![Tunneling through the cost barrier
kWh/m2*jaarEnergieverbruik. kWh/m2*jaar
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Energieverbruik
Meerinvestering
Totale kost = energieverbruik + meerinvestering
Specific space heating demand [kWh/m2 * year]
Totalcost,amortizedover30year[€/m2*year]
Total cost = energy cost + construction cost
Peak heating load < 10 W/m2 --> ventilation system can be used for
space heating. Investing in a heating system is no longer required, and
construction cost goes down.
construction costs rise (better insulation,
windows, equipement, workmanship, etc.) in
order to reduce heating demand
energy costs rise with
heating demand](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/fp-choose-your-future-20130217-s-130611170547-phpapp02/85/Climate-change-choose-your-future-wisely-119-320.jpg)
Uploaded bySerge de Gheldere
Climate change--choose your future wisely.
The document discusses the risks of climate change and a future with declining oil production. It describes how oil currently underpins the global economy and how shortages could cause economic and security issues. It summarizes reports from scientific and economic organizations that assess climate change as one of the highest risks facing the world in the next decade and outline the need for transitioning away from fossil fuels.
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Climate change--choose your future wisely.
- 1. futureproofed.com CLIMATE CHANGE: CHOOSE YOURFUTURE Serge de Gheldere
- 2. THE CLIMATE PROJECT “Climateambassador” for Al Gore
- 3. THE CLIMATE PROJECT “Climateambassador” for Al Gore
- 4.
- 6. We deliver bold, sustainablebusiness solutions, creating value today and tomorrow.
- 7.
- 8.
- 9.
- 10.
- 11. Everything is oil Production Rawmaterials Food Logistics
- 19. BP Statistical Reviewof World Energy 2012 © BP 2012
- 20. BP Statistical Reviewof World Energy 2012 © BP 2012 Oil production/consumption by region
- 21. Market shortfall consumption - production 7M barrels/day
- 22. This increase wouldbe mostly driven by higher demand from non-OECD economies – in particular China and India. The expected rise in the oil price is unlikely to be smooth.
- 23. Oil price Oil import TradebalanceItaly’s trade balance
- 24. 1999 2011 -60 -45 -30 -15 0 15 30 0 25 50 75 100 Tradebalancebn$ Oilprice$/barrel Oil price Oilimport Trade balanceItaly’s trade balance
- 25. 1999 2011 -60 -45 -30 -15 0 15 30 0 25 50 75 100 20 $/barrel 100$/barrel Tradebalancebn$ Oilprice$/barrel Oil price Oil import Trade balanceItaly’s trade balance
- 26. 1999 2011 -60 -45 -30 -15 0 15 30 0 25 50 75 100 20 $/barrel 100$/barrel -12 bn $ -55 bn $ Tradebalancebn$ Oilprice$/barrel Oil price Oil import Trade balanceItaly’s trade balance
- 27. 1999 2011 -60 -45 -30 -15 0 15 30 0 25 50 75 100 20 $/barrel 100$/barrel -12 bn $ -55 bn $ 22 bn $ -36 bn $ Tradebalancebn$ Oilprice$/barrel Oil price Oil import Trade balanceItaly’s trade balance
- 28. International Energy Agency (feb2013) Southern Europe = same position as Italy Oil import bill EU: $ 668 bln 2013
- 29. International Energy Agency: “Theexisting fields are declining so sharply that in order to stay where we are in terms of production levels in the next 25 years, we have to find and develop four new Saudi Arabias.” (40 M barrels/day) No cheap oil left
- 30. German army “Sicherheitspolitische Implikationenknapper Ressourcen” Streitkräfte, Fähigkeiten und Technologien im 21. Jahrhundert - Umweltdimensionen von Sicherheit - • Oil decline results in shrinking logistics • Governments are not prepared to deal with shortage of vital goods • Impoverishment will lead to extremism and domestic conflicts
- 31. German army “Sicherheitspolitische Implikationenknapper Ressourcen” Streitkräfte, Fähigkeiten und Technologien im 21. Jahrhundert - Umweltdimensionen von Sicherheit - Proposed solutions—focus on principles of: • Resilience, • Flexibility, • Self-sufficiency
- 33. If you’re 28or younger, you have never experienced a colder than average month in your life.
- 34. The next 10years may be the most important ones since the beginning of mankind.
- 37. World Economic Forum incollaboration with : Marsh & McLennan Companies Swiss Reinsurance Company Wharton Center for Risk Management, University of Pennsylvania Zurich Financial Services GlobalRisks 2011 SixthEdition An initiative of the Risk Response Network World Economic Forum January 2011 Climate change most important risk of next 10 years (January 2011) WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
- 38. Economicimpact(billion$) Likelihood of occurringin the next 10 years
- 40. “World is moreat risk as persistent economic weakness saps our ability to tackle environmental challenges.” World economic forum 2013 Global Risks 2013 Eighth Edition An Initiative of the Risk Response Network Insight Report
- 41. iftheriskweretooccur Economic Environmental Geopolitical 5 4 3 2 4.1 4 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.1 3 2.9 2.8 2.7 Critical fragile states Majorsystemic financial failure Water supply crises Chronic fiscal imbalances Severe income disparity Chronic labour market imbalances Rising religious fanaticism Mismanagement of population ageing Terrorism Persistent extreme weather Cyber attacks Mismanaged urbanization Species overexploitation Massive incident of data fraud/theft Rising rates of chronic disease Entrenched organized crime Massive digital misinformation Unforeseen negative consequences of regulation Militarization of space Land and waterway use mismanagement Unmanageable inflation or deflation Critical systems failure Vulnerability to pandemics Unmanaged migration Recurring liquidity crises Irremediable pollution Unsustainable population growth Food shortage crises Global governance failure Rising greenhouse gas emission Failure of climate change adaptation Failure of diplomatic conflict resolution Extreme volatility in energy and agriculture prices Diffusion of weapons of mass destruction Unforeseen consequences of new life science technologies Backlash against globalizationBacklash against globalization Unprecedented geophysical destruction Ineffective illicit drug policies Unforeseen consequences of nanotechnology Widespread illicit trade Proliferation of orbital debris Failure of intellectual property regime Antibiotic- resistant bacteria Pervasive entrenched corruption Hard landing of an emerging economy Unilateral resource nationalization Unforeseen consequences of climate change mitigation Prolonged infrastructure neglect Vulnerability to geomagnetic storms Mineral resource supply vulnerability Impactiftheriskweretooccur Likelihood to occur in the next ten years Economic Environmental Geopolitical Societal Technological1 2 3 4 5 5 4 3 2 1 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 3 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 4 4.1 4.2 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.1 3 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 Critical fragile states Chronic labour market imbalances Rising religious fanaticism Mismanagement of population ageing Terrorism Persistent extreme weather Cyber attacks Mismanaged urbanization Species overexploitation Massive incident of data fraud/theft Rising rates of chronic disease Entrenched organized crime Massive digital misinformation Unforeseen negative consequences of regulation Militarization of space Land and waterway use mismanagement Unmanageable inflation or deflation Critical systems failure Vulnerability to pandemics Unmanaged migration Recurring liquidity crises Irremediable pollution Unsustainable population growth Failure of diplomatic conflict resolution Unforeseen consequences of new life science technologies Backlash against globalizationBacklash against globalization Unprecedented geophysical destruction Ineffective illicit drug policies Unforeseen consequences of nanotechnology Widespread illicit trade Proliferation of orbital debris Failure of intellectual property regime Antibiotic- resistant bacteria Pervasive entrenched corruption Hard landing of an emerging economy Unilateral resource nationalization Unforeseen consequences of climate change mitigation Prolonged infrastructure neglect Vulnerability to geomagnetic storms Mineral resource supply vulnerability Economic Environmental Geopolitical Societal Technological1 2 3 4 5 5 4 3 2 1
- 43. Haïti Dominican Republic Theclimate project Ecosystem services: “interest” on natural capital Living systems (capital) Ecosystem services (interest) Ecosystem services • Water purification • Flood management • Pollination • Buffering extreme weather • Soil formation • Photosynthesis: CO2 to O2 Ecosystem services
- 44. Creative commons: NicolasGuerin • Water purification • Flood management • Pollination • Buffering extreme weather • Soil formation • Photosynthesis: CO2 to O2 Ecosystem services
- 45. Hyland seeds • Waterpurification • Flood management • Pollination • Buffering extreme weather • Soil formation • Photosynthesis: CO2 to O2 Ecosystem services
- 46. TEEB - TheEconomics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity teebweb.org T h e E c o n o m ic s o f E c o s ys te m s & B io d iv e rs ity TEEB FOR POLICY MAKERS SUMMARY: RESPONDING TO THE VALUE OF NATURE
- 48. MELTING PERMAFROST COAL MINING COALPLANTS CROP BURNING OIL PRODUCTION FOREST BURNING LAND TRANSPORTATION LANDFILLS FERTILIZATION INDUSTRIAL AGRICULTURE INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES Where Do Greenhouse Gases Come From?
- 49. Tropospheric CO2 July 2003 363 CO2Concentration PPMV 386 Source: NASA/JPL
- 50. Tropospheric CO2 July 2008 363 CO2Concentration PPMV 386 Source: NASA/JPL
- 51. CO2Concentration CO2(ppmv) 400 Source: National ClimaticData Center/NOAA 320 340 360 380 300 180 200 220 240 260 280 2012 CO2 Concentration: 400 ppm Temp.inF° 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Age (years BP)
- 52. Jim Hansen Director ofNASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies “The last time CO2 was as high as today, sea level was higher by at least 15 meters”
- 53. Source: National ClimaticData Center/NOAA 2012 CO2 Concentration: 400 ppm CO2Concentration CO2(ppmv) 400 320 340 360 380 300 180 200 220 240 260 280 Temp.inF° 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Age (years BP)
- 54. Source: National ClimaticData Center/NOAA After 35 more years at the current rate of increase CO2Concentration CO2(ppmv) 400 320 340 360 380 300 180 200 220 240 260 280 Temp.inF° 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Age (years BP) 420 440 460 480 500 520 540 560 580 600
- 56.
- 57.
- 58.
- 60. © Bryon andCherry Alexander
- 61. Photo courtesy ofPaul Grabhorn/ACIA
- 62. Photo credit: VladimirLightovsky, University of Alaska Fairbanks
- 63. Source: University ofAlaska - Fairbanks/INE, 2007
- 64. Source: University ofAlaska - Fairbanks/INE, 2007
- 68.
- 69.
- 70. 1880 – 2010 -0.5 -0.25 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 AnomalyRelativeto1901–2000Mean(°C) 18801900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2010 Source: National Climatic Data Center; NOAA
- 71. Change in AnnualGlobal Temperature 1880 – 2010 -0.5 -0.25 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 AnomalyRelativeto1901–2000Mean(°C) 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2010 Source: National Climatic Data Center; NOAA
- 72. 1950 1960 19701980 1990 2000 Source: Alexander, L. V., et al., Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D05109, doi:10.1029/2005JD006290, 2006 © 2006 American Geophysical Union. Reproduced by permission of American Geophysical Union. 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 Worldwide
- 73. 1950 1960 19701980 1990 2000 Increase in Heavy Precipitation Days Source: Alexander, L. V., et al., Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D05109, doi:10.1029/2005JD006290, 2006 © 2006 American Geophysical Union. Reproduced by permission of American Geophysical Union. 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 Worldwide
- 74. Source: Oak RidgeNational Laboratory, National Center for Computational Sciences As temperatures increase, the oceans evaporate more moisture into the sky
- 75. Photo: AP Photo/LoriMehmen Orchard, Iowa June 10, 2008
- 76. © 2010 SeanR. Heavey
- 77. “The only plausibleexplanation for the rise in weather-related catastrophes is climate change.” Munich Re One of the two largest reinsurance companies in the world September 27, 2010
- 79.
- 82. Upsala Gletsjer 1928 2004 Argentina Photo: ©Greenpeace/De Agostini/Beltra
- 83. Portage Gletsjer 1914 2004 Alaska Photos:NOAA Photo Collection and Gary Braasch – WorldViewOfGlobalWarming.org
- 84. Rhone Glacier © Gesellschaft fueroekologische Forschung
- 85. Rhone Glacier © Gesellschaft fueroekologische Forschung
- 86. All of thisis now, and with ‘only’ 0.8 °C
- 87. “Climate change hasalready held back global development. It is already a significant cost to the world economy, while inaction on climate change can be considered one of the leading global causes of death.” ClimateVulnerableForum CLIMATEVULNERABILITYMONITORA GUIDE TO THE COLD CALCULUS OF A HOT PLANET2ND EDITION CLIMATEVULNERABILITYMONITORAGUIDETOTHECOLDCALCULUSOFAHOTPLANET
- 88. 400.000 climate change related deaths/year ClimateVulnerableForum CLIMATEVULNERABILITYMONITORAGUIDE TO THE COLD CALCULUS OF A HOT PLANET2ND EDITION CLIMATEVULNERABILITYMONITORAGUIDETOTHECOLDCALCULUSOFAHOTPLANET 1.200 bn $ climate and carbon related losses/year (2011)
- 89. Jim Hansen Director ofNASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies “We are just now experiencing the full effect of CO2 emitted until 1980s”
- 90. CO2Concentration CO2(ppmv) 400 Source: National ClimaticData Center/NOAA 320 340 360 380 300 180 200 220 240 260 280 2012 CO2 Concentration: 400 ppm Temp.inF° 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Age (years BP)
- 91. Source: National ClimaticData Center/NOAA 2012 CO2 Concentration: 400 ppm CO2Concentration CO2(ppmv) 400 320 340 360 380 300 180 200 220 240 260 280 Temp.inF° 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Age (years BP)
- 92. Source: National ClimaticData Center/NOAA After 35 more years at the current rate of increase CO2Concentration CO2(ppmv) 400 320 340 360 380 300 180 200 220 240 260 280 Temp.inF° 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Age (years BP) 420 440 460 480 500 520 540 560 580 600
- 93. Risk of coastalflooding Millions at risk in 2080s 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1,0°C 1,5°C 2,0°C 2,5°C 3,0°C Hunger,malaria,flooding(millionpeopleatrisk) Risk of hunger watershortage(millionpeopleatrisk) Global temperature increase above pre-industrial (°C) Risk of malaria
- 94. Risk of watershortage Risk of coastal flooding Millions at risk in 2080s 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1,0°C 1,5°C 2,0°C 2,5°C 3,0°C Hunger,malaria,flooding(millionpeopleatrisk) Risk of hunger watershortage(millionpeopleatrisk) Global temperature increase above pre-industrial (°C) Risk of malaria
- 96.
- 97. All water on earth Allatmosphere on earth
- 98.
- 100. Unburnable Carbon – Arethe world’s financial markets carrying a carbon bubble?
- 101. You want meto leave it down here? May 4th 2013 | From the print edition Energy firms and climate change Unburnable fuel Either governments are not serious about climate change or fossil-fuel firms are overvalued MARKETS can misprice risk, as investors in subprime mortgages discovered in 2008. Several recent reports suggest that markets are now overlooking the risk of “unburnable carbon”. The share prices of oil, gas and coal companies depend in part on their reserves. The more fossil fuels a firm has underground, the more valuable its shares. But what if some of those reserves can never be dug up and burned? If governments were determined to implement their climate policies, a lot of that carbon would have to be left in the ground, says Carbon Tracker, a non-profit organisation, and the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change, part of the London School of Economics. Their analysis starts by estimating the amount of carbon dioxide that could be put into the TweetTweet 575 Adver Co E- Rec Like 2.4k Digital & mobile Events Topics A-Z Newsletters Jobs Search Register SubscribeLog in World politics Business & finance Economics Science & technology Culture Blogs Debate & discuss Audio & video Print edition You want me to leave it down here? May 4th 2013 | From the print edition Energy firms and climate change Unburnable fuel Either governments are not serious about climate change or fossil-fuel firms are overvalued MARKETS can misprice risk, as investors in subprime mortgages discovered in 2008. Several recent reports suggest that markets are now overlooking the risk of “unburnable carbon”. The share prices of oil, gas and coal companies depend in part on their reserves. The more fossil fuels a firm has underground, the more valuable its shares. But what if some of those reserves can never be dug up and burned? If governments were determined to implement their climate policies, a lot of that carbon would have to be left in the ground, says Carbon Tracker, a non-profit organisation, and the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change, part of the London School of Economics. Their analysis starts by estimating the amount of carbon dioxide that could be put into the TweetTweet 575 Advertisement Comment (143) Print E-mail Reprints & permissions Recent Activity Otherwordly comforts 25 people recommended this. Gastronauts on Mars 18 people recommended this. In God Some Trust 573 people recommended this. Horribly rotten, comically stupid 339 people recommended this. Like 2.4k
- 102. Unburnable Carbon –Are the world’s financial markets carrying a carbon bubble? CHINA Total GtCO2 67.46 Coal 58.69 Oil 8.46 Gas 0.31 RUSSIA Total GtCO2 252.98 Coal 160.84 Oil 75.39 Gas 16.75 USA Total GtCO2 156.49 Oil 111.68 Coal 33.83 Gas 10.98 UK Total GtCO2 105.5 Oil 51.52 Coal 49.35 Gas 4.63 CANADA Total GtCO2 27.88 Oil 19.95 Coal 6.74 Gas 1.19 AUSTRALIA Total GtCO2 21.97 Coal 18.72 Oil 2.70 Gas 0.55 INDIA Total GtCO2 12.63 Coal 12.28 Gas 0.19 Gas 0.53 ITALY Total GtCO2 8.04 Oil 7.51 BRAZIL Total GtCO2 14.63 Oil 11.45 Coal 3.01 Gas 0.17 FRANCE Total GtCO2 18.24 Oil 17.07 Gas 1.17 JAPAN Total GtCO2 11.03 Coal 8.42 Oil 2.44 Oil 0.16 Gas 0.17 SOUTH AFRICA Total GtCO2 17.96 Coal 17.96 10 | Country Coal Oil Gas Total INDONESIA 5.15 - - 5.15 GREECE 4.56 - - 4.56 SPAIN - 2.96 0.29 3.25 SINGAPORE 3.21 - - 3.21 THAILAND 2.55 0.33 0.12 3.0 NORWAY - 2.23 0.25 2.48 GERMANY 1.94 - 0.05 1.99 ARGENTINA - 1.68 0.12 1.8 KOREA - 1.56 - 1.56 AUSTRIA - 1.02 0.06 1.08 CZECH REPUBLIC 1.07 - - 1.07 NETHERLANDS 0.62 - - 0.62 SWEDEN - 0.47 0.00 0.47 COLOMBIA - 0.35 0.01 0.36 MEXICO 0.26 - - 0.26 HUNGARY - 0.19 0.01 0.2 CROATIA - 0.17 - 0.17 Distribution of fossil fuel reserves between stock exchanges Fig.4 CHINA Total GtCO2 67.46 Coal 58.69 Oil 8.46 Gas 0.31 RUSSIA Total GtCO2 252.98 Coal 160.84 Oil 75.39 Gas 16.75 USA Total GtCO2 156.49 Oil 111.68 Coal 33.83 Gas 10.98 UK Total GtCO2 105.5 Oil 51.52 Coal 49.35 Gas 4.63 CANADA Total GtCO2 27.88 Oil 19.95 Coal 6.74 Gas 1.19 AUSTRALIA Total GtCO2 21.97 Coal 18.72 Oil 2.70 Gas 0.55 INDIA Total GtCO2 12.63 Coal 12.28 Gas 0.19 Gas 0.53 ITALY Total GtCO2 8.04 Oil 7.51 BRAZIL Total GtCO2 14.63 Oil 11.45 Coal 3.01 Gas 0.17 FRANCE Total GtCO2 18.24 Oil 17.07 Gas 1.17 JAPAN Total GtCO2 11.03 Coal 8.42 Oil 2.44 Oil 0.16 Gas 0.17 SOUTH AFRICA Total GtCO2 17.96 Coal 17.96 | 11
- 103. ... there isan alternative: invest in our future, in ways that help us to address simultaneously the problems of global warming, global inequality and poverty, and the necessity of structural change. —Joseph Stiglitz
- 105. USA Russia BelgiumE.U. China India Target 0 4 8 12 16 20 17.3 12.8 10.0 7.5 7.2 1.6 1.2 The global challenge is immense tonCO2e/person*year -90 % by 2050
- 106.
- 107. Multi-actor business models GovernmentCompanies Consumer Citizens
- 108. From Dan Esty“Green to Gold” short term (more certain) long term (less certain) Boost upside Reduce downside Revenues Intangibles Costs Risks
- 109. “European Heads ofState (...) commit at least 20% of the entire EU budget from 2014-2020 to climate-related spending.” 8 feb 2013 Connie Hedegaard, European Commissioner for Climate Action
- 110. 80% DECARBONIZATION OVERALLMEANS NEARLY FULL DECARBONIZATION IN POWER, ROAD TRANSPORT AND BUILDINGS 2
- 112. “The purpose ofthe corporation needs to be redefined as creating shared value. Creating economic value in way that also creates value for society.” Michael Porter Harvard Business School
- 114. “In business, wehave spent years manufacturing demand, while missing the most important demand of all.” Michael Porter Harvard Business School
- 115.
- 116.
- 117. 4 STRATEGIES 1.Radical naturalresource efficacy 2.Biomimetic production 3.Solutions economy 4.Reinvest in natural capital www.natcap.org Natural Capitalism
- 118. From the DrivepowerTechnology Atlas. Tunneling through the cost barrier FACTOR 10 improvement at lower initial cost Pipes Larger diameter; straight layoutLarger diameter; straight layoutLarger diameter; straight layout Pump specs. Smaller pumps and motorsSmaller pumps and motorsSmaller pumps and motors Capital investment Lower than original designLower than original designLower than original design Pumping power (hp) before: 95 after: 7 saving: 93% -90 %
- 119. Tunneling through thecost barrier kWh/m2*jaarEnergieverbruik. kWh/m2*jaar 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Energieverbruik Meerinvestering Totale kost = energieverbruik + meerinvestering Specific space heating demand [kWh/m2 * year] Totalcost,amortizedover30year[€/m2*year] Total cost = energy cost + construction cost Peak heating load < 10 W/m2 --> ventilation system can be used for space heating. Investing in a heating system is no longer required, and construction cost goes down. construction costs rise (better insulation, windows, equipement, workmanship, etc.) in order to reduce heating demand energy costs rise with heating demand
- 120. Parans lighting system Opticalfibres transporting energy instead of data
- 125. Exterior insulation forexisting buildings UV / rain / graffiti / impact resistant breathable building “skin”
- 133. ENERGY RETROFIT OF144 HOUSES (KERKRADE, NL) 120 kWh/m2*j 25 kWh/m2*j• Modular prefab elements • 8 days/house • Inhabitants stay in house
- 134. Kingspan - integratedroof elements Interior finish, insulation, airtightness, structure, weatherproofing, PV
- 135. Tony Malkin, ceoEmpire State Building
- 136. © Futureproofed factor10 project • April 2011 30 ive'new'equipment'or'controls. ology s source: Empire State Building esbsuistanability.org 30.000 ft
- 137. © Futureproofed factor10 project • April 2011 source: Empire State Building esbsuistanability.org Project Incremental cost Annual energy savings Daylighting, lighting, plugs Radiative barrier Windows Chiller plant retrofit Air handling units Power generation Demand control ventilation Tenant energy management Direct digital controls 8400 941 2700 190 4000 410 -17300 675 2400 702 7000 320 (included above) 117 365 396 5600 741 Totals 13165 4172
- 138. © Futureproofed factor10 project • April 2011A landmark sustainability program for the Empire State Building 1 A landmark sustainability program for the Empire State Building A model for optimizing energy efficiency, sustainable practices, operating expenses and long-term value in existing buildings Efforts to make buildings more environmentally sustainable have produced hundreds of millions of square feet of greener office space. But tens of billions of square feet remain in office buildings worldwide for which owners have made little or no progress in the areas of energy efficiency and sustainability. Owners of multi-tenant buildings, which comprise the bulk of office space, are primarily motivated by return on investment. To justify the costs associated with energy efficiency retrofits, owners must be convinced that the investment will be repaid by some combination of reduced operating expenses, higher rental rates and greater occupancy levels. The percentage of tenants willing to pay higher overall occupancy costs for green space is not large, and tenants that greatly value sustainability gravitate towards newer buildings that have been designed and built to higher energy and environmental standards. In general, the incremental cost of retrofitting older buildings to achieve improved energy perfromance is more expensive than the incremental cost of achieving the same performance in a new building. This context underscores the extraordinary nature of the commitment that Anthony E. Malkin of Empire State Building Company has made to establish the Empire State Building as one of the most energy efficient buildings in New York City, and arguably the world’s most environmentally conscious office tower built before World War II. Just as extraordinary as Malkin’s commitment to retrofitting the Empire State Building was his decision to make the process transparent so that other building owners–particularly those with pre-WWII or landmark properties–would have an example to follow in pursuing their own green projects. Partner companies 5 Energy- efficiency ideas vetted 60+ Final projects recommended 8 Iterative design process 8mos. Annual energy savings $4.4M Energy reduction 38% A landmark sustainability program for the Empire State Building 30.000 ft
- 139. © Futureproofed factor10 project • April 2011 0 25 50 75 100 Before Financing After Energy performance contracting Energy cost Retrofit cost 30.000 ft
- 140. © Futureproofed factor10 project • April 2011source: Empire State Building esbsuistanability.org 30.000 ft
- 141. example- Storytelling NuageVert Helsinki Continuous process of visualising, inspiring with gamification element. Allowing for broader media-support.
- 142.
- 143. Mario Fleurinck, ceoMelotte
- 144. From globalized analogproduction to direct digital local production Superior properties with dramatically reduced time, costs, carbon and resource use. MELOTTE
- 146. Production process Melotte- green mix 129 0.051 0.127 0.178 0.02 0.016 0.037 0.005 Alloy Supplies Electricity Fu Classical production process (Pt) Production process Melotte - gray electricity (Pt) Production process Melotte - green mix (Pt) factor 7
- 148. Bus Rapid Transit(BRT) Curitiba, Brazil + 83 cities world wide Metro-like efficiency. Bus-like investment.
- 149. Bus Rapid Transit(BRT) Curitiba, Brazil + 83 cities world wide Protected shelter, easy acces, with sale and validation of tickets
- 150. Bus Rapid Transit(BRT) Curitiba, Brazil + 83 cities world wide Rapid, easy access to and from busses
- 151. Bus Rapid Transit(BRT) Curitiba, Brazil + 83 cities world wide Reserved bus-lanes. High frequency in peak hours.
- 152. BRT Curitiba • 2.2m inhabitants • 70% use BRT • 28 % car drivers • Fuel/person 30% lower
- 153. “Who killed theelectric car”
- 154. Tesla Roadster more than20 million real world kms
- 155. 45 g CO2/km,well to wheel, grey electricity 350 km radius 0 - 100 km/h: 3.7 s 0 g CO2/km, well to wheel, green electricity Tesla Roadster more than 20 million real world kms
- 158. 515 km radius 4.4 s 0-100km/h 45 g CO2/km grey 5 + 2 adults kids Pure electric vehicles with superior performance & increased convenience Accelerating transition to increasingly affordable electric mobility. TESLA 0 g CO2/km green Model S
- 159. Elon Musk, ceoTesla
- 160.
- 164.
- 169. 4 STRATEGIES 1.Radical naturalresource efficacy 2.Biomimetic, closed loop production 3.Solutions economy 4.Reinvest in natural capital www.natcap.org Natural Capitalism
- 173.
- 174. !"!!!!!!!!! #$%&'()*$+!$,!-!*./+'()$0* +($%$)%++/$&.*&"2)%#)&-")3.*4-$)*50'"6)$-07$)&-*&)!"#$$%&'()#%*+,-$+.*+/% ):4/.;-*$")01)"+";&.%;%&()%#)20)#0&-%#3)$;"#*.%0<= > !"#$%&'(& !"#$%&'()*+,(!'$-)./#)+'&",#0 !"#$%&')&!"#$%&'()*1($)2(./'$-0 !"#$%&'$'%()#*'++',-)&.-/# 0.&1,-)$,-%#-% 2',/#-#)3&.$%',- 0.",&'$#)4."5# !"#$%&'$(")#*+$'#,$- 6.%#&'.")&#$57#&.%',- #.#&!)($)-&##$/(8!#)-%!)7'.'-%.'($ 12!"#$%&%'%&()*#*+($%$ !"#$%&'(& !"#$%&'()*+,(!'$-)./#)+'&",#0 !"#$%&')& !"#$%&'()*1($)2(./'$-0 !2! carbon!footprint 29 7,1!Mton 3,4!Mton Materials CH4 3,2!Mton 12,9!Mton 16,1!Mton CH4 3,2!Mton 7,1!Mton 3,4!Mton 2,4!Mton 16,1!Mton WtE Materials 3,2!Mton 16,1!Mton scenario:!Do!Nothing scenario:!Closing!the!Circle =! natural!! resources output! scenario!CtC output! scenario!DN +!!!input! market image&16& balance!between!scenarion!do¬hing!and!closing&the&circle!
- 175. P+CIRCULAIREECONOMIE 4 Zesgeda 1 Resten tapijt,van nylon. 2 Hetvezel uit tapijt (fluff),losgemaakt van de bitumen ondergrond. 3 Herwonnen nylon teruggebracht tot de oervorm:caprolactam. daanteve 4 Gerecycled nylon als nieuw garen Econyl voor tapijtindustrie.
- 176. Zesgeda 3 Herwonnen nylon teruggebrachttot de oervorm:caprolactam. 5 VAN GRONDSTOF TOT GRONDSTOF daanteverwisselingen 4 Gerecycled nylon als nieuw garen Econyl voor tapijtindustrie. 5 Garen tot een superdunne mat geweven, met een minimum aan materiaal. 6 Nieuw product:Biosfera van InterfaceFLOR, op dit moment de duurzaamste vloertegel.
- 178. CO2 as aMonomer for Polymer Synthesis (http://bioplastique.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/bayer_logo.jpg) (http://bioplastique.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/logo_main.jpg) (http://bioplastique.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/banner-cworld- logo.png) The low cost and low toxicity of CO2 make it an attractive industrial chemical reagent, and the utility of CO2 is dramatically illustrated by the fact that millions of tons of CO2 are consumed per year in the industrial production of urea. Other methods for using CO2 as a practical carbon feedstock are being aggressively investigated, and one of the most intensely studied processes involves the use of CO2 in the synthesis of polymers, especially polycarbonates and polyurethanes. The current industrial synthesis of those materials is primarily based on the condensation of highly toxic phosgene and aromatic or aliphatic diols. Because CO2 would provide a less expensive, less toxic alternative to phosgene, considerable effort has gone into developing those CO2-based synthesis .
- 179. Surface Cleaning Solutions DryCleaning Solutions Surface Cleaning Solutions Dry Cleaning Solutions Satisfying High Industry Requirements Customers demand high quality, cost effective results that comply with regulatory and environmental requirements. The SAFE-TAINER™ System is a sustainable closed-loop solution for: Dry cleaning Surface cleaning Dow branded chlorinated and non-chlorinated solvents are supplied and the waste is returned for recycling in the SAFE-TAINER™ System. Solutions and Applications ABOUT US SOLUTIONS & APPLICATIONS NEWS & MEDIA DOWNLOADS & LINKS WHERE TO BUY CONTACT US MY.WEBSERVICE SAFECHEM Europe Home Privacy Statement | Terms of Use | Accessibility Statement | Site Map Copyright © The Dow Chemical Company (1995-2013). All Rights Reserved. ®™* Trademark of The Dow Chemical Company ("Dow") or an affiliated company of Dow ®Responsible Care is a registered service mark of the American Chemistry Council Europe (Change to North America) Search SAFECHEM Closed-Loop Solutions
- 180. 4 STRATEGIES 1.Radical naturalresource efficacy 2.Biomimetic, closed loop production 3.Solutions economy 4.Reinvest in natural capital www.natcap.org Natural Capitalism
- 181. Industries & Applications Solvents SAFE-TAINER™ System ServiceElements COMPLEASE™ Chemical Leasing Products & Services Service Alliance CHEMAWARE™ Knowledge Services Testimonials Surface Cleaning Solutions Dry Cleaning Solutions COMPLEASE™ is an innovative offering for high quality cleaning requirements of our customers. At the same time it supports customer efforts regarding environmental responsibility. COMPLEASE™ combines the full SAFECHEM surface cleaning solution optionally with high performance cleaning equipment for a fixed monthly leasing fee. The flexibility of the available technical parameters allows continuous cleaning process optimisation. Customers benefit from improved cleaning processes and results, cost transparency and greater economic value. Further information COMPLEASE™ Chemical Leasing Information Folder Individual Complete Solution for Quality Cleaning in Line with Environmental Requirements COMPLEASE™ – Chemical Leasing ABOUT US SOLUTIONS & APPLICATIONS NEWS & MEDIA DOWNLOADS & LINKS WHERE TO BUY CONTACT US MY.WEBSERVICE SAFECHEM Europe Home : Surface Cleaning Solutions : Products & Services : COMPLEASE™ Chemical Leasing Europe (Change to North America) Search SAFECHEM Full Package
- 182.
- 184. 4 STRATEGIES 1.Radical naturalresource efficacy 2.Biomimetic, closed loop production 3.Solutions economy 4.Reinvest in natural capital www.natcap.org Natural Capitalism
- 188.
- 190. Intensief groen 17.000helft van d Extensief groen 45.500 21.000 7.467 17.000 bos wadi en ta helft ext. tu 13.033 17.500 45.500 17.000 7.000 Verharde rijweg Intensief beheerd groen Extensief beheerd groen Bebouwde oppervlakte Onverharde rijweg Verharde rijweg Intensief beheerd groen Extensief beheerd groen Bebouwde oppervlakte Onverharde rijweg afbeelding 5 Verdeling van de oppervlaktes in een Ecovil- lage, in m2 Verharde rijw Intensief beh Extensief be Bebouwde o Onverharde Verharde rijw Intensief beh Extensief be Bebouwde o Onverharde Ecovillages levenscyclus analyse: Vergelijking landgebruik Ecovillages12 17.500 69.950 22.050 Verharde rijweg Intensief beheerd groen Extensief beheerd groen Bebouwde oppervlakte Onverharde rijweg afbeelding 5 Verdeling van de oppervlaktes in een Ecovil- lage, in m2 afbeelding 6 Verdeling van de oppervlaktes in een traditio- nele verkaveling, in m2 Verharde rijweg Intensief beheerd groen Extensief beheerd groen Bebouwde oppervlakte Onverharde rijweg Verharde rijweg Intensief beheerd groen Extensief beheerd groen Bebouwde oppervlakte Onverharde rijweg Traditionele wijk Ecovillage Verdeling oppervlaktes (m2) Ecovillage-Levenscyclusanalyse woonwijk, inclusief con- an de totale oppervlakte de helft van de tuinen in os): onder extensief be- eld in bosreservaten) als amenstelling en humus- ordert de biodiversiteit ieve invloed op ecosys- van extensief beheer zijn den van exoten. Maaien, rmen van intensief be- n houdt rekening met de er natuur en aan het her- gekozen voor planten die ndigheden. De voorkeur ast is er ook plaats voor vestigen) n ecologi- smiddelen minimum . afbeelding 3 Bovenaanzicht van een traditionele verkave- ling Ecovillage-Levenscyclusanalyse incidentele ingrepen die de vegetatiestructuur en -samenstelling en humus- Extensief beheer bevordert de biodiversiteit in een natuurlandschap en heeft zodoende een positieve invloed op ecosys- temen en de diensten die zij leveren. Voorbeelden van extensief beheer zijn het verwijderen van opslag uit een heide of het bestrijden van exoten. Maaien, chopperen, plaggen, dunnen en groepenkap zijn vormen van intensief be- heer. » extensieve tuinen: een ecologische siertuin houdt rekening met de menselijke wensen en behoeften; draagt bij aan meer natuur en aan het her- stel van het landschap. In een ecologische tuin wordt gekozen voor planten die zijn aangepast aan de grondsoort en aan de omstandigheden. De voorkeur gaat uit naar streekeigen bomen en struiken. Daarnaast is er ook plaats voor spontane natuur (plantensoorten die zich spontaan vestigen) en voor insecten, vogels en kleine zoogdieren. In een ecologi- sche tuin gebruikt men geen chemische bestrijdingsmiddelen of kunstmest. Er wordt bovendien gestreefd naar een minimum aan tuinafval en een zuinig energie- en waterverbruik. afbeelding 4 Bovenaanzicht van de Ecovillage in Meche- len afbeelding 3 Bovenaanzicht van een traditionele verkave- ling Extensief groen 45.500 21.000 7.467 17.000 bos wadi en talud helft ext. tuinen 0 geen Verharde rijweg Intensief beheerd groen Extensief beheerd groen Bebouwde oppervlakte Onverharde rijweg Verharde rijweg Intensief beheerd groen Extensief beheerd groen Bebouwde oppervlakte Onverharde rijweg afbeelding 5 Verdeling van de oppervlaktes in een Ecovil- lage, in m2 Verharde rijweg Intensief beheerd groen Extensief beheerd groen Bebouwde oppervlakte Onverharde rijweg Verharde rijweg Intensief beheerd groen
- 193. jks afgelegd inEcovillage < 5 km 1.747.138 Traditionele wijk Ecovillage 1.747.138 km 2.278.582 km Geredenautokilometers/jaar -23% Ecovillages levenscyclus analyse: Vergelijking personenvervoer • Autodelen: Cambio + Autopia • Groene infrastructuur
- 194. Ecovillages levenscyclus analyse: Dienstentransport: 62% minder km’s Ecovillage-Levenscyclusanalyse n Ecovillage - km Traditionele wijk - km chtwagen (vuilnis, 2 x 83 218 telwagen (post, 2 x 83 218 oter (post, 4 x week) 166 437 egd 332 873 afbeelding 9 In een traditionele wijk leggen de diensten (post en vuilnis) per ophaling 2.100m af, in een Ecovillage is dat 800m Traditionele wijk Ecovillage 332 km 873 km geredendienstenkilometers/jaar -62% afbeelding 10 In een Ecovillage leggen de diensten 62% minder kilometers af dan in een traditionele wijk 12 Assumptie Futureproofed 2011, op basis van het grondplan van de Ecovillage Traditionele afvalophaling & postbedeling 2111 m Afvalophaling & postbedeling in Ecovillage 778 m 1/3e a I ( e Traditionele wijk Ecovillage geredendienstenkilom
- 195.
- 197. Ecovillages levenscyclus analyse: Geeninfrastructuur nodig om regenwater op te vangen Ecovillage-Levenscyclusanalyse afbeelding 13 In een Ecovillage verdwijnt de impact van kunstmatige regenwateropvang volledig Traditionele wijk Ecovillage 36.429 m3 Regenwatermetinfrastructuur/jaar 0 m3 - 100% Ecovillage-Levenscyclusanalyse Door dit natuurlijk opvangsysteem wordt de impact van infrastructuur om regenwater te bufferen gereduceerd tot nul. afbeelding 13 In een Ecovillage verdwijnt de impact van kunstmatige regenwateropvang volledig afbeelding 14 Traditionele wijk Ecovillage Regenwatermetinfrastructuur/jaar 0 m3 - 100% • Vermindering hoeveelheid • Hergebruik • Buffering
- 200. - 60% - 92% Ecovillageslevenscyclus analyse: Energieverbruik factor 10 beter
- 201. gebruik, materialen enbouw) iet zichtbaar door cut-off):0,7% chtbaar door cut-off): 0,02% ditionele woonwijk bedraagt unten over 35 jaar. a Analyse van een traditionele wijk (cut-of Weging impacten traditionele wijk
- 202. An (cu (extensief openbaar groenen tuinen). Weging impacten Ecovillage
- 203. Een LCA diede milieu-impact van een Ecovillage en een traditionele wijk meet, stelt ons in staat om een vergelijking te maken tussen de twee types wijken. We stellen vast dat de reductie van de impact van een Ecovillage zich in 90% van de gevallen situeert tussen 41% en 75%, met een gemiddelde en mediaan van 58%. Dat is een verbetering met meer dan een factor twee. - 30% - 58% Ecovillages levenscyclus analyse: Twee keer beter dan traditionele wijk - 58%
- 206. De gemiddelde leeftijdis 48, het gemiddelde jaarlijks inkomen per huishouden be- draagt 3.550 ¤, 51% van de bevolking is vrouwelijk en 6% van de huishoudens heeft een lidmaatschap bij een natuurvereniging. De natuurwaardeverkenner neemt voor deze gegevens, deze oppervlakte en dit natuurtype de volgende regulerende ecosysteemdiensten in rekening: Waarde Nitraatverwijdering via biolo- 19 kg N / jaar 1.437 ¤ / jaar C opslag in bodem, strooi- sellaag en biomassa 5 ton / jaar 987 ¤ / jaar N opslag in bodem 136 ton / jaar 10.065 ¤ / jaar P opslag in biomassa 1 ton / jaar 878 ¤ / jaar stof) 50 kg PM / jaar 1.487 ¤ / jaar Geluidsreductie door bossen 54 dBA met bos 19.488 ¤ / jaar15 TOTAAL 34.342 ¤ / jaar Ecovillages: natuurwaardeverkenner Openbaar groen levert voor 34.000 € / jaar aan ecosysteem diensten
- 207.
- 208. source: Al Gore— “Our choice”
- 209.
- 210. 0 80 160 240 320 400 2007 2010 400 342 (bn$) 400 bn$ Worldwidefossil fuel ‘subsidy’ 2 0 1 1 WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- 211. 0 2 3 5 6 Renewable Fossil 5.6 1.5 bn€ the Netherlands: 4times more ‘subsidy’ for fossil than for renewable energy (Ecofys, 2011)
- 213. 100 GW WindEU • 39 nuclear powerplants • 57 million europeans 27 Sep 2012
- 214.
- 215. Source: Massive Change Newsources of solar income
- 216. BENEFITS OF NORTHAFRICAN SOLAR Both the EU-27 and North Africa will benefit from their introduction into the European Energy grid. 40.000 ft
- 217. High Voltage DCconnects it all
- 218. Roadmap 2050: Apractical guide to a prosperous, low-carbon EuropeRoadmap 2050: A practical guide to a prosperous, low-carbon Europe OMA/AMO Compared to current transmission infrastructure, the requirements for transmission capacity between the regions defined in the technical report are significant. INTER-REGIONAL TRANSMISSION REQUIREMENTS
- 219. Roadmap 2050: Apractical guide to a prosperous, low-carbon Europe OMA/AMORoadmap 2050: A practical guide to a prosperous, low-carbon Europe EU GRID ICONOGRAPHY
- 220. Roadmap 2050: Apractical guide to a prosperous, low-carbon Europe OMA/AMORoadmap 2050: A practical guide to a prosperous, low-carbon Europe
- 221. John Doerr Venture Capitalist(Kleiner Perkins)
- 222. Managing the innovator’sdilemma 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Profit CO2 € NEW RECTICEL € AS IS
- 225. Kodak: world’s firstdigital camera (1975)
- 226.
- 227. You, as professionals, voters, consumers can riseto the occasion and help shape the next industrial revolution.
- 228.
- 229.
- 230. ... and changethe world.
- 232.