1SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION of GOVERNMENTSwww.scag.ca.govCurrent Policy Initiatives and Future Research NeedsHuasha LiuDirector, Land Use and Environmental PlanningNovember 4, 2010
2Topics1) SCAG Organization and Region Overview
2) Regional Challenges
3) Completed, Current, and Ongoing    	Research Activities
4) Future Potential Research Initiatives
5) Funding Opportunities
6) How to Conduct Research with SCAG31) SCAG Organization and Region Overview
LargestMetropolitanPlanningOrganizationSCAG REGION190 cities19 million residents7.2 million jobsSouthern CaliforniaAssociation of Governments
17th largest economyin the worldShares the characteristics of many nations
What is SCAG’s role in the Region?Federal and State Government Mandates to Develop Regional Plans:Environmental Planning              -RTP Program EIR-Air Quality Planning Program-Intergovernmental ReviewLand Use Planning                 -Regional Housing Needs Assessment-SB 375: Sustainable Communities Strategy-Compass BlueprintTransportation Planning             -Regional Transportation Plan        -Federal Transportation Improvement Program  -Goods Movement
We do not have the authority to:RegulateTaxImplement
We do have the authority to:PlanProgramStudy/ResearchMonitorCoordinate
Highlight of Services to Local JurisdictionsSCAG GIS Services
Software training and data assistance for cities and counties to support local planning
Compass Blueprint Program
84 Demonstration Projects Completed
$7.4 million awarded since 2005
$5 million will be awarded per year from this year forward
Green Cities Recognition Awards
New incentive program promoting GHG reduction
$2 million per year in cash awards from this year forwardRequires Close Collaboration with Partner Agencies in the RegionSCAGFEDERAL STATEHighway (FHWA)Transit (FTA)Aviation (FAA)Railroad (FRA)Environment (EPA)Housing (HUD)Transportation(DOT/CTC/BT&H)Air Quality (CARB)Councils of Government(CALCOG)Housing (BT&H)LOCAL COMMUNITYSubregionsGeneral PublicPlanning Orgs.Transportation Orgs.Transportation       CommissionsAir Quality Management    Districts
112) Regional Challenges
Regional ChallengesEconomy/Jobs Traffic CongestionAging Population & Economic ImpactsAir QualityEnergy and ResourcesUrban SprawlPublic HealthHousing AffordabilityShrinking Federal & State FundingAnticipated growth of 4 million people and 2.4 million jobs to the region by 2035Like adding two cities the size of Chicago between 2000 & 2035
Huge Shift in the Age of Population in SCAG Region20100-20 yrs65+ yrs21-64 yrs 5.9 million 31%2.0 million 11%11.2 million59%20350-20 yrs21-64 yrs65+ yrs6.6 million 29%12.6 million         55%3.8 million   17%Percentages do not add to 100% due to roundingSource:  SCAG, Local Input/General Plan Growth Forecast, March 2010
“Traditional” Households on the Wane in the U.S.Household Type       1960    2000    2005   2040HH with Children	           48%        33%       32%      27%HH without Children         52%        67%       68%      73%Single-Person HH	           13%        26%       31%      34%Source: Dr. Arthur C. Nelson, Presidential Professor & Director of Metropolitan Research, University of Utah.
3) Completed, Current, and Ongoing Research Activities
Examples of Completed ResearchTransportation System ResearchMetro Gold Line Corridor Study (UCLA)Port and Modal Elasticity Study Phase II (Consultant)Socio-Economic AnalysisWage and Job Dynamics (Cal Lutheran University)Model/Tool DevelopmentEnvision Tomorrow scenario builder (Consultant)
Examples of Current ResearchTransportation System ResearchCongestion pricing analysis (Consultant)Environmental Planning ResearchClimate & Economic Development Project (Consultant)Model/Tool DevelopmentActivity-based transportation model (UCSB/ASU/UT)Land use model (UC Davis, University of Calgary)Sustainability tool (Consultant)California Land Opportunity Tracking System (UCLA)
Ongoing ResearchSocio-Economic AnalysisRegional demographic trends (In-house)Aging/ethnic diversity (In-house)City level population projections (In-house)Spatial distribution of population and employment (In-house)County level population and employment balance  (In-house)Model/Tool DevelopmentParcel data development, improvement, and dissemination (In-house)
4) Future Potential Research Initiatives
Transportation Planning Related ResearchTravel Behavior AnalysisSpecifically for elderly people, minority groups, and womenRegional mode choice analysisInter-regional travel analysisHousehold Travel Survey (HTS) data analysisTransportation System ResearchTransit accessibility analysisAviation demand forecastSeaport and airport truck demandNon-motorized travel demand analysisTransportation finance analysisModel/Tool DevelopmentDynamic Traffic Assignment and its link to emission modelTravel Demand Management impact analysis tool Heavy-duty truck model
Economic Analysis Subcenter identificationRegional economic growth strategy Model/Tool DevelopmentEconometric forecast modelSmall area land use, employment, demographic databaseLand Use Planning Related Research
Environmental Planning ResearchEnvironmental JusticeAir quality and emissions modelImpact Analysis of Potential Land Use/Transportation ScenariosModel/Tool DevelopmentGreenhouse gas emission / Carbon calculator
235) Funding Opportunities
HUD Sustainable Communities Planning Grant ProgramSupports multi-jurisdictional regional efforts that integrate housing, economic development, transportation, resource planning, and sustainability$100 million available through competitive application processGrant was awarded in October 2010California was allocated $5.5 million or 5.5% of the total available fundsCalifornia’s population represents 12% of the national total

LTC, Jack R. Widmeyer Transportation Research Conference, 11/04/2011, Huasha Liu

  • 1.
    1SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATIONof GOVERNMENTSwww.scag.ca.govCurrent Policy Initiatives and Future Research NeedsHuasha LiuDirector, Land Use and Environmental PlanningNovember 4, 2010
  • 2.
    2Topics1) SCAG Organizationand Region Overview
  • 3.
  • 4.
    3) Completed, Current,and Ongoing Research Activities
  • 5.
    4) Future PotentialResearch Initiatives
  • 6.
  • 7.
    6) How toConduct Research with SCAG31) SCAG Organization and Region Overview
  • 8.
    LargestMetropolitanPlanningOrganizationSCAG REGION190 cities19million residents7.2 million jobsSouthern CaliforniaAssociation of Governments
  • 9.
    17th largest economyinthe worldShares the characteristics of many nations
  • 10.
    What is SCAG’srole in the Region?Federal and State Government Mandates to Develop Regional Plans:Environmental Planning -RTP Program EIR-Air Quality Planning Program-Intergovernmental ReviewLand Use Planning -Regional Housing Needs Assessment-SB 375: Sustainable Communities Strategy-Compass BlueprintTransportation Planning -Regional Transportation Plan -Federal Transportation Improvement Program -Goods Movement
  • 11.
    We do nothave the authority to:RegulateTaxImplement
  • 12.
    We do havethe authority to:PlanProgramStudy/ResearchMonitorCoordinate
  • 13.
    Highlight of Servicesto Local JurisdictionsSCAG GIS Services
  • 14.
    Software training anddata assistance for cities and counties to support local planning
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
    $5 million willbe awarded per year from this year forward
  • 19.
  • 20.
    New incentive programpromoting GHG reduction
  • 21.
    $2 million peryear in cash awards from this year forwardRequires Close Collaboration with Partner Agencies in the RegionSCAGFEDERAL STATEHighway (FHWA)Transit (FTA)Aviation (FAA)Railroad (FRA)Environment (EPA)Housing (HUD)Transportation(DOT/CTC/BT&H)Air Quality (CARB)Councils of Government(CALCOG)Housing (BT&H)LOCAL COMMUNITYSubregionsGeneral PublicPlanning Orgs.Transportation Orgs.Transportation CommissionsAir Quality Management Districts
  • 22.
  • 23.
    Regional ChallengesEconomy/Jobs TrafficCongestionAging Population & Economic ImpactsAir QualityEnergy and ResourcesUrban SprawlPublic HealthHousing AffordabilityShrinking Federal & State FundingAnticipated growth of 4 million people and 2.4 million jobs to the region by 2035Like adding two cities the size of Chicago between 2000 & 2035
  • 24.
    Huge Shift inthe Age of Population in SCAG Region20100-20 yrs65+ yrs21-64 yrs 5.9 million 31%2.0 million 11%11.2 million59%20350-20 yrs21-64 yrs65+ yrs6.6 million 29%12.6 million 55%3.8 million 17%Percentages do not add to 100% due to roundingSource: SCAG, Local Input/General Plan Growth Forecast, March 2010
  • 25.
    “Traditional” Households onthe Wane in the U.S.Household Type 1960 2000 2005 2040HH with Children 48% 33% 32% 27%HH without Children 52% 67% 68% 73%Single-Person HH 13% 26% 31% 34%Source: Dr. Arthur C. Nelson, Presidential Professor & Director of Metropolitan Research, University of Utah.
  • 26.
    3) Completed, Current,and Ongoing Research Activities
  • 27.
    Examples of CompletedResearchTransportation System ResearchMetro Gold Line Corridor Study (UCLA)Port and Modal Elasticity Study Phase II (Consultant)Socio-Economic AnalysisWage and Job Dynamics (Cal Lutheran University)Model/Tool DevelopmentEnvision Tomorrow scenario builder (Consultant)
  • 28.
    Examples of CurrentResearchTransportation System ResearchCongestion pricing analysis (Consultant)Environmental Planning ResearchClimate & Economic Development Project (Consultant)Model/Tool DevelopmentActivity-based transportation model (UCSB/ASU/UT)Land use model (UC Davis, University of Calgary)Sustainability tool (Consultant)California Land Opportunity Tracking System (UCLA)
  • 29.
    Ongoing ResearchSocio-Economic AnalysisRegionaldemographic trends (In-house)Aging/ethnic diversity (In-house)City level population projections (In-house)Spatial distribution of population and employment (In-house)County level population and employment balance (In-house)Model/Tool DevelopmentParcel data development, improvement, and dissemination (In-house)
  • 30.
    4) Future PotentialResearch Initiatives
  • 31.
    Transportation Planning RelatedResearchTravel Behavior AnalysisSpecifically for elderly people, minority groups, and womenRegional mode choice analysisInter-regional travel analysisHousehold Travel Survey (HTS) data analysisTransportation System ResearchTransit accessibility analysisAviation demand forecastSeaport and airport truck demandNon-motorized travel demand analysisTransportation finance analysisModel/Tool DevelopmentDynamic Traffic Assignment and its link to emission modelTravel Demand Management impact analysis tool Heavy-duty truck model
  • 32.
    Economic Analysis SubcenteridentificationRegional economic growth strategy Model/Tool DevelopmentEconometric forecast modelSmall area land use, employment, demographic databaseLand Use Planning Related Research
  • 33.
    Environmental Planning ResearchEnvironmentalJusticeAir quality and emissions modelImpact Analysis of Potential Land Use/Transportation ScenariosModel/Tool DevelopmentGreenhouse gas emission / Carbon calculator
  • 34.
  • 35.
    HUD Sustainable CommunitiesPlanning Grant ProgramSupports multi-jurisdictional regional efforts that integrate housing, economic development, transportation, resource planning, and sustainability$100 million available through competitive application processGrant was awarded in October 2010California was allocated $5.5 million or 5.5% of the total available fundsCalifornia’s population represents 12% of the national total