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Hisd 29 Jan 10 Part I
- 1. Futurizing Your Teaching Practice A Partnership between Houston Independent School District & Texas Association of Gifted & Talented & University of Houston A TAGT 6-hour Update
- 2. Metaphors for the Future
- 3. Metaphors for the Future Instruction 1 : Review the 4 metaphors. Determine which metaphor best describes your view of the future.
- 4. Metaphors for the Future Instruction 1 : Review the 4 metaphors. Determine which metaphor best describes your view of the future. Instruction 2 : Own the assigned “metaphor” as the truth. Discuss how you would approach solving the ISSUE. Identify at least one (1) positive and (1) negative aspect of holding this view of the future.
- 6. Metaphors for the Future Frame our View of the Future PRESENT
- 7. Metaphors for the Future Frame our View of the Future PRESENT Influences Outcomes in the Future
- 8. A Reflection Moment … How might I use the metaphors activity or these concepts in my class?
- 9. Bridging history & futures Change Present Change Present Change Present Posit the Role of History 1. understand and give context to the CHANGES in our world 2. create a bridge of explanation between the Past & the Present
- 10. Bridging history & futures Change Future Change Future Change Future Posit the Role of Futures 1. understand and give context to the CHANGES in our world 2. create a bridge of explanation between the Present & the Future
- 11. Making the Connection Change Future Change Future Change Future If history is the bridge between the Past and the Present and if the future is the bridge between the Present and the Future , then the PRESENT is the pivotal context in which we must understand the CHANGES in our world.
- 12. A Reflection Moment … "Change favors the prepared mind." Louis Pasteur But what does “change” look like? Would I know it if I saw it?
- 13. THE LANGUAGE of Change: the crib notes A SOURCE of CHANGE
- 14. THE LANGUAGE of Change: the crib notes A SOURCE of CHANGE
- 16. THE LANGUAGE of Change: the crib notes The LEVELS of CHANGE
- 17. THE LANGUAGE of Change: the crib notes The HORIZON of CHANGE TACTICAL OPERATIONAL STRATEGIC
- 18. THE LANGUAGE of Change: the crib notes The PATTERNS of CHANGE over time linear exponential S-curve bell-curve threshold (jump) Growth Decline
- 19. THE LANGUAGE of Change: the crib notes The EXPERIENCE of CHANGE continuous, incremental, expected
- 20. THE LANGUAGE of Change: the crib notes The EXPERIENCE of CHANGE discontinuous, disruptive, unexpected
- 21. THE LANGUAGE of Change: the crib notes The SPEED of CHANGE [World Record Figure Skating Spin]
- 22. A Reflection Moment … "Change favors the prepared mind." Louis Pasteur OK, so I know how to describe “change.” Would you confuse me with some examples?
- 23. Looking for Change? Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future
- 24. Source of Change for creating the future 1. Images of the Future: symbols, stories, metaphors The Running Man (1987): Reality Game Shows 2001: Space Odyssey (1968): Space Tourism, Videophones Gattaca (1997): Genetic Profiling
- 25. Source of Change for creating the future Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future 1. Images of the Future: symbols, stories, metaphors Brief Discussion : What images of the future are conveyed by children’s comics, books, games, media, by advertisers, by popular films? Your Examples?
- 26. Source of Change for creating the future Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future 1. Images of the Future: symbols, stories, metaphors Brief Discussion : What images of the future are conveyed by children’s comics, books, games, media, by advertisers, by popular films? “ There is a great deal of historical evidence to suggest that a society which loses its identity with posterity and which loses its positive image of the future loses also its capacity to deal with present problems, and soon falls apart (Boulding, 1966).”
- 27. Source of Change for creating the future Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future 2. Every day decisions & actions prime the future. Your examples of priming the future?
- 28. Source of Change for creating the future Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future 2. Every day decisions and actions prime the future, sometimes with a time delay build in . U.S. NATIONAL DEBT CLOCK Your examples time delay examples?
- 29. Source of Change for creating the future Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future 3. Long term trends push through from the past & project direction into the future. Other examples?
- 30. Source of Change for creating the future Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future 4. Cycles as recurring patterns provide indicators of pathways into the future. Other cycle examples?
- 31. Source of Change for creating the future Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future 5. Emerging issues slip slowly from the periphery of society into the mainstream. What rights would a child born as a genetic copy of another have? Source: Microsoft Images . Other “issues” examples?
- 33. Got “Change”? Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future
- 34. Making the Connection Change Future Change Future Change Future If history is the bridge between the Past and the Present and if the future is the bridge between the Present and the Future , then the PRESENT is the pivotal context in which we must understand the CHANGES in our world.
- 35. Given the “potentiality” in the sources of change, decide: is the future single or multiple? Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future
- 36. The Future or Futures? Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future
- 37. A Reflection Moment … What value do I see in helping students study the future?
Editor's Notes
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- 9. Is it a reasonable statement? Does it make sense?
- 10 Is it a reasonable statement? Does it make sense?
- 11. Is it a reasonable statement? Does it make sense?
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- 13. Change from the world is inbound . We have little or no control over it. ENVIRONMENT: Haiti
- 14. Change we ourselves create is outbound attempts to influence the world toward a more preferable future. A President’s STATE of the UNION address
- 15. Change we ourselves create is outbound attempts to influence the world toward a more preferable future.
- 16. Change is manifest at three levels ; the enterprise (individual, organization and community), our immediate transactional environment (the environment we deal with on a regular basis), and the global environment (the world, broadly speaking). Change experienced by individuals , our organizations and communities is ubiquitous, small scale and evolutionary . Change emanating from our immediate environment is generally familiar. We are regularly in touch with our family, friends, and co-workers. Organizations and communities maintain constant contact with customers, suppliers, competitors and regulators. The global environment is the black box of change , often ignored because of distance from the center or because of poor understanding. Unfortunately, the global environment is increasingly the driver of change in our immediate environment. Globally induced change is profound, large scale, revolutionary and long-term . Getting some advanced warning at this level would be a welcome thing.
- 17. Change occurs across three timeframes, called time horizons --short, medium and long-term. Short -term change (often called tactical) is what we deal with everyday. The time horizon is on the order of hours, days and, perhaps, a few weeks . Going to the grocery store, ordering plane tickets for a vacation and fixing the plumbing are all short-term changes. Medium -term change (also called operational) takes longer since it involves change in the processes that we use. The time horizon is on the order of . Getting a new car or changing jobs are medium-term changes. For a company, adopting a new computer system or birthing a new product are medium-term changes. Long -term change (also called strategic) takes the longest. The time horizon requires several years . Paralleling the global environment, long-term strategic change rarely enters our day-to-day thought.
- 18 Growth, peak, decline, trough
- 19. Continuous change as evidence by trends extending over relatively long time periods allows sufficient time for steady adaptation.
- 20. Not so with discontinuous change. It comes abruptly, often unexpectedly. We are surprised; we are not prepared and, therefore, we are risk. No one likes to be surprised by discontinuous change.
- 21. Should our responses / ecology of response patterns we have built up remain the same, if the speed of change increases? Why/not? In relatively stable environment: develop ecology of response routines that have withstood the test of time, grown comfortable with “answers” and stop asking questions; filter out the information that doesn’t fit with our comfortable “perception” In more dynamic, interdependent environment with acceleration in the pace of change, what happens when we hold to old response patterns? Lose sense of control, increased unpredictability Develop new response patterns adapted to accelerating pattern of change: rising levels of uncertainty Attributes: openness to ambiguity, flexibility, refocus from “answer” to adaptive processes that help shape responses,
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- 24. Gattaca (1997): Genetic Profiling; Manned Exploration Minority Report (2002): Display Technology, Self-driving Cars; Precognition; Jet Packs, Iris Scans, E-Paper The Road Warrior (1981): Resource Wars; Flamethrowers The Truman Show (1998): Reality TV; Weather Machines Destination Moon (1950): Realistic Spaceflight, Commercial Interest in Space; Nuke-powered Rockets The Running Man (1987): Reality Game Shows; Video editing Blade Runner (1982): Urban Development; Replicants, Off-world Colonies; Flying Cars Soylent Green (1973): Climate Change; Overpopulation, Industrial Cannibalism; Government sanctioned Suicide Short Circuit (1986): Autonomous Military Ground Robots; Lasers, AI 2001: Space Odyssey (1968): Space Tourism; AI, Manned Space Exploration; Videophones
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- 36. Source: Conway, Maree. (2009). Environmental Scanning…what it is and how to do it. http://www.slideshare.net/mkconway/environmental-scanning-what-it-is- and-how-to-do-it
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