Emerging Prospects for Indian Power Market

*
WELCOME
K R SURI April 161K R SURI

Emerging Prospects
*Energy and Global
Practices for
Indian Power Market
April 163K R SURI

*
*PRESENT GENERATION & TRANSMISSION
*CHALLENGES AHEAD
* RESOURCES & SCOPE IN INDIA
*LOSSES
*ELECTRICITY REGULATIONS
*INTEGRATION WITH
* NEIGHBOURING / ASIAN COUNTRIES
April 164K R SURI

April 16 K R SURI 5
INSTALLED CAPACITY ( Feb. 16 )-------- MW
Mar-30
FEB. 2016
DEC. 2011
1950
9,30,000
2,88,665
1,88,000
1713

THERMAL
HYDRO
NUCLEAR
OTHERS
2,03,604
Break up
2,88,665
42,473
36,808
5,780
April 16 6K R SURI

Fuel MW % age
Total Thermal 2,03,604 70.52
Coal 178,138 61.71
Gas 24,473 08.47
Oil 994 00.34
Hydro 42,473 14.71
Nuclear 5,780 02.00
RES** ( RE etc) 36,808 12.75
Total 288,665 100.00
BREAK UP ---- Feb.2016
April 167K R SURI

* April 168K R SURI
14181.6
2015-16

*
2,88,665 mw
April 169K R SURI

Central Grid
S
W
N
E
NE
NEW Grid
South
Grid
October 1991
East & North-East
synchronized
March 2003
West synchronized
With East & North-East
August 2006
North synchronized
with Central Grid
Five Regional Grids
Five Frequencies
Raichur-Sholapur
Inter-Regional Link commissioned
One Nation
One Grid
One Frequency
National Grid - Evolution
One Nation - One Grid – One Frequency
A long cherished dream turned into
reality
Dec’2013
South
synchronized
with
NEW Grid
Present inter-regional power transfer
capacity: 46, 450MW
April 1610K R SURI

11
7,930 MW
1,260 MW
4,220 MW
1,720 MW
3,630 MW
SR
WR
NR
NER
ER
Inter Regional Power Transfer
Capacity by 2016 end - 35,000 MW
Present Inter Regional
Power Transfer Capacity
23,800 MW
SR
August 2006
North synchronized
With Central Grid
October 1991
East and Northeast
synchronized
March 2003
West synchronized
With East & Northeast
Future: Country wide
synchronous Grid
Earlier, Five Regional
Grids Five Frequencies
4,220 MW
1,260 MW
4,220 MW
1,260 MW
4,220 MW
1,260 MW
4,220 MW
3,630 MW
1,260 MW
4,220 MW
1,720 MW
3,630 MW
4,390 MW
1,260 MW
4,220 MW
28560 CKM
4195 CKM
18710 CKM
12500 CKM
17500 CKM
ESTABLISHMENT OF NATIONAL GRID
- Excluding 600 MW of IR capacity at 132 kV level
April 16K R SURI

*Current Transmission(ckt. Kms)
* CTU(Power grid) ---- 1,40,000
* SEBs --- 20,000
* OTHERS ---- 7000
* STATIONS >205 nos
* 400/765/1175 kv
*1175 Kv under trial
* at BINA April 1612K R SURI

Current Energy position in country
*Installed capacity ----- Feb. 2016
2,88,665 mw
*DEMAND BY 2030 ----
9,30,000 MW
around 45,000 mw addition
REQUIRED on annual basis
April 1613K R SURI

*
*HOW TO MEET 45,000MW/YR
*400KV DC----- 42 LINES/YR
*400 KV QC --- 22 LINES /YR
*765 KV QC --- 15 LINES/YR
*These are appx. figures
*A BIG CHALLENGE FOR TRANSMISSION
April 1614K R SURI

Big
Challenge
April 1615K R SURI

April 16K R SURI 16
*
920
940
960
980
1000
1020
1040
1060
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
BILLION UNITS

April 16K R SURI 17
*
CKT KMS
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
16745
17745
25721
27000

* April 1618K R SURI
43956
2015-16

*
*REQUIRED
* 45,000 MW PER YEAR
*ADDITION TREND TILL NOW
* 22,500 MW PER YEAR
*RATIO SAY 50%
April 1619K R SURI

Year Target
Achievement
%
%
target
%
%
growth
2009-10 789.511 771.551
97.73
6.6
2010-11 830.757 811.143
97.64
5.56
2011-12 855.000 876.887
102.56 8.11
2012-13 930.000 912.056 98.07
4.01
2013-14 975.000
967.150
99.19
6.04
2014-15 1023.00 1048.673
102.51 8.43
2015-16*
(Oct. 2015 663.007 654.467 98.71 5.14
PLANNED Vs ACTUAL
April 1620K R SURI

April 16K R SURI 23
All India PLF Month-
wise
April 68.64 62.05
May 67.06 64.27
June 66.31 59.43
July 63.80 58.36
August 59.58 57.60
September 59.07 63.63
October 65.01 66.86
November 65.69 60.34
December 65.14 61.75
January 64.79 63.20
February 65.72 64.95
Figure not available
2014-15 2015-16
YEAR

*POWER SYSTEM NETWORK
April 1625K R SURI

*Smart grid
April 1626K R SURI

BIOGAS/MASS
ETC
GEO THERMAL
Begasse
OTHERS
April 1627K R SURI

TOTAL ---- SAY 37,000 mw
3700
22000
April 1629K R SURI

*Solar resource
Big opportunity
to
capture
7500 mw in j&k
April 1637K R SURI

*
*In our country
*Considering
*300 --- Clear sunny days
*10 % -- Efficiency of PV cell
*Planned to produce 5000 trillion
Kwh per year
*1,00,000 MW BY 2022
April 1639K R SURI

*PLAN
*POTENTIAL IDENTIFIED
*19,130 MW ---- 50 mtr
*1,02,788 mw -- 80 mtr
*Total – 1,22,000
*Out of which
*60,000 mw ---- 2022
*Cost
* Rs 62 lacs/mw and return in 4 yrs
April 1642K R SURI

*Geo Thermal Energy
April 1643K R SURI

*
*27,500 mw plant
*Pertamina Geothermal Energy
* USA
April 1646K R SURI

*
*INDIA HAS IDENTIFIED TOTAL 340 HOT SPOTS ( 10,600 MW)
* Locations are
* Himalayan province ---
* j&k--- Puga and Chhumathang
* HP --- Manikaran
* Aravalli hills/area
* Hazari Bagh (surajkund) -- jharkhand
* West Coast/Area
* Cambay basin --- Gujrat
* Narmada Belt --- MP
* Tatapani --- Chattisgarh
* Andaman & Nicobar islands
April 16
47
K R SURI

*
*Basins has been drilled and found that
source exists at avg. depth of
*1.4 -- 1.7 - 1.9 -- 3.4 Kms
*It has been planned by GOI to put first
plant in j&k ---- 5 Mw at puga
April 1648K R SURI

*
*Tidal wave energy is basically using sea waves
* As per survey by IIOS.(Indian institute of oceanic studies)
* TIDES CAN PRODUCE ENERGY, WHEN WAVES
ARE IN range of 5.23 Mrs. To 6.77 metres
*Gujrat and West Bengal has such waves &
can produced 8mw
* Planned -- 3.75 mw Dhungadhauni ( WB.)
April 1650K R SURI

*
MAX. 19.9 MW
April 1651K R SURI

*
*It uses salts
*SODIUM NITRATE -- 60%
*POTASSIUM NITRATE – 40%
*HEATS THE MIXTURE TO >550 deg
* through HELIOSTATS and generate steam.
*GEMA MOLTAN PLANT – SPAIN
*CAPACITY –19.9 MW
April 1653K R SURI

* April 1655K R SURI
2013—14
21.46
22.70

*Losses in j&k PFC
*As on SEP. 2014 ---
app. 71%
Highest in country
April 1657K R SURI

Avoid Wastage
and harmonics April 1658K R SURI
DEBT 03/16
Rs 3234.00 Crs

*J&K DISASTER - 2014
April 1662K R SURI

*J&K DISASTER CONTD
April 1663K R SURI

*Preparing for another
Disaster
Nanak
Nagar
JammuApril 1664K R SURI

*Rise of DemandApril 1668K R SURI

Plant load factor
April 1669K R SURI

*
2013-14 957
April 1671K R SURI

*WORLD VIDE COMPARISON WORLD BANK
COUNTRY PCC % ELECT. COUNTRY PCC % ELECT
USA 13000 100 JAPAN 1000 100
CANADA 17000 100 INDIA 954 78
CHINA 4000 100 Maldives 2000 100
ICELAND 7000 100 B/Desh 300 60
ENGLAND 6000 100 PAKISTAN 500 90
NORWAY 25000 100 SRI LANKA 600 88April 1672K R SURI

CHALLENGES BEFORE
April 1673K R SURI

Challenge ahead for CTU (MVA)April 1674K R SURI

*
5 yr plans Total ckt kms
9th 0
10th 2284
11th 6435
12th (July 2015) 10354
ADANI 1000kms
HVDC 500 KV
April 1675K R SURI

INDIA
SHINES April 1676K R SURI

*
POWER
MARKET
April 1677K R SURI

*POWER SYSTEM NETWORK
April 1678K R SURI

*A vibrant and growing power market
Stable growth and consolidation
*A completely voluntary market
Multiple choice/options
*Trading licensed activity as per Electricity Act 2003
50 trading licensees (mar 2015)
*Top 5 trading licensees have 80% market share
PTC leads the pack (pioneer and market leader)
*Impact of Electricity trading
Optimizing of existing energy resources
Encouraging commercial outlook in the sector
Encouraging cross-border exchange of power
Catalyzing investment into the power sector, mainly from the private sector
April 1679K R SURI

*Recent Trends in Market
*Direct bilateral growing at faster rate
and banking transactions on rise
Financial health of utilities
Discoms preferring direct and money-less transactions
*Unscheduled Interchange (UI) on
decreased pattern
Positive development as UI has implications on grid
security
Result of frequency band tightening by CERC April 1680K R SURI

Increased license fee for traders
Appears to be an entry barrier for new
players
 Burden on existing players as Trading
margin is capped
Need of Min. Fixed Exchange
rate
Fixed charges (Intermediately fees)April 1681K R SURI

*
*IEC ---- 2003
* ENFORCED --- CERC, OA & PPT
*CERC --- REGULATES
* TARIFF
* SETTLEMENT OF DISPUTES
* TRADING MARGIN
April 1683K R SURI

*BILATERAL between tradersApril 1685K R SURI

FORWARD TRADING
April 1686K R SURI

*
Tata Power and Reliance are the two major companies with huge installed capacity and large
buying and selling statistics for the same.
Punjab power corporation is also major seller now
Table shows volume transacted by major buyers and sellers in FY12 through traders
Does not include volume through banking arrangements
Top 5 sellers constitute ~59% of the total volume
Top 5 buyers constitute ~ 63% of the total volume
Total trading companies app. 50 now April 1691K R SURI

*
9300 13400
1500 3300
April 1692K R SURI

Prospects
for
Integration
April 1693K R SURI

*South Asia: Energy Cooperation
*SE Asian countries are the most rapidly
Developing Countries
*High Rate of GDP growth
*Larger growing population but low
per capita consumption
*Huge Demand for Energy against supply
* ( peak hrs – shortage, off peak hrs – surplus)
April 1694K R SURI

*South Asia: Energy Cooperation
*Energy base different for SA countries
India – one of largest coal reserves in world
Bangladesh - Gas basins
Nepal & Bhutan - Huge hydro potential
Solar and Wind - Excellent potential in region
J&K is upcoming and estimating to
touch 4000mw capacity in near future.
April 1695K R SURI

Thus, tremendous possibility for regional
energy cooperation
Regional Integration or trade
Sub-regional cooperation between India, Nepal,
Bhutan and Bangladesh has high prospects
Sharing of land boundaries
Positive response from these
Countries April 1696K R SURI

*PAKISTAN
HAS SURPLUS POWER DURING DAY TIME
2/3 VISITS CUM MEETING HAS TAKEN PLACE
TO BUILT HVDC LINK BETWEEN
LAHORE TO AMRITSAR
*SRI LANKA
THERE WERE DISCUSSIONS ON LAYING OF HV CABLE UNDER SEA
April 1697K R SURI

Prospects for Integration: Sub-Regional Market
*India is the first South-Asian country to establish a
power market
*Strong power links being built up in the sub-region
*Benefits of Indian Power Market may be extended
to neighbors, as robust transmission exists
*With the completion of India-Nepal & India - Bhutan
transmission links , the sub region is strong.
*With completion of India - Bangladesh 400 kv link
and Hvdc back to back, network has become
more stronger
April 1698K R SURI

Markets have been extended to Nepal and Bhutan
through Power Grid.
Generation sources in the region may be pooled and
traded in one common market
Trade may happen through bilateral arrangements
involving traders or power exchanges
Open Access (OA) may be granted to countries to
buy/sell power in each others territory.
Lessons may be learnt from other developed power
markets like Nord pool spot etc
Benefit to all from economic and shared resources
scale
April 1699K R SURI

*
*Private sector accounted for 41% of capacity in 11th
Plan outpacing Central and State Sectors
*58% of the total capacity addition in FY12 from
private sector
*Private sector outperformed achieved 141% of the
target
*Share of Private Sector in total generating has
increased from 12% to 28% in last 5 yrs.
April 16100K R SURI

Bhutan
 Presently, interconnections exist with Bhutan at 400kV
level
 Alipurduar(India) – Punatsangchu-I HEP (Bhutan) 400kV
D/c is under implementation – completion expected in
2015
Nepal
 interconnections already exist with Nepal.
 Muzaffarpur (India) – Dhalkebar (Nepal) 400kV D/c is
being implemented by CPTC (Indian Portion) and PTCN
(Nepal Portion). Completion expected in 2015.
International Cooperation
Linkages with SAARC Countries
April 16101K R SURI

Bangladesh
 Baharampur (India) ---– Bheramara (Bangladesh)
HVDC back-to-back commissioned in September,
2013.
Power up to 500MW is flowing from India
Surajyamani Nagar(India) to
Comilla(South Bengladesh)
400kv line has also been completed in 2014.
April 16102K R SURI

103
JAYPURHAT
BANGLADESH
INTERCONNECTION BETWEEN INDIA AND BANGLADESH GRIDS
NIAMATPUR
BHERAMARA
KOLAGHAT
BAKRESHWAR
GOKARNADURGAPUR
KATWA
SUBHASGRAM
JEERAT
(400 KV)
BAHARAMPUR
INDIA
400kV D/c
KHEJURIA
SAGARDIGHI
RAGHUNATHGANJ
FARRAKA
KAHALGAON
DHULIAN
MALDA
BAHARAMPUR
CH. NAWABGANJ
RAJSHAHI
PUR
PABNAISHURDI
LEGEND
BAGHABARI
(SOUTH)
KHULNA
BOTTAIL FARIDPUR
Under Constr. / Future
THE PROJECT
230 kV
Existing
132 kV
400 kV
GHORASAL
SIRAJGANJ
SHAHJAD
NATORE
SOUTH
BOGRA
BARAPUKURIA
NAOGAON
BOGRA
MADHOPUR
April 16K R SURI

*Gas pipeline
ending GujratApril 16106K R SURI

*Connectivity with CHINA
*WE CAN ALSO ENTER POWER
SUPPLY AGREEMENT WITH
CHINA AT
* BRAHMPUTRA BASIN ---
Zangmu dam
April 16107K R SURI

Issues faced
by
Indian Power Market
April 16108K R SURI

*
Current power market scenario
*Power Sector’s vicious circle of challenges
Financial health of DISCOMs
Funding issues
Fuel scarcity (coal scam & gas shortage)
Transmission security/reliability bottlenecks
# Coal international regulation (import of coal is costly in India)
Regulatory issues
*Policy initiatives
* single window system
*Support to initiatives planned by IEX for market developmentApril 16109K R SURI

*
LEAKING BUCKET
SEBs April 16K R SURI 111

*
*Theft of power
*Subsidy by state Govt
*Inadequate last mile connectivity
* large scale & domestic
*Inadequate demand building measures
*Land acquisition
April 16112K R SURI

*
Aug’10 – Oct’11
Source: IEXApril 16113K R SURI

*
Rising Dependence on Imported Coal April 16114K R SURI

*
Domestic gas only meets 60% of the total requirements
April 16115K R SURI

*
*The current interregional transmission capacity is only around 13 per cent of
the total installed generation capacity
*With focus on increasing generation capacity over the next 8-10 years, the
corresponding investments in the transmission sector is also expected to
augment.
* Ministry of power plans to establish an integrated national power grid in the
country by 2016 with close to 2,50,000 mw generation capacities and 37,700
mw of inter-regional power transfer capacity
*Considering that the current interregional power transfer capacity of 25,000
mw, this is indeed an ambitious objective for the country.
*A large portion of new projects are likely to be in the North Eastern region,
Sikkim, Nepal and Bhutan.
*Another emerging trend in the transmission sector is the movement towards
"Ultra High Voltage" systems.(1200kv HVAC)(800kv hvdc 1800kms, 6000mw)
*J&K coming up with new hydro energy plants.
April 16116K R SURI

*
*Flexibility in Line Loading and Regulation of Power
*Improvement in Operational Efficiency
*Increase in Transmission Voltage/Energy Transfer/Series
Compensator(FACTS)/SVC/Statcom.
*Up gradation of HVDC Terminals and existing AC stations
*High capacity 400kV multi-circuit/bundle conductor lines
*High Surge Impedance Loading (HSIL) Line
*Compact towers (single pole/ tubular towers ) April 16117K R SURI

Use of High Temp. Low Sag (HTLS) conductor in tr. Lines
Installation of GIS & reduce ROW issues
Condition Based Monitoring and Preventive Maint.
1175kV Test Station (under trial)
Power grid is having 1,40,000 circuit km of Tr.
lines. 205 sub stations up to 765kv/800 kv Hvdc.
April 16119K R SURI

• SPGVL is also having
• 2 nos 765 kv ss
• 1200 kms ----- 765 kv line
• 4000 kms ----- 400 kv line
• UNDER CONTN
• 1000 kms
• 4 nos GIS
April 16 K R SURI 120

*EXAMPLE OF ULTRA MW PROJECTS
* SASAN
* MUNDRA
* KRISHNAPATTAM
* TALLAIYA
*PLANS TO REDUCE COAL IMPORT
* GRADUALLY & FINISH BY 2017/2018
* SELF DEPENDENT & plans to Produce
1BillionTons by 2020 ON ANNUAL BASIS
April 16121K R SURI

NATIONAL GRID & Estt. of NTAMC
*ENFORCEMENT OF ENERGY EFFICIENT
BLDGS, EQPTS, LIGHT GADGETS etc.
*WRITE OFF 8000 MW
LOW EFFICIENT GEN. PLANTS
*Due to ROW -- FOR COAL & HYDRO PLANTS.
squeezing land requirement
* Example COAL BASE
2X500 MW ---- 1.42 acre/mw
8x500 mw ---- 0.68 acre/mw
*Further tried to reduce 0.38 acre /mw
*Use of HTLS conductor in Tran. lines April 16122K R SURI

125 125
Pole type tower in NCR area April 16K R SURI

127
Insulator cleaning with helicopter
on 400kV Meerut – Mandola D/c Transmission Line
April 16K R SURI

*HELICOPTER CLEANING VIDEO
April 16K R SURI 128

131
Enjoy Life
Konstanz Port,Germany
07/05/2015
April 16K R SURI

K R SURI
9419211829/9906901669
krsuri1954@gmail.com
April 16133K R SURI

Emerging Prospects for Indian Power Market

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