570, 55551, 56157 and 57737 while
                                                                                                         ,
                                                                the supports are placed at 51559, 51029, a 50252 lev
                                                                                                         and         vels.
Gold
   d              94
                   43,214.9       34,999.5
                                  3             259
                                                  94.94%

Silve
    er            64
                   43,881.9       21,001.7
                                  2             296
                                                  65.86%        MC CRUDE (1 July 12) - Crude opened lower at 4
                                                                 CX            19                                     4787 level It
                                                                  ved lower to touch an intra-day low o 4760 but managed to
                                                                mov                                      of
Crud
   de            1,02
                    20,063.2      16,753.4      598
                                                  88.70%
                                                                bou             moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4828. It
                                                                  unce back. It m          r                          h
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                          end the day w moderate gains to clos at 4820.
                                                                  ded         with                      se

               Global Market (Nym - $)
                                mex                             The Stochastic and the RS are placed above their respective
                                                                   e                        SI           d
                 17/0
                    07/2012    16/0
                                  07/2012         % Chg.          erages, which would lead to buying support. Ho
                                                                ave             h                                    owever, the
                                                                Stochastic is pla
                                                                                aced in the ov bought zo
                                                                                             ver         one, which w
                                                                                                                    would lead to
Gold (oz)
   d               1,593.10
                   1              1,591.60          0.09%
                                                                prof taking at h
                                                                    fit         higher levels. The ADX lin +DI line a
                                                                                                         ne,         and –DI line
Silve (oz)
    er                27.45          27.30          0.53%       are moving side  eways indicaating a range bound tren It faces
                                                                                                         e           nd.
Crud (bbl)
   de                 88.56          88.43          0.15%       resi
                                                                   istance at 482 4855 and 4905 while th supports a placed at
                                                                                24,                      he         are
                                                                480 4732, 4636, 4421 and 4
                                                                  05,                        4259.
Dolla Index
    ar                82.97          83.10         -0.16%

Sourc – www.cme
    ce        egroup.com

                                                                     Intra-day Re
                                                                                esistance                  Intra-day Sup
                                                                                                                       pport
Comm
   modities                     Close         Pivot Point
                                                                     R1         R2            R3
                                                                                              R         S1          S2           S3

CRUD JUL 12
   DE                            4820               4803           4845
                                                                   4          48
                                                                               871          493
                                                                                              39      4777
                                                                                                         7        4735         4667

GOLD AUG 12
   D                            29280              29261
                                                   2             29
                                                                  9349       294
                                                                               418          2957
                                                                                               75    29192
                                                                                                         2       29104         28947

SILVE SEPT 12
    ER                          52745              52664
                                                   5             52
                                                                  2916       530
                                                                               086          5350
                                                                                               08    52494
                                                                                                         4       52242         51820


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                                               Keynot Capitals L
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                                                              Keynot Capitals L
                                                                   te         Ltd.
            The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                  by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                               www.keyynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 170712

  • 1. Daily Commodity Re D eport 17th July 2012 MC GOLD (4 AUGUST 12 - Gold op CX 2) pened lower at 29230. It Gold G Si ilver Cr rude (4 A Aug-12) (5 Sept-12) (19 J Jul-12) mov ved lower to touch an int tra-day low of 29173 but managed to bou unce back. It moved highe to touch an intra-day hig of 29330. er n gh Ope en 29,230 52,721 4,787 It en nded the day on a flat note to close at 2 e 29280. High h 29,330 52,835 4,828 Low w 29,173 52,413 4,760 The RSI remain place belo its averag which would result in e ns ow ge, selling pressure However, the Stochas e. stic is placed above its d Clos se 29,280 52,745 4,820 aveerage and is a also placed in the over sold zone, which would lead n d h Prev Close v. 29,268 52,767 4,791 to re egular bouts of short covering at lower levels. The A ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a r e e g range bound %C Change 0.04% -0.04% 0.61% tren MCX GO nd. OLD faces r resistance at 29668, 301 t 179, 30340, Sourc – MCX ce 304 and 3100 while the supports are placed at 28 428 00, e 8859, 28765 and 27962 levels d s. Volume (In 000 V 0's) 16/0 07/2012 14/0 07/2012 % Chg. MC SILVER ( SEPT 12) - Silver ope CX (5 ened lower a 52721. It at mov ved lower to touch an int tra-day low of 52413 but managed to Gold (gms) d 32,234.0 3 1,196.0 259 95.15% bou unce back. It moved higher to touch an intra-day hig of 52835.. gh Silve (kgs) er 1,223.2 39.8 297 72.57% nded the day on a flat note to close to c It en e close at 52745 5. Crud (bbl) de 21,270.2 2 349.7 598 82.41% The RSI rema e ains place below its a average. Mo oreover, the Sourc – MCX ce Stochastic has oonce again sli ipped below i average. T its These would lead to selling p d pressure. The ADX line, + line and –DI line are e +DI Tu urnover (In Lacs) movving sideway indicating a range bo ys, g ound trend. MCX Silver 16/0 07/2012 14/0 07/2012 % Chg. face resistance at 53675, 54 es e 4570, 55551, 56157 and 57737 while , the supports are placed at 51559, 51029, a 50252 lev and vels. Gold d 94 43,214.9 34,999.5 3 259 94.94% Silve er 64 43,881.9 21,001.7 2 296 65.86% MC CRUDE (1 July 12) - Crude opened lower at 4 CX 19 4787 level It ved lower to touch an intra-day low o 4760 but managed to mov of Crud de 1,02 20,063.2 16,753.4 598 88.70% bou moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4828. It unce back. It m r h Sourc – MCX ce end the day w moderate gains to clos at 4820. ded with se Global Market (Nym - $) mex The Stochastic and the RS are placed above their respective e SI d 17/0 07/2012 16/0 07/2012 % Chg. erages, which would lead to buying support. Ho ave h owever, the Stochastic is pla aced in the ov bought zo ver one, which w would lead to Gold (oz) d 1,593.10 1 1,591.60 0.09% prof taking at h fit higher levels. The ADX lin +DI line a ne, and –DI line Silve (oz) er 27.45 27.30 0.53% are moving side eways indicaating a range bound tren It faces e nd. Crud (bbl) de 88.56 88.43 0.15% resi istance at 482 4855 and 4905 while th supports a placed at 24, he are 480 4732, 4636, 4421 and 4 05, 4259. Dolla Index ar 82.97 83.10 -0.16% Sourc – www.cme ce egroup.com Intra-day Re esistance Intra-day Sup pport Comm modities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 R S1 S2 S3 CRUD JUL 12 DE 4820 4803 4845 4 48 871 493 39 4777 7 4735 4667 GOLD AUG 12 D 29280 29261 2 29 9349 294 418 2957 75 29192 2 29104 28947 SILVE SEPT 12 ER 52745 52664 5 52 2916 530 086 5350 08 52494 4 52242 51820 Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US E Economic C Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday W Thursday Moonday Tues sday Jul 17 Jul 18 Jul 19 Ju 23 ul Jul 24 Consumer Price In ndex Housing Starts Jobless Claims GDP Data a ICSC-Goldm Store man Sales Indu ustrial Production EIA Pe etroleum Statu us Existing Home Sales g Consume Sentiment er FHFA Hous Price se Reporrt Index Housing Market In ndex MBA Purchase P EIA Nattural Gas 4-Week Bill Auction Applic cations Report Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Discclaimer This document is n for public di not istribution and has been furnis shed to you so olely for your information and must not be re eproduced or redisstributed to any other person. Persons into who possession this document may come are required to obse P ose erve these restr rictions. This material is for t personal info the ormation of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action base upon it. This report is not ed s to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer o solicitation e or woul be illegal. It i for the gener information o clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recomm ld is ral of t mendation or take into account the particular inve estment objectiv tuations, or need of individual clients. ves, financial sit ds We h have reviewed t report, and in so far as it includes current o historical info the or ormation, it is beelieved to be rel liable though its accuracy or s comp pleteness canno be guarantee Neither Keyn ot ed. note Capitals Lt nor any pers connected with it, accepts any liability aris td., son sing from the use of this documen The recipien of this mater should rely on their own inv nt. nts rial vestigations and take their own professional a advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this m material may go up or down. Past performan is not a gu nce uide for future pperformance. Certa transactions -including thos involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investmen grade securit ain s se s nt ties - involve subsstantial risk and are not suitab for all invest d ble tors. Reports ba ased on technic analysis cen cal nters on studyin charts of a stock’s price ng move ement and trad ding volume, as opposed to fo s ocusing on a co ompany’s funda amentals and as such, may no match with a report on a s ot comp pany’s fundame entals. Opinnions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appea d f aring on this maaterial only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the informatio discussed in this material, there may be r s on n regulatory, commpliance, or othe reasons that prevent us fro doing so. er t om Prosspective investo and others are cautioned t ors a that any forward d-looking statemments are not p predictions and may be subjec to change ct witho notice. Our proprietary tr out r rading and inve estment busine esses may ma ake investment decisions that are inconsiste with the t ent recommendations e expressed herein n. We a our affiliates, officers, direc and ctors, and empl loyees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or sh positions in and buy or m hort n, sell t securities th the hereof, of compa (ies) mentio any oned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involvi such securit ing ties and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a mar o rket maker in th financial inst he truments of the company (ies) discussed here or act as ein advis or lender / borrower to such company (ie or have other potential con sor es) nflict of interest with respect to any recomme t o endation and related information a opinions. and The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views express s s e sed in this repo accurately re ort eflect his or he personal view about the er ws subje company or companies an its or their se ect r nd ecurities, and no part of his or her compensa r ation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly y related to specific re ecommendation or views expr ns ressed in this report. No p of this material may be dup part plicated in any fo and/or redis orm stributed withou Keynote Capit ut tals Ltd’s., prior written consent. r Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com