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Managing hydrological infrastructure assets
for improved flood
mitigation in coastal mega-cities of developing
nations: From data-starved
to data-driven approach
Robert Ogie
Smart Infrastructure Facility, University of Wollongong
September, 2016
Source: Adi Weda EPA
Flood losses
• 890 million city residents are currently exposed to natural
disasters, including flooding
• Average annual global flood losses: $6 billion (2005)
$1 trillion (2050)
• The economic losses arising from natural hazards, including
floods, are approximately 20 times higher in developing
countries than developed nations
• Average number of victims is 150 times greater in
developing nations than developed countries
Source: Twitter @ TMCPoldaMetro
Flood exposure in coastal mega-cities of
developing nations
• Climate change (……frequent, high intensity rainfall)
• Subsiding land (urban dwellings lying below sea-level)
• Population explosion (high settlement density)
• Rapid urbanization (low water permeability, trash dumps in
water bodies)
• Shortage of funding
• Poor infrastructure management (infrequent and
inadequate maintenance of the aging flood control
infrastructure e.g. pumps and floodgates)
• data scarcity (suboptimal flood control decisions)
Research question
How can coastal mega-cities in developing nations
improve flood mitigation through data-driven
management of their hydrological infrastructure
assets?
Tap into and explore the unprecedented sources of urban
data that are obtainable in heterogeneous networks.
The physical network of
hydrological infrastructure
assets (i.e. waterways,
floodgates, pumps, flood
gauges, etc.)
628 edges representing
rivers, streams, and canals
in Jakarta.
Total geometric length of
waterways is 1092 km.
560 nodes with 96 of those
representing infrastructure
(55 pumps, 30 floodgates,
and 11 flood gauges)
464 network junctions (e.g.,
river confluences)
Ogie, R., Holderness, T., Dunbar, M. and
Turpin, E., 2016.
Spatio-topological network analysis of
hydrological infrastructure as a decision
support tool for flood mitigation in
coastal mega-cities.
Environment and Planning B: Planning
and Design, p.0265813516637608.
Application case 1
Broken Canal Wall
Broken Canal Wall
𝐹𝑉𝐼 =
𝐸∗𝑆
𝑅
(1)
𝐸 = 𝑖=1
𝑛
𝑙𝑖 (2)
𝑆 =
1
𝐶 𝑔
(3)
𝑅 = 𝑅 𝑠 + 𝑖=0
𝑚 𝑐 𝑖
𝑙 𝑖∗𝑏 𝑖
(4)
𝐻𝐼𝐹𝑉𝐼 = 𝑖=1
𝑛
𝑙 𝑖
𝐶 𝑔(𝑅 𝑠+ 𝑖=0
𝑚 𝑐 𝑖
𝑙 𝑖∗𝑏 𝑖
)
(5)
Application case 2:
Ogie, R., Holderness, T., Dunn, S. and Turpin, E., 2016.
Assessing the vulnerability of hydrological infrastructure to flood damage in coastal
cities, International Conference on Smart Infrastructure and Construction (ICSIC),
Cambridge, UK, 27 - 29 June 2016
Notation
FVI = Flood Vulnerability Index
E = Exposure
S = Susceptibility
R = Resilience
HIFVI = Hydrological Infrastructure Flood
Vulnerability Index
A
G1
G3
G2
B
G
D
E
C
F
Flowdirection
VH= Very High (0.8 -1.0), M = Medium (0.4 - 0.6), L = Low (0.2 -0.4), and VL = Very Low (0 -0.2).
Name of floodgate Susceptibility Resilience Exposure HIFVI Ranking
Sunter C 1.00 0.45 199.89 1.000 VH
Ciliwung Lama 1.00 0.05 133.65 0.922 VH
Kebon Baru 1.00 0.00 122.59 0.890 VH
Muara Angke 0.50 0.43 203.95 0.519 M
Cakung Drainase 0.33 0.00 164.23 0.398 L
Karet 2 0.50 0.39 150.31 0.392 L
Pasar Ikan 0.25 0.51 307.40 0.371 L
Hailai 0.50 0.78 169.77 0.347 L
Istiqlal 0.33 0.13 160.47 0.345 L
Tangki 0.50 0.94 164.02 0.308 L
Jembatan Merah 0.25 0.10 163.09 0.269 L
Citra Land 0.33 0.75 153.79 0.213 L
Cengkareng Drain 0.25 0.00 101.23 0.184 VL
Pulogadung 0.17 0.00 143.50 0.174 VL
Ancol 0.20 0.52 176.82 0.170 VL
Pekapuran 0.20 0.64 170.12 0.151 VL
8 0.13 0.26 151.23 0.109 VL
Sogo 0.50 0.53 36.24 0.086 VL
Poglar 0.33 0.00 33.81 0.082 VL
Warung Pedok 0.50 0.00 12.81 0.046 VL
Manggarai 0.33 0.19 21.79 0.044 VL
Setia Budi 0.33 0.15 19.70 0.041 VL
Minangkabau 0.50 0.64 15.94 0.035 VL
Kampung Gusti 0.50 6.25 34.29 0.017 VL
Kalimati 0.50 0.00 3.04 0.011 VL
Honda 0.17 0.00 6.84 0.008 VL
Duri 0.33 0.00 3.09 0.007 VL
Karet 0.25 62.26 150.34 0.004 VL
Sunter Utara 0.25 0.00 0.92 0.002 VL
Kali Cideng 0.33 5524.27 150.35 0.000 VL
Results for application case 2
Application case 3:
Ogie, R., Dunn, S., Holderness, T. and Turpin, E., 2016.
Assessing the vulnerability of pumping stations to trash blockage in coastal mega-
cities of developing nations, Sustainable Cities and Society (in press)
𝐹𝑉𝐼 =
𝐸∗𝑆
𝑅
(1)
𝐸 = 𝑖=1
𝑛
(𝑙𝑖∗ 𝑤𝑖) (2)
𝑙𝑖
𝑒
= 𝑑𝑖 + 𝑙𝑖 − 𝑑𝑖 ∗ 𝑑 𝑖
𝑙 𝑖
(3)
𝐸 = 𝑖=1
𝑛
(𝑙𝑖
𝑒
∗ 𝑤𝑖) (4)
𝑆 =
1
𝐶 𝑔
(5)
𝑅 = 𝑅 𝑚 + (𝑛 − 1) (6)
𝑇𝐵𝑉𝐼𝑙𝑜𝑐𝑎𝑙 = 𝑖=1
𝑛
(𝑙 𝑖
𝑒
∗𝑤 𝑖)
𝐶 𝑔(𝑅 𝑚+(𝑛−1))
(7)
𝑇𝐵𝑉𝐼 𝐺𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙 = 𝑖=1
𝑛
(𝑙 𝑖,𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙
𝑒
∗𝑤 𝑖)
𝐶 𝑔(𝑅 𝑚+(𝑛−1))
(8)
Direction of Flow
P2
P1
Section 1 Section 2 Section 3
35
65
11
40
1
57
45
34
38
44
54
37
67
28
69
20
15
33
46
6
61
43
18
58
9
42
41
14
71
30
53
29
10
19
50
31
36
7
3
27
52
25
8
47
63
56
66
13
62
51
17
39
55
26
4
68
48
16
64
70
60
2
24
12
22
5
21
59
32
49
23
LocalTBVI GlobalTBVI
Results for application case 3
Sensor networks
Given a limited number of
water level sensors, where
should they be placed in
such a complex hydrological
infrastructure network?
Sensor 1
Sensor 2
Sensor 3
Sensor 4
Sensor n
𝐹1 𝑆 =
𝑣∈𝑆
𝑓1(𝑣)
𝑓1(𝑣) = 0.7(𝑛 𝑣
𝑢 + 𝑛 𝑣
𝑑) + 0.2c 𝑣 + 0.1 𝑖=0
𝑛
𝑑𝑒𝑔− (𝑣)
𝑓2 𝑣 =
𝑢∈𝑆
𝑑(𝑣,𝑢)
𝐹2 𝑆 =
𝑣∈𝑆 𝑢∈𝑆
𝑑(𝑣,𝑢) =
𝑣∈𝑆
𝑓2 𝑣
𝑑(𝑣,𝑡)
𝑒
> 𝜆 ∀ 𝑣 ∈ 𝑆, 𝑡 ∈ 𝑇
Using 𝐹1 𝑆 and 𝐹2 𝑆 with a
constraint, optimal positions are
computed for placement of a given
number of sensors in the
hydrological infrastructure network.
Jakarta- The no. 1
biggest user of twitter
Over 100,000 #flood
tweets
Social networks
www.petajakarta.org
Recent observations put robustness and sustainability as key
issues with the use of social media data for urban decision
making
In 60 days of the 2014/2015 monsoon season
(1,000 confirmed reports )
(350 confirmed reports )
In 270 days of the 2015/2016 monsoon season
Concluding remarks
How can coastal mega-cities in developing nations improve flood mitigation through
data-driven management of their hydrological infrastructure assets?
1. How can physical network data be used in data-driven management of
hydrological infrastructure assets in order to improve flood mitigation in
coastal mega-cities of developing nations?
2. How can sensor network data be used in data-driven management of
hydrological infrastructure assets in order to improve flood mitigation in
coastal mega-cities of developing nations??
3. How can social network data be used in data-driven management of
hydrological infrastructure assets in order to improve flood mitigation in
coastal mega-cities of developing nations??????
4. How can the cyber (sensor), physical and social network layers be integrated
to attain a self-organising social-technical system that reliably and
sustainably provides urban data to municipal authorities responsible for the
management of flood control infrastructure in coastal mega-cities????????

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ISNGI 2016 - Pitch: "Managing hydrological infrastructure assets for improved flood mitigation in coastal mega-cities of developing nations: From data-starved to data-driven approach " - Mr Robert Ogie

  • 1. Managing hydrological infrastructure assets for improved flood mitigation in coastal mega-cities of developing nations: From data-starved to data-driven approach Robert Ogie Smart Infrastructure Facility, University of Wollongong September, 2016
  • 3. Flood losses • 890 million city residents are currently exposed to natural disasters, including flooding • Average annual global flood losses: $6 billion (2005) $1 trillion (2050) • The economic losses arising from natural hazards, including floods, are approximately 20 times higher in developing countries than developed nations • Average number of victims is 150 times greater in developing nations than developed countries
  • 4. Source: Twitter @ TMCPoldaMetro
  • 5.
  • 6. Flood exposure in coastal mega-cities of developing nations • Climate change (……frequent, high intensity rainfall) • Subsiding land (urban dwellings lying below sea-level) • Population explosion (high settlement density) • Rapid urbanization (low water permeability, trash dumps in water bodies) • Shortage of funding • Poor infrastructure management (infrequent and inadequate maintenance of the aging flood control infrastructure e.g. pumps and floodgates) • data scarcity (suboptimal flood control decisions)
  • 7.
  • 8. Research question How can coastal mega-cities in developing nations improve flood mitigation through data-driven management of their hydrological infrastructure assets? Tap into and explore the unprecedented sources of urban data that are obtainable in heterogeneous networks.
  • 9. The physical network of hydrological infrastructure assets (i.e. waterways, floodgates, pumps, flood gauges, etc.) 628 edges representing rivers, streams, and canals in Jakarta. Total geometric length of waterways is 1092 km. 560 nodes with 96 of those representing infrastructure (55 pumps, 30 floodgates, and 11 flood gauges) 464 network junctions (e.g., river confluences)
  • 10. Ogie, R., Holderness, T., Dunbar, M. and Turpin, E., 2016. Spatio-topological network analysis of hydrological infrastructure as a decision support tool for flood mitigation in coastal mega-cities. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, p.0265813516637608. Application case 1
  • 11.
  • 14. 𝐹𝑉𝐼 = 𝐸∗𝑆 𝑅 (1) 𝐸 = 𝑖=1 𝑛 𝑙𝑖 (2) 𝑆 = 1 𝐶 𝑔 (3) 𝑅 = 𝑅 𝑠 + 𝑖=0 𝑚 𝑐 𝑖 𝑙 𝑖∗𝑏 𝑖 (4) 𝐻𝐼𝐹𝑉𝐼 = 𝑖=1 𝑛 𝑙 𝑖 𝐶 𝑔(𝑅 𝑠+ 𝑖=0 𝑚 𝑐 𝑖 𝑙 𝑖∗𝑏 𝑖 ) (5) Application case 2: Ogie, R., Holderness, T., Dunn, S. and Turpin, E., 2016. Assessing the vulnerability of hydrological infrastructure to flood damage in coastal cities, International Conference on Smart Infrastructure and Construction (ICSIC), Cambridge, UK, 27 - 29 June 2016 Notation FVI = Flood Vulnerability Index E = Exposure S = Susceptibility R = Resilience HIFVI = Hydrological Infrastructure Flood Vulnerability Index A G1 G3 G2 B G D E C F Flowdirection
  • 15. VH= Very High (0.8 -1.0), M = Medium (0.4 - 0.6), L = Low (0.2 -0.4), and VL = Very Low (0 -0.2). Name of floodgate Susceptibility Resilience Exposure HIFVI Ranking Sunter C 1.00 0.45 199.89 1.000 VH Ciliwung Lama 1.00 0.05 133.65 0.922 VH Kebon Baru 1.00 0.00 122.59 0.890 VH Muara Angke 0.50 0.43 203.95 0.519 M Cakung Drainase 0.33 0.00 164.23 0.398 L Karet 2 0.50 0.39 150.31 0.392 L Pasar Ikan 0.25 0.51 307.40 0.371 L Hailai 0.50 0.78 169.77 0.347 L Istiqlal 0.33 0.13 160.47 0.345 L Tangki 0.50 0.94 164.02 0.308 L Jembatan Merah 0.25 0.10 163.09 0.269 L Citra Land 0.33 0.75 153.79 0.213 L Cengkareng Drain 0.25 0.00 101.23 0.184 VL Pulogadung 0.17 0.00 143.50 0.174 VL Ancol 0.20 0.52 176.82 0.170 VL Pekapuran 0.20 0.64 170.12 0.151 VL 8 0.13 0.26 151.23 0.109 VL Sogo 0.50 0.53 36.24 0.086 VL Poglar 0.33 0.00 33.81 0.082 VL Warung Pedok 0.50 0.00 12.81 0.046 VL Manggarai 0.33 0.19 21.79 0.044 VL Setia Budi 0.33 0.15 19.70 0.041 VL Minangkabau 0.50 0.64 15.94 0.035 VL Kampung Gusti 0.50 6.25 34.29 0.017 VL Kalimati 0.50 0.00 3.04 0.011 VL Honda 0.17 0.00 6.84 0.008 VL Duri 0.33 0.00 3.09 0.007 VL Karet 0.25 62.26 150.34 0.004 VL Sunter Utara 0.25 0.00 0.92 0.002 VL Kali Cideng 0.33 5524.27 150.35 0.000 VL Results for application case 2
  • 16.
  • 17. Application case 3: Ogie, R., Dunn, S., Holderness, T. and Turpin, E., 2016. Assessing the vulnerability of pumping stations to trash blockage in coastal mega- cities of developing nations, Sustainable Cities and Society (in press) 𝐹𝑉𝐼 = 𝐸∗𝑆 𝑅 (1) 𝐸 = 𝑖=1 𝑛 (𝑙𝑖∗ 𝑤𝑖) (2) 𝑙𝑖 𝑒 = 𝑑𝑖 + 𝑙𝑖 − 𝑑𝑖 ∗ 𝑑 𝑖 𝑙 𝑖 (3) 𝐸 = 𝑖=1 𝑛 (𝑙𝑖 𝑒 ∗ 𝑤𝑖) (4) 𝑆 = 1 𝐶 𝑔 (5) 𝑅 = 𝑅 𝑚 + (𝑛 − 1) (6) 𝑇𝐵𝑉𝐼𝑙𝑜𝑐𝑎𝑙 = 𝑖=1 𝑛 (𝑙 𝑖 𝑒 ∗𝑤 𝑖) 𝐶 𝑔(𝑅 𝑚+(𝑛−1)) (7) 𝑇𝐵𝑉𝐼 𝐺𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙 = 𝑖=1 𝑛 (𝑙 𝑖,𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒 ∗𝑤 𝑖) 𝐶 𝑔(𝑅 𝑚+(𝑛−1)) (8) Direction of Flow P2 P1 Section 1 Section 2 Section 3
  • 19. Sensor networks Given a limited number of water level sensors, where should they be placed in such a complex hydrological infrastructure network? Sensor 1 Sensor 2 Sensor 3 Sensor 4 Sensor n 𝐹1 𝑆 = 𝑣∈𝑆 𝑓1(𝑣) 𝑓1(𝑣) = 0.7(𝑛 𝑣 𝑢 + 𝑛 𝑣 𝑑) + 0.2c 𝑣 + 0.1 𝑖=0 𝑛 𝑑𝑒𝑔− (𝑣) 𝑓2 𝑣 = 𝑢∈𝑆 𝑑(𝑣,𝑢) 𝐹2 𝑆 = 𝑣∈𝑆 𝑢∈𝑆 𝑑(𝑣,𝑢) = 𝑣∈𝑆 𝑓2 𝑣 𝑑(𝑣,𝑡) 𝑒 > 𝜆 ∀ 𝑣 ∈ 𝑆, 𝑡 ∈ 𝑇 Using 𝐹1 𝑆 and 𝐹2 𝑆 with a constraint, optimal positions are computed for placement of a given number of sensors in the hydrological infrastructure network.
  • 20. Jakarta- The no. 1 biggest user of twitter Over 100,000 #flood tweets Social networks
  • 21.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. Recent observations put robustness and sustainability as key issues with the use of social media data for urban decision making In 60 days of the 2014/2015 monsoon season (1,000 confirmed reports ) (350 confirmed reports ) In 270 days of the 2015/2016 monsoon season
  • 26. Concluding remarks How can coastal mega-cities in developing nations improve flood mitigation through data-driven management of their hydrological infrastructure assets? 1. How can physical network data be used in data-driven management of hydrological infrastructure assets in order to improve flood mitigation in coastal mega-cities of developing nations? 2. How can sensor network data be used in data-driven management of hydrological infrastructure assets in order to improve flood mitigation in coastal mega-cities of developing nations?? 3. How can social network data be used in data-driven management of hydrological infrastructure assets in order to improve flood mitigation in coastal mega-cities of developing nations?????? 4. How can the cyber (sensor), physical and social network layers be integrated to attain a self-organising social-technical system that reliably and sustainably provides urban data to municipal authorities responsible for the management of flood control infrastructure in coastal mega-cities????????

Editor's Notes

  1. So now we can add a bit of context in terms of the complex urban system known as Jakarta. We are working in a city with an increasing problem of flooding and inundation; in the most recent monsoon of 2013-2014, over 30% of the city was flooded. We have a metropolitan population of nearly 28 million, with over 38.7 million motor vehicles in the city on a given weekday. The rate of urbanization means that there is an ever increasing amount of impervious surfaces, increasing the amount of water in the waterways and flood management system, and that there are increasing pressure for more housing areas, leading to urban villages, kampungs, growing in every available vacant space in the city. CONTEXT Increase in flooding & inundation Increase in impermeable surfaces Increase in informal settlements (kampungs) Increase in traffic congestion
  2. 28 triệu dân (khu thành phố đô thị) Đô thị hóa nhanh chóng Sụt lún dưới mực nước biển (25 cm/năm)