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 The	
  Future	
  of	
  Connec.vity	
  |	
  An	
  Ini.al	
  Perspec.ve	
  
	
  Hossein	
  Moiin	
  |	
  Execu.ve	
  Vice	
  President	
  and	
  Chief	
  Technology	
  Officer	
  
	
  Nokia	
  Networks	
  
Context	
  
This	
  ini.al	
  perspec.ve	
  on	
  the	
  Future	
  of	
  Connec.vity	
  kicks	
  off	
  the	
  	
  
Future	
  Agenda	
  2.0	
  global	
  discussions	
  that	
  are	
  taking	
  place	
  through	
  2015.	
  	
  
It	
  is	
  an	
  ini.al	
  view	
  to	
  be	
  shared,	
  challenged,	
  built	
  upon	
  and	
  enhanced.	
  	
  
Ini.al	
  
Perspec.ves	
  
Q4	
  2014	
  
Global	
  
Discussions	
  
Q1/2	
  2015	
  
Insight	
  
Synthesis	
  
Q3	
  2015	
  
Sharing	
  	
  
Output	
  
Q4	
  2015	
  
Giga	
  Growth	
  
By	
  2025	
  mobile	
  networks	
  will	
  need	
  to	
  support	
  up	
  to	
  10,000x	
  more	
  	
  
capacity,	
  using	
  much	
  wider	
  range	
  of	
  spectrum	
  bands	
  -­‐	
  and	
  deliver	
  100x	
  faster	
  
speeds,	
  100x	
  more	
  efficiently	
  -­‐	
  while	
  also	
  reducing	
  latency	
  to	
  milliseconds.	
  
Op.mal	
  Experience	
  
Demand	
  growth	
  will	
  be	
  driven	
  by	
  new	
  data	
  apps,	
  device	
  types	
  and	
  connected	
  
objects	
  all	
  sharing	
  the	
  same	
  network.	
  Every	
  user	
  -­‐	
  human,	
  machine	
  or	
  object	
  -­‐	
  
will	
  expect	
  a	
  personalised	
  and	
  consistent	
  experience	
  across	
  all	
  touch	
  points.	
  
Everything	
  Connected	
  	
  
By	
  2025,	
  >50	
  billion	
  objects	
  and	
  >1	
  trillion	
  sensors	
  will	
  be	
  connected	
  to	
  
networks	
  –	
  many	
  of	
  which	
  are	
  mobile.	
  These	
  generate	
  diverse	
  use-­‐cases	
  from	
  
mul.-­‐cast	
  /	
  broadcast	
  of	
  live	
  video	
  feeds	
  across	
  mul.ple	
  areas	
  of	
  applica.on.	
  	
  
Tes.ng	
  the	
  Limits	
  
Most	
  digital	
  informa.on	
  will	
  be	
  stored	
  in	
  the	
  cloud	
  with	
  users	
  expec.ng	
  	
  
instant	
  access	
  anywhere	
  any.me	
  –	
  tes.ng	
  the	
  physical	
  limits	
  of	
  networks.	
  
Networks	
  will	
  have	
  to	
  become	
  programmable	
  to	
  create	
  capacity	
  on	
  demand.	
  
Cogni.ve	
  Networks	
  	
  
In	
  using	
  big-­‐data	
  analy.cs	
  and	
  machine	
  learning,	
  networks	
  become	
  cogni.ve	
  
enough	
  to	
  operate	
  themselves	
  at	
  the	
  most	
  op.mal	
  cost	
  -­‐	
  while	
  understanding	
  
user’s	
  needs	
  and	
  automa.cally	
  delivering	
  the	
  best	
  experience	
  in	
  real-­‐.me.	
  
Shared	
  Business	
  Models	
  
To	
  reduce	
  costs,	
  connec.vity	
  providers	
  increasingly	
  share	
  hardware,	
  soware	
  
and	
  spectral	
  resources	
  and	
  collaborate	
  more	
  widely.	
  Cloud	
  and	
  cogni.ve	
  
networks	
  drive	
  innova.ve	
  business	
  models	
  for	
  mone.zing	
  the	
  network.	
  	
  
5G	
  Era	
  
The	
  5G	
  era	
  encompasses	
  Gbps	
  mobile	
  broadband	
  but	
  evolves	
  to	
  an	
  	
  
op.msied	
  architecture	
  that	
  integrates	
  mul.ple	
  fixed	
  and	
  wireless	
  	
  
networks	
  and	
  supports	
  flexible	
  spectrum	
  usage	
  with	
  high	
  spectral	
  efficiency.	
  
Tac.le	
  Performance	
  
New	
  use-­‐cases	
  demand	
  tac.le	
  responses	
  from	
  the	
  network.	
  Latency	
  can	
  be	
  
made	
  impercep.ble	
  only	
  by	
  reducing	
  the	
  physical	
  distance	
  between	
  devices	
  
and	
  the	
  content	
  they	
  are	
  accessing	
  as	
  the	
  speed	
  of	
  light	
  is	
  constant.	
  	
  
Security	
  and	
  Privacy	
  by	
  Design	
  
The	
  trust	
  of	
  users	
  is	
  fragile	
  and	
  can	
  only	
  be	
  sustained	
  by	
  embedding	
  	
  
privacy	
  and	
  security	
  in	
  products	
  and	
  processes	
  to	
  provide	
  	
  
transparency,	
  choice	
  and	
  individual	
  par.cipa.on.	
  	
  
Future	
  Agenda	
  
84	
  Brook	
  Street	
  
London	
  
W1K	
  5EH	
  
+44	
  203	
  0088	
  141	
  
futureagenda.org	
  
The	
  world’s	
  leading	
  open	
  foresight	
  program	
  
What	
  do	
  you	
  think?	
  
Join	
  In	
  |	
  Add	
  your	
  views	
  into	
  the	
  mix	
  
	
  
www.futureagenda.org	
  

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Future of connectivity An initial perspective - Hossein Moiin, EVP and CTO at Nokia Networks.

  • 1.  The  Future  of  Connec.vity  |  An  Ini.al  Perspec.ve    Hossein  Moiin  |  Execu.ve  Vice  President  and  Chief  Technology  Officer    Nokia  Networks  
  • 2. Context   This  ini.al  perspec.ve  on  the  Future  of  Connec.vity  kicks  off  the     Future  Agenda  2.0  global  discussions  that  are  taking  place  through  2015.     It  is  an  ini.al  view  to  be  shared,  challenged,  built  upon  and  enhanced.     Ini.al   Perspec.ves   Q4  2014   Global   Discussions   Q1/2  2015   Insight   Synthesis   Q3  2015   Sharing     Output   Q4  2015  
  • 3. Giga  Growth   By  2025  mobile  networks  will  need  to  support  up  to  10,000x  more     capacity,  using  much  wider  range  of  spectrum  bands  -­‐  and  deliver  100x  faster   speeds,  100x  more  efficiently  -­‐  while  also  reducing  latency  to  milliseconds.  
  • 4. Op.mal  Experience   Demand  growth  will  be  driven  by  new  data  apps,  device  types  and  connected   objects  all  sharing  the  same  network.  Every  user  -­‐  human,  machine  or  object  -­‐   will  expect  a  personalised  and  consistent  experience  across  all  touch  points.  
  • 5. Everything  Connected     By  2025,  >50  billion  objects  and  >1  trillion  sensors  will  be  connected  to   networks  –  many  of  which  are  mobile.  These  generate  diverse  use-­‐cases  from   mul.-­‐cast  /  broadcast  of  live  video  feeds  across  mul.ple  areas  of  applica.on.    
  • 6. Tes.ng  the  Limits   Most  digital  informa.on  will  be  stored  in  the  cloud  with  users  expec.ng     instant  access  anywhere  any.me  –  tes.ng  the  physical  limits  of  networks.   Networks  will  have  to  become  programmable  to  create  capacity  on  demand.  
  • 7. Cogni.ve  Networks     In  using  big-­‐data  analy.cs  and  machine  learning,  networks  become  cogni.ve   enough  to  operate  themselves  at  the  most  op.mal  cost  -­‐  while  understanding   user’s  needs  and  automa.cally  delivering  the  best  experience  in  real-­‐.me.  
  • 8. Shared  Business  Models   To  reduce  costs,  connec.vity  providers  increasingly  share  hardware,  soware   and  spectral  resources  and  collaborate  more  widely.  Cloud  and  cogni.ve   networks  drive  innova.ve  business  models  for  mone.zing  the  network.    
  • 9. 5G  Era   The  5G  era  encompasses  Gbps  mobile  broadband  but  evolves  to  an     op.msied  architecture  that  integrates  mul.ple  fixed  and  wireless     networks  and  supports  flexible  spectrum  usage  with  high  spectral  efficiency.  
  • 10. Tac.le  Performance   New  use-­‐cases  demand  tac.le  responses  from  the  network.  Latency  can  be   made  impercep.ble  only  by  reducing  the  physical  distance  between  devices   and  the  content  they  are  accessing  as  the  speed  of  light  is  constant.    
  • 11. Security  and  Privacy  by  Design   The  trust  of  users  is  fragile  and  can  only  be  sustained  by  embedding     privacy  and  security  in  products  and  processes  to  provide     transparency,  choice  and  individual  par.cipa.on.    
  • 12. Future  Agenda   84  Brook  Street   London   W1K  5EH   +44  203  0088  141   futureagenda.org   The  world’s  leading  open  foresight  program   What  do  you  think?   Join  In  |  Add  your  views  into  the  mix     www.futureagenda.org