Gann’s angle was one of the very first concept using the geometric study between price and time for practical trading (Gann, 1935). In spite of the powerful idea behind the Gann’s angle, the chart scaling issue makes the Gann’s angle less practical for traders. In this book, we suggested the alternative approach of establishing the geometric relationship between price and time through probability. We showed how we created the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator using this alternative approach. The Harmonic Volatility Line indicator is not suffering from the chart scaling issue like Gann’s angle does. At the same time, the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator offers many functionality similar to the Gann’s angle. This book introduced how the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator could be used for market forecasting, turning point prediction, supports and resistances for traders in details. In spite of its wonderful features, the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator is still not bullet proof trading system. It requires discipline and knowledge to use for trading like Gann’s angle does. This book was published on behalf of http://algotrading-investment.com. However, the original creation of Harmonic Volatility Line indicator was done by Young Ho Seo after spending years of time on doing empirical research and strategy building in the Forex, Stock and Futures markets.
The document provides an overview of the Square of Nine and Gann Hexagon Chart techniques used in technical analysis. It explains that the Square of Nine can be used to identify potential price targets and turning points by finding numbers that align at specific angles. It then describes how the Hexagon Chart represents the market moving in cycles, with important resistance at angles that correspond to months, years, and decades. Specific angles like 45, 60, 120, 180, and 360 degrees are highlighted as significant. The document aims to illustrate how these techniques can reveal underlying patterns and structure in market movements based on principles of geometry, angles, and time.
This document provides an introduction to a course on technical analysis and professional stock trading. It discusses that the course will teach how to determine market trends, forecast price targets and durations, and successfully day trade. It positions technical analysis as the focus, looking at price and volume data as reflecting all known information, rather than fundamentals. The document contrasts technical analysis and speculation, which can be professionally practiced, with gambling and fundamental analysis. It also references the influential trader W.D. Gann and promises the course will transmit his forecasting methods.
W D GANN TECHNIQUE | Gann SQ 9 | GANN WAVEartoftrading
Hi Guys W D Gann is one of the top class Trader in the world of all time. His Trading principle has very good for making money through stock market.get best W D Gann wave an idea from us to get more profit at online.
The document introduces the RSI indicator strategy for trend reversals on timeframes of 5-15 minutes for currency pairs like EURUSD and GBPUSD. It explains that RSI shows when the price is overbought or oversold, signaling trend reversals back within its 30-70 trading range. It provides instructions on how to set up the RSI indicator on a 1-minute candle chart using a period of 5, and describes buying put options when RSI drops below 70 from overbought conditions or call options when RSI rises above 30 from oversold conditions.
Would you like to learn secrets of price action trading which is used in every day trading by a 15 years trader? Continue reading on to learn real examples of how price action trading works on Forex, stock futures and gold charts!
Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong WayNetpicksTrading
Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong Way
- See more at: http://www.netpicks.com/support-resistance/
Support and resistance trading is a popular technical analysis method of trading. The bad part is that many traders enter trades blindly at these levels without a firm understanding of what they mean.
Learn about trading support and resistance and see if your trading results improve.
- See more at: http://www.netpicks.com/support-resistance/
- Visit our website: http://www.netpicks.com/
- Download the free indicator blueprint: http://www.netpicks.com/blueprint/
- Options Hot List PLUS Training: http://www.netpicks.com/oftbrightbreakthroughs
support, resistance, support and resistance trading, reversals, trend
The document provides an overview of the Square of Nine and Gann Hexagon Chart techniques used in technical analysis. It explains that the Square of Nine can be used to identify potential price targets and turning points by finding numbers that align at specific angles. It then describes how the Hexagon Chart represents the market moving in cycles, with important resistance at angles that correspond to months, years, and decades. Specific angles like 45, 60, 120, 180, and 360 degrees are highlighted as significant. The document aims to illustrate how these techniques can reveal underlying patterns and structure in market movements based on principles of geometry, angles, and time.
This document provides an introduction to a course on technical analysis and professional stock trading. It discusses that the course will teach how to determine market trends, forecast price targets and durations, and successfully day trade. It positions technical analysis as the focus, looking at price and volume data as reflecting all known information, rather than fundamentals. The document contrasts technical analysis and speculation, which can be professionally practiced, with gambling and fundamental analysis. It also references the influential trader W.D. Gann and promises the course will transmit his forecasting methods.
W D GANN TECHNIQUE | Gann SQ 9 | GANN WAVEartoftrading
Hi Guys W D Gann is one of the top class Trader in the world of all time. His Trading principle has very good for making money through stock market.get best W D Gann wave an idea from us to get more profit at online.
The document introduces the RSI indicator strategy for trend reversals on timeframes of 5-15 minutes for currency pairs like EURUSD and GBPUSD. It explains that RSI shows when the price is overbought or oversold, signaling trend reversals back within its 30-70 trading range. It provides instructions on how to set up the RSI indicator on a 1-minute candle chart using a period of 5, and describes buying put options when RSI drops below 70 from overbought conditions or call options when RSI rises above 30 from oversold conditions.
Would you like to learn secrets of price action trading which is used in every day trading by a 15 years trader? Continue reading on to learn real examples of how price action trading works on Forex, stock futures and gold charts!
Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong WayNetpicksTrading
Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong Way
- See more at: http://www.netpicks.com/support-resistance/
Support and resistance trading is a popular technical analysis method of trading. The bad part is that many traders enter trades blindly at these levels without a firm understanding of what they mean.
Learn about trading support and resistance and see if your trading results improve.
- See more at: http://www.netpicks.com/support-resistance/
- Visit our website: http://www.netpicks.com/
- Download the free indicator blueprint: http://www.netpicks.com/blueprint/
- Options Hot List PLUS Training: http://www.netpicks.com/oftbrightbreakthroughs
support, resistance, support and resistance trading, reversals, trend
This document provides an overview of high probability trading setups for the currency market. It discusses the top 10 trading rules developed by the authors from years of observing currency price action. These rules are meant to keep traders grounded and out of harm's way. The document then outlines several high probability trading setups and strategies for both trending and counter-trend environments in the currency market.
This document provides descriptions of 17 candlestick formations that can be used to identify money making opportunities in financial markets. It defines terms like real body, upper/lower shadows, and different types of candlestick lines. Each formation is given a name and brief explanation of when it forms and whether it indicates a bullish or bearish signal. Formations include things like doji lines, engulfing patterns, morning/evening stars, hammers, and tweezers tops and bottoms. The purpose is to introduce common candlestick patterns traders can recognize to potentially profit in trends or reversals.
Technical analysis is the forecasting of future prices based on past price movements. It involves analyzing charts of price, volume, and other data, and applying technical indicators and patterns to identify trends and trading opportunities. The key assumption of technical analysis is that price action discounts everything. It focuses solely on price movements rather than company fundamentals. While technical analysis can provide trading signals, it also has weaknesses like an inability to predict major economic events.
Automated Selection and Robustness for Systematic Trading Strategies by Dr. T...Quantopian
Presented at QuantCon Singapore 2016, Quantopian's quantitative finance and algorithmic trading conference, November 11th.
Even with a wide range of statistical tools available, selection of algorithmic trading strategies can
leave the trader with significant out-of-sample variability. In most cases the final decision making
is still a manual process.
This presentation will show how a combination of statistical methods and machine learning can help to automate strategy selection and boost the robustness of automated trading systems.
1. THE BEST STRATEGIES THAT CAN BE USED WHEN TRADING
2. THE CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER AS APPROACH THE SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE
• THE CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER AS APPROACH THE SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE
• WHEN THE CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER ALONG with THE TREND AND THE LAST CANDLES IS THE LONG WICK CANDLES, IT MEANS THE PRICE POSSIBLY GOING REVERSAL
3. THE CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER AS APPROACH THE SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE
• THE CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER AS APPROACH THE SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE
• WHEN THE CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER ALONG, with THE TREND, IT MEANS THE PRICE POSSIBLY GOING REVERSAL.
4. BULLISH CANDLES STICK ( BULLISH ENGULFING) AND BEARISH CANDLESTICK ( BEARISH ENGULFING)
• ALL THE GREEN CANDLES ALONG THE UPTREND
• THE CANDLES COLOUR CHANGES AT THE SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE LEVEL
• GREEN CANDLES MEANS THE BULLISH PRICE ACTION
• THREE GREEN CANDLES ALONG THE UPTREND, THEN NEXT CANDLES BECOME RED CANDLES AND THE RED CANDLES APPEAR AT THE RESISTANCE
5. ALL THE GREEN CANDLES ALONG THE UPTREND
• THE CANDLES COLOUR CHANGES AT THE SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE LEVEL
• RED CANDLES MEANS THE BEARISH PRICE ACTION
• RED CANDLES ALONG THE DOWNTREND, THEN NEXT CANDLES BECOME GREEN CANDLES AND THE RED CANDLES APPEAR AT THE SUPPORT
6. CANDLES PATTERN THAT WORK IN TRADING
• LONG WICK CANDLES
• INSIDE BAR CANDLES
• MOMENTUM CANDLES
• MULTIPLE CANDLES REJECTION
7. LONG WICK CANDLE
• THE LONG WICK CANDLE IN THE PICTURE REPRESENTS THE SELLERS TRIES TO PUSH THE PRICE DOWN BUT FAILED, SO THE WICK TO STICK OUT.
• AS YOU CAN SEE IN THE PICTURE, IN THE DOWNTREND, THERE HAS THREE RED CANDLES, THEREFORE ONE GREEN CANDLES AND THE GREEN CANDLES REPRESENT THE LONG WICK CANDLES, SO MEANS THE PRICE ACTION GOING REVERSAL.
8. INSIDE BAR CANDLES
• THE HIGH AND LOW OF THE CANDLES IS INSIDE THE HIGH AND LOW OF PREVIOUS CANDLES
• MEANS MOMENTUM LOSS OCCURRING
• AS THE PICTURE BESIDES, SHOW THE PRICE ACTION FAILED TO MAKE HIGHER HIGH
• MEANS THE PRICE ACTION GOING REVERSAL
9. MOMENTUM CANDLES
• THE CANDLE BODY IS BIGGER THAN THE PREVIOUS CANDLE BODY.
• MORE CONFIRMATION FOR THE MARKET
• THE MOMENTUM CANDLES IN THE PICTURE BESIDES SHOW THE MORE CONFIRMATION THE MARKET IS GOING DOWNWARD TREND
10. MULTIPLE CANDLES REJECTION
• MORE THAN ONE CANDLES REJECT THE KEY LEVEL
• SHOW THAT PRICE TRIED OVER AGAIN AND AGAIN TO PUSH TO THE LEVEL BUT FAILED
11. STACK CANDLESTICK PATTERNS TOGETHER
• DIFFERENT CANDLES PATTERNS TOGETHER
• AS THE PICTURE SHOWS HAS THREE DIFFERENT CANDLESTICK PATTERNS, WHICH ARE INSIDE BAR, MOMENTUM AND CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER ALONG THE UPTREND.
12. THANK YOU
Binary Options Trading Strategies | Best Trading Strategies for Binary OptionsSteve Roberts
Binary options trading is popular and can be lucrative but fraught with danger if you don't do it right. In this condensed report about binary options and how to trade them, we explain the top five strategies for trading safely. If you would like to know more about binary options, how to trade them and get a range of tips and hints, check out our site at http://binoptional.com where you can download a free book about binary option trading.
http://www.thechartist.com.au/membership-packages/chart-research.html
Elliot wave rules and guidelines to help us determine high-probability patter position of a market
By www.ProfitableTradingTips.com
Scalping in Day Trading
Traders who engage in rapid momentum trades are often scalping in day trading. These traders make their profit from the difference between bid and ask prices. Even in a flat market traders can profit from scalping in day trading. In order to successfully make a business out of scalping in day trading the trader needs to pay close attention to the market, always be aware of market fundamentals, and keep abreast of technical analysis. Despite the theoretical possibility of trading in an absolutely flat market the price of a stock constantly moves to some degree throughout the trading day. Thus when scalping in day trading one acts as a mini trend trader as well.
In and Out of Positions in a Hurry
There is a rhythm to scalping in day trading and it is fast. Traders seek to profit from the actions of traders to simply take the bid and ask prices of a stock. This strategy guarantees a profit if the trader acts quickly. It can result in losses if the stock price moves too quickly. As an example, Xyz Corporation has a bid price of $10.10 and ask price of $10.15. If the scalper can buy at the bid price and sell at the ask price he gains $0.05 per share, a small amount but a lot if repeated many times throughout the day. However, the market might move lower before he can complete his trade. Let’s say that the stock moves so that the bid price is now $9.90 and the ask price is $9.95. The trader who purchased for $10.10 now needs to sell at $9.95 if he wants to quickly exit his trade. The other choice is to continue the trade in hopes that the market will turn upward and not fall farther. This later course is anathema to scalping in day trading. When scalping a trader is never trying to outguess the market but simply helping to make the market and make repetitive small profits.
The Nature of Bid and Ask Prices
Bid and ask prices are available on markets across the world. By using this price system traders are able to execute trades immediately, so long as there are enough bid prices to match ask prices. The difference between bid and ask prices is called the spread. Gaining the spread on every trade is the goal when scalping in day trading. The ideal scalping trade would be instantaneous. Buy at the low price and sell at the high. Getting in and out in an instant would seem to be the ideal situation if dealing with absolutely static bid and ask prices. However, the market is never static so traders must look to market direction even when scalping in day trading. A successful scalper also engages in trend following in day trading.
Think of the Spread as a Bonus
Scalping in day trading takes advantage of market movement as well as the bid to ask spread. While trend traders use technical analysis to read market sentiment they attempt to ride out a trade to gain the maximum profit.
This document outlines 8 stages of a trader's career, beginning with finding a proven trading system or process, then battling emotions. It describes establishing a trading schedule and understanding one's stats to improve. Later stages involve dealing with broker issues, setbacks from not following early stages, learning to handle market manipulations, understanding asset behavior, and ultimately achieving a high level of market knowledge to consistently profit from trades. The document warns that most traders do not make it past stage 5 and very few reach the final stage of truly understanding the "market's matrix".
This document provides an overview of multibagger stock analysis using relative strength and stage analysis techniques. It discusses screening for stocks with relative strength over 52 weeks above a level of 52-65 compared to benchmarks. Stage analysis techniques are described to identify stocks in basing patterns (Stage 1) that subsequently break out of those patterns and enter an advancing phase (Stage 2). Potential buy points are at the breakout of Stage 1 or new highs. Example charts of stocks like Nahar Poly, Elecon, and PG Electroplast are shown that have increased significantly after moving through these stages.
Candlestick patterns provide technical traders with visual clues about investor sentiment and can signal potential reversals in trend. Some key reversal patterns include the hammer, hanging man, morning star, and evening star formations. Traders watch for these patterns to form at support/resistance levels or trendlines as potential entry signals. While candlesticks don't provide price targets, confirming patterns with technical analysis helps traders identify high probability trade setups. Proper risk management using stop losses is also important when trading candlestick reversal signals.
Técnica de scalping basada en el estocásticoRaul Canessa
Este documento describe una estrategia de scalping basada en el indicador estocástico. Utiliza cinco indicadores técnicos - RSI, MACD, oscilador estocástico, SMA y media móvil ponderada - para generar señales de compra y venta cuando sus valores cumplen ciertas condiciones. La estrategia es de fácil comprensión y puede usarse para operar en diferentes mercados de corto plazo. Se proveen ejemplos y recomendaciones para su implementación.
Successful traders have disciplined habits and trading techniques that separate them from others. The key traits include having a clear objective, using a suitable trading system for their personality and risk tolerance, drawing a plan and strictly executing it, properly sizing positions based on risk level, being willing to accept losses, carefully recording all trades, taking responsibility for their own decisions, maintaining a learning attitude, believing in themselves and their system, periodically reviewing their system, and approaching trading like a game by following rules and strategies without emotional attachment to wins or losses. These traits allow successful traders to remain objective and consistent in their approach.
Join our FREE Forex e-course: http://tradinginsingapore.com/forex-ecourse/
Forex trading for dummies. Lear how to master the markets in just 30 minutes. This free ebook Forex trading for dummies will help you learn how to trade Forex market and become a successful trader.
This document provides an overview of the concepts and techniques used by HU$TLE to analyze markets and identify high probability trade ideas. They take a multi-timeframe approach, using the weekly, daily, 4H, and 15M timeframes. Key aspects covered include types of market structure, supply and demand zones, liquidity, momentum, and trade management. The goal is to combine an understanding of structure across timeframes with other factors to confidently trade with the prevailing trend.
Is your sales team ready to tackle a new fiscal year? Follow The Startup Seller's guide to Sales Planning to ensure you're ready to hit the ground running next year!
This document provides an overview of basic retail math formulas that retailers should know to effectively run their business. It lists 9 essential formulas for calculating cost of goods, retail price, markup, inventory levels, gross margin, inventory turnover, net sales, open to buy, sell through percentage, and stock to sales ratio. Understanding these fundamental retail formulas is important for tasks like counting inventory, managing costs and profits, and planning purchases.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder to measure the magnitude of recent price changes and evaluate whether a stock or asset is overbought or oversold. The RSI is calculated based on average gains and losses over the past 14 periods. Wilder considered the RSI to be indicating an overbought condition when above 70 and oversold below 30. The RSI can remain in overbought territory for extended periods during an uptrend. Divergences between price and RSI can also provide trading signals. Proper testing of a trading plan is important when using RSI to ensure it is fully trusted.
“Forex Trading Strategies” is a complete guide of most popular and widely used strategies in Forex trade. You can read about day trading and its main types, understand the strategies based on market analysis, learn about portfolio and algorithmic trading, and many more. The book represents the ins and outs of each strategy - why and how it is used and how to get profit from trade. It is suitable for all traders who are novice in trade or want to improve their skills. All the strategies classified and explained here are for educational purposes and can be applied by each trader in a different way.
The document provides tips for using a trading journal effectively. It explains that optimistic, pessimistic, and realistic traders can all benefit from keeping a journal to track what trading strategies and patterns have worked best for their style. The journal allows traders to identify the most profitable times of day and setups to focus on. Analyzing past trades in a journal is key to developing a set of rules tailored to each individual trader.
The document is a handbook on technical analysis that covers various technical analysis concepts across 6 chapters. Chapter 1 discusses different types of charts including line charts, bar charts, and candlestick charts. Chapter 2 covers trends, trendlines, channels, and trend reversals. Chapter 3 discusses the importance of volume in technical analysis. Chapter 4 outlines several classical chart patterns including head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, triangles, and flags/pennants. Chapter 5 focuses on candlestick reversal patterns. Chapter 6 examines technical indicators like moving averages, RSI, and ADX. The handbook provides an introduction to key technical analysis concepts and techniques for analyzing market movements and identifying trading opportunities.
Trend lines in charts connect multiple data points to show a directional movement or trend over time. The slope, or steepness, of the trend line indicates the strength of the trend. Trend lines can be used to forecast future values. In Excel, different types of trend lines like linear, logarithmic, polynomial, power, and exponential can be added to a chart and the best fit is determined by the trend line with the highest R-squared value closest to 1. The trend line equation and R-squared value can provide a mathematical relationship to help predict future values based on the trend.
This document provides an overview of high probability trading setups for the currency market. It discusses the top 10 trading rules developed by the authors from years of observing currency price action. These rules are meant to keep traders grounded and out of harm's way. The document then outlines several high probability trading setups and strategies for both trending and counter-trend environments in the currency market.
This document provides descriptions of 17 candlestick formations that can be used to identify money making opportunities in financial markets. It defines terms like real body, upper/lower shadows, and different types of candlestick lines. Each formation is given a name and brief explanation of when it forms and whether it indicates a bullish or bearish signal. Formations include things like doji lines, engulfing patterns, morning/evening stars, hammers, and tweezers tops and bottoms. The purpose is to introduce common candlestick patterns traders can recognize to potentially profit in trends or reversals.
Technical analysis is the forecasting of future prices based on past price movements. It involves analyzing charts of price, volume, and other data, and applying technical indicators and patterns to identify trends and trading opportunities. The key assumption of technical analysis is that price action discounts everything. It focuses solely on price movements rather than company fundamentals. While technical analysis can provide trading signals, it also has weaknesses like an inability to predict major economic events.
Automated Selection and Robustness for Systematic Trading Strategies by Dr. T...Quantopian
Presented at QuantCon Singapore 2016, Quantopian's quantitative finance and algorithmic trading conference, November 11th.
Even with a wide range of statistical tools available, selection of algorithmic trading strategies can
leave the trader with significant out-of-sample variability. In most cases the final decision making
is still a manual process.
This presentation will show how a combination of statistical methods and machine learning can help to automate strategy selection and boost the robustness of automated trading systems.
1. THE BEST STRATEGIES THAT CAN BE USED WHEN TRADING
2. THE CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER AS APPROACH THE SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE
• THE CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER AS APPROACH THE SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE
• WHEN THE CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER ALONG with THE TREND AND THE LAST CANDLES IS THE LONG WICK CANDLES, IT MEANS THE PRICE POSSIBLY GOING REVERSAL
3. THE CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER AS APPROACH THE SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE
• THE CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER AS APPROACH THE SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE
• WHEN THE CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER ALONG, with THE TREND, IT MEANS THE PRICE POSSIBLY GOING REVERSAL.
4. BULLISH CANDLES STICK ( BULLISH ENGULFING) AND BEARISH CANDLESTICK ( BEARISH ENGULFING)
• ALL THE GREEN CANDLES ALONG THE UPTREND
• THE CANDLES COLOUR CHANGES AT THE SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE LEVEL
• GREEN CANDLES MEANS THE BULLISH PRICE ACTION
• THREE GREEN CANDLES ALONG THE UPTREND, THEN NEXT CANDLES BECOME RED CANDLES AND THE RED CANDLES APPEAR AT THE RESISTANCE
5. ALL THE GREEN CANDLES ALONG THE UPTREND
• THE CANDLES COLOUR CHANGES AT THE SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE LEVEL
• RED CANDLES MEANS THE BEARISH PRICE ACTION
• RED CANDLES ALONG THE DOWNTREND, THEN NEXT CANDLES BECOME GREEN CANDLES AND THE RED CANDLES APPEAR AT THE SUPPORT
6. CANDLES PATTERN THAT WORK IN TRADING
• LONG WICK CANDLES
• INSIDE BAR CANDLES
• MOMENTUM CANDLES
• MULTIPLE CANDLES REJECTION
7. LONG WICK CANDLE
• THE LONG WICK CANDLE IN THE PICTURE REPRESENTS THE SELLERS TRIES TO PUSH THE PRICE DOWN BUT FAILED, SO THE WICK TO STICK OUT.
• AS YOU CAN SEE IN THE PICTURE, IN THE DOWNTREND, THERE HAS THREE RED CANDLES, THEREFORE ONE GREEN CANDLES AND THE GREEN CANDLES REPRESENT THE LONG WICK CANDLES, SO MEANS THE PRICE ACTION GOING REVERSAL.
8. INSIDE BAR CANDLES
• THE HIGH AND LOW OF THE CANDLES IS INSIDE THE HIGH AND LOW OF PREVIOUS CANDLES
• MEANS MOMENTUM LOSS OCCURRING
• AS THE PICTURE BESIDES, SHOW THE PRICE ACTION FAILED TO MAKE HIGHER HIGH
• MEANS THE PRICE ACTION GOING REVERSAL
9. MOMENTUM CANDLES
• THE CANDLE BODY IS BIGGER THAN THE PREVIOUS CANDLE BODY.
• MORE CONFIRMATION FOR THE MARKET
• THE MOMENTUM CANDLES IN THE PICTURE BESIDES SHOW THE MORE CONFIRMATION THE MARKET IS GOING DOWNWARD TREND
10. MULTIPLE CANDLES REJECTION
• MORE THAN ONE CANDLES REJECT THE KEY LEVEL
• SHOW THAT PRICE TRIED OVER AGAIN AND AGAIN TO PUSH TO THE LEVEL BUT FAILED
11. STACK CANDLESTICK PATTERNS TOGETHER
• DIFFERENT CANDLES PATTERNS TOGETHER
• AS THE PICTURE SHOWS HAS THREE DIFFERENT CANDLESTICK PATTERNS, WHICH ARE INSIDE BAR, MOMENTUM AND CANDLES GETTING SMALLER AND SMALLER ALONG THE UPTREND.
12. THANK YOU
Binary Options Trading Strategies | Best Trading Strategies for Binary OptionsSteve Roberts
Binary options trading is popular and can be lucrative but fraught with danger if you don't do it right. In this condensed report about binary options and how to trade them, we explain the top five strategies for trading safely. If you would like to know more about binary options, how to trade them and get a range of tips and hints, check out our site at http://binoptional.com where you can download a free book about binary option trading.
http://www.thechartist.com.au/membership-packages/chart-research.html
Elliot wave rules and guidelines to help us determine high-probability patter position of a market
By www.ProfitableTradingTips.com
Scalping in Day Trading
Traders who engage in rapid momentum trades are often scalping in day trading. These traders make their profit from the difference between bid and ask prices. Even in a flat market traders can profit from scalping in day trading. In order to successfully make a business out of scalping in day trading the trader needs to pay close attention to the market, always be aware of market fundamentals, and keep abreast of technical analysis. Despite the theoretical possibility of trading in an absolutely flat market the price of a stock constantly moves to some degree throughout the trading day. Thus when scalping in day trading one acts as a mini trend trader as well.
In and Out of Positions in a Hurry
There is a rhythm to scalping in day trading and it is fast. Traders seek to profit from the actions of traders to simply take the bid and ask prices of a stock. This strategy guarantees a profit if the trader acts quickly. It can result in losses if the stock price moves too quickly. As an example, Xyz Corporation has a bid price of $10.10 and ask price of $10.15. If the scalper can buy at the bid price and sell at the ask price he gains $0.05 per share, a small amount but a lot if repeated many times throughout the day. However, the market might move lower before he can complete his trade. Let’s say that the stock moves so that the bid price is now $9.90 and the ask price is $9.95. The trader who purchased for $10.10 now needs to sell at $9.95 if he wants to quickly exit his trade. The other choice is to continue the trade in hopes that the market will turn upward and not fall farther. This later course is anathema to scalping in day trading. When scalping a trader is never trying to outguess the market but simply helping to make the market and make repetitive small profits.
The Nature of Bid and Ask Prices
Bid and ask prices are available on markets across the world. By using this price system traders are able to execute trades immediately, so long as there are enough bid prices to match ask prices. The difference between bid and ask prices is called the spread. Gaining the spread on every trade is the goal when scalping in day trading. The ideal scalping trade would be instantaneous. Buy at the low price and sell at the high. Getting in and out in an instant would seem to be the ideal situation if dealing with absolutely static bid and ask prices. However, the market is never static so traders must look to market direction even when scalping in day trading. A successful scalper also engages in trend following in day trading.
Think of the Spread as a Bonus
Scalping in day trading takes advantage of market movement as well as the bid to ask spread. While trend traders use technical analysis to read market sentiment they attempt to ride out a trade to gain the maximum profit.
This document outlines 8 stages of a trader's career, beginning with finding a proven trading system or process, then battling emotions. It describes establishing a trading schedule and understanding one's stats to improve. Later stages involve dealing with broker issues, setbacks from not following early stages, learning to handle market manipulations, understanding asset behavior, and ultimately achieving a high level of market knowledge to consistently profit from trades. The document warns that most traders do not make it past stage 5 and very few reach the final stage of truly understanding the "market's matrix".
This document provides an overview of multibagger stock analysis using relative strength and stage analysis techniques. It discusses screening for stocks with relative strength over 52 weeks above a level of 52-65 compared to benchmarks. Stage analysis techniques are described to identify stocks in basing patterns (Stage 1) that subsequently break out of those patterns and enter an advancing phase (Stage 2). Potential buy points are at the breakout of Stage 1 or new highs. Example charts of stocks like Nahar Poly, Elecon, and PG Electroplast are shown that have increased significantly after moving through these stages.
Candlestick patterns provide technical traders with visual clues about investor sentiment and can signal potential reversals in trend. Some key reversal patterns include the hammer, hanging man, morning star, and evening star formations. Traders watch for these patterns to form at support/resistance levels or trendlines as potential entry signals. While candlesticks don't provide price targets, confirming patterns with technical analysis helps traders identify high probability trade setups. Proper risk management using stop losses is also important when trading candlestick reversal signals.
Técnica de scalping basada en el estocásticoRaul Canessa
Este documento describe una estrategia de scalping basada en el indicador estocástico. Utiliza cinco indicadores técnicos - RSI, MACD, oscilador estocástico, SMA y media móvil ponderada - para generar señales de compra y venta cuando sus valores cumplen ciertas condiciones. La estrategia es de fácil comprensión y puede usarse para operar en diferentes mercados de corto plazo. Se proveen ejemplos y recomendaciones para su implementación.
Successful traders have disciplined habits and trading techniques that separate them from others. The key traits include having a clear objective, using a suitable trading system for their personality and risk tolerance, drawing a plan and strictly executing it, properly sizing positions based on risk level, being willing to accept losses, carefully recording all trades, taking responsibility for their own decisions, maintaining a learning attitude, believing in themselves and their system, periodically reviewing their system, and approaching trading like a game by following rules and strategies without emotional attachment to wins or losses. These traits allow successful traders to remain objective and consistent in their approach.
Join our FREE Forex e-course: http://tradinginsingapore.com/forex-ecourse/
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The document is a handbook on technical analysis that covers various technical analysis concepts across 6 chapters. Chapter 1 discusses different types of charts including line charts, bar charts, and candlestick charts. Chapter 2 covers trends, trendlines, channels, and trend reversals. Chapter 3 discusses the importance of volume in technical analysis. Chapter 4 outlines several classical chart patterns including head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, triangles, and flags/pennants. Chapter 5 focuses on candlestick reversal patterns. Chapter 6 examines technical indicators like moving averages, RSI, and ADX. The handbook provides an introduction to key technical analysis concepts and techniques for analyzing market movements and identifying trading opportunities.
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Point and figure charts represent price movements using columns of X's and O's without a time component. Each box represents a specific price change threshold. Various box size settings like percentage or ATR scaling filter out small price fluctuations. Trends are identified by successive X or O columns, with reversals requiring a price move of the reversal amount. Support and resistance levels appear as horizontal rows. A 45-degree trendline can also be drawn. Price targets are estimated using vertical or horizontal box counts.
A fundamental study on Technical AnalysisJay Sadhwani
Technical analysis is the use of historical price and volume data to forecast future price movements. It is based on the assumptions that market prices reflect all known information, that prices trend, and that history repeats itself. There are various chart types used including line charts, bar charts, candlestick charts, and point and figure charts. Key aspects of technical analysis include identifying trends, measuring trend strength, finding low risk entry points, using stop losses, and exiting when trends reverse. Technical analysis focuses on price movements to predict the future, while weaknesses include subjectivity and interpretation of patterns.
This document provides an introduction and overview of the Harmonic Volatility Indicator, a technical analysis indicator for measuring market volatility. It describes how the indicator provides curved support and resistance lines using Fibonacci analysis applied to volatility rather than price. The indicator aims to overcome limitations of other volatility tools like Bollinger Bands by providing a more comprehensive picture of market volatility. It can help identify mature trends that are nearing an end and provides support/resistance levels for trading strategies.
Introduced by W.D. Gann in the early 20th century, Gann Theory remains a timeless approach to trading that continues to fascinate traders and investors alike.
With its unique blend of mathematical analysis and strategic forecasting, Gann Theory offers a comprehensive framework for understanding market movements and making informed trading decisions.
Join us as we delve into the intricacies of Gann Theory and uncover the secrets behind its enduring relevance in the fast-paced world of trading.
For the Price Action and Pattern Analysis, it is important to have good visualization tools. Since we want to find important patterns for our trading, we will need a good size monitor and good visualization software. Of course, you should invest on them as much as you can afford. No single visualization techniques are perfect. They always possess some advantages as well as some disadvantages. Firstly, line chart is the most basic visualization technique for traders. Line is simply drawn by connecting each session’s closing price. For example, 1-hour line chart is simply drawn by connecting the closing price of 1-hour candle. As line chart are produced by connecting two points at the fixed time interval, they can provide a great insight about some regularities in the price series. For this reason, not only traders use the line chart but also many mathematicians use them to visualize the price series data. Line chart is useful when we want to exam some cyclic behaviour like seasonality or any cyclic patterns made up from sine or cosine function. Line chart is also useful when you want to compare multiple price series in one chart. On the other hands, the disadvantage of the line chart is that it does not provide the trading range of each session. In addition, due to the continuously drawn line, it is difficult to see any gap between sessions. In addition, line chart miss some important attributes like highest and lowest prices of each session.
This is my TRT-POV on Further Charting where I discussed Japanese candlesticks and the 3 Important things to remember when using them for trading. I also discussed candlestick addition, candlestick reading and other chart forms such as Point and Figure, Candle Volume,Three Line Break, Renko and Kagi.
A Fibonacci analysis is a popular tool among technical traders. It is based on the Fibonacci sequence numbers identified by Leonardo Fibonacci in the 13th century. The Fibonacci sequence numbers are:
0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89,144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181, 6765, …………………
As the Fibonacci number become large, the constant relationship is established between neighbouring numbers. For example, every time, when we divide the former number by latter: Fn-1/Fn, we will get nearly 0.618 ratio. Likewise, when we divide the latter number by former: Fn/Fn-1, we will get nearly 1.618. These two Fibonacci ratio 0.618 and 1.618 are considered as the Golden Ratio. We can use these Golden ratios to start our Fibonacci analysis. However, many technical traders use additional Fibonacci ratios derived from the Golden ratio. Since the calculation of each Fibonacci ratio is well known, I have listed all the available Fibonacci ratio calculation in Table 6.1.
In fact, Fibonacci pattern analysis in financial trading is extremely popular. As with support and resistance analysis, Fibonacci analysis is probably the most popular technical analysis among traders. There are two important techniques in Fibonacci analysis. First technique is Fibonacci retracement. Second technique is Fibonacci expansion. In fact, former is just one triangle pattern and latter is two triangle patterns. Hence, you can consider these two as Fibonacci price patterns. These two price patterns share the identical concept to the retracement ratio and expansion ratio.
There are two important points in regards to Fibonacci patterns. Firstly, you need to spot swing high and swing low in price series to identify Fibonacci price patterns. The easiest way of doing this is just to apply Peak Trough Transformation using either ZigZag indicator or Renko chart. Therefore, you start with predefined swing points in your chart. Secondly, Fibonacci retracement technique will concern one triangle that is two price swings. Fibonacci expansion technique will concern two triangles that are three price swings. Most importantly, calculation of Fibonacci retracement and expansion is identical to the retracement ratio and expansion ratio calculation in RECF notation. Sometimes, we might use percentage format instead of decimal format. However, two quantities are the same. For example, the Golden ratio 0.618 is the same as 61.8%.
Let us start with Fibonacci retracement example. For simple example, we use 61.8% Golden ratio. For retracement, we can have two cases including bullish (Trough-Peak) retracement and bearish (Peak-Trough) retracement. In bullish retracement, 61.8% retracement level will act as a support level. Price will reverse in the correction phase to follow the previous bullish movement. In RECF pattern definition, 61.8% bullish retracement can be expressed as below:
R0 = 0.618 = Right swing of first triangle / Left swing of first triangle
The document provides information about different chart types available in Trading View, including Kagi charts, Line Break charts, Point and Figure charts, and Renko charts. These chart types only consider price movements and not time, filtering out minor price fluctuations. They are composed of lines, bars or boxes that change direction based on user-defined price thresholds. Examples of uses include identifying trends, support/resistance levels, and breakouts. Customization options allow changing the appearance of up/down bars and setting price thresholds.
A Fibonacci analysis is a popular tool among technical traders. It is based on the Fibonacci sequence numbers identified by Leonardo Fibonacci in the 13th century. Here are the Fibonacci sequence numbers:
0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89,144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181, 6765, …………………
As the Fibonacci number become large, the constant relationship is established between neighbouring numbers. For example, every time, when we divide the former number by latter: Fn-1/Fn, we will get nearly 0.618 ratio. Likewise, when we divide the latter number by former: Fn/Fn-1, we will get nearly 1.618. These two Fibonacci ratio 0.618 and 1.618 are considered as the Golden Ratio. We can use these Golden ratios to start our Fibonacci analysis. However, many technical traders use additional Fibonacci ratios derived from the Golden ratio. Since the calculation of each Fibonacci ratio is well known, I have listed all the available Fibonacci ratio calculation in Table 1-1.
This document provides an introduction to technical analysis and its key concepts and techniques. It discusses the basic assumptions of technical analysis, including that the market discounts everything, price moves in trends, and history tends to repeat itself. It then covers various charting techniques like line charts, bar charts, candlestick charts, and point and figure charts. It also discusses important concepts in technical analysis like chart patterns, trends, trend lines, channels, support and resistance, and specific patterns like head and shoulders, cup and handle, double tops/bottoms, triangles, flags, and pennants.
X3 pattern framework for the day trader in the financial marketLeadingTrader21
This document introduces the X3 pattern framework for describing price patterns in financial markets. X3 uses triangles as the basic building block, represented by three points. Patterns are described using ratios between the points, including retracement, expansion, closing, and factored ratios. Lag operators are used to refer to previous ratios. Complex patterns can be broken down and described concisely using these ratio definitions and notations. The goal is to provide a flexible framework for analyzing both simple and complex patterns seen in price data.
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Imagine for a moment that you have plotted out a trading zone on your chart and that is the area you will need to see price visit before entering a position. Maybe it’s a confluence of factors such as price pivots, a moving average, measured pullback via Fibonacci and a round number.
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Losers in the market often exhibit certain behavioral tendencies that contribute to their losses:
1) They fail to cut their losses short and let their winners run, going against the basic trading wisdom.
2) After a few winning or losing trades, they increase their position sizes and modify their risk parameters recklessly, falling prey to the disposition effect.
3) Their entries and exits are often based only on price and time signals without considering other factors like market trends, providing liquidity for professional traders to exploit. Combining this behavior with the disposition effect increases the chances they will take on too much leverage.
Real time renko, smart renko and price breakout pattern scanner atiLeadingTrader21
1) The document introduces Real Time Renko, Smart Renko, and Price Breakout Pattern Scanner indicators. Real Time Renko transforms candlestick charts into Renko bricks, while Smart Renko overlays Renko bricks on candlesticks. Price Breakout Scanner detects breakout patterns like head and shoulders.
2) Renko charts reduce noise and make trends and support/resistance easier to identify. Smart Renko allows combining candlestick and Renko signals. Price Breakout Scanner provides trading opportunities when prices break above or below pattern boundaries.
3) Applying the indicators together can provide a more comprehensive analysis by detecting patterns on Renko bricks and confirming signals on candlesticks. The guided instructions also aim to improve
This document contains the acknowledgements, declaration, table of contents, and introduction to technical analysis sections of a project report on technical analysis submitted by Shraddha Singh for their MBA program. The introduction provides an overview of technical analysis, including that it uses historical price and volume data to identify trends and predict future price movements. It also discusses some of the common technical analysis tools like charts, indicators, and patterns that will be covered in the report.
This document discusses sales forecasting and provides examples to illustrate key concepts like seasonality, time series patterns, and trend lines. It contains tests to predict sales based on trend line patterns. Key points made include: 1) Sales forecasts must consider seasonality, time series patterns from historical data, and trends; 2) Trend lines can help forecast future sales if the trend continues; and 3) The reliability of a trend-based forecast increases as the trend line's R-squared value approaches 1.
The document provides details of a trading strategy developed by Amit Kumar Singh based on candlestick patterns, Fibonacci retracement levels, and indicators like RSI and ADX. The strategy involves two conditions for reversal candlestick patterns on trends near support/resistance or Fibonacci levels. Numerous currency pair charts across timeframes are analyzed to substantiate that reversals occur when the candlestick pattern conditions are met. The strategy aims to enter trades in the direction of reversals and take profits at predetermined Fibonacci or support/resistance levels.
Discover the Smart Money with the Order Block Indicator & S&D indicator.pdfStaceyJarred
As a retail trader, you and I can’t control the market. We are talking about over $6 trillion worth of transactions daily in the forex market; how can we control that?
It’s the big boys known as smart money who control the market. Smart money refers to central banks, market makers, and institutional investors.
When they place an order, they don’t place it for thousands of dollars; they place it for millions and billions of dollars. That’s when the market moves, creating a situation known as order blocks.
The idea of an order block strategy is to ride along with the smart money. As mentioned earlier, as retail traders, we don’t control the market, so how about we do what smart money is doing?
We must create order blocks for the order block trading strategy. Bearish order blocks form when there is a large sell order by smart money. Bullish order blocks appear when there is a large buy order.
You can locate these zones at the end of a strong trend. After that, you just have to draw a rectangle on the origin of the new trend.
By plotting order block zones, we can move along with the big boys and place buy and sell orders.
You might be thinking, “How will these zones help me?”
Central banks and other market movers don’t place their orders at once. They wait and place their orders in regular intervals creating “blocks.”
They don’t place their orders at once because it can create high volatility and disrupt the market. That’s when the price returns to certain levels, so smart money can place their orders again, which presents us with an entry point.
So, now you know what order blocks are, we can move into the best order block trading strategies.
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Harmonic Volatility Line Indicator - Alternative Approach to Gann’s Angle
1. 1
Harmonic Volatility Line Indicator
Subtitle: Alternative Approach to Gann’s Angle
Author: Young Ho Seo
Finance Engineer and Quantitative Trader
Book Version: 1.7 (13 May 2017)
Total Pages counted in MS-Word: 29
Total Words counted in MS-Word: 4200
www.algotrading-investment.com
3. 3
Table of Contents
About this book.......................................................................................................................................4
1. Market forecasting with the Gann’s Angle.........................................................................................5
2. An alternative way of relating time and price through the geometric dimension...........................10
3. Introduction to Harmonic Volatility Line Indicator...........................................................................16
4. Application of Harmonic Volatility Line Indicator for practical trading............................................21
4.1 Market Forecasting.....................................................................................................................21
4.2 Supports and Resistances ...........................................................................................................24
4.3 Turning Point Prediction .............................................................................................................25
4.4 Combining with other technical analysis....................................................................................26
5. Conclusion.........................................................................................................................................28
5. References ........................................................................................................................................29
4. 4
About this book
Gann’s angle was one of the very first concept using the geometric study
between price and time for practical trading (Gann, 1935). In spite of the
powerful idea behind the Gann’s angle, the chart scaling issue makes the Gann’s
angle less practical for traders. In this book, we suggested the alternative
approach of establishing the geometric relationship between price and time
through probability. We showed how we created the Harmonic Volatility Line
indicator using this alternative approach. The Harmonic Volatility Line indicator
is not suffering from the chart scaling issue like Gann’s angle does. At the same
time, the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator offers many functionality similar to
the Gann’s angle. This book introduced how the Harmonic Volatility Line
indicator could be used for market forecasting, turning point prediction,
supports and resistances for traders in details. In spite of its wonderful features,
the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator is still not bullet proof trading system. It
requires discipline and knowledge to use for trading like Gann’s angle does. This
book was published on behalf of http://algotrading-investment.com. However,
the original creation of Harmonic Volatility Line indicator was done by Young Ho
Seo after spending years of time on doing empirical research and strategy
building in the Forex, Stock and Futures markets.
5. 5
1. Market forecasting with the Gann’s Angle
Gann believed that the geometric angle could be used to forecast the movement
of the stock and commodity market (Gann, 1935 and 1976). What is known as
the Gann’s angle is the popular tool in the world of technical analysis. The idea
behind the Gann’s angle is intuitive. Gann believed that the ideal balance
between time and price exists in the stock market. Therefore, he expressed the
price in terms of time using the angled trend lines. He suggested that possibly
nine important angles could serve as the important support and resistance lines
for traders to predict future of the stock price. The first important angle is 45
degrees. Gann denoted 45 degree as 1x1 angle in his work (Gann, 1935 and
1976). The rest of eight angles can be found in Table 1-1. We have listed the
corresponding geometric angle too. Please note that the geometric angle is only
accurate when price and time is in one to one scale precisely.
Angles Angles in degrees
1x8 82.5
1x4 75
1x3 71.25
1x2 63.75
1x1 45
2x1 26.25
3x1 18.75
4x1 15
8x1 7.5
Table 1-1: Gann’s nine angle.
6. 6
Figure 1-1: Nine bullish angles and nine bearish angles. Note that this figure was
drawn to represent the concept of the Gann’s angle and each angle in the figure
may be not accurate.
In Gann’s angle, there are total 18 angles line for trading (Figure 1-1). Nine angle
lines are there to describe the bullish movement. They are the ascending angle
lines. Another nine angle lines are there to describe the bearish movement. They
7. 7
are the descending angle lines. Gann’s Angle mathematically express the ratio
of the number of price unit movement per one time unit in the price chart. For
example, the 1x1 angle indicates one price unit movement per one time unit.
Therefore, the 1x1 angle corresponds to 45 degrees when the price and time
have one to one scale. Likewise, the 1x2 angle indicates two price unit
movement per one time unit. Speed of price is twice faster than time in the 1x2
angle. The speed of price is highest in the 1x8 angle because price moves eight
time faster than time. The 1x8 angle makes the stiffest angle among the nine
angles. The 2x1 angle indicates half price unit movement per one time unit.
Likewise, 4x1 angle indicates a quarter price unit movement pre one time unit.
The 8x1 angle represents the slowest price movement among the nine angles.
Gann’s angles are typically drawn from significant peaks and troughs in your
chart. Picking up significant peaks and troughs might impose some subjectivity
in drawing the Gann’s angle in your chart. However, generally picking one or two
important peaks and troughs are not difficult task even for average traders. In
general, finding significant peaks and for daily and weekly chart is easier than
doing the same task in hourly or minutely chart.
8. 8
Figure 1-2: Gann’s nine angles were drawn on the monthly EURUSD chart. After
figuring out the Gann’s angle in one to one scale, the chart was scaled back to
the default scale provided by the charting package so entire price series can be
captured for this book.
Gann used the geometric angle for three different application. Firstly, Gann used
this geometric angle to identify bullish or bearish market. For example, if the
prices remains above the 1x1 ascending angle line, then he considered the
market as bull (Figure 1-1). Likewise, if the price remains below the 1x1
descending angle line, then he considered the market as bear (Figure 1-1).
Secondly, Gann used these angle lines to identify turning points (Figure 1-3).
9. 9
Gann believed that the turning point might occur where the several angles are
intersecting together. More angles are intersecting together, higher chance for
the turning point occurs. Thirdly, Gann use these angles as the supports and
resistances (Figure 1-3). You will expect that price will either penetrate or
bounce hard at these supports and resistances. When price is penetrated
through the angle line, you might expect that price can go to test next adjacent
angle line above. Likewise, when price is reversed at the angle line, price will
likely come down to test next adjacent angle line below. If the Gann’s angle is
properly drawn in one to one scale in your chart, the Gann’s angle can be used
for practical trading purpose. However drawing Gann’s angle accurately is not
straight forwards for the real world trading. We elaborate the drawbacks of the
Gann’s angle in next chapter.
Figure 1-3: Gann’s angle in Oil.
10. 10
2. An alternative way of relating time and price through the geometric
dimension
Gann’s work about the geometric angle is fascinating. It was one of the very first
concept relating price and time through the geometric dimension for the
financial trading. Knowing that no personal computers are available during his
time, the advancement he made is impressive in the world of technical analysis.
In spite of the fact that I like the concept of Gann’s angle, I do think that his
approach of squaring time and price to get the precise 45 degrees angle is
practically difficult. Firstly, just drawing 45 degrees angle line in your chart will
not create the correct 1x1 angle line if your chart is not scaled correctly to one
to one in the price and time axes. Most of charting packages are designed for
the optimal visual experience for traders and they are not necessarily tuned for
the one to one scale in the price and time axes. Frequently, your charting
package will provide very different scale for price and time. Therefore, circle and
square drawn in your chart can be eclipse and rectangle in fact. 45 degrees angle
might be 10 degrees angle. Unless you can accurately calculate the ratio of how
many units of price are required for each unit of time, you will run into this first
problem with Gann’s angle. If the charting package does not offer the flexible
scaling option, then you can not use Gann’s angle in that charting package.
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Figure 2-1: Drawing geometric 45 degrees in the chart when the chart scaling is
not fixed to one to one scale. This 45 degrees angle will corresponds to some
other angles in one to one scale chart.
Secondly, even if the chart is correctly scaled to one to one in the price and time
axes, one has to rescale the chart every time when the number of price units
and time units increases substantially in your chart. For example, today you
might scale your chart for 7000 pips range and 1000 bars in your chart for
EURUSD. If the price moved rapidly another 1000 pips outside the old price
range after 100 bars added, then you have to scale your chart again for 8000
pips range and 1100 bars to get the new 45 degrees angle. This is because the
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ratio of how many units of time are required for each unit of price are directly
related to the price range and time range in your chart. The second problem can
be amplified for hourly chars and minutely chart as the new price range often
override old price range each day. I personally never attempt to use the Gann’s
angle for timeframe below one hour.
Figure 2-2: Rescaling is required for Gann’s angle if new price range and time
units are added to your charts.
Finally, the scaled chart looks quite horrible when there are significant amount
of historical data in your chart. For example, let us say that our time axis spans
around 10,000 pixels in your screen for 100,000 bars. Then you will need to have
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the exact 10,000 pixels to fit the price axis in your chart in one to one scale. For
most of normal screen size, you will be able to see the 10% of the price range
assuming your screen support 1000 pixels vertically only. You have to scroll up
and down your chart frequently to see the area of interest in the price series
(Figure 2-3). This is inconvenient. Unless you want to draw Gann’s angle only in
your chart, you probably have to scale your chart back to the optimal scale for
other technical analysis. The optimal scale for general technical analysis is often
marginally different from the one to one scale.
Figure 2-3: One to one scale achieved in EURJPY Weekly charts. You can only
see few candle bars in your charts.
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Gann’s angle is achievable. However, it is practically difficult to use in general
due to the chart scaling issue. I personally met too many traders using the
geometric 45 degrees angle instead of the true Gann’s angle because the chart
is not properly scaled to one to one. It is not how Gann was meant to use his
angle lines for trading. The one to one scaling must be in place before traders
can apply the angle lines for his trading. Applying Gann’s angle without good
technical knowledge on chart scaling, trader can risk their capital in their trading.
Therefore, I personally sought for new approach to relate time and price through
the geometric dimension rather than using the troublesome angle concept. In
this book, we propose an alternative solution. In our approach, we use
probability variable to mingle price and time into the geometric dimension. In
simple term, the geometric relationship between time and price can be
established using the concept of the volatility. In mathematical term, probability
can transform price and time space into higher dimension. Due to this extra
dimension opened up by probability, we can extract the geometric relationship
between time and price easily in our chart.
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Figure 2-2: Probability transform price and time into higher dimension.
To elaborate further, let us assume that the price series have the normal
distribution for now. If traders want to forecast the price movement from the
forecasting origin at the current time and price, trader can draw the geometric
lines corresponding to each probability. Note that we have the probability
variable in the place of angle variable now. Since the scaling function for
probability for the extended forecasting horizon, that is calculating volatility for
bigger timeframe, is mathematically known, it is easy to extend the line through
the chart. Since we are using the scaling function derived mathematically, we do
not suffer from chart scaling issue any more. In next chapter, we used this
geometric relationship between price and time to develop the Harmonic
Volatility Line indicator for practical trading purpose.
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Figure 2-3: Conceptual drawing to represent the geometric relationship
between price and time through probability.
3. Introduction to Harmonic Volatility Line Indicator
In previous chapter, we have shown that we can mingle price and time into the
geometric dimension using probability. One of important questions are not yet
answered. The unanswered question is what probability we can select for our
trading and how we can select them for our trading. For example, Gann
mentioned that he come up with the important nine angles from his empirical
study on stock market. It seems that inclusion of 45 geometric angle among nine
of them is very intuitive choice if price and time really balances. Probability
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works slightly different from angle. Probability can help us to describe the state
of the market as an event. For example, in the statistical point of view, there are
50% to 50% chance for the price going up or going down. Including the sideways
market state, each state of the market can be expressed as the 33.3% probability
for bearish, bullish and sideways markets (Figure 3-1). Simply speaking if the
price stays between price A and price B, then we can assume that market is
moving in sideways (Figure 3-1). This approach is intuitive. However, we still
does not have the sufficient lines as Gann’s angle provided nine geometric lines
for traders. To produce nine geometric lines for traders, we can split both bullish
region and bearish region into subsection as Gann did. We found that using
golden ratio 0.618 seems working out pretty well. Instead of using 33.3%
probability for sideways, we can use 38.2% probability. The 38.2% probability
(i.e. probability inside boundary) corresponds to the 61.8% probability, which
describes the chance for the price to be outside the price A and price B (i.e.
probability outside boundary). Since we have the 61.8% probability for the first
value, it is easy to derive rest using golden ratio 0.618. For example, if we can
keep multiplying 0.618 to derive next probability. So we will continue to have
0.382 (38.2%), 0.236 (23.6%), 0.146 (14.6%), etc until we have nine lines. The
derived probabilities using the Golden ratio is listed in Table 3-1. When we
derived our 9th
lines, the corresponding probability is 1.3%. This 1.3% probability
seems quite reasonable probability since many real world applications put the
particular emphasis on 1% and 5% probability level.
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Figure 3-1: Conceptual drawing to represent three states of the market.
Probability
Outside
boundary
Probability
Inside boundary
Corresponding
Z Score
Market
State Calculation
61.8% 38.2% 0.499
Bullish Sideways
Bearish Sideways 0.618^1
38.2% 61.8% 0.874
Bullish 1
Bearish 1 0.618^2
23.6% 76.4% 1.185
Bullish 2
Bearish 2 0.618^3
14.6% 85.4% 1.454
Bullish 3
Bearish 3 0.618^4
9.0% 91.0% 1.695
Bullish 4
Bearish 4 0.618^5
5.6% 94.4% 1.913
Bullish 5
Bearish 5 0.618^6
3.4% 96.6% 2.115
Bullish 6
Bearish 6 0.618^7
2.1% 97.9% 2.303
Bullish 7
Bearish 7 0.618^8
1.3% 98.7% 2.480
Bullish 8
Bearish 8 0.618^9
Table 3-1: Derived probability using Golden ratio.
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If we have drawn all the nine probability lines for both bullish and bearish market,
it will look like as in Figure 3-2. Each section between two probability lines can
be used to describe the state of the market. For example, the section between
61.8% and 38.2% probability line can be denoted as Bullish 1 state. Likewise, the
probability line between 38.2% and 23.6% can be described as Bullish 2 state.
The last state is Bullish 8. For bearish market, we can have eight states from
bearish 1 to bearish 8. Since we used the Golden ratio to derive these geometric
lines, we named this indicator as the Harmonic Volatility line indicator.
Since we have devised the Harmonic Volatility line indicator to overcome the
chart scaling issue in the Gann’s angle, Harmonic Volatility line indicator is
comparable to the Gann’s angle in many ways. Certainly, there will be some
similarities between them. For example, trader can always locate the Harmonic
Volatility Line indicator to the peaks and troughs where they can locate the
Gann’s angle. This simply tells the good compatibility between Gann’s angle and
the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator. In terms of usage, the Harmonic Volatility
Line indicator can be used to fulfil the same functionalities, which is offered by
Gann’s angle. For example, the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator can be used
for market forecasting, turning point prediction, supports and resistances. In
fact, because the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator uses volatility concept, there
are additional benefits for traders to know the volatility information at any time.
Gann’s angle uses the angle to relate price and time. However, the Harmonic
Volatility Line indicator uses the probability to relate price and time. Therefore,
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some distinctive difference exists between them too. Most important difference
is that the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator draws curve instead of the straight
line. In addition, nine states in the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator can be used
together with the probabilistic interpretation whereas angle does not provide
such information. For example, nearly 98.7% of time, the price will not cross this
1.3% probability line. What would this suggest in real world trading? It would
suggest that we could expect to have some turning point if price crossed these
1.3% probability lines. We will further discuss the practical application of the
Harmonic Volatility Line indicator in the next chapter.
Figure 3-2: Applied Harmonic Volatility Line indicator in the chart EURUSD H1
chart.
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4. Application of Harmonic Volatility Line Indicator for practical trading
The advantage of Harmonic volatility line indicator is that it is not suffering from
the chart scaling issue like Gann’s angle. What about its usage in real world
trading? We have found some comparable advantage of the harmonic volatility
line indicator to the Gann’s angle. The way one can apply the harmonic volatility
line indicator is nearly similar to Gann’s angle. Trader need to apply the
Harmonic Volatility Line indicator to some significant peaks and troughs like the
Gann’s suggestion. Once you have applied the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator
to the significant peaks and troughs, you can use it for at least three different
purpose for your trading. They are market forecasting, turning point prediction,
supports and resistances. We will describe each of them by comparing the
Harmonic Volatility Line indicator to the Gann’s angle.
4.1 Market Forecasting
Gann used the geometric angle to identify strong bullish and bearish market. For
example if the price remain below the 1x1 descending angle line, then it is
bearish market. If the price remains above the 1x1 ascending angle line, then it
is bullish market. In the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator, there are two
sideways state among 18 states. The two sideways state roughly corresponds to
the sideways market probability of 33.3%. Remember that we have widen the
33.3% up to 38.2% probability to apply the Golden ratio rule to derive the other
probabilities. We can still use this 38.2% probability to identify the sideways
state of the market. If the price stays inside the two sideways states, then we
can say that market is moving in sideways.
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Picking up the probability line equivalent to the 1x1 angle line is tricky since we
have to compare the curve to straight line. However, if we have to choose one
line, then I think 23.6% probability line might be the choice. It is because the
23.6% probability line divide the entire area into half (Figure 4-1). Therefore,
trader can assume the strong bullish trend if the price remains above the 23.6%
ascending probability line whereas weak bullish trend can be assumed if the
price remains below 23.6% ascending probability line. Likewise, trader can
assume the strong bearish trend if the price remains below the 23.6%
descending probability line whereas weak bullish trend can be assumed if the
price remains below the 23.6% descending probability line.
In addition, trader can assume bullish trend if the price move from lower Bullish
state to upper Bullish state. For example, if the price move from Bullish 1 state
to Bullish 2 state, then we can assume the market has a bullish trend. On the
other hands, if price move from Bullish 5 state to Bullish 4 state, then market
have a bearish trend. Likewise, if the price move from lower Bearish state to
upper Bearish state, then you can assume bearish trend. For example, if the
price move form Bearish 1 state to Bearish 2 state, then we can assume that the
market is bearish. Sometimes price might penetrate two or three states at the
same time showing strong trend (Figure 4-1).
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4.2 Supports and Resistances
Gann used the geometric angle as the supports and resistances. The same
analogy can be applied to the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator. Frequently, you
will observe that the probability lines in the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator
act as an important supports and resistances in your chart (Figure 4-2).
Figure 4-2: Harmonic Volatility Line indicator on USDJPY D1 Chart.
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4.3 Turning Point Prediction
Gann used the geometric angle to predict the turning point when many angles
are intersecting together. Likewise, when many probability lines are intersecting
together, the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator shows strong turning point too.
Figure 4-3: Harmonic Volatility Line indicator on USDJPY Daily Chart.
In addition, the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator can predict turning point from
the volatility point of view. As we have discussed in the previous chapter, if price
crosses the 1.3% probability line, then there is high chance that price will reverse.
In fact, when the price remains in the Bullish 6, 7 and 8 states, you might watch
out for the potential turning point. Likewise, when the price remains in the
Bearish 6, 7 and 8 states, you might be warned for the potential bullish turning
point too. Gann’s angle does not offer this information to traders because angle
does not indicate the volatility of the market.
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Figure 4-4: Harmonic Volatility Line indicator on GBPUSD H1 timeframe.
4.4 Combining with other technical analysis
As Gann’s angle can be used with other technical analysis, the Harmonic
Volatility Line indicator can be used with other technical analysis. Both mean
reversion and momentum trading strategies can be combined with it. You can
use the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator as the primary decision making tool or
as the secondary confirmation tool according to your trading style. When the
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Harmonic Volatility Line indicator is combined with other technical analysis, it
would definitely provide edge for your trading.
Figure 4-5: Harmonic Volatility Line indicator on EURUSD H1 timeframe with
MACD indicator.
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5. Conclusion
Gann’s angle was one of the very first concept using the geometric study
between price and time for practical trading (Gann, 1935). In spite of the
powerful idea behind the Gann’s angle, the chart scaling issue makes the Gann’s
angle less practical for traders. In this book, we suggested the alternative
approach of establishing the geometric relationship between price and time
through probability. We showed how we created the Harmonic Volatility Line
indicator using this alternative approach. The Harmonic Volatility Line indicator
is not suffering from the chart scaling issue like Gann’s angle does. At the same
time, the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator offers many functionality similar to
the Gann’s angle. This book introduced how the Harmonic Volatility Line
indicator could be used for market forecasting, turning point prediction,
supports and resistances for traders in details. In spite of its wonderful features,
the Harmonic Volatility Line indicator is still not bullet proof trading system. It
requires discipline and knowledge to use for trading like Gann’s angle does.
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5. References
Gann, W. D. (1935) The basis of my forecasting method, New York.
Gann, W. D. (1976) The Basis of My Forecasting Method For Grain,
Gann, W. D. (1976) How to Make Profits Trading in Commodities: a study of the
commodity market, Health Research Books.
Gann, W. D. (1996) Truth of the stock tape and Wall Street stock selector, Health
Research Books.
Gann, W. D. (2015) 45 Years in Wall Street, Simon and Schuster.