GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Mobile Broadband Status Report
Update from GSA

Global mobile Suppliers Association
www.gsacom.com

September 2, 2010

www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4

GSA Secretariat Tel +44 1279 439 667 info@gsacom.com
www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010

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Contents

About the Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA)

The mass market mobile broadband reality

Network commitments, deployments, launches, subscriptions

Availability of devices and segmentation

HSPA Evolution (HSPA+) status worldwide

LTE network commitments, deployments, prospects: FDD, TDD

Spectrum for mobile broadband services
 New: 2.6 GHz, and Digital Dividend
 Re-farmed bands: e.g. 900 MHz (UMTS900), 1800 MHz


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Global mobile Suppliers Association
 Representing leading GSM/EDGE, WCDMA-HSPA, LTE suppliers globally
 Promoting GSM/EDGE/WCDMA and evolved systems for successful delivery of
mobile broadband, enhanced multimedia, voice services
 3GPP Market Representation Partner

Mobile Broadband Growth reports
Facts-based research by GSA
Leveraging strong links in the industry UMTS 900 Global Status
Objective analysis Evolution to LTE
GSA surveys, reports, regular updates
Evolution of Network Speeds
LTE Operator Commitments Mobile Broadband Spectrum
HSPA network deployments/launches EDGE Evolution
WCDMA Network Launches HSPA Evolution (HSPA+)
HSPA Devices availability Digital Dividend spectrum
3G Services and Applications 60+ charts, maps
Mobile broadband success stories
EDGE Operators Worldwide


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Mobile broadband is mainstream
GLOBAL economies of scale today with HSPA-enabled mobile broadband
 353 HSPA networks commercially launched in 147 countries

98.8% of commercial WCDMA
networks are HSPA-enabled

550+ million WCDMA subscriptions
(including HSPA)

HSPA supports all main cellular bands

18 UMTS900 networks commercially
launched

HSPA Operator Commitments Survey: GSA – June 30, 2010
ALSO SEE – Global HSPA Update – slide deck – www.gsacom.com


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Well-established mobile broadband eco-system
 2,579 HSPA devices launched by 235 suppliers
 840 HSPA devices launched in past 9 months (48% growth)
 press release www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_305.php4

55% of devices support peak d/link data
speed at least 7.2 Mps

724 HSUPA devices

50 HSPA+ devices

Smartphone (i.e. HSPA with WiFi) is
the main growth device segment

401 UMTS900 devices supporting HSPA
(111% increase since October 2009)

Excluding notebooks and e-book readers, 19% of
HSPA devices operate in the 900 MHz band

GSA HSPA Devices Survey: July 12, 2010
Key Findings: www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4

Use GAMBoD for further analysis www.gsacom.com/gambod

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Mobile broadband success stories globally
Reports from operators globally consistently
confirm traffic and revenue growth
GSA report - Mobile Broadband Growth www.gsacom.com

www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4


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Explosion in mobile data growth predicted
Leading the Mobile Broadband Revolution
Ralph de la Vega, Chairman of the Board, CTIA

 Mobile broadband growth outpaces every other platform**

 Pew estimates that by 2020, mobile devices will be the
primary Internet devices for most people in the world***

 The average smartphone user generates 10 times the
amount of traffic generated by the average non-smartphone
user*
*Source: Cisco, VNI Mobile, 2010 ** Source: CTIA, Written Ex Parte to FCC, Sept. 29, 2009
*** Source: Pew Internet & American Life Project, Dec. 2008

 Worldwide Machine-to-Machine devices rise to 412 million
by 2014*

* Source: Juniper Research, Embedded Mobile and M2M Strategies 2009-2014, Jan. 2010


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More industry forecasts

 By 2015, there will be 3.5 billion mobile broadband users
around the world, compared to the 500+ million that use it at
present (Ericsson)

 The total data traffic volume in 2015 will be more than 30 times
that of 2010. Operators will need to make capital investments to
increase capacity in order to meet this demand (Analysys Mason)

 Shipments of mobile broadband-enabled consumer products,
which includes e-book readers, mobile digital cameras,
camcorders, personal media players, personal navigation devices
and mobile gaming devices will increase 55-fold between 2008
and 2014 with total shipments reaching 58 million units per year in
2014 (ABI Research)


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HSPA+ is the main trend in 2010
 Approaching I in 5 HSPA operators commercially launched
HSPA+

63 commercial HSPA+ networks
launched in 35 countries
• 53 networks support 21 Mbps peak
• 7 networks support 28 Mbps
• 3 networks support 42 Mbps

By end 2010 GSA anticipates up
to 100 HSPA+ networks will be in
commercial in service

Updates on network commitments, launches, ecosystem
Global HSPA+ Network Commitments and Deployments – www.gsacom.com
AND
HSPA+ Overview Slide Deck – www.gsacom.com


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HSPA+ entering the mainstream in 2010

HSPA has a strong evolution path HSPA+ eco-system today

50 HSPA+ devices
launched in the market

HSPA and HSPA+ devices
analysis tool on
www.gsacom.com


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The industry direction is to LTE
- LTE is needed to accommodate huge traffic growth

Year 2010: LTE performance
Peak downlink: > 150 Mbps
Mobile broadband is gaining momentum from Typical user speed: 10-30 Mbps
widespread 3.5G deployments, flat rate data Typical user UL rate: 5-50 Mbps
tariffs, and availability of internet friendly mobiles
Spectrum flexibility
Traffic rising/revenue falling Can use new or re-farmed spectrum, FDD and TDD
Variable channel bandwidth
40x – 100x traffic increase
May need to be supported Improved performance
across several frequency bands Higher capacity, peak and user data rates
Higher bandwidth
Much lower latency
“always on”; enhanced user experience

LTE is essential to take mobile Lower cost
IP-based flat network architecture; Low OPEX
broadband to the mass market High degree of self configuration/optimization
High re-use of assets including sites

Complements 3G/HSPA
Addresses high capacity requirements
Seamless service continuity/multimode devices
Next generation solution for 3GPP and 3GPP2

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Global LTE commitments
PRESS RELEASE: www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_309.php4

3 LTE systems in commercial service:
in Norway, Sweden and Uzbekistan

Charts and maps are available at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4 Up to 22 commercial LTE network launches
anticipated by end 2010 - GSA

Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – August 26, 2010


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Spectrum for LTE deployments

 An operator may introduce LTE in ‘new’ bands where it is easier to deploy 10 MHz or 20 MHz
carriers for maximum benefits of using LTE

 2.6 GHz band (IMT Extension band)
 Digital Dividend spectrum 700, 800 MHz
 or in re-farmed existing mobile bands e.g. 850, 900, 1700, 1800, 1900, 2100 MHz

 Eventually LTE may be deployed in all of these bands – and others later

 2.6 GHz (for capacity) and DD 700/800 MHz (wider coverage, improved in-building) is a
good combination

 LTE offers a choice of carrier bandwidths: 1.4 MHz to 20 MHz; the widest bandwidth will be
needed for the highest speeds


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Other spectrum candidates for LTE

LTE FDD
LTE FDD will most likely in future be deployed in LTE TDD
existing cellular bands too, including:
Early TDD Spectrum for LTE (LTE TDD)
 850 MHz
 900 MHz  IMT Extension Center Gap 2570–2620 MHz
 AWS (1700/2100 MHz)  2.3 TDD i.e. 2300–2400 MHz Future TDD possibility
 1800 MHz = 3.6 GHz
 1900 MHz
 2100 MHz Future possibilities:
 450 – 470 MHz
 3.6 GHz


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2.6 GHz: a key band for LTE in Asia, Europe, MEA

 Telenor and Netcom have been granted licences and 2.6 GHz spectrum
 TeliaSonera announced LTE commercial service launch in Oslo on December 15, 2009

 Teliasonera, Elisa and DNA have been granted licences for 2.6 GHz spectrum and are building
LTE networks in Finland. DNA obtained 40 MHz of 2.6 GHz spectrum

 TeliaSonera Sweden is deploying LTE using nationwide 2x20 MHz 2.6 GHz spectrum and
announced commercial service launch in Stockholm on December 15, 2009

 MVNO and cable operator Telenet is trialing LTE in Mechelen, ahead of the 2.6 GHz auction
expected in September 2010. Mobistar is also testing LTE.

 In Hong Kong, 2x15 MHz blocks of 2.6 GHz FDD spectrum have been auctioned, and won by
China Mobile, Genius Brand and CSL Limited

 The Malaysian regulator MCMC plans to auction 3 blocks of 2.6 GHz spectrum for LTE in 2011,
and is also consulting on re-farming 850/900/1800 spectrum for 3G services
Several auctions of 2.6 GHz spectrum are scheduled or planned throughout European
markets during 2010 - 2011
Source of data: GSA report “Evolution to LTE” – August 26, 2010

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Digital Dividend bands

New UHF Digital Dividend spectrum is becoming available in all regions
 Region 1 (Europe, Middle East and Africa) identified 790-862 MHz for mobile services
 Region 2 (Americas) identified 698-806 MHz
 Region 3 (Asia) some countries (China, India, Japan) identified 698-862 MHz; others identified 790-862 MHz

Digital Dividend Update
Published by GSA – July 2010
www.gsacom.com


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Europe’s first Digital Dividend spectrum auctioned
 German auction covered 360 MHz across four bands: 800 MHz (DD), 1800 MHz, 2100 MHz and 2600 MHz
 Bidders were Deutsche Telecom, KPN/E-Plus, Telefonica O2 and Vodafone. Auction commenced April 12, 2010
 800 MHz (DD) allocations were the most expensive; 6 x 5 MHz paired blocks (791-821 MHz and 832-862 MHz)
 Coverage obligations and restrictions including spectrum caps apply

After 224 Rounds the auction
closed on May 20, 2010 and
generated €4.384 billion

www2.bundesnetzagentur.de/frequenzversteigerung2010

The 800 MHz spectrum auction
raised €3.576 billion i.e. over
81.5% of the auction’s value


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LTE1800 – promising option

LTE1800 operator trials
activity e.g.:

Elisa (FI)
Bouygues Telecom (FR)
Cosmote (GR)

+ several others

Used with permission from Elisa


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The LTE market includes TDD
as well as FDD

“While the majority of LTE deployments today are using the FDD mode, the report
confirms significant operator interest in the TDD mode. LTE FDD and LTE TDD
are complementary technologies and standardized by 3GPP. A number of key
technology milestones have been demonstrated in recent weeks which confirm
how the LTE TDD system is maturing towards commercialization. The recently
concluded BWA spectrum auction in India has paved the way for early and large
scale introduction of TDD LTE into the world’s fastest developing market”

GSA press release: www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_309.php4


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LTE TDD opportunities identified

LTE TDD is positioned as the next evolution of theTD-SCDMA family and a natural progression

 From 3GPP standards perspective: commonality with FDD
 From vendor perspective: increasing use of software defined radio techniques
 From operator perspective: spectrum availability, flexible base stations

LTE TDD trials now
Timescales established for prototype, dual-mode and multimode devices
 In-service estimated as 2010-2011
 LTE TDD Is being showcased by many leading players at the
World Expo, Shanghai from May 2010
 Clearwire (USA) has requested 3GPP to standardize LTE TDD for operation in 2496 – 2690 MHz
and on August 4, 2010 announced plans for technology trials to test both LTE TDD and LTE FDD
 Softbank Mobile (Japan) is reported to be considering LTE TDD in 2.5 GHz spectrum it owns


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LTE TDD is maturing towards commercialization

LTE TDD is being showcased by China Mobile and leading industry partners at the World Expo 2010, Shanghai. The
large-scale trial network covers the whole 5.28 square-km site, outdoors and in 9 pavilions and 2 demonstration
centers. Several products supporting the trial network are launched or planned including WWAN cards, routers and
dongles. Key milestones achieved in the trial include:
 Demonstration of LTE TDD HD video telephone in single 20 MHz spectrum with peak DL speeds of up to 80 Mbps
 Demonstration of VOD, video communication, and other high-speed mobile broadband apps
 Demonstration of 24-channel video streaming
 Mobile HD video conferencing between the trial network and another location
 Inter-Operability Test of multiple LTE TDD USB dongles in a single mobile network cell

China Mobile will establish 3 further trial LTE TDD networks in Qingdao, Xiamen and Zhuhai - beginning Q3 2010.
China Mobile is also partnering with foreign operators to establish trial LTE TDD networks overseas, including Taiwan.

India is a key market for LTE TDD following the BWA spectrum auction. Qualcomm through its JV with local partners is
committed to LTE TDD and anticipates commercial service from 2011. Some other BWA spectrum winners are finalizing
their technology choice, so more winners may also choose LTE TDD.


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LTE eco-system is developing

Mobile phones, computer and consumer electronic
devices including notebooks, netbooks, ultra-mobile
PC’s, gaming devices, cameras, and PMPs will
incorporate embedded LTE connectivity.

Source of data: GSA report “Evolution to LTE” – August 26, 2010

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The roadmap for LTE

Excellent Mobile Broadband Today Enhanced User Experience
Voice and full Range of IP Services Improved voice and data capability

Rel-99 Rel-5 Rel-6 Rel-7 Rel-8 Rel-9 & beyond

WCDMA HSPA HSPA+ (HSPA Evolved)
Rel-8 Rel-9 Rel-10
LTE leverages new, wider
and TDD spectrum
LTE LTE - A

2009 - 2010 2011+ - - - - - - - - - >


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LTE: the single global standard

 LTE is on track, attracting global industry support.
 The first LTE systems launched in 2009

 LTE is the natural migration choice for GSM/HSPA operators. LTE is also the next generation mobile
broadband system of choice of leading CDMA operators, who will be in the forefront of service introduction

 As a result of collaboration between 3GPP, 3GPP2 and IEEE there is a roadmap for CDMA operators to
evolve to LTE

 The key spectrum bands for new LTE spectrum are 2.6 GHz and digital dividend bands (700, 800 MHz)
 Re-farmed 1800 MHz spectrum enables LTE1800 to provide 2 times coverage compared to LTE2600

 The LTE TDD mode is a real complement to LTE FDD and the perfect choice for providing high speed
mobile broadband access through unpaired radio spectrum.
 LTE TDD provides a future-proof evolutionary path for TD-SCDMA

 With LTE we have one single global standard, securing and driving even higher economies of scale and
importantly, simplifying roaming


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Mobile broadband seminar: Hong Kong

Hong Kong - September 6, 2010
Co-organized by
GSA, HKSTPC and HKWDC

Free to attend
Registration required:
www.hkstp.org/HKSTPC/onlineRegistration.jsp?lan=en&formId=OF_0000117


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Mobile broadband seminar: London

GSA Mobile Broadband Forum: September 27, 2010 (afternoon)

More information, objectives, program, registration details
www.gsacom.com/programs/mobilebroadband.php4

Organized by GSA in association with IIR Mobile Broadband World as part of the Mobile Broadband Strategy Day

Top industry speakers

Delegates need to register (a fee is payable to IIR)
using the "Register Now" link on page www.iir-telecoms.com/I2GS2GSA

GSA members attending Mobile Broadband World conference (Sept 28-29) also qualify for discount
www.iir-telecoms.com/event/mobilebroadband


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Visit the website to download key GSA reports –
free of charge
including EDGE, HSPA, HSPA+, LTE: Networks and devices
60+ maps, charts at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4

GSA Website www.gsacom.com
 33,700 registered site users
 downloading 15,000 + reports, papers each month

 RSS newsfeed for immediate update alerts

 GSA is also on Twitter and Facebook

 GSA LinkedIN Group


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GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

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