Global value chains have expanded significantly since 1995. While developed economies like the US and Japan have seen their share of global GDP decrease, emerging economies like China and countries in the BRICS bloc have experienced substantial growth. China in particular has grown from 0.5% to 5.7% of global GDP, reflecting its increasing participation and specialization in global manufacturing supply chains. However, capturing large shares of value added remains difficult for latecomers as knowledge-intensive activities tend to remain in developed countries. While globalization offers opportunities to enter international trade more easily, upgrading in global value chains requires strong innovation systems and policies to support learning and technology development domestically.
Hezron M. | Franco Malerba
19 Feb, 2:00 pm – 3:00 pm GMT
ZOOM online
LECTURE-7 DIFFERENT APPROACHES TO NATIONAL SYSTEMS OF INNOVATION
by
Dr. Hezron Makundi, University of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
CHAIR:
Professor Franco Malerba, University of Bocconi, Milan
Can Australia find a business model to keep the good times going?
Prof. Thomas Clarke, Professor William Lazonick - 12 July 2012
Use the hashtag #utspeaks to further the discussion on twitter.
UTSpeaks is an annual free public lecture series presented by UTS experts discussing a range of important issues confronting contemporary Australia.
26 Feb, 2:00 pm – 3:00 pm GMT
ZOOM online
LECTURE-8: APPLICATION OF NATIONAL SYSTEMS OF INNOVATION
by
Dr. Kenneth Fung, UOW Malaysia KDU
&
Dr. Gifty Boakye Appiah, KNUST, Kumasi, Ghana.
CHAIR:
Professor Mammo Muchie, Tshwane University of Technology, South Africa
Scenarios - approaches for exploring urban futures Ian Miles
Presentation to "future of cities" network, explaining diofferent types of scenario and describing work undertaken in context of Greater Manchester 2040+ see http://www.gm2040.com/ for more
Hezron M. | Franco Malerba
19 Feb, 2:00 pm – 3:00 pm GMT
ZOOM online
LECTURE-7 DIFFERENT APPROACHES TO NATIONAL SYSTEMS OF INNOVATION
by
Dr. Hezron Makundi, University of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
CHAIR:
Professor Franco Malerba, University of Bocconi, Milan
Can Australia find a business model to keep the good times going?
Prof. Thomas Clarke, Professor William Lazonick - 12 July 2012
Use the hashtag #utspeaks to further the discussion on twitter.
UTSpeaks is an annual free public lecture series presented by UTS experts discussing a range of important issues confronting contemporary Australia.
26 Feb, 2:00 pm – 3:00 pm GMT
ZOOM online
LECTURE-8: APPLICATION OF NATIONAL SYSTEMS OF INNOVATION
by
Dr. Kenneth Fung, UOW Malaysia KDU
&
Dr. Gifty Boakye Appiah, KNUST, Kumasi, Ghana.
CHAIR:
Professor Mammo Muchie, Tshwane University of Technology, South Africa
Scenarios - approaches for exploring urban futures Ian Miles
Presentation to "future of cities" network, explaining diofferent types of scenario and describing work undertaken in context of Greater Manchester 2040+ see http://www.gm2040.com/ for more
The African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) in collaboration with the African Development Bank (AfDB) will host the nineteenth Senior Policy Seminar (SPS XIX) on March 13 – 14, 2017 in Abidjan, Cote d’Ivoire.
National Innovation Systems is the network of institutions in the public and private sectors whose activities and interactions initiate, import, modify and diffuse new technologies.
Book Review of 'Economic Geography: A Contemporary Introduction' by Neil Coe, Philip Kelly and Henry Yeung (Oxford, UK; Malden, MA, USA; and Carlton 10 Victoria, Australia: Blackwell, 2007).
Olga M. & Manuel G. | K.J. Joseph
LECTURE 6: THE INSTITUTIONAL ASPECT OF NSI by Dr. Olga Mikheeva, UCL Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose, UK & Dr. Manuel Gonzalo, Universidad Nacional de General Sarmiento, Brazil. CHAIR: Professor Joseph K.J., Gulati Institute of Finance and Taxation (GIFT), India
Knowledge Innovation Policy (Federal KM - DC)Debra M. Amidon
This closing panel with Dr. Ramon Barquin provides the rationale and vision for a US Knowledge Innovation Policy within a global context. Session includes and inventory of innovation initiatives within the US and abroad. Knowledge Innovation is the strategy beyond KM or strategic planning; and ‘collaborative advantage’ is the name of the new game.
The Economic Commission for Latin America (ECLA) was right: scale-free comple...FGV Brazil
The main purpose of this paper is to apply big-data and scale-free complex network techniques to the study of world trade, with a specific focus on the investigation of ECLA and structuralist ideas. A secondary objective is to illustrate the potentialities of the use of the new science of complex networks in economics, in what has been recently referred to as an econophysics research agenda. We work with a trade network of 101 countries and 762 products (SITC-4) which generated 1,756,224 trade links in 2013. The empirical results based on network analysis and computational methods reported here point in the direction of what ECLA economists used to argue; countries with higher income per capita concentrate in producing and exporting manufactured and complex goods at the center of the trade network; countries with lower income per capita specialize in producing and exporting non-complex commodities at the network’s periphery.
Date: 2017-03
Authors:
Gala, Paulo
Camargo, Jhean Steffan Martines de
Freitas, Elton
The African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) in collaboration with the African Development Bank (AfDB) will host the nineteenth Senior Policy Seminar (SPS XIX) on March 13 – 14, 2017 in Abidjan, Cote d’Ivoire.
National Innovation Systems is the network of institutions in the public and private sectors whose activities and interactions initiate, import, modify and diffuse new technologies.
Book Review of 'Economic Geography: A Contemporary Introduction' by Neil Coe, Philip Kelly and Henry Yeung (Oxford, UK; Malden, MA, USA; and Carlton 10 Victoria, Australia: Blackwell, 2007).
Olga M. & Manuel G. | K.J. Joseph
LECTURE 6: THE INSTITUTIONAL ASPECT OF NSI by Dr. Olga Mikheeva, UCL Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose, UK & Dr. Manuel Gonzalo, Universidad Nacional de General Sarmiento, Brazil. CHAIR: Professor Joseph K.J., Gulati Institute of Finance and Taxation (GIFT), India
Knowledge Innovation Policy (Federal KM - DC)Debra M. Amidon
This closing panel with Dr. Ramon Barquin provides the rationale and vision for a US Knowledge Innovation Policy within a global context. Session includes and inventory of innovation initiatives within the US and abroad. Knowledge Innovation is the strategy beyond KM or strategic planning; and ‘collaborative advantage’ is the name of the new game.
The Economic Commission for Latin America (ECLA) was right: scale-free comple...FGV Brazil
The main purpose of this paper is to apply big-data and scale-free complex network techniques to the study of world trade, with a specific focus on the investigation of ECLA and structuralist ideas. A secondary objective is to illustrate the potentialities of the use of the new science of complex networks in economics, in what has been recently referred to as an econophysics research agenda. We work with a trade network of 101 countries and 762 products (SITC-4) which generated 1,756,224 trade links in 2013. The empirical results based on network analysis and computational methods reported here point in the direction of what ECLA economists used to argue; countries with higher income per capita concentrate in producing and exporting manufactured and complex goods at the center of the trade network; countries with lower income per capita specialize in producing and exporting non-complex commodities at the network’s periphery.
Date: 2017-03
Authors:
Gala, Paulo
Camargo, Jhean Steffan Martines de
Freitas, Elton
References:
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Claudio, L.& Abinales P. (2018). The Contemporary World. C&E Publishing Inc:839 EDSA, South
Triangle, Quezon City
San Juan, D. (2018). Journeys Through our Contemporary World. Vibal Group Inc.: 1253 G. Araneta
Avenue cor. Ma. Clara Street, Talayan, Quezon City
Dekkers, R., (2010). Decision models for outsourcing and core competencies in manufacturing.
International Journal of Production Research, 38(17), 4085-4096.
Dolgui, A., and Proth, J.-M., (2010). Supply Chain Engineering: Useful Methods and Techniques. Springer,
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Handbook of Economic Sociology, ed. Neil J. Smelser and Richard Swedberg. Princeton:
Princeton University Press.
Philippe Larédo-La empresa y las políticas de innovación transformadorasFundación Ramón Areces
El 25 de abril de 2017 organizamos en la Fundación Ramón Areces una mesa redonda sobre 'La empresa y las políticas de innovación transformadoras'. En este foro participaron, entre otros, Totti Konnola, CEO de Insight Foresight Institute; Luis Fernando Álvarez-Gascón Pérez, Director General GMV secure eSolutions; y Francisco Marín, Director General del CDTI. Esta actividad se celebró en colaboración con el Grupo de Investigación en Economía y Política de la Innovación de la Universidad Complutense de Madrid (GRINEI-UCM) y el Foro de Empresas Innovadoras (FEI).
Keynote Speech III: Chinese Economic Slowdown and New Sources of Economic Dev...ssuserd649a2
Keynote Speech by Tony Fang (Memorial University of Newfoundland, Canada) at the 1st International Workshop on the Chinese Development Model organized at IQS School of Management, Universitat Ramon Llull in Barcelona on July 8th, 2022
Keynote presentation on the launch of ASEAN Vision 2040, ERIA’s project in support of the Government of Thailand who is ASEAN Chair in 2019. The event was held in Jakarta on 30 August 2019 with the theme ‘Integration, Transformation and ASEAN Centrality’.
The presentation was made and delivered by Prof Fukunari Kimura, Chief Economist of the Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia. Prof Kimura is also Professor at the Faculty of Economics, Keio University.
http://www.eria.org/research/researcher_profiles/fukunari-kimura.html
China’s Economic Embrace of Africa - An International Comparative PerspectiveUNU-MERIT
This paper discusses the entry of China into the game of foreign finance in Africa. It analyses the
scope, destination and sectoral distribution of Chinese financial flows and trade in comparison
with Western patterns and trends of aid, foreign direct investment (FDI) and trade. China’s
foreign aid and manufacturing investment flow to Africa’s physical infrastructure and productive
sectors of agriculture and manufacturing fill the vacuum which emerged when Western financial
flows shifted to other sectors and activities. In contrast, China’s trade patterns with Africa highly
resemble those of Africa’s leading Western trading partners. Africa imports manufactured goods
and exports primary goods. Differences in relative factor endowments of labour, capital and
natural resources are largely responsible for the pattern of Sino-African trade.
Insurgents in motion: Counterinsurgency and insurgency relocation in IraqUNU-MERIT
http://youtu.be/zqcM1jE_BoY
Recent studies in general are positive regarding the effectiveness of US counterinsurgency programs in Iraq. The right mix of coercion, ethnic strategy, and public goods provision, it is argued, makes Iraqis less likely to rebel against the US army and the Iraqi government, thus reducing insurgent violence. In fact, the number of insurgent attacks dramatically declined shortly after the change in the counterinsurgency strategy in 2007. How robust is the positive finding? A common assumption behind previous analyses is that insurgent attacks have a strong local root and is unlikely to be reproduced in other areas. Violation of this spatial independence assumption, however, can potentially bias towards the positive result. Based on the novel spatial dynamic panel data (SDPD) model, my analysis shows that spatial dependence should be addressed and cannot be assumed away. Results based on the new model also reveal that, conditional upon other strategies, the effects of a counterinsurgency strategy vary considerably both in magnitude and direction, suggesting that some policy mixes could be counterproductive. Policy makers seeking to adopt similar strategies in Afghanistan should take the relocation into account in their policy evaluations.
Migrant and Refugee Integration in Global Cities: The Role of Cities and Busi...UNU-MERIT
Migrant and Refugee Integration in Global Cities: New Brief
A new UNU policy brief, launched in Maastricht on 21 May 2014, examines immigration experiences in eight diverse cities around the world: Auckland (New Zealand), Buenos Aires (Argentina), Chicago (USA), Kuala Lumpur (Malaysia), Lisbon (Portugal), Nairobi (Kenya), Rotterdam (The Netherlands), and São Paulo (Brazil).
This brief summarizes a joint research project between The Hague Process on Refugees and Migration (THP) and UNU-MERIT and its School of Governance. The project analysed how businesses and governments in global cities are contributing to the integration of migrant and refugee populations, either through outreach, specialized programmes, the provision of services, or targeted funding of non-governmental organizations (NGOs); and to what extent these contributions can be deepened or expanded.
By looking at integration from the perspective of public-private partnerships between city level governments and businesses, this research blazes a trail and presents a number of important findings that can be of value to the policy community.
Recommendations include: 1) Establish networks and fora to share experiences and identify potential partners both within and between cities; 2) Learn each other’s language and take note of “loaded” terms; and 3) Acknowledge diversity while recognizing commonality, particularly in terms of services for different migrant groups.
A Micro Financing Framework for Rural Water and Sanitation provisioning in Su...UNU-MERIT
When it comes to water and sanitation, does self-supply let governments off the hook? Or do people simply need access, regardless of who supplies the service? A new joint publication by UNU-INWEH and UNU-MERIT explores a hybrid mechanism of microfinance for small community water and sanitation supplies. See our blog and report for more... http://www.merit.unu.edu/harnessing-microfinance-and-social-networks-for-wash/
Safalta Digital marketing institute in Noida, provide complete applications that encompass a huge range of virtual advertising and marketing additives, which includes search engine optimization, virtual communication advertising, pay-per-click on marketing, content material advertising, internet analytics, and greater. These university courses are designed for students who possess a comprehensive understanding of virtual marketing strategies and attributes.Safalta Digital Marketing Institute in Noida is a first choice for young individuals or students who are looking to start their careers in the field of digital advertising. The institute gives specialized courses designed and certification.
for beginners, providing thorough training in areas such as SEO, digital communication marketing, and PPC training in Noida. After finishing the program, students receive the certifications recognised by top different universitie, setting a strong foundation for a successful career in digital marketing.
MATATAG CURRICULUM: ASSESSING THE READINESS OF ELEM. PUBLIC SCHOOL TEACHERS I...NelTorrente
In this research, it concludes that while the readiness of teachers in Caloocan City to implement the MATATAG Curriculum is generally positive, targeted efforts in professional development, resource distribution, support networks, and comprehensive preparation can address the existing gaps and ensure successful curriculum implementation.
This slide is special for master students (MIBS & MIFB) in UUM. Also useful for readers who are interested in the topic of contemporary Islamic banking.
Introduction to AI for Nonprofits with Tapp NetworkTechSoup
Dive into the world of AI! Experts Jon Hill and Tareq Monaur will guide you through AI's role in enhancing nonprofit websites and basic marketing strategies, making it easy to understand and apply.
it describes the bony anatomy including the femoral head , acetabulum, labrum . also discusses the capsule , ligaments . muscle that act on the hip joint and the range of motion are outlined. factors affecting hip joint stability and weight transmission through the joint are summarized.
Macroeconomics- Movie Location
This will be used as part of your Personal Professional Portfolio once graded.
Objective:
Prepare a presentation or a paper using research, basic comparative analysis, data organization and application of economic information. You will make an informed assessment of an economic climate outside of the United States to accomplish an entertainment industry objective.
Thinking of getting a dog? Be aware that breeds like Pit Bulls, Rottweilers, and German Shepherds can be loyal and dangerous. Proper training and socialization are crucial to preventing aggressive behaviors. Ensure safety by understanding their needs and always supervising interactions. Stay safe, and enjoy your furry friends!
Strategies for Effective Upskilling is a presentation by Chinwendu Peace in a Your Skill Boost Masterclass organisation by the Excellence Foundation for South Sudan on 08th and 09th June 2024 from 1 PM to 3 PM on each day.
How to Build a Module in Odoo 17 Using the Scaffold MethodCeline George
Odoo provides an option for creating a module by using a single line command. By using this command the user can make a whole structure of a module. It is very easy for a beginner to make a module. There is no need to make each file manually. This slide will show how to create a module using the scaffold method.
How to Add Chatter in the odoo 17 ERP ModuleCeline George
In Odoo, the chatter is like a chat tool that helps you work together on records. You can leave notes and track things, making it easier to talk with your team and partners. Inside chatter, all communication history, activity, and changes will be displayed.
A workshop hosted by the South African Journal of Science aimed at postgraduate students and early career researchers with little or no experience in writing and publishing journal articles.
South African Journal of Science: Writing with integrity workshop (2024)
Gvc oslo
1. Innovation, Value Chains and Development
How Globalization Offers Opportunities for Catching-Up Based Growth
2. Global Value Chains
•Global value chains are all the rage in business studies, international economics and with policymakers in international organizations such as the OECD, World Bank, etc.
•I am interested today in whether global value chains can help solve the fundamental problem of the global development gap
•Let’s first look at two short examples of global value chains
–The iPhone5
–Cacao farmers in Africa
•Does the global production system offer similar opportunities to a Chinese factory worker and a small farmer in Côte d’Ivoire? What role can we see for innovation, and for Science, Technology & Innovation policy?
4. The Technology Gap Theory of global development
•Based on historical analysis (Gerschenkron, Abramovitz) and innovation economics (Fagerberg)
•Does the emergence of Global Value Chains (GVCs) change our theory, do they provide improved possibilities for catching-up based growth?
•Let’s first explore the “old” theoretical framework, and the empirical evidence that was presented for it
•A starting point is the idea of convergence as a result of the diffusion of technological knowledge from rich to poor countries
5. Convergence and divergence of living standards (A graph that I presented in Oslo about 25 years ago, on my first-ever foreign study trip)
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Growth of living standard 1950 - 1990 (% per year)
Living standard in 1950 (GDP$ per capita)
6. Convergence and divergence of living standards (A graph that I presented in Oslo about 25 years ago, on my first-ever foreign study trip)
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Growth of living standard 1950 - 1990 (% per year)
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7. Convergence and divergence of living standards (A graph that I presented in Oslo about 25 years ago, on my first-ever foreign study trip)
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Growth of living standard 1950 - 1990 (% per year)
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Latin American
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Asia - rest
Middle East
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8. Innovation in the Technology Gap Theory
•There is only a gradual difference between developing new knowledge yourself, and acquiring & assimilating knowledge from abroad: “imitation” is also innovation
•The efficiency with which assimilating knowledge from abroad takes place depends on social capability and on technological congruence (Abramovitz)
–Social capability captures broad institutions (politics), human capital (education), finance, infrastructure, etc.
–Technological congruence is whether knowledge from abroad is relevant for the local production structure (microchips for an agricultural economy?)
•For the successful assimilation of foreign knowledge, social capability and technological congruence must be high
9. Development Traps and Innovation Gaps
•If social capability and technological congruence are initially low, it is very hard to grow by assimilating foreign knowledge
•Social capability will grow when development takes off
•Technological congruence will grow when the production system is modernized
•This mutual-reinforcing process can easily get stuck in a low development trap
•This is why so many countries are below the regression line for the developed world
Social capability & congruence
Development opportunities
10. How can countries break out of the trap?
•Countries can escape the trap by an active policy of learning, which enables them to follow an export-based path of industrialization and growth, but there are few successful examples of this (mainly, the Asian Tigers)
•Active industrial and innovation policy
•Export-oriented growth strategy (exporting to developed countries), combined with initial protection of domestic producers (trade barriers)
•Targeting of specific sectors and changing these targets along the way
•Gradual upgrading of firms’ capabilities and increasing the complexity of goods produced and traded
•Modernization of society combined with economic development
11. Why is it so difficult to break out of the trap?
•Learning is a collective, nation-wide process that requires coordination (the “developmental state” and “innovation systems”) and is inherently risky
•There are also economic factors that may keep a country in the trap, e.g.,
•Marxist historians (Wallerstein) stress a centre-periphery model in which the global economic centre applies political power to economically exploit the periphery
•The Latin-American “structuralists” (recently Jorge Katz and J-A Ocampo) point to exchange rates and the balance-of-payments (Dutch disease) that keep the continent locked into resource-based specialization that provides few opportunities for learning
•(Chang’s Kicking Away the Ladder)
12. Back to Global Value Chains
•How do GVCs change the situation?
•Besides the “usual” argument about increased specialization leading to more efficient production:
•Easier to enter international trade: it is no longer necessary to master production of an entire (complex) product, the focus can be on a small part of the chain, and the firm will still be able to engage in international trade and enjoy the benefits of this
•Value chains are often organized by close, long-run relationships between the dominant firm and its suppliers, these relationships offer opportunities for learning and technology transfer
•Perhaps GVCs are an easy ticket out of the low development trap?
13. The perspective of Business Studies (Gereffi and collaborators) – Aerospace industry
14. The perspective of Business Studies (Gereffi and collaborators) – Aerospace industry
Upgrading
15. The perspective of Business Studies (Gereffi and collaborators) – Electronics industry
16. Evidence on the distribution of value added along the value chain
17. Possible reasons why it may be hard to capture a large part of the value created in the entire chain
•The dominant firms (in developed countries) may only be interested in off-shoring low-value added content, and not be interested in sharing knowledge, because knowledge is high value added content (competing on wages is low value added content by definition)
•To participate in GVCs requires social capability (infrastructure, education, etc.): the low-development trap all over again
•Upgrading requires high-quality local innovation systems, which require active policy coordination and resources (Rabelotti, Pietrobelli)
•GVCs may only require a gradual modification of the Technology Gap theory: development traps could be as real as they were before the 1990s
•Let’s explore the empirical evidence
18. The global macroeconomic view: Input-Output economics (Los & Timmer)
•The Input-Output table provides an accounting framework for goods and materials flows in the economy
•It ultimately calculates value added by subtracting intermediate inputs from gross outputs, and hence is the primary tool used by statistical agencies to calculate GDP
•For example, if the Chinese electronics industry sells an iPhone, the value added created by this transaction is the selling price (“gross output”) minus the costs of all components it had to buy from other sectors (roughly speaking, value added consists of labour costs and profits)
•We use the assumption that every unit of production (gross output) requires a fixed proportion of inputs of all kind (value added or intermediate/acquired)
•Using this assumption, we can calculate how final demand (consumption and investment goods) is “ultimately” produced using primary inputs from a range of sectors
19. Global Input-Output tables
•The input-output system is ideal to analyze value chains because it captures the indirect production links, but
•It has a different conception of value chains that the business literature that we briefly reviewed, because it captures a production chain, instead of the R&D – production – distribution cycle)
•We require global tables for global value chains
–WIOD (Groningen, Los & Timmer)
–EORA (Australia, Lenzen)
–EORA is of rougher quality but has larger coverage (189 countries, 26 sectors), I use EORA to sketch the broad evolution of the global economy 1995 – 2011
20. The EORA – IO setup
•I divide the world into 7 blocks: Developed – Dynamic Asia (Japan + Tigers) – former communist block in Europe – BRI(C)S (very large developing/emerging) – China (separate, because it is so exceptional) – Sub-Saharan African – other
•I merge the 26 sectors into 3 blocks: - resources (agriculture, mining, energy production) – manufacturing – other (services and the rest)
•This produces a 21x7 table that maps the macro aggregation of global value chains; the columns denote the global block where final demand is exercised, and the rows the sector where value added is produced
21. The global economy in 1995 (% of global GDP)
Final demand exercised by:
Other Developed USSR influence BRI(C)S JPN, Tigers SSA China
Other RES 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1
Other MAN 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6
Other OTH 5.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.1
Developed RES 0.1 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.7
Developed MAN 0.4 8.9 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.1 10.4
Developed OTH 0.5 44.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.1 46.2
USSR influence RES 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
USSR influence MAN 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
USSR influence OTH 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
BRI(C)S RES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
BRI(C)S MAN 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
BRI(C)S OTH 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3
JPN, Tigers RES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
JPN, Tigers MAN 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 3.9 0.0 0.1 4.8
JPN, Tigers OTH 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 15.3 0.0 0.1 16.2
SSA RES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SSA MAN 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
SSA OTH 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.5
China RES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.6
China MAN 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.9
China OTH 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.0
9.1 58.6 1.7 5.2 22.5 0.7 2.3
25. Changes in shares of global GDP 1995 - 2011
Demand
Other
Developed
USSR influence
BRI(C)S
JPN, Tigers
SSA
China
Supply
Other
3.0
0.5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.2
Developed
0.4
-7.5
0.2
0.2
-0.4
0.0
0.6
USSR influence
0.0
0.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
BRI(C)S
0.2
0.3
0.1
2.8
0.0
0.0
0.1
JPN, Tigers
0.1
-0.2
0.0
0.0
-10.5
0.0
0.4
SSA
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.0
China
0.2
0.7
0.0
0.1
0.4
0.0
5.7
26. Changes in shares of global GDP 1995 - 2011
Demand
Other
Developed
USSR influence
BRI(C)S
JPN, Tigers
SSA
China
Supply
Other
3.0
0.5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.2
Developed
0.4
-7.5
0.2
0.2
-0.4
0.0
0.6
USSR influence
0.0
0.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
BRI(C)S
0.2
0.3
0.1
2.8
0.0
0.0
0.1
JPN, Tigers
0.1
-0.2
0.0
0.0
-10.5
0.0
0.4
SSA
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.0
China
0.2
0.7
0.0
0.1
0.4
0.0
5.7
27. Changes in shares of global GDP 1995 - 2011
Demand
Other
Developed
USSR influence
BRI(C)S
JPN, Tigers
SSA
China
Supply
Other
3.0
0.5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.2
Developed
0.4
-7.5
0.2
0.2
-0.4
0.0
0.6
USSR influence
0.0
0.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
BRI(C)S
0.2
0.3
0.1
2.8
0.0
0.0
0.1
JPN, Tigers
0.1
-0.2
0.0
0.0
-10.5
0.0
0.4
SSA
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.0
China
0.2
0.7
0.0
0.1
0.4
0.0
5.7
28. A summary of global structural changes
•Developed world, including Japan + Asian Tigers shrinks relative to the rest of the world (less developed): the global income distribution is shifting
•Within major global groups, services and other sectors are responsible for the large shifts (this is mostly domestic)
•Between major global groups, manufacturing and resources are leading in terms of structural change
•Global value chains do seem to make an impact
29. What about Science, Technology & Innovation?
•Is the rise of the South also visible in terms of innovation systems? Do we see a rise of the South in STI indicators as well?
•I use Fagerberg’s diagrams as a reference frame: GDP per workers vs. R&D intensity and patent intensity (patents over exports)
•Both R&D and patents are STI oriented and largely ignore other aspects of the innovation process, but R&D includes more elements of adaptation and “imitation”
33. Conclusions on innovation systems
•The dichotomy between North and South in terms of “hard” STI indicators is, if anything, becoming larger over the period 1995 – 2011
•But some countries in the global South are intensifying their efforts in STI
•This raises the question whether the global re-distribution of 1995 – 2011 is sustainable: the big push in terms of STI remains to be made in many countries that are lagging behind the frontier
34. An attempt at concluding
•Many global factors were at work during 1995 – 2011, the emergence of global value chains was one of them
•There is some cautious evidence that during this period, the global income distribution has shifted somewhat in favour of the developing world
•China is a major factor in this process, but there are also other countries that are catching up
•Manufacturing and resources remain the driving sectors of the international part of this catching-up process, but the services sector is a major factor behind domestically- sourced growth, also in developing countries
•The convergence process is generally not accompanied by a major shift in terms of STI efforts (this remains mostly a developed nations activity)
•We need to investigate the role of Science and Technology in developing nations’ Innovation Systems (e.g., the project on African dependence that we are carrying out at UNU-MERIT)