SlideShare a Scribd company logo
How COVID19 is changing
the Future of Work
Lan Xuezhao
Founder and Managing Partner,
Basis Set Ventures
Twitter @xuezhao
Basis Set Ventures : Our Mission
Building an enduring legacy to transform the way people work
What is the future of work?
Impact of COVID19 on the way we work
Deskless workers: Supply-chain reimagined
Teams: Everything remote
Founders: The rise of war-time founders
Impact of COVID19 on the way we work
Deskless workers: Supply-chain reimagined
Teams: Everything remote
Founders: The rise of war-time founders
The Rise of War Time Founders
We often judge people based on obvious signals:
WHAT MAKES A
SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER
—
ARE YOU
TECHNICAL?
HAVE YOU EVER DONE
THIS BEFORE? WHICH
SCHOOL
DID YOU
GO TO?
IS IT HARD TO START A
COMPANY AS A
WOMAN?
ARE YOU A SOLO
FOUNDER?
Sometimes we are right, but oftentimes we are not.
People are complex and we tend to like others who are similar to us.
Let’s look at what the data says…
ARE YOU
CHARISMATIC?
We evaluated the the most critical aspects of
what makes a great founder.
AGILE THINKING
“Founder is able to rapidly seek and
incorporate external market signals.”
CONFIDENCE
"Founder shows extreme confidence."
DAY-TO-DAY EFFECTIVENESS
"Founder runs his/her company
effectively day-to-day."
FOUNDER-MARKET FIT
“Founder has an advantage in
his/her market.”
HUMILITY
“Founder shows extreme humility,
whether he/she is confident or not.”
RESULTS-DRIVEN
“When making decisions under
uncertainty, founder tries many possible
solutions quickly and finds the best one.”
QUICK LEARNER
“Founder learns quickly and
doesn’t make the same mistake twice.”
SCRAPPY
“Founder is scrappy and resourceful.”
STORYTELLING
“Founder is able to tell compelling
narratives.”
WHAT MAKES A
SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER
—
We asked early investors, who have followed and supported founders
from the initial stages, to rate founders on several attitudinal traits:
Some are particularly important during war times
AGILE THINKING
“Founder is able to rapidly seek and
incorporate external market signals.”
CONFIDENCE
"Founder shows extreme confidence."
DAY-TO-DAY EFFECTIVENESS
"Founder runs his/her company
effectively day-to-day."
FOUNDER-MARKET FIT
“Founder has an advantage in
his/her market.”
HUMILITY
“Founder shows extreme humility,
whether he/she is confident or not.”
RESULTS-DRIVEN
“When making decisions under
uncertainty, founder tries many possible
solutions quickly and finds the best one.”
QUICK LEARNER
“Founder learns quickly and
doesn’t make the same mistake twice.”
SCRAPPY
“Founder is scrappy and resourceful.”
STORYTELLING
“Founder is able to tell compelling
narratives.”
WHAT MAKES A
SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER
—
We asked early investors, who have followed and supported founders
from the initial stages, to rate founders on several attitudinal traits:
We discovered three archetypes of
successful founders that cluster
around certain characteristics…
Humble
Operator
Exceptional at execution,
extremely humble while
confident in themselves. They are
resourceful and gritty. People
who worked with them before
tend to follow them.
Agile
Visionary
Usually first-time founders, they
are young, visionary, and driven
by a desire for greatness. They
have a unique perspective on the
market they’re going after and an
intuitive sense of what their
customers want. They test and
iterate quickly to incorporate
market signals.
Seasoned
Executive
Experienced older founders, they
often have 5+ years of
management experience and
deep industry expertise. They are
intrinsically motivated to build a
company. They may have started
a company before.
PERCENTAGEIN
OUR DATABASE 18% 10% 27%
WORDSVCS USED
TO DESCRIBE
THEM
DISCIPLINED
FOCUSED
HUMBLE
AMBITIOUS
DILIGENT MODEST
MULTI-FACETED
DELIBERATE
DRIVEN
PROBLEM-SOLVER
BRILLIANT
INTUITIVE
GREAT COMMUNICATOR
MATURE THOUGHTFUL
HIGH CONFIDENCE
KNOWS BUSINESS WELL
RESILIENT
Successful is defined as had an initial public offering (IPO) or large acquisition, substantial follow-on investments, etc.
Passionate
Outsider
Overconfident
Storyteller
Stubborn
Individualist
PERCENTAGEIN
OUR DATABASE 10% 23% 12%
WORDSVCS USED
TO DESCRIBE
THEM
CONDESCENDING
BAD MANAGER
VISIONARY
…as well as three archetypes of
founders who have been struggling.
YOUNG
DRIVEN
RISK-AVERSE
STUBBORN
POOR LISTENER
ROBOTIC
Usually first-time founders, they
are humble and hard-working.
However, they don’t have good
founder-market fit and don’t have
a complementary cofounder to
rectify this gap.
Charismatic, compelling, and
have high confidence. They
are likely to be solo founders
and they are often not
humble.
Slow to adapt to learnings
from the market and not
empathetic to what the
customers want. They are not
good at articulating a
convincing narrative.
Not successful is defined as company shut down, had trouble growing, was acquired for a small amount, etc.
LACKS FOCUS
EARNEST
War-time founders are persistent scrappy and agile thinkers
WHAT MAKES A
SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER
—
“Founders that are doing well started to take this seriously from the very beginning - they did
scenario planning, leaned on advisors and investors for guidance, made quick adjustments to plan
and thoughtful decisions around layoffs that were needed. They also were quick to pivot product
and positioning if they were really adversely impacted. They are typically honest (with themselves
and their team), quick to respond (but not out of fear), fast learners, and inspirational/good with
morale” - Early stage fund GP
“The obvious would be resilience and grit” - Multi-stage fund GP
“Decisive, focused, determined, resourceful, scrappy” - Early stage fund GP
Both types of founders are strong
storytellers, highly confident,
and uniquely advantaged in
their market…
FOUNDER-MARKET
FIT
0.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
1.00
CONFIDENCESTORYTELLING
WHAT MAKES A
SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER
—
Agile Visionary Overconfident Storyteller
AGILE VISIONARIES AND OVERCONFIDENT
STORYTELLERS SHARE SEVERAL TRAITS
Successful storytellers are
also scrappy and agile thinkers.
They execute day-to-day
(Agile Visionaries).
However, when great storytellers
get too enthralled in their own
vision, they can’t adapt to market
needs and often fail to find
product-market-fit (Overconfident
Storytellers).
SCRAPPYAGILE THINKING
WHAT MAKES A
SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER
—
Agile Visionary Overconfident Storyteller
AGILE VISIONARIES AND OVERCONFIDENT
STORYTELLERS DIFFER ON TWO TRAITS
0.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
1.00
WHAT MAKES A
SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER
—
Working hard, that’s the only thing I know better than my competitor.
There are so many more smart people than me here in Silicon Valley. […] If my competitors say, ‘I work eight hours a
day,’then I can work 10 hours.
If you don’t need sleep, I also do not need sleep. Hard work is in my DNA.
— Eric Yuan, Zoom
“”
But for founders who are
humble, scrappy, and gritty…
What else do they need?
WHAT MAKES A
SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER
—
GRIT
0.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
1.00
SCRAPPY AND
RESOURCEFUL
HUMILITY
Humble Operator Passionate Outsider
HUMBLE OPERATORS AND PASSIONATE
OUTSIDERS SHARE SEVERAL TRAITS
When hard work combines with
strong founder-market fit and an
early team that follows them from
a previous company, the
companies tend to take off
(Humble Operators).
Unfortunately, gritty entrepreneurs
still struggle when they do not
have a unique advantage in the
market they are pursuing nor a
way to bridge this gap (Passionate
Outsiders). EARLY TEAM FOLLOWED
FROM PREVIOUS
COMPANY
FOUNDER-MARKET FIT
WHAT MAKES A
SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER
—
Humble Operator Passionate Outsider
0.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
1.00
HUMBLE OPERATORS AND PASSIONATE
OUTSIDERS DIFFER ON TWO TRAITS
Founders who uniquely understand the business will have an advantage
WHAT MAKES A
SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER
—
“This is the point when actually understanding your business matters. For the last ten years, there
are lots of CEOs who could get away having high margin, subscription software businesses and not
really paying attention to every penny. The thing about a downturn is that the pennies actually
matter a lot...” - Early stage fund GP
Impact of COVID19 on the way we work
Deskless workers: Supply-chain reimagined
Teams: Everything remote
Founders: The rise of war-time founders
Everything Remote
Basis Set Ventures Future of Remote models
The Rise Team Productivity Tools in the Cloud
A
A
Company EV/NTM Rev Pre Covid EV/NTM Rev
Zoom 49.9x 29.9x
Datadog 33.4x 21.1x
Bill.com 32.6x 21.5x
Okta 28.6x 19.3x
Atlassian 24.9x 18.7x
Zoom stock price
Example productivity tool performance
Impact of COVID19 on the way we work
Deskless workers: Supply-chain reimagined
Teams: Everything remote
Founders: The rise of war-time founders
Supply-chain Re-imagined
Traditional vs New Supply Chain
Global shipping price has increased 2x+ in the
past weeks
A Wave of New Brokers Have Emerged
Custom is a Key Bottleneck
What are you seeing?

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How Does COVID-19 Change The Future of Work?

  • 1. How COVID19 is changing the Future of Work Lan Xuezhao Founder and Managing Partner, Basis Set Ventures Twitter @xuezhao
  • 2. Basis Set Ventures : Our Mission Building an enduring legacy to transform the way people work
  • 3. What is the future of work?
  • 4. Impact of COVID19 on the way we work Deskless workers: Supply-chain reimagined Teams: Everything remote Founders: The rise of war-time founders
  • 5. Impact of COVID19 on the way we work Deskless workers: Supply-chain reimagined Teams: Everything remote Founders: The rise of war-time founders
  • 6. The Rise of War Time Founders
  • 7. We often judge people based on obvious signals: WHAT MAKES A SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER — ARE YOU TECHNICAL? HAVE YOU EVER DONE THIS BEFORE? WHICH SCHOOL DID YOU GO TO? IS IT HARD TO START A COMPANY AS A WOMAN? ARE YOU A SOLO FOUNDER? Sometimes we are right, but oftentimes we are not. People are complex and we tend to like others who are similar to us. Let’s look at what the data says… ARE YOU CHARISMATIC?
  • 8. We evaluated the the most critical aspects of what makes a great founder. AGILE THINKING “Founder is able to rapidly seek and incorporate external market signals.” CONFIDENCE "Founder shows extreme confidence." DAY-TO-DAY EFFECTIVENESS "Founder runs his/her company effectively day-to-day." FOUNDER-MARKET FIT “Founder has an advantage in his/her market.” HUMILITY “Founder shows extreme humility, whether he/she is confident or not.” RESULTS-DRIVEN “When making decisions under uncertainty, founder tries many possible solutions quickly and finds the best one.” QUICK LEARNER “Founder learns quickly and doesn’t make the same mistake twice.” SCRAPPY “Founder is scrappy and resourceful.” STORYTELLING “Founder is able to tell compelling narratives.” WHAT MAKES A SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER — We asked early investors, who have followed and supported founders from the initial stages, to rate founders on several attitudinal traits:
  • 9. Some are particularly important during war times AGILE THINKING “Founder is able to rapidly seek and incorporate external market signals.” CONFIDENCE "Founder shows extreme confidence." DAY-TO-DAY EFFECTIVENESS "Founder runs his/her company effectively day-to-day." FOUNDER-MARKET FIT “Founder has an advantage in his/her market.” HUMILITY “Founder shows extreme humility, whether he/she is confident or not.” RESULTS-DRIVEN “When making decisions under uncertainty, founder tries many possible solutions quickly and finds the best one.” QUICK LEARNER “Founder learns quickly and doesn’t make the same mistake twice.” SCRAPPY “Founder is scrappy and resourceful.” STORYTELLING “Founder is able to tell compelling narratives.” WHAT MAKES A SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER — We asked early investors, who have followed and supported founders from the initial stages, to rate founders on several attitudinal traits:
  • 10. We discovered three archetypes of successful founders that cluster around certain characteristics… Humble Operator Exceptional at execution, extremely humble while confident in themselves. They are resourceful and gritty. People who worked with them before tend to follow them. Agile Visionary Usually first-time founders, they are young, visionary, and driven by a desire for greatness. They have a unique perspective on the market they’re going after and an intuitive sense of what their customers want. They test and iterate quickly to incorporate market signals. Seasoned Executive Experienced older founders, they often have 5+ years of management experience and deep industry expertise. They are intrinsically motivated to build a company. They may have started a company before. PERCENTAGEIN OUR DATABASE 18% 10% 27% WORDSVCS USED TO DESCRIBE THEM DISCIPLINED FOCUSED HUMBLE AMBITIOUS DILIGENT MODEST MULTI-FACETED DELIBERATE DRIVEN PROBLEM-SOLVER BRILLIANT INTUITIVE GREAT COMMUNICATOR MATURE THOUGHTFUL HIGH CONFIDENCE KNOWS BUSINESS WELL RESILIENT Successful is defined as had an initial public offering (IPO) or large acquisition, substantial follow-on investments, etc.
  • 11. Passionate Outsider Overconfident Storyteller Stubborn Individualist PERCENTAGEIN OUR DATABASE 10% 23% 12% WORDSVCS USED TO DESCRIBE THEM CONDESCENDING BAD MANAGER VISIONARY …as well as three archetypes of founders who have been struggling. YOUNG DRIVEN RISK-AVERSE STUBBORN POOR LISTENER ROBOTIC Usually first-time founders, they are humble and hard-working. However, they don’t have good founder-market fit and don’t have a complementary cofounder to rectify this gap. Charismatic, compelling, and have high confidence. They are likely to be solo founders and they are often not humble. Slow to adapt to learnings from the market and not empathetic to what the customers want. They are not good at articulating a convincing narrative. Not successful is defined as company shut down, had trouble growing, was acquired for a small amount, etc. LACKS FOCUS EARNEST
  • 12. War-time founders are persistent scrappy and agile thinkers WHAT MAKES A SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER — “Founders that are doing well started to take this seriously from the very beginning - they did scenario planning, leaned on advisors and investors for guidance, made quick adjustments to plan and thoughtful decisions around layoffs that were needed. They also were quick to pivot product and positioning if they were really adversely impacted. They are typically honest (with themselves and their team), quick to respond (but not out of fear), fast learners, and inspirational/good with morale” - Early stage fund GP “The obvious would be resilience and grit” - Multi-stage fund GP “Decisive, focused, determined, resourceful, scrappy” - Early stage fund GP
  • 13. Both types of founders are strong storytellers, highly confident, and uniquely advantaged in their market… FOUNDER-MARKET FIT 0.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 1.00 CONFIDENCESTORYTELLING WHAT MAKES A SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER — Agile Visionary Overconfident Storyteller AGILE VISIONARIES AND OVERCONFIDENT STORYTELLERS SHARE SEVERAL TRAITS
  • 14. Successful storytellers are also scrappy and agile thinkers. They execute day-to-day (Agile Visionaries). However, when great storytellers get too enthralled in their own vision, they can’t adapt to market needs and often fail to find product-market-fit (Overconfident Storytellers). SCRAPPYAGILE THINKING WHAT MAKES A SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER — Agile Visionary Overconfident Storyteller AGILE VISIONARIES AND OVERCONFIDENT STORYTELLERS DIFFER ON TWO TRAITS 0.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 1.00
  • 15. WHAT MAKES A SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER — Working hard, that’s the only thing I know better than my competitor. There are so many more smart people than me here in Silicon Valley. […] If my competitors say, ‘I work eight hours a day,’then I can work 10 hours. If you don’t need sleep, I also do not need sleep. Hard work is in my DNA. — Eric Yuan, Zoom “”
  • 16. But for founders who are humble, scrappy, and gritty… What else do they need? WHAT MAKES A SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER — GRIT 0.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 1.00 SCRAPPY AND RESOURCEFUL HUMILITY Humble Operator Passionate Outsider HUMBLE OPERATORS AND PASSIONATE OUTSIDERS SHARE SEVERAL TRAITS
  • 17. When hard work combines with strong founder-market fit and an early team that follows them from a previous company, the companies tend to take off (Humble Operators). Unfortunately, gritty entrepreneurs still struggle when they do not have a unique advantage in the market they are pursuing nor a way to bridge this gap (Passionate Outsiders). EARLY TEAM FOLLOWED FROM PREVIOUS COMPANY FOUNDER-MARKET FIT WHAT MAKES A SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER — Humble Operator Passionate Outsider 0.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 1.00 HUMBLE OPERATORS AND PASSIONATE OUTSIDERS DIFFER ON TWO TRAITS
  • 18. Founders who uniquely understand the business will have an advantage WHAT MAKES A SUCCESSFUL FOUNDER — “This is the point when actually understanding your business matters. For the last ten years, there are lots of CEOs who could get away having high margin, subscription software businesses and not really paying attention to every penny. The thing about a downturn is that the pennies actually matter a lot...” - Early stage fund GP
  • 19.
  • 20. Impact of COVID19 on the way we work Deskless workers: Supply-chain reimagined Teams: Everything remote Founders: The rise of war-time founders
  • 21. Everything Remote Basis Set Ventures Future of Remote models
  • 22. The Rise Team Productivity Tools in the Cloud A A Company EV/NTM Rev Pre Covid EV/NTM Rev Zoom 49.9x 29.9x Datadog 33.4x 21.1x Bill.com 32.6x 21.5x Okta 28.6x 19.3x Atlassian 24.9x 18.7x Zoom stock price Example productivity tool performance
  • 23. Impact of COVID19 on the way we work Deskless workers: Supply-chain reimagined Teams: Everything remote Founders: The rise of war-time founders
  • 25. Traditional vs New Supply Chain
  • 26. Global shipping price has increased 2x+ in the past weeks
  • 27. A Wave of New Brokers Have Emerged
  • 28. Custom is a Key Bottleneck
  • 29. What are you seeing?

Editor's Notes

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