![What strategy might best support teachers who introduce futures into the classroom? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],(Glenn, Jerome C. Futurizing Teaching vs Futures Course , 1972.) Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
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HISD 16 Oct 09 Part II
- 1. Futurizing Your Teaching Practice A Partnership between Houston Independent School District & Texas Association of Gifted & Talented & University of Houston A TAGT 6-hour Update
- 6. Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future Well-rounded method for actively engaging students in the future FUTURES INQUIRY
- 8. Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future FUTURES INQUIRY Well-rounded method for actively engaging students in the future Futures Thinking Principles/Concepts Systems Thinking Principles/Concepts Divergence Thinking Principles/Concepts 1 3 2
- 11. Systems Thinking Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future Question : If A causes B, is it possible that B causes A also? If so, what would that mean? (It’s a “system” relationship not a “cause” relationship.) Neighborhood quality Educational investment Linear thinking is the opposite of systems thinking.
- 17. Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future FUTURES INQUIRY Systems Thinking broadens the scope 1 Futures Inquiry 3 2
- 22. Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future
- 23. Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future
- 30. Divergence Thinking populates the thought space Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future FUTURES INQUIRY Systems Thinking broadens the scope 1 Futures Inquiry 3 2
- 32. The Futures: Expected-Alternative-Preferred
- 36. Developing the Assignment Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future An important objective of the assignment (question or area of interest) should be illuminating the implications of change. The reference period of the assignment (+10, +15, …, +50 years forward) should be inclusive of the decision-making time frame. Gather information about indicators of change from the global environment across disciplines and sources.
- 37. Information about Change - DEGEST Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future D emography covers specific population groups, gender, age, ethnicity, family composition, & public health issues. E conomics includes production, consumption, exchange, finance, business, work and careers, and management. G overnment includes collective decision-making, world affairs, politics, laws, and public policy. E nvironment includes nature, resources, ecosystems, species, habitats and waste. S ociety covers language, beliefs, ethics, lifestyles, values, religion, leisure, culture, and education. T echnology includes manipulation of the physical world, materials, machinery, innovations, scientific discoveries, and their impact. S T E E P
- 40. Example: Economics Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future India, China, Russia to lead the world as US power to fade by 2025 If current trends persist, by 2025 China will have the world’s second largest economy and will be a leading military power . It also could be the largest importer of natural resources and the biggest polluter . ?
- 41. Example: Environment Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ? The number of WORLDS need to meet resource demands.
- 42. Examples: Geo-Politics Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future Wars of Scarcity : More than 1 billion people HUNGRY worldwide: FAO 10/14/09 In 2008, 1.4 billion people lived in "closed basins"--regions where existing WATER cannot meet the agricultural, municipal, and environmental needs for all. This number is expected to grow to 1.8 billion by 2025 . Today, experts consider 21 countries, with a combined population of about 600 million, to be either cropland or freshwater scarce . Owing to continuing population growth, 36 countries, with about 1.4 billion people, are projected to fall into this category by 2025 . ?
- 43. Applying Futures Tools Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future Timelines : visual representations connecting past to present to future facilitates logical conjecture on what might happen moving forward in time Futures Wheel : an opportunity to stretch implications from 1 st order into 2 nd and 3 rd Incasting : an opportunity to create “kernels” for build stories about the future (scenarios)
- 45. Divergence Thinking populates the thought space Futures Thinking deepens the time horizon Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future ↔ Change ↔ Future FUTURES INQUIRY Systems Thinking broadens the scope 1 Futures Inquiry 3 2
- 47. a thought du jour “ We are made wise not by the recollection of the past but by the responsibility for the future. ” George Bernard Shaw Questions? Comments? Concerns?
- 48. Houston Independent School District & Texas Association of Gifted & Talented & University of Houston
Editor's Notes
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- 3 alternative history, possibilities, preferences
- 4 Eliminates the problem of “not thinking beyond the moment.”
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- 6 1 Inquiry: any process that has the aim of augmenting knowledge, resolving doubt, or solving a problem 2 Methodology: The way in which information is found or something is done. The methodology includes the methods, procedures, and techniques used to collect and analyze information. 3 Thinking: an internal mental process that uses data or information as input, integrates that information into previous learned material and the results in either knowledge or nothing. It may occur at any moment including while eating, sleeping or working on an unrelated task. Problem solving, planning, information integration, and analysis are four kinds of thinking.
- 7 1 Inquiry: any process that has the aim of augmenting knowledge, resolving doubt, or solving a problem 2 Methodology: The way in which information is found or something is done. The methodology includes the methods, procedures, and techniques used to collect and analyze information. 3 Thinking: an internal mental process that uses data or information as input, integrates that information into previous learned material and the results in either knowledge or nothing. It may occur at any moment including while eating, sleeping or working on an unrelated task. Problem solving, planning, information integration, and analysis are four kinds of thinking.
- 8 1 Inquiry: any process that has the aim of augmenting knowledge, resolving doubt, or solving a problem 2 Methodology: The way in which information is found or something is done. The methodology includes the methods, procedures, and techniques used to collect and analyze information. 3 Thinking: an internal mental process that uses data or information as input, integrates that information into previous learned material and the results in either knowledge or nothing. It may occur at any moment including while eating, sleeping or working on an unrelated task. Problem solving, planning, information integration, and analysis are four kinds of thinking.
- 9 Senge, Peter. 1990. The Fifth Discipline: The Art and Practice of the Learning Organization)
- 10 EX: Current issues of health care, retirement systems, federal budget, national debt, US dollar’s foreign currency value, economic growth, taxes, environment, educational success, ….
- 11 Source : Leon, Juan Pablo Alure (2008). Systems Thinking: The Key for the Creation of Truly Desired Futures. International Journal of Reality Therapy , XXVIII (1), 16 . Langheim, Richard and Timothy Lucas (1993). K-12 Systems Thinking Standards. Retrieved on 30 July 2009 from http://clexchange.org/search/cle_docsearch.asp?type=Author&searchstring=Richard%20Langheim .
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- 15 Deeper/and wider scope of global interdependencies lead to growing complexity of problems & cascading of impacts.
- 16 Source : Leon, Juan Pablo Alure (2008). Systems Thinking: The Key for the Creation of Truly Desired Futures. International Journal of Reality Therapy , XXVIII (1) , 15-20.
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- 18 Divergent thinking originator J.P. Guilford, psychologist (Source: http://psychology.jrank.org/pages/190/Divergent-Thinking.html )
- 19 Divergent thinking originator J.P. Guilford, psychologist (Source: http://psychology.jrank.org/pages/190/Divergent-Thinking.html )
- 20 Divergent thinking originator J.P. Guilford, psychologist (Source: http://psychology.jrank.org/pages/190/Divergent-Thinking.html )
- 21 Divergent thinking originator J.P. Guilford, psychologist (Source: http://psychology.jrank.org/pages/190/Divergent-Thinking.html )
- 22 Convergent v. divergent thinking in K-12 schools http://www.dangerouslyirrelevant.org/2008/01/convergent-v-di.html Not “all "single answer" problems are abolished. We still have discrete solutions to calculus problems and engineering methodologies, however, with any problems dealing with PEOPLE, creativity does come to play as well as an understanding of people.”
- 23 Convergent v. divergent thinking in K-12 schools http://www.dangerouslyirrelevant.org/2008/01/convergent-v-di.html Not “all "single answer" problems are abolished. We still have discrete solutions to calculus problems and engineering methodologies, however, with any problems dealing with PEOPLE, creativity does come to play as well as an understanding of people.”
- 24 Iterative method: Sidney Parnes: Creative Problem Solving Model Source: http://members.optusnet.com.au/charles57/Creative/Brain/cps.htm The Osborne-Parnes Creative Problem Solving Process Notes from the CPSI 1998 brochure. OF FF PF IF SF AF Objective Finding: Identify Goal, Wish, Challenge What is the goal, wish, or challenge upon which you want to work? Fact Finding: Gather Data What's the situation or background? What are all the facts, questions, data, feelings that are involved. Problem Finding: Clarify the Problem What is the problem that really needs to be focuses on? What is the concern that really needs to be addressed? Idea Finding: Generate Ideas What are all the possible solutions for how to solve the problem? Solution Finding: Select & Strengthen Solutions How can you strengthen the solution? How can you select the solutions to know which one will work best? Acceptance Finding Plan for Action What are all the action steps that need to take place in order to implement your solution?
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- 32 Source: Conway, Maree. (2009). Environmental Scanning…what it is and how to do it. http://www.slideshare.net/mkconway/environmental-scanning-what-it-is- and-how-to-do-it
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- 35 What metaphor might apply?
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- 38 Source : World Population Graphic http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:World_population_(UN).svg
- 39 Source: http://www.shapingtomorrow.com/nav-frameset.cfm?hl=http://www.freshplaza.com/news_detail.asp?id=41127
- 40 Source : www. dni.gov /nic/PDF_ 2025 / 2025 _Global_ Trends _Final_Report.pdf
- 41 Source: http://www.footprintnetwork.org/en/index.php/GFN/page/world_footprint/
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