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How Does the Data Sampling Strategy Impact the Discovery of Information Diffusion in Social Media? Munmun De Choudhury1, Yu-Ru Lin1, Hari Sundaram1, K. Selcuk Candan1, Lexing Xie2, Aisling Kelliher1 1Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 2IBM T. J. Watson Research Center, Hawthorne, NY
This talk is about sampling the social web
Background and Motivation Problem Definition Sampling Diffusion Data Evaluation of Diffusion Samples Experimental Study Conclusions
5/23/10 4 Modern Social Interactional Modes Slashdot Facebook Engadget LiveJournal Digg Twitter MetaFilter Flickr Reddit Orkut Blogger YouTube MySpace
We are attracted to social media, in part due to large scale datasets
Viral Marketing, Advertizing Campaigns
Collaboration, “Wisdom of the Crowds”
Crisis management w.r.t. real-time events
Is there something more fundamental happening here than just scale?
Information Diffusion
140 characters can cause revolutions
Inference is based on data quality
What has been done?
Snowball
Random walk
Forest Fire [Leskovec et. al, KDD 2005]
Designed to capture topology
But not context or content!
Background and Motivation Problem Definition Sampling Diffusion Data Evaluation of Diffusion Samples Experimental Study Conclusions
Two simple questions
What is the role of context in the sampling process?
What fraction of the social data should we sample?
Twitter “Tweets”: 140 character length shared content. RT (or re-tweet feature), hashtags (e.g. #iranelection), bit.ly encoded URLs Follower / Following relationship. “Trending topics” e.g. #musicmonday, #formulaone. 5/23/10 26 ,[object Object],(1) RT based diffusion (2) URL based diffusion (3) hashtag based diffusion
Diffusion Series 27 Social graph Diffusion series 5/23/10
Background and Motivation Problem Definition Sampling Diffusion Data Evaluation of Diffusion Samples Experimental Study Conclusions
What are our sampling strategies?
Assume we are give N, the number of nodes to pick
And θ, the topic
Plus the social graph G
What if we ignored topology?
We can also sample topology using Forest Fire
Background and Motivation Problem Definition Sampling Diffusion Data Evaluation of Diffusion Samples Experimental Study Conclusions
Diffusion Saturation Metrics User-based(Volume, participation, dissemination) Topology-based(Reach, spread, cascade instances, collection size) Time-based(Rate) 38 Volume Spread Rate Participation Dissemination Reach Collection Size Cascade Instances 5/23/10
Distortion
Diffusion Response Metrics 40 ,[object Object],5/23/10
Background and Motivation Problem Definition Sampling Diffusion Data Evaluation of Diffusion Samples Experimental Study Conclusions
Reference Set
500 seed users using mashable.com
Experimental Setup ~465K users, ~836K edges (“follower” / “following” relationships) and 29.5M tweets. 125 randomly chosen “trending topics” from Twitter, between Oct and Nov 2009. Trending topic – theme association based on OpenCalais (http://www.opencalais.com/). 5/23/10 44 ,[object Object],http://www.public.asu.edu/~mdechoud/temp/released-data/
R1
Is this a slam dunk for forest fire + activity?
Looking at themes tells a more nuanced story
What is a “good” sampling ratio?
What happens when ρ = 0.3?
Background and Motivation Problem Definition Sampling Diffusion Data Evaluation of Diffusion Samples Experimental Study Conclusions
Social networks are causing significant changes in our lives
Inferences about social phenomena is affected by data quality
Topic + topology + seed attribute makes a difference to sampling
Thanks! Questions?  munmun@asu.edu For Publications / Datasets:  http://www.public.asu.edu/~mdechoud/ Twitter: @munmun10

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Impact of Sampling on Diffusion on Twitter

Editor's Notes

  1. I believe so – I think social networks will change our understanding of media semantics in a fundamental way and not just because we have more data;
  2. Densification, shrinking diameter; generative model
  3. Volume, participation and dissemination
  4. rate
  5. Reach, spread, cascade instances and collection size