Hi, Friends, This is an alarming message, as global warming is getting worse. Business is not making enough, faster or better. From the latest reports of the scientific communities, the temperature increases will be higher than the expected 2°Celsius by 2100 from the mean temperature of the industrial revolution (15°C). According to some agencies in France, it is going to be up 3.9...According to me the financial calculator, it can go up to 7° celsius by 2100. Besides the issue is not the temperature increase, but the water cycle in the atmosphere and the subsurface hydrology. So, global warming and impacts will threaten lives, livelihood, and properties of many cities and rural areas in the world with the various natural hazards, wars, and technology failures. Yoru organization needs to prepare for adaptation. The longer the delay and the more painful it will be. I produce a list of items that need necessary in the journey to the Anthropocene. Thanks, friends. BIRD

1. THE WORLD WE WANT AND
TRANSFORMING OUR WORLD
APPROACH TO STRATEGIC ADAPTATION
2022-2300 IN THE ERA OF POST COVID 19,
GLOBAL WARMING AND SUSTAINABLE
DEVELOPMENT
Source: author adapted from UNFCCC,
SENDAI, Paris Agreement, COP 26, Post 2015
SDG, decade for action 2030)
BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT
(BIRD)

2. How to adapt in difficult environment linked
to global warming and the changes of
atmospheric and hydrology waters?!
2100 THE RISING TEMPERATURE WILL GO UP TO 7°C-8°C BY 2100, IF THE GLOBAL
WARMING IS NOT MITIGATED
- BY THE CLIMATE INVESTMENT,
- CHANGES IN THE WAY WE ARE LIVING, CONSUMMING AND PRODUCING
- REDUCING NEEDS AND IMPROVING PROCESSES.
CLIMATE IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2°C BY 2025 WITH 40% OF CHANCE AND OVER
2°C BY 2100, FROM THE MEAN TEMPERATURE OF THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
(15°C). TODAY, IT IS 15.8°C (+0.8°C) ACCORDING TO UNFCCC
BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT
(BIRD)
Source: author adapted from UNFCCC,
SENDAI, Paris Agreement, COP 26, Post 2015
SDG, decade for action 2030 and the carbon
inertia system thinking)

3. You need to be in a survival mode during
the Anthropocen.
 Beside, the global warming and the perturbation of the water
cycle will act over 200-300 years. Even if all the CO2 of the
world stops today, the consequences of our fossil fuels
addictions will remains for 2 centuries or more. The era, when
the man is able to change the earth planet atmospheric
condition is called by the scientist as the Anthropocen.
BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT
(BIRD)
Source: author adapted from UNFCCC,
SENDAI, Paris Agreement, COP 26, Post 2015
SDG, decade for action 2030 and the carbon
inertia system thinking)

4. You need to be in a survival mode during
the Anthropocen.
As we can see, cities are targeted by the
catastrophic events (war, natural hazards,
technology failures).
Global warming will increase the stress on cities
and population way of life worldwide,
More people are living in cities (68% of world
population is projected to be settled in cities by
2050 and perhaps 80% by 2100)
BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT
(BIRD)
Source: author adapted from UNFCCC,
SENDAI, Paris Agreement, COP 26, Post 2015
SDG, decade for action 2030 and the carbon
inertia system thinking)

5. Dangers Opportunités
According to the geographies (PHYSICAL
AND HUMAN…)
What are
saying
About the
global
warming
What we
are making
to change
the
temperatur
e increase
2300-2400 2022
2022 2100 2100
Renewable
energies
Better processes
Greening the
earth
…
CO2 emission
Deforestation
Impervious
surfaces
Poverty
….
Source: author adapted from UNFCCC, SENDAI, Paris
Agreement, COP 26, Post 2015 SDG,
decade for action 2030)
BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT
(BIRD)

6. From potential dangers to potential
opportunities
Dangers Opportunities
Issue with adaptation
The londer time to adapt and the harder will be the adaptation
Production
models
Social
construction
for resiliency
Risks Uncertainties Economic system based
on uncertainty
Economic system based
on expansion
(Fordism or international
development)
(Sustained sustainable development)
Strategic
adaptation
Source: author adapted from UNFCCC,
SENDAI, Paris Agreement, COP 26, Post 2015
SDG, decade for action 2030 and the carbon
inertia system thinking)

7. The carbon inertia logical thinking,
which is an unsaid by leaders
 Is comparable to tanker in the sea, that you need to change the direction
of the course. You need to anticipate the course change a very longtime
before it happens, because of the inertia of the tanker in the sea. Once I
was a skipper on boat, and I can tell you it a real experience to drive a
vessel in the ocean. It is not like driving on the road, when you can follow
the roads. In the ocean there is no raod, and it difficult to change the
direction of the boat due to the huge internia of the boat floating at the
subsurface of the sea.
 So, it is explain in the document about internia of investment,
infrastructure, CO2…
Source: author adapted from UNFCCC,
SENDAI, Paris Agreement, COP 26, Post 2015
SDG, decade for action 2030 and the carbon
inertia system thinking)

8. The role of inertia
 Why is it so important? Because intuitively many people might think that as soon as we
have substantially decreased our CO2 emissions (which we haven’t), the problem will be
solved.
 It won’t, not by a very long shot. Even if we reduce CO2 emissions to zero over a realistic
timeframe, the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere – and thus also the global average
temperature- will remain elevated for millennia, as can be seen in the figure below.
 The total amount of carbon we put in the atmosphere over the course of a few hundred
years will affect life on this planet for hundreds of thousands of years. And if we want to
reduce the amount of warming that we commit the future to, we need to reduce our
carbon emissions sooner rather than later.
 The longer we postpone emission reductions, the stronger those emissions reductions
would need to be in order to have the same mitigating effect on long-term warming.
Source: author adapted from UNFCCC,
SENDAI, Paris Agreement, COP 26, Post 2015
SDG, decade for action 2030 and the carbon
inertia system thinking)
BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT
(BIRD)

9. Venn diagram of what can expect in the
world of potential risks and opportunities
Dangers
Opportunities
Adaptations
Facts
Beliefs
Viewpoints
Economy
Politics
Trade
….
Sea rising
Temperature increase
Wind
Snow
Landslide
Heat wave
Thunderstorm
Flash flood
Rainfalls
Arid zone/desertification
Mountaineering
Survival in the
wilderness
Living on a shoestring
Adventurous encounter
Forced displacements
Source: author adapted from UNFCCC,
SENDAI, Paris Agreement, COP 26, Post 2015
SDG, decade for action 2030)
BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT
(BIRD)

10. What is needed to adapt?
17 items for climate change adaptation
Maximum weight: 20 kilograms
1) Strong sun cream
2) Water filtration (individual or collective)/water carrier
3) Transport system: the walk/a bicycle/bus ticket
4) A pair of boots
5) A shirt and a sweatshirt
6) A hat
7) A Protective sunglass
8) Build less and share more
9) Dematerialisation or travel light
10) A continuous flow of money (from a banking sytem or a money
transfer, US$) or solidarity
11) A thermometer
Source: author adapted from military
experiences and world explorations
(cooperation, investment, travel and leisure)
in constaint/restricted environments (Sahara,
Silk road, Himalaya, islands and mainlands
(Europe, Asia, Americas, Africa…)
BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT
(BIRD)

11. 1) A watch
2) A sleeping/a small tent
3) A raincoat
4) Spares for the bicycle
5) A compass
6) A map
7) Food
8) Water
9) A pair of socks
10) A pair of gloves
11) A book with contact addresses
12) A swiss knife
13) A hook and fishing line
14) A lamp torch
15) Vaccines
16) Malaria tablets
17 items for climate change adaptation
Maximum weight: 20 kilograms
Source: author adapted from military
experiences and world explorations
(cooperation, investment, travel and leisure)
in constaint/restricted environments (Sahara,
Silk road, Himalaya, islands and mainlands
(Europe, Asia, Americas, Africa…)

12. More important is the preparedness to the climate
change to get the mental or physical stamina…
It is important to be trained like:
- the military, soldiers…
- Adventurous person
- Sportmen and women
For the climate change in arid zones, mountainous regions
By learning the survival skills (physical, intellectual, moral/ethical…)
Otherwise, your body will not adapt.
The skills needed in stressful environments will help
you to perform efficiently in challenging environments.
Source: author adapted from military
experiences and world explorations
(cooperation, investment, travel and leisure)
in constaint/restricted environments (Sahara,
Silk road, Himalaya, islands and mainlands
(Europe, Asia, Americas, Africa…)
BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT
(BIRD)

13. Sources
 United Nations Population world prospect per a country by 2100
 https://population.un.org/wup/Country-Profiles/
 Population prospect in cities in 2050 (68%), UNDESA
https://www.un.org/development/desa/en/news/population/2018-revision-of-world-
urbanization-prospects.html
 System thinking about the temperature and carbon inertia
 https://www.easterbrook.ca/steve/2016/10/inertia-on-the-pathway-to-decarbonization/
 Uncertainty+ inertia = Danger
 https://ourchangingclimate.wordpress.com/2016/08/09/climate-inertia/
Source: author adapted from UNFCCC,
SENDAI, Paris Agreement, COP 26, Post 2015
SDG, decade for action 2030 and the carbon
inertia system thinking)
BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT
(BIRD)

14. BIRD
THANKS!
BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT
(BIRD)
Source: author adapted from UNFCCC,
SENDAI, Paris Agreement, COP 26, Post 2015
SDG, decade for action 2030 and the carbon
inertia system thinking)
co2