County of Fairfax, Virginia
Futures Working Group
Update to BOS Transportation Committee
As of April 16, 2018
Mr. Mike Champness
Dranesville District Representative
Transportation Advisory Commission (TAC)
Department of Transportation
1
County of Fairfax, Virginia
Background
• The TAC established the Futures Working Group to improve the
advice it offers to the Board of Supervisors (BOS) on the appropriate
application of emerging transportation concepts and technologies
– Working Group began meeting in summer, 2017
– Founding principle: collaborate with others, starting with FCDOT
• Goal of Futures Working Group
– Identify and evaluate opportunities to incorporate emerging transportation
concepts into County transportation plans and strategies
Department of Transportation
2
County of Fairfax, Virginia
Working Group Conclusions
• Economic development provides foundation for near-term efforts
– Shared interest in Fairfax County being an experimentation test bed; attract firms
• Fairfax County has time to develop its future planning strategy, but…
– Once-a-decade regional transit survey about to begin: last snapshot of a
vanishing commuting world?
– Creation of 5G cloud accelerating: cities and localities in competition
– Companies battling out future of autonomous vehicles in court
• Far too soon for Futures WG to recommend policy changes
– Too many technical and policy moving pieces: autonomous vehicles,
telecommuting, demographic projections (to include possible Amazon HQ), etc.
– And in the air: possible drone delivery services
– Don’t yet know what works: Need to experiment, not just write think pieces
– March 19 Smart Cities workshop: Fairfax County still at the starting line
Department of Transportation
3
County of Fairfax, Virginia
Transportation Issue Development Areas
• Assess applicability and readiness of new technologies
– Must assess torrent of new technologies: university students review for credit?
– Develop use cases; Pilot projects/experimentation
• Develop adoption strategies for technology and policy opportunities
– Quick wins: smart infrastructure?
– Connected and autonomous vehicles
– On-line retail: more frequent delivery by trucks and/or delivery by drones
– On demand transportation: solo and shared
– Managing data to increase transportation mobility, safety, maintainability
– Expanded telecommuting
– Zoning implications/opportunities to shape direction of future uses
– Remember connections to other County responsibilities, underserved populations;
economic and environmental implications
Department of Transportation
4
Technology
Policy
County of Fairfax, Virginia
Recommended Next Steps
1. Fairfax County should offer to collaborate with the State of Virginia in
its Smart Cities grant-winning effort
– Five of ten finalists were selected; Fairfax County finished 6th
2. Fairfax County should establish cross-County collaborative staff team
to focus on selected Transportation Issue Development Areas
– BOS should ensure adequate funds are provided for these additional activities
3. BOS should use TAC to provide futures planning recommendations
– Bring knowledge about needs of “average citizens” to futures planning debates
– At same time, effective participation requires expertise in transportation policy and
complex systems analysis
• Broaden participation by hosting regular dialogs with stakeholder groups and transportation experts,
similar to what was done with the TAC Outreach Advisory Group
• Consider balancing background and expertise of future TAC appointees
Department of Transportation
5
County of Fairfax, Virginia
Questions?
Department of Transportation
6
County of Fairfax, Virginia
Back Up Slide
Department of Transportation
7
County of Fairfax, Virginia
Autonomous Vehicles Balancing Act
(Source: Creighton Randall, Smart Cities Conference, Washington DC, Oct 2017)
• Utopia
– Shared Vehicles
– Fewer cars
– Reduced congestion
– Cleaner air
– Better land use
• Each couplet is a value judgement: Way ahead not clear
– Example: Amazon Prime plan for free, same-day Whole Foods delivery
Department of Transportation
8
• Dystopia
– Privately owned vehicles
– “Zero occupancy cars”
– More cars and traffic
– More pollution
– Sprawl

Futures Working Group: Update to BOS Transportation Committee as of April 16, 2018

  • 1.
    County of Fairfax,Virginia Futures Working Group Update to BOS Transportation Committee As of April 16, 2018 Mr. Mike Champness Dranesville District Representative Transportation Advisory Commission (TAC) Department of Transportation 1
  • 2.
    County of Fairfax,Virginia Background • The TAC established the Futures Working Group to improve the advice it offers to the Board of Supervisors (BOS) on the appropriate application of emerging transportation concepts and technologies – Working Group began meeting in summer, 2017 – Founding principle: collaborate with others, starting with FCDOT • Goal of Futures Working Group – Identify and evaluate opportunities to incorporate emerging transportation concepts into County transportation plans and strategies Department of Transportation 2
  • 3.
    County of Fairfax,Virginia Working Group Conclusions • Economic development provides foundation for near-term efforts – Shared interest in Fairfax County being an experimentation test bed; attract firms • Fairfax County has time to develop its future planning strategy, but… – Once-a-decade regional transit survey about to begin: last snapshot of a vanishing commuting world? – Creation of 5G cloud accelerating: cities and localities in competition – Companies battling out future of autonomous vehicles in court • Far too soon for Futures WG to recommend policy changes – Too many technical and policy moving pieces: autonomous vehicles, telecommuting, demographic projections (to include possible Amazon HQ), etc. – And in the air: possible drone delivery services – Don’t yet know what works: Need to experiment, not just write think pieces – March 19 Smart Cities workshop: Fairfax County still at the starting line Department of Transportation 3
  • 4.
    County of Fairfax,Virginia Transportation Issue Development Areas • Assess applicability and readiness of new technologies – Must assess torrent of new technologies: university students review for credit? – Develop use cases; Pilot projects/experimentation • Develop adoption strategies for technology and policy opportunities – Quick wins: smart infrastructure? – Connected and autonomous vehicles – On-line retail: more frequent delivery by trucks and/or delivery by drones – On demand transportation: solo and shared – Managing data to increase transportation mobility, safety, maintainability – Expanded telecommuting – Zoning implications/opportunities to shape direction of future uses – Remember connections to other County responsibilities, underserved populations; economic and environmental implications Department of Transportation 4 Technology Policy
  • 5.
    County of Fairfax,Virginia Recommended Next Steps 1. Fairfax County should offer to collaborate with the State of Virginia in its Smart Cities grant-winning effort – Five of ten finalists were selected; Fairfax County finished 6th 2. Fairfax County should establish cross-County collaborative staff team to focus on selected Transportation Issue Development Areas – BOS should ensure adequate funds are provided for these additional activities 3. BOS should use TAC to provide futures planning recommendations – Bring knowledge about needs of “average citizens” to futures planning debates – At same time, effective participation requires expertise in transportation policy and complex systems analysis • Broaden participation by hosting regular dialogs with stakeholder groups and transportation experts, similar to what was done with the TAC Outreach Advisory Group • Consider balancing background and expertise of future TAC appointees Department of Transportation 5
  • 6.
    County of Fairfax,Virginia Questions? Department of Transportation 6
  • 7.
    County of Fairfax,Virginia Back Up Slide Department of Transportation 7
  • 8.
    County of Fairfax,Virginia Autonomous Vehicles Balancing Act (Source: Creighton Randall, Smart Cities Conference, Washington DC, Oct 2017) • Utopia – Shared Vehicles – Fewer cars – Reduced congestion – Cleaner air – Better land use • Each couplet is a value judgement: Way ahead not clear – Example: Amazon Prime plan for free, same-day Whole Foods delivery Department of Transportation 8 • Dystopia – Privately owned vehicles – “Zero occupancy cars” – More cars and traffic – More pollution – Sprawl