Predictive Analysis - Using Insight-informed Data to Determine Factors Drivin...
Ma cd8 goldstein-mq-august 2020
1. MASSACHUSETTS 8TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTIRCT
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTER POLL:
A Survey of Likely Voters
August 10, 2020
1. To begin, what are the chances you will vote in the Democratic Primary election on or before
September 1st?
Total
Definitely 98%
Probably 2%
2. And would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Stephen Lynch?
Total
Favorable 46%
Unfavorable 25%
Unsure 29%
3. And would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Robbie Goldstein?
Total
Favorable 36%
Unfavorable 7%
Unsure 57%
4. If the Democratic Primary for Massachusetts’ 8th Congressional District were held today, for
whom would you vote?
Total
Stephen Lynch 39%
Robbie Goldstein 32%
Undecided 29%
Sample Size Total: 1038 Gender Total
Men 43%
Women 55%
Non-binary 2%
Methodology: 1038 interviews among likely Democratic Primary voters were conducted via landline and
text from August 8-9, 2020 and the results were weighted to ensure proportional response. The margin of
error at the 95% confidence level is ± 3.04 points.
2. 2
Lincoln Park Strategies • 611 Pennsylvania Avenue SE, #112, Washington, DC 20003 • (202) 548-0047
5. [IF Q4=UNDECIDED] And in general, would you be more or less likely to vote for a
progressive Democrat or a moderate Democrat?
Total
Progressive 42%
Moderate 25%
Not make a difference 20%
Not sure 13%
6. [IF Q4=UNDECIDED] And in general, would you be more or less likely to vote for a
candidate who is pro-choice or pro-life?
Total
Pro-choice 71%
Pro-life 12%
Not make a difference 13%
Not sure 4%
7. [IF Q4=UNDECIDED] And in general, would you be more or less likely to vote for a
candidate who supports Medicare for All or a candidate who opposes the plan?
Total
Pro-Medicare for All 73%
Anti-Medicare for All 10%
Not make a difference 7%
Not sure 11%
8. [IF Q4=UNDECIDED] And in general, would you be more or less likely to vote for a
candidate who has experience as a doctor and could use his expertise to help lead the fight in
Congress to deal with the pandemic.
Total
More likely 32%
Less likely 2%
Not make a difference 51%
Not sure 15%
3. 3
Lincoln Park Strategies • 611 Pennsylvania Avenue SE, #112, Washington, DC 20003 • (202) 548-0047
Now three quick demographic questions that are for statistical purposes only.
9. Please tell us if you are male or female.
Total
Male 43%
Female 55%
Non-binary 2%
10. And now your age range.
Total
Under 45 30%
45-54 14%
55-64 25%
65 and over 32%
11. And finally, what is your ethnicity?
Total
White 80%
African American 9%
LatinX 3%
Asian American 2%
Other 6%